Ace of Spades HQ

November 06, 2012

Virginia Independents Break For Romney By 12 Points, 53-41
— Ace

Just over Fox.

Now, that's an exit poll. But it's a subset of Independents, so I buy it a little more.

And here's the thing: I bet this understates the lead with Independents. Shy Tory rule, again.

More: CNN's exits have it 49-49. This almost certainly means it's in the bag for Team Red.

In addition, I saw secondhand that Obama's advantage with women is just +5. Not enough.

Posted by: Ace at 03:09 PM | Comments (53)
Post contains 87 words, total size 1 kb.

1 I think you're right, ace. Dear god, please be right.

Posted by: mugiwara at November 06, 2012 03:10 PM (JxXAE)

2 I'm sure I've fantasized about a Shy Tory.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at November 06, 2012 03:11 PM (6JMZR)

3 OMG, too many threads! Which one to follow?

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 06, 2012 03:12 PM (9+ccr)

Is there a live blog tonight?

I need some serious snark.

Posted by: Jinx the Cat at November 06, 2012 03:12 PM (l3vZN)

5 2 hr lines still in Northern Virginia exurb (Prince William). Polls are closed. Doors are closed. Those in line still get to vote. Lines snake up and down the hallways of the elementary school.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at November 06, 2012 03:13 PM (ZPrif)

6 Pandemonium suits this place .

Posted by: Bill D. Cat at November 06, 2012 03:13 PM (M2+F0)

Get it fucking done!!!!

Posted by: Zac at November 06, 2012 03:14 PM (F6KtL)

8 Confused about what is the active thread.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at November 06, 2012 03:14 PM (ZPrif)

9 ( still peeking through my fingers )

Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at November 06, 2012 03:15 PM (jo069)

Sweet-if this holds.

If we win VA, WI, IA,CO we win the election- WITHOUT OH,MI,orPA.

F-ing NH, they need to change their motto from "live free or die" to "gimme free stuff or I'll whine"

Posted by: Gerry Owen at November 06, 2012 03:15 PM (4ABat)

11 Mitt has Indiana & Kentucky, two of three called. I hope R&R win 2 of 3 called each time!

Posted by: CarolT at November 06, 2012 03:15 PM (s0f54)

12 ...if we win ANY of OH,PA,or MI..it will be over. Landslide time.

Posted by: Gerry Owen at November 06, 2012 03:16 PM (4ABat)

13 1980... 1980... 1980...

Posted by: phreshone at November 06, 2012 03:17 PM (MAhUT)

14 Do the CNN analysts have access to the actual vote right now for Virginia, even though network won't call it yet? Because Gergen seems to think it's not looking good for Romney. He's using exit data as his overt reason, but I'm wondering if he actually knows more.

Posted by: Lara at November 06, 2012 03:17 PM (TgSwQ)

15 Good heavens, this is stressful like crazy. Seriously, this anxiety is nuts!

Posted by: Lee (in KY) at November 06, 2012 03:18 PM (jgXna)

16 Drudge took down his ridiculous exit poll garbage. He sucks.

Posted by: Jmel at November 06, 2012 03:18 PM (c+D8V)

17 If we have I+12 in Virginia, then ... it should be I+15ish outside of the Obamlic gaytheist center of the east coast.

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 03:20 PM (QxSug)

18
Anybody know a way to watch FoxNews online w/o cable?

Posted by: dan-O at November 06, 2012 03:20 PM (sWycd)

19 and screw drudge, let's make this a drudge free election

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 06, 2012 03:20 PM (QxSug)

20 Praying hard for An Awesome Romney Ryan Victory. !!!!!!!!!!! GO ROMNEY AND RYAN !!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: grumpy momma bear at November 06, 2012 03:21 PM (SIgM0)

21 14 I'll repost this from the last thread: Gergen is one of the stupidest, most boring people on television, and that's saying something.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 03:21 PM (aSf5o)

22 13 1980... 1980... 1980... Amen Amen Amen !!!!!!!

Posted by: grumpy momma bear at November 06, 2012 03:22 PM (SIgM0)

23 dan-O: Try this

tvpc-com/Channel.php?ChannelID=17892

Replace the hyphen after 'tvpc' with a period.

Posted by: schmoopy at November 06, 2012 03:23 PM (vclSa)

24 Any Moronettes dressed for the ocassion? We need to do this curb stomp properly.

Posted by: fluffeneidas, ORCA at November 06, 2012 03:23 PM (vWZrj)

25 Grhhhahhh fucking poles!!!!!

Posted by: ringo at November 06, 2012 03:23 PM (IL8CG)

26 Obama has lost independents. Therefore, he has lost the (legitimate) election. Only fraud and depressing R turnout could save him now. So, surprise, surprise... (Anyway, it won't be enough.)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 03:24 PM (aSf5o)

27 Go Mitt Go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: duberitaville at November 06, 2012 03:26 PM (o6ETJ)

28 What #20 said

Posted by: ringo at November 06, 2012 03:26 PM (IL8CG)

29 Thanks schmoopy!!

Posted by: dan-O at November 06, 2012 03:26 PM (sWycd)

30 FINISH HIM!

Posted by: Jane D'oh says "America, Fuck Yeah!" at November 06, 2012 03:27 PM (UOM48)

31 P.S.U. Alum, but I swear to God right now, I'll root for the Buckeyes for the rest of my life if Ohio gets this done for us.

Posted by: Shirley at November 06, 2012 03:27 PM (/78Ne)

32 Yeah I don't like some of the comments Barone just made on Fox. He sounded a lot more confident yesterday.

He was hedging big time- especially when asked about Ohio,

Posted by: marcus at November 06, 2012 03:29 PM (4GrBM)

33 Chris Matthews already voted his vagina, but it won't be enough.

Posted by: sTevo at November 06, 2012 03:29 PM (VMcEw)

34 Romney up a ton with indies in VA and winning govt workers? VA is over.

Posted by: Bill Mitchell at November 06, 2012 03:31 PM (hlUJY)

35 I swore I wasn't going to watch or read anything until early AM, but I can't fucking take it. Just finish him!!!!! And hard, and for the love of God, early.

Posted by: Let It Be Victory at November 06, 2012 03:33 PM (xJNNd)

36 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at November 06, 2012 03:33 PM (9XBK2)

37 The stupidest thing about polls and pollsters is this: Any poll/comment made by a pollster can and does influence the actual outcome of the election.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 03:34 PM (aSf5o)

38 check out the red lipstick on the NBC chick she looks like a hookah

Posted by: soothsayer at November 06, 2012 03:34 PM (fnykX)

39 OK, I am officially going to a private site where people don't try to read every frigging facial tic of people who have been going through data and trying to make educated guesses.

This is not worth reading and I am tired of it.

Posted by: Miss Marple at November 06, 2012 03:34 PM (GoIUi)

40 As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly.

Posted by: Arthur Carlson at November 06, 2012 03:35 PM (3xuEM)

41 40 Everyone on TV looks like a hooker. (Especially the males.)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 03:35 PM (aSf5o)

42 41 Hang in there.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 03:36 PM (aSf5o)

43 Prince William is historically R, but has been trending D in recent years. Flood of new government workers. Prince William and Loudoun have been growing huge in population in recent years, transplants are changing it politically. Still a lean R, I think. Much more R than Fairfax, which is more R than Arlington. Farther away from DC you get in the NoVa burbs the more R it gets. Prince William did a big anti-illegal immigrant law just a few years ago that got lots of press. But demographics are changing fast year to year and the situation is fluid.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at November 06, 2012 03:36 PM (ZPrif)

44 14 Gergen seems to think it's not looking good for Romney. He's using exit data as his overt reason, but I'm wondering if he actually knows more. Gergen has never actually known anything in his life.

Posted by: Queequeg the Harpooner at November 06, 2012 03:37 PM (3xuEM)

45 What light red mean on the AosHQDD map (North Carolina)?

Posted by: zippy at November 06, 2012 03:40 PM (eytQe)

46 Here is the type of crap I ma reading on Twitter. Ari Fleischer just said that Obama kept his 2008 youth vote in Indiana, which would be good for him nationally.

Well, Indiana has been called for ROMNEY. Which means a lot of those younger voters were as pissed off as my daughter, and they voted for Romney.

Political analysis is becoming pathetic.

Posted by: Miss Marple at November 06, 2012 03:43 PM (GoIUi)

47 I can't read Drudge although he took his bullshit exit polls down.I'm hanging here with you guys. Its either that or go off and read the goat entrails.

Posted by: kim at November 06, 2012 03:43 PM (JSebC)

48 zippy, mouse over the state on the map and it will bring up the current vote totals
Nc currently leaning RR

Posted by: LRBnSC at November 06, 2012 03:43 PM (Qp3K5)

49 Well, this is quite boring. We've won. See you all tomorrow.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 06, 2012 03:43 PM (aSf5o)

50 Project ORCA in precinct 204 (Stafford, VA) - Romney won our precinct!!!

Posted by: mastour at November 06, 2012 03:43 PM (Xf0bG)

51 Project ORCA in precinct 204 (Stafford, VA) - Romney won our precinct!!!

Thank you!

Posted by: fluffeneidas, ORCA at November 06, 2012 03:47 PM (vWZrj)

52 new thread

Posted by: LRBnSC at November 06, 2012 03:48 PM (Qp3K5)

53 VA is not the one to worry about.