November 06, 2012
— Ace Assuming Romney wins Florida, NC, and Virginia, then Wisconsin, Colorado, and either Iowa or New Hampshire wins it for him.
I think Team Obama is trying to put out word that Virginia is shaky for Romney. I think they're trying to demoralize us. I don't believe it.
If Rasmussen and Gallup are right about the partisan skew of the country's actual voter population, which is either R+1 or R +6, respectively, then the polls offered by virtually everyone else aren't worth jack.
If Mitt Romney wins tonight, it’ll likely be because of something revealed by a little-noticed statistic released yesterday by the polling firm Rasmussen — following a similar statistic last week from Gallup.Rasmussen revealed that for the month of October, its data showed that among likely voters, the electorate is 39 percent Republican and 33 percent Democratic.
This comes from a survey of 15,000 people taken over the course of a month. Yes, 15,000 people —15 times the number in a statistically significant poll.
This number might be discounted, since Rasmussen has a reputation as leaning Republican. Except that last week, Gallup — the oldest and most reputable national pollster — released its party ID survey of 9,424 likely voters. And it came out 36 percent Republican, 35 percent Democrat.
This means two firms, with huge numbers of likely voters in their surveys, are finding on election eve that there are more Republican than Democratic voters.
Why does this matter? Because never in the history of polling, dating back to 1936, have self-identified Republicans outnumbered Democrats on Election Day. Never. Ever.
Posted by: Ace at
01:19 PM
| Comments (363)
Post contains 285 words, total size 2 kb.
Posted by: Walter Freeman at November 06, 2012 01:21 PM (kqGWM)
Posted by: AmericanDawg at November 06, 2012 01:21 PM (XIsD/)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 01:21 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 06, 2012 01:21 PM (vCK/R)
Posted by: oldGAnewNC at November 06, 2012 01:22 PM (lqbEC)
Assuming Romney wins Florida, NC, and Virginia, then Wisconsin, Colorado, and either Iowa or New Hampshire wins it for him.
Stupid question - Does this mean Ohio's not looking so good?
Posted by: niclun74 at November 06, 2012 01:22 PM (xq11A)
Posted by: Old Texas Chic at November 06, 2012 01:22 PM (lLXZV)
Posted by: Bob from Virginia at November 06, 2012 01:22 PM (SBjsJ)
Posted by: Gerg at November 06, 2012 01:22 PM (Vcu2r)
These Injuns surrounding me sure are scared! Put the word out!
Posted by: Colonel Barack Custer at November 06, 2012 01:22 PM (F6KtL)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 06, 2012 01:22 PM (vCK/R)
Posted by: Matt at November 06, 2012 01:23 PM (ljiM/)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 01:23 PM (ck76k)
Preliminary results of an exit poll conducted for The Associated Press show that the presidential election hinges once again on the economy.
The survey of voters as they leave polling places Tuesday shows 6 in 10 voters say the economy is the top issue facing the nation, with unemployment and rising prices hitting voters hard.
About 4 in 10 say they think the nation's economy is on the mend, but more say that things are getting worse or are bad and stagnating.
About half of voters say the previous president, George W. Bush, shoulders more of the blame for economic challenges than President Barack Obama.
Just a quarter of those surveyed in the exit poll say they are better off than four years ago.
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at November 06, 2012 01:23 PM (WbGW2)
Posted by: Whoever this is, it's definitely not Michael at November 06, 2012 01:23 PM (JVCVF)
An hour and a half to find out what kind of country we have.
Too f'ing heavy.
Posted by: RoyalOil at November 06, 2012 01:24 PM (imtbm)
C-SPAN has two Politico video entries, nothing from PJMedia or Breitbart, perhaps because the Republicans didn't submit entries for C-SPAN collection.
http://tinyurl.com/d66d9ff
Posted by: panzernashorn at November 06, 2012 01:24 PM (BAnPT)
Posted by: Witchfinder at November 06, 2012 01:24 PM (pLTLS)
Posted by: custardbutt at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (p9FjL)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (wR+pz)
Posted by: James at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (Z9zAg)
But they didn't have me!
Posted by: King Barack - Lion of Hyde Park, Keeper of the Holy Sites of Punahou and Columbia at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (f6KBF)
Posted by: Coach Romney at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (F6KtL)
PA is going RED!
Now he wouldn't say that unless he knew.
Anecdotally, Romney people look completely jazzed and Obama people look like they ate a bug.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (hlUJY)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (ZPrif)
I was spending hours and hours a day trying to push the Mitt Train uphill from about 06-08, (try Google searching shiggz romney from that time frame). Before I was pulled into the Ron Paul un-re-education school of liberty.
Have spent 08- today trying to expose Obama and dismantle the institutional left. When Breitbart died I literally felt more sadness then when any of my own grandparents died. Felt like a soldier surrounded by enemies whose hero general was just slain.
While I voted Constitution party this election, I can not express the amazing feeling all these years of work coming to fruition is like for me today.
To see this week, so many friends and family who were either uninformed republicans, non-political types or democrats, either staying home or complaining about fraud-bias from the likes of CNN/Politifact or posting complaints about the FED printing money on facebook, etc. I have no words. This must be the feeling when you see your children grow up and smack down one of their marxist educators.
Posted by: Shiggz RoketSturgeon at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (RfvTE)
C-SPAN Live Video
They want people to vote on their facebook site.
No way!
Posted by: panzernashorn at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (BAnPT)
“REJOICE, PATRIOT WARRIOR OF SOUL AND HEART”
[For Mitt Romney: Champion of Liberty and Our Next President]
In these dark days you heard a call,
For freedomÂ’s trumpet sounds again!
Your enemies swore youÂ’d fail and fall,
Afraid of their Godless will to win—
But their will was born of sin,
And you NEVER DID give in.
For you relied on greater powers,
Than those made by menÂ’s hands.
Your swords were TRUTH and LIBERTY,
With faith we joined your stand,
With our FATHERÂ’S GOD,
Who sheltered us in this Heaven-Born Land.
Now we, with you, seek a virtuous life,
We join to pursue and honor truth,
Our powers exceed the guile of vice,
And regardless of age or youth,
A divine commission we now fulfill,
In libertyÂ’s voting booths!
We heed not the lies, we ignore the cries,
Of the gutless, treasonous whores,
Who sell their puny souls for the “fame”
Which the strong and the just ignore.
Together we shall WIN THIS DAY,
And cast a Tyrant from the White House doors!
TODAY, YOU AND YOUR CHOICE RUNNING MATE WIN!
JOIN US, AMERICANS, SEIZE LIBERTY AGAIN...VOTE R & R!
Posted by: Russell Hicks at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (FpgMo)
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (9+ccr)
Posted by: Ed Anger at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (tOkJB)
Neener! Neener! Neener!
Posted by: WalrusRex at November 06, 2012 01:25 PM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: The Mega Independent at November 06, 2012 01:26 PM (6JMZR)
Posted by: ace at November 06, 2012 01:26 PM (LCRYB)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:26 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 06, 2012 01:26 PM (9+ccr)
Sorry, formatting won't carry over and no editing allowed.
Posted by: Russell Hicks at November 06, 2012 01:26 PM (FpgMo)
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at November 06, 2012 01:26 PM (wR+pz)
Posted by: AmishDude at November 06, 2012 01:26 PM (T0NGe)
Posted by: SpongeBob Saget at November 06, 2012 01:26 PM (SDkq3)
Posted by: MrX at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (PxmNZ)
Posted by: Swanny at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (+kLUq)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: occam's brassiere at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (ekF3x)
Posted by: HoboJerky, profit of DOOM! at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (hlwt5)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: FenelonSpoke at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (zfFcz)
Posted by: ace at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (LCRYB)
Posted by: JollyRoger at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (t06LC)
A colleague who drinks the sweet Nate Silver koolaid is convinced of an Obama win. Gave me two to one odds on a 1000 dollar bet.
Go Romney!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11
Posted by: biff at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (9qOrR)
Posted by: Duh! at November 06, 2012 01:27 PM (Zs83Q)
Posted by: JWF at November 06, 2012 01:28 PM (Tl/Ls)
Posted by: Lara at November 06, 2012 01:28 PM (TgSwQ)
Posted by: freemo at November 06, 2012 01:28 PM (K9JFP)
Posted by: Eweez at November 06, 2012 01:28 PM (A6Rgc)
Posted by: Havedash at November 06, 2012 01:28 PM (ToMJU)
Posted by: Jim Scrummy at November 06, 2012 01:28 PM (Vu3LY)
Posted by: The Mad Analyst at November 06, 2012 01:28 PM (hZ4ZR)
Posted by: Victoria at November 06, 2012 01:29 PM (tV5ow)
Posted by: ace at November 06, 2012 01:29 PM (LCRYB)
Posted by: JDTAY at November 06, 2012 01:30 PM (a0nis)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:30 PM (TMB3S)
Have seen a magnificent bald eagle on the road for two days now.
I'm taking that as A Sign.
Posted by: Jane D'oh at November 06, 2012 01:30 PM (UOM48)
Posted by: ace at November 06, 2012 05:27 PM (LCRYB)
If you haven't voted and you are on this blog, you will be banned forever and the barbed cock of Satan will visit you every fucking night.
The Scandi's will bring fucking pickled fish to your house.
You daughter will run off with Greg.
Oh, and I think Allen has a blog. Can anyone verify that?
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at November 06, 2012 01:30 PM (wR+pz)
27 No, it means that Ohio is then not more important than Iowa or New Hampshire. Any one of the three will win it for him.
Thanks! It would have helped had I clicked on the link.
Posted by: niclun74 at November 06, 2012 01:30 PM (xq11A)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:30 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: jewells45 says Romney wins in a landslide at November 06, 2012 01:30 PM (1hNQS)
Posted by: sans_sheriff at November 06, 2012 01:30 PM (HgwiM)
Posted by: Guy who eagerly is waiting for his dick to be sucked at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (F6KtL)
In Virginia, heard from someone that voted in Alexandria (D, Jim Moran Congressman) that he had no wait - few people. But his co-workers who lived in Fairfax (D/R/purple) were late to work because the lines were over an hour long. Lower turn-out in D regions seems to be happening in some places in Virginia. I voted around 1 pm in middle of Fairfax - no lines - but they had been very busy earlier.
Posted by: Christine at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (PGQ5p)
Posted by: Raquel at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (IJOxR)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (vCK/R)
From Karl Rove's Twitter: Pasco County, Fla. offering real time turnout figures: GOP 43.4 to Dem 35 with 57% reg voter having voted
http://tinyurl.com/aypet2s
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (wgmUB)
All I can say is that when I hear people are waiting for hours to vote, I cannot image anybody going to that kind of trouble to vote FOR Obama, but that it's the real-life metaphorical "broken glass".
Then again, I didn't understand why anyone voted for that empty suit last time, either.
Posted by: Optimizer at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (Mxt9o)
Posted by: mama winger says let's get this done at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Sean at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (7moL3)
Posted by: New to New Orleans at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (lhX9P)
Posted by: sifty wolf, discus coach at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (p39GY)
Posted by: IC at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (a0IVu)
Posted by: jjshaka at November 06, 2012 01:31 PM (amEmC)
Posted by: AmishDude at November 06, 2012 01:32 PM (T0NGe)
Posted by: MidGeorgian at November 06, 2012 01:32 PM (qBGUl)
Posted by: Y-not at November 06, 2012 01:32 PM (5H6zj)
Posted by: blehzor at November 06, 2012 01:32 PM (s9K+V)
Are we supposed to eat the pudding after the dipping?
Posted by: Kensington at November 06, 2012 01:32 PM (Z7toi)
Posted by: zippy at November 06, 2012 01:32 PM (eytQe)
-----------------
I want that embroidered on a pillow.
Posted by: mama winger says let's get this done at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: Raquel at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (IJOxR)
Posted by: Hopeless at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (eYiNi)
Posted by: Chris R at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (qP4e9)
41% government should do more
53% government should do less
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (WbGW2)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (eEev7)
Posted by: @joest73 at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (YcLZI)
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie ® at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (1hM1d)
Posted by: James at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (Z9zAg)
Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (WMsq+)
@62
Wait, what??
"The race in PA is tightening"???
If the Obama camp is forced to spin friggin PENN as being "tight", this election's over.
Posted by: AussieMarcus at November 06, 2012 01:33 PM (RstsB)
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (wgmUB)
MOON TOWNSHIP, Pa. — Mitt Romney walked out of his campaign jet at Pittsburgh International Airport here Tuesday afternoon and was met by an unexpected sight: hundreds upon hundreds of supporters packed into the top and middle levels of a nearby parking garage, cheering the candidate’s arrival.
A visibly moved Romney, clad in a white shirt and slacks, stepped into the late afternoon sun and walked across the tarmac to a spot near a metal fence separating him from the supporters in the garage.
Press entourage in tow, he waved to the crowd for several moments, saying nothing.
Afterward, a reporter asked Romney how the moment made him feel.
“That’s when you know you’re gonna win,” he said as he walked back across the tarmac and into an SUV that carried him off to his second stop of the day.
http://tinyurl.com/bge9seh
Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (QKKT0)
Annnnd there's Nate Silver's out right there.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Whistling right through your troposphere. at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: tasker at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: SoCal1 at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (gjIQF)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: MidGeorgian at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (qBGUl)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: mama winger says let's get this done at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: Y-not at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (5H6zj)
Posted by: custardbutt at November 06, 2012 01:34 PM (p9FjL)
Posted by: Raquel at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (IJOxR)
No more retrograde inversion "acceptable" as America's model.
Posted by: panzernashorn at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (BAnPT)
Posted by: jewells45 says Romney wins in a landslide at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (1hNQS)
Posted by: Long Island at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (EsJl1)
Posted by: physics geek at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (1i2AL)
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (EUv1K)
Posted by: Colonel Barack Custer at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (wSTfB)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: LB at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (yXDZU)
Posted by: katya the designated driver at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (DoZD+)
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (wgmUB)
40 years later, I guess the abortion folks are finally discovering that their holy sacrament does have consequences.
All of those babies aren't around to vote this (or any other) year......
Posted by: Teresa in Fort Worth, TX at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (P6H+d)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Butters Stosch at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (NIZHJ)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: mare at November 06, 2012 01:35 PM (A98Xu)
Not only is the SCOAMF the greatest handgun salesman in the history of the world, now he's also the greatest Republical Party recruiter of all time.
We've going to have to put him on the payroll sooner or later.
Posted by: Keith Arnold at November 06, 2012 01:36 PM (Jdtsu)
Posted by: doug at November 06, 2012 01:36 PM (I6iFS)
Posted by: ace at November 06, 2012 05:29 PM (LCRYB)
Pace yourself. Could be a long, long night..
And from what I've read, almost all of us have already voted. So there's that.
Posted by: HH at November 06, 2012 01:36 PM (v+ExF)
Posted by: Exasperated Expat at November 06, 2012 01:36 PM (gkfSV)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 01:36 PM (aSf5o)
Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 06, 2012 01:36 PM (vWZrj)
Posted by: BCochran1981 feeling all William Wallace-y at November 06, 2012 01:36 PM (GEICT)
"It's Even Worse Than It Looks"
http://tinyurl.com/23rj8hr
Posted by: panzernashorn at November 06, 2012 01:36 PM (BAnPT)
Posted by: MidGeorgian at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (qBGUl)
Posted by: MrCaniac voted R and R at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (Zd/NW)
And if you haven't voted yet, GO. What the fuck are you waiting for?
Posted by: Eric in Ohio at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (roLL2)
Stupid question - Does this mean Ohio's not looking so good?
Posted by: niclun74 at November 06, 2012 05:22 PM (xq11A)
Well, it could mean... good for Romney, tight for Mandel... so they want to keep Ohio Republican's engaged by withholding good news out of there.
Posted by: Serious Cat at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (UypUQ)
Posted by: Brother Cavil presents at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (GBXon)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (vCK/R)
When looking at the party turnout figures.... also remember that polls have been showing that Obama has LOST 13% of his old voters.... some of those registered dems.... sooooo....
I'd bet that there are about 10% registered Dems voting for Romney... while virutaly NO Registered Repubs are voting SCOAMF.
Posted by: Romeo13 at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (lZBBB)
Posted by: Long Island at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (EsJl1)
PA is tight like Sandra Fluke's cooter. As in, it's going to be a blowout in favor of organized labor.
Posted by: wooga at November 06, 2012 01:37 PM (vjyZP)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: R-Money at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (a0nis)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (aSf5o)
Posted by: Damn Sockpuppet at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (yJYwC)
Posted by: Kensington at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (Z7toi)
Posted by: Baldy at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (opS9C)
Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (vWZrj)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: mnm at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (6mijs)
Posted by: MidGeorgian at November 06, 2012 01:38 PM (qBGUl)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (QxSug)
---
My enemy's enemy is my friend. Welcome to the party (if not The Party), pal!
Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (WMsq+)
Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 06, 2012 05:36 PM (vWZrj)
So are you telling us its pudding time?
Posted by: Long Island at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (EsJl1)
HOT TIP: Team Obama is desperately calling Ohio TV stations offering a live interview at 6 p.m. Some running it without equal time to Mitt.
Posted by: Tami at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (X6akg)
Posted by: mama winger says let's get this done at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: buzzion at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (GULKT)
WTF: Sean Hannity was reading from something (he called it an "exit poll" but hell, there are many exit polls, not one), and that the "exit poll" said the race was neck and neck and it would take hours of vote counting.
Does that sound like any exit poll you have heard? I wonder if someone fed Sean, who's really gullible, some fake poll.
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (wgmUB)
Swear to God, VANC is it, man. Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden
I drank the koolaid. Mostly on the enthusiasm generated by Palin and those stupid PUMA's who kept saying how jilted they were and there was no way they were voting for Obama. How big was that bloc? 12?
Posted by: g.w. mclintock at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (qwUGR)
Posted by: infovore at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (0llFJ)
Posted by: SpongeBob Saget at November 06, 2012 05:26 PM (SDkq3)
I'm watching MSNBCon zahistation dot com. Sorry tinyurl isn't working for me.
Chris Matthews is saying this is the most important election ever. Someone get that bastard some vodka and some way to off himself.
Posted by: Stateless_Infidel at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (AC0lD)
(see what I did there?)
Posted by: Jones in CO at November 06, 2012 01:39 PM (8sCoq)
Just to recap, here's what the two possible outcomes mean:
Romney wins: We may survive as a Republic.
Obama wins: There are now more of them than there are of us, and their numbers will increase until we have nothing left, for ourselves, our families, or our posterity.
Tonight I drink to either our victory or our defeat. But drink I will.
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at November 06, 2012 01:40 PM (JDIKC)
Posted by: Serious Cat at November 06, 2012 01:40 PM (UypUQ)
Hey,
anyone know how to stream fox on the internets? my cable is all effed since effin sandy.
Try this:
http://live.foxnews.com/
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Whistling right through your troposphere. at November 06, 2012 01:40 PM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: Lara at November 06, 2012 01:40 PM (TgSwQ)
Posted by: Walter Freeman at November 06, 2012 01:40 PM (kqGWM)
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 06, 2012 01:40 PM (SkUim)
The key to Fairfax County is not turnout. That is a swing county, not a blue one. The enthusiasm and signage in Fairfax is night and day from 2008. 0bama needs to run up big margins in Fairfax County, and I do not think he will be able to do that like he did in 2008.
Posted by: Matt at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (ljiM/)
Posted by: Long Island at November 06, 2012 05:39 PM (EsJl1)
NO.
Wait for official results.
And speaking for myself, I'll be drunk enough to simply lick the windows.
Posted by: jwb7605 at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (Qxe/p)
Dude! It's getting harder for me not to get my hopes up.
Posted by: MidGeorgian at November 06, 2012 05:38 PM (qBGUl)
Just think of my wife. You'll never get anything up again.
Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (ggRof)
In Albuquerque, as I said before: If there is a 2004 split, the JEF is down in early voting some 30k.
Right now, Election Day voting is some 30k below 2008.
Election Day in 2008 split 55/45 to the JEF.
If we have a 2004 split, the JEF is down overall some 40k votes in a state he won by 80k.
Posted by: RoyalOil at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (imtbm)
Posted by: tasker at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (Z9EHQ)
I drove past my polling place in downtown Denver and saw no lines what-so-ever and this is a heavy Democrat area.
One major thing I have noticed this time is there are a ton of Romney/Ryan signs around whereas in 2008 you didn't see any McBain signage.
Oh, and a note, my wife who has never voted for a Republican in her life (She is 3
voted for Romney/Ryan this morning. Now this is a woman who stated prior to us meeting that she would never date or want to be involved with anyone who voted for G.W. Bush.
Take that for what you will but I feel the signs are out there pointing to a R/R landslide. FINISH HIM!
Posted by: B-Line at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (mNtsu)
Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (vWZrj)
Posted by: BCochran1981 at November 06, 2012 01:41 PM (GEICT)
Posted by: harleycowboy at November 06, 2012 01:42 PM (wSTfB)
Posted by: Old Glazier at November 06, 2012 01:42 PM (YGHl3)
Posted by: Jack at November 06, 2012 01:42 PM (wUFaM)
Posted by: wooga at November 06, 2012 01:42 PM (vjyZP)
The rest of Virginia, obviously, is Republican and conservative as hell. I would be absolutely stunned if Virginia went for Obama again.
I agree with this completely. Well said.
Posted by: Matt at November 06, 2012 01:42 PM (ljiM/)
Posted by: Hidajunshinette at November 06, 2012 01:42 PM (20NzC)
Posted by: Shiggz RoketSturgeon at November 06, 2012 01:42 PM (RfvTE)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 01:42 PM (ck76k)
Cam??
Cam??
AtC on cam? Does it include stompy boots?
Posted by: Sean Bannion at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (f6KBF)
over and I'll leave my prediction here to check in the morning...
53% R/R 47% Obama/Alzheimer's Guy
300 EV's R/R (Math is hard) Obama/Alzheimer's Guy
Enjoy your evening, especially those who worked so hard to make
it a reality.
Posted by: Schrödinger's cat [/i] at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (feFL6)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (Z9EHQ)
---
President Kerry could not be reached for comment.
Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (WMsq+)
Posted by: tasker at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (r2PLg)
Also, remember this is a Dem linked comment. They are spinning a fucking disaster.
Really, does Allen REALLY have a blog?
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (wR+pz)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: James at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (R5XiJ)
Posted by: wooga at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (vjyZP)
"About 4 in 10 say they think the nation's economy is on the mend, but
more say that things are getting worse or are bad and stagnating."
And they still consider hiring the guy who has it stagnating?
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (wgmUB)
Posted by: War69.com at November 06, 2012 01:43 PM (ayPhb)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Whistling right through your troposphere. at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (Gk3SS)
Ladies and gentlemen, I think we have this well in hand.
Let's all do our part to not only ensure the Obamas start packing to leave the White House, but that they never even THINK about trying this again in 2016!
And Ace, and everyone here;
Thank you.
Posted by: Acethepug at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (GskTX)
Posted by: Walter Freeman at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (kqGWM)
Posted by: Lara at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (TgSwQ)
Posted by: Victoria at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (tV5ow)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (vCK/R)
Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (vWZrj)
Posted by: Whoever this is, it's definitely not Michael at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (JVCVF)
Posted by: cheetah at November 06, 2012 01:44 PM (zXhtZ)
Posted by: Raquel at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (IJOxR)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (vCK/R)
Posted by: *required field at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (L0pQa)
Cam??
AtC on cam? Does it include stompy boots?
Posted by: Sean Bannion at November 06, 2012 05:43 PM (f6KBF)
He's the MFer that beat the Redskins which made this all happen.
Show some fucking respect.
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (wR+pz)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (SkUim)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (ZPrif)
----
I was surprised when the Obamanator won in 2008 but that was because i knew that the was a moonbat and that the US is not a moonbat country. The problem was not everybody knew he was a moonbat in 2008. Today, everyone knows he is a moonbat.
Posted by: WalrusRex at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: Jones in CO at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: Baldy at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (opS9C)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (aSf5o)
Posted by: tofer732 at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (2zM0P)
The only way it can be close in Ohio is if GOPers are voting in high numbers for Obama, not likely.
Don't trust exit polls.
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:45 PM (wgmUB)
Good call, my friend.
Posted by: President Kerry at November 06, 2012 01:46 PM (WMsq+)
Posted by: Elilla at November 06, 2012 01:46 PM (ZmOCa)
Posted by: GuyfromNH at November 06, 2012 01:46 PM (kbOju)
Posted by: tasker at November 06, 2012 01:46 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: izoneguy at November 06, 2012 01:46 PM (oKH8p)
Cannot wait to start drinking........HEAVY. Done doing my phone duties for R/R.
Posted by: JamesBakerIV at November 06, 2012 01:46 PM (lYCRe)
Posted by: jeremiah GOD Bless America with a Mitt Romney Presidency wright at November 06, 2012 01:46 PM (ovpNn)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:47 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: Golan Globus at November 06, 2012 01:47 PM (/1U3u)
Posted by: Little Lord Barry at November 06, 2012 01:47 PM (FcR7P)
Good grief.
Posted by: g.w. mclintock at November 06, 2012 01:47 PM (qwUGR)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 01:47 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Eyespydsi at November 06, 2012 01:47 PM (BQyNH)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (Z9EHQ)
Yeah this is pretty solidly conservative in attitude but Democrats outnumber Republicans in registration.
the local government's a mix but the state reps are Republican. We had a Dem for House but he retired as the district was reshaped. Now we're voting for a Republican(squishy from Allentown).
I believe that any Democrat leanings in '08 came because of a sense of fairness that given the opportunity, we owed it to vote for a Black as President.
Now that we've seen the results, we have no problem rescinding that opportunity and voting sensibly on the issues and the mistakes and outright treason The President has committed in our name.
Given that in '08 even though McCain got beat, it wasn't so much as voting FOR Obama as letting nature take it's course as he wasn't much loved around here so folks stayed home.
That error has been rectified today. What it means for the end result, I'm not sure but if the identical reports of massively increased attendance is for the reasons that happened here then we have a good chance to turn the ship of state away from the rocks.
Posted by: Jcw46 at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (SP4jC)
Posted by: Walter Freeman at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (kqGWM)
Posted by: Golan Globus at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (/1U3u)
>> Looking for a pic that captures the intensity of the moment
Don't say I never did anything for ya:
http://images.huffingtonpost.com/gen/848888/thumbs/s-OBAMA-IOWA-2012-large300.jpg
Posted by: sandy burger at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (eUGes)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: BlackOrchid at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (J6kXj)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (aSf5o)
I would still love Romney to turn education, Healthcare, and welfare back over to the states and audit the fed. Basically localize FDR's monster. This would also sap a lot of leftist energy focused on DC because they would be so busy passing single payer in Kalifornia and then spend every election why it isn't working yet.
Posted by: Shiggz RoketSturgeon at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (RfvTE)
RUN RIGHT THROUGH THEM!! THEY'RE DEMORALIZED AS HELL!!!
Posted by: Jeffersonian at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (gxCRt)
Posted by: Golan Globus at November 06, 2012 05:47 PM (/1U3u)
No the election was over when Obama killed Osama.
Posted by: Long Island at November 06, 2012 01:48 PM (EsJl1)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: wooga at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (vjyZP)
Posted by: USS CONSTITUTION at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (KqwSL)
Posted by: Lara at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (TgSwQ)
They have R carrying Florida and NC.
They have O carrying Ohio, PA, New Hampshire, NV, and MI.
Virginia, Colorado, and Iowa are listed as tossups. Nothing about Wisky.
I cannot believe I went to the Drudge Report website, and left feeling worse.
Posted by: Tickled Pink at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (knYLP)
Posted by: tasker at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (aSf5o)
Posted by: mnm at November 06, 2012 01:49 PM (6mijs)
Posted by: WalrusRex at November 06, 2012 01:50 PM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Whistling right through your troposphere. at November 06, 2012 01:50 PM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: jjshaka at November 06, 2012 01:50 PM (amEmC)
Posted by: Davidlind at November 06, 2012 01:50 PM (J9mCu)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:51 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: t-bird at November 06, 2012 01:51 PM (FcR7P)
Billy Cunningham on Hannity AGAIN claiming the GOP turnout is so high (and he uses Hamilton County) that he's afraid some people might get tired of standing in line (polls close in Ohio in 7:30) . Says election officials haven't seen anything like it since Kennedy-Nixon and he says that as long as the people stay in line, OHIO is going to shock the world. He says that in red areas turnout is 80% and in Cleveland is was 40.
Put out the word, he is yelling, stay in line and if you are in line by 7:30 you will be able to vote no matter how long it takes to get to the front of the line, but if you get in line after 7:30, no. So, stay in line and get in line!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:51 PM (wgmUB)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:51 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: tasker at November 06, 2012 01:51 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:51 PM (wgmUB)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 01:51 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 06, 2012 01:52 PM (WMsq+)
Posted by: Lisa at November 06, 2012 01:52 PM (5W7Ko)
Posted by: Serious Cat at November 06, 2012 01:52 PM (UypUQ)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:53 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: War69.com at November 06, 2012 01:53 PM (ayPhb)
Posted by: jjshaka at November 06, 2012 01:53 PM (amEmC)
Posted by: tasker at November 06, 2012 01:53 PM (r2PLg)
Romney's camp needs to get their numbers to Drudge and get out ahead of this.
Posted by: Honey Badger at November 06, 2012 01:53 PM (GvYeG)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 01:53 PM (aSf5o)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:53 PM (Z9EHQ)
---
Let me guess: dead people voting Democrat is no longer considered cheating.
Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 06, 2012 01:54 PM (WMsq+)
Posted by: Baldy at November 06, 2012 01:54 PM (opS9C)
Posted by: War69.com at November 06, 2012 01:54 PM (ayPhb)
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 01:54 PM (wgmUB)
Posted by: Ed Anger at November 06, 2012 01:54 PM (tOkJB)
---
That's cute but I'm serious. If he actually shows up I want to shove the facts up his ass and then down his throat.
Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 06, 2012 01:55 PM (WMsq+)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:55 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: Country Singer at November 06, 2012 01:55 PM (meVGV)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 01:55 PM (aSf5o)
Posted by: Jones in CO at November 06, 2012 01:55 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 01:56 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:56 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: Old Texas Chic at November 06, 2012 01:56 PM (lLXZV)
Posted by: Jones in CO at November 06, 2012 05:55 PM (8sCoq)
Its the last push poll...they are trying to do a 2000 election again, but we are wise to the game now.
Posted by: Oldcat at November 06, 2012 01:57 PM (z1N6a)
Posted by: Hill Billy at November 06, 2012 01:57 PM (6Lobp)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 06, 2012 01:57 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: Jones in CO at November 06, 2012 01:57 PM (8sCoq)
People are posting on Craigslist, willing to trade sex for gasoline.
http://tinyurl.com/bml6bv7
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 06, 2012 01:58 PM (SkUim)
Posted by: rickb223 at November 06, 2012 01:58 PM (k6QV5)
Posted by: Ohiogal at November 06, 2012 01:59 PM (xW3nu)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 01:59 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 01:59 PM (aSf5o)
Posted by: LASue at November 06, 2012 01:59 PM (gjIQF)
Posted by: mnm at November 06, 2012 02:00 PM (6mijs)
Posted by: Evilpens at November 06, 2012 02:01 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: yankeefifth at November 06, 2012 02:02 PM (Z9EHQ)
I see lots of R/R and local Republican signs and stickers. Only saw one O-bot car with a couple of choomers lighting up as they left the lot.
My prediction is this county will go 56% to 59% Republican this cycle.
That is on the conservative side, IMO.
Posted by: Joe Mama at November 06, 2012 02:05 PM (JJ+PT)
Posted by: War69.com at November 06, 2012 05:53 PM (ayPhb)
You're kidding! So that means all those Dem fraudsters are gonna take the hot shot? I'm fine with that.
Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 06, 2012 02:09 PM (BuSM8)
Posted by: runner at November 06, 2012 02:10 PM (WR5xI)
Posted by: Bryan at November 06, 2012 02:11 PM (sXaHh)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 02:11 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at November 06, 2012 02:14 PM (EUv1K)
Posted by: Chairman LMAO at November 06, 2012 02:16 PM (9eDbm)
Posted by: steevy at November 06, 2012 02:26 PM (9XBK2)
Posted by: Stinky Feet at November 06, 2012 02:28 PM (cSxQs)
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 06, 2012 02:30 PM (SkUim)
Posted by: sickofscoamf at November 06, 2012 02:32 PM (aiv7G)
Are they just deaf, dumb and blind???
I don't understand who Obama gets more than 30% of the vote????????
We have a lot of work to do to educate the next generation about Communism and Socialism.....
My generation has failed to heed the warning of history.
Posted by: izoneguy at November 06, 2012 05:46 PM (oKH8p)
You forget the media is worth 15% - add that in and you get near the magic 47% number. The difference between 1980 and now is that Carter didn't get the Communist Party US endorsement, Obamao did get it.
People really don't understand Communists like they used to.
Posted by: An Observation at November 06, 2012 02:54 PM (ylhEn)
#55: "FOX said 51% of govt workers in VA voted for Romney."
I don't trust exits, but if that were accurage, wouldn't it mean VA was going Romney?
Posted by: gayle in ca at November 06, 2012 03:07 PM (wgmUB)
320 Chris Matthews just called for capital punishment for those that cheat in elections.
Let me guess: dead people voting Democrat is no longer considered cheating.
It's okay. You can't kill dead people.
Posted by: harleycowboy at November 06, 2012 03:09 PM (wSTfB)
Posted by: Elilla at November 06, 2012 03:51 PM (ZmOCa)
Posted by: joest73 at November 08, 2012 08:19 AM (h6Xwq)
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Posted by: custardbutt at November 06, 2012 01:20 PM (p9FjL)