January 24, 2012

Eesh: Romney's Favorability Drops Down Close To Newt's
— Ace

Via Hot Air, Romney's fundamental lack of political skill is catching up with him:

Ya know, for a long, long time I was saying "Romney's not as electable as people seem to think." With Rick Perry out (bad call on that, GOP), I had to pick from the rest, and I thought that of the rest, Romney was the most electable.

But he's not really a good politician. Never has been. Someone more invested than I can spin that in a positive way ("Hey, that just shows he's not good at huckstering people") but it's a drawback in politics.

Huckstering people is, after all, what politics is all about. Some people are good at it; some people aren't. The ones who aren't we called "would-be candidates" or "former politicians."

Jonah Goldberg has been thinking about this.

As IÂ’ve been writing for a very long time, Romney has an authentic inauthenticity problem. In other words, he seems like heÂ’s faking things even when heÂ’s not. He may take positions he doesnÂ’t hold in his heart, but all politicians do that. The problem is that the vast majority of the time heÂ’s no more passionate or convincing about the positions he almost surely does hold in his heart.

On the Ben Howe podcast, a few weeks back, Ben Howe asked me if I thought Romney would get away with something -- some crude attack he'd made, or something. I said, "Of course not; Romney can't get away with anything."

By which I meant he always seems like he's hiding something -- even when he's probably not. I called this strange property of Romney's a type of "anti-charisma."

Bill Clinton had charisma. He could convince people he had their best interests at heart when he was actually just scheming how to deceive them.

Romney has a vibe where even when I think he's on the level, he seems like he's keeping something from me. I think it's a "seems" thing, most of the time. He just doesn't seem comfortable.

Maybe it's some kind of Winner's Guilt, where he's constantly aware of his own prosperity and success and possible resentments thereof, so that air of discomfort he projects is our sensing of him constantly analyzing his own performance and wondering how it's coming off-- which gets perceived as showing dishonesty, because that's what we usually attribute excessive caution and calibration as meaning.

I thought Romney had his best performance at that first South Carolina debate, though I didn't say so, because I still thought Rick Perry was our best candidate and didn't want to call out Romney for having done especially well.

But his best moment came, for me, when he admitted, pretty honestly, that SuperPACs were a scam the law was pushing everyone towards, and he would rather do without the scam.

Although, on a policy level, I agreed with him, about undoing this nonsense system that Mr. Integrity John McCain had insisted on, what I liked about that was that he seemed honest. He didn't seem like he was bullshitting me. He was saying, "Yes, I've got these people who formed this PAC, and I think it's a scam, but the law says I have to do this, so I'm doing it."

Another one of Romney's problems -- if I had to guess -- is that he's a very Type-A, very organized personality type, and he does most things very well. And sometimes with people like that, they wind up being excessively defensive -- they're not used to losing, or erring, or just screwing up, and don't have the ability to easily just acknowledge errors. (See Romney's defense of RomneyCare; he just couldn't admit it was an error.)

And the problem isn't restricted to the "has problem admitting errors" part. The problem goes deeper, because that sort of person becomes very uncomfortable in their bad moments, jangly and prickly with defensiveness and a controlled hostility, and human beings feel that, and have an unpleasant feeling themselves.

I don't even know what I'd advise him, because the advice I'd offer -- "You know how you are? Yeah, be someone else entirely" -- is just silly.

Eh.

A final problem is that no one seriously examines their errors and miscalculations while they are still limping along. A football team doesn't fundamentally re-examine its assumptions, for example, after a three-point loss, or after a 7-9 season.

Romney is doing just well enough to justify keeping on with the same basic act. Alas, for him, and for us.

I can see no possible solution to our problems except:

Let's get Rick Perry back on the ballot.

(I'm kidding about that; he's done.)

Posted by: Ace at 06:36 AM | Comments (331)
Post contains 792 words, total size 5 kb.

1 Damnit, Perry! SC and Florida could have made the difference.

Schmuck.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:38 AM (piMMO)

2 FIRST

Posted by: guy who says FIRST at January 24, 2012 06:39 AM (AJSjU)

3 I don't even know what I'd advise him, because the advice I'd offer -- "You know how you are? Yeah, be someone else entirely" -- is just silly.

***

What he needs to do is show a little bit of the type of person he is with his family and friends. I mean, Bob Dole is funny. Who the hell knew?

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:40 AM (piMMO)

4 Second!

Posted by: guy who says SECOND! at January 24, 2012 06:40 AM (AJSjU)

5 A lot rides on the likability factor.  All things equal, I'm afraid the uninformed general public with get the negative narrative about Romney and pull the leaver for my president just 'cause they think he's a nice enough fella'.

Posted by: dblwmy at January 24, 2012 06:41 AM (BvTwT)

6 Ace. Dude. This is the blog equivalent of drunk-dialing your ex. Just let it go.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 24, 2012 06:41 AM (RD7QR)

7 Yes, Rick Perry back on the ballot...hey, who knows, maybe that's what we need is for him to be gone a little while and come on strong again.....hmmm, good idea, Ace...I knew you had it in you!  I'm lovin me some Ace right now.

Posted by: ReadyorNot at January 24, 2012 06:41 AM (ErUlJ)

8 Good gosh, how in the hell did we get stuck with this collection of idiots running for the nomination? Mind-boggling. You've got one of the weakest incumbent presidents in a generation or two, and the GOP can't attract top-tier talent? wtf

Posted by: Dave at January 24, 2012 06:42 AM (Xm1aB)

9

I can see no possible solution to our problems except:

Let's get Rick Perry back on the ballot.

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: That Chicken at January 24, 2012 06:43 AM (6T8Ay)

10 In the spirit of unbanned amicable friendship let me say that if you feel that candidate _____ is a horrible RINO unelectable scuzzbucket, I agree with you.  The question of which of them is the least horrible, is not something worth breaking the blog over.

Posted by: Bob Saget at January 24, 2012 06:43 AM (SDkq3)

11

Wait a minuteÂ…    This canÂ’t be right.

 

WeÂ’ve been told that favorability ratings are etched in stone forever and canÂ’t be changed.  How can this possibly be?

Posted by: jwest at January 24, 2012 06:43 AM (FdndL)

12 Ricardo is a vaccine pusher and he french kisses Mexican gang lords. Only over your dead body will I allow him to further sully the ballot to determine the true and pure conservative hero champion. What Mark Levin said. Romney is a Mormon and a wimp puke twerp. I'd rather the entire nation perish than to lose slower with him in office. Besides we need Obama in office so we can impeach him. Lastly, none of this polling data makes any sense to me; since when do "favorability ratings" have anything to do with politics or elections, eh? Dammit these RINOs are dumb. Nobody in my family votes based upon favorability. Nobody I know cares one lick about the personality of a candidate. Red meat is what's important, chumps, and I for one am real hungry and real f'n stupid. Palin-Angle-Buck-Miller-Paul-Paladino-O'Donnell, '16

Posted by: Totally Irrational Political Malcontent at January 24, 2012 06:43 AM (r2PLg)

13

Don't you... no, Hiccup! If you ever want to get out there to fight dragons, you need to stop all... this.
[gestures to all of Hiccup]

But you just pointed to all of me!

Yes! That's it! Stop being all of you!

Posted by: imp at January 24, 2012 06:44 AM (vm+Sm)

14 This entire thing is so damn depressing. Four more years of Obama this soul cannot take.

Posted by: Crape at January 24, 2012 06:44 AM (hqvZW)

15 >>>What he needs to do is show a little bit of the type of person he is with his family and friends. I mean, Bob Dole is funny. Who the hell knew? But that's not something someone can just change. Some people are very, very comfortable in public speaking and on camera. In fact, some people are lame in real life but only light up when there's a camera or an audience. Some people can be funny with friends, but would choke on stage. Some people are just not natural performers. You can't just become a natural performer. If you could, everyone would be good on stage or on TV, but of course only a small number of people are.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 06:44 AM (nj1bB)

16 Rick Perry would never win a general election. The general public doesn't want Bush 2, and right or wrong, that is exactly what Perry would be to many of the people that are going to be voting.

Posted by: devilish at January 24, 2012 06:44 AM (3eTJD)

17 This post will be People's Exhibit 332 in the case of How Conservatives Shoot Themselves in the Foot after Obama edges past Mittens because enough conservatives are turned off by the never-ending whine.

Posted by: deepelemblues at January 24, 2012 06:45 AM (lFU4D)

18

Let's get Rick Perry back on the ballot.



If we are going to switch in a Republican governor at the last minute, why not pick one that hasn't flopped as a candidate already?

Jindal could really take it to Obama on healthcare - and will make it hard for Obama to play the race card.

Or McDonnell could draw the most distinction from Obama.

Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 06:45 AM (7BU4a)

19 I always love when people excuse serious electability flaws in their own candidate and then say, re: perry, "Oh, people will think he's Bush." Ah.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 06:45 AM (nj1bB)

20 Mind-boggling. You've got one of the weakest incumbent presidents in a generation or two, and the GOP can't attract top-tier talent? wtf

Posted by: Dave at January 24, 2012 10:42 AM (Xm1aB)

Given the media's rectal exam of anyone with an R behind there name, is it any surprise?  Who wants to put up with that crap.

I mean, good God, I now know who Rick Santorum's wife dated when she was 20!  I could have gone my entire life without knowing that.

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 06:45 AM (X6akg)

21 Let's get Rick Perry back on the ballot. Rick for Art5 Convention Chair, lets have a brokered convention and go with a Dick Cheney/H Barbour ticket -- eff'm win the hard way.

Posted by: Jean at January 24, 2012 06:46 AM (WkuV6)

22 oh I'd love some white knight to come in but I don't see it. We don't even hear whispers of it. You'd hear whispers of it, if anyone was considering it.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 06:46 AM (nj1bB)

23 ace, you can't turn the machines back on.

Posted by: eman at January 24, 2012 06:46 AM (g08ab)

24 *cough*

Rick Perry is still on the ballot in Florida.

So is Herman Cain.

Nothing stopping anyone from voting for them.  Other than no one else will.

Let it go man.  Just because Mitt and Newt are bad, doesn't mean Perry isn't worse.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at January 24, 2012 06:47 AM (RI0fC)

25 Is there a prayer of getting Perry to come back? .....I'm onboard with that. .....Since now they're saying that, you know, the debates don't matter because the Mittster is losing to Newt-the-masterdebater.

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 06:47 AM (ALwK/)

26 Unfortunately, Rick had other problems in that he could make himself look stupid or uninformed even when he wasn't.

We don't have a better candidate because we don't have a better candidate.  A Bill Clinton or Barack Obama would never make it in the Republican party at a high level.  We're too self-critical, too suspicious of power (which is what makes us conservatives).

Also, Romney suffers in comparison with the seemingly forthright Newt, who has no unexpressed thought.  Compare Romney to Obama and suddenly he's warm and inviting.

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 06:47 AM (T0NGe)

27 If you could, everyone would be good on stage or on TV, but of course only a small number of people are.

****
He's good on stage, in a presentation type of way, and that probably comes from his business background. He can be coached into, if nothing else, a looser body language just as those who are too casual can be coached to more professional body language.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:47 AM (piMMO)

28 A lot rides on the likability factor. All things equal, I'm afraid the uninformed general public with get the negative narrative about Romney and pull the leaver for my president just 'cause they think he's a nice enough fella'.

Posted by: dblwmy at January 24, 2012 10:41 AM (BvTwT)

Actually it is worse then that. Obama and co have been preparing to run against Romney for a long time now.

Expect to see the election played as "rich, stuck up, elitist Republican" vs "self made, minority, man of the people Democrat" if Romney is the nominee.

Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 06:47 AM (7BU4a)

29 Considering that Paul was polling up there nationally with Mitt, does this mean that Paul is now polling best against Obama?

Posted by: Texan Economist at January 24, 2012 06:47 AM (TC/9F)

30 Insty has a link to an article where they declare Mitt "the last of the patrician politicians" (a la John Kerry) and point out his life story's optics are potentially very damaging when we're above 15% real unemployment and Occutards control the news cycle.

Posted by: Ian S. at January 24, 2012 06:48 AM (tqwMN)

31 Well, I don't have a candidate in this election, except not Obama. But, believe what you want.

Posted by: devilish at January 24, 2012 06:48 AM (3eTJD)

32 Please allow me to introduce myself...

Posted by: Jeb Bush at January 24, 2012 06:48 AM (1+CnU)

33

Let's get Rick Perry back on the ballot.

While your wishing for Perry, I'll wish for Ronald Reagan. Same chance of it happening, and if your gonna wish, wish for the best.

Posted by: maddogg at January 24, 2012 06:48 AM (OlN4e)

34 I was just kidding about Perry. He's done.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 06:48 AM (nj1bB)

35 @20 Well top-tier talent as I define it wouldn't give a shit about the media rectal exam and would feature legitimate media criticism as a regular campaign theme. A top-tier candidate recognizes the media paradigm is a negative one and points it out to the delight of the public which generally despises the media as well.

Posted by: Dave at January 24, 2012 06:48 AM (Xm1aB)

36 I think in the general Romney would shine over Newt. Romney has the money to compete with Obama. Newt just doesn't appeal to the middle; but he does appeal to the base. Sadly, the base doesn't care about the middle. Electability is about who can grab the middle, imo.

Posted by: whatever at January 24, 2012 06:49 AM (O7ksG)

37 My friends, you have nothing to fear from an Obama second term.

Posted by: Sen. John McCain at January 24, 2012 06:49 AM (qwK3S)

38 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable tyrant.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 24, 2012 06:49 AM (8y9MW)

39 Considering that Paul was polling up there nationally with Mitt, does this mean that Paul is now polling best against Obama?

Posted by: Texan Economist at January 24, 2012 10:47 AM (TC/9F)

An interesting question - for the people arguing we should vote ABO - would you vote for Ron Paul?

Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 06:49 AM (7BU4a)

40 Rick for Art5 Convention Chair, lets have a brokered convention and go with a Dick Cheney/H Barbour ticket -- eff'm win the hard way.

****
Haley Barbour? The new Huckabee we-should-forgive-those-poor-murderers Barbour? That one?

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:50 AM (piMMO)

41 Ok, something changed with the blog software - it won't italicize copied comments anymore.

Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 06:50 AM (7BU4a)

42 Given the media's rectal exam of anyone with an R behind there name, is it any surprise? Who wants to put up with that crap.
I mean, good God, I now know who Rick Santorum's wife dated when she was 20! I could have gone my entire life without knowing that.

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 10:45 AM (X6akg)



The MFM will let us know every time a Republican picks his or her nose but Barry could be the next Caligula and the MFM wouldn't breathe a word of it

Posted by: TheQuietMan at January 24, 2012 06:50 AM (1Jaio)

43 I thought Romney had his best performance at that first South Carolina debate, though I didn't say so, because I still thought Rick Perry was our best candidate and didn't want to call out Romney for having done especially well.

I like it better when you tell us your true instincts in real time.   It's hurting your brand when you try to sell  us, even,  as it's often very obvious (I'm not sure how) when you are selling something and holding back to shade and shape.

Shading and shaping is partly what you do, but when you hold back your insider tips or your true gut impression it is somehow showing.   And of course even if it weren't your reader are catching on to the practice, if only because you have openly confessed it a bunch of times now.


Perry is dead in the water because he can't make his own case for good ideas.    Another four years of sloping forehead jokes and a stumbly inadequate articulation - the inability to persuade - matters.   I'm sorry it didn't work out, I had hopes for him.

Posted by: SarahW at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (LYwCh)

44 Romney's biggest problem is his liberal record. He can not run away from that no matter how hard he tries to flip flop.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (YdQQY)

45 I don't know about you but I am sick and tired of having to choose (A) someone that is exciting as watching paint dry or (B) someone who sucks just a little less. There are some Republican stars, but not one has stepped up to the plate. Mr. West thanks for nothing. The country really needs/wants a hero. You would have been the perfect candidate.

Posted by: Political Correctness Czar at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (AJSjU)

46 An interesting question - for the people arguing we should vote ABO - would you vote for Ron Paul?

Yes. And then promptly push for the Baker Act to be used against him.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (piMMO)

47 Jesus Christ, my office mate is passionately agitating for Ron Paul right now.  Where are my noise canceling headphones?

Posted by: Dave in Fla at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (RI0fC)

48 Didn't Perry just endorse the candidate considered "unelectable?"

Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (qwK3S)

49 Oh great.  Italics aren't taking.   first paragraph @ 43was a quotation from the top post

Posted by: SarahW at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (LYwCh)

50 And yes, Perry was still on the ballot here. So were all the other candidates who dropped out early.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (YdQQY)

51 Romney's biggest problem is his liberal record. He can not run away from that no matter how hard he tries to flip flop.

****
And Newt's a conservative?

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:51 AM (piMMO)

52 Mitt Romney is Chicken Boo.

/obscure

Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 24, 2012 06:52 AM (GBXon)

53 Mitt will make a fine Ambassador to China.

Posted by: eman at January 24, 2012 06:52 AM (g08ab)

54 Romney is apparently losing ground with both independents and individuals making under $50,000. Though this is also the same poll claiming that Obama has a 66% favorable rating among moderates, so his numbers are likely not as bad as claimed. Regardless of how overstated the numbers are, however, Romney obviously needs to work on formulating better answers and displaying more passion. 

Posted by: M80B at January 24, 2012 06:52 AM (d6QMz)

55 That's ok.

Tonight Obama will refocus things on himself again, and what we've got to do to get him gone. When he's off golfing or vacationing we forget.

After tonight, once again, the ring in the toilet bowl will look like a viable alternative.

Posted by: Clutch Cargo at January 24, 2012 06:52 AM (Qxdfp)

56 oh, fuck Jeb Bush.

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2012 06:52 AM (eM8UH)

57 Romney with the right Veep choice could work. He's not particularly flappable, which - against Obama - is a good thing. The only question I have is whether Romney wants to win or if he'd pull a McCain and turn the campaign into a "Wonderful Me" tour. -

Posted by: BumperStickerist at January 24, 2012 06:52 AM (h6mPj)

58 Shoot me. He just said "Neo-Cons"

Posted by: Dave in Fla at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (RI0fC)

59 "Romney's biggest problem is his liberal record. He can not run away from that no matter how hard he tries to flip flop.

****
And Newt's a conservative?"

What Newt is or isn't has nothing to do with what Romney is or isn't.

Just sorta adds to the boneage, to be honest.

Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (GBXon)

60 I'm telling you, if we get a brokered convention, somebody should put the name of Bob McDonnell, governor of VA, into nomination. He would be perfect (at least on paper) and it would send the Dems scrambling.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (RD7QR)

61 Haley Barbour can go fuck himself. Well, actually he already did.

Posted by: Dave at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (Xm1aB)

62 >>>I like it better when you tell us your true instincts in real time. It's hurting your brand when you try to sell us, even, as it's often very obvious (I'm not sure how) when you are selling something and holding back to shade and shape In real time, in the live-blog, I had praise for most of Romney's answers. I said they were good answers. But as far as saying "I think Romney sealed the deal tonight," I did not say that, because I think his nomination is problematic. People speak of it "breaking the coalition."

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (nj1bB)

63 Sadly, the base doesn't care about the middle. Electability is about who can grab the middle, imo. It isn't that the base doesn't care about the middle, its that Romney doesnt seem to care about the base. He has had plenty of time to repudiate Romneycare, his abortion and gun positions, etc. and we get nothing. Romney has failed to run to right, he thought his insider status would get him crowned and he didn't need to. He was wrong.

Posted by: Jean at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (WkuV6)

64 44 Romney's biggest problem is his liberal record. He can not run away from that no matter how hard he tries to flip flop.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 10:51 AM (YdQQY) 



And he doesn't really even try.

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (X6akg)

65 This is going to sound bad and maybe even a little like religious bigotry but I think it may apply here.

Has anyone here ever studied the roots of Mormanism?  To call it strange would be an understatement.  It is downright laughable.  However, despite it's silly premise, it does manage to turn out some good people and quality families.

So what's the take-away on that?  The take-away is a religion's effectiveness has little to do with whether the things it teaches are actually true or not, it has to do with the fact that the followers base their behavior on the religion's tenants and therefore derive a positive result.  Buddhism is not necessarily true but one cannot deny that it turns out some quality humans.

Ok, so all of his life, Romney has believed in a religion that in his intellectual mind he must realize is kind of silly.  He knows the basis of his religion is false, and yet, he is so invested in it and likes the results of his faith so much that he cannot walk away.  Therefore every waking hour of every waking day, he lives a lie.  He contradicts his own intellect.

This eats at a man.  And it may be the reason why there is something about Romney that seems as if he is not being honest even when he is - his entire existence is dishonest.

Posted by: Bill Mitchell at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (uVlA4)

66 52 Mitt Romney is Chicken Boo _ Now THAT's comedy.

Posted by: Slappy Squirrel at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (h6mPj)

67

What is this “charisma” thing youÂ’re talking about?  Is it a newly discovered element?

 

It certainly didnÂ’t seem to be a factor a few months ago when we were all examining the details of everyoneÂ’s resume.  But now, the ability to pack a stadium or have crowds wait out in cold for a chance to hear someone speak seems to have entered into the mix of desirable attributes.

 

WhoÂ’d of thought?

Posted by: jwest at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (FdndL)

68 Ace, you have a really bad habit of citing the results of a single poll as if they were gospel. 

Posted by: Jon at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (IFigw)

69 Form Moron SuperPAC, hit Obie hard on his policies and don't stop until he whines like the little bitch he is...

Posted by: The Robot Devil at January 24, 2012 06:53 AM (+hB3s)

70

I can see no possible solution to our problems except:

Let's get Rick Perry back on the ballot.

------

Ha ha ha!  I am a big Perry fan, but even I'm not that delusional. 

These are the horses we're running, folks.  If Dick Cheney were healthy, he could be the kind of person to step in, but other than that the only folks we're all variously enthusiastic about are appealing because they have not been beaten up in the primary (Rubio, Pence, etc) and/or we don't know much about them aside from in one arena (for example, Bolton).  As soon as they got in, there'd be an anal probe that would probably lead to people freaking out about that candidate.

I think we need to learn a lesson here.  I think we need to start handling the anal probes in a particular way.  We can't ignore them, but we should cover them for what they are.  The racist rock thing, Bachmann's headaches, the "revolting reverend" (not Perry's pastor), etc were ginned up non-scandals.  There should have been one story about them, but there should not have been five stories a day about them.  Even Cain's stuff should have been handled once here and then after that the coverage should have been his response to the media stuff.  There was this feeding frenzy early on that most places contributed to... although in my opinion Romney escaped a lot of the early stuff because he was treated with kid gloves in the debates and by the big outlets. 

Even if you disagree with the coverage aspects, I still think there was far too much focus on stylistic things and media smears and not enough on substance.  As a result, I don't see that our party has gotten any closer to agreeing on what our nominee's platform should be.  So, for example, I think both Mitt and Newt are talking about reforming or replacing health care stuff after repealing Obamacare, but as far as I know, they have not outlined what the replacement would be.  That is really relevant to me.  If Mitt is the nominee, I want to know exactly what the replacement is because I don't trust him.  He clearly has a blind spot on this issue.  I want him fenced in by our platform. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 06:54 AM (5H6zj)

71 Ok, something changed with the blog software - it won't italicize copied comments anymore.

****

I believe html coding has been turned off post-major eff up from yesterday.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:54 AM (piMMO)

72 I think Mitt has one free avenue left that has not been exploited.

The c-word.

Shut up, morons, I'm talking about "corruption".

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 06:55 AM (T0NGe)

73 52 not obscure to someone who has life-size animaniacs running across their family room ceiling, no.

Posted by: Clutch Cargo at January 24, 2012 06:55 AM (Qxdfp)

74 This eats at a man. And it may be the reason why there is something about Romney that seems as if he is not being honest even when he is - his entire existence is dishonest. Posted by: Bill Mitchell Am not.

Posted by: Mitt Romney at January 24, 2012 06:55 AM (h6mPj)

75 *laugh* Now his argument for Ron Paul is how badly Newt, Mitt, and Santorum lost their elections.  Ron Paul is SO much more electable than they are, the scales have fallen from my eyes.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at January 24, 2012 06:55 AM (RI0fC)

76 I heard Newt said  in the event of his own nomination, he was actively considering West for the VP slot.


Posted by: SarahW at January 24, 2012 06:55 AM (LYwCh)

77

Let's get Rick Perry back on the ballot.

You just had to poke the hornet's nest with that stick, didn't you?

I don't even know what I'd advise him, because the advice I'd offer -- "You know how you are? Yeah, be someone else entirely" -- is just silly.

I think that was part of Clinton's supposed charm (don't ask me, I've always had the visceral urge to smash him in the face with a rock), he could be whoever you want him to be and he could fake sincerity like no one's business. 

Posted by: alexthechick - what's that spell METEOR! at January 24, 2012 06:55 AM (VtjlW)

78 Posted by: Jon at January 24, 2012 10:53 AM (IFigw)

****
Mr. Huntsman, is that you?

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:55 AM (piMMO)

79 Mittens has only managed to vigorously defend on principle during his 6 year+ run at the Presidency and that was the individual mandate and government taking control of health insurance/care for everyone. Sadly, this is the most dangerous place for the government to get its nose into, as once the government is paying for health care that allows the same retarded government to dictate any and everything that one does ... as it all impacts on the cost of health care, now being carried by the generous, caring, empathetic governing leviathan. But, on this one exceedingly dangerous point, Mittens won't give an inch to rationality and liberty.


Other than that, Mittens has been happy to take whatever side of whatever issue that he thinks will get him the most votes that day.

Posted by: really ... at January 24, 2012 06:56 AM (X3lox)

80 I thought we would be sitting pretty in 2012, not knee deep in the shit. What the hell happened? Oh yeah, the GOP are fucking retarded.

Posted by: devilish at January 24, 2012 06:56 AM (3eTJD)

81

Mitt Romney is Chicken Boo

 

Best Cartoon Ever.

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2012 06:56 AM (eM8UH)

82 Good gosh, how in the hell did we get stuck with this collection of idiots running for the nomination?

No one who has non-adult children and a spouse they care about wants to see every difficult moment in their family history mocked and ridiculed on television every night for the next ten months. They don't want their kids to be the subject of rape jokes/death threats/Facebook bullying, they don't want their household garbage to be collected and analyzed, they don't want their churches set on fire with parishoners inside.

Posted by: HeatherRadish needs italics at January 24, 2012 06:56 AM (ZKzrr)

83

Let's get Rick Perry back on the ballot.

Posted by Ace at 10:36 AM New Comments Thingy

Because Perry's skills were so outstanding?   I'm prepared to concede that Romney might turn out/is turning out to be a dud, too.   Only prescription: KY Jelly.  Lots of it.  We're screwed.  Unless... Santorum may turn out to be the answer.  Don't underestimate him; he seems better each time I see him.

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 24, 2012 06:57 AM (U+BDE)

84 As for the support of Romney over Gingrich, I don't understand why you're leaning Mitt.  I've read a lot of your tweets with DrewM and others and it just seems like you are too focused on your belief that women won't vote for Newt and that people more broadly won't vote for a guy who has been divorced twice.  I think you are ignoring the SC exit polling and I don't understand why. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 06:57 AM (5H6zj)

85 Form Moron SuperPAC, hit Obie hard on his policies and don't stop until he whines like the little bitch he is...

Yes! Yes! Yes!

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 24, 2012 06:57 AM (8y9MW)

86 #28 His public speaking comes from years of making presentations in board rooms and before investors.  It's very analytical, organized, and dry.

I would bet he does not talk this way around his family.

My recommendation would be to seat Ann and the rest of the family front and center and have him talk like he was explaining this stuff to his older grandkids, who are teenagers.

That is about the level of much of the electorate,  anyway.

And he has to get personal stories into his debates. I noticed last night he was approaching this by talking about all of the people who were in trouble with mortgages in Florida.  But he stopped short of telling their actual stories,  which he had heard earlier in the day.  And that,  I will bet,  is because he hadn't asked their permission and is too darn polite just to use names without asking.

Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 06:57 AM (GoIUi)

87

not obscure to someone who has life-size animaniacs running across their family room ceiling, no.

I'm not saying that I'm blindly jealous of that, but I'm blindly jealous of that. 

Hellllllooooo nurse!

Posted by: alexthechick - I eat your cupcakes! at January 24, 2012 06:57 AM (VtjlW)

88 Speaking as a Mormon, I think part of Romney's problem is that he's "Mormon-nice." In our church, we're taught to be positive in our outlook and attitude, and it does often come across as fake or forced to people who aren't familiar with it.

Posted by: Gregory of Yardale at January 24, 2012 06:58 AM (AQD6a)

89 I don't care about Newt's wives at all. I just think Newt will inspire the left and the middle to come out in full force for Obama.

Posted by: whatever at January 24, 2012 06:59 AM (O7ksG)

90 This eats at a man. And it may be the reason why there is something about Romney that seems as if he is not being honest even when he is - his entire existence is dishonest.

***

Oh dear, Lord. Now you propose to know that he questions his own faith? Guess what! Most Christians also examine their faith, it doesn't mean that they/we don't have faith.

To a non-Christian, our roots seem pretty fucking weird too.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 06:59 AM (piMMO)

91 nd Newt's a conservative?
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 10:51 AM (piMMO

Well, he has a conservative bone in his little finger.  Mutt has zero.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 06:59 AM (YdQQY)

92 The race has boiled down to a steel cage death match between Romney and Gingrich. Romney who has no record at all of conservative actions (except for "raising a family" - Awesome!) But he's in it only because of a well-financed ground game. Newt has a fine record of conservative accomplishment but some obvious flaws and problems in the past. However, he has "it". The Undeniable Star Power of Newt Gingrich" And that is what's kept him in the race and why people can see him in the White House. Not surprisingly, last night's debate in cold, bland, sterile environment favored a blancmange like Romney. I'm surprised the audience wasn't in hazard suit and breathing masks. Newt generates passion in the base. I don't see how running a nothing like Romney works in our favor against a zero like Obama given the MSMs all-in, all-the-time support for him.

Posted by: naturalfake at January 24, 2012 07:00 AM (XBdI0)

93 It is true that Romney has no chrisma. You might even call him dull and colorless. You might say he has no conservative compass. You might say he flops around in his positions like a flounder freshly dumped in the bottom of a boat. You might call him RINO and be unchallenged. You might say he holds no deeply felt passion for the conservative cause. You might get the feeling he is a plastic man. You might even concede that he SUX.

Posted by: maddogg at January 24, 2012 07:00 AM (OlN4e)

94

82 "Good gosh, how in the hell did we get stuck with this collection of idiots running for the nomination?"

 

Yeah, but see... what has Santorum said or done that is "idiotic"?

Yeah, he can come on strong with the social conservatism schtick, but hey, everyone knows no POTUS can really ban abortions or anal sex, so who cares?  Other than that... I don't see what beef conservatives should have with him, granting that no one is perfect.  He won't jazz the base, but doesn't OBAMA already do that for us?  More importantly, he won't jazz the Liberal base, either.

If Romney continues his downward spiral, I think I'll wind up voting for Santorum if things are still undecided by the time the primary is held here in CT.


 

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 24, 2012 07:00 AM (U+BDE)

95

Hellllllooooo nurse!

 

Titicaca!

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2012 07:00 AM (eM8UH)

96 Romney is too eager to engage, to try to please, or conversely, to prove to (or convince) others he's got a solution for everything.  Dude.  We don't need another messiah.

Posted by: Fritz at January 24, 2012 07:00 AM (/ZZCn)

97 And Newt's a conservative?

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 10:51 AM (piMMO)

***

Two differences between Newt and Romney:

1) Newt has actually fought for and achieved conservative goals as an elected official, Romney has not.

2) Newt started advocating leftist positions after leaving office, but Romney *enacted* them.

I'm not really happy if Newt is our standard bearer, BUT there is at least a chance he'd advance conservative goals. Romney? If he wins, we've already lost.

Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 07:00 AM (7BU4a)

98 If Newt wins the nom and then loses the general, he will be the most hated man in America. oh well, maybe he  can sell some books.

Posted by: whatever at January 24, 2012 07:00 AM (O7ksG)

99 I just thinkNewt will inspire the left and the middle to come out in full force for Obama.

Posted by: whatever at January 24, 2012 10:59 AM (O7ksG)



Doubtful. No one who isn't already in the tank for the American-hating Indonesian piece of shit is going to be motivated to go run and vote for him. Either someone hates America now and will vote for Barky or they don't and won't. The GOP candidate will have no bearing on that, at all.

Posted by: really ... at January 24, 2012 07:00 AM (X3lox)

100 Ugh this formatting stuff is brutal!

Two differences between Newt and Romney:

1) Newt has actually fought for and achieved conservative goals as an elected official, Romney has not.

2) Newt started advocating leftist positions after leaving office, but Romney *enacted* them.I'm not really happy if Newt is our standard bearer, BUT there is at least a chance he'd advance conservative goals. Romney? If he wins, we've already lost.

Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 07:01 AM (7BU4a)

101 ...usually, Chicken Boo references get uncomprehending looks.  I really gotta stop underestimating the Horde. 

Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 24, 2012 07:01 AM (GBXon)

102 Sigh... I'm (very) slowly trying to come to terms with the likely result of the general election- 4 more years of SCOAMF.

We're boned.  So very, very boned.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 24, 2012 07:01 AM (SY2Kh)

103 Maybe Romney is trying to prove himself by getting to where his father couldnt

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 07:01 AM (Q33Iq)

104 " I just thinkNewt will inspire the left and the middle to come out in full force for Obama."

I don't think so.  It's really hard to inspire that many people *against* someone.  You have to be enthused for your candidate.

Of course, that's where our real problem may be.  People may look at the eventual nominee and think "meh."

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 24, 2012 07:01 AM (8y9MW)

105 Romney has a "authentic" problem but Newt has a complete un-electability problem. There is a difference there, no one ever said Romney has flaws (big flaws) But Open Marriage Get Busy Gingrich will implode and therefore Romney is our last best hope...

Posted by: Riker at January 24, 2012 07:01 AM (upBZ+)

106 >>>I think you are ignoring the SC exit polling and I don't understand why. Tea Party married women are not representative of married women generally. That's why I'm ignoring it. I'm ignoring it because of this crazy thing partisans do where they keep insisting, "Well, of course, it stands to reason that most people are as swayed by partisan and ideological appeals as I am." Your average voter doesn't give a shit about "beating the Establishment's favored candidate" or about "fundamental transformations of American civilization." Plus, look, the Tea Party has a very strong *personalized* incentive to pick a candidate and prevail: They want to show themselves as kingmakers, and declare supremacy over the hated establishment. None of this inside-baseball Who-gets-the-corner-office-at-Conservatism, Incorporated bullshit matters to anyone outside of the inside players themselves.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 07:01 AM (nj1bB)

107 nothing like firing up the base with rinos!!!!!

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 24, 2012 07:01 AM (Ho2rs)

108 Sorry, let me try again. The Undeniable Star Power of Newt Gingrich Too bad it wasn't on display last night...

Posted by: naturalfake at January 24, 2012 07:02 AM (XBdI0)

109

That's it, I'm at peace!

 

I want a Papist in the White House, because no Pope can run the country worse than Obama!  

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 24, 2012 07:02 AM (U+BDE)

110 Speaking as a Mormon, I think part of Romney's problem is that he's "Mormon-nice." In our church, we're taught to be positive in our outlook and attitude, and it does often come across as fake or forced to people who aren't familiar with it.

***
Prior to launching their much lauded Book of Mormon on Broadway, Parker and Stone did an episode about a Mormon family who moved to South Park. It was about just how incredibly nice and wholesome they are. In the end, those who couldn't accept them looked more like assholes for it.


OOOOHHH! Nice people. Blech!

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 07:03 AM (piMMO)

111 "Sincerity--if you can fake that you can go anyplace." ~ Benny Hill

Romney looks, talks and acts like a phony. He would have done better to take some acting lessons all these years he has been prepping for this run.

Posted by: SurferDoc at January 24, 2012 07:03 AM (6H6FZ)

112 At this point I would prefer a series of contest between Mitt Romney and Newt, becoming more irrelevant to the presidency as time goes on.

Newt vs. Mitt in three rounds of rock-em sock-em robots. When you have to have a finger on the button, who's is strongest?

Posted by: Obi Wan Kenobi at January 24, 2012 07:03 AM (5wsU9)

113

54 ....Romney obviously needs to work on .... displaying more passion.
------

Oh please, noooo. .....He's already creepy enough with that plastic smile of his. .....My stomach couldn't take "passionate Mitt". .....No one would buy it anyway. Not from a guy who is hardassedly repressive enough to deny himself taking a sip of beer or coffee.

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 07:03 AM (ALwK/)

114 Awesome, now our top two candidates have approval numbers with Independents in the low 20's.  This is certainly better off than when one of them had Independent approval in the 40's all of two weeks ago. 

Neither candidate is particularly good (don't even pretend that the Freddie Mac Man is a free market candidate).  Both are better than Obama.  At this point, I don't care which one wins, just so long as this rather ridiculous internecine struggle comes to an end very, very shortly.

Posted by: Aaron at January 24, 2012 07:03 AM (Tlix5)

115 Someone said Romney is haunted by his father's "brainwashing" gaffe in 1968 and doesn't want to screw up the same way.

Makes sense.

Posted by: jeanne! with two N's and an E at January 24, 2012 07:03 AM (GdalM)

116 We are so boned.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at January 24, 2012 07:03 AM (f9c2L)

117

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 10:45 AM (nj1bB)

 

in 2008 bush wouldve waxed the floor w/ obama. the people that think otherwise forget how good bush is on the campaign, how he connects w/ people much better than most. and as further proof, i've never seen a billboard or bumper sticker lamenting not electing mccain but i've seen plenty expressing how much bush is missed.

Posted by: chas at January 24, 2012 07:04 AM (TKF1Y)

118 I would bet he does not talk this way around his family.

My recommendation would be to seat Ann and the rest of the family front and center and have him talk like he was explaining this stuff to his older grandkids, who are teenagers.
----
Actually, I think this is how Mitt is at home. 

Look, they spend (or did spend) every Monday night together on family home evenings.  I've browsed through the guides for those at Deseret book.  They are very orderly and organized things.  (It's a great idea, btw, I'm not criticizing it, just saying it's a cultural thing to be organized even in family things.) 

This is Mitt's personality.  For whatever set of reasons, he has a really hard time relating to regular folks.  The stories he shares about himself provide a window onto that, imho.  The dog story is bad not just because of what happened to the dog but because Mitt really thought that was a good story to tell about himself.  Same thing with calling himself "unemployed" and talking about his mission and the bucket thing. 

It's not a reason to not vote for the guy, but it is as inherent in who he is as Perry's accent is, imho. 

My husband, who does not follow politics closely and is not a news junkie (but who is conservative), thinks Romney is just like Kerry.  That's a problem for Mitt if it's a widespread opinion. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:04 AM (5H6zj)

119 Sorry, let me try again.

The Undeniable Star Power of Newt Gingrich

***

Now see, this is where html could be applied to great effect. Just imagine it in flashing bold red font with a gold outline.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 07:04 AM (piMMO)

120 damn, html editor isn't working...must remember that.

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2012 07:04 AM (eM8UH)

121 off sock

Posted by: taylor at January 24, 2012 07:04 AM (5wsU9)

122 2) Newt started advocating leftist positions after leaving office,
but Romney *enacted* them

To me, you're making the opposite point.  Newt's advocacy of liberal ideas is an unforced error.  Romney's were in a hopeless liberal state.  I'll give more of a pass on a politician following his constituents even if he disagrees than than on a pundit who is just trying to curry favor with friends.

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 07:04 AM (T0NGe)

123

Damn, that would be a catchy bumper sticker, too!

 

Santorum 2012: Better Pope Than Obama!

 

 

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 24, 2012 07:04 AM (U+BDE)

124

The Texas thing, so close to GWB, was never going to work. Never mind how magnificent teh Perry is.

The left are already showing signs of life now that Newt looks to be over-taking Romney.

Posted by: whatever at January 24, 2012 07:05 AM (O7ksG)

125 Bob Dole is funny. Who the hell knew?

Hey, I knew.  He was funny when he ran for VP.  But, I'm that old.   That's why I thought SNL was totally off in their lampoon of him, though it was funny in itself - of a spoof of a clueless notion of Dole.

Posted by: jeanne! with two N's and an E at January 24, 2012 07:05 AM (GdalM)

126 87 I'm not saying that I'm blindly jealous of that, but I'm blindly jealous of that.  Hellllllooooo nurse!

Along with the life size animaniacs we of course have tons of production art.

Hard to tell from the photo - they sit on a pot shelf about 12' with a 20' ceiling. We decorate them for Christmas too. Their ultimate fate is to be broken up in a dumpster. Honest.

Posted by: Clutch Cargo at January 24, 2012 07:05 AM (Qxdfp)

127 >>>peaking as a Mormon, I think part of Romney's problem is that he's "Mormon-nice." In our church, we're taught to be positive in our outlook and attitude, and it does often come across as fake or forced to people who aren't familiar with it. That's funny, someone just said the same thing to me last night, pretty much. Regarding Romney's "plastic smile:" That's hideous. It may stem from him training himself to never show anger. The trouble is, he does show it. The forced smile comes off worse than simply showing the anger!

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 07:05 AM (nj1bB)

128 The stupid meme that Gingrich will bring out the left is stupid. Whoever the next republican hitler is will do that.

BTW, Mitt's biggest conservative accomplishment = raising a family!

Barack Obama is now conservative!

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 07:05 AM (Q33Iq)

129 romney is who he is......the fact that we are discussing how he has to change shows how screwed we are.....

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 24, 2012 07:06 AM (Ho2rs)

130 I sure hope the unfavorability shift just shows a Romney-dependent shift and isn't from the popularist impact the Bain & Income-Inequality/taxation hits have had. Because those hits will transfer to all Republicans if so.

It would be nice to have seen the other candidates numbers, other than just Romney's.... perhaps they were withheld for a reason...

Posted by: Uriah Heep at January 24, 2012 07:06 AM (447Af)

131 Plus, look, the Tea Party has a very strong *personalized* incentive to pick a candidate and prevail: They want to show themselves as kingmakers, and declare supremacy over the hated establishment.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 11:01 AM (nj1bB)

 

yes, this right here!! that has been the biggest problem this primary. the tea party has flirted around w/ worthless candidates (cain) because they are more concerned w/ trying to show they run things than they are w/ winning.

Posted by: chas at January 24, 2012 07:07 AM (TKF1Y)

132 plenty expressing how much bush is missed

In the current political environment, Even Bob Dole is sorely missed.

Posted by: Bob Saget at January 24, 2012 07:07 AM (SDkq3)

133 Hmm, links don't work any more?
http://bit.ly/zB4RSJ

Yakko is about waist high.

Posted by: Clutch Cargo at January 24, 2012 07:07 AM (Qxdfp)

134

Damn, am I the ONLY one that sees potential in Santorum?

Who's the one guy that can't be savaged the way Mittnewt have been?  Who lacks the incredible negatives of Newt, and the glass jaw of Mitt?

 

At least give the guy consideration, guys.

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 24, 2012 07:07 AM (U+BDE)

135 yeah, newt is a sane choice...take a look at drudge headline for a sec

Posted by: runner at January 24, 2012 07:08 AM (WR5xI)

136 "But he's not really a good politician. Never has been."

One of my primary problems with Romney is that I can't figure out why he wants to be President.  Because his father wanted it, but couldn't run on account of not being a natural citizen?  He doesn't seem to have any inner values/principles that drive him to seek the office.  All three of the others have that (Newt does; you can quibble, but he's got real passion when he talks politics - always has).

He seems like an automaton driven by programming - no internal "there" there.

Posted by: Looks Like We're in for Nasty Weather at January 24, 2012 07:08 AM (eMtQ2)

137 Not from a guy who is hardassedly repressiveenough to deny himself taking a sip of beer or coffee.

***
You've gotta be kidding. Not faith. Not his devotion to his beliefs....hardassed repressive?

Well, you can rest comfortably in the knowledge that Newt has absolutely no fucking control over his urges.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 07:08 AM (piMMO)

138 OK not even Bob Dole gets to use italics today.

Posted by: Bob Dole at January 24, 2012 07:08 AM (SDkq3)

139 135 runner oh Lord

Posted by: phoenixgirl all in for perry at January 24, 2012 07:09 AM (Ho2rs)

140 The only candidate I trusted to govern they way I wished was Perry, and he is gone.  Now, I only look at electability, and I think Romney would fare better than Gingrich in the general.  It isn't about getting what I want anymore, it is about throwing out the Turd-in-Chief.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at January 24, 2012 07:09 AM (Pixxe)

141 >>Tea Party married women are not representative of married women generally.

My read of the exit polls was that Newt pulled more than Tea Partiers.  He pulled everyone except the most educated (grad degrees), richest, and liberal Republicans. 

Maybe you saw exit polling that showed a different breakout, but to me the people who voted Mitt had decided months ago.  The people who decided late voted for Newt.  That even argues against the Evangelicals voting like little sheeples "against the Mormon" since they didn't go to Santorum. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:09 AM (5H6zj)

142 116 We are so boned.

Boned is just a state of mind.

A state of mind that makes your butt hurt.

Posted by: Clutch Cargo at January 24, 2012 07:09 AM (Qxdfp)

143 jeez

Posted by: phoenixgirl voter without a candidate at January 24, 2012 07:09 AM (Ho2rs)

144

You know, a stinky sock should be able to beat Obama this year and yet, I actually think he's going to pull this off and get 4 more years. I'll vote for ABO but enthusism is going to be so low, I fear I'll be the only one in my district.

The GOP- letting you down and crushing conservative dreams since 1988.

Posted by: Ms Choksondik, depressed former Perry supporter at January 24, 2012 07:10 AM (fYOZx)

145 yeah, newt is a sane choice...take a look at drudge headline for a sec

****
Well, without the cheering and the booing, how do we know what we like?

Posted by: Average Newt Voter at January 24, 2012 07:10 AM (piMMO)

146 PT Barnum hit the nail on the head.

Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 24, 2012 07:10 AM (Ptem3)

147 Yes, Mutt smiles a lot, while directing his staff to stab you in the back. Let's not forget that post 2008 hatchet job on Palin.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 07:10 AM (YdQQY)

148 What's even worse about Mitt's "plastic smile".......is that it adds to the way that he seems to be basking in his 'inevitablity', and he is just being patient with all these formalities that he is be inconvenienced with.

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 07:10 AM (ALwK/)

149 BTW, it is *possible* that post-Clinton this affair stuff doesn't matter anymore. But I don't think heavily-invested partisans' say-so settles the issue. I keep saying this: Just saying the words "Gingrich had some marital troubles" is much different from than the details of it. Now maybe people don't care about the details. My sense is, though, that people do care about stuff like that. And that shit will get pushed. My sense of the "average voter" is that he's a near simpleton and responds to shit like "looks good in a suit" and "has a nice family." This isn't about me attacking partisans generally. It's a more pointed attack: Don't think independents know shit about anything. They do not like politics or else they'd bother following it. They make decisions on proxy stuff like "seems like a nice guy" or "has a nice family," largely. Now it may be that the economy is so bad people say "I don't give a shit about these personal matters." But if that's the case I don't know why you'd favor the politician/lobbyist over the financial genius.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 07:10 AM (nj1bB)

150 One of my primary problems with Romney is that I can't figure out why he wants to be President. Because his father wanted it, but couldn't run on account of not being a natural citizen?
-------------------

I think he wants to go where his father couldn't in getting the nomination and ultimately the white house to prove himself and to carry his own legacy. It's an innate psychological thing I think. I hope Mitt Jr has the smarts though to not campaign in MA when he wants to follow his dad in 40 years.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 07:11 AM (Q33Iq)

151 Damn, am I the ONLY one that sees potential in Santorum?
Who's the one guy that can't be savaged the way Mittnewt have been? Who lacks the incredible negatives of Newt, and the glass jaw of Mitt?

At least give the guy consideration, guys.

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 24, 2012 11:07 AM (U+BDE)

I wouldn't support Huckabee in 2008, and Santorum 2012 looks like a Huckabee clone to me.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at January 24, 2012 07:11 AM (Pixxe)

152 #118  It was the SON who told the dog story.  Then Romney got asked about it.

Well,  we will see if I am right or you are.  Seems to me that plenty of people who grow up in the Mormon community (Donnie and Marie Osmond come to mind) are not dry and stiff,  and I assume they went to the same type of family meetings.

Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 07:11 AM (GoIUi)

153 134 Damn, am I the ONLY one that sees potential in Santorum?
Who's the one guy that can't be savaged the way Mittnewt have been? Who lacks the incredible negatives of Newt, and the glass jaw of Mitt?

At least give the guy consideration, guys.

----

I am, but he's not showing me anything. 

He is untouched by scandal because he has not been a serious threat owing to a combination of no money, so-so support, low charisma, and a weak platform. 

And if we're talking about turn-offs, he scares me a bit with his need to drag religion into every talking point.  (And I'm Catholic.) 

If he is not running as a holy roller he needs to up his game and show me that.

But even then, I still see no reason to go for a less accomplished legislator when Newt is running. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:11 AM (5H6zj)

154 Santorum has a likeability problem based on my kids response to him. They don't watch a lot of the debates but when they do and Santorum is on they say "I don't like this guy". They've expressed liking Newt the most, next Romney, then (shudder) Paul. Santorum never. So, no help from that source. I wish there was a credible way for Perry to get back in the race and live up to his potential. But, there isn't. This is it folks.

Posted by: naturalfake at January 24, 2012 07:11 AM (XBdI0)

155 Gee Steve Jobs wife to be in Presidential Box tonight. Ya know Jobs might have been a Democrat ( but he hardly made political contributions ) but he lived his life and his Company like a Republican.

Posted by: nevergiveup at January 24, 2012 07:12 AM (i6RpT)

156 "Romney has an authentic inauthenticity problem."

. . . as did the boy who cried wolf. It's called lying - or political expedience.

I guess since Romney's a D-bag, that makes Newt the S-sandwich. I guess I am going to have to take a bite.

Posted by: Flounder at January 24, 2012 07:12 AM (Kkt/i)

157 Y-Not, the republican primary electorate in each and every state is made up of the most politically attuned and ideological people in that state. Are you claiming that less-interested people bother voting in primaries?

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 07:12 AM (nj1bB)

158 #1 polling question: Cares about people like me. Yeah, it's stupid, and that's what we get for letting women vote and all. But it is what matters. It is why Bill Clinton's feel your pain schtick worked. And it is why a minority with no other accomplishments can be appealing - because he is an other, an other can care about me, I am an other. That's why the gays support Obama even though his official position on gay marriage is the same as the GOP platform. Because he cares about people like me. That is why Romney's inauthenticity problem is a problem, and why his being a rich guy is a problem. John Kerry was a zillionaire but at least he played the "fighting for hte little guy" card. Yes, he lost, but he was closer than he ought to be. And this is where the New Newt is succeeding. Old Newt was intellectually wrapped up in the coolness of his ideas, so when he said that he had this replacement for Medicare that would be so exciting that it would make Medicare die on the vine, he didn't get it. This is where he is being more careful. His attacks on Romney are NOT attacks on capitalism, and when he ventured to close to that, he backed off. And his attack is more focused on the "cares about people like me" message. Sure, Romney is a businessman, and he made a lot of money, but the cold calculating decisions did not show a lot of cares about people like me. In order to sell the right wing social engineering, you have to make it sound like it's caring about people like me (I know the repetition is getting annoying, bear with me.) So he isn't saying that poor kids should be in orphanages, he is saying poor kids should be given an opportunity to work and earn and learn so that they can grow up to be successful. Obama and OWS have been gearing up for Romney for a long time. The class warfare message is all about caring about people like me. I don't know if you've noticed, but calling the President out on class warfare is falling flat. He has an effective parry - they call it class warfare, if standing up for people like you is class warfare, I am a proud warrior. Newt's attack on Romney from that angle may seem like he is carrying Obama's water, but he is taking the weapon away from him. In the magnum opus about Romney, you missed the cares about people like me factor. The banal platitudes aren't about that. Newt has been clear about the reason he wants paychecks not food stamps is because he wants people to be able to work and earn their way. That's a cares about you message. Romney's 59 point plan deals with jobs as a technical measure that fits into an economic theory.

Posted by: blaster at January 24, 2012 07:13 AM (7vSU0)

159 Y-not......I agree with your husband. ....Romney is so much like Kerry, he could be a clone. .....That's what I've been saying. Which is why Romney is going to have big problems in the Southern states.

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 07:13 AM (ALwK/)

160 147 Yes, Mutt smiles a lot, while directing his staff to stab you in the back. Let's not forget that post 2008 hatchet job on Palin.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 11:10 AM (YdQQY)

 

Tell me about it!

Posted by: Fred Thompson at January 24, 2012 07:13 AM (fYOZx)

161

Amazing how an organization with no leader or leadership per se is attrubuted with so many political shenanigans. The TEA party seems to have become "they" when in fact they are we.

Posted by: maddogg at January 24, 2012 07:13 AM (OlN4e)

162 Oh, and by the way, womanizers make good politicians because they are used to telling women what they want to hear in order to close the deal.

Posted by: blaster at January 24, 2012 07:14 AM (7vSU0)

163 "But I don't think heavily-invested partisans' say-so settles the issue."

I don't think there are that many "heavily-invested partisans" on the Newt issue, Ace.

I think we're seeing the least bad of a bad lot.

You, yourself, said you picked Mitt because he seemed most electable.  Well, now that's gone down the tubes.  So, based on *record* who's the best one (with a chance)?

Based on my criteria, it's Newt.  That's not saying much, because it's not that hard to be better, on your record, that Mitt Romney, and Santorum and Luap Nor never really had a chance.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 24, 2012 07:14 AM (8y9MW)

164 hahahah that drudge headline is hysterical.  But he's right.  The audience was dead.  I wondered if there was a single republican or conservative in the group.  I wondered if NBC had deliberately filled the audience with liberal and dems to mess with the candidates.

Posted by: ambrosia at January 24, 2012 07:14 AM (oZfic)

165 135 yeah, newt is a sane choice...take a look at drudge headline for a sec

*   *   *

The crowd for the presidential debates (if there are any) will not be allowed to show much in the way of reactions either.

Posted by: M80B at January 24, 2012 07:14 AM (d6QMz)

166 I wouldn't support Huckabee in 2008, and Santorum 2012 lookslike a Huckabee cloneto me.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at January 24, 2012 11:11 AM (Pixxe) 

***

Huckabee was a liberal on everything other then social issues.

Santorum, other then dabbling with Bushian Compassionate Conservativism, has been a solid conservative - and was with Newt when they were fighting for welfare reform and the government shutdown.

He is *easily* the most conservative candidate left in the race.

Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 07:15 AM (7BU4a)

167 >>>They've expressed liking Newt the most, next Romney, then (shudder) Paul. interesting. not being snarky, but I find who-kids-like data predictive. Honestly, I think most of the non-informed herd in the middle makes their decisions based on inborn crap like this, just like children. except they do have political impulses, like they know they don't like big government, or they are afraid of Christian fundamentalists, or whatever. Whatever big bullet point thing they believe in.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 07:15 AM (nj1bB)

168 One of my primary problems with Romney is that I can't figure out why he wants to be President. Because his father wanted it, but couldn't run on account of not being a natural citizen?

Posted by: Looks Like We're in for Nasty Weather at January 24, 2012 11:08 AM (eMtQ2)

------------------------------------------------

One of the interesting points of a potential Romney run is that natural-born citizenship and polygamy will be relevant issues, with Romney having a connection to both only because of his family's past (long gone past for polygamy) and Barky has both attributes NOW.

That said, this isn't enough for me to want Romney ... but such a race would be interesting in these respects.  I am still amazed that we had the first true product of a polygamous family (a muslim one, at that and with a brother living in a friggin cardboard box!) running in 2008 and, while the idiotic arguments over the asinine idea of "gay marriage" was raging no one could be bothered to think about the non-natural born citizen, polygamist product that was running for the highest office in a land not his own.

Posted by: really ... at January 24, 2012 07:15 AM (X3lox)

169 Huckabee was a liberal on everything other then social issues.

Santorum, other then dabbling with Bushian Compassionate Conservativism, has been a solid conservative - and was with Newt when they were fighting for welfare reform and the government shutdown.

He is *easily* the most conservative candidate left in the race.


Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 07:15 AM (7BU4a)

170 hahahah that drudge headline is hysterical. But he's right. The audience was dead. I wondered if there was a single republican or conservative in the group. I wondered if NBC had deliberately filled the audience with liberal and dems to mess with the candidates. Posted by: ambrosia at January 24, 2012 11:14 AM (oZfic) As per NBC rules, the audience was told NOT to react and applaud

Posted by: nevergiveup at January 24, 2012 07:15 AM (i6RpT)

171

OK, gaming this out--if we were to draft someone, who would it be?

It can't be someone who has endorsed one of the two active frontrunners (No Christie, No Fred!).  It can't be someone who has dropped out (No Perry, No Hunstman--giggle).  It can't be someone with excessive baggage (No Rudy!, No Jeb, No Palin--sorry, Palinites, it's true.)

Has to have executive experience. 

Jindal or Daniels.

Pick one.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 24, 2012 07:15 AM (B+qrE)

172 135 yeah, newt is a sane choice...take a look at drudge headline for a sec

Posted by: runner at January 24, 2012 11:08 AM (WR5xI)

________________

Look at the guy in the middle top of the pic...the one with one finger to his mouth.  Looks like Rush.

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 07:15 AM (X6akg)

173 >>>I don't think there are that many "heavily-invested partisans" on the Newt issue, Ace. yes, I'm talking about the primary electorate, unless you think they're a typical cross-section and good proxy for the general election electorate.

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 07:16 AM (nj1bB)

174 Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 11:01 AM (nj1bB) That is a poor hypothesis.

Posted by: eman at January 24, 2012 07:16 AM (g08ab)

175 A squad of Egyptian Bedouin on Sunday took control of a resort complex in Sinai, for which they are demanding a ransom of four million Egyptian pounds (approximately $662,000). According to reports by Egyptian media, the squad, armed with automatic weapons, took hold of "Aqua Sun", situated about 30 kilometers south of Taba, Egypt. I think I had sex on that beach. Ah the good old days

Posted by: nevergiveup at January 24, 2012 07:16 AM (i6RpT)

176 "Look at the guy in the middle top of the pic...the one with one finger to his mouth. Looks like Rush. Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 11:15 AM (X6akg)" That's Bob Buckhorn, Mayor of Tampa

Posted by: Oh good at January 24, 2012 07:16 AM (PMbrs)

177 Some one explain to me how we got to this point? Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at January 24, 2012 11:16 AM (OWjjx) Didn't you hear? All Palin's fault.

Posted by: blaster at January 24, 2012 07:16 AM (7vSU0)

178 Perry didn't "tell people what they wanted to hear". .....And that didn't work out too well.

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 07:17 AM (ALwK/)

179 Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 11:11 AM (Q33Iq)

I think you could be right.  With the field that's left, then, I'll go with Newt for fire-in-the-belly.  I want a leader with some passion for America.  I don't agree with his vision, but at least he's got one.  Obama's vision is for America to mire in the sea of mediocrity and discontent/class-warfare.  Would prefer Perry or Palin(!!), but they're not around.

Posted by: Looks Like We're in for Nasty Weather at January 24, 2012 07:17 AM (eMtQ2)

180 Coolczech, I've moved from Perry to Santorum because I think he is more conservative than Romney or Gingrich. 

Posted by: Chris Christie at January 24, 2012 07:17 AM (90w0O)

181 Y-not......I agree with your husband. ....Romney is so much like Kerry, he could be a clone. .....That's what I've been saying. Which is why Romney is going to have big problems in the Southern states.

****

Wrong. Romney lost SC only after Newt put on his top hat and did a jig for them. Many other people are turned off by it. I am in the South, and I will be voting for Romney in the primary.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 07:17 AM (piMMO)

182 Whoops- that was not a Christie endorsement.

Posted by: Matt at January 24, 2012 07:18 AM (90w0O)

183 Some one explain to me how we got to this point?

Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at January 24, 2012 11:16 AM (OWjjx)

 

Purity pimps like Michelle Malkin driving good conservatives away from the race in the search for perfection.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at January 24, 2012 07:18 AM (Pixxe)

184 Didn't you hear? All Palin's fault.

******

And BUSH! Don't forget BUUUUSH!

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 07:18 AM (piMMO)

185 Some one explain to me how we got to this point? Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at January 24, 2012 11:16 AM (OWjjx) Americans have gotten to used to the good life and have gotten soft. And also something about: Ripper: Mandrake? Mandrake: Yes, Jack? Ripper: Have you ever seen a Commie drink a glass of water? Mandrake: Well, I can't say I have, Jack. Ripper: Vodka, that's what they drink, isn't it? Never water? Mandrake: Well, I-I believe that's what they drink, Jack, yes. Ripper: On no account will a Commie ever drink water, and not without good reason. Mandrake: Oh, eh, yes. I, uhm, can't quite see what you're getting at, Jack. Ripper: Water, that's what I'm getting at, water. Mandrake, water is the source of all life. Seven-tenths of this Earth's surface is water. Why, do you realize that 70 percent of you is water? Mandrake: Good Lord! Ripper: And as human beings, you and I need fresh, pure water to replenish our precious bodily fluids. Mandrake: Yes. (he begins to chuckle nervously) Ripper: Are you beginning to understand? Mandrake: Yes. (more laughter) Ripper: Mandrake. Mandrake, have you never wondered why I drink only distilled water, or rainwater, and only pure-grain alcohol? Mandrake: Well, it did occur to me, Jack, yes. Ripper: Have you ever heard of a thing called fluoridation. Fluoridation of water? Mandrake: Uh? Yes, I-I have heard of that, Jack, yes. Yes. Ripper: Well, do you know what it is? Mandrake: No, no I don't know what it is, no. Ripper: Do you realize that fluoridation is the most monstrously conceived and dangerous Communist plot we have ever had to face?

Posted by: nevergiveup at January 24, 2012 07:18 AM (i6RpT)

186 I think he wants to go where his father couldn't in getting the nomination and ultimately the white house to prove himself and to carry his own legacy. It's an innate psychological thing I think. I hope Mitt Jr has the smarts though to not campaign in MA when he wants to follow his dad in 40 years.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 11:11 AM (Q33Iq)

I think you can armchair psychologize Obama -- he has major daddy issues -- but look, Mitt is running for president because he has a reasonable chance to win.  You don't go through 6 years of this crap just to prove something to a daddy you knew and loved.

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 07:18 AM (T0NGe)

187 "...the republican primary electorate in each and every state is made up of the most politically attuned and ideological people in that state."

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 11:12 AM (nj1bB)

Except that the primaries have been co-opted by the Paulians and those from the left who would vote in a Republican primary for their own ends. Until the primaries are all closed, your statement is factually correct but doesn't recognize reality.

And that's one of the big reasons we now have the choice between a shit sandwich with hot sauce and a shit sandwich with mayo.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 07:18 AM (nEUpB)

188 That's Bob Buckhorn, Mayor of Tampa

Posted by: Oh good at January 24, 2012 11:16 AM (PMbrs)



Ah...well, he looks like Rush.

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 07:19 AM (X6akg)

189

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 11:04 AM (T0NGe)

 

did mittens not realize how liberal mass was when he ran for governor?? thats just not an acceptable excuse.

 

Posted by: chas at January 24, 2012 07:19 AM (TKF1Y)

190 So much for ditching the guy with the Palin-level unfavorables, huh?

Posted by: holygoat at January 24, 2012 07:19 AM (XnwWl)

191 Are you claiming that less-interested people bother voting in primaries?

Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 11:12 AM (nj1bB)


I would say that is probably true ace. I use my MIL as an example. She is an ultra-conservative Texan but she doesn't follow politics at all. She did not vote in the primary here.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 07:20 AM (YdQQY)

192 Posted by: nevergiveup at January 24, 2012 11:16 AM (i6RpT)

When it was still Israeli?

I dived off of the tip of Sinai when I was a kid. Best diving in the world!

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 07:20 AM (nEUpB)

193 Newt's advocacy of liberal ideas is an unforced error. Romney's were in a hopeless liberal state.
***
Newt has been reckless since leaving office, bouncing from one idea to the next. But as a commentator, that is his job, however when in office he was a solid conservative.

Romney was governor of MA, true. And he consistently refused to fight for conservative principles. The only thing, in fact, he has been consistent about in his whole career.

There is no guarantee that we will get the 1994 version of Newt. But if we get *any* version of Romney he will, at best, go along with the status quo - which Obama has pushed far to the left.

Posted by: 18-1 at January 24, 2012 07:20 AM (7BU4a)

194 "Some one explain to me how we got to this point?"

We slept too long.  By the time we woke up, the GOP was center-left, and the Dems were high-fiving Karl Marx.

Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 24, 2012 07:20 AM (GBXon)

195 158 Y-Not, the republican primary electorate in each and every state is made up of the most politically attuned and ideological people in that state.

Are you claiming that less-interested people bother voting in primaries?
---

You're more expert on this than I am, but I think that exit polling from South Carolina is every bit as useful as general election polling ten months out.  It seems as though you are influenced too heavily by one and not enough by the other.

I was shocked by the exit polling for SC.  It didn't look like just a tea party victory.  It looked like a pretty broad base of support to me.  However, it is true that Romney won the folks who have a negative view of the tea party.  I'm not sure that's a great thing. 

I'm not a tea partier.  I think it has been a useful movement, but I think when it became institutionalized and people were claiming to lead it it was doomed.  Now I think it's not much of anything, frankly, when a guy like Chaffetz does not run against Hatch and throws in with Romney so early. 

But although I think the movement is kind of dead, the sentiment is still there.  And I think that's why Paul is a bigger threat this year.  I think he's pulling some of those frustrated people. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:21 AM (5H6zj)

196 Look at the guy in the middle top of the pic...the one with one finger to his mouth. Looks like Rush.

rush does live in florida, could be , could be...

Posted by: runner at January 24, 2012 07:21 AM (WR5xI)

197 >>> My read of the exit polls was that Newt pulled more than Tea Partiers. He pulled everyone except the most educated (grad degrees), richest, and liberal Republicans.

SIgh... when are people going to get it through their heads that GOP primary voters are IN NO WAY AT ALL representative of the electorate at large?

It's like suggesting that Michele Bachmann run for Senate in Massachussets because she did so well in her district in the 2010 midterms.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 24, 2012 07:21 AM (SY2Kh)

198 Ace: With respect, your first choice 2008 and 2012 preferred-Presidential candidates have both endorsed Newt this election cycle. Maybe that indicates something.

Posted by: Random at January 24, 2012 07:21 AM (YiE0S)

199 And that's one of the big reasons we now have the choice between a shit sandwich with hot sauce and a shit sandwich with mayo.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 11:18 AM (nEUpB)

Actually looking at the county-by-county breakdown in the SC primary, it appears that the Dems who voted in the primary went for Mutt, not Crazy Uncle.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 07:22 AM (YdQQY)

200 Vic,

Thanks for the BBQ link!

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 07:22 AM (nEUpB)

201 They're already starting the "Swiss Mitt" attacks in the media. I think Gingrich's goal with the tax stuff and Bain stuff was to smash Romney's aura of electability.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 07:23 AM (Q33Iq)

202 When it was still Israeli? I dived off of the tip of Sinai when I was a kid. Best diving in the world! Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 11:20 AM (nEUpB) Yes when Israel controlled Sinai. Ras Mahammad?

Posted by: nevergiveup at January 24, 2012 07:23 AM (i6RpT)

203

@183....Niedermeyer

-------

If Romney ends up being the nominee, I hope that there are *a lot* of people like you, NDH. .....It's not something that I want to be right about.

 

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 07:23 AM (ALwK/)

204 Newt has been clear about the reason he wants paychecks not food stamps is because he wants people to be able to work and earn their way. That's a cares about you message. Romney's 59 point plan deals with jobs as a technical measure that fits into an economic theory.
---

Good points, blaster. 

People say Newt is unelectable because he's repulsive, ugly, and old. 

To me he looks like Santa Clause or a garden gnome.  Paint him blue and he's a Smurf.  Pretty darned likable. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:24 AM (5H6zj)

205 did mittens not realize how liberal mass was when he ran for governor?? thats just not an acceptable excuse.

***
Are you fucking kidding? So a citizen of a state shouldn't run for office if the leanings of the electorate are opposite of his own beliefs? He should just fucking write it off and, what, move?!

Damn, Scott Walker....it's time for you to go!!!

Chris Christie, GTFO!

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 07:24 AM (piMMO)

206 Gingrich did win a huge bible belt state among the frickin GOP, the most anally retentive on so con issues.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 07:24 AM (Q33Iq)

207 Memo to Republicans: Stop attacking each other and concentrate on Obama! And for all the doom sayers here, relax, have a drink, there is a long way to go

Posted by: nevergiveup at January 24, 2012 07:24 AM (i6RpT)

208 I'm not a tea partier. I think it has been a useful movement, but I think when it became institutionalized and people were claiming to lead it it was doomed. Now I think it's not much of anything, frankly, when a guy like Chaffetz does not run against Hatch and throws in with Romney so early.

But although I think the movement is kind of dead, the sentiment is still there. And I think that's why Paul is a bigger threat this year. I think he's pulling some of those frustrated people.

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 11:21 AM (5H6zj)

 

I am a tea partier and I agree completely. And thank God this is Paul's last stand- may he go away to hate Jews and covet their gold in private til the Leprechauns reclaim him.

Posted by: Ms Choksondik, depressed former Perry supporter at January 24, 2012 07:24 AM (fYOZx)

209 Thanks for the BBQ link!

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 11:22 AM (nEUpB)


You're welcome. Good thing I got it in when I did.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 07:24 AM (YdQQY)

210 159

Good analysis, blaster.  You're right about it being about "cares about people like me".  That's why I think corruption (Obama's rich buddies) is a good line of attack.

I also think attacking lawyers is a good parry to class warfare.  You can make the entirely rational point that lawyers are the lubricant by which corruption enters the body politic.  Warren Buffet has an army of lawyers for a reason.

The well-connected elite are the ones who have the government on speed dial.

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 07:25 AM (T0NGe)

211 #195 not even close to accurate but that's mot unexpected.

Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 24, 2012 07:25 AM (Ptem3)

212 I think Gingrich's goal with the tax stuff and Bain stuff was to smash Romney's aura of electability.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 11:23 AM (Q33Iq)


Conservativism and common sense only got taken out as collateral damage ...

Posted by: really ... at January 24, 2012 07:25 AM (X3lox)

213 I've been thinking about this a lot and I guess my biggest concern is who will Romney be once he is inside that Washington DC White House Bubble. Who the hell is this man and exactly what does he stand for. Of course...this is almost a Romney-cliche now.

Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 24, 2012 07:25 AM (digkk)

214 Which is creepier? The clown that looks evil, or the clown that smiles? Answer? Romney.

Posted by: MJ at January 24, 2012 07:25 AM (/x4oj)

215 Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 11:22 AM (YdQQY)

That's my point. Is Romney really the choice of those Republicans who are politically aware and attuned to the minutia of the political process? No, I don't think so. But the fucking Dems who want to play games with democracy sure like Romney.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 07:25 AM (nEUpB)

216 Drudge Headline: [Newt To Pull Out Of Debate If Audience Can't Cheer]


ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED?
IS THIS NOT WHY YOU ARE HERE?


This is what we've become, a spectacle. No better than Obama acolytes.

Posted by: Uriah Heep at January 24, 2012 07:25 AM (447Af)

217 #191  Yes, he realized how liberal it was.  And he WON.  He won,  as a Mormon in a heavily Catholic state.  How about them apples?

And he managed to balance their budget.  He also did some things we don't agree with,  but he did get some stuff done despite having a legislature that was 83% democrat.

This is no small accomplishment.

Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 07:26 AM (GoIUi)

218 Jindalor Daniels.
Pick one.

I'd pick Jindal. 

Daniels was my governor for a while.  He was not that impressive (to me).  Even though Jindal seems like he'd be more of the technocrat, I think he has more passion than Daniels does.

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:26 AM (5H6zj)

219 They're already starting the "Swiss Mitt" attacks in the media. I think Gingrich's goal with the tax stuff and Bain stuff was to smash Romney's aura of electability.

******
And here in Florida we're seeing ads about the flip-flops that Newt has made.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 07:26 AM (piMMO)

220 Whatever bring on the fucking meteor already.

Posted by: Mr Pink at January 24, 2012 07:27 AM (MlVck)

221 182 Coolczech, I've moved from Perry to Santorum becauseI think he is more conservative than Romney or Gingrich.

Posted by: Chris Christie at January 24, 2012 11:17 AM (90w0O)

Thats all well and good but we need to sell philosophy this year.  Santorum is just a shitty salesman. 

This year we need to move beyond the paradigm of people, and make our philisophical case to everybody.  I think Newt would be most effective at that.

After all, Milton Friedman had a great point when he said it doesn't really matter who we elect. 

Posted by: bernverdnardo at January 24, 2012 07:27 AM (xXhWA)

222 Who is Jindalor Daniels....and what planet is he from?

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 07:27 AM (X6akg)

223 Well, Brian Williams and NBC did their best to give Romney a boost.

And did you clock Fox & Friends this morning?  They showed Mitt Romney "zingers" (well, as much of a zinger as Romney can deliver)  in 30 to 60 second sound bites, each followed by 4 seconds of Newt with the sound off, thus looking as though he was inarticulately flapping his lips.  Apparently Rupert and Roger panicked after Newt's South Carolina victory, and decided to take direct action.

Fun times, folks! Fun Times!

Posted by: Minnie Rodent at January 24, 2012 07:27 AM (S3rrR)

224 Also, notice how Newt -- the best orator since Pericles if you ask him -- essentially ties or falls to Mitt Romney when the audience isn't allowed to applaud like a pack of rabid wolves and the debate itself is amazingly boring, moderating by some of the most dull people in existence?

Ohh, you mean, like in actual presidential debates?

2000 Bush-Gore moderated by Jim Lehrer (http://tinyurl.com/76yzb45)
2004 Bush-Kerry moderated by Schieffer (http://tinyurl.com/87a6uz5)
2008 Obama-McCain moderated by Jim Lehrer (http://tinyurl.com/3uax6o)

Wanted to cut my femoral with a plastic spoon watching those.

Posted by: Uriah Heep at January 24, 2012 07:28 AM (447Af)

225 I am so sick of politics.  Why can't we just have the Dictatorship of Christina Hendricks' Mighty Tits, and be done with all this squabbling?

Posted by: Sharkman at January 24, 2012 07:28 AM (RtpCp)

226

197......But although I think the movement [tea party] is kind of dead, the sentiment is still there. ....Posted by: Y-not 

-------

It has been hurt by people like Dick Armey and Bachmann, who jumped in front of the parade, and co-opted it for their own personal gain.

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 07:28 AM (ALwK/)

227 @168 >>>They've expressed liking Newt the most, next Romney, then (shudder) Paul. interesting. not being snarky, but I find who-kids-like data predictive. Honestly, I think most of the non-informed herd in the middle makes their decisions based on inborn crap like this, just like children. except they do have political impulses, like they know they don't like big government, or they are afraid of Christian fundamentalists, or whatever. Whatever big bullet point thing they believe in. Posted by: ace at January 24, 2012 11:15 AM (nj1bB) I agree with you about kids being like the middle or independents- ie. low information. That's why I posted it. If the economy gets worse, likability won't matter so much. If gas prices go above $4, likability won't matter so much. If it comes down to a tight race as I suspect it might, likability will be a factor. The guy-to-have-a-beer-with-factor: Most of us would love to have a beer with Gingrich. Even if it's just to see if he's a jerk. A Hawaiian Punch with Romney. Not so much. Psychedelic mushrooms with Ron Paul. Ehhh, maybe. A beer and a scolding with Santorum. Pass.

Posted by: naturalfake at January 24, 2012 07:28 AM (XBdI0)

228 You've got one of the weakest incumbent presidents in a generation or two, and the GOP can't attract top-tier talent? wtf Posted by: Dave at January 24, 2012 10:42 AM (Xm1aB) Because which top-tier talent could withstand the anal probe from the MSM? Which one of us looks forward to the annual colonoscopy? Now have it done 24 hours a day on national TV. God forbid we should put a decent man in the White House.

Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 24, 2012 07:29 AM (digkk)

229 But the fucking Dems who want to play games with democracy sure like Romney.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 11:25 AM (nEUpB)

The only two areas that went for Romney were Columbia and Charleston. Those are heavy Dem urban areas. IYKWIM

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 07:29 AM (YdQQY)

230

Before I even read the comments, I'm assuming the Romney lovers are refuting everything you say, Ace.  I do think you are wrong, but where you are wrong is having it 180 degrees backwards.  Romney is all politician.  Unfortunately, that's the only thing he's good at.  The rest of it, the part that would need to include some element of humanity, even a jerkoff A-type personality, he doesn't have it. 

The party pushed forth an empty suit.  You can't expect to fill a man in there after the fact. 

Posted by: BurtTC at January 24, 2012 07:29 AM (TOk1P)

231 Conservativism and common sense only got taken out as collateral damage ...

****
A small price to pay for such quality entertainment.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 07:29 AM (piMMO)

232 After all, Milton Friedman had a great point when he said it doesn't really matter who we elect.

Posted by: bernverdnardo at January 24, 2012 11:27 AM (xXhWA)

You're wrong.  He said it shouldn't matter.  The system should be set up that even bad politicians do the right thing.

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 07:29 AM (T0NGe)

233 Has anyone pointed out to ace that the blog is screwed?

Maetenloch knows what happened. Apparently "Juicer" screwed it up with all sorts of HTML crap. Can someone with privileges just go back and delete all of Juicer's comments?

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 07:29 AM (nEUpB)

234 Which one of us looks forward to the annual colonoscopy?

LOL, me now.

Posted by: Vic at January 24, 2012 07:30 AM (YdQQY)

235 Eg-cellent!

Posted by: montgomery burns for Romney at January 24, 2012 07:30 AM (K/USr)

236 And here in Florida we're seeing ads about the flip-flops that Newt has made.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 11:26 AM (piMMO)

That's fine. Romney combats Newt's erratic flip flops with his sensible ones. I just hope for Mitt's sake that he isnt pissing off floridians by storming them with robocalls and flyers for the past month.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 07:30 AM (Q33Iq)

237 203 They're already starting the "Swiss Mitt" attacks in the media. I think Gingrich's goal with the tax stuff and Bain stuff was to smash Romney's aura of electability.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at January 24, 2012 11:23 AM (Q33Iq)

Look I'm still trying to understand this game of politics.  The primary thing is like and orchestra without a conductor.  But I've observed how sneaky people are.  How the press can be your enemy.  How leaving one little item out can be devastating at another time when you least expect it to be devastating.  That romney tax return is the size of what a bill used to be.  It's being gone over with a fine toothed comb.  What if they find stuff but romney and the republicans don't know what they found cause they don't say.  They wait until romney if the candidate and they bring it out right before the election.  Sort of like something I vaguely remember about a dunk driving incident or something. 

If this happened to Newt the nominee I think he could handle it.  Romeny hasn't really proven to me that if this happened to him he could handle it.  I'm afraid he'd say "wow you got me guys, that's amazing" in a kind of like mccainian "senator obama would make a good president, don't be afraid of him" way.

Posted by: ambrosia at January 24, 2012 07:31 AM (oZfic)

238 The part of the code that removes newlines... you guys should just delete that part altogether.

Posted by: bernverdnardo at January 24, 2012 07:31 AM (xXhWA)

239
God forbid we should put a decent man in the White House.

The MSM would release a scathing report on Jesus Christ and his connection to a whore during this election cycle. Nobody is coming through this looking decent.

Posted by: taylor at January 24, 2012 07:31 AM (5wsU9)

240 127 >>>Speaking as a Mormon, I think part of Romney's problem is that he's "Mormon-nice." In our church, we're taught to be positive in our outlook and attitude, and it does often come across as fake or forced to people who aren't familiar it." Yeah, but that's because you're taught to do it and it is fake and forced. Look, Scientistologists smile a lot and Christians sometimes talk about how they love "everybody". Don't expect me to buy it! Now most people are either Christians themselves or know so many of them, that we have priced those platitudes in and just give it a pass when we hear them. But to many, "Mormon-nice and Scientologists constant positivity come across as surreal." If you want to appeal to the majority, it's harder to do when, psychologically, you act like a minority. That's just how it is, dude.

Posted by: Random at January 24, 2012 07:31 AM (YiE0S)

241

220 Jindal or Daniels.
Pick one.

 

Neither.  If we go to a brokered convention, the only thing that is going to matter is how much excitement the candidate can generate for the few months before the election.

 

Rubio already has a conservative Jack/Bobby Kennedy vibe going on.  He someone that everyone on the right can project their idea of what a president should be on.  ThatÂ’s how itÂ’s done.

Posted by: jwest at January 24, 2012 07:32 AM (FdndL)

242 Maetenloch knows what happened. Apparently "Juicer" screwed it up with all sorts of HTML crap. Can someone with privileges just go back and delete all of Juicer's comments?

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 11:29 AM (nEUpB)


Yeah, everyone knows what happened yesterday.  Pixy is working on it.  Juicer's comments have already been deleted.  It appears it takes more than that to fix what he broke.

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 07:32 AM (X6akg)

243 SIgh... when are people going to get it through their heads that GOP primary voters are IN NO WAY AT ALL representative of the electorate at large?

-------
What's your point? 

Republican voters are not Democrats or Indies (well, some are in some states)... except when Republican voters decide to cast their ballot for someone they think Dems and Indies will like. 

What I am saying is that Newt has grabbed a broad group of Republicans.  A broader group of Republicans than Mitt grabs. 

And, I think it is important to attract your "base" Republicans and get them fired up going into the general.  So far it looks like Newt may have the best shot at doing that. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:32 AM (5H6zj)

244 "that just shows he's not good at huckstering people" True. Romney has tried to huckster people into believing that he's a conservative, to no avail.

Posted by: cherry at January 24, 2012 07:32 AM (OhYCU)

245 Daniels has been my governor for the entire time,  as I am a native of Indiana.

Since he will be giving the response to the SOTU tonight, people can decide what they think.  Advance word from lieutenant governor is that he will speak from Lucas Oil Stadium, site of the Super Bowl.  He will be live,  not recorded.  He will be armed with facts and figures and will not use bombast,  but rather have a conversation with Americans.

So watch and see what you guys think.

My perspective is different than Y-not's.  I think he has been an excellent governor.

Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 07:32 AM (GoIUi)

246 Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 11:29 AM (piMMO)

I would love a nice boring generation, during which I can be confident that I won't have to use my AR-15 on a regular basis to protect my family.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 07:32 AM (nEUpB)

247 Ace.  WaPo/ABC poll?  They are not known for their accuracy and it's early. 

Posted by: Billy Bob, the 1% at January 24, 2012 07:32 AM (S1INM)

248 226 Also, notice how Newt -- the best orator since Pericles if you ask him -- essentially ties or falls to Mitt Romney when the audience isn't allowed to applaud like a pack of rabid wolves and the debate itself is amazingly boring, moderating by some of the most dull people in existence?

Ohh, you mean, like in actual presidential debates?

Posted by: Uriah Heep at January 24, 2012 11:28 AM (447Af)

And Obama will not debate Newt.  I know a lot of you think, "That will make him look like a chicken!  Great!" Trust me, it won't matter.

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 07:32 AM (T0NGe)

249

Romney:  Comes across as a guy who's a little uncomfortable in his own skin.

Gingrich:  Comes across as a guy who wants to make a woman suit out of your skin. 

Yeah, let's go with Gingrich by all means.

 

Posted by: PalinFan at January 24, 2012 07:33 AM (otN9L)

250 You're wrong. He said it shouldn't matter. The system should be set up that even bad politicians do the right thing.

Posted by: AmishDude at January 24, 2012 11:29 AM (T0NGe)

My point is, it doesn't matter who's technically the most conservative if we can sell the philosophy to a majority.  Newt / Mitt / whoever (even Obama) will fall in line.  Selling philosophy should be our primary concern.

Posted by: bernverdnardo at January 24, 2012 07:34 AM (xXhWA)

251 Watch this interview with Jon Stewart and see if you still think Mitch Daniels has any shot at becoming President. (it's sad)

Posted by: cherry at January 24, 2012 07:35 AM (OhYCU)

252 #242 #127   Yes,  ignore the tenets of your faith.  Act like grumpy and miserable people and everyone will like you better.

I know!  Act like those Westboro Baptist people!  Them there are REAL Christians!

The reader may infer my dripping sarcasm.

Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 07:35 AM (GoIUi)

253 The problem is that the vast majority of the time heÂ’s no more passionate or convincing about the positions he * almost surely* does hold in his heart. **** Jonah Goldberg has deployed not one, but two weasel words in that sentence. Anyways-ace you might be over analyzing it-Romney has one problem- RomneyCare and he refuses to really address it. His campaign -should almost treat it like a bimbo eruption and have him do the long interview with the empathetic interviewer.... Not going to happen-Romney is probably going to have to lose Florida before he figures it out.

Posted by: tasker at January 24, 2012 07:35 AM (r2PLg)

254 215 I've been thinking about this a lot and I guess my biggest concern is who will Romney be once he is inside that Washington DC White House Bubble.

---

Whoever he is, he'll have John Sununu by his side. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:35 AM (5H6zj)

255 Good analysis, blaster. You're right about it being about "cares about people like me". That's why I think corruption (Obama's rich buddies) is a good line of attack. =-=-=- Absolutely. I think the Solyndra thing and all of the other crony capitalism - and yes, I think that is a valid line of attack, because capitalism is fine and dandy, but crony capitalism - where you go to your buddies in gubmint to get a leg up over your competition - is not. Tea Partiers are no fan of that sort of thing, either.

Posted by: blaster at January 24, 2012 07:35 AM (7vSU0)

256 heres link http://tinyurl.com/6e6q5a4

Posted by: cherry at January 24, 2012 07:35 AM (OhYCU)

257

interesting. not being snarky, but I find who-kids-like data predictive. Honestly, I think most of the non-informed herd in the middle makes their decisions based on inborn crap like this, just like children.

 

Maybe this is why I can't stand the little fomites?

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2012 07:35 AM (zvYKO)

258 Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 11:32 AM (X6akg)

Thanks for the update.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 07:36 AM (nEUpB)

259 Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 11:32 AM (X6akg)

Oh, and are they also working on that smell?

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 07:37 AM (nEUpB)

260 re the broken blog, I am sure all the people "helping" by fixing the code are now problematic, since the Juicer issues are not longer there. I would deep six the post altogether.

Posted by: blaster at January 24, 2012 07:37 AM (7vSU0)

261

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 11:24 AM (piMMO)

 

wow, someone has anger issues!! if you run and govern as a liberal than no, you cant use the excuse it was a liberal state but i'll do better as president. no one forced him to support an assault rifle ban, no one forced him to support romneycare. if he had the courage of his convictions he wouldve gone down fighting.

Posted by: chas at January 24, 2012 07:37 AM (TKF1Y)

262 "Speaking as a Mormon, I think part of Romney's problem is that he's "Mormon-nice." In our church, we're taught to be positive in our outlook and attitude, and it does often come across as fake or forced to people who aren't familiar it." I've known some Mormon people in my time and I will say, they are decent enough folk. Romney being a Mormon doesn't even factor into the equation for me because my (relatively few) experiences with Mormons have been positive. "Yeah, but that's because you're taught to do it and it is fake and forced." I think I know what you're trying to say here but I'm going to politely disagree here. More people should be taught that manners matter. I had a Mormon friend as a young woman and she lived the teachings of her church, really believed them and IMO, I was impressed that she lived her beliefs.

Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 24, 2012 07:38 AM (digkk)

263 #250  People forget Carter steadfastly refused to debate Reagan until very late,  when his poll numbers were falling and he needed to attempt a Hail Mary pass.

There is absolutely no way Obama will debate Newt,  unless he has some dirt he wants to spring on him on live national television.

Oh,  here is Dick Armey acting like he is the head of the Tea Parties on Fox now.

Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 07:38 AM (GoIUi)

264 What?! You mean likability ratings can change?! I was told we should determine candidates by these polls

Posted by: runninrebel at January 24, 2012 07:39 AM (bI3Cc)

265 Oh, and are they also working on that smell?

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 24, 2012 11:37 AM (nEUpB)


No...that's part of the charm of this place.

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 07:39 AM (X6akg)

266 Of course Obama won't debate Newt, and when cornered on it will make the rules something that will favor him - a standing townhall format full of people preselected for their sad stories.

Posted by: blaster at January 24, 2012 07:39 AM (7vSU0)

267 To all the Mormons and others who don't understand why taught, fake-niceness isn't as good as real, heartfelt spontaneous niceness, suck on it. Mitt can't even get angry without sounding fake. Gingrich has real emotions, a great bresth of them, and this appeals to most non-indoctrinated people.

Posted by: Random the ex-Mormon at January 24, 2012 07:40 AM (YiE0S)

268 yay my husband hasnt had work in 4 years, I'm having a hard time paying bills, our household income is on the decline.... but man.. Newt cheated on his wife - I think we need 4 more years of my husband not working because I just can't stand Newt's cheating face.

Posted by: woman voter at January 24, 2012 07:40 AM (9AQdP)

269 *bredth

Posted by: Random at January 24, 2012 07:40 AM (YiE0S)

270

257....Absolutely. I think the Solyndra thing and all of the other crony capitalism - and yes, I think that is a valid line of attack, because capitalism is fine and dandy, but crony capitalism - where you go to your buddies in gubmint to get a leg up over your competition - is not. Tea Partiers are no fan of that sort of thing, either.
----------- .

I get your drift, blaster. .....But when you use that term "crony capitalism" it makes it sound like capitalism is the only place in the universe where that crony shit happens. .....Can't we just call it "crony corruption" without attributing it to capitalism?

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 07:42 AM (ALwK/)

271 ""I am so sick of politics. Why can't we just have the Dictatorship of Christina Hendricks' Mighty Tits, and be done with all this squabbling?""



Hell yeah , I can get behind that.

Posted by: Berserker at January 24, 2012 07:42 AM (FMbng)

272

Meh. Washington Post-ABC News

Just a poll to demoralize Republicans.

Posted by: Ed Anger - Certified Kos Kid at January 24, 2012 07:43 AM (7+pP9)

273 >>> What's your point?

Republican voters are not Democrats or Indies (well, some are in some states)... except when Republican voters decide to cast their ballot for someone they think Dems and Indies will like.

What I am saying is that Newt has grabbed a broad group of Republicans. A broader group of Republicans than Mitt grabs.

You still don't get it.

Newt won over a broad group in ONE state, among PRIMARY VOTERS who represent a very small, unrepresentative slice of the electorate at large.  It's a fraction of a fraction of a fraction.

It doesn't make a damned bit of difference how fired up the base is if Independents and other non-primary voters aren't on board.  Besides, the opportunity to oust Obama is already a strong incentive for conservatives to get out the vote.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 24, 2012 07:43 AM (SY2Kh)

274 #269  Yeah,  it is so much better to say to people "suck on it"  a symbol of your authenticity.

So, who would I prefer to sit down and have a chat with,  someone who is "fake nice" (in my day it was "pleasant and polite") or someone who tells me to "suck on it?"

Guess.

Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 07:43 AM (GoIUi)

275 YEAH ROMNEY WOOOO BANG BANG YEAH ROMSTER WOOHOOO!!

Posted by: King Rat at January 24, 2012 07:43 AM (DDSJB)

276 "Whoever he is, he'll have John Sununu by his side. Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 11:35 AM (5H6zj)" You know, interesting...since on the face of it we're having a debate on who is electable, perhaps we should start asking the candidates "Who will be in your cabinet? Who will you appoint?" Give us a broader image to make our decision.

Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 24, 2012 07:44 AM (digkk)

277 Ugh.....

Posted by: Tami at January 24, 2012 07:44 AM (X6akg)

278 It seems voters are more about the superficial than in the past and that's a shame. And I'll get more shit than usual but that was a characteristic mostly attributed to the female voter. Now I say it's equally distributed. If you did s favorability poll with the people who worked closely with each candidate Romney would have a 90 fav and 5 unfav and Gingrich would have just the opposite.

Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 24, 2012 07:45 AM (Ptem3)

279
King Rat: FOAD

Posted by: Ed Anger - Certified Kos Kid at January 24, 2012 07:45 AM (7+pP9)

280 "Capitalism is evil"

- Newt Gingrich "MR Conservative"

Posted by: Total Asshole at January 24, 2012 07:45 AM (bcmD0)

281 So, who would I prefer to sit down and have a chat with, someone who is "fake nice" (in my day it was "pleasant and polite") or someone who tells me to "suck on it?" Guess. Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 11:43 AM (GoIUi) I am going to guess....

Posted by: Bill Clinton at January 24, 2012 07:45 AM (7vSU0)

282 "273 ""I am so sick of politics. Why can't we just have the Dictatorship of Christina Hendricks' Mighty Tits, and be done with all this squabbling?"" Hell yeah , I can get behind that. Posted by: Berserker at January 24, 2012 11:42 AM (FMbng)" Heh! You sure could, Bers! You sure could.

Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 24, 2012 07:46 AM (digkk)

283 #283

And there you have the secret to electability,  and that is likeability.

And Newt isn't going to cut it on that score.

Posted by: Miss Marple at January 24, 2012 07:47 AM (GoIUi)

284 The other problem with the "electability" argument - it shows you care more about what others think than what you think. People should vote for whoever they think is the best candidate.

Posted by: blaster at January 24, 2012 07:47 AM (7vSU0)

285

bernverdnardo

I agree that Santorum is a crappy salesman.  But if you're using the salesman analogy, look at the alternatives.  I think Newt is a great debater, but he is not warmly received, to say the least, by people outside of the GOP.  I think it is safe to say that a lot of people don't like him.  Romney has authenticity issues.  Would you buy a car from the guy you don't like or don't trust?  Santorum is the least bad choice, imho.

Posted by: Matt at January 24, 2012 07:48 AM (90w0O)

286 "283 So, who would I prefer to sit down and have a chat with, someone who is "fake nice" (in my day it was "pleasant and polite") or someone who tells me to "suck on it?" " And...I am sick to death of glorifying gangsta. (BTW, if ghetto gangsta is a "learned" behavior, is it still fake?) Give me decent any day of the week. Give me that learned behavior in the form of good manners and a bright outlook. This is not an endorsement of Romney. NOT flip-flopping on RomneyCare still has me spooked.

Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 24, 2012 07:48 AM (digkk)

287 I would just like to give a hearty "FU" to Georgette Mosbacher and Friends for throwing Rick Perry under the bus all those months ago. Your unwillingness to help prep the best candidate in the field probably cost us this election.

Posted by: Teresa in Fort Worth, TX at January 24, 2012 07:49 AM (aGYmX)

288 At this point, the best realistic outcome is (1) Romney wins but (2) is scared badly enough by Newt that Romney's forced to change his pitch and finally lay down some markers for the base, which should create least some accountability for a first term (recall what happened to Bush I after he broke his "No New Taxes"). 

Otherwise, Romney folks, I gotta tell you I can easily see Romney losing a couple of the "New South" states in the general -- the ones like VA and NC that have been partly colonized by libs and thus need good base turnout to go red.  At which point, it's all over.

Romney is not especially electable now, but in theory he might become an electable candidate through adapting benefically to Newt's challenge.  (N.B. "adapting beneficially" does not mean more nasty attacks on other Republicans.)

Frankly I'm cheering for Newt in FL because I think it will serve the dialectic above.  I want him to beat Romney in Florida but not crush him.

However, if Romney doesn't start showing "personal growth" pretty soon, then I may just say F-it and get on Newt's train, although I don't think that train can reach the White House without derailing.

Posted by: P.M. at January 24, 2012 07:50 AM (2AfKV)

289

289....Teresa in FW

.-------

.

Amen to that!

Posted by: wheatie at January 24, 2012 07:51 AM (ALwK/)

290 " Posted by: P.M. at January 24, 2012 11:50 AM (2AfKV)" Ah, P.M., my friend. Well said.

Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 24, 2012 07:52 AM (digkk)

291 So Republicans should vote for who they think Indies will vote for (because Democrats will not vote for him) based on polling data on a guy who has never had national media scrutiny (outside of a shortened Republican primary)? 

And, we will further layer on the "woman vote" and try to guess how they will react to Newt's fifteen year old affairs (but ignore current data because South Carolina Republican women are not female)... but we will ignore how Independent women will react to the cultural aspects of LDS.  I'm telling you that my LDS women friends and neighbors all report getting negative (pitying) reactions from most non-LDS women because of their traditional lifestyle and values.

Fine. 


I think I'll stick with choosing, from a flawed and limited pool of candidates, the candidate who has accomplished something conservative on the national stage and who is best able to deliver a core conservative message in the general. 

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 07:52 AM (5H6zj)

292 Mitt's fundamental problem is he's too much like his daddy George "I was brainwashed" Romney, who couldn't cut it on the national stage as a presidential candidate either.  Whether it's the Mormon thing or something else of a congenital nature, it's hard to say.  And, actually, George was more qualified than Mitt to be president.

Posted by: boycat at January 24, 2012 07:53 AM (h/e3d)

293 If you did s favorability poll with the people who worked closely with each candidate Romney would have a 90 fav and 5 unfav and Gingrich would have just the opposite.
------

Those are biased insiders from the 'establishment,' you can't trust their judgement. They really don't know more than you or me, they just have the positions because of crony-capitalism and going to liberal schools with lesbians and nose-candy, Sarah told me so.

We need to stand firm and forgot about rational policy. We issue a no-retreat order, we stand here and win or all die. I don't care what anyone tells me. It worked for the German's on the Eastern Front when those 'establishment' generals were overruled by the clever populist wunderkind and it'll work again.

I'm a good historian too, Newt.

//sarcasm

Posted by: Uriah Heep at January 24, 2012 07:54 AM (447Af)

294 King Rat: FOAD

What, you don't like my guns? BUTTHURT

Posted by: King Rat at January 24, 2012 07:54 AM (DDSJB)

295 Romney has "label-paranoia." It's the disease anyone gets when they've been stigmatized with a negative label. Catholic priests have label-paranoia concerning the charge of pedophilia. Most Republicans have label-paranoia concerning the charge of racism. Romney has label-paranoia concerning the charge of Mormonism, of more specifically, cult-ism. When you're in an outlier religious group, this is a real and constant threat. The entire Mormon religion lives with it daily. And they have every right to be paranoid because they are stigmatized all the time by mainstream Christiandom, the media, and others. The way they've dealt with it is, 1) to sequester themselves into regions where they dominate, 2) put on an especially happy face, 3) create an environment of wealth and success, and 4) spend their lifetimes proving they're just like everybody else. Romney has employed all four of these defenses and has been hurt by all of them. First, he tried to avoid the sequestering by moving to Massachusetts. Where on earth could be more un-Mormon than that? This coupled with his number 4 response -- to prove he's like everybody else -- hung the albatross of Romneycare and pro-choiceness around his neck. The happy face mechanism -- which is permanently etched on Romney's face -- hurts him now by making him appear inauthentic. His wealth and success are hurting him now with his Cayman Island accounts. And as mentioned, that "I'm just like you" thing (which is the theme of today's "I'm a Mormon" TV spots) just comes across as false. It's a shame, really. Romney is a decent a person as you'll ever get to run for president. He's smart. He's attractive. He's got the whole package, really ... except for this skin Mormons develop to deflect the prejudices of those around them. I speak as one who has been in outlier religious groups my entire life. I know what I'm talking about.

Posted by: MaxMBJ at January 24, 2012 07:54 AM (deaac)

296 Somebody needs to ban this king rat fucker.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 24, 2012 07:55 AM (RD7QR)

297 And there you have the secret to electability, and that is likeability.

And Newt isn't going to cut it on that score.

Newt's likeable! He's fat. Likeability is inherent as long as he doesn't look like he smells bad.

Posted by: King Rat at January 24, 2012 07:56 AM (DDSJB)

298 Ooo, ban him cause none of us have a sense of humor and we're all really thin-skinned here at the HQ. Waaaaaa!! I don't like sarcasm, waaaaa!

Posted by: King Rat at January 24, 2012 07:58 AM (DDSJB)

299 Romney can't energize the base, period. Of course neither can Newt. Start stockpiling your vodka now, before the shortage spikes the prices.

Posted by: Cricket at January 24, 2012 08:00 AM (DrC22)

300 UNELECTABLE!

Who's next?

Um . . . we just ran out of candidates?

Oh.

Damn.

Posted by: filbert at January 24, 2012 08:02 AM (smvTK)

301 You're just not too bright, are you Prince Rodent? Here, I'll type slowly for you: Repeating the same lame shit over and over is neither funny nor trenchant. In fact it's annoying rather than sarcastic or satirical. Should I break out the hand puppets for you?

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at January 24, 2012 08:05 AM (RD7QR)

302

The funny thing about the "electability" and "likable" stuff, when you have a steady drumbeat of so-called conservatives in the media and politics telling people how likable a guy is, people who tend to listen to those so-called conservatives tend to believe it.  And then when they get a good look at the guy, and he isn't so much either, it may take some time, but they'll figure out for themselves that their betters were wrong, and stop listening to them. 

Big losers in 2012 (just my prediction, I could certainly be wrong): Fox News and all their assorted opinion panelists/Romney cheerleaders.  Pols like Haley, Christie, etc.

And this is whether Romney wins the nomination and/or the White House or not. 

Posted by: BurtTC at January 24, 2012 08:06 AM (TOk1P)

303

295 -

So the guy pulls some made up numbers out of his rectum, and you want to ridicule people who dismiss them?  You know, the myth of Romney's electability is the ONLY thing your boy has going for him.  You better hope people don't catch onto the lie. 

Posted by: BurtTC at January 24, 2012 08:11 AM (TOk1P)

304 Eh, can't force comed..ROMNEY WOOOO BANG BANG!!

Yeah, break out the hand puppets, joncelli.

Posted by: King Rat at January 24, 2012 08:12 AM (DDSJB)

305 Ooo, ban him cause none of us have a sense of humor and we're all really thin-skinned here at the HQ. Waaaaaa!! I don't like sarcasm, waaaaa!

*****

What's next? nana booboo? That's some top level humor you've got going there.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2012 08:23 AM (piMMO)

306 Am I insane? Is it possible that in a time of probably the most incompetent (let alone corrupt) president in history, and facing four more years of the same, who btw couldn't be LESS conservative, we are considering the following: Bypassing the uber-competent business guy, stellar family man with nothing in his private life to even lift an eyebrow (unless you're a religious bigot), who possesses the once-upon-a-time-considered-necessary "executive experience" in BOTH business and government and who won an election with the help of independents & democrats, something that will be needed to win this election like it or not. And why is this? Because he's not CONSERVATIVE enough (see Obama, B. for comparison), or he seems phony or (ironically) he hasn't learned to fake it enough. Or especially because we have a new savior, that darling of independents Newt Gingrich. Conservative extraordinaire, bane of global warming deniers and fans of Paul Ryan, bouncer of checks (remember that?), serial philanderer, shill for Freddie Mac and life-long D.C. insider/academic/egomaniac. Remember when the Obama crew said Huntsman was who they feared most (yeah I know, bullshit). I'm betting Newt wasn't in their top 10.

Posted by: BK at January 24, 2012 08:31 AM (R2Yh0)

307 Sorry for ruining your commenting experience. Won't happen again.

Posted by: King Rat at January 24, 2012 08:38 AM (DDSJB)

308

I have but one question.

When have Thomas Sowell, Art Laffer, Rick Perry, Fred Thompson and Sarah Palin all agreed on something and been wrong?

Posted by: Entropy, Racism Delenda Est at January 24, 2012 08:39 AM (mf67L)

309 Hmmm...if neither of them is electable, then I might as well stick with Newt, since elctablility was Mitt's strong suit.

Posted by: anthony at January 24, 2012 08:41 AM (ReUhY)

310

Um . . . we just ran out of candidates?

Oh.

Damn.

--------------

LOFL.

Recruit MOAR CANDIDATES!

Paul Ryan, report to the TSA for your 'vetting'.

Posted by: Entropy, Racism Delenda Est at January 24, 2012 08:42 AM (mf67L)

311 I'm trying to find any significant differences between Romney and a Barbie Ken doll with dark hair, but I got nothing...

Posted by: Purple Avenger at January 24, 2012 08:45 AM (0eXnU)

312

Damn, Ace - you had finally accepted Perry's horribleness at campaigning and your blog had gotten good again.

Please take a sick day and eat some ice cream or something until you're over Perry.

Posted by: also from Oklahoma at January 24, 2012 08:47 AM (QyMDY)

313 Fuuuuck.

Posted by: Clubber Lang at January 24, 2012 09:06 AM (QcFbt)

314 however distasteful it may be the only solution is Ron Paul

Posted by: Ron Paul is the worst politician ever... except for all the others. at January 24, 2012 09:09 AM (jdOk/)

315

Unleash bad-ass Newt at the next debate.  Last night was a snorefest.

 

Posted by: anthony at January 24, 2012 09:11 AM (ReUhY)

316 In fact, if the moderator tells the audience that they can't applaud or cheer on their candidate, then the candidates should directly adrress their supporters and remind them that they are citizens of a free nation, not sheeple to dictated to by the MSM.  That applies to all the candidates supporters, even the batshit crazy Paul-bots.

Posted by: anthony at January 24, 2012 09:14 AM (ReUhY)

317 220 Jindalor Daniels.
Pick one.

I'd pick Jindal.

Daniels was my governor for a while. He was not that impressive (to me). Even though Jindal seems like he'd be more of the technocrat, I think he has more passion than Daniels does.

Posted by: Y-not at January 24, 2012 11:26 AM (5H6zj)

 

If they jump in, I guess I'll be with you.  Until then... I guess Santorum.  Never thought I'd say that, but hey - it turns out Mitt folds like a cheap camera, and Newt is toxic and erratic.

Posted by: CoolCzech at January 24, 2012 09:15 AM (U+BDE)

318 OMG check out the Brett Stevens op-ed in the WSJ. Devestating.

Posted by: Cricket at January 24, 2012 09:16 AM (DrC22)

319 From the Mittster's last show in SoCar before the primary vote: "I love this land. I love its Constitution." Am I the only one who thinks that sounds like praise that would come from the mouth of a foreigner? Or an alien from another planet? Or from a corporate raider assessing a company that he wants to take over? It's not image. The man is a cold calculator in everything he does. He keeps always keeps himself at a safe distance from everything--even his own opinions--in order to have a clear path to the nearest lifeboat in case the ship starts to sink.

Posted by: Ed Snyder at January 24, 2012 09:21 AM (WsjhW)

320 I wanted to like Romney but elections tend to be won by the better politician rather than the person with the most impressive resume. 

Being a good politician isn't so much about being likable as it is being able to relate to voters - or to get them to relate to you.  If that connection isn't there people won't vote for you.  Algore never had it. He only won on his father's name or Bill's coattails.   The product of a one party political state Kerry just wasn't very good at connecting to people in a national campaign.  Obama, an even colder fish than Kerry, is superb at getting certain types of people to want to relate to him.  Newt made what some people thought was a kiss of death among evangelicals a plus because SC has one of the highest divorce rates in the nation.  A great many people there know what it is like to have a bitter ex who won't let go after more than 15 years.  You can find him unreliably conservative but Newt has been a practicing retail politician for almost 40 years. 

The poster who noted the mechanisms Mormons use to cope with their outsider status made some very good points about the barriers Romney has been raised with.  They severely impede that ability to connect with voters.  There may be another factor.  His father's own presidential campaign blew up rather spectacularly because he was too candid,   Journalists joked they needed to install a typewriter key that would print Romney later explained...That's how many statements made on the hustings Romney '68 had to walk back.  Politics is a fluid game.  An over managed campaign tends to be a losing campaign. 

Posted by: NC Mountain Girl at January 24, 2012 09:48 AM (ioOUg)

321 To understand Mitt, and his personality, you have to understand his relationship to me.   Mitt is so buttoned up b/c he remembers what happened to me with the "brainwashing" meme.  He's determined not to be caught off-guard and it makes him seem tense.  He's just very, very careful. 

Posted by: George Romney Sr. at January 24, 2012 09:49 AM (hkXlB)

322 Its pretty funny how the crowd that can't get their moderate fellows elected in any state, Blue, Red or Purple is taking the moral high ground about the conservative base and its record of getting elected in Blue states.

Posted by: Oldcat at January 24, 2012 10:09 AM (z1N6a)

323 Newt won over a broad group in ONE state, among PRIMARY VOTERS who represent a very small, unrepresentative slice of the electorate at large. It's a fraction of a fraction of a fraction.

It doesn't make a damned bit of difference how fired up the base is if Independents and other non-primary voters aren't on board. Besides, the opportunity to oust Obama is already a strong incentive for conservatives to get out the vote.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 24, 2012 11:43 AM (SY2Kh)

-----------------------------------------------

But that is what you have to do to win the nomination.

Romney hasn't done well at it in 2008 or now, and yelling at us here will not change that one bit.


Posted by: Oldcat at January 24, 2012 10:15 AM (z1N6a)

324

Part of Romney's problem is something I've been worried about from the beginnning and it's related to the fact that he's a Mormon and a Yankee. I'm not digging into the whole Mormon vs. the universe thing. I'm an active Mormon, too. I'm not a Yankee, but I spent two years in New England, so I've done my basic anthropology.

Anyway, the fact is that we're not a very demonstrative people. Our meetings are quiet. Our speakers in our meetings are non-professionals called from the congregation and we're not expected or encouraged to whip up the crowd. We don't give soaring speeches or fiery sermons. Even more so for Yankee Mormons. Of course, I'm speaking in generalities, and Romney has lots of experience in public speaking outside the church (he was a politician, after all), but I don't think the apple falls far from the tree in this case. Maybe that's a good thing for an administrator, but it's a liability for a politician.

Posted by: Neal5x5 at January 24, 2012 10:24 AM (gMnyi)

325 I have been paying a whole lot of attention lately to the whole "Romney is so nice.  He is so great at both business and family.  So therefore, he is super electable." meme.  I just do not see it.  He comes across as elitist, mean and supercilious, not too mention stiff and aloof.

As a very Conservative traditional gal, married to one man for 36 years before his death from Agent Orange poisoning, I don't find Newt's marital missteps to be a bar to his functioning as a President.  They are not a plus by any means, but, divorce and infidelity are a fact of modern life.

Neither do I find Mitt's super squeaky clean Mormon family and his faith to be either a plus or a minus.  He has been running for POTUS his whole adult life, so, of course, he has a squeaky clean life. 

Posted by: Will Not Assimilate For Food at January 24, 2012 11:49 AM (kXoT0)

326 DRAFT JINDAL!!!

Posted by: TallDave at January 24, 2012 12:23 PM (/s1LA)

327 what're the states that matter? Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico -- if the other deeper red states that went Obama last time swing back to us, we just need one of those. of course there's the question of whether Gingrich would be so alienating we'd lose in, say, a Virginia again thanks to liberal transplants. but if we assume that both Romney and Gingrich could hold the normal red states that went Obama last year -- which i dunno is true, but if -- we just gotta figure out which one's better for swinging back one of those four. effete Republicans in California or something not liking the GOP anymore obviously doesn't matter if its a constant-blue state we're talking about. the independents in the states we need may not be the same as your prototypical mushy moderate.

Posted by: States de Swing at January 24, 2012 12:53 PM (8HhF2)

328 326 "... Anyway, the fact is that we[Mormons / Puritans]'re not a very demonstrative people."

Whut? I could point to some scorching sermons from the 1800s from both Mormons and New Englanders. John Taylor's "Banner Of Heaven" speech alone can keep one warm in a Utah winter

Posted by: Boulder Toilet Hobo at January 24, 2012 12:54 PM (QQAJP)

329 I feel more positive about our chances than a lot of what I read on here. I think a lot of you are going through the grieving process over Perry. That's not an indictment, just an observation. It's easy to focus on the candidates' negatives when one spends a lot of time analyzing this stuff. Let's remember the lameness of the other side & not overestimate the left.

Posted by: norrin radd at January 24, 2012 02:28 PM (tVK9Z)

330

'kay...

 

By their staff ye shall know them. Seriously though, who these guys surround themselves with is very important.

 

Earlier I'm reading Romney's boy, what's his face that lost to Al Fraken in MN, telling the pres how no republican president is going to be able to repeal obamacare fully, but they will be able to make some changes.

 

Now I'm reading that Romney has dozens of Crist staffers on his campaign (contrast Gingrich, who has a lot of Rubio staffers).

Posted by: Entropy, Racism Delenda Est at January 24, 2012 03:38 PM (Ci0JG)

331 Excellent blog, thanks for the share. I'll be a regular viewer.

Posted by: How to Sharpen a Plane Blade at January 31, 2012 04:26 AM (mIhy6)

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