January 03, 2012

DOOM! Special Edition: Locked and Loaded
— andy

doom_bw

The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars,
But in ourselves, that we are boned.

- Stuff Shakespeare Said, 3rd. Ed.

With the primary vote casting coming quickly upon us, here's a reminder of where we find ourselves, with a huge hat tip to coblogger emeritus Geoff.

First, we continue to make unrealistic assumptions about future GDP growth.

People talk about 4 – 5% GDP growth as if it were the norm, and they base all their budget projections on the economy returning to that sort of growth rate. Absurd.

We havenÂ’t seen consistent 5% GDP growth for 35 years.

If it weren’t for the dot.com boom, we wouldn’t have seen consistent 4% GDP growth for 25 years. Our economy is settling in at 2 – 3% growth for the foreseeable future.

Second, even the most aggressive piece of legislation to deal with spending, the Ryan budget, is inadequate to the task of even dealing with just FY 2011's deficit, much less the additional like amount we'll run the debt up in FY 2012.

This is what the President and his crackerjack economic team have wrought. A one-year deficit that is so large that it can only be paid back if everything goes exactly right. And if everything goes exactly right, we're still looking at decades before we can get back to the debt level we had only 6 months ago.

PublicDebtRyanvsCommissionSmall.gif

Be sure to read the whole thing.

Since Geoff wrote the posts these graphs were culled from, we've had a few clear opportunities to address the problem. We whiffed on the FY 2011 continuing resolution showdown and the debt ceiling increase, choosing instead to punt to the "Super Committee" that failed miserably as it was designed to. Also, don't forget that we still don't have a FY 2012 budget thanks to the feckless Harry Reid.

Now the debt ceiling (and debt) has been raised to $15.2 trillion, with an additional increase of $1.2 trillion in the offing. We foolishly traded a theoretical $1.2 trillion of spending cuts over 10 years for an immediate increase in the new debt limit (ha!), and on the current path, we'll hit $16.4 trillion of debt by inauguration day 2013.

To bring these two pieces of Geoff's work together, does anyone care to hazard a guess as to the average annual GDP growth presumption in the Ryan budget? I'll save you the work; it's 4.7%. 4.7% per year for 10 years? Take a look at that first chart again and tell me how realistic that seems.

If you presume the Ryan budget achieves its spending targets on an absolute dollar basis but that revenues are a function of GDP - and then cut GDP growth to a realistic number, like, say, half of what's in his forecast - we'd add nearly $5 trillion of additional debt in the ten years over and above what's in his budget.

So the most aggressive spending reduction plan we have, that our candidates don't exactly shout their support for from the mountaintops, falls short of what's needed to keep us from ruin. And on the revenue side, everyone agrees that we have to grow our way out of the problem, but then they fudge the growth estimates beyond anything realistically achievable so they can avoid the pain of making adequate spending cuts.

But the fault lies not in the candidates; it lies in the electorate. Enough of us are content to let the cancer we know is there eat away at us because we feel o.k., if not entirely well, and will apparently continue to do so right up until the point that it kills us.

Posted by: andy at 05:50 AM | Comments (281)
Post contains 621 words, total size 4 kb.

1 wtf?

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 03, 2012 05:51 AM (Ho2rs)

2 i thought doom was on hiatus?

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 03, 2012 05:52 AM (Ho2rs)

3 Democrats are economic idiots.

Posted by: whatever at January 03, 2012 05:53 AM (O7ksG)

4 Confused I am

Posted by: Jean at January 03, 2012 05:55 AM (WkuV6)

5 This DOOM! has a funny wrapper.

Posted by: fluffy, DOOM! addict at January 03, 2012 05:55 AM (Lpgtj)

6 Basically, the United States, as the world knows it, ceases to exist within 10 years.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 05:56 AM (xpIuj)

7 DOOM without cats is no DOOM at all.

Posted by: blaster at January 03, 2012 05:56 AM (7vSU0)

8 All we have to do is Tax the Rich.

Posted by: soothsayer at January 03, 2012 05:56 AM (KreG+)

9 Monty DOOM! is on hiatus. This is cheap knock-off Andy DOOM! lovingly drop-forged by Chinese slaves from antifreeze and melamine.

Posted by: Anachronda at January 03, 2012 05:56 AM (6fER6)

10 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

And shouldn't you identify this as Genuine DOOM! Substitute?

Posted by: Jewish Concentration Camp Prisoner w/ a shovel at January 03, 2012 05:57 AM (8y9MW)

11 It figures. Remember, Paul Ryan would push his own grandmother off a cliff in a wheelchair.

Posted by: runningrn at January 03, 2012 05:57 AM (U9Spd)

12 And Green Energy.

Posted by: soothsayer at January 03, 2012 05:57 AM (oB2II)

13 And Amnesty.

Posted by: soothsayer at January 03, 2012 05:57 AM (Ba6aP)

Posted by: Holocaust Industry GTFO at January 03, 2012 05:57 AM (TVIgM)

15 The fault lies in the electorate...and yet those of us who insist that we need someone better than Romney are the kooks and crazies.

Posted by: Paul at January 03, 2012 05:58 AM (U2rG9)

16 The New Doom, kind of like "The New Coke" but with less sugar.

Posted by: runningrn at January 03, 2012 05:58 AM (U9Spd)

17

But the fault lies not in the candidates; it lies in the electorate. Enough of us are content to let the cancer we know is there eat away at us because we feel o.k., if not entirely well, and will apparently continue to do so right up until the point that it kills us.

Absolutely correct.  I think a majority of people don't want to see their portion of the gubmint cheese eliminated, just the other guy's.  Frankly, I think an ugly dystopia awaits us. 

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 03, 2012 05:58 AM (M0NzJ)

18 And all our defecit and debt problems will disappear.

Posted by: soothsayer at January 03, 2012 05:58 AM (ZgBZU)

19 Holy cow! We need a clean up on Aisle 14!

Posted by: runningrn at January 03, 2012 05:59 AM (U9Spd)

20 Let us tax the evil producers, until all economic activity is gone, moved over-seas, or unionized. Then we can usher in a new era of communism; Where the true top 1% government elites like Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi and Sean Penn- will take their rightful seat at the throne. We peasants must learn to worship our communist big government betters. They will save us.

Posted by: Useful Idiot at January 03, 2012 05:59 AM (O7ksG)

21 ah ..... another paulian.....spewing anti-semitism .....isn't that precious.......you mad bro?

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 03, 2012 06:00 AM (Ho2rs)

22 we're still looking at decades before we can get back to the debt level we had only 6 months ago. *sobs*

Posted by: Joffen at January 03, 2012 06:00 AM (zLeKL)

23 >> Monty DOOM! is on hiatus. This is cheap knock-off Andy DOOM! lovingly drop-forged by Chinese slaves from antifreeze and melamine. Exactly. I can't even afford the color logo fer chrissakes.

Posted by: Andy at January 03, 2012 06:00 AM (T01YJ)

24 Liberalism is stuff that white people like. That's why we (the US) won't vote it out.

Posted by: blaster at January 03, 2012 06:01 AM (7vSU0)

25

14

Is this the "Audit the Fed" troll changing his nic?  I think it is time for the anti-semetic trolls get the ban-hammer.

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 03, 2012 06:01 AM (M0NzJ)

26 "This is what the President and his crackerjack economic team have wrought. A one-year deficit that is so large that it can only be paid back if everything goes exactly right. And if everything goes exactly right, we're still looking at decades before we can get back to the debt level we had only 6 months ago." Now that is doom! Happy New Year. GiddyUp...

Posted by: cvrgrl at January 03, 2012 06:01 AM (W3CIW)

27 I suck dick for money. Posted by: Holocaust Industry GTFO at January 03, 2012 09:57 AM (TVIgM)

Posted by: Joffen at January 03, 2012 06:01 AM (zLeKL)

28
I, for one, welcome the new doom overlord.  Especially if he has any connections to some of that sweet sweet debt cash splayed out by the governing class.

What?  Since they're not going to stop spending no matter how much I complain, I may as well get mine.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at January 03, 2012 06:01 AM (JYheX)

29 I think it is time for the anti-semetic trolls get the ban-hammer.

I agree.

Also, 10 was me.  I thought I'd already changed that sock, though...  It was more appropriate to the comment I quoted in the other thread...

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:02 AM (8y9MW)

30 Rolling Blackouts on entitlement programs starting 2014.

One year you have social security,medicare,etc...next year you don't. Good luck Grandma, you shouldn't have voted for Obama and given money to the AARP.

Posted by: befuddled at January 03, 2012 06:02 AM (xJU23)

31 Like I said in the other thread:

That's the thing though, there is nothing left to put into place if the Supreme Court upholds any part of Obamacare--everything is already in place, all they need is time.

That's why none on the left really care if Romney is the nominee, it a "heads I win, tails you lose" bet. Even if the SC tosses all of it, Romney will "see it is such an important issue" and will be back with a kinder, gentler version for the Dems to rally around.

I know it's cool by some to crap on RedState around here, but Moe Lane's 10 things about Iowa is right. Especially "What are you going to do, sit this one out?" one. Yes. If you think you're going to convince me that getting a soft, slow ass-rape by Romney is somehow better than getting a jackhammer ass-rape by Obama, well, good luck with that. ----

If your are a producer of anything useful in this country: You are a target and the next few years will be dedicated to bringing you under control.

Posted by: Jimmuy at January 03, 2012 06:03 AM (K6q4U)

32 Wow.  I got a link on the front page.

That's awesome.  Thanks, Ben.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:03 AM (8y9MW)

Posted by: jsboe75@gotsky.com at January 03, 2012 06:03 AM (mjR67)

34 One year you have social security,medicare,etc...next year you don't. Good luck Grandma, you shouldn't have voted for Obama and given money to the AARP. More and more I'm starting to believe this is our only way to fix it. Just let it go bankrupt.

Posted by: Joffen at January 03, 2012 06:03 AM (zLeKL)

35 Ideer for Doom post: a Who Is John Galt? edition a post on firms that are shutting down or dowsizing or moving on account of Obamanomics and creeping socialism.

Posted by: soothsayer at January 03, 2012 06:03 AM (Ba6aP)

Posted by: Holocaust Industry GTFO at January 03, 2012 06:04 AM (TVIgM)

37 Posted by: Holocaust Industry GTFO at January 03, 2012 09:57 AM (TVIgM)

Clean up the holocaust denying fool please.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 06:04 AM (nEUpB)

38 23 >> Monty DOOM! is on hiatus. This is cheap knock-off Andy DOOM! lovingly drop-forged by Chinese slaves from antifreeze and melamine. Exactly. I can't even afford the color logo fer chrissakes. Posted by: Andy at January 03, 2012 10:00 AM (T01YJ) Where's your fake Gucci tag, Andy?

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 03, 2012 06:05 AM (niZvt)

39 I like this "Andy" version of DOOM. very edgy. like it alot.

Posted by: Vergeltung at January 03, 2012 06:05 AM (jttPx)

40 " Liberalism is stuff that white people like. That's why we (the US) won't vote it out." Most liberals won't survive the urban cullings.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 06:05 AM (xpIuj)

41 One year you have social security,medicare,etc...next year you don't.

That's the whole point of Obamacare and Zeke Emanuel's algorithm, isn't it? Everyone drawing SS and SSDI gets killed off in the first year or two.

Posted by: HeatherRadish at January 03, 2012 06:05 AM (/kI1Q)

42 Please delete number 33 if possible.  That was a major gaffe on my part.  Thank goodness I'm not running for president.

Posted by: no good deed at January 03, 2012 06:06 AM (mjR67)

43 Gee Wally, I did it on account of you acting like a goof.

Posted by: soothsayer as The Beaver at January 03, 2012 06:06 AM (LVtr+)

44 But the fault lies not in the candidates; it lies in the electorate. Enough of us are content to let the cancer we know is there eat away at us because we feel o.k., if not entirely well, and will apparently continue to do so right up until the point that it kills us.

Buckeye Cop has it right, too. 

A step further: this fault does not result from any failure of the Founding Fathers who, knowing a democracy would fail, created instead a Republic.  One-man-one-vote, a creation of the Warren Court, is the culprit.  No private enterprise in the world operates this way - granting the power to vote without responsibility is the sure path to DOOM.

Posted by: Looks Like We're in for Nasty Weather at January 03, 2012 06:07 AM (tAwhy)

45 Is this the "Audit the Fed" troll changing his nic?

Yes, it is. It's a 'green' troll, re-cycling material.

Posted by: fluffy at January 03, 2012 06:07 AM (Lpgtj)

46 Boned.

Posted by: that guy that always thinks we're boned at January 03, 2012 06:08 AM (GTbGH)

Posted by: Holocaust Industry GTFO at January 03, 2012 06:08 AM (TVIgM)

48 The chart I saw on growth of the US economy since 1790 (on a per capita basis) showed the long term growth rate was about 3%. Don't know why we should expect any better.


Posted by: An Observation at January 03, 2012 06:08 AM (ylhEn)

49 Most liberals won't survive the urban cullings.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 10:05 AM (xpIuj)

Yes, we evil gun clingers have a certain advantage over the effete vegetarians of the upper west side!

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 06:08 AM (nEUpB)

50 Do no taunt Happy Fun Doom Thread.

Posted by: happy fun doom thread at January 03, 2012 06:09 AM (GTbGH)

51 Absolutely correct.  I think a majority of people don't want to see their portion of the gubmint cheese eliminated, just the other guy's.  Frankly, I think an ugly dystopia awaits us.

Agreed.

The big deal is that everyone looks at the over-all numbers (debt = GDP, etc.) and see that something needs to be fixed, but they look at "their" piece and think of it as "so small it doesn't matter."

Well, here's the clue-bat for the day: every piece is "so small it doesn't matter," individually.  It's only in the aggregate that they cause a problem.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:10 AM (8y9MW)

52 Well, damn. I catch up and join in at 139 on the other Doom thread and it gets trumped by this one.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 06:10 AM (KC2BE)

Posted by: Holocaust Industry GTFO at January 03, 2012 06:11 AM (TVIgM)

54 Excuse me. 129 on the other thread.

I'll just copy here to attention-whore:
Morning, Doomers. One week from today is my last day in this shithole.

Then the Thursday after I'll head over to SC and secure my rental. Probably head to the DMV on Friday and switch my license. One, because I want to get my CWP right away and two because maybe I can still get in on the SC primary.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 06:12 AM (KC2BE)

55 I like the new DOOM! logo. I propose that from here on, the silver dime DOOM! be used rather than the filthy Jew gold DOOM! we've grown accustomed to.

Posted by: RONPAUL!!! at January 03, 2012 06:12 AM (D5hxK)

56

>>>Basically, the United States, as the world knows it, ceases to exist within 10 years.

 

Yup, basically.

 

Sigh...At least the Soviet citizens didn't see their collapse coming. They knew things were bad, but things had always been bad, They were always barely limping along.  Then one day the wall fell and two years later, kaput.

We, on the other hand, know(or should know) exactly what's coming. The data and information is there.  And unlike the Soviets, we acutally have a mechinism to stop it. Elecitons.

 

  If we do collapse, I look forward to punching anyone who says, "but I didn't know", right in the face.

 

 

 

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 06:12 AM (wuv1c)

57 Seriously, 55 needs a banhammer application stat.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 06:12 AM (KC2BE)

58 Tell us more about our fetish, Troll Boy.

Posted by: fluffikon knows projection at January 03, 2012 06:13 AM (Lpgtj)

59 OK, OK, don't all you people have any WORK to do? AoSHQ: the Bane of Office Productivity, everywhere.

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 03, 2012 06:13 AM (niZvt)

60
Monty DOOM! is on hiatus. This is cheap knock-off Andy DOOM!
Posted by: Anachronda





So? Andy DOOM! is good company! Inside is same as Toshiba! TOSHIBA GUTS! Is same thing!

Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at January 03, 2012 06:13 AM (3wBRE)

61 OK, OK, don't all you people have any WORK to do?

I'm stickin' it to The Man.

Posted by: toby928© at January 03, 2012 06:15 AM (GTbGH)

62

Frankly, I think an ugly dystopia awaits us. 

Now, now, now Alextopia will not be ugly. 

The Stuff X Said is one of my favorite smart military blog memes ever. 

Posted by: alexthechick at January 03, 2012 06:15 AM (VtjlW)

63 PA, I would be thrilled as could be if we have 10 years (I don't think we do).

With this move I plan to be smart and buy less house with the goal of being debt free other than it within 2 years. Then hopefully pay the house of in another 5-7.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 06:15 AM (KC2BE)

64

There once was a troll so paranoid

His posts felt like a hemorrhoid

His Jew-hate pimped up on steroids

His fate just like Ron PaulÂ’s ASSteroid.

Posted by: whatever at January 03, 2012 06:15 AM (O7ksG)

65 I prefer genuine Apple iDOOM, not one of Andy's PC clone DOOM knockoffs. *sniff*

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 03, 2012 06:15 AM (niZvt)

66

>>Wow. I got a link on the front page.

 

My pleasure. I didn't realize you have a site. I'll be sure to check it more often.

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 06:17 AM (wuv1c)

67

Morning, Doomers. One week from today is my last day in this shithole.

Hurray!

OK, OK, don't all you people have any WORK to do?

Pfffft.  I'm busy multishirking. 

 

Posted by: alexthechick at January 03, 2012 06:17 AM (VtjlW)

68 Then hopefully pay the house of in another 5-7.

A house just gives you something you have to defend.  Rent, and buy an Apocalypse Mobile.

Posted by: toby928© at January 03, 2012 06:17 AM (GTbGH)

69 I posted this previously to a dead thread but I went to two different indoor ranges yesterday in Houston and both had over an hour wait. I'm all for everyone having a gun but this is starting to annoy me. I saw the same phenomenon when Tiger Woods came on the scene. Couldn't get a decent tee time because everyone started playing golf. Obama is the Tiger Woods of gun ownership.

Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 03, 2012 06:18 AM (BdKdH)

70 OK, OK, don't all you people have any WORK to do?

I'm trying to focus and be a good boy but I'm suffering from a lack of coffee and short timers'.

Correcting the coffee thing but not much I can do about short timers'.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 06:18 AM (KC2BE)

71 I didn't realize you have a site.

I obviously haven't been shilling enough... which is odd, since I figured that people were getting tired of me pointing to my new posts by now.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:18 AM (8y9MW)

72 I don't think we should "change horses" if we are in a shooting war with a legitimate nation. *dry heave*  I think we better let Obama stay in office if we have to start poking holes in Iran, for example *dry heave*. We will need to rally around our leader...  *leans over and pukes into waste basket* ... and that is why I don't want us to get into any scraps right now!

Posted by: Errol at January 03, 2012 06:19 AM (vewos)

73 "The data and information is there. And unlike the Soviets, we acutally have a mechinism to stop it. Elecitons." Elections can't stop it. We're seeing the result of 80 years of New Deal government, and several generations who were born and raised thinking this way of life is normal.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 06:19 AM (xpIuj)

74 You know, I experimented with getting my own site,(Sweaterbumpers.com), but after posting my first 500 pairs of Perfect Boobs, I just ran out of ideas.

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 03, 2012 06:19 AM (niZvt)

75 Obama is the Tiger Woods of gun ownership.

Except that Tiger Woods was good at his job.  Maybe Obama is the reverse Tiger Woods of gun ownership: he's so bad at his job that everyone is reacting to it.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:20 AM (8y9MW)

76 i seriously doubt the troll is mocking audit the fed......it's just another mentally ill paulian......all paulians are mentally ill just like the head paulian.....there are no exceptions to this rule......if you are a paul supporter.....you are sick in the head

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 03, 2012 06:20 AM (Ho2rs)

77 Pfffft.  I'm busy multishirking. 

 

Posted by: alexthechick at January 03, 2012 10:17 AM (VtjlW)

I'll be borrowing "multishirking," alex. Okay, stealing, and without attribution. Tomato, tomahto.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 06:20 AM (RD7QR)

78 Any regression analysis on those GDP growth numbers? By eyeball it looks like there's been a small downward trend.

Posted by: Heorot at January 03, 2012 06:20 AM (Nq/UF)

79 poly you can't make a reservation?

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 03, 2012 06:21 AM (Ho2rs)

80 The math will not be denied.  What cannot continue, won't. Default is our destiny, Etc.

I'm just hoping the New Dollar has Reagan on it, and not the SCoaMF.

Posted by: toby928© at January 03, 2012 06:21 AM (GTbGH)

81 71, going to be a gun buyer's market if the SCOAMF is voted out.

Being an accumulator like me can be a pain though. I was taking mental inventory and looks like I'm going to have to buy cases to support SEVEN long arms during my move.

I have several cases already but not enough.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 06:21 AM (KC2BE)

82 I'm busy multishirking LOL, alex! I picture you checking out the semi-exposed rack on the comely young maiden in the cube next to yours...

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 03, 2012 06:22 AM (niZvt)

83 ...granting the power to vote without responsibility is the sure path to DOOM.

Posted by: Looks Like We're in for Nasty Weather at January 03, 2012 10:07 AM (tAwhy)

We now have exactly what the Founders feared: a "mobocracy."  The Founders had absolutely not intention of granting universal suffrage. 

It's not going to change before things fall apart, but the right to vote should be limited to those citizens that work (and pay income taxes) or own land.

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 03, 2012 06:22 AM (M0NzJ)

84 Yeah, I think we're going to have nasty RonPaul infestations until November. I would recommend penicillin but I think it's a resistant strain.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 06:23 AM (RD7QR)

85 I think the GDP predictions are way out of line -- way too DOOMy.

Under W we had several quarters with GDP growth between 4.7% and 5.2%. Or somewhere close to it.

Look at the graph. The GDP growth rated started dropping like a rock as soon as the Dems took control of both houses of Congress.

If the GOP could ever get its shit back together again we could see a consistent GDP growth rate of 4.5%+ per years for years into the future.

Our present economy is like bombed-out Europe after WWII -- there's plenty of opportunity for rebuilding.

Posted by: Ed Anger - Certified Kos Kid at January 03, 2012 06:23 AM (7+pP9)

86 >> Any regression analysis on those GDP growth numbers? By eyeball it looks like there's been a small downward trend.

I asked Geoff about that via email when he did the original post, and he confirmed that is indeed the case.

Posted by: Andy at January 03, 2012 06:24 AM (5Rurq)

87 82 I'm just hoping the New Dollar has Reagan on it, and not the SCoaMF.
______

Since I'm livin' la vida California, all I can look forward to is new CaliDollars with Jerry Brown on them.

Posted by: Anachronda at January 03, 2012 06:27 AM (6fER6)

88

Now, now, now Alextopia will not be ugly.  

Posted by: alexthechick at January 03, 2012 10:15 AM (VtjlW)

Will you let me and Mrs. Cop into the compound?  We have valuable skills:  she is a Registered Nurse and I'm almost a newly minted Mechanical Engineer (graduate in 11 weeks).

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 03, 2012 06:27 AM (M0NzJ)

89

With this move I plan to be smart and buy less house with the goal of being debt free other than it within 2 years. Then hopefully pay the house of in another 5-7.

What part of the state? I think there are a few of us around these parts but all spread out.

What Vic said in the other thread: registering your vehicle is a PITA. You have to pay your car taxes to the county and then register your vehicle with the state, and these agencies are almost never located in the same convenient location.

Good news is that you don't have to register your vehicle to get your driver's license. The law allows you 90 days to register your vehicle but because it's hassle having to deal with multiple government agencies I would register it as soon as possible.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 03, 2012 06:27 AM (JxMoP)

90 >>>Basically, the United States, as the world knows it, ceases to exist within 10 years.

I'm going to say it hobbles on, everybody's just poorer.  Our currency will be devalued by entitlement obligations.  Health care quality will go down.  In general, the next generation will be worse off than this one.   Democrats will insist that more money must be spent to fix things.  Republicans will be talking about winning more seats in the next election.

Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at January 03, 2012 06:28 AM (TpXEI)

91 #81 phoenixgirl , I'm sure you could but I've never had to in the past. Something was always available during prime time.

Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 03, 2012 06:28 AM (BdKdH)

92 and I'm almost a newly minted Mechanical Engineer (graduate in 11 weeks).

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 03, 2012 10:27 AM (M0NzJ)

Congratulations! I wish there were a lot more like you.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 06:28 AM (RD7QR)

93 "Our present economy is like bombed-out Europe after WWII -- there's plenty of opportunity for rebuilding." It took Europe ~30 years to get back to normalcy, and that only happened with massive cash infusions from the USA. We don't have 30 years, and there's nobody on the planet with enough cash to infuse us. FDR doomed us. The "last man standing" economic boost the USA had after the war just delayed the inevitable for about 30-40 years.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 06:28 AM (xpIuj)

94

>>>Elections can't stop it. We're seeing the result of 80 years of New Deal government, and several generations who were born and raised thinking this way of life is normal.

 

I take the Milton Friedman view. If the political winds were for massive cuts and rolling back entitlements, then the politicians would follow those winds.

To your other point. That is the problem. The voters view the New Deal safety net programs as retirement programs. Until that changes, there will never be a political incentive to change things. 

Which goes back to my original comment and Andy's point. Our problems could be fixed in the voters wanted it fixed, but they don't. Until voters decide they want to do what is necassary, nothing will get done.

If I were a betting man, I would bet that the market crushes us before the voters realize that their "free money" is destroying us.

I think the worst part of the collapse won't be the the massive increase in every tax as a last minute attempt to actually pay for the programs, but rather the global power vacuum once we completely gut our military and withdraw from the word because we can't afford it. The world will be rife with regional wars.   There will be bloody power struggles in every region of the world, some of which will likely go nuclear.   Without the US, what is stopping Pakistan from nuking India? North Korea from invading South Korea? China from claiming the entire South China Sea? Russia from it's irredentist claims on the Baltics, Cauacus, or the -stans?  Iran from attacking Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Israel? 

If we really are the world police, which we unfortunately are, the same thing will happen globally that happens in any major city when their is no police force.

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 06:29 AM (wuv1c)

95 Ed, one problem with the GDP measure is that it includes all government spending. I didn't want to get into that in the post, but government deficit spending really ought to be backed out from all periods.

The numbers above aren't nearly DOOMy enough as an indicator of a healthy economy.

Posted by: Andy at January 03, 2012 06:30 AM (5Rurq)

96 It took Europe ~30 years to get back to normalcy, and that only happened with massive cash infusions from the USA.

Europe also immediately started experimenting with socialism, where the US was not (then) nearly so closely welded to it.

Of course, now we are a lot like bombed out Europe- not just in room to expand, but in a weird experiment with socialism.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:30 AM (8y9MW)

97 #91 in Texas you can renew your registration at the grocery store. That saved a PITA day.

Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 03, 2012 06:31 AM (BdKdH)

98

Yeah, but what happens after the dollar tanks?

 

Posted by: Rodent Liberation Front at January 03, 2012 06:31 AM (lgw0N)

99

Hey, remember $400 billion deficits?

Good times.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 03, 2012 06:32 AM (B+qrE)

100 Yeah, but what happens after the dollar tanks?

Bullets as money.

If the US Dollar (the world reserve currency) tanks, so does virtually every other major economy in the world.  At that point, "hello Mad-Max."

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:33 AM (8y9MW)

101 91, I'll be in Oconee county to start and most of the houses we like so far are there too.

Hate that 90 days thing on the vehicle.

In Alabama our tag renewals are staggered throughout the year based on your last name. Ours renew at the end of August. We can cancel the tag early and get some of the money back but this is also a hassle.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 06:34 AM (KC2BE)

102

It took Europe ~30 years to get back to normalcy, and that only happened with massive cash infusions from the USA.

Also Germany and Japan had massive recoveries because they embraced free market principles for some time. Then when things got good, they went back to the Social Democratic ways.

That always seems to be case, doesn't it? It even happened in America. We grew so much between 1880s-1930. 

Nations seem to always abandon that which made them rich and opt for some benevelont centralized form of government

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 06:34 AM (wuv1c)

103

Congratulations! I wish there were a lot more like you.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 10:28 AM (RD7QR)

I was a Traffic Crash Reconstructionist my last eight years on the police department.  I found that I had a real interest in the physics and math involved in collision analysis.  I started part-time in 2005 and then, when I retired in 2008, have gone to college full-time.

I'm hoping to find a company in either the Columbus or Cincinnati area that's looking for a mature guy to help ride herd on the junior engineers.  We can't relocate because Mrs. Cop has a good job and she doesn't want to leave the grandkids (which are God's way of rewarding you for not selling you teenaged children to the gypsies).

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 03, 2012 06:35 AM (M0NzJ)

104 Sounds like we may need to do something crazy like eliminate whole federal departments and cut a trillion off spending.

Posted by: Valiant at January 03, 2012 06:35 AM (5jFDS)

105 Nations seem to always abandon that which made them rich and opt for some benevelont centralized form of government

It's because, down deep, we all abhor "inequality."  We don't like the fact of poverty.  Add that to most government officials' tendency toward autocracy, and you get some flavor of collectivism.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:36 AM (8y9MW)

106 "...global power vacuum once we completely gut our military and withdraw from the world because we can't afford it..." Yep. On the positive side, maybe all that idiotic whining from the left (domestic and international) about US "imperialism" will get tamped down once they get a taste of how the world works with an isolationist disengaged USA.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 06:36 AM (xpIuj)

107 92 >>>Basically, the United States, as the world knows it, ceases to exist within 10 years. But we'll still have boobies, right? Guys??

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 03, 2012 06:36 AM (niZvt)

108 Why does Obama have to return? We can't he just go away? Please God just make him go away because it was so nice over the past 10 days not hearing or seeing this waste of human flesh............

Posted by: Wall_E at January 03, 2012 06:36 AM (48wze)

109 Yeah, but what happens after the dollar tanks?

I've heard brown liquor makes an excellent item for bartering.

Posted by: no good deed at January 03, 2012 06:36 AM (mjR67)

110 We can't relocate because Mrs. Cop has a good job and she doesn't want to leave the grandkids (which are God's way of rewarding you for not selling you teenaged children to the gypsies).

I'm going to have to remember that when my kids are teenagers.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:37 AM (8y9MW)

111

 in Texas you can renew your registration at the grocery store. That saved a PITA day.

You can renew by mail here but in doing so you are at the mercy of the county tax assessor's office. There was a local software glitch a few years ago that delayed mailing of the registration stickers and the po-po had to stop ticketing people for expired plates until the glitch was fixed.

But we don't have that damned state emissions testing/safety inspection ripoff, so we got that going for us, which is nice.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 03, 2012 06:37 AM (JxMoP)

112 Fuck these DOOM threads where everybody tries to out-DOOM each other.

We've got a shale gas boom going on. If the GOP could reopen drilling in the Gulf, cut out the "green" shit and reign in the EPA, we could see an energy growth that would spread throughout the economy.

Fuck all you DOOMers. America WILL get sick and tired of the crap crammed down their throats by the Democrats. And we WILL see another Carter to Regan type of transition. Not tomorrow, but the time WILL come.

Posted by: Ed Anger - Certified Kos Kid at January 03, 2012 06:37 AM (7+pP9)

113

Also Germany and Japan had massive recoveries because they embraced free market principles for some time.

Also, free riders on defense.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 03, 2012 06:38 AM (B+qrE)

114 Posted by: Ed Anger - Certified Kos Kid at January 03, 2012 10:37 AM (7+pP9)

Ahhh... the sweet innocence of optimism.

Honestly, I have actual, fact-based doubts about your hypothesis.  Even if I didn't, I opt for cynicism: I'm rarely disappointed, and virtually any time I'm wrong, it's a happy surprise.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:39 AM (8y9MW)

115 This is what the President and his crackerjack economic team have wrought. A one-year deficit that is so large that it can only be paid back if everything goes exactly right. And if everything goes exactly right, we're still looking at decades before we can get back to the debt level we had only 6 months ago. It's OK. After all, we just owe it to ourselves!

Posted by: The Red Chinese at January 03, 2012 06:39 AM (niZvt)

116 "If the GOP could reopen drilling in the Gulf, cut out the "green" shit and reign in the EPA, we could see an energy growth that would spread throughout the economy." Maybe another GOP, but not this GOP. If we could time travel and go kidnap a bunch of robber barrons and their political minions we'd be styling.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 06:41 AM (xpIuj)

117 >> Not tomorrow, but the time WILL come.

Sorry, but time is not on our side.

This is the point of Geoff's second post. The math simply doesn't allow us to slow roll the problem.

We're just whistling past the graveyard.

Posted by: Andy at January 03, 2012 06:41 AM (5Rurq)

118

Nations seem to always abandon that which made them rich and opt for some benevelont centralized form of government

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 10:34 AM (wuv1c)

And then, much like we're seeing in Europe, they realize they realize they made a huge mistake.

Posted by: Ed Anger - Certified Kos Kid at January 03, 2012 06:41 AM (7+pP9)

119

Fuck all you DOOMers.

You can fool a great many things, Ed.  You can't fool math.  The crapulus exhausted our fiscal room for maneuver.  There will be very severe, but very necessary short and even medium term economic pain....even if we do the right things.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 03, 2012 06:41 AM (B+qrE)

120 We've got a shale gas boom going on. If ...

It doesn't matter.  There will be a painful deleveraging.  There must be.  The debt is simply too high to support.  If interest rates returned to a rational and historical level of 4-5%, our entire income tax take will be required to pay the service costs.

We will either default, or monetize with inflation, and the latter is apparently the chosen course.

Posted by: toby928© at January 03, 2012 06:41 AM (GTbGH)

121

And then, much like we're seeing in Europe, they realize they realize they made a huge mistake.

I have seen nothing of the sort from the Europeans.  I see a guy with a teaspoon bailing out the Titanic.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 03, 2012 06:42 AM (B+qrE)

122 I'm going to have to remember that when my kids are teenagers.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 10:37 AM (8y9MW)

When they hit about 12 years is when the hell starts.  You just have to do your best and keep your cool when they f*ck up.  They really do want limits even though they say they don't.

Once they become adults and get out on their own they discover that you weren't stupid afterall.

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 03, 2012 06:42 AM (M0NzJ)

123

 91, I'll be in Oconee county to start and most of the houses we like so far are there too.

Hate that 90 days thing on the vehicle.

In Alabama our tag renewals are staggered throughout the year based on your last name. Ours renew at the end of August. We can cancel the tag early and get some of the money back but this is also a hassle.

Sorry, I meant to say that you can register your vehicle whenever you want to, but the state gives you up to 90 days from the date you establish residency. You could do it the very first day you're in state if you wanted but it's still a pain because you have to pay your taxes to the county first, then go to the state DMV office and get your plates.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 03, 2012 06:42 AM (JxMoP)

124 Five thousand Irish soldiers who swapped uniforms to fight for the British against Hitler went on to suffer years of persecution. One of them, 92-year-old Phil Farrington, took part in the D-Day landings and helped liberate the German death camp at Bergen-Belsen - but he wears his medals in secret. Even to this day, he has nightmares that he will be arrested by the authorities and imprisoned for his wartime service. "They would come and get me, yes they would," he said in a frail voice at his home in the docks area of Dublin. And his 25-year-old grandson, Patrick, confirmed: "I see the fear in him even today, even after 65 years." Mr Farrington's fears are not groundless. He was one of about 5,000 Irish soldiers who deserted their own neutral army to join the war against fascism and who were brutally punished on their return home as a result. I've always gotten along with the Irish people, but their freaken government is a piece of shit. Makes me wonder

Posted by: nevergiveup at January 03, 2012 06:43 AM (i6RpT)

125 Looking at that GDP chart, I don't even think you could draw a curve fit with that shotgun blast.

Posted by: maddogg at January 03, 2012 06:43 AM (OlN4e)

126

>>>Maybe another GOP, but not this GOP. If we could time travel and go kidnap a bunch of robber barrons and their political minions we'd be styling.

 

What I wouldn't give for an Andrew Carnegie. I would trade 1000 Bill Gates and Warren Buffets for a handful of Andrew Mellon and Andrew Carnegie types

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 06:44 AM (wuv1c)

127 Elections can't stop it. We're seeing the result of 80 years of New Deal government, and several generations who were born and raised thinking this way of life is normal.

I have exactly 3 friends who weren't born into it.
I used to have more than that, but they all died on me.
The ones I still have left already think this is normal.

I personally was born into it.  Did I mention I'm retired?

Posted by: jwb7605 at January 03, 2012 06:44 AM (+KHIt)

128

If we could time travel and go kidnap a bunch of robber barrons and their political minions we'd be styling.

Time travel?

Posted by: Hank Paulson, Tim Geithner, and the Goldman Sachs Jug Band at January 03, 2012 06:44 AM (B+qrE)

129 You just have to do your best and keep your cool when they f*ck up.

Yeah... As it is I often have to take deep breaths and calm myself down.  And my older one is 4.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:44 AM (8y9MW)

130 I would trade 1000 Bill Gates and Warren Buffets for a handful of Andrew Mellon and Andrew Carnegie types

Yeah, but Mellon and Carnegie (and even Rockefeller) were all people who made it on their own (like Gates and Buffet), but understood that their duty as people was to other people, and the duty of the government was simply to maintain justice and security.

Mellon and Carnegie would never have advocated for higher taxation, or "universal health care."

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:48 AM (8y9MW)

131 Oh, and a Politico screed from a Roger Simon about how no matter what place Romney come in tonight--1st, 2nd, 3rd--he wins. Because no matter what, he claims, Iowa will eliminate Newt and Perry.
While that is DOOM-y, it's full of shit.
IA is about momentum. That's all. Nobody is going to walk away with more than 5 delegates tonight. Out of some 1400 needed to win the nomination.

Perry might have a secret weapon that no one I've seen has mentioned: Texas has a hybrid caucus system (at least on the Dem side)--so he may have a better idea with his "Texas" people on how to win a caucus than he is being given credit for.

Posted by: Jimmuy at January 03, 2012 06:48 AM (K6q4U)

132 125, knew what you meant. I was just hoping to ride the AL tag until it expires and switch over in Aug.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 06:49 AM (KC2BE)

133 Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 10:44 AM (8y9MW)

It gets better and better. Just wait until the first one is 20 and knows so much more than you do about...everything!

It takes all of my will power not to beat the snot out of the arrogant little twerp.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 06:49 AM (nEUpB)

134 knew what you meant. I was just hoping to ride the AL tag until it expires and switch over in Aug.

In Texas it wouldn't be legal, but you'd probably get away with it, as long as you didn't get pulled over for something else.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 06:50 AM (8y9MW)

135
Hey homies,  tell Michelle to axe the Department of Deprived & Discriminated Citizens to find my check from Barack's stash.  I'm still waiting for mortgage and gas money.

Posted by: Peggy Joseph, Welfare Mooch at January 03, 2012 06:50 AM (TkGkA)

136 the gov't has chosen "inflation" so that's what we'll get until the "collapse" part. am hopeful that we can break up the Union without too many deaths.

Posted by: BlackOrchid at January 03, 2012 06:50 AM (SB0V2)

137 I hate to say it but Perry is done. He's just stepped on his unit too many times. He would make a good VP for Romney, and it was all I could do to force my fingers to type that.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 06:51 AM (RD7QR)

138 am hopeful that we can break up the Union without too many deaths.

Don't hold your breath.  We've been making sure that the lawless out-gun the lawful for the last 30 years or more.

Posted by: Your Government what opposes gun ownership at January 03, 2012 06:51 AM (8y9MW)

139 I've always gotten along with the Irish people, but their freaken government is a piece of shit. Makes me wonder

Posted by: nevergiveup at January 03, 2012 10:43 AM (i6RpT)

My wife's great-grandfather had an arrangement with the Irish-American dock workers in Hoboken to look the other way wen he loaded weapons destined for Palestine. They loved the idea that the Brits were going to get screwed.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 06:52 AM (nEUpB)

140 I'm quite comfortable right now. Sure, it's a little warm for my taste, but I'll get out of the pot if it gets hotter than I can handle.

Posted by: The Lobster at January 03, 2012 06:53 AM (l/xhO)

141

125, knew what you meant. I was just hoping to ride the AL tag until it expires and switch over in Aug.

Ah, got it. Well, you could always take the chance and see what happens, it all depends upon how observant/pedantic your local law enforcement officers are. There is a car in my neighborhood that has been there three years and still has Indiana plates.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 03, 2012 06:54 AM (JxMoP)

142 142 I'm quite comfortable right now. Sure, it's a little warm for my taste, but I'll get out of the pot if it gets hotter than I can handle.

Posted by: The Lobster at January 03, 2012 10:53 AM (l/xhO)

Some melted butter?

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 06:55 AM (RD7QR)

143 after posting my first 500 pairs of Perfect Boobs, I just ran out of ideas.

That's a new one.  I'll be in my bunk running out of ideas.

Posted by: DaveA at January 03, 2012 06:55 AM (t/mAc)

144 "The ones I still have left already think this is normal." They'll be hit hard when they trade their houses in for mud huts.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 06:55 AM (xpIuj)

145

>>Mellon and Carnegie would never have advocated for higher taxation, or "universal health care."

 

That was exactly my point. Carnegie and Mellon made this country richer by enriching themselves. They employed countless people. They did with their wealth as they saw fit. They were great men.

 

Actually, Andrew Carnegie was one of the first people to make the argument that lower taxes increase revenue and helped create an environment for economy to grow.

He was Coolidge's Secretary of the Treasury.  He wrote a book called "Taxation: The People's Business" which is the foundation for what Goldwater and Reagan later pursued.

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 06:55 AM (wuv1c)

146 *oops, not Carnegie. I meant to right Mellon

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 06:56 AM (wuv1c)

147

*write.

 

and on that note it's time to get back to work

Posted by: Ben at January 03, 2012 06:57 AM (wuv1c)

148 My Lord, Jew bashing troll before I've finished my first cup of tea of the workday? Gimmie a break asshole.  I'd rather be trapped with JeffB in a closet for 2 days.

Posted by: mpfs at January 03, 2012 06:57 AM (iYbLN)

149 The Republican gov of Iowa was just on Fox. When asked what Iowa voters were most concerned with he said the deficit. This si the same State that trashed Perry for saying corn subsidies and madates should be eliminated. They all praised Romney who donned his cornbrerro.

And they are concerned about the deficit.

Posted by: Vic at January 03, 2012 06:58 AM (YdQQY)

150 The worse DOOMy item is any future interest rate hike will 1) dampen the economy, reducing tax revenues and 2) raise the cost of borrowing, increasing the interest payment. It wouldn't be hard at all for our debt to increase by $500 billion a year.

Posted by: President Chet Roosevelt at January 03, 2012 06:59 AM (EZF07)

151 And they are concerned about the deficit.

Posted by: Vic at January 03, 2012 10:58 AM (YdQQY)

Well, the part of the deficit that helps them is important. Those other people can make sacrifices.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 07:00 AM (RD7QR)

152 A house just gives you something you have to defend.  Rent, and buy an Apocalypse Mobile.
Posted by: toby928©

You are correct toby928.  The husband and I are considering a home on wheels.  We can get out of California fast.

Posted by: mpfs at January 03, 2012 07:00 AM (iYbLN)

153 I'm actually not afraid of an interest rate spike anymore. It would be better than the alternative.

Posted by: BlackOrchid at January 03, 2012 07:00 AM (SB0V2)

154

But we'll still have boobies, right?

Guys??
Posted by: CoolCzech at January 03, 2012 10:36 AM (niZvt)

I do not want to see guys boobies.  There's enough Doooooooom without that.

 

 

Posted by: alexthechick at January 03, 2012 07:01 AM (VtjlW)

155 "Carnegie and Mellon made this country richer by enriching themselves" This is a concept the left is unable to grasp in its quest for social equality and flattening of income. Ask some bag lady or lower middle class guy how many people they hired last year.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 07:01 AM (xpIuj)

156 The IRA were hardly neutral in WWII. Guess who they assisted.

Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 03, 2012 07:02 AM (BdKdH)

157 OT but am I the only one who thinks it's funny that BarryO only gives "economic" speeches in public schools? I mean, not funny ha-ha more funny irony.

Posted by: BlackOrchid at January 03, 2012 07:02 AM (SB0V2)

158 do you all recall when Ace said pizza rolls were good a couple weeks ago? he might not have been wrong about that.wrap some bacon arond them and they fry up nice,

Posted by: Racefan at January 03, 2012 07:03 AM (vaagc)

159 This is a concept the left is unable to grasp in its quest for social equality and flattening of income.

I'm not sure that's completely it.  I think they're willing to sacrifice the good of the Country to combat the perceived evil of economic inequality.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:03 AM (8y9MW)

160 "The husband and I are considering a home on wheels. " I'm considering going mobile too. The cost of a vehicle registration and insurance is considerably less than real estate taxes. The "american dream" of your house being your castle and all that shit has fallen by the wayside. As things get worse and worse, localities will be compelled to increase property taxes ever higher to the point where owning property is a liability rather than an asset.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 07:07 AM (xpIuj)

161
I may be crazy, but I am much more afeared of a long slow continued painful collapse than a quicker one.  The quicker one might cause some action to be taken, the long one just sucks everything dry.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at January 03, 2012 07:07 AM (JYheX)

162 Yeah... As it is I often have to take deep breaths and calm myself down.  And my older one is 4.

I'm 43 with a 6 year old son and 4 year old daughter.

I'll be lucky to survive their teen years.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 07:07 AM (KC2BE)

163

We are on the cusp of at least 5% growth, if we could get the "bony fingers" off the skeleton of the last economic era that lasted through the 1960s.  In the 1970s we started to send our precious treasure (energy-oil) to other parts of the world.  We now know that we have more than enough for ourselves for several hundred years into the future to use for our own prosperity (and the rest of the world's) and to further technological development.  There is no shortage of stuff as E.M. Smith of chiefio.com shows.  Plus there is plenty on other planets, if we can get our rears in gear.

Think of those bony fingers as the lingerer-ons of a bygone age, trying to change history and science to fit their narcissistic hold (AGW, Agenda 21); trying to make government pensions and largesse equal private productivity and profit; trying to use unelected bureaucracies and NGOs to rule.  It won't last.  We will undo them.

Posted by: pyromancer76 at January 03, 2012 07:07 AM (i0aYq)

164 AllenG they don't actually perceive that exact evil (economic inequality). To put a finer point on it, they will sacrifice the US for their own power over others.

Posted by: BlackOrchid at January 03, 2012 07:07 AM (SB0V2)

165 I may be crazy, but I am much more afeared of a long slow continued painful collapse than a quicker one.

I don't think you're crazy.  It's almost always better to rip the band-aid off quickly than to pull it off slowly.  Or, more appropriately, "If it must be done, 'twer better swiftly done."

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:08 AM (8y9MW)

166 165. I agree with you and hope you are right. Worry about black swans however. There are a lot of rocks in the road.

Posted by: BlackOrchid at January 03, 2012 07:09 AM (SB0V2)

167 " The IRA were hardly neutral in WWII. Guess who they assisted." The Irish need to get over it. They ain't the only ones who'd been shit on by someone for a few hundred years. They''re like the Palis - they're their own worst enemies.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 07:10 AM (xpIuj)

168

That was exactly my point. Carnegie and Mellon made this country richer by enriching themselves. They employed countless people. They did with their wealth as they saw fit. They were great men.

They also gave boatloads of their own money to actual real charitable causes. They built things like libraries, museums, and galleries for public use with their own money. They donated their own money for scientific research. The so-called robber barons actually gave of their own wealth because they still had a sense of duty to mankind.

They did not beg the government to raise everyone's taxes while simultaneously lobbying for write-offs and shelters that only they could exploit.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 03, 2012 07:11 AM (JxMoP)

169 I'm gloomy, by the way, because I read the Philadelphia Inquirer this morning. God I wish that paper would go the eff away. Anyway the Philly School District and Patronage System is claiming they are going to lay off 1400 maintenance and bus workers. In 365 days. They announced it today, effective supposedly in one year. This is known as "Philly Extorting the State of PA" It will probably work. Meanwhile none of the teachers I know can even believe the school district employs ANY maintenance workers as they are never seen. Also the bus routes are mostly contracted out. Who are these supposed workers?

Posted by: BlackOrchid at January 03, 2012 07:11 AM (SB0V2)

170 The cost of a vehicle registration and insurance is considerably less than real estate taxes.

Depends on the State. SC vehicle taxes are through the roof. However, they make a special case for mobile homes. If you do not remove the wheels it is taxed at a special lower rate.

But that doesn't go for one of the recreational vehicle camper type homes. It is taxed as a truck. HIGH.

Posted by: Vic at January 03, 2012 07:12 AM (YdQQY)

171 Looking at that GDP chart, I don't even think you could draw a curve fit with that shotgun blast.

Posted by: maddogg at January 03, 2012 10:43 AM (OlN4e)

I have to disagree.  If you discount the outliers, you see a pretty clear linear trendline with a negative slope. Doing a quick SWAG, it looks like we'll be in consistent negative GDP% growth around 2030 -- and that's if it is a linear as opposed to exponetial decay.

 

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 03, 2012 07:14 AM (M0NzJ)

172 taxed as a truck. HIGH

*shudder* I drive a 2003 Dodge Ram Quad Cab 4X4.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 07:15 AM (KC2BE)

173 "We are on the cusp of at least 5% growth." Who would you sell all the products/services to? Sure, the raw material capacity to effect an economic salvation has always been there. What's not there is the political will to exploit it, or the public willingness to allow it to be exploited. You have to undo 50 years of leftist green eco brainwashing of the public before any sort of sustained 5% growth could be seen.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 07:15 AM (xpIuj)

174 You have to undo 50 years of leftist green eco brainwashing of the public before any sort of sustained 5% growth could be seen.

This.  Oh, 1000 times this.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:16 AM (8y9MW)

175 175 & 176, also have to overcome the huge amount of NIMBY in this country.

Everyone wants cheap power. No one wants to live near a power plant.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 07:18 AM (KC2BE)

176 164 Yeah... As it is I often have to take deep breaths and calm myself down. And my older one is 4.

I'm 43 with a 6 year old son and 4 year old daughter.

I'll be lucky to survive their teen years.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 11:07 AM (KC2BE)

Teen years? So much worse than you think.I'm 48 with a 20 year old son, a 16 year old son and an 8 year old son. Actually the 16 year old is a gem. The eight year old might be but I'm guessing he's going to be an issue in some areas. The 20 year old. Haven't killed him yet. It's hard now. The culture SUCKS.

 

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 07:19 AM (TCgts)

177 No one wants to live near a power plant.

I'm not so particular to the plant itself, but by the waste lake that will be near it?  Sign me up.  Warm water year round, and huge fish.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:19 AM (8y9MW)

178 The 20 year old. Haven't killed him yet. It's hard now. The culture SUCKS.

Can I just say: This isn't very encouraging for those of us with small children.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:20 AM (8y9MW)

179 I trust the government with your money.

Posted by: Useful Idiot at January 03, 2012 07:20 AM (O7ksG)

180 Allen some of the best fishing around here is near the Southern Co. plant on Lay Lake.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 07:21 AM (KC2BE)

181 Here we have "personal property taxes" on your car. The newer and better the car the higher the taxes. Big taxes like $600 per newish car every october. Last year I dropped a new engine in the Explorer to keep from paying taxes.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 07:21 AM (TCgts)

182 NIMBY is the worst. They are now on the verge of constructing mini-nuclear power plants the size of a large shed able to power thousands of homes. Find ten people who will live next to it. I'd be happy to, but most people whine about it.

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 07:23 AM (JEVge)

183 Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 11:21 AM (KC2BE)

Comanche Peak here near Waxahachie vents out into Squaw Creek.  It has some phenomenal fishing, as I understand it.

I'm not actually that big into fishing myself (it's boring), but I do love some fresh catfish.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:23 AM (8y9MW)

184 People talk about 4 – 5% GDP growth as if it were the norm, and they base all their budget projections on the economy returning to that sort of growth rate. Absurd.

We havenÂ’t seen consistent 5% GDP growth for 35 years.

This is what the President and his crackerjack economic team have wrought. A one-year deficit that is so large that it can only be paid back if everything goes exactly right. And if everything goes exactly right, we're still looking at decades before we can get back to the debt level we had only 6 months ago.


But we have the mostest smartest, geniusest, leg tinglingest president in like forever. Look at the economic miracle he's created so far. Fixing all of this should be no problem for him or to just blame everyone else and then go off on vacation

Posted by: TheQuietMan at January 03, 2012 07:24 AM (1Jaio)

185 If the GOP could reopen drilling in the Gulf, cut out the "green" shit and reign in the EPA, we could see an energy growth that would spread throughout the economy.

Shit in one hand and IF in the other...

Posted by: HeatherRadish at January 03, 2012 07:24 AM (/kI1Q)

186 O/T I denounce myself in advance, but so far, watching the 1967 version of True Grit, I prefer the Coen brothers' one. Wayne hasn't appeared yet though, so not a fair comparision.

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 07:25 AM (JEVge)

187

*shudder* I drive a 2003 Dodge Ram Quad Cab 4X4.

Taxes are based on market value, which I believe is only based on make, model, and mileage (and not the actual condition of the vehicle). Not sure what your mileage is but I'd be surprised if your taxes were in excess of $100.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 03, 2012 07:26 AM (JxMoP)

188 I denounce myself in advance, but so far, watching the 1967 version of True Grit, I prefer the Coen brothers' one. Wayne hasn't appeared yet though, so not a fair comparision.

From what I've heard, people who see the Coen bros. version first tend to like it better, while those of us who saw The Duke first prefer that one.  I think in the latter case, it's more nostalgia than anything else.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:27 AM (8y9MW)

189 Guess I picked the wrong time to stop smoking...

Posted by: The Robot Devil at January 03, 2012 07:27 AM (136wp)

190 I think they're willing to sacrifice the good of the Country to combat the perceived evil of economic inequality.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 11:03 AM (8y9MW)

+1000

yes, exactly correct.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:27 AM (nEUpB)

191 Can I just say: This isn't very encouraging for those of us with small children.

I'm trying to keep your expectations low. It'll be easier in the long run.
Here's an example of a conversation I had with the older boys:

me: These condom ads are new
them: no they're not
me: yes they are
them: no, those are normal
me: NO you idiots, they are fairly new. It was not NORMAL to advertise condoms on TV. I remember their advertising cigarettes but that's outrageous now while they can advertise condoms. They have dumbed down and deviated down the culture.

Just keep them in sports, make sure they don't spend much time at home alone or at friends houses alone, no earrings no tatoos, no booty shorts/skirts on the girls, get a haircut, makes sure YOU find them a job early for the summers, make sure you have access to their bank accts and track their expenditures, and make sure they believe that YOU will fry their asses and cut off everything but food and room if they do anything illegal.

It is SOOO much harder than I thought it would be.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 07:28 AM (TCgts)

192 "The newer and better the car the higher the taxes." Massachusets does that. Only wealthy people who can afford it buy new cars, the rest of the state is populated by rusty old beaters. FL doesn't penalize the purchase of a new car, so there's a lot of low/mid income people driving around in fairly decent vehicles.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 07:28 AM (xpIuj)

193

Right now Bondzilla is busy raping Europe and he may make a stopover in Asia first but he will be coming here and when he does the government's ability to borrow money will disappear. Imagine Mordor-on-the-Potomac forced to only spend what it takes in tax revenue instead of borrowing over 40% of its budget as it does now. Suddenly without warning EBT cards no longer work and pension checks aren't in the mail box. Life in urban areas becomes "interesting".

And no they can't print to cover it because then you'll get $20.00 loaves of bread and a collapsed currency and the corrupt bastards in both parties know they wouldn't survive that.

Posted by: Larsen E. Whipsnade at January 03, 2012 07:28 AM (6BgmB)

194 *shudder* I drive a 2003 Dodge Ram Quad Cab 4X4.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 11:15 AM (KC2BE)

I have a 1996 F-150 plain jane. My taxes run about $80 per year and then there is a $40 tag fee. It is different in different counties.

Posted by: Vic at January 03, 2012 07:29 AM (YdQQY)

195 My 90 year old mother felt like there wasn't enough killing in the new True Grit. Seriously.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 07:30 AM (TCgts)

196 The 20 year old. Haven't killed him yet. It's hard now. The culture SUCKS.

 Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 11:19 AM (TCgts)

THIS. My skinny, blonde, 17-year-old stepson keeps pretending he's a gangsta from the hood complete with drugs and vandalism. Yo, yo, yo, when you get into the adult prison system all the nannying goes away, but try telling them that. Sometimes I despair.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 07:30 AM (RD7QR)

197 "Taxes are based on market value, which I believe is only based on make, model, and mileage" So once out of warranty, you take a drill and zip a couple of hundred thousand bogus miles on it and lower your taxes.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 07:31 AM (xpIuj)

198 Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 11:20 AM (8y9MW)

You have no idea what's coming. Sorry, but you wouldn't believe me if I told you.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:32 AM (nEUpB)

199 I denounce myself in advance, but so far, watching the 1967 version of True Grit, I prefer the Coen brothers' one. Wayne hasn't appeared yet though, so not a fair comparision.

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 11:25 AM (JEVge)

I much preferred the old John Wayne version. I thought the ending in the Coen brothers one sucked.

Posted by: Vic at January 03, 2012 07:32 AM (YdQQY)

200

I'm not so particular to the plant itself, but by the waste lake that will be near it?  Sign me up.  Warm water year round, and huge fish.

The power plants are the best things for the manatees down in Florida. 

Posted by: alexthechick at January 03, 2012 07:33 AM (VtjlW)

201 when you get into the adult prison system all the nannying goes away, but try telling them that. Sometimes I despair.

And this is why I think the best answer to many of a teenager's rebellious actions should be an elbow-smash to the nose.  But see if the government will let you get away with that one...

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:34 AM (8y9MW)

202 You have no idea what's coming. Sorry, but you wouldn't believe me if I told you.

Sadly, I'm afraid you're right.  My wife and I were both "the good kid" growing up... I'm afraid I'm going to have a couple of hooligans on my hands in a few years.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:35 AM (8y9MW)

203 198 I'm torn because the 20 year old is doing ok in college considering his learning disability, has always worked a lot of hours when he's not in school, and doesn't dress like a freak but like a nice sorta preppy guy. However, I know he's smoking some weed, having a fair amount of sex, and spending a lot of his money on booze and fast food. He had to lose his license for 6 months with a reckless to keep from getting charged with paraphernalia. This is after 13 years of catholic school, a stay at home mom, and every other possible advantage. I don't know if I'm being too irritated by him not toeing my line or not.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 07:35 AM (TCgts)

204

THIS. My skinny, blonde, 17-year-old stepson keeps pretending he's a gangsta from the hood complete with drugs and vandalism. Yo, yo, yo, when you get into the adult prison system all the nannying goes away, but try telling them that. Sometimes I despair.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 03, 2012 11:30 AM (RD7QR)

Take him to the nearest hood, give him $20, drop him off and tell him, "Good luck".... (stolen from Chappelle)

Posted by: The Robot Devil at January 03, 2012 07:36 AM (136wp)

205 me: These condom ads are new them: no they're not me: yes they are them: no, those are normal me: NO you idiots, they are fairly new. It was not NORMAL to advertise condoms on TV. I remember their advertising cigarettes but that's outrageous now while they can advertise condoms. They have dumbed down and deviated down the culture. It is SOOO much harder than I thought it would be. Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 11:28 AM (TCgts) Only Trojan advertises on TV, and they've been doing that since the late 1980s. Thanks to the preponderance of networks now, you see the ads a lot more. But they were on MTV regularly as far back as I can remember. Totally oblivous as a kid as to who the Trojan Man was but I do remember him always walking in on people in the ads.

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 07:36 AM (JEVge)

206 The 20 year old. Haven't killed him yet. It's hard now. The culture SUCKS.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 11:19 AM (TCgts) 

What amazes me is that I haven't killed our little bastard yet. He doesn't understand that the way he talks to my wife makes me want to knock his teeth out. And the sad thing is that he thinks he is tough.


Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:36 AM (nEUpB)

207

I have a 1996 F-150 plain jane. My taxes run about $80 per year and then there is a $40 tag fee. It is different in different counties.

Do you pay tag fees every year? We pay taxes every year but I am pretty sure that we pay for tags only every other year.

On the positive side, the vehicle tax is deductible from federal income tax and there's no state safety inspections or emissions testing (which are basically additional taxes).

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 03, 2012 07:36 AM (JxMoP)

208

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 11:23 AM (8y9MW)

but try fishing with a pitching wedge or a Beretta, that adds a whole new spin to it.

Posted by: Racefan at January 03, 2012 07:37 AM (vaagc)

209 "And no they can't print to cover it because then you'll get $20.00 loaves of bread and a collapsed currency and the corrupt bastards in both parties know they wouldn't survive that." There's no political will to enable industry enough for us to grow our way out, so devaluing the currency is the only way left (and historically the most likely). Its already happening. The dollar is already worth less than the canadian dollar, and anyone who has bought something direct from an overseas supplier has seen 30% price hikes in the past year. I dumped some change in a CoinStar machine a few weeks ago and I knew there was a few Canadian coins in there. Last year the machines were rejecting the Canadian, this time it accepted it. That little data point tells alot about what real value of the US dollar is.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 07:38 AM (xpIuj)

210 Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 11:35 AM (8y9MW)

I'll give you a bit of advice:

All of the advice you get about how best to deal with your kids is probably wrong.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:38 AM (nEUpB)

211 I thought the ending in the Coen brothers one sucked. Posted by: Vic at January 03, 2012 11:32 AM (YdQQY) The ending was a bit of a downer. But the constant ribbing of LeBeef and the first 20 minutes were great. I also liked that the Coen brothers tried to stay true to scenery and shots.

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 07:38 AM (JEVge)

212 Do you pay tag fees every year? We pay taxes every year but I am pretty sure that we pay for tags only every other year.

Tag fees every year. Remember when the State raised sales taxes so they could reduce property tax on the cars? Well our county simply tacked on a new fee for the amount they reduced property tax. The tax on my truck actually went up.

As I said earlier, it is different in different counties.

Posted by: Vic at January 03, 2012 07:39 AM (YdQQY)

213 All of the advice you get about how best to deal with your kids is probably wrong.

Yep.  You will work hard to avoid your parent's mistakes, and just make your own.

Posted by: toby928© at January 03, 2012 07:39 AM (GTbGH)

214 I think I've missed most of the cultural decline by my being such a snob about entertainment.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 07:41 AM (TCgts)

215 Perhaps something to take heart in. Statistically speaking, SOMEBODY is going to have a rotten apple for a kid, regardless how well you try to raise them. Some people are just born to be fuck-ups. Oh and the Grandma at the beginning of True Grit literally looks like a corpse.

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 07:41 AM (JEVge)

216
  If I had ever talked to my father in the manner I've witnessed some kids do theirs, in my 70th year moving around without extreme discomfort might be possible.  If I lived.

  One of life's benefits is having grandkids--you get to give them back.

Posted by: irongrampa at January 03, 2012 07:42 AM (SAMxH)

217 You will work hard to avoid your parent's mistakes, and just make your own.

I find myself working hard to emulate what my parents did.

I'm not sure how I got so lucky growing up, but I count my completely functional, all-the-in-laws-get-along, no major scandals family as one of my best blessings.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:42 AM (8y9MW)

218 It was not NORMAL to advertise condoms

We were watching "Empire Strikes Back" on Spike and a Trojan ad came on.

I look at my wife cringing and whisper to her "I dread the 'daddy, what's a condom?' question the ad might spark".

I need to get the full DVD collection of those. My 6 year old was riveted to that movie.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 07:43 AM (KC2BE)

219 Allen, I fish for bass with crankbaits and such because I find plastic worm fishing too boring.

I only go with the soft plastics when I cannot get them to strike anything else.

Bobber over a baited hook? That's my wife's thing. I lack the patience for that.

Posted by: Scott J at January 03, 2012 07:45 AM (KC2BE)

220 Ah the courtroom scene. "How many men have you shot since you became a marshall?" "shot or killed?"

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 07:46 AM (JEVge)

221 My former girlfriend's 17 year old was a handful. Had to pick him up one time from the barrio where he had just smoked a ton of dope with just met homies. I usually carry concealed but I wore my belt holster on that trip. Actually he was one of the reasons I bailed on the relationship.

Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 03, 2012 07:46 AM (BdKdH)

222 220 Just introduce him to urban dictionary. By 15 they're going "hey mom, you know what a XXXXXX is?" Mom, knowing the drill, picks up the wooden spoon and chases them out of the room.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 07:47 AM (TCgts)

223 How long till they start advertising abortion on tv? Or sex changes?

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 07:48 AM (TCgts)

224 At the risk of being my typical milquestoast unwilling to take a stand commenter -- I liked both versions of True Grit, although I am partial to the new one, in part because I thought that it was filmed beautifully.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:48 AM (nEUpB)

225 I forget how snarky Cogburn is. "Now, I believe you testified that you backed away from Aaron Wharton?" "Yes sir." "Which direction were you going?" "Backwards. I always go backwards when IÂ’m backing away."

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 07:49 AM (JEVge)

226 Oh and the Grandma at the beginning of True Grit literally looks like a corpse.

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 11:41 AM (JEVge)

easy now...dont talk about first wife like that.

Posted by: Racefan at January 03, 2012 07:49 AM (vaagc)

227 Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 11:48 AM (TCgts)

The abortion ads are the shows themselves.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:50 AM (nEUpB)

228 Bah.  The new True Grit was like Tron Legacy.  Bridges = teh suck.

Posted by: Fritz at January 03, 2012 07:52 AM (/ZZCn)

229 Posted by: irongrampa at January 03, 2012 11:42 AM (SAMxH)

Our 20 year old walked into the house yesterday with his mother following -- and carrying the shopping bags.

I don't know how my parents would have reacted to that kind of behavior because I honestly never even considered not carrying the bags and holding the door for my mother

I should have grabbed him by the hair and shoved him out the door.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:54 AM (nEUpB)

230 230 Bah.  The new True Grit was like Tron Legacy.  Bridges = teh suck.

Yea, you can tell they wrote Legacy around Bridges. Too much navel staring and exposition. Cool Ducati, tho

Posted by: The Robot Devil at January 03, 2012 07:54 AM (136wp)

231 Am I the only one here who's kids are doing well?

Son - age 24, just married, software engineer
Daughter - age 22, not married, not dating, still lives with us, not chasing boys, does not flaunt her body with booty skirts or any other type of provocative clothing, is intent on getting her music degree
Son - age 19, works part time at Walgreen's, no drugs, no smoking (except the occasional cigar) is also a music major

all homeschooled, all believing Christians. Thank God.

Posted by: OregonMuse at January 03, 2012 07:55 AM (SS8oG)

232 I liked the old Cogburn J.W.
I liked the new Lebeef better than Glenn Campbell.
I liked the new Mattie Ross better than the old.
But the plot in the new movies wasn't as good. And as I said earlier, the ending of the new just sucked.

Posted by: Vic at January 03, 2012 07:56 AM (YdQQY)

233 The new True Grit was like Tron Legacy.  Bridges = teh suck.

I liked Tron Legacy, but I agree that Bridges didn't really do it justice.  Though a lot of that seems to be the same "hippies v communists" crap that Bridges seems to go in for all too much.

The idea that CLU had gone all fascist dictator, and the "freedom fighters" were (as few of them as still existed) largely communists was laughable.

Luckily, I could shut that part of my brain off and just watch cool fight scenes and wait for Bruce Boxleitner to say, "I fight for the Users!"  Which, face it, was the pay-off of that movie.  Well, that and the hot chicks in skin-tight leather.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 07:57 AM (8y9MW)

234 Universal suffrage sucks, the minute we transition into a "Starship Troopers" style earned citizenship route we will rebound. I used to get pissed when I heard the line, "democracy has failed", now I'm pretty sure they are right.

Posted by: Mr Pink at January 03, 2012 07:57 AM (W/RCd)

235 Posted by: Fritz at January 03, 2012 11:52 AM (/ZZCn)

Bridges was solid in True Grit.

Tron Legacy was for 15 year old fanboi SciFi geeks, so I didn't see it -- but I will trust your judgement.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:57 AM (nEUpB)

236

So last week, I asked you all a question regarding a 100 emails I received that went to spam but were all variations of my email address, no one answered.

I found my answer, this morning I checked my checking account balance and apparently somebody hacked into my Paypal account and purchased $819.88 worth of Iphones and shipped them to an address in my state.

I guess if this happens again, I should probably go and change my passwords huh?

Fuckers!  I'm lodging a complaint with the police since I have the douchbag's address where the stuff was shipped.  His name is Dang Le.  He's near Central CT State University so I'm guessing he's a college kid who needed a new phone.

Posted by: Jaimo at January 03, 2012 07:57 AM (9U1OG)

237

All of you with kids about to be teenagers, don't despair (maybe a little). My son is 26 almost finished with college, gainfully  employed and has the cutest 2 year old you ever saw (says me).

If you had seen him in high school with drugs, alcohol, arrests, car wrecks (5 total) you'd have pegged him for prison. Now, those years sucked and it was a constant battle of wills. But, he turned out ok. Just keep doing what you know is right and don't be their friend.

Posted by: Sgt. Fury at January 03, 2012 07:59 AM (BupRb)

238 Posted by: OregonMuse at January 03, 2012 11:55 AM (SS8oG)

Our 17 year old just got into an excellent college and is waiting on her other choice to decide. She is a good kid and a pleasure to have around (in spite of all of the attendant 17 year old girl hysteria).

So we are batting 50%

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 07:59 AM (nEUpB)

239 I guess if this happens again, I should probably go and change my passwords huh?

Well, I'd go change it anyway.

Also, remember that identity theft is a federal offense, so call the FBI.  Also call your bank, credit card companies, etc.  Basically you have a new, very time consuming hobby now- making sure you're in complete control of your identity.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 08:00 AM (8y9MW)

240 I don't have a kid yet but I find it funny you guys are openly saying "this kids a fuckup but my other kid is ok". I wonder if my parents thought I was the fuckup

Posted by: Mr Pink at January 03, 2012 08:02 AM (W/RCd)

241 charlie my kids were trained early that they carry in the groceries and they put them away.....it's the only chore they don't complain about......

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 03, 2012 08:02 AM (Ho2rs)

242 I wonder if my parents thought I was the fuckup

Probably. 

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 08:02 AM (8y9MW)

243 I don't know how my parents would have reacted to that kind of behavior because I honestly never even considered not carrying the bags and holding the door for my mother I should have grabbed him by the hair and shoved him out the door. Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 11:54 AM (nEUpB) I pitied my parents towards the end of my adolescence. I waited until college, on my own dime, to fuck around. I'm sure they got pissed off when they found out I was smoking pot, drinking, banging whatever but I had a job, my grades actually improved from unwinding, and I didn't bring my behavior home. If I had been busted for anything, I wouldn't have bothered them because I got myself into my own messes, and I was responsible for getting my way out. They had enough to deal with in my two teenage sisters and whacked-out younger brother. Every generation says the following is the worst ever, going back to Plato. Since we haven't devolved into Pikaia (yet), I take the whining with a grain of salt. I am sure I will be shaking my head when I am 50 as well.

Posted by: CAC at January 03, 2012 08:04 AM (JEVge)

244

Imagine Mordor-on-the-Potomac forced to only spend what it takes in tax revenue instead of borrowing over 40% of its budget as it does now. Suddenly without warning EBT cards no longer work and pension checks aren't in the mail box. Life in urban areas becomes "interesting".

And no they can't print to cover it because then you'll get $20.00 loaves of bread and a collapsed currency and the corrupt bastards in both parties know they wouldn't survive that.

Posted by: Larsen E. Whipsnade at January 03, 2012 11:28 AM (6BgmB)

 

European governments have bond problems because they can't print.  Thus, there's no real assurance the bonds will be repaid at all.  At least when you control your own money you can pay back bonds with something, even if inflated.

The idea that taxes go anywhere other than into oblivion is a relic of the hard money era.  All federal dollars are created as they are spent.  Tax dollars, when collected, are essentially destroyed.  All the record keeping is for no value other than keeping track of what is absorbing resources and making policy decisions.  The government need never stop issuing checks.

But that said, being unable to borrow is a great thing.  We should not allow borrowing, since it really just compounds the problem by adding interest payments.  Instead, deficits should be financed purely by printing.  Borrowing is simply an attempt to sterilize the deficit's effects by removing money from the public supply.  Eliminating that farce would allow the inflationary impact of excess deficits to be more or less immediate.  If there's no inflation, the deficit doesn't matter.  If the deficit is too large, then it's clearly a case where the state absorbs too much resource, and tax increases will be irrelevant.  Indeed - we will at long last have achieved the flat tax on everyone's wealth - rich and poor will suffer devaluation alike.

Also, bear in mind that all hyperinflationary incidents (Weimar, Zimbabwe, Argentina, etc) in the modern era have been caused by either having debt in foreign denominated currency, or civil unrest.  So far we're good on those. 

Posted by: Reactionary at January 03, 2012 08:07 AM (xUM1Q)

245 Want frustration?  Try getting a 17 y/o girl w/ boyfriend to finish her college applications during Christmas break.  Or put some study time into the Jan SAT retake.

Posted by: Count de Monet at January 03, 2012 08:08 AM (4q5tP)

246 233 Am I the only one here who's kids are doing well?

I was bitching about the 20 year old one. The 16 year old has a 4.25 GPA is the Captain of the Varsity football team that went to the championship, is Captain of the Lacrosse team, had had a full time job each summer since 8th grade, also is a referee and is so liked that he is the junior ref for the playoffs and championship games, is the best older brother on the planet, tells me he loves me everyday and thanks me for dinner and for making his bed. He's also very handsome but doesn't want to be in a relationship although he always has girls for dates, dances and hanging on him when I go to pick him up. The only problem I have with him is that his 6'3" 190 lb frame is unfillable. He is famished 24-7. He was hell on wheels as a 1-5 year old while the older one was an angel. You just can't tell.


Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 08:08 AM (TCgts)

247 you know what this thread needs............. a cheeleaderleader pic and football sporting event.

Posted by: Racefan at January 03, 2012 08:08 AM (vaagc)

248

Posted by: OregonMuse at January 03, 2012 11:55 AM (SS8oG)

 

You think you've got good kids........okay....I don't have any kids.  But if I did they'd make yours look like special ed students, or not.

Your live-at-home daughter does sound like she's going to be living at home a very long long time.

Posted by: Soona at January 03, 2012 08:09 AM (xSHjK)

249 The "american dream" of your house being your castle and all that shit has fallen by the wayside. As things get worse and worse, localities will be compelled to increase property taxes ever higher to the point where owning property is a liability rather than an asset.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 11:07 AM (xpIuj)

^^^this. 1000 times, this.  Ghost town, USA.


Posted by: Derak at January 03, 2012 08:09 AM (VEhDR)

250
  Maybe I'm in the minority here, but we couldn't be prouder of how our kids turned out. They were raised in the same manner both of us were--yes sir no maa'm, please and thank you. All of the methods that have been discounted or discredited in this era, we employed. Just like our parents did.

  And their kids are are being raised the same.

Posted by: irongrampa at January 03, 2012 08:10 AM (SAMxH)

251 Universal suffrage sucks, the minute we transition into a "Starship Troopers" style earned citizenship route we will rebound. I used to get pissed when I heard the line, "democracy has failed", now I'm pretty sure they are right.

Posted by: Mr Pink at January 03, 2012 11:57 AM (W/RCd)

 

Amen, and amen. 

Though I'd also say that property owners get the vote, not just vets.  Just paying some taxes should not be enough in itself.  Not all taxpayers have a stake in stability and prosperity of the nation as a whole.  Property owners are much more likely to. 

 

Posted by: Reactionary at January 03, 2012 08:10 AM (xUM1Q)

252 202 The power plants are the best things for the manatees down in Florida.
Posted by: alexthechick at January 03, 2012 11:33 AM (VtjlW)

So, Floridians can look forward to spying Bawney Fwank and his moobs cavorting in the waters near such plants in the near future?

Posted by: Jeremiad was a Bullfrog at January 03, 2012 08:11 AM (UzjcV)

253

I'm my parents' favorite

but then again when one is an unemployed know it all who uses his wife's hard earn money and another is a welfare queen it kinda gets things down to me and my other sister who actually produce for society (my sister is joining the army next year btw so I might lose my grip on that top spot)

Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Voting In A Month at January 03, 2012 08:12 AM (yAor6)

254 Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 03, 2012 11:54 AM (nEUpB)
Recently we pulled in to get gas. At first neither of them got out to pump. I was driving. I just sat there. Eventually, they got it and got out. I don't think they knew that it was a man job even though I think I taught all of them including my husband how to pump gas. Of course in Jersey, that's not an issue.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 08:12 AM (TCgts)

255

Andy, you are also helping to perpetuate the problem in a way. STOP COMPARING THE DEBT LEVEL TO GDP.

Comparing the debt level vs GDP is fucking retarded. You have to compare to Federal budget (or income, revenue, whatever term you want to use).

Comparing the federal debt to GDP is like me comparing my total debt against the income of everyone in my neighborhood instead of my own income. Thats 'tarded.

Posted by: GabeS at January 03, 2012 08:13 AM (gKz+d)

256 So, Floridians can look forward to spying Bawney Fwank and his moobs cavorting in the waters near such plants in the near future?

Posted by: Jeremiad was a Bullfrog at January 03, 2012 12:11 PM (UzjcV)

God no, please not my state, nooooo!

Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Voting In A Month at January 03, 2012 08:14 AM (yAor6)

257 247 Want frustration? Try getting a 17 y/o girl w/ boyfriend to finish her college applications during Christmas break. Or put some study time into the Jan SAT retake.

Posted by: Count de Monet at January 03, 2012 12:08 PM (4q5tP)

Meh. I just do them myself. They're too important to screw up.

 

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 08:14 AM (TCgts)

258

By the way, the national debt is about 5x (500%!) the federal income level.

How do you like them apples!?!?!?!

Posted by: GabeS at January 03, 2012 08:15 AM (gKz+d)

259

OT:  Just got my new newsletter from the Communist Party (CPUSA):

Dear Bern,
 
'Tis the season to be jolly, but it would be a whole lot jollier if the Republicans in Congress weren't doing their best to steal unemployment benefits from millions of jobless workers!
 
Deal or No Deal?
The Senate went home for the holidays, assuming that the bill they passed to extend unemployment benefits and the payroll tax cut for two months was sewn up in the House, too.  They were wrong.  Speaker Boehner had agreed to the bill, but if he can't control the Teapublicans in his party (or the rest of the "Nobama" GOPers who want the economy to fail to make it harder for Obama to win a second term), the deal is off. 
 
Tell your Representative not to be a Grinch and pass this damn bill already!

No, no connection between the Democrats and Communists at all...
 

Posted by: bernverdnardo at January 03, 2012 08:15 AM (xXhWA)

260 Comparing the federal debt to GDP is like me comparing my total debt against the income of everyone in my neighborhood instead of my own income.

No, comparing debt to GDP is like comparing your total debt to your Gross income instead of your Net.  It just shows exactly how boned you are.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at January 03, 2012 08:16 AM (8y9MW)

261 (new thread open)

Posted by: Vergeltung at January 03, 2012 08:16 AM (jttPx)

262 The Irene Adler in the new episode of BBC's  Sherlock makes Rachel McAdams of the movie version look like a ghastly, sunken-eyed, fiveheaded crone.

Posted by: Waterhouse at January 03, 2012 08:17 AM (FUYSU)

263 Count de Monet, seems like she has handed you a button to push

Posted by: Jean at January 03, 2012 08:18 AM (WkuV6)

264 Maybe I'm in the minority here, but we couldn't be prouder of how our kids turned out. They were raised in the same manner both of us were--yes sir no maa'm, please and thank you. All of the methods that have been discounted or discredited in this era, we employed. Just like our parents did.

  And their kids are are being raised the same.

Posted by: irongrampa at January 03, 2012 12:10 PM (SAMxH)

Bless you and your family for putting in the effort.  As I keep explaining to my kids and the ex-wife, traditional ways got to be traditions by working for most people, most of the time, over 10,000 years of human culture.  How about we try that way first?

Posted by: Count de Monet at January 03, 2012 08:22 AM (4q5tP)

265 its 15 fucking degrees outside........later when it warms up to 25 or 30 i plan on making a beer run.

Posted by: Racefan at January 03, 2012 08:23 AM (vaagc)

266  Count de Monet, seems like she has handed you a button to push

Posted by: Jean at January 03, 2012 12:18 PM (WkuV6)

What button, whose button? 

Posted by: Count de Monet at January 03, 2012 08:26 AM (4q5tP)

267 8 All we have to do is Tax the Rich.

Posted by: soothsayer at January 03, 2012 09:56 AM (KreG+)

12 And Green Energy.

Posted by: soothsayer at January 03, 2012 09:57 AM (oB2II)

13 And Amnesty.

Posted by: soothsayer at January 03, 2012 09:57 AM (Ba6aP)

 

 

No, no, comrade, the situation is worse than that, much worse. Only one thing can save us now ... yep ... HIGH SPEED RAIL.

Posted by: Jay Guevara at January 03, 2012 08:31 AM (okLh1)

268 Meh. I just do them myself. They're too important to screw up.

 

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 12:14 PM (TCgts)

Very tempting.  I've been on the losing end of "do your homework/major grade project/exam prep now," excellent advice not taken, since 8th grade with her (and her mom). 

There's always community college.

Posted by: Count de Monet at January 03, 2012 08:33 AM (4q5tP)

269

this i is how cold it is outside.........if i ever get in trouble again, i want Mattlock tobe my lawyer.

Posted by: Racefan at January 03, 2012 08:47 AM (vaagc)

270

my kids were trained early that they carry in the groceries and they put them away.....it's the only chore they don't complain about......

 

Mine (16 and 13) rush to help with carrying in groceries, and get the door for their mother ... because I do, and they've learned by example. (Plus the odd reminder when they forget, which they legitimately do from time to time.) And they don't squawk about chores.

Yeah, so it's me that's responsible for Obama being President. God had to saddle me with something that was a pain in the ass; you guys having to put up with him was just collateral damage, I guess.

Posted by: Jay Guevara at January 03, 2012 09:11 AM (okLh1)

271 I came across an interesting tidbit to throw at the OWSers if you find yourself in conversation.

You know how they love to harp on 'income inequality' as if somebody being rich makes them poor? An how the 1% are such big meanies?

Well, at the height of his career John D. Rockefeller held an estimated .05% of all US private wealth. By comparison, you'd need to lump together the fortunes of nearly half the Forbes list of 100 wealthiest people to account for much of today's privately held wealth.

Why? Because there is so much more wealth in existence today. It isn't a zero-sum game and entrepreneurs have raised the ceiling over and over. Many who regard themselves as impoverished today live in a way that would seem enviable to a large portion of those in Rockefeller's day.

The OWSers live in a troubled time but fail to understand the nature of their own problems.

Posted by: epobirs at January 03, 2012 09:28 AM (kcfmt)

272 My mother never had trouble getting us boys to help her bring in the groceries. The trick was to have the stuff not immediately go down our gullets.

Posted by: epobirs at January 03, 2012 09:30 AM (kcfmt)

273 "Service economy = kissing your sister" Service economies don't generate new "wealth", they just move the pre-existing stack of money around, and the govt always wants to take a bite with every movement of the stack. Ultimately, a pure service economy in isolation, lacking any external influx of cash, would eventually transfer all funds to the government in the form of various transaction taxes. New "wealth" is generated at the intersection where raw materials and labor to produce something that didn't exist before. Theoretically, a manufacturing economy could outrun a government's monetery needs -- something a service economy can never accomplish.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 09:31 AM (hVnJ9)

274 "Many who regard themselves as impoverished today live in a way that would seem enviable to a large portion of those in Rockefeller's day." Yep, Rockefeller himself would envy much of what is found in a ghetto appartment. Pervasive use of electricity, microwave ovens, hot water, televisions, radios, etc. In historical terms, the wealth and services available to the USA's "poverty stricken" makes that which was available to "royalty" through most of recorded history pale by comparason.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 03, 2012 09:38 AM (hVnJ9)

275 The other point I meant to make was that in Rockefeller's day the 1% was a small group of men. They could easily meet for lunch without needing the restaurant to move tables together.

Today, the 1% is a group of millions of people.

This makes a mockery of the idea that 'income inequality' is a concern. Poverty is the same baseline it has always been but wealth stretches ever upwards. Extremely few Americans have ever known the true baseline of poverty, naked on the savannah without even a good throwing rock in your hand.

Posted by: epobirs at January 03, 2012 10:03 AM (kcfmt)

276 I prefer Andy's DOOM to Monty's

Posted by: Chuckit at January 03, 2012 10:10 AM (MVrdh)

277 The girl and the texas ranger are much better in the new one. Cop, there's a place in Erlanger called Alstom that has a lot of 40+ engineers.

Posted by: Cincinnatus at January 03, 2012 10:12 AM (BwXFR)

278 Sounds like Light Squared will explode (size determined by the mass .. E=mc2)

Sprint seems to want 30 days to get clear.

Posted by: John Lennon at January 03, 2012 10:41 AM (e8kgV)

279 Don't worry, be happy electionados! In November 2012, you get to vote for either: The Goldman Sachs Republican Candidate, Mr. Romney OR The Goldman Sachs Democrat Candidate, Mr. Obama. So are you going to worry about that "election" or how you are going to survive the next 10 HARD years ???? Wake up, America. It is NOT about politics... it is ALL about following the MONEY.

Posted by: Auggie at January 03, 2012 10:57 AM (A5uiv)

280 I will just post the exact same thing I have been posting for the last 3 years.

The US GDP growth rate has been said to be running at around 2-3%.
The US Federal Deficit spending in those same years has been around 9% of GDP.
Therefore, the actual GDP growth rate has been a NEGATIVE 6-7%.
A Depression is defined as 4 quarters of contiguous declining GDP.

We have been in a Depression for the last 3 years. How bout that for DOOOM!

Posted by: David Kramer at January 03, 2012 02:28 PM (OkW7e)

281 205 198 I'm torn because the 20 year old is doing ok in college considering his learning disability, has always worked a lot of hours when he's not in school, and doesn't dress like a freak but like a nice sorta preppy guy. However, I know he's smoking some weed, having a fair amount of sex, and spending a lot of his money on booze and fast food. He had to lose his license for 6 months with a reckless to keep from getting charged with paraphernalia. This is after 13 years of catholic school, a stay at home mom, and every other possible advantage. I don't know if I'm being too irritated by him not toeing my line or not.

Posted by: dagny at January 03, 2012 11:35 AM (TCgts)

-----

Listen, Dagny, I think all that comes out in the wash.  Usually.  Mine are 21 and 25 (girls) and have had their periods of rebellion.  Despite me being a stay-at-home mom, plenty of church, sports, etc.  We are up against the culture.

But we did our part, and inculcated our values, whether it looks like that now or not.  Once they are adults, they have to learn the rest by themselves . . . and sometimes the hard way.

Posted by: Alana at January 03, 2012 07:50 PM (8lE/d)

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