October 17, 2012
— Ace Triage.
And then, on the other hand: Expansion into newly-tossup states.
In late September, just before Romney's impressive performance in the first presidential debate, Obama held an 11-point lead, 53 percent to 42 percent.
Obama still edges Romney on favorability there, which, after long resisting the notion, I'm now comprehending does in fact represent one's likely Election Day vote share.
Romney's slightly underwater at 46/48, while Obama's ahead 52/45.
I think ads and appearances can change that. Here's hoping, anyway.
Oh: Thompson is 1 point ahead in the same poll. Which means Romney is underperforming, which is possibly simply because he hasn't genuinely contested this state. Yet.
Posted by: Ace at
09:31 AM
| Comments (170)
Post contains 119 words, total size 1 kb.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. A righteous dude. at October 17, 2012 09:32 AM (VtjlW)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 17, 2012 09:32 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: rockmom at October 17, 2012 09:33 AM (aBlZ1)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 09:34 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 17, 2012 09:35 AM (zLp5I)
Posted by: El Kabong at October 17, 2012 09:36 AM (HWj39)
Posted by: kallisto at October 17, 2012 09:36 AM (jm/9g)
Posted by: Some Guy in Wisconsin doing hand stands and throwing pudding at the walls at October 17, 2012 09:37 AM (p82Os)
Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 17, 2012 09:37 AM (zLp5I)
Ace will post a Flaming Skull and a video of himself "double dipping" with two cups.
At the same time!
Posted by: EC at October 17, 2012 09:37 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at October 17, 2012 09:38 AM (eHIJJ)
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 17, 2012 09:38 AM (8sCoq)
are we fucked or are we fine
Signs point to yes.
Posted by: EC at October 17, 2012 09:39 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: Adam at October 17, 2012 09:39 AM (/YJYi)
Posted by: JEM at October 17, 2012 09:39 AM (o+SC1)
Posted by: wednesday at October 17, 2012 09:39 AM (LpQbZ)
Posted by: Some Guy in Wisconsin channeling his inner Mooch at October 17, 2012 09:39 AM (p82Os)
Posted by: fluffy, Masshole at October 17, 2012 09:40 AM (3SvjA)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 09:40 AM (r2PLg)
Find a partisan Democrat. Then we grab the legs and split the sucker.
Posted by: JEM at October 17, 2012 09:40 AM (o+SC1)
Posted by: runningrn at October 17, 2012 09:41 AM (WGmy2)
http://tinyurl.com/ctpl66z
Posted by: Adam at October 17, 2012 09:41 AM (/YJYi)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 17, 2012 09:41 AM (ZPrif)
Posted by: weepy WI guy [/i] [/b] at October 17, 2012 09:41 AM (qrpxS)
What's this crap:
Okay, sure, IÂ’ll fall for it and link to An October Surprise website
Posted by William A. Jacobson
http://tinyurl.com/cvrwzq3
Posted by: wednesday at October 17, 2012 01:39 PM (LpQbZ)
I read that. It doesn't seem likely to me that something Romney did would cause a landslide victory for obama. It would be more likely something obama did. Of course I wouldn't put it past the media and obama to make something up...
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna at October 17, 2012 09:41 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: El Kabong at October 17, 2012 09:41 AM (HWj39)
After Scott Walker won his rematch with Tom Barrett, and got more votes the second time than he did the first, it's hard to imagine Wisconsin voters are going to go for Barky (who hails from Bears territory) instead of native son Paul Ryan (go Packers!!).
Posted by: Boots at October 17, 2012 09:42 AM (neKzn)
Posted by: backhoe at October 17, 2012 09:42 AM (ULH4o)
Posted by: El Kabong at October 17, 2012 09:43 AM (HWj39)
This is where I point out Bush lost there in 2000 by less than the number of Milwaukee college students who admitted to voting more than once.
Posted by: HeatherRadish™ dredging up old memes at October 17, 2012 09:43 AM (/kI1Q)
Posted by: Vic at October 17, 2012 09:43 AM (YdQQY)
Posted by: In before the troll at October 17, 2012 09:43 AM (TIIx5)
I'm telling ya...they've already got the tax returns are just waiting for the right pretext/scapegoat to unleash them.
Posted by: El Kabong at October 17, 2012 01:41 PM (HWj39)
Possibly. I didn't think about that. It is supposed to be that this surprise is about lying...
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna at October 17, 2012 09:43 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: Honey Badger at October 17, 2012 09:44 AM (GvYeG)
"General" Pinkley: Where are you from, son?
Soldier: Wisconsin, sir!
"General" Pinkley: [pause, then slight and slow shake of the head] Never heard of it.
Posted by: Count de Monet at October 17, 2012 09:44 AM (BAS5M)
Posted by: Redd at October 17, 2012 09:44 AM (f0ies)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. A righteous dude. at October 17, 2012 09:44 AM (VtjlW)
Posted by: Barky Preznit Choom at October 17, 2012 09:45 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 09:45 AM (r2PLg)
Need to send Romney some more money. More ads please. Finish Him!
Posted by: Honey Badger at October 17, 2012 09:45 AM (GvYeG)
Ace will post a Flaming Skull and a video of himself "double dipping" with two cups.
And Ewoks. Don't forget the Ewoks.
Posted by: Wisrich at October 17, 2012 09:45 AM (hdpay)
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/b][/i][/u] at October 17, 2012 09:45 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Paladin at October 17, 2012 09:46 AM (QGbEp)
47 Wisconsin and Ohio: The New Communist Heartland
-----------------------------------------------------
Hey don't forget Illa-noise.
Posted by: Boots at October 17, 2012 09:46 AM (neKzn)
How that stupid SOB could show his face after that I don't know. Other than there must be a lot of "deer crossing sign" women who watch him on Fox news.
Posted by: Vic at October 17, 2012 09:46 AM (YdQQY)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 17, 2012 09:46 AM (ZPrif)
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 17, 2012 09:47 AM (Hx5uv)
LMFAO!
Kate at Small Dead Animals has the Jimmy Kimmel bit with the interviews of people talking about the Monday Night Presidential Debate.
Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 17, 2012 09:47 AM (zLp5I)
He had a chance to ask Hannah F'n Giles to do it when Scott Brown won in MA, but he chickened out a the last minute. We'll never forgive you for that ace!!!!
He didn't actually make her do it, but he shot a pic of his hand holding a pudding cup with Norah O'Donnell in the background. So, he "semi-pudding cup'd" Norah.
Posted by: EC at October 17, 2012 09:47 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: Invictus at October 17, 2012 09:47 AM (OQpzc)
Posted by: meh at October 17, 2012 09:47 AM (W2qJe)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 09:47 AM (r2PLg)
RCP has 4 polls for NM: all +10 or +11 for the JEF.
Momentum, yer doing it wrong.
This Gallup swing state poll that Romney leads 50-46 includes: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
He, he, he.
Posted by: RoyalOil at October 17, 2012 09:47 AM (imtbm)
What part of my beloved home state? Born and raised in West Tenn, lived in Hendersonville until I took my current job in GA.
Posted by: Country Singer (likes teh ginger ladies) at October 17, 2012 09:47 AM (L8r/r)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 09:48 AM (r2PLg)
---
"Hasn't went"? Did you go to Cornell Cow College with Olberman?
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 17, 2012 09:48 AM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: Golan Globus at October 17, 2012 09:49 AM (/1U3u)
Posted by: Greggy Poo at October 17, 2012 09:49 AM (jKE+Z)
During this little lecture, Obama is locking eyes with Romney in a steely-eyed gaze.
Look carefully. When Obama hits the words 'play politics' and 'mislead' he can't look at Romney or anyone, turning his head and closing his eyes.
I'm not a body language expert, but.....
It's almost cliche it's so obvious.
Posted by: schmoopy at October 17, 2012 09:49 AM (vclSa)
Posted by: Brisco_County at October 17, 2012 09:49 AM (3dDca)
Posted by: Some Guy in Wisconsin that hates the f*cking Vikings at October 17, 2012 09:49 AM (p82Os)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 17, 2012 09:49 AM (ZPrif)
Cheese is a luxury in a socialist shithole.
Posted by: Invictus at October 17, 2012 09:50 AM (OQpzc)
Posted by: LIGuy at October 17, 2012 09:50 AM (+usC4)
Posted by: Dante at October 17, 2012 09:50 AM (NWLVJ)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 17, 2012 09:50 AM (ZPrif)
Posted by: Honey Badger at October 17, 2012 09:50 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 09:51 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: SH at October 17, 2012 09:51 AM (gmeXX)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 17, 2012 09:51 AM (ck76k)
it is conceivable that in a very close election, politically active nursing home managers could sway this election with ballots sitting on their desks cast by former residents from that great voting booth in the sky.
http://is.gd/Ev2zKS
Posted by: HeatherRadish™, predenounced for your convenience at October 17, 2012 09:51 AM (/kI1Q)
Posted by: Dante at October 17, 2012 09:52 AM (NWLVJ)
--meh
Flaming skull stuck in her crack.
Ring of fire, it burns burns burns.
Posted by: panzernashorn at October 17, 2012 09:52 AM (BAnPT)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 09:52 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: Golan Globus at October 17, 2012 09:52 AM (/1U3u)
South Central, Ardmore. Work in Huntsville, AL. Wife read a book about living across the state line from the nearest big city as being a good thing.
Posted by: Paladin at October 17, 2012 09:52 AM (QGbEp)
Posted by: rickb223 at October 17, 2012 09:52 AM (QLa9G)
Posted by: Serious Cat at October 17, 2012 09:53 AM (5PkZK)
Posted by: Mike Jonze at October 17, 2012 09:53 AM (XpAxm)
Posted by: SH at October 17, 2012 09:53 AM (gmeXX)
We'll never forget you, Bert.
Posted by: HeatherRadish™, predenounced for your convenience at October 17, 2012 09:53 AM (/kI1Q)
I can't believe I'm forgetting this, who was it that ace posted a picture of holding a pudding cup?
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. A righteous dude. at October 17, 2012 01:44 PM (VtjlW)
Well, there was the Norah O'Donnell pudding thing at Scott Brown's victory bash.
http://tinyurl.com/yaeg957
And teh Ewok's empuddening of POWIP at the same shindig is pretty funny.
http://tinyurl.com/ygbcaue
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at October 17, 2012 09:54 AM (TIIx5)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 09:54 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: Christina Hendricks's Mighty Jugs Teams Up With Mitt Romney's Hair to Defeat SCOAMF at October 17, 2012 09:55 AM (XgvL/)
Posted by: Kaitian at October 17, 2012 09:55 AM (fI6dx)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 17, 2012 09:55 AM (ck76k)
I heard an analysis that since SCOAMT can't run on his record and has no agenda, that has the effect of juxtaposing Romney into the position of the incumbent. SCOAMT only has to attack the quasi-incumbent and make it look like his policies, since they were never inacted, have failed.
Damn. My f--king head is spinning.
Posted by: HtP at October 17, 2012 09:55 AM (jx2j9)
This election is going to be a surprise for all you anal poll-watchers. All of these polling firms are using arcane methodologies in a digital world.
Plus, as I've said. This election is different. Many old prediction ideas will go by the wayside on Nov 7th.
Posted by: Soona at October 17, 2012 09:56 AM (WTxY5)
Posted by: El Kabong at October 17, 2012 09:56 AM (HWj39)
Milwaukee is the largest U.S. city to have *two* Socialist mayors.
Posted by: Alice Cooper at October 17, 2012 09:56 AM (/kI1Q)
"I still think Colorado, Iowa and NH might be where to spend the bucks."
Of all those, I see CO and NH flipping first. How can the "live free or die" state vote to ensure Obamacare (even with all the MA transplants). And CO is a western state that may have interest in oil & gas.
Iowa just sucks of the government teet. Though Mitt certainly pandered to them last night.
Posted by: SH at October 17, 2012 09:57 AM (gmeXX)
Damn. My f--king head is spinning. Posted by: HtP
Which is exactly why they chose that stupid fucking question, "Prove to me you aren't going to be BOOOOSH!"
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at October 17, 2012 09:57 AM (qrpxS)
Posted by: Wayne Campbell at October 17, 2012 09:57 AM (HWj39)
---
Maybe a little of both. I think that the MSM doesn't want to go into the election with wildly inaccurate poll results so they are are trending more toward reality but that very trending allows the type of cascade we've been hoping for by making it OK to like for Romney.
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 17, 2012 09:57 AM (Hx5uv)
As did far too many Libyan civilians. Also, soldiers and Gaddafi in Obama's Illegal War.
Add to the count of those killed in Libya the imbedded war journalist Tim Hetherington who made "Restrepo" Afghan War documentary.
Obama lied. Obama lies. Obama IS a lie. Nothing new.
Posted by: panzernashorn at October 17, 2012 09:58 AM (BAnPT)
Posted by: Kaitian at October 17, 2012 09:58 AM (fI6dx)
Posted by: Country Singer (likes teh ginger ladies) at October 17, 2012 09:59 AM (L8r/r)
This election is going to be a surprise for all you anal poll-watchers. All of these polling firms are using arcane methodologies in a digital world.
Plus, as I've said. This election is different. Many old prediction ideas will go by the wayside on Nov 7th.
-----
Remind us, what are those old predictions. I'm curious. I agree with your first statement to a point. I still put my trust in Gallup. That is what they do.
Posted by: SH at October 17, 2012 09:59 AM (gmeXX)
Posted by: Pointy Elbow Cheerleader at October 17, 2012 09:59 AM (kzp9t)
Posted by: panzernashorn at October 17, 2012 09:59 AM (BAnPT)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. A righteous dude. at October 17, 2012 09:59 AM (VtjlW)
heh, I just passed a Google streetview car on my way to lunch. I'll be sure to look for my car in their next Google maps update.
Posted by: Serious Cat at October 17, 2012 01:53 PM (5PkZK)
I always shoot them the finger
Posted by: The Jackhole at October 17, 2012 09:59 AM (nTgAI)
Of all those, I see CO and NH flipping first. How can the "live free or die" statevote to ensureObamacare (even with all the MA transplants).
I've said it previously, but NH's chances of going red or blue are going to have a strong correlation to who turns out to vote for governor in the general election. It's a wide open race. If it goes to Ovide Lamontagne, it'll be Romney. If it goes to Maggie Hassan (*SPIT*), it'll be Obama. I can't seem to find any polling data anywhere to tell me what the landscape looks like in the gubernatorial race here, and I LIVE here. It's driving me nuts!
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/b][/i][/u] at October 17, 2012 09:59 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 17, 2012 09:59 AM (ck76k)
I think it is a trap. Barry rebounds with great debate performance, blah blah blah.
I have never trusted Gallop, Ras yes.
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 17, 2012 10:00 AM (wR+pz)
Posted by: Golan Globus at October 17, 2012 10:00 AM (/1U3u)
Posted by: weft cut-loop at October 17, 2012 01:57 PM (qrpxS)
They're watching CNN in the breakroom here and I heard the comments about Bush.
I stated, Bush has been gone for 4 years and can NEVER BE PRESIDENT AGAIN. Why are they still RUNNING AGAINST HIM.
Crickets.
Posted by: © Sponge at October 17, 2012 10:00 AM (UK9cE)
Candy Crowly
Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at October 17, 2012 01:59 PM (OWjjx)
Who want's more... there is already plenty there
Posted by: The Jackhole at October 17, 2012 10:00 AM (nTgAI)
Posted by: Jay at October 17, 2012 10:00 AM (3LaGb)
Someone needs to put that up on Cafe Press.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. A righteous dude. at October 17, 2012 01:59 PM (VtjlW)
Calling Stoaty......Stoaty, do you read?
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at October 17, 2012 10:01 AM (TIIx5)
Posted by: weft cut-loop at October 17, 2012 01:57 PM (qrpxS)
SCOAMT will go down as the only incumbent in history who never had to defend an incumbency. His entire first term was Bush's fault and the challenger has to defend a term that hasn't even taken place!
Posted by: HtP at October 17, 2012 10:01 AM (jx2j9)
I thought they were suppose to be undecided voters from Nassau county?
Posted by: Pointy Elbow Cheerleader at October 17, 2012 10:01 AM (kzp9t)
Posted by: Invictus at October 17, 2012 10:01 AM (OQpzc)
Posted by: Othered at October 17, 2012 10:01 AM (EuW9O)
Posted by: logprof at October 17, 2012 10:02 AM (jKE+Z)
That's only because some places coughSeattlecough switched to "non-partisan elections" after deciding that it was bad optics to have zero Republicans in the top five contenders for the position. That is: It was a race between the Greens, Socialists, Democrats, Communists, and TheRentIsTooDamnHigh parties.
Posted by: Al at October 17, 2012 10:02 AM (MzQOZ)
Posted by: tasker at October 17, 2012 10:02 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: dananjcon at October 17, 2012 10:03 AM (eavT+)
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at October 17, 2012 10:03 AM (i0vBR)
Posted by: Infidel at October 17, 2012 10:03 AM (O/fK8)
Posted by: Kaitian at October 17, 2012 10:04 AM (fI6dx)
Posted by: steevy at October 17, 2012 10:05 AM (6o4Fb)
Posted by: Daryl Herbert at October 17, 2012 10:06 AM (SV+xh)
Posted by: Kaitian at October 17, 2012 02:05 PM (fI6dx)
That will really fuck up our coffee.
Posted by: Star Bucks Barrister at October 17, 2012 10:08 AM (wR+pz)
Posted by: Kaitian at October 17, 2012 10:08 AM (fI6dx)
WOW..partisan splits good question...When you lose an 11 point lead down to 1 point that is awful. The Marquette Poll is pretty good with Wis and the momentum is moving away from Obam...Mitt up 6 and Obama down 4....that is very bad....If this oversamples Dems I have feeling Mitt is up and with Ryan on the ticket I have to think Romney is really up 2-3 points. But even this is not good for Obama....his leads are collapsing everywhere...last night did little to help him as the Economy numbers were overwhelmingly for Mitt. Obama is burning through cash big time....he will have to defend in WIS more and I think even Michigan....PA is not looking great either. In Florida, the Obama ads have decreased to a point...could be Super Pacs are less but Obama does not have the money to fight all these states. He is gone from NC basically....Florida and Virginia are slipping away..OH is moving more and more to Mitt, as is Nevada and Colorado....Iowa is tied and New Hampshire is tied but I think Mitt is up there as well.
When you see Obama campaigning in New Hampshire you know he is in trouble....he was originally up there double digits and that is gone!!
Dick Morris was right and so is Rush...people have seen Mitt on the National Stage and you know what....He is Likeable, Personal and Offers Solutions to Bring America Back!! Obama looks old, nothing new and never has fulfilled any of his promises! Well except to make coal miners lose their jobs and make energy so expensive! and the dreaded Obamacare which still over 54 percent want REPEALED!
Posted by: bluerose75 at October 17, 2012 10:09 AM (HDcKc)
That's a really nice area! Ever go to the Boobie Bungalow?
Posted by: Country Singer (likes teh ginger ladies) at October 17, 2012 10:09 AM (L8r/r)
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna at October 17, 2012 01:43 PM (9+ccr)
From the site:
"Take specific note of what the candidates say tonight with Candi Crowley. It's important."
Not much there that could make it about taxes.
Posted by: 66chevelle at October 17, 2012 10:09 AM (QjSgY)
Posted by: Kaitian at October 17, 2012 10:09 AM (fI6dx)
No it won't. You love the fucking burnt "French Roast" style.
Posted by: Al at October 17, 2012 10:09 AM (MzQOZ)
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter at October 17, 2012 01:59 PM (4df7R)
That would make me think the R is doing well...
Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 17, 2012 10:10 AM (da5Wo)
"Crickets."
http://tinyurl.com/42uz4gb
Because most Americans do not want another Bush administration, whether Romney's or Jeb's.
It's relevant because so many of Romney's advisers are from George W's Bush administration, and none from the Republican tradition of Eisenhower, Goldwater or even the initial Reagan campaign.
It afforded Romney the opportunity to make his own "authentic" case, which he did well. No attention or money wasted on a campaign ad making the distinction. She did Mitt a favor, and Romney made some good lemonade from her lemon, evading similarities by omission.
Posted by: Öbamama at October 17, 2012 10:12 AM (BAnPT)
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna at October 17, 2012 10:13 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 17, 2012 10:14 AM (QxSug)
Posted by: D. Rather at October 17, 2012 10:15 AM (aHR5E)
Posted by: SH at October 17, 2012 01:59 PM (gmeXX)
---------------------------------------------------
You trust Gallup? When it was just last week or the week before we were calling Gallup a ward of the SCOAMT campaign?
And yes, I believe that the statistical shenanigans that all the polls have gone through this election is evidence that if these polling firms want to retain any credibility at all, they're going to have to simplify and/or streamline their polling process. Especially if they want to keep their reputation as having mathematical reproducability (I say that because they like to claim they use statistical science to get their results).
The internet has exposed these people. They aren't what they say they are.
Posted by: Soona at October 17, 2012 10:16 AM (WTxY5)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 17, 2012 10:17 AM (QxSug)
"I heard an analysis that since SCOAMT can't run on his record and has no agenda, that has the effect of juxtaposing Romney into the position of the incumbent."
Wait...wasn't Romney Bush's VP?
Posted by: Lo Info Voter at October 17, 2012 10:20 AM (QjSgY)
Don't get it.
Posted by: PJ at October 17, 2012 10:26 AM (DQHjw)
"Stop ceding intellectual ground to the left"
That happens every time someone refuses to exercise logic, leaving YOU ceding intellectual ground to the left.
Take Honore's advice and don't stay stuck on stupid.
If your arguing that most Americans want another Bush administration, admit your bias while considering the voter preferential statistics to the opposite 2012.
Posted by: panzernashorn at October 17, 2012 10:28 AM (BAnPT)
Posted by: SH at October 17, 2012 10:29 AM (gmeXX)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 17, 2012 10:31 AM (QxSug)
Of all the talents that Obama has been lauded for using, oratory remains illusive. The guy can't say a single sentence without gaps of silence every third word. Grating on the nerves, grating on the patience, always waiting for Mr. Intelligent to finally spit it out.
Posted by: panzernashorn at October 17, 2012 10:40 AM (BAnPT)
Its been talked about on the radio shows here...we're pretty well burned out and will show up when its time.
Walker just proved that his budget fixes are working ($108 million into the rainy day fund) and State wide we're getting fired up to put the R's back in control of the Senate in time for the new year.
The GOTV is fine tuned and ready to go and the WIGOP leadership (walker, Ryan, Priebus, Thompson, Johnson) are going to cover this State over these last few weeks like their lives depended on it.
I've previously said gut feeling that Romney's win will mirror Walkers recall victory numbers and I see no reason why I should change it now...
+6
Barry can go fuck himself.
On Wisconsin.
Posted by: H Badger at October 17, 2012 10:41 AM (n/0Nw)
So, that fact that he's sucking wind here...that's pretty impressive.
Posted by: GMan at October 17, 2012 10:52 AM (sxq57)
That WI poll is very interesting. They undersampled whites (86% vs. 89% in '0
. They undersampled the age 30-44 demographic (17% vs. 29% in '0
. They also grossly oversampled Independents (29% in '08 vs. 38% in this survey). Since this election is a base turnout contest the latter point might be the most significant. Had they correctly sampled the white demographic the headline would have been Romney +1. It also goes without saying that Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats and that Romney will obtain a higher percentage of Democrat crossover votes than vice-versa for Obama. All other things being equal or evened out it could be that a proper weighting would have resulted in Romney + 3. That aside, however, the key point here, and it would be lost on liberals, is that in '08 Obama won WI by a colossal margin. That four years later it's a competitive swing state speaks volumes. But there's still plenty of work to do. Obama won't go quietly into the night.
Posted by: Tsar Nicholas II at October 17, 2012 11:52 AM (pmsMR)
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After that debacle in Seattle where the Packers got screwed, Wisconsinites figured it out and want the Replacement President gone and the real President back
Posted by: The Q at October 17, 2012 09:32 AM (B/yDO)