June 25, 2012
— CAC

Meanwhile yet another poll (the fifth in two weeks) showing Michigan a tie came out today.
But remember, PPP, 2012 "looks more and more like 2008". All is well. You're polling finds Obama doing several points better than any other firm, in every state, and that's gotta be because everybody else is wrong, right? Sure, your polling skews all the current averages more favorably to the President, but you're in great company: Bloomberg says Obama is up wider than any President since Reagan in 1984.
Sleep well. You were only wrong by 50% of the margin on Wisconsin and AZ-8. No possible problems with that big an error anyway. Besides, batting .000 is at least better than Research2000 could say right now.
Which reminds me...this map posted Friday sure doesn't look so crazy now, does it?

Posted by: CAC at
04:57 PM
| Comments (163)
Post contains 138 words, total size 1 kb.
I will use it to sweeten my election night feast.
Up by the widest margin since '84.
Think about what kind of spin THAT is.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at June 25, 2012 05:01 PM (+yxTR)
Lol.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at June 25, 2012 05:02 PM (hO8IJ)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 25, 2012 05:03 PM (MCDCp)
Posted by: dogfish at June 25, 2012 05:04 PM (N2yhW)
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at June 25, 2012 05:05 PM (famk3)
Will it get better for Obama when Egypt goes bat-shit crazy?
Will it get better when the next two Employment Reports show employment down?
Will it get better for Obama when the Euro implodes and Germany goes back to the Deutsch Mark?
Posted by: rd at June 25, 2012 05:07 PM (9sUlj)
I hope so, I really, really, really hope so!!!!!
Posted by: Killerdog at June 25, 2012 05:10 PM (CZrbJ)
They also do it because Allah puts up a panicky post every time there's an outlier
I think they do it to watch Greg fap
Posted by: kbdabear at June 25, 2012 05:10 PM (Y+DPZ)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 25, 2012 05:10 PM (qA9lG)
Posted by: The Huggable Robot Devil at June 25, 2012 05:10 PM (84oau)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 25, 2012 05:11 PM (MCDCp)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 25, 2012 05:11 PM (qA9lG)
Stop it with the negative waves.
http://tinyurl.com/b3cdol
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo-intellectual at June 25, 2012 05:12 PM (dwuBu)
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at June 25, 2012 05:12 PM (GE1+K)
Posted by: steevy at June 25, 2012 05:12 PM (Xb3hu)
Posted by: Killerdog at June 25, 2012 05:14 PM (CZrbJ)
Posted by: Jean, team dagny at June 25, 2012 05:14 PM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Thunderb at June 25, 2012 05:15 PM (Dnbau)
Posted by: Filly at June 25, 2012 05:16 PM (ebG9b)
I get that pop-up as well. Should I be expecting SWAT to break in my door?
Posted by: Cicero Kid at June 25, 2012 05:17 PM (IyjUs)
Posted by: Killerdog at June 25, 2012 05:18 PM (CZrbJ)
Posted by: Truck Monkey at June 25, 2012 05:18 PM (jucos)
Posted by: Jean, team dagny at June 25, 2012 05:18 PM (WkuV6)
Posted by: fluffy at June 25, 2012 05:18 PM (z9HTb)
I get that pop-up as well. Should I be expecting SWAT to break in my door?
Posted by: Cicero Kid at June 25, 2012 09:17 PM (IyjUs)
Naw, probably just a bunch of drunken hobos. They should be easy pickins though!
Posted by: Killerdog at June 25, 2012 05:19 PM (CZrbJ)
Posted by: Thunderb at June 25, 2012 05:20 PM (Dnbau)
Posted by: Truck Monkey at June 25, 2012 05:21 PM (jucos)
Posted by: Thunderb at June 25, 2012 05:22 PM (Dnbau)
Posted by: CAC at June 25, 2012 05:22 PM (Crpig)
Posted by: Jean, team dagny at June 25, 2012 05:22 PM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Margarita DeVille at June 25, 2012 05:23 PM (C8mVl)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 25, 2012 05:23 PM (qA9lG)
--------
I'm getting the popup, too. I just assumed Pixy had neglected to send the appropriate cut of skimmed ampersands to SiteMeter and they decided to get snippy about it.
Posted by: Anachronda at June 25, 2012 05:23 PM (1c58W)
Posted by: tasker at June 25, 2012 05:24 PM (r2PLg)
Imagine how their heads will *ASPLODE* if they have to reckon with the possibility that fuckin' OREGON is now within reach for Romney.
Hey: I know the feeling. I remember thinking it was utterly impossible that Obama could win Indiana or North Carolina in 2008. And yet.
Posted by: Jeff B. at June 25, 2012 05:24 PM (ogWsV)
Posted by: steevy at June 25, 2012 05:24 PM (Xb3hu)
Posted by: Thunderb at June 25, 2012 05:25 PM (Dnbau)
Posted by: tasker at June 25, 2012 05:25 PM (r2PLg)
“He’s defiant and wants the truth to be told. He wants people to know that he’s not guilty,” Rominger said. “That would be his hope.”
He's mythically innocent!
Posted by: Elizabeth Warren at June 25, 2012 05:26 PM (X+WXU)
"Hey: I know the feeling. I remember thinking it was utterly impossible that Obama could win Indiana or North Carolina in 2008. And yet."
We won't get fooled again.
Posted by: Cicero Kid, odopted Hoosier at June 25, 2012 05:27 PM (IyjUs)
Posted by: fixerupper at June 25, 2012 05:27 PM (ffV1/)
Posted by: Jean, team dagny at June 25, 2012 05:27 PM (WkuV6)
Posted by: tasker at June 25, 2012 05:27 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 25, 2012 05:28 PM (qA9lG)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at June 25, 2012 05:28 PM (Gysld)
Posted by: GadsdenJazz at June 25, 2012 05:28 PM (sbVC3)
Posted by: Cicero Kid, adopted Hoosier at June 25, 2012 05:28 PM (IyjUs)
Posted by: bernverdnardo at June 25, 2012 05:29 PM (m9BLI)
Posted by: fixerupper at June 25, 2012 05:29 PM (ffV1/)
Posted by: irongrampa at June 25, 2012 05:29 PM (SAMxH)
Posted by: Thunderb at June 25, 2012 05:31 PM (Dnbau)
Posted by: humphreyrobot at June 25, 2012 05:32 PM (EiH7n)
Posted by: irongrampa at June 25, 2012 09:29 PM (SAMxH)
I was getting it earlier, but am not now.
Posted by: buzzion at June 25, 2012 05:33 PM (GULKT)
Posted by: The Lost Dutchman at June 25, 2012 05:33 PM (9F2c1)
I can't even fathom how insane the left would become if the election was thrown to the House of Representatives.
Posted by: Coldstream at June 25, 2012 05:33 PM (qrCKL)
Posted by: CAC at June 25, 2012 05:34 PM (Crpig)
Posted by: The Lost Dutchman at June 25, 2012 05:34 PM (9F2c1)
Posted by: symbolic or something at June 25, 2012 05:35 PM (0WvoA)
Posted by: fixerupper at June 25, 2012 05:35 PM (ffV1/)
Posted by: Truck Monkey at June 25, 2012 05:35 PM (jucos)
Posted by: CAC at June 25, 2012 05:36 PM (Crpig)
Posted by: Jean, team dagny at June 25, 2012 05:37 PM (WkuV6)
----
.... heh. a guy can dream cant he....
Chances are if that happens the Republicans will have the popular vote. They will certainly have the delegations in more than 26 states. I guess that is the disadvantage for the Democratic party being restricted to the East Coast and West Coast socialist enclaves.
Posted by: Sean at June 25, 2012 05:38 PM (E0rp6)
You say that as though it's a bad thing.
I want to see them smashed into sniveling impotence, denied even the role of spoiler.
And wandering the political wilderness ,wailing, for decades to come.
Posted by: irongrampa at June 25, 2012 05:39 PM (SAMxH)
Posted by: Jean, team dagny at June 25, 2012 05:41 PM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Hummingbird at June 25, 2012 05:41 PM (R5yLq)
I just want to win. Win pretty, win ugly? Fuck it -- just win, baby.
Posted by: Jeff B. at June 25, 2012 05:42 PM (ogWsV)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 05:43 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: Tami at June 25, 2012 05:44 PM (X6akg)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 05:44 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: Jeff B. at June 25, 2012 05:45 PM (ogWsV)
Posted by: Tami at June 25, 2012 05:45 PM (X6akg)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 05:45 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: toby928© at June 25, 2012 05:46 PM (QupBk)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 25, 2012 05:47 PM (qA9lG)
Posted by: Tami at June 25, 2012 05:47 PM (X6akg)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 05:47 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at June 25, 2012 05:48 PM (DGIjM)
It's not an assumption. It's operation of law. There is literally no other procedure that can possibly be done to decide. The Constitution is crystal-clear on the mechanism for deciding an electoral college tie. It's not as if the Democrats and Obama can stage a coup at that point (no, sorry -- I hate Obama as much as anyone here, but that is not going to fucking happen).
Spare me the gratuitous bodysnatchers-style paranoid. In the event of an Electoral College tie we win, and while the Dems and the media will bitchbitchbitch (though actually they won't even be able to do that if Romney wins the popular vote -- what would be the basis for claiming that Obama should win an EV tie on "moral grounds" if Romney was the popular vote victor?) it won't make one fucking lick of difference. Chill, my friend.
Posted by: Jeff B. at June 25, 2012 05:48 PM (ogWsV)
Posted by: Gerry at June 25, 2012 05:48 PM (hbTVS)
Posted by: fixerupper at June 25, 2012 05:49 PM (ffV1/)
Posted by: Blue Hen at June 25, 2012 09:46 PM
Use Firefox No-Script
http://tinyurl.com/7kkn6wz
Posted by: kbdabear at June 25, 2012 05:49 PM (Y+DPZ)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 05:49 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: Jean at June 25, 2012 05:51 PM (WkuV6)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 05:51 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 25, 2012 05:52 PM (qA9lG)
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at June 25, 2012 05:52 PM (famk3)
Posted by: Nero at June 25, 2012 05:53 PM (Y41+m)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 25, 2012 05:54 PM (qA9lG)
Their state-level numbers directly contradict the high-frequency, large sample national trackers and everything we know about how demographics couple each state to the top-line nationals.
They fucked up Wisconcin's recall, which is a known data-point where we have their projection and the result and they have yet to alter their bizarre sampling patterns.
Tom Jensen is a joke: it was funny when he went on twitter to gloat about his and the Barret internal pollster's numbers after the [faulty] WI exits were released -- he only got it wrong by what.... over twice the projected differential? (3% verse 7% win)
But Barret could pull it out if it looks like 2008 on steroids, right PPP?!
In the words of Capt O'Hagen: "I'll believe ya when me shit turns purple and smells like rainbow sherbet."
Posted by: Uriah Heep at June 25, 2012 05:54 PM (JdSQO)
Posted by: food tester at June 25, 2012 05:55 PM (oZfic)
Posted by: Thunderb at June 25, 2012 05:55 PM (Dnbau)
I am seeing the sitmeter pop-up here, Other McCain, elsewhere.
Running Windows and IE 9.0.7.
Using MS security essentials.
Posted by: rd at June 25, 2012 05:56 PM (9sUlj)
Posted by: Moonbeam at June 25, 2012 05:57 PM (1k4dd)
Posted by: Tami at June 25, 2012 05:57 PM (X6akg)
Michigan has some surprises yet. The dems in Detroit are still recovering from the Kwame fiasco and the Wayne County exec scandals. Many of them are screaming enough is enough, especially as the new Detroit fiscal crisis has shown how bad things were, and still are. In fact a lot of rumours going around ( I denounce myself in advance ) that a moderate fiscally responsible democrat named Mike Duggan of the caucasion persuasion is the leading likely candidate for mayor of the motor city when Bing decides not to seek a second term, or is bounced by Duggan in a primary.
And Snyder is behind the scenes, working some magic.
Michigan may be purple today, but expect it to go red soon. Detroit and other dem turnout will be weak, no question about it.
And some of us think Michigan is quite ready to put Mitt in office.
Posted by: Mister Money at June 25, 2012 05:57 PM (wN82N)
Posted by: Sean at June 25, 2012 05:59 PM (E0rp6)
Posted by: Boston12GS at June 25, 2012 05:59 PM (0VqvZ)
Posted by: The Political Hat at June 25, 2012 05:59 PM (XYqoq)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 25, 2012 06:00 PM (qA9lG)
Posted by: Spike at June 25, 2012 06:03 PM (I4NNt)
Posted by: Thunderb at June 25, 2012 06:03 PM (Dnbau)
Shhh! Please, I take small comfort in us not being totally fucked up.
Posted by: fluffy, Masshole at June 25, 2012 06:04 PM (z9HTb)
Posted by: CAC at June 25, 2012 06:06 PM (Crpig)
Posted by: jewells45 at June 25, 2012 06:07 PM (UljOc)
Posted by: irongrampa at June 25, 2012 06:08 PM (SAMxH)
Posted by: steevy at June 25, 2012 06:10 PM (Xb3hu)
Posted by: steevy at June 25, 2012 06:11 PM (Xb3hu)
Thank you. Posted by: Blue Hen at June 25, 2012 09:53 PM
Nope, I'm a regular here, and I use FF NoScript all the time
You are correct in being cautious though, some trolls love to link to malware sites or gay pr0n
Posted by: kbdabear at June 25, 2012 06:12 PM (Y+DPZ)
Posted by: Boston12GS at June 25, 2012 06:12 PM (0VqvZ)
I'mon FF with blockers on and not seeing the popup. (and haven't been to AW's site)
Posted by: someone at June 25, 2012 06:13 PM (bqjJT)
Posted by: steevy at June 25, 2012 06:13 PM (Xb3hu)
Posted by: Sandwich Bag at June 25, 2012 06:14 PM (MG6Y6)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 06:15 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: Spike at June 25, 2012 06:15 PM (I4NNt)
yeah, well, if Hussein does that he won't survive The Experience.
Just sayin.....
Posted by: Bob in Baltimore at June 25, 2012 06:17 PM (Dll6b)
Posted by: Justamom at June 25, 2012 06:19 PM (Sptt8)
Posted by: jewells45 at June 25, 2012 06:20 PM (UljOc)
Tinfoil hat stuff doesn't seem so ludicrous lately, does it?
I agree with your assessment, chum.
Posted by: irongrampa at June 25, 2012 06:22 PM (SAMxH)
Posted by: Sean at June 25, 2012 06:24 PM (E0rp6)
Posted by: Justamom at June 25, 2012 06:25 PM (Sptt8)
Posted by: Justamom at June 25, 2012 06:27 PM (Sptt8)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 06:31 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: The Political Hat at June 25, 2012 06:32 PM (XYqoq)
Posted by: StuckOnStupid at June 25, 2012 06:45 PM (R5yLq)
Posted by: Moonbeam at June 25, 2012 06:51 PM (1k4dd)
I just want to win. Win pretty, win ugly? Fuck it -- just win, baby.
Posted by: Jeff B. at June 25, 2012 09:42 PM (ogWsV)
***************
If this is true, then wouldn't, wait for it, Califuckia also go for Romney? Or am I thinking counties, not reps?
Posted by: Boomer Redneque, Threadslayer at June 25, 2012 07:05 PM (eQnzo)
Posted by: The Political Hat at June 25, 2012 07:07 PM (XYqoq)
Posted by: Boomer Redneque, Threadslayer at June 25, 2012 07:20 PM (eQnzo)
There is plenty of time between now and November for the rest of America to lay aside its racist hate for our President and vote for our multiracial bronze god.
Posted by: Mary Cloggenstein from Brattleboro, VT at June 25, 2012 07:24 PM (dqSmk)
Posted by: food tester at June 25, 2012 08:40 PM (oZfic)
Posted by: Bitter Clinger and all that at June 26, 2012 05:04 AM (CP+yl)
Posted by: NoMittens at June 26, 2012 06:27 AM (elHhH)
Hide Comments | Add Comment | Refresh | Top
64 queries taking 0.2159 seconds, 291 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.








Posted by: iamahaiangttiam at June 25, 2012 04:59 PM (EG6oe)