Ace of Spades HQ

October 31, 2012

Michigan: 2 Point Seven Damn Points
— Ace

As I do a lot, I'm taking a lot from @benk84's early headlines post.

2.7% Obama lead in Michigan, 47.7% to 45%.

The Obama campaign Tuesday announced its first network TV ads will begin airing this week in Michigan. Neither candidate had bought airtime here, but earlier Tuesday, Romney's super PAC launched a $2.2 million advertising final blitz in Michigan.
That brings Restore Our Future's investment in Michigan post-primary up to nearly $10 million, according to the PAC Â— which until now had been unanswered by the Obama campaign.

By the way, I just read an article -- not sure which; I closed it -- noting that Romney had plenty of money to spend and couldn't really spend it all by election day if he just concentrated on the swing states. So if you're worried that this is wasted money, well, thanks to those who donated to Romney (you know who you are, clap yourselves on the back) he's really not forced into difficult decisions. He can spend in Ohio and play in some speculative states too.

This is problematic for Romney:

lso new in this poll, Romney now has a more favorable impression than unfavorable among likely voters at 44.7 percent favorable. Obama's favorable rating is 47.8 percent.

If you assume (again, as I'm doing lately) that your favorable rating represents your upper bound of support, then Romney needs to move his favorable up to 51% or so.

Which he can do. He does have some positive ads which test well. That ad of him just addressing the camera is rated highly by undecided voters. Plus, there's that heart-string pulling ad about him helping the dying boy write his will. And all those ads cut from his great moments at the debates.

Romney does have an advantage here that Obama doesn't: After four years of campaigning, mixed in with golf, and an occasional foray into governance, Obama is very well known to people and his numbers are mostly inelastic. Romney's image has more elasticity, more upside. It can be more readily changed than Obama's.

And, as usual, Romney is tantalizingly close in Pennsylvania. Still behind, but just close enough to get hopes up. 49-45, within margin of error.

Posted by: Ace at 12:19 PM | Comments (256)
Post contains 381 words, total size 2 kb.

1 How realistic is MI?

Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 12:22 PM (6Q9g2)

2 1st

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:22 PM (8sCoq)

3
Oh. . .and first!

Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 12:22 PM (6Q9g2)

4 as always....

DAMN IT

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:22 PM (8sCoq)

5 Oh, Obama has *plenty* of elasticity. *WINK*

Posted by: Kal Penn at October 31, 2012 12:22 PM (jKE+Z)

6 Wonder if they are in Florida to specifically-- Drag Connie Mack across the line. Gawd damn it jettison Nelson.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:23 PM (r2PLg)

7 SO ACE'S writing style is getting more and more confusing- is the headline a good thing or bad thing

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:23 PM (8sCoq)

8 Pa and Michigan are more realistic than Ohio. I wish Romney had spent more money in these 2 states than wasting it on Marxist Ohio.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:23 PM (+IAze)

9 Are you Indian, Ace?

Posted by: Joey Bag of Donuts Biden at October 31, 2012 12:23 PM (jKE+Z)

10 Ha, we're just making Romney put money into a state where he has no chance! Less money for states like Ohio or Wisconsin. Pure. Fuckin. Genius

Posted by: The Obama Strategy at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (F6KtL)

11 I don't see Romney getting PA, though the fact that we're even talking about this is a great sign.

Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (6Q9g2)

Helen Thomas orrrrrrrr Harry Carey?

Posted by: Obi Wan Cannoli at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (f95vc)

13 Other speculation is--popular vote.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (r2PLg)

14 Indian? Push start or pull start?

Posted by: i am mad as hell and i am not going to take it anymore at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (cgxNI)

15 I live in the Dutch-Mafia West Side of the state. Probably one of the few areas of MI where you could actually drive around with a RR sticker on your car and not worry about your car getting keyed.

Posted by: Navin R Johnson at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (RRbuy)

16 Helen Thomas orrrrrrr Bob Dylan?

Posted by: Obi Wan Cannoli at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (f95vc)

17 An incumbent at 47% is in bad shape. Don't know if Romney can take it, but it will be close.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (F0K0r)

Helen Thomas orrrrrr George Wendt?

Posted by: Obi Wan Cannoli at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (f95vc)

19 For shots and giggles, lets pretend for a moment these polls mean what they say. 3% is a margin that can and will be closed by Romney's GOTV which is the secret weapon that were not giving nearly enough weight to.

Posted by: Truman North at October 31, 2012 12:24 PM (I2LwF)

20 Get back under the stairs, Hector. Now.

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 12:25 PM (jUytm)

21 Helen Thomas orrrrrrr Jabba the Hut?

Posted by: Obi Wan Cannoli at October 31, 2012 12:25 PM (f95vc)

22 Oh...anyone see that Obama picked the Tigers to win the World Series? Magic touch, that guy...

Posted by: Navin R Johnson at October 31, 2012 12:25 PM (RRbuy)

23 7 SO ACE'S writing style is getting more and more confusing- is the headline a good thing or bad thing Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 04:23 PM (8sCoq) __________ Most likely bad for Obama-- because without even looking at that poll I am almost Nate Silver sure--that 2.7% is below the MOE.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:26 PM (r2PLg)

24 Helen Thomas or the 2012 Detroit Tigers?

Posted by: Obi Wan Cannoli at October 31, 2012 12:26 PM (f95vc)

25 It would be awesome if Obama has to borrow more money to pay to play in PA.

What I want to know is, what happens to his debt if he loses the election? Is his campaign just going to write it off and screw the lenders? That would be "ironic".

Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 12:26 PM (6Q9g2)

26 @ 11 Looking closely

PA is more winnable than Ohio. They have a higher unemployment, Obama has attacked the coal industry and he's trying to stop fracking. Ohio has been bought off by Obamaphones, payoff to the Unions, welfare and food stamps. They are a Marxist Blue state now.

PA is Romney's for the taking.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:26 PM (6Lik1)

27 Romney is winning in Ohio and New Hampshire, so these other states are gravy and mandate.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 31, 2012 12:26 PM (F0K0r)

28 All these former Obama states turning into battleground states is a ploy. Make Romney spend his money where he thinks he has a chance.

Posted by: The Obama Strategy at October 31, 2012 12:26 PM (F6KtL)

29 Good for the Tea Party. Tea Party conservatives are getting their very own news site. The Tea Party News Network, self-described as "the only trusted news source and the antidote to mainstream media bias," is already live but will announce its launch tomorrow morning, with plans to start live video on election day. TPNN claims to have a "war room of 40-plus volunteers" who will operate out of the Venetian Resort in Las Vegas, and has established partnerships with the Talk Radio Network and radio host Rusty Humphries, who will be co-anchoring the election night coverage. not going to link politico

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (LpQbZ)

30 By the way, I just read an article -- not sure which; I closed it -- noting that Romney had plenty of money to spend and couldn't really spend it all by election day if he just concentrated on the swing states. --Why is that? Is it because the airtime is already fully booked in all the markets?

Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (jKE+Z)

31 #19

Obama's fraud vs Romney's GOTV. . .its a push.

Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (6Q9g2)

32 I can hear the herd.

It's a stampede!!!!

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (hqI/K)

33 There's a reason it's called a "Dutch" Oven Helen....

Posted by: Ron Reagan the Elder at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (f95vc)

34 Obama means what he said so F off.

Posted by: Chris Christie at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (49lPc)

35 @ 23 tasker

Nate Silver is an Obama hack. He's a little cowardly snake.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (6Lik1)

36 Kal Penn

---

The Donks brought Mr. Penn, the guy who plays Don Draper on Mad Men, and some other quasi celebrity to our little flyover town to speak on behalf of Obama. So we've got that going for us.+

Posted by: WalrusRex at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (XUKZU)

37 I'd have to imagine Ohio is reaching its saturation point with ads. Putting a ton into the ground game, I am sure, but might as well play these Midwest lotto tickets, because they look more like scratch off odds than powerball.

Posted by: Dave S. at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (cWpCn)

38 We're providing jobs for Romney by making him think he has a chance in Michigan, Minnesota. It's so genius.

Posted by: The Obama Strategy at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (F6KtL)

39 Damn it forgot to add-- And--we are frisking talking about-- Mich-a-%&$ing-gan.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:27 PM (r2PLg)

O//T But goes to show the absolute insanity in liberal academia

Yesterday, my son's history professor started the class lamenting that she could not share her political views with the class. She then launched a power point slide show on Greece's history and policies. "Coincidentally", the last slide was a picture of Hitler, Ghadaffi, and Bill O'Reilly.

He confronted her after class and asked her to apologize to the entire class.

We'll see what happens on Friday.

Posted by: westminsterdogshow at October 31, 2012 12:28 PM (W3UHW)

41 We should do a money bomb later this evening. I can spare another $50.

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 31, 2012 12:28 PM (49lPc)

42 I'm counting on you.

Posted by: David Axelrod's mustache at October 31, 2012 12:29 PM (F6KtL)

43 The Donks brought Mr. Penn, the guy who plays Don Draper on Mad Men, and some other quasi celebrity to our little flyover town to speak on behalf of Obama. So we've got that going for us.+ Posted by: WalrusRex at October 31, 2012 04:27 PM (XUKZU) --Barky talked tough about bringing a gun to a knife fight four years ago. Now, he's putting these assclowns against Clint Eastwood.

Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 12:29 PM (jKE+Z)

44 3% is doable. Again: Obama is turning out his 3s and 4s while Romney is turning out 1s and 2s. That's like pure profit for Romney, and like deficit spending stimulus for Obama. We are winning so much more than any metric seems to measure.

Posted by: Truman North at October 31, 2012 12:29 PM (qPJ3b)

45 Wanna win MI? Put out ads with Obama/Biden dressed up in Ohio State gear.

Wanna win OH? Put out ads with Obama/Biden dressed up in U of M gear.

Posted by: Navin R Johnson at October 31, 2012 12:29 PM (RRbuy)

"Indian? Push start or pull start?"

I read that as an "Indiana Pull Start".

Yeah, it still hurts a little even after all these years.

Posted by: Jaws at October 31, 2012 12:29 PM (4I3Uo)

47 #26

First of all, its not an either-or situation. As above, Romney can play for both.

I can't see Romney winning PA without *also* winning OH. PA just sits to the political left of OH.

EG, in '08 Obama took Ohio by 4.6 points, but he took PA by over ten points, and that's a significant difference.

Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 12:30 PM (6Q9g2)

48 Be nice to Hector now, he's just speaking the truth. Who cares if the turnout in 2008 was D+5 and all the polls showing Obama winning by a couple points are D+8 or 9? None of this matters. Trust me, I'm a polester.

Posted by: Gerg at October 31, 2012 12:30 PM (/YJYi)

49 Shameless Looters Display Stolen Goods On Twitter http://www.infowars.com/shameless-looters-display-stolen-goods-on-twitter/ ingrates

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:30 PM (LpQbZ)

50 Newt Gingrich was on Greta last night. He said on national television that there's a rumor that the Senate has video that proves Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure. Just sayin'

Posted by: MoeRon at October 31, 2012 12:30 PM (QQ6Mb)

51 When an incumbent can't ever get over 50%, he's f*cked. Not just f*cked, but...

f*cked-f*cked

Posted by: Ben in Benghazi at October 31, 2012 12:31 PM (Dll6b)

52 Yep, Romney needs a comfortable 5-7 point lead on election night.

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:31 PM (LpQbZ)

53 -- The Ocean Always Recedes before the Tsunami Arrives. ___ The question isn't whether or not Romney wins - the question is whether or not Chris Mathews drinks himself into a stupor on-air as the results come in.

Posted by: BumperStickerist at October 31, 2012 12:32 PM (RuUvx)

54 Gerg at October 31, 2012 04:30 PM (/YJYi)

so, do you "HANG" on that pole or just sit and spin?

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 12:32 PM (hqI/K)

55 OT wow, a Hurricane Sandy Truther
http://tinyurl.com/brdrwal

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at October 31, 2012 12:32 PM (HiC8z)

56 I feel good about MI. I think the polls are all giving Obama more credit than he deserves.

Posted by: @ParisParamus at October 31, 2012 12:32 PM (j3OmK)

The Donks brought Mr. Penn, the guy who plays Don Draper on Mad Men, and some other quasi celebrity to our little flyover town to speak on behalf of Obama. So we've got that going for us

Did he queef for you?

Posted by: fluffy at October 31, 2012 12:32 PM (3SvjA)

58 Don't bring that weak infowars shit around here.

Posted by: Truman North at October 31, 2012 12:32 PM (I2LwF)

59 #51: Well if that's true, he's been f*cked more than he's f*cked big assed beard, that's fer darn tootin'!

Posted by: MoeRon at October 31, 2012 12:32 PM (QQ6Mb)

60 the polls are all giving Obama more credit than he deserves.

Duuuhhhh!!!

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 12:33 PM (hqI/K)

61 in PA, Romney will likely carry Bucks and Chester counties. If he is even or ahead in Montgomery and Delaware counties, he will win Pennsylvania. Don't forget that, unlike 2008, the Dems do not control the State House in PA, and Ed Rendell is off doing speaking tours.

Posted by: tofer732 at October 31, 2012 12:33 PM (2zM0P)

62 Mr. 47%

That is my new name for Obama.. he cannot get above that ceiling. 53%-47% next Tuesday in Romney's favor.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at October 31, 2012 12:33 PM (f9c2L)

63 In the Detroit News poll: Who can do a better job on the economy? Romney wins, 47.3% to 43.8. There is your bottom line.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 31, 2012 12:33 PM (F0K0r)

OT:

Maybe it's just me, but when I see Christie standing around next to Obama, I think, "Laurel and Hardy."

Let us not fret over their unnautrally chummy new relationship. Obama will promise stuff, and has almost a week to not deliver.

Posted by: Optimizer at October 31, 2012 12:33 PM (Mxt9o)

65
I know a way in which Obastard's favorability would become very elastic to the downside: release the emails, the video and the audio from Benghazi.

Which is why it won't happen. Which is why people should not vote for him just to face impeachment early next year.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 31, 2012 12:34 PM (PHb2k)

66 Ed Rendell doesn't want to be anywhere near Obama.

He wants to still live in PA.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 12:34 PM (hqI/K)

67 @47 Looking closely

Ohio has been bought off. it's a Marxist blue State. PA has not been bought off and Obama has attacked the state. PA is more winnable than Ohio. I am not saying Romney should not make a play for Ohio, but I feel it's like going for NJ. It's Marxist now.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:34 PM (TVbdM)

68
Shameless Looters Display Stolen Goods On Twitter

http://www.infowars.com/shameless-looters-display-stolen-goods-on-twitter/

---

This is why we need the National Guard with shoot to kill rules of engagement.

Posted by: WalrusRex at October 31, 2012 12:34 PM (XUKZU)

69 F*cking surreal. Leaked Documents Reveal Obama Administration Hired Al-Qaeda Linked Radical to Run Security at Tripoli Embassy Posted by Jim Hoft on Wednesday, October 31, 2012, 2:37 PM Unbelievable. gateway pundit

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:34 PM (LpQbZ)

70 14 Indian Casino or 7-11?

Posted by: rickb223 at October 31, 2012 12:34 PM (GFM2b)

71 Okay, I was willing to give Chris Christie the benefit of the doubt but now I think he's intentionally trying to hurt Mitt.

Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at October 31, 2012 12:34 PM (DQMcq)

72 If we could just get one of the networks to run with the Benghazi story it would be all over.

Especially if they had the audio of Woods pleading for help and them being told to stand down.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (f9c2L)

73 Truman North- The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20121030/POLITICS01/210300442#ixzz2AuWgPdkP ________________ It's a statistical tie. You don't have to overcome 2.7%--that's not a given. It could be a dead heat. It could be that Obama has to overcome a deficit. MOE is plus OR minus--so you could actually read the poll as-- Mitt Romney at 49% and Obama's results as minus 4% so at 43.7%. All polling can do with a margin of error of 4% is attempt to predict a range.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (r2PLg)

74 #63 How can that be? What about the Obama stash that his National Merit Scholarship qualified supporters were lining up for 4 years ago?

Posted by: MoeRon at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (QQ6Mb)

There's a lot of people on the poll train. I guess it's going to fast to jump off.

Ride it! Ride it! Ride it to the end of the line!

Posted by: Soona at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (XkwyM)

"63 In the Detroit News poll: Who can do a better job on the economy? Romney wins, 47.3% to 43.8. There is your bottom line."

I have always been baffled why any appreciable number of people in America would ever think a socialist could "do a better job on the economy".

Posted by: Optimizer at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (Mxt9o)

77 Do you smoke a lot of weed, Hector? Does it affect your vision, and such?

Posted by: Ben in Benghazi at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (Dll6b)

78 ace forgets that Clinton and Nixon each won with less than 50%. Clinton did so twice. Last I checked there are Libertarian and Green Party candidates in the race. All Romney needs is a simple plurality ... whatever that means. _

Posted by: BumperStickerist at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (RuUvx)

79 Maybe it's just me, but when I see Christie standing around next to Obama, I think, "Laurel and Hardy."

I'm thinking; the number 10. or 01?

maybe they meant Oiho?

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (hqI/K)

80 @ 66 Jcw46

Rendell is very nervous about PA. He knows Romney has a chance to win it. If Mitt had spent the amount of money in PA as he did in Ohio, it would be a done deal at this point.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (TVbdM)

81 Even Rasmussen has Obama up by five in PA from a week ago.

Assuming the lead further narrows AND Romney has the best GOTV ever, this could be close enough to come down to the wire, but I'm still not optimistic here.

Good news, is that Romney doesn't "need" PA, though as mentioned above, if he gets it, that's like rubbing Obama's nose in it.

Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 12:35 PM (6Q9g2)

Posted by: tofer732 at October 31, 2012 04:33 PM (2zM0P)

___

According to one analysis I heard on local radio -if Romney carries Bucks and Chesco, he doesn't even need to break even in Delco and Montco, just come close enough to even...if Western PA and NEPA break for him in big enough numbers. Which I believe those areas will, populated as they are by bitter clingers and folks dependent on energy industry.

Posted by: kallisto at October 31, 2012 12:36 PM (jm/9g)

83 Anyone that thinks Ohio is a Marxist Blue State is an idiot. You clearly don't know Ohio at all. Ohio has a R governor and a large majority R in State Senate/House. This is a Republican state. Romney will carry Ohio long before he carries Pennsylvania. Although, I think he'll carry PA too in 6 days.

Posted by: Witchfinder at October 31, 2012 12:36 PM (pLTLS)

84 Shameless Looters Display Stolen Goods On Twitter

---

P.S. If they make a TV movie of this, what race do you think the actors portraying the looters will be?

Posted by: WalrusRex at October 31, 2012 12:36 PM (XUKZU)

I don't think I've ever looked forward to a Tuesday like this in my entire fucking life.

Enough!

Posted by: Damn Sockpuppet at October 31, 2012 12:37 PM (YmPwQ)

86 I agree, Romney should "blow his wad" of ads of positive messages about him and his plans.

Posted by: McAdams at October 31, 2012 12:38 PM (2FqGG)

87 71 Okay, I was willing to give Chris Christie the benefit of the doubt but now I think he's intentionally trying to hurt Mitt. Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at October 31, 2012 04:34 PM (DQMcq) --As another Moron mentioned earlier today, CC is up for reelection next year. And New Jersey is still New Jersey.

Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 12:38 PM (jKE+Z)

88 harry carey
bob dylan
george wendt
jabba the hut
tigers

BUT NOOOOTTTT HELEN THOMAS !!!!!! NOOOO WAAAAY !

Posted by: alec at October 31, 2012 12:38 PM (usWYv)

89 Bucks and Chester in PA are full of evil millionaires making $200K that need to be punished per the administration. They alone can flip the state.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 31, 2012 12:38 PM (F0K0r)

90 84: Teapartiers?

Posted by: MoeRon at October 31, 2012 12:38 PM (QQ6Mb)

91 You guys give it up. Obama to win by 77%.

I have the magic formula. This is soo over, just axe Greg and me.

Posted by: Nate Silver at October 31, 2012 12:38 PM (wR+pz)

92 85 I don't think I've ever looked forward to a Tuesday like this in my entire fucking life.
Enough!

Or worried as much in my case

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 31, 2012 12:39 PM (9+ccr)

93 @ 81 Looking closely

He needs PA. Ohio is a Blue State now. The people there love Obama and his stash.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:39 PM (TVbdM)

94 83 Anyone that thinks Ohio is a Marxist Blue State is an idiot. You clearly don't know Ohio at all. Ohio has a R governor and a large majority R in State Senate/House. This is a Republican state. Romney will carry Ohio long before he carries Pennsylvania. Although, I think he'll carry PA too in 6 days. Posted by: Witchfinder at October 31, 2012 04:36 PM (pLTLS) --The Appalachian Plateau portion of Ohio is like West Virginia: lots of Reagan Democrats, many of whom voted for Zero and are pissed at him now.

Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 12:39 PM (jKE+Z)

95 Shameless Looters Display Stolen Goods On Twitter

---

P.S. If they make a TV movie of this, what race do you think the actors portraying the looters will be?

Posted by: WalrusRex at October 31, 2012 04:36 PM (XUKZU)
84: Teapartiers?

Posted by: MoeRon at October 31, 2012 04:38 PM (QQ6Mb)

HBO: How did you get a copy of the script?

Posted by: TheQuietMan at October 31, 2012 12:40 PM (1Jaio)

96 if this is true, boiiinnngg. I want Romney to push hard into nearly ever state towards the end. So, yeah, dip some ads in to Oregon, Mi, Mn, NH, Pa, Wi, etc. Why not try to hit every state that doesn't lean or favor Romney. Shit, why not do a few ads just for Cali? Most of Maryland is getting plenty of spillover from Va contests, but still, go after Baltimore market, western Md?

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 31, 2012 12:40 PM (QxSug)

97 http://www.infowars.com/looters-plague-hurricane-victims-post-sandy/ More looting videos/info.

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:40 PM (LpQbZ)

98 Romney already has Ohio. The second level dems required for early voting decided to stay out of the rain for three days, and it is too much to catch up now.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 31, 2012 12:40 PM (F0K0r)

99 #67

I "get" that Obama has spend more energy and money in Oh than anywhere else, but I'm not sure exactly how one "buys off" 8.5 million Ohio voters.

This is getting a little anecdotal, but one of my co-workers friends lives in Dem-stronghold Ohio, and he said that in '08, all you could see were Obama signs everywhere. Now? Just Romney. . .no Obama.

That's weak, I admit, but I would NOT write off Ohio as Marxist, or bought and paid for, etc.

Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 12:40 PM (6Q9g2)

100 I'm in Detroit area. See about the same amount of O and R/R signs. Which is about 90% less than '08.

Posted by: shibumi at October 31, 2012 12:41 PM (z63Tr)

101 @ 83 Witchfinder

Your state went for Obama in 08. Why is Obama running stronger in Ohio than the national average? Obamaphones, bailouts, welfare and food stamps has made it Blue. Ohioans sold their souls to Obama.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:41 PM (6Lik1)

102 I'd be shocked if we won Pennsylvania, and if ace wasn't sued for that Helen Thomas pic.

Posted by: Dr Spank at October 31, 2012 12:41 PM (b+jI9)

103 Trolls are like a succubus. It wants to suck the life out of you. Don't Look At It.

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 12:41 PM (jUytm)

104 about christie, I don't think he's hurting mitt.

I don't think he's trying to.

He's trying to make sure in the next few months he doesn't get screwed by OBAMA and his minions.

Sometimes you have to bend over.

plus he may be thinking that since Bloomie kicked Obama out that this visit to NJ is exactly what it is a photo op to make Obama look good.

No one's going to buy that at this point that isn't already in the tank.

In fact this looks like a cynical politicians move. which it is.

Good for christie to take advantage of it.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 12:41 PM (hqI/K)

105 Serious question: Do any of you have serious concerns that the election will be stolen in Cleveland, Philly, Detroit, etc.? I don't see or hear enough terror in the voices of Axlecum or Stephaniecumonmyface. I'm concerned they know the election has been stolen and is in the bag...

Posted by: MoeRon at October 31, 2012 12:41 PM (QQ6Mb)

106 Even AB Stoddard admitted that Romney has Ohio now.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 31, 2012 12:41 PM (F0K0r)

107 Oh, and hotair had great piece of the Ohio 45/30/19 whatever internals for a stuypid poll. yeah, obama's real safe. Besides, an incumbent has to pick up ground, not just win 1/3 of toss up states he won last time.

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 31, 2012 12:41 PM (QxSug)

108 P.S. If they make a TV movie of this, what race do you think the actors portraying the looters will be?

Posted by: WalrusRex at October 31, 2012 04:36 PM (XUKZU)

------------------------------------------

Yup. And they'll all have short haircuts, 70's porn mustaches, and wearing military uniforms. And I'm not leaving out the obligatory M16.

Posted by: Soona at October 31, 2012 12:42 PM (XkwyM)

109 >Anyone that thinks Ohio is a Marxist Blue State is an idiot. You clearly don't know Ohio at all.

can the suburbs outvote the cities?

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:43 PM (8sCoq)

110 P.S. If they make a TV movie of this, what race do you think the actors portraying the looters will be? Posted by: WalrusRex at October 31, 2012 04:36 PM (XUKZU)

White Hispanics? Do I win? Huh, do I?

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at October 31, 2012 12:43 PM (kXoT0)

111 or am I thinking of Medusa?

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 12:43 PM (jUytm)

112 hopefully voter fraud in inner cities is depressed by black community disapproval of ghey loving obama, which should keep voter fraud down. However, inner city ghey voter fraud may go up

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 31, 2012 12:43 PM (QxSug)

113 >P.S. If they make a TV movie of this, what race do you think the actors portraying the looters will be?
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 31, 2012 04:36 PM (XUKZU)

North Koreans

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:43 PM (8sCoq)

114 Lilith?

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 12:43 PM (jUytm)

115 --As another Moron mentioned earlier today, CC is up for reelection next year. And New Jersey is still New Jersey. Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 04:38 PM (jKE+Z) ============ This is not the right time. He can give it a rest for 6 days. I don't know what the heck he is doing anymore. One day he's destroying barry, the next praising him. Most folks say they know Christie's stance against obama, but optics a few days before voting? No.

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:43 PM (LpQbZ)

116 Go look at the final polls for 2004; Bush leads in most but Fox News had Kerry by 2.

The RCP average from 10/27 to 11/1 in 2004 was 1.5 for Bush; final poll spread of 2.4; Bush wins 51-48 or +3.

10/29 to 11/3 of 08 had the JEF by an average of 7.6; final JEF 46-53 or +7.

We got this; Romney isn't McCain or Bush--he's better.

Posted by: RoyalOil at October 31, 2012 12:43 PM (imtbm)

117 What a bizarre Eeyore Hector is. He's listing reasons why it's inevitable Romney will lose Oiho, which interestingly enough are also motivations for GOP GOTV. Ace needs to add a block feature. I'd increase the tip jar contri for that.

Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 12:44 PM (jKE+Z)

118

#82 I will be plain shocked if Romney does not win Bucks County. I don't have a ton of friends, and I personally know 10 people who voted for Obama in 2008 that are voting Romney this time. The Romney signs in my area of Bucks are overwhelming compared to McCain and Bush in 2004. There are three GOP Victory Centers in Bucks; there was only one in 2004 and 2008 at the county HQ in Doylestown, which is small and hard to find.

People here really think Obama is a SCOAMF and they really like Romney. I wish Romney or Ryan had come here just once, but really they don't need to. This is one of the few areas that I think is actually voting heavily FOR Mitt Romney and not just AGAINST Obama.

Obama is running the abortion ad on Philly TV, obviously trying to peel away the women in the suburbs. I think it's a day late and a million dollars short though.

Posted by: rockmom at October 31, 2012 12:44 PM (qE3AR)

119 about christie, I don't think he's hurting mitt.

I don't think he's trying to.

He's trying to make sure in the next few months he doesn't get screwed by OBAMA and his minions.

Sometimes you have to bend over.

plus he may be thinking that since Bloomie kicked Obama out that this visit to NJ is exactly what it is a photo op to make Obama look good.

No one's going to buy that at this point that isn't already in the tank.

In fact this looks like a cynical politicians move. which it is.

Good for christie to take advantage of it.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 04:41 PM (hqI/K)

Like it or not, Christie has to take care of his state. Obama I'm sure invited his self along

Posted by: The Jackhole at October 31, 2012 12:44 PM (nTgAI)

120 what's the monster that feeds off negative emotions and fear?

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 12:44 PM (jUytm)

121 having fun hammering the shit out of Andrea Mitchell on Twitter

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:44 PM (8sCoq)

122 However, inner city ghey voter fraud may go up Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 31, 2012 04:43 PM (QxSug) --- you forgot the transgenders...

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:44 PM (LpQbZ)

123 Let me first thank the first responders who were "in here shoveling people out who were supposed to get the hell out, and didn't." -Obama in NJ just now

Posted by: Truman North at October 31, 2012 12:44 PM (I2LwF)

124 Your life isn't the only thing I'd like to suck out Sooth..........

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:45 PM (/YJYi)

125 Obama talking now. "I, uh, um, oh, urgh, stand ready to give you, er, oh, um, lots of taxpayer money. " (Not an exact quote.)

Posted by: Haywood J. Blowmey at October 31, 2012 12:45 PM (gjIQF)

126

Donna, I don't begrudge any of you your worry. I understand. For some reason I'm not worried. And if the unthinkable happens, well, we're all screwed anyway.

5 straight months of poll threads, skewed polls, eyeores, Gergs, bipolar web hosts, Rinos and trolls have taken their toll.

Another commenter said earlier that win or lose, they are done with politics after Tuesday. I might be joining them.

Posted by: Damn Sockpuppet at October 31, 2012 12:45 PM (YmPwQ)

127 @120 Chris Christie is a gun grabber and supporter of Islamic terrorists. Screw that whale.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:45 PM (6Lik1)

128 Michelle Malkin ‏@michellemalkin

Maybe Gov. Christie should un-latch himself from Obama's side and pay attention to NJ residents ===> http://is.gd/JfqjPM

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (8sCoq)

129 UHH Pa. Is D+13 NO FUCKING WAY IN HELL Bammy gets a D+13 Romney is ahead

Posted by: Evilpens at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (ck76k)

130 having fun hammering the shit out of Andrea Mitchell on Twitter

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 04:44 PM (8sCoq)

She deserves more than she gets !

Posted by: The Jackhole at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (nTgAI)

131 Medusa.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (r2PLg)

132 Here is the point, not with standing Nate's fictional rants, would you rather have our poll numbers or theirs?

We are winning this going a way.

The MSM is simply trying to keep the damn from collapsing.

Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (wR+pz)

133 Nate Silver is insane. As a statistician, I can tell you with 100% probability that he will be at least 90% wrong.

Posted by: MJ at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (TR60b)

134

what's the monster that feeds off negative emotions and fear?

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 04:44 PM (jUytm)

Barack Hussein Obama

Posted by: Pipboy 3000 at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (ggRof)

135 This is not the right time. He can give it a rest for 6 days. I don't know what the heck he is doing anymore. One day he's destroying barry, the next praising him. Most folks say they know Christie's stance against obama, but optics a few days before voting? No. Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 04:43 PM (LpQbZ) --Another Moron mentioned a Rush caller who said it was a great strategem to keep 0bama from campaigning in a swing state for a day. Whether or not that was CC's intent, it had that effect.

Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (jKE+Z)

136 Obama just said they have food and water ready. Someone alert Andrea Mitchell; Obama is a loser who is not giving money to the Red Cross.

Posted by: Haywood J. Blowmey at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (gjIQF)

137 "If you assume (again, as I'm doing lately) that your favorable rating represents your upper bound of support, then Romney needs to move his favorable up to 51% or so." - Ace No he doesn't. What you're saying applies much more to O, who is stuck at around 47% (just like everywhere else). He's the incumbent after all. What would be bad for Romney is if his disapproval was at 50%, or even in the high 40s...however, that isn't the case. People who don't either approve, or disapprove, of either man, may not only chose Romney...they're more likely to chose him.

Posted by: trickamsterdam at October 31, 2012 12:46 PM (uTBHY)

138 Lilith is that fair....with the painful music.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:47 PM (r2PLg)

139

Ace....put up there that the Poll in PA has a DEM 13 PLUS SAMPLE, in 2008 it was plus 7 and 2010 plus 3....you might want to mention that Ace....it makes a big difference!! As Ed over at Hotair notes....that if 2012 is more like 2008 Obama is in trouble and if 2010 Obama loses, so please Ace when you put up polls put it all up there...A 13 Plus Dem sample that gives Obama a Plus 4....is HORRIBLE! Anyone want to wager Obama has Plus 13 Dem in PA this year? In 2010 Toomey won....you have GOP Gov and the GOP took both State Houses....so again Ace...what about that 4 point lead with a Plus 13 Dem Sample? Give the readers the whole story please. Mitt is doing great in PA.

As for MI...Obama is the one with the problem 47.8 Fav with the Bailouts.....STINKS and he has NO UPWARD MOBILITY...everyone knows him....not good at all for the Marxist.

Posted by: bluerose75 at October 31, 2012 12:47 PM (HDcKc)

140 yeah, Gov Christie seems to playing along in Obama's farce Obama is out there making like He's the one personally providing disaster relief when all he's really doing is signing checks from the People's Treasury. And Christie is out there saying thank you, Obama, thank you thank you thank you.

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 12:47 PM (jUytm)

141 Obama in NJ: (not an exact quote, but close) "The only thing that gave me a bigger boner than giving money away was watching Reggie stuff his cup with peanut M&Ms." - something like that....

Posted by: MoeRon at October 31, 2012 12:47 PM (QQ6Mb)

142 Casino or 7-11?

Posted by: rickb223 at October 31, 2012 04:34 PM (GFM2b)

A friend says "Dot or feather?"

Posted by: Red Shirt at October 31, 2012 12:47 PM (FIDMq)

143 Obama is running the abortion ad on Philly TV, obviously trying to peel away the women in the suburbs. I think it's a day late and a million dollars short though. Posted by: rockmom at October 31, 2012 04:44 PM (qE3AR)

Yep, dumb move, in a Depression, women worry about their children, the roof over their head, their parents or any other adult dependents, and food on the table, they do not worry about whether or not someone may or may not allow them to have an abortion. In the most dire of circumstances, one wonders if more than one of those women has thought long and hard about being a surrogate mother for pay or putting up such a child through a private adoption for money.

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at October 31, 2012 12:48 PM (kXoT0)

144 Man some of these polls are all over the place today. Senate polls especially. One poll has Kaine up 4 while another has Allen up 5.

Posted by: Rich at October 31, 2012 12:48 PM (arczc)

145 It would be nice if the people in Michigan started acting like Americans again. There is simply no justification for an Obama 2nd term.

Posted by: Scoop at October 31, 2012 12:48 PM (v/itI)

146 Posted by: Looking closely at October 31, 2012 04:40 PM (6Q9g2)

Dude, you're trying to reason with the resident moby troll Hector. Don't pay it any attention. It's had the same MO for weeks.

Posted by: DangerGirl (@deadlyestrogen) at October 31, 2012 12:48 PM (GrtrJ)

147 If MI is 2.7% what does that mean for WI?

Posted by: Jollyroger at October 31, 2012 12:48 PM (t06LC)

148 CT? Let's not forget the burbs of NYC in CT. Those people have been so fucked by Barry that they will wait hours to vote against him.

I smell fear. Axe shaving that fucking mustache is not going to get you laid.

Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 31, 2012 12:48 PM (wR+pz)

149 #105 I actually think Sandy may have screwed the fraudsters in Philly. It's gonna be really hard to sneak 100 buses full of black people out of Newark and into the city next Tuesday without anyone noticing them among all the utility trucks and tree crews and news vans in the streets. And people are really focusing on their own neighborhoods, businesses, and jobs right now and not thinking about the election as much. The Mayor doesn't have time to worry about Obama, he has a disaster on his hands to deal with. I think turnout in Philly is going to be shockingly low.

Posted by: rockmom at October 31, 2012 12:49 PM (NYnoe)

150 The problem I have with polls like this is you almost have to put some "history" into the equation. Michigan always looks close, then it always ends up being not that close. After 20 years of this, you start to write it off. Then again, it has a Republican Governor and Legislature, so it's not as if the state is hopelessly Democrat like say Maryland.

But if this poll is truly accurate, Romney is looking incredibly strong, especially since most of the undecided voters will go to Mitt.

This being Romney's birthplace and his father being a beloved former Governor has to be worth at least a couple of points.

Posted by: McAdams at October 31, 2012 12:49 PM (2FqGG)

151 Posted by: Jollyroger at October 31, 2012 04:48 PM (t06LC) It mean R/R have it

Posted by: Evilpens at October 31, 2012 12:49 PM (ck76k)

152 Ohio is NOT a Dem stronghold. To think so is foolish. I am in Ohio. I live here and have for 40+ years. Hector is out of his mind with this twaddle about Ohio being Marxist. The enthusiasm is off the charts for Romney here. Obama has decided not to even campaign in Ohio this week - he cancelled his Cincinnati appearance that was scheduled for Friday. Is that what a winning candidate does in a swing state during a close election, or is that was a loser does when he's trying to put out fires in other states?

Posted by: Witchfinder at October 31, 2012 12:49 PM (pLTLS)

153 If MI is 2.7% what does that mean for WI?

Leinenkugel's and cheese.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (SY2Kh)

154 you're feeding it!

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (jUytm)

155 Wait a minute. Didn't ace call anyone who thinks the election is close a pussy a few weeks back? What happened to the landslide thing we had going on?

Posted by: MJ at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (TR60b)

156 Posted by: bluerose75 at October 31, 2012 04:47 PM (HDcKc) Ace might be good at some things, BUT None of them Is NOT Polling !!

Posted by: Evilpens at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (ck76k)

157 I thought it was cute them strolling hand and hand down the beach.

Like two gays who just met and realized they liked each other at the same time.

It's kinda sweet. And we know Obama goes for the plus size sort of "partners".

Plus who knows what AxelStache or Valerie told Christie would be the payoff.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (hqI/K)

158 Romney will PA 51-48% while Obama wins Ohio 50-48.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (CX71c)

159 #149: No problemo! Barry told me my 'stache tickles his gonads, so problem will be solved!

Posted by: David Axelcod at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (QQ6Mb)

160 148 If MI is 2.7% what does that mean for WI?

Posted by: Jollyroger at October 31, 2012 04:48 PM (t06LC)

Exactly. WI. has elected a Rep. Governor... twice in 2 years if you count the recall, the VP candidate is one of theirs and their State legislature is Rep. So they're gonna vote obama back in? I don't think so...

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (9+ccr)

161 122 having fun hammering the shit out of Andrea Mitchell on Twitter Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 04:44 PM (8sCoq) __________ Dude--link? Ask here how she feels about belittling the contributions of hard working ohioans when she implied that-- they donated dirty clothes to the victims of Sandy. These people donated canned goods--and the people I saw looked like... Well let's just say Ms. Andrea Mitchell probably owns a purse that is worth three months of the take home pay of some of those people trying to donate what they could for the victims of the hurricane. She is a Class A Bitch.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:50 PM (r2PLg)

162 I smell fear. Axe shaving that fucking mustache is not going to get you laid. Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 31, 2012 04:48 PM (wR+pz)

It might with the low IQ tranny hookers who have forgotten that his checks bounced last time.

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at October 31, 2012 12:51 PM (kXoT0)

163 Christie, with mustard on necktie.

Posted by: Dr. Varno at October 31, 2012 12:51 PM (uW4J6)

164 SCOAMF giving a press conference

Man, is he boring

Posted by: kbdabear at October 31, 2012 12:51 PM (wwsoB)

165 The MFM is really sucking off their boyfriend for "visiting" New Jersey and "putting politics aside" to help people. The are lapping up Gov. Soprano being so warm and fuzzy over Barry. The MFM will try to push this for Barry's advantage

Posted by: TheQuietMan at October 31, 2012 12:51 PM (1Jaio)

166 @ 158 Jcw46

Christie is out for himself. he doesn't want Romney to win. He thinks he will be coronated in 2016. He's a gun grabber and a supporter of Islamic terrorists. I hope he loses in 2013.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (6Lik1)

167 My god he's still talking

Posted by: Truman North at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (I2LwF)

168 We here at Romney Campaign Headquarters have noted the astute analysis by Hector the Moby and are shifting our campaign strategies accordingly.

Posted by: Senior Member of Romney Campaign at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (jKE+Z)

169 Obama has implemented a 15 minute rule: all calls are to be returned in 15 minutes. Also repeated that "we don't leave anyone behind." Ambassador Stevens and Ty Woods unavailable for comment.

Posted by: Haywood J. Blowmey at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (gjIQF)

170 >Dude--link?

@edzeppelin91

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (8sCoq)

171 @ 164 Dr. Varno

It's probably semen.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (6Lik1)

172 109 - Yes. For instance, the city of Cincinnati has a population of 300,000 that votes majority democrat. The surrounding suburbs/counties have close to 4-5 times that in populations and are deep red. Boehner is from one of those counties. Basically, Ohio is Red from the Ohio River to Columbus and blue from Columbus to Cleveland. Columbus itself is purple. There are many affluent suburbs in Ohio that Romney will win handily just as W did in 2004.

Posted by: Witchfinder at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (pLTLS)

173

This is interesting.

http://tinyurl.com/cykook8

Posted by: maddogg at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (OlN4e)

174 168 My god he's still talking

Posted by: Truman North at October 31, 2012 04:52 PM (I2LwF)

Has he managed to blame Romney yet?

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 31, 2012 12:52 PM (9+ccr)

175 Posted by: bluerose75 at October 31, 2012 04:47 PM (HDcKc)

PLEASE... stop TYPING like... a CRAZY person. It is NOT necessary... to use ELIPSES... and ALL CAPS... every freaking SENTENCE... Unless... you WANT to sound... INSANE.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 31, 2012 12:53 PM (SY2Kh)

176 #144 The abortion ad is very over-the-top and I don't think suburban women will fall for it. They did have a general perception over the last few elections that the Republican Party had become too "extreme" on social issues. This is why Rick Santorum got clobbered in 2006, and why Obama won here in 2008. But as you say, this recession has hit women here hard; a lot of my women friends and their husbands have lost jobs and businesses, their kids have graduated college with no jobs, even churches around here are struggling to stay open because of the economy. They see Obama as being totally tone-deaf about what has happened in the suburbs.

Posted by: rockmom at October 31, 2012 12:53 PM (NYnoe)

177 Romney wins OH. Period.

Posted by: Honey Badger at October 31, 2012 12:53 PM (GvYeG)

178 SCOAMF done with the photo op, it's off to Vegas for tomorrow

tinyurl.com/bql4dr7

Posted by: kbdabear at October 31, 2012 12:53 PM (wwsoB)

179 ♪ MI, a name I call myself ♫

Posted by: Waterhouse at October 31, 2012 12:54 PM (w+lzM)

180 # 121 THAT WOULD BE MOTHER IN LAWS
or bogarts (harry potter)
or dementors (harry potter )
no Im not a hairy potter fan , I googled it

Posted by: alec at October 31, 2012 12:54 PM (usWYv)

181 @ 169 Senior Member of Romney Campaign

You are not working for the Romney campaign and I am no troll. I just don't drink the everything is fine kool aid others here do. I speak my mind and live in reality.

The truth is Ohio is a Marxist blue state now. Deny it all you want. PA on the other hand is very winnable.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:54 PM (+IAze)

182

I never bought in to the whole Christie thing. He's just the loudest Rhino in the herd.

Its one thing to be an adult during a crisis and put politics in the backseat, its another to offer fallatio in Marine one.

Posted by: Jollyroger at October 31, 2012 12:54 PM (t06LC)

183 I see Chris Christie and Barack Obama are planning their honeymoon on the Jersey shore.

Posted by: mama winger voted twice for Paul Ryan on the same ballot at October 31, 2012 12:54 PM (P6QsQ)

184 I'm done with polls. IMO at this point it's solidified one way or another, especially in Ohio where I'm sure they are sick and tired of getting calls multiple times a day. Heck, here in Oregon I've gotten several calls over the past few days...

Posted by: Brian at October 31, 2012 12:54 PM (cynHT)

185 Ugh. Don't read Twitchy if you want to continue to feel bad for people hit hard by Sandy. I have sympathy. I want to have nothing but sympathy. And then I see the pics of people lining up for 2 miles for gas or standing in line with containers...did you not know the storm was coming? Another story is that people are tweeting Cory Booker asking what he's going to do about their spoiled food. Are we going to get some kind of voucher?

Posted by: Mama AJ at October 31, 2012 12:54 PM (SUKHu)

186 it's called the "Emotion Eater" trope You might remember these episodes of Star Trek: "Day of the Dove" has a big glowy entity that feeds off of negative emotions and is turned off by good ones. Kirk manages to get rid of it by laughing with a few Klingons. "Wolf in the Fold". The "Jack the Ripper" killer feeds off horror and terror (and prefers to go after women because they're more 'easily and deeply terrified' sexist much, Mr. Spock?). The episode also mentioned the Drella of Alpha Carinae V, which derived nourishment from the emotion of love.

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 12:54 PM (jUytm)

187 I swear that Helen Thomas pic is decaying. And the eyes are following me.

Posted by: eleven at October 31, 2012 12:55 PM (fsLdt)

188 @183 Jollyroger

He's aloud mouth RINO. Screw him. he has shown his true colors.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:55 PM (6Lik1)

189 alright friends, work beckons

send Mitt some scratch

turn one Obama voter

MAKE SURE YOU VOTE

Pray for our Nation's deliverance from evil

Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 12:55 PM (8sCoq)

190 saw on twitchy, a poll having obama up 8 in wisconsin. jebus

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 31, 2012 12:55 PM (QxSug)

191 My god he's still talking Posted by: Truman North at October 31, 2012 04:52 PM (I2LwF) --Are you talking about 0bama, or Hector?

Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 12:55 PM (jKE+Z)

192 PLEASE... stop TYPING like... a CRAZY person. It is NOT necessary... to use ELIPSES... and ALL CAPS... every freaking SENTENCE... Unless... you WANT to sound... INSANE.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 31, 2012 04:53 PM

Took ... the WORDS ... right ... OUT of ... my MOUTH!

Posted by: Wiliam Shatner at October 31, 2012 12:55 PM (wwsoB)

193

I haven't been around much here lately...as I am working on a new business start up. Oh, yeah baby. A new business start up. I will be on the East Coast in two weeks.

Now would ol' Journolist be starting a new business if Romney wasn't going to win?

Stay strong Ace, et al. Things are going to get intense up to the end and after as the Chicago tug and thugs will try to jam up the results with litigation.

The Michael Moore Media Matters video is already imprinting hostility against republicans in the psyche of the progressives.

Continue to pray for this country because it is fractured and that fracture is being played upon by the progressives.

Posted by: Journolist at October 31, 2012 12:55 PM (LyIKl)

194 @ 184 mama winger voted twice for Paul Ryan on the same ballot

Obama does like them big!

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:56 PM (6Lik1)

195 I think Michigan might be realistic in 2016 when Romney is being reelected. Virtually every president who wins reelection expands their popular vote and/or electoral college lead. Michigan just seems like a state that will have a big turnaraound in the next 4 years and then go for Romney. It seems like an overachiever state to win the first time around sort of like West Virginia was for Reagan- didn't win it in 1980 but did in 1984.
Pennsylvania seems like a real possibility. The Republican vote ALWAYS outperforms the registration numbers.
Iowa is ours
Ohio is ours. (Ignore Quinnipiac and PPP)
Wisconsin is an excellent pick-up chance.
Colorado is a true swing state
I haven't seen much polling from New Hampshire.
I've been disappointed by Nevada. C'mon your state is 30% Mormon!

Posted by: Naes at October 31, 2012 12:56 PM (r4dYV)

196

SCOAMF giving a press conference

Man, is he boring

"tedious" is the word he inspires

Posted by: fluffy at October 31, 2012 12:56 PM (3SvjA)

197 Ha! Now Iowa is threatening to arrest UN poll watchers, too.

Posted by: Redd at October 31, 2012 12:56 PM (Lom3Z)

198 Medusa at one time was quite beautiful. In fact so pretty she got it on with a guy in a temple. The goddess was not pleased at the defilement. So turned Medusa into the Gorgon.

Lilith is, in Jewish tradition, Adam's first wife. But apparently she did not like the deal in the Garden of Eden and split. When G_d sent three angels to ask her back, she refused. And thence she became the mother of all night terrors who prey on humans. Which includes vampyres, succubi, and inccubi.

Succubi are night spirits who prey on human males, draining them in their dreams. They appear very alluring and lust inducing. Inccubi, think night spirits looking like the hottest piece of beefcake ever, doing the same thing to women.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at October 31, 2012 12:57 PM (HiC8z)

199 Its one thing to be an adult during a crisis and put politics in the backseat, its another to offer fallatio in Marine one. Posted by: Jollyroger at October 31, 2012 04:54 PM (t06LC) HA! Picturing Christie's fat mouth working that over.

Posted by: mare at October 31, 2012 12:57 PM (A98Xu)

200

guys you have to understand, in Hector's world people like Reagan Democrats don't exist, and Obama narrowly winning OH means it's run by the Communist Party

-----------

Do you think they still exist? I'm not so sure either. Rush hinted today he didn't think they existed anymore either.

Posted by: Rich at October 31, 2012 12:57 PM (arczc)

201 Greg gets taken out....... http://tinyurl.com/bo5n8mg

Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 31, 2012 12:57 PM (wR+pz)

202 hehe, this is awesome Cell Phones Spammed With Anti-Obama Text Messages Anonymous texts sent from unregistered websites Tuesday night blasted cell phone users with messages attacking President Obama. The texts span in topic from Medicare to Libya to Planned Parenthood. bf Liberals Outraged by Factual Text Messages Accurate series of texts sparked sputtering, muttering By Washington Free Beacon Staff Liberal pundits were upset late Monday at a series of anti-Obama text messages sent from anonymous accounts to their cell phones. The Washington Free Beacon decided to fact check the offending texts.

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:57 PM (LpQbZ)

203 171 >Dude--link? @edzeppelin91 Posted by: Jones in CO at October 31, 2012 04:52 PM (8sCoq) ________ Thanks. The proper attack to take on Mitchell--she criticized middle class Ohio voters making their best efforts to donate to the victims of Sandy. That's more effective than accusing her of criticizing Romney--which she did.

Posted by: tasker at October 31, 2012 12:57 PM (r2PLg)

204 I SWEAR....... that Helen THOMAS pic........... is DECAYING........ and the EYES....... are FOLLOWING ME.

Posted by: eleven at October 31, 2012 12:58 PM (fsLdt)

205 Obama + Christie = sweet, sweet love making (and a sandwich)

Posted by: mare at October 31, 2012 12:58 PM (A98Xu)

206 OT: "RUMORS OF GENERAL OFFICERS ARRESTED, RELIEVED, OR RESIGNING IN PROTEST" blackfive net

Posted by: Dr. Varno at October 31, 2012 12:58 PM (uW4J6)

207

OT but go see Kevin James' new movie. He's a good guy and a good Catholic boy who attends Latin mass.

Now carry on.

Oh, and try cranking up Neil Diamond's song, 'Holly Holy" on the head phones. Nice tune and one I'll be playing next Tuesday. The track was in the aforementioned movie, which I should mention is named, 'Here Comes The Boom.'

Now go.

Posted by: Journolist at October 31, 2012 12:59 PM (LyIKl)

208 @ 202 Rich

Reagan Democrats are now Republicans. Those White Democrats are low class trailer park KKK trash. They love welfare and food stamps. Despite their racism, they will vote for Obama to keep the goodies coming.

This is 2012 not 1980.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 12:59 PM (CX71c)

209

Mama AJ

My kid works for FEMA. You would not believe these entitled fucks. They think the damn government ought to wipe their fucking asses with lotioned Charmin. I'm serious. And if the government won't do it, they spit on the FEMA employees and key their cars. Most of those fucks should be taken out and put to sleep. The world would be so much better off.

Posted by: maddogg at October 31, 2012 12:59 PM (OlN4e)

210 The United States ranked just 12th in the recently released Legatum InstituteÂ’s annual prosperity indexÂ—marking the first time the country has fallen outside the 10 most prosperous nations. One striking difference between the United States and the countries identified as more prosperous is that of the corporate income tax rate. Earlier this year, the United States achieved the dubious honor of having the highest corporate income taxes in the world (39.2 percent). Experts argue the high rate has a detrimental impact on economic growth. Compare that to the corporate rates of countries ranked ahead of the United States: 1. Norway (28 percent) 2. Denmark (25 percent) 3. Sweden (26.3 percent) 4. Australia (30 percent) 5. New Zealand (28 percent) 6. Canada (26.1 percent) 7. Finland (24.5 percent) 8. Netherlands (25 percent) 9. Switzerland (22 percent) 10. Ireland (12.5 percent) 11. Luxembourg (21 percent) 12. United States (39.2 percent) freebeacon

Posted by: 6 days at October 31, 2012 12:59 PM (LpQbZ)

211 I swear that Helen Thomas pic is decaying. And the eyes are following me.

Bothered by the drip drip drip of decayed flesh?

Get iBleach!

Guaranteed to give you something else to worry about and you'll never have to look at anything horrible or frightening again.

alsoworksoncleanup don'tuseonwoodfloors carpetorstainlesssteeltile
usebyanyonedumbenoughtobelievethiscomment isguaranteedtogetyou
laughedoutoftheER.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 12:59 PM (hqI/K)

212 an incubus and succubus sound awfully similar

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 01:00 PM (jUytm)

213 I never want to hear another word from Chris Christie ever again. Ever.

Posted by: mama winger voted twice for Paul Ryan on the same ballot at October 31, 2012 01:00 PM (P6QsQ)

214 Michelle is going to peel the paint off the walls when O gets back. "So you're friends with that fatty, now, huh? What did you guys eat? Simple question, now answer it!"

Posted by: Dave S. at October 31, 2012 01:00 PM (K4AdI)

215 and what about sirens??

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 01:00 PM (jUytm)

216 I know everything about anything. Really, just ask me.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 01:00 PM (/YJYi)

217

Wayne County (Detroit) will naturally go heavily Obama.

Oakland County (Romney's home county) will go heavily Mitt.

Macomb County (the only county that matters) will break for Mitt, as there is little enthusiasm for Obama now. What used to be a sea of Obama yard signs in 2008 is now just a smattering.

Outstate will be heavily Mitt overcoming the liberal pockets of Ann Arbor and Lansing.

Michigan is in the bag.

Posted by: jwest at October 31, 2012 01:00 PM (ZDsRL)

218 I like it, have obama be chummy with CC to avoid obama being at NV or Io or OH. Are we spending $ in money, cause that seems like one we should get

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 31, 2012 01:01 PM (QxSug)

219

@200

I thought Medusa got raped by Zeus (Poseidon maybe?) and prayed to Athena for help, but greek gods being bitches, cursed her. Thats why the Norse myths are better.

I love how Lilith is the explanation for wet dreams. "It wasn't me having a dream about doing your sister honey, seriously it was that crazy Lilith."

Posted by: Jollyroger at October 31, 2012 01:01 PM (t06LC)

220 @ 215 mama winger voted twice for Paul Ryan on the same ballot

I will not weep if the Democrats oust him in 2013. He's a traitor and has shown his real colors.

Posted by: Hector at October 31, 2012 01:01 PM (CX71c)

221 Does anyone else think that Christie sounds fat when he talks? His speech is thick, I don't know the clinical name for it. But I think it's fat mouth.

Posted by: mare at October 31, 2012 01:02 PM (A98Xu)

222 NO corporation pays tax. Whatever the the government levies against them is included in their overhead and divided proportionately amongst their products or services.

YOU the consumer pay ALL the taxes in any transaction.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 01:02 PM (hqI/K)

223 "tedious" is the word he inspires How about "ponderous?" Casey Kasem NSFW rant: http://youtu.be/n65QQ8mifbY

Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at October 31, 2012 01:02 PM (ogdab)

224 @191 - wouldn't get too worked up. None of the players would be here if that was the case. Ryan here all day. Biden been lurking around. Obama quick stop in Green Bay tomorrow and big Romney rally on Friday.

The pollster said that turnout and intensity could make his poll moot...even he can't keep from smelling the BS of his own poll.

Posted by: H Badger at October 31, 2012 01:02 PM (n/0Nw)

225 Hector, do you understand ontology?

Posted by: Journolist at October 31, 2012 01:02 PM (LyIKl)

226 I turned on the TV and had it on the station carrying Ellen. I never watch her show, but I'm catching her doing a routine in a Sofia Vergara costume. It's damn funny!

Posted by: logprof at October 31, 2012 01:03 PM (jKE+Z)

227 We've been telling you guys the lard ass rino couldn't be trusted for years. Now you be edumocated, at last.

Posted by: maddogg at October 31, 2012 01:03 PM (OlN4e)

228 Gov Christie last week: hey, check out the dunce in the White House Gov Christie this week: hey, Obama is saving us!

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 01:04 PM (jUytm)

229 I really feel nothing about this tragedy. Stuff happens in all parts of the country. Here we have earthquakes and fires. The midwest has tornadoes and drought and ice storms and floods. Because the MSM is headquartered on the east coast, to them this thing is the biggest thing of all time. But not to everyone else, including me. I denounce myself.

Posted by: LASue at October 31, 2012 01:04 PM (gjIQF)

230 Sirens lure you to your death on the rocks in a river by their sweet sweet voices.

Incubi are male demons who lure the unsuspecting souls of women to their doom.

Succubi are female demons who . . well YOU KNOW.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 01:04 PM (hqI/K)

231 Hi Boys and Girls,

Well it has been what 3 days since Sandy?, The street riots should start tonight and the killing cause those libtards can't go without their dirty electricity too long, just watch how libtards handle this and compare it to Texas with much larger storms and no promises of gov. help, fuck them all!

Posted by: 'Nam Grunt at October 31, 2012 01:05 PM (8Hnjw)

232

Byron York just tweeted that the new Pew poll shows Romney leads early voters 50-43; in 2008 at this time Obama led 53-34. Same % of voters voted early in both elections - 19%. This really is good news for Romney, a 16-point turnaround from 2008.

Posted by: rockmom at October 31, 2012 01:05 PM (NYnoe)

233 At this point I'd hit a succubi.

Posted by: eleven at October 31, 2012 01:05 PM (fsLdt)

234

@233

Its amazing what that sweet, sweet federal money can do.

BTW does anyone else see Obama as Xerses slinking over to Christie offering him gold in exachange for him turning on Romney

Posted by: Jollyroger at October 31, 2012 01:06 PM (t06LC)

235 sirens turn out to really be dolphins and dolphins are actually gay sharks

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 01:06 PM (jUytm)

236 233 He is an ass.hole. It's one thing to be professional, it's another to be an ass kisser. Christie is being a prick. I hope Romeny wins and after the election gives him a big fuck you.

Posted by: Honey Badger at October 31, 2012 01:06 PM (GvYeG)

237 and what about sirens??
they are the singing sea witches (nymphs) that lured sailors to there death
or noise makers on cop cars and firetrucks

Posted by: alec at October 31, 2012 01:07 PM (usWYv)

238 The "Shadow Men" is what I hear women refer to incubus nowadays.

Posted by: Dr. Varno at October 31, 2012 01:07 PM (uW4J6)

239

@235

I wish my wife were part Succubi... it'd be even cooler if she was part Swallowubi

Posted by: Jollyroger at October 31, 2012 01:08 PM (t06LC)

240 Medusa attracted the attention of Poseidon. Zeus' brother who had almost as many sexual adventures as the Z-man himself. Poseidon and Medusa did the jiggy in a temple of Athene. Athene was outraged and *poof* Medusa's beautiful hair is transformed into snakes and the rest of her got the Super HellNo Thomas makeover. Later on Perseus, with the help of Athene, killed Medusa.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at October 31, 2012 01:08 PM (HiC8z)

241 okay, noods up

Posted by: soothsayer at October 31, 2012 01:09 PM (jUytm)

242 Here is another secret: I'm all in for Romney, due to Obama, but he is a RINO and is sure as hell going to disappoint many here. SO PUCKER UP, and maybe he will kiss us before he fucks us.

Posted by: maddogg at October 31, 2012 01:10 PM (OlN4e)

243 I agree, Christie needs to redeem himself pretty quickly. It would be one thing if this bipartisan shit was say in 2011, but a week before an election? Christie only cares about himself, do you really think New Jersey wasn't going to get relief without this love fest?

I think Romney will win solidly, but if for some reason I'm wrong, conservatives need to remember this shit for 2016. Goodbye Christie, hello Marco Rubio.

Posted by: McAdams at October 31, 2012 01:10 PM (2FqGG)

244 You all are being too hard on chris.

Lame duck presdents can be MEAN and vengeful.

He could slow the payments, get his taxes audited and all for what?

Because he wouldn't take a walk down the beach?

I hate Obama with a white hot hate yet if I knew I could help others by glad handing him and having a few picture took, then I'd do it in a flash.

I wouldn't even bad mouth him on the side.

However, I wouldn't endorse him and I wouldn't vote for him.

And as soon as that money was safely taken care of, I'd be relating every detail of how they kissed up to me to get the photo op and what they were willing to do for it.

I think chris is doing that.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 01:10 PM (hqI/K)

245

Michigan is Chinatown; forget about it.

Romney wins without Ohio if he wins Wisconsin. (This is because he will win Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire.)

And if Romney wins Ohio, it just means he wins with over 300 electoral.

"Cheese. It gives you ideas."

Posted by: -Shawn- at October 31, 2012 01:11 PM (5I71H)

246 There's a Canadian TV show about a succubus, called Lost Girl.

Lead actress is quite the fox (NSFW-ish):

http://preview.tinyurl.com/b77k2p5
http://preview.tinyurl.com/b7ujnkv

Posted by: Waterhouse at October 31, 2012 01:11 PM (w+lzM)

247 That walk on the beach ain't getting obama any votes he didn't already have locked.

don't kid yourself. NJ was never voting for Romney.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 31, 2012 01:12 PM (hqI/K)

248 the author of this blog post is obsessing over scraps of information-he can't see the forest for the trees. most everything is now trending Romney's way. he should win. the biggest worry now is the rampant vote fraud that the dems have planned wherever the election is close. it will happen. the good guys have to have a better ground game than norm coleman did in minnesota.

Posted by: jackson murrell at October 31, 2012 01:12 PM (XQ0gk)

249 Waterhouse, Lost Girl runs on Sy-Fy also.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at October 31, 2012 01:12 PM (HiC8z)

250 Just kind of tired of being on edge.

Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 31, 2012 05:10 PM (DnLl2)

the Huge Flaw in your reasoning is that the MFM were not covering Libya before Sandy and would not have covered it without Sandy. An embargo is an embargo...

Posted by: Ben in Benghazi at October 31, 2012 01:13 PM (Dll6b)

251

I am contrarian on this Chris Christie stuff.

Remember, Christie has been LOUDLY campaigning with and for Mitt Romney, and very recently.

If Christie gets praise today from the national media, and independent voters around the country see him on CNN tonight, they will view him very favorably, as an example of someone who is putting politics aside when there is an emergency. Now I ask you, who will that help? The guy Christie has been campaigning against? Or the guy Christie is campaigning FOR?

It's gonna help ROMNEY. With the added bonus that it will help Christie get reelected next year

Posted by: rockmom at October 31, 2012 01:14 PM (qE3AR)

252 Donna, I don't begrudge any of you your worry. I understand. For somereason I'm not worried. Andif the unthinkable happens, well, we're all screwed anyway.
5 straight months of poll threads, skewed polls,eyeores, Gergs, bipolar web hosts, Rinos and trollshave taken their toll.
Another commenter said earlier that win or lose, they are done with politics after Tuesday. I might be joining them.

Posted by: Damn Sockpuppet at October 31, 2012 04:45 PM (YmPwQ)

----------------------------------------------

I agree until your last sentence. Even if RR wins, the work to restore this country is just beginning. We'll still have to keep the politicians' feet to the fire. There's much to be done. Don't give up (the dems certainly are'nt going to).

Posted by: Soona at October 31, 2012 01:18 PM (XkwyM)

253 "He is an ass.hole. It's one thing to be professional, it's another to be an ass kisser. Christie is being a prick. I hope Romeny wins and after the election gives him a big fuck you. Posted by: Honey Badger at October 31, 2012 05:06 PM (GvYeG)" If Christie is both an asshole and a prick can't he just fuck himself? Why involve Romney?

Posted by: trickamsterdam at October 31, 2012 01:22 PM (uTBHY)

254 If only 9% or so of the people called actually respond to a poll, why do people think even ~~popularity contests~~ favorability polls are accurate?

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at October 31, 2012 01:26 PM (r4wIV)

255 Romney has done a great job tying Obama down in Ohio. JEF has been forced to spend valuable time, resources, etc to defend a narrow, and increasingly untenable, path to victory. Romney has used this time to slowly putting himself into position to win these other bluish states (PA, MI, WI, Etc) Now, late in the game with Obama's resources depleted, Romney launchs an attack across a broad front which Obama neither anticipated nor can counter. If Romney wins one of these states he's President Romney. He likely wins several and we'll be talking about the brilliant strategy he employed to rid us of the tyrant.

Posted by: Love Reggie at October 31, 2012 01:29 PM (JMt7S)

256 @26 Shut up, Hector, you ignorant slut. Ohio a Marxist blue state? You mean my Ohio with the Republican governor, legislature, and (largely) Congressional delegation? Ohio =/= Cuyahoga County, numbnut.

Posted by: Miller at October 31, 2012 01:48 PM (KQ+gH)

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