June 01, 2012

Putting my marker down: Romney wins big [Fritzworth]
— Open Blogger

Not 1984 big, but so decisively as to preempt any Dem claims of voter irregularities and to forestall any Dem voter irregularities themselves. ("If it's not close, they can't cheat." -- Hugh Hewett)

And when analysts look back at the 'turning point' of the 2012 election, they'll point to this week as the inflection point of the campaign, and in particular to three key points:

1) It's now apparent that the Emperor's campaign has no clothes. In spite of the best "wind beneath his wings" efforts of the mainstream media (haircuts? dressage?), every Obama campaign attack on Romney so far has blown up in their faces, either undercut by other Dems (gotta love Bill's statements last night -- remember, revenge is a dish best served cold and with plausible deniability) -- or by bringing to light background information about Obama that the MSM has carefully overlooked for six years.

2) Romney and his campaign staff are clearly moving themselves "inside the loop" in their campaign against Obama. They're raising more money, they're responding to the news cycle better, and they're aggressive about getting in his face. As others have noted, Obama has never faced a tough campaign before and for the first time he has a highly public, highly visible record to defend. I've been waiting 30 years for a bare-knuckled Republican Presidential candidate; who would have thought it would be Mitt Romney? Not me, but I couldn't be happier.

3) It really is hard to overstate just how bad the economic news today was for Obama. It's not just the slight tick upward in the artificially low unemployment rate; it's not just the horrendous May jobs numbers (69,000 actual vs. 150,000+ expected). It's the April jobs numbers being revised down from 114,000 to 77,000, with a chance that the May jobs numbers will be revised downward a month from now. Basically, the 'soft recovery' is sliding down a steep slope, and I'll give even odds that we see at least one month this year with negative job growth.


Even the Puffington Host can't hide how bad it is, though of course their answer is "more stimulus!":

2012-06-01-jobs_may12.png

The timing of these bad numbers is atrocious for Obama. They come close enough to the election ("Five more months!" -- Romney protestors to David Axelrod) to really matter, but not so close as to be swamped by other campaign hoopla or to be set aside by saying "We'll get to that just as soon as this election is over." Obama and the Senate Dems will be on the spot to do something, but frankly there's not much they can do that (a) would have an impact between now and November, (b) wouldn't alienate the Leftist base that Obama is trying so hard to energize, and (c) would actually pass Congress. They're screwed, pure and simple.

Here's what makes it even worse for the Obama campaign. A lot of businesses have held off hiring due to uncertainty about quite a few factors: Obamacare, the Bush tax cuts expiring, high energy prices, increased environmental regulations, and so on. But as of a few months ago, most were probably anticipating Obama being re-elected and were simply adjusting their long-term plans accordingly. But suddenly Romney is looking not just more electable but like the stronger candidate . Most corporations and businesses would much rather wait for a Romney administration, a Republican DOJ, a Republican EPA, and a Republican Congress, but they can't be absolutely certain it's going to happen -- so a lot of them are going to continue to sit on their hands until after November, which will only stall the economy more.

Hey, I could be wrong about all this, but as Billy Joel once sang, "I've been a fool for lesser things." Or to quote a more literary source that just came to mind:


Ghân-buri-Ghân and touched the earth with his horny brow in farewell. Then he got up as to depart. But suddenly he stood looking up like some startled woodland animal snuffling a strange air. A light came in his eyes.

"Wind is changing!" he cried, and with that, in a twinkling as it seemed, he and his fellows had vanished into the glooms...."

-- "The Riding of the Rohirrim", The War of the Ring, vol. 6 of The Lord of the Rings, J.R.R. Tolkien

I think the winds have changed indeed. It's about damn time. ..fritz..


Posted by: Open Blogger at 08:25 AM | Comments (112)
Post contains 750 words, total size 5 kb.

1 Intrade shares of Romney to be elected president up 7%...today.

Posted by: micmcn at June 01, 2012 09:00 AM (/3KtX)

2 Be ready for the all conservatives are racist meme.

Posted by: Journolist at June 01, 2012 09:01 AM (e2O5W)

3 OpenBlogger!

Posted by: garrett at June 01, 2012 09:01 AM (tufZk)

4 I'm  beginning  to  think  the  same  thing.  * sigh* 

Posted by: David "Comb - Over Beethoven" Axelrod at June 01, 2012 09:01 AM (c3mby)

5 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable tyrant.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at June 01, 2012 09:02 AM (8y9MW)

6 April 2010, that was the census, right?

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at June 01, 2012 09:02 AM (/kI1Q)

7
Ghân-buri-Ghân.

Sounds a lot like macaca.

Watch yer step there buster.

Posted by: David Asselrod at June 01, 2012 09:02 AM (C8hzL)

8 Romney is now inside Obama and Axelrod's OODA loop.

Posted by: Boyd at June 01, 2012 09:02 AM (Xv7f/)

9 I have this feeling that the election is going to be a total blowout. In our favor.

Posted by: DangerGirl at June 01, 2012 09:03 AM (Os+6p)

10 “In the 1930s, when my parents got married, these were hard issues,’’ Warren said. “My father’s family so objected to my mother’s Native American heritage that my mother told me they had to elope.

I say Warren gets to stay on at Harvard

Posted by: American Indian Rage Boy at June 01, 2012 09:04 AM (e8kgV)

11 But a majority of the people (and it is not clear how this polling works) still like him.


Posted by: TheLittlShiningMan at June 01, 2012 09:04 AM (PH+2B)

12

Obama's permacampaign gives up the biggest advantage of a sitting president: doing the job while the other guy looks like a lowly politician.  Instead he's setting new records for $50,000 steak dinners. 

Posted by: Beagle at June 01, 2012 09:04 AM (sOtz/)

13 I am impressed with Romney's campaign. and I agree... Romney will win and win big.

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at June 01, 2012 09:04 AM (DGIjM)

14 The PMI data sucked as well, that doesn't bod well for the next 90 days, and we have a Euro storm brewing that is going to hurt many here.

Posted by: Jean at June 01, 2012 09:05 AM (WkuV6)

15

open blogger sez;;

3) It really is hard to overstate just how bad the economic news today was for Obama. It's not just the slight tick upward in the artificially low unemployment rate; it's not just the horrendous May jobs numbers (69,000 actual vs. 150,000+ expected). It's the April jobs numbers being revised down from 114,000 to 77,000.

 

bad for Obama? fk that, Bad for americans! 

where the hell is the media checking out homeless,  i stop at mickey d's and have to buy twenty extra burgers to feed the group outside.

 

remember when it would be i'll word for food?

 

people actually mean it!

Posted by: willow at June 01, 2012 09:05 AM (TomZ9)

16 If you haven't seen the headline and accompanying photo at Drudge yet, do so. It's good for a laugh.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 01, 2012 09:05 AM (piMMO)

17
I have this feeling that the election is going to be a total blowout. In our favor.

-----

But dont you worry that Michelle will no longer be proud of her country..... even just a little bit worried???

Posted by: fixerupper at June 01, 2012 09:05 AM (C8hzL)

18 I love how you very cunningly compare Obama with Lord Sauron. 

Posted by: Bilbo Baggins, The bravest little hobbit of them all at June 01, 2012 09:05 AM (VJUQK)

19

I love the rosy prognostication, Fritz.....

But hey, don't jinx it.

 

A lot could happen.

Barky could bale out Europe to postpone it's inevitable meltdown until after the election.

This could make the Wall Street whores run up the Market to 13000.

....Which would make Barky look great...right before the election.

 

SCOTUS could shoot down ZeroCare....

Which could cause companies to start hiring again....something else that Barky would take credit for.

 

So, let's not start celebrating just yet.

Too many things could happen between now and Nov 6.

Posted by: wheatie at June 01, 2012 09:06 AM (YzQ1g)

20

Let's not get cocky yet.

It's still going to be a long ugly road.  Obama is a world class liar, and pretty good at the "identity politics" thing.  He's going scortched earth on this, willing to shatter the country to build it in his image.

It's certainly winnable, and more winnable than not, but this doesn't mean we should just kick back and let shit happen to us.

(Countdown to the Conventions, then the debates, THEN I can hopefully get my wife on board so I can start putting up signs, handing over cash and generally being useful.)

Posted by: tsrblke at June 01, 2012 09:06 AM (22rSN)

21 Dude, I was preaching this a year and a half ago- while y'all were cryin' and whining; and, almost got the banhammer for it. So, welcome to the party, pal.

Posted by: Beefy Meatball at June 01, 2012 09:06 AM (mxnUd)

22 Don't forget the last ace in the hole the Dems will play nearer to November:  massive voter fraud.

This will turn a a few counties, and perhaps the right state.  Enough to maybe make things ambiguous again like in 2000.

Posted by: EC at June 01, 2012 09:06 AM (GQ8sn)

23 Am I turning red????   It can't be...can it???!!

Posted by: Pennsylvania at June 01, 2012 09:07 AM (v1uZf)

24 I am now willing to out on a limb and, barring massive fraud and/or other shenanigans, It's Mitt. Not a 57 state landslide, but I think more than 52-48. I even think a number of purples and even light blues might even go red. Impressed too with Mitt's campaign. Keep it up!

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 01, 2012 09:07 AM (MCDCp)

25 Wait until reality finally penetrates that last hard shell of narcissism that surrounds Obama and his ego.  It will not be pretty and lets pray Obama does not decide to try a Desert One somewhere to regain all his lost mojo.

Posted by: Anna Puma at June 01, 2012 09:07 AM (aTSQ9)

26


So, let's not start celebrating just yet.

 

 

Let's not be hasty - It's never too early to start sucking each other's dicks.

Posted by: Don Lemon at June 01, 2012 09:07 AM (tufZk)

27 As bad as things are economically, and as bad as the Obama campaign has conducted itself thus far, don't count on the latter to last.

They will regroup and, if possible, use our comfort or, Heaven forbid, smugness, against us.

They are evil, not stupid, and will cut our throats the first chance they get.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 01, 2012 09:08 AM (piMMO)

28

I've been waiting 30 years for a bare-knuckled Republican Presidential candidate; who would have thought it would be Mitt Romney? Not me, but I couldn't be happier.

=================================

No, no, no!!! We need a BROKERED CONVENTION!!!

RON PAUL 2012! THIS RINO CAN NOT BE ALLOWED TO PROCEED!

Posted by: Jay at June 01, 2012 09:08 AM (3LaGb)

29

I am praying for my Mom's gossip to be true. Got a little more out of her that Justice Kagan is rumored to have told the WH almost immediately that the vote was to strike it down and that's why Obama publically freaked out intitially. By "it," she clarified mandate. Definitely said that it was supposed to be announced this week. Take it for what it's worth.

Posted by: swagga at June 01, 2012 09:08 AM (tYCwA)

30 1 - SCOTUS overturns tyrannical 0-care 2 - SCOTUS upholds AZ immigration law 3- Walker wins in Wisconsin 4 - Mitt wins 5 - I explode with delight.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 01, 2012 09:08 AM (MCDCp)

31 I don't cotton to cheerleading.

Posted by: Soothsayer at June 01, 2012 09:09 AM (jUytm)

32 OT:  GM offering lump sum payout to 42,000 salaried employees to reduce the pension expenses.

Posted by: Tami at June 01, 2012 09:09 AM (X6akg)

33 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable FAILURE!

Posted by: JustMe at June 01, 2012 09:09 AM (QbjWk)

34 the=their

Posted by: Tami at June 01, 2012 09:09 AM (X6akg)

35 32 OT: GM offering lump sum payout to 42,000 salaried employees to reduce the pension expenses.

Posted by: Tami at June 01, 2012 01:09 PM (X6akg)


Really and truly did Obama save the auto industry....    /sarc

Posted by: Anna Puma at June 01, 2012 09:10 AM (aTSQ9)

36 1 - SCOTUS overturns tyrannical 0-care
2 - SCOTUS upholds AZ immigration law
3- Walker wins in Wisconsin
4 - Mitt wins

5 - I explode with delight.



*****

I REALLY would like to attend a meetup the night of the vote or the night of the inauguration.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 01, 2012 09:10 AM (piMMO)

37 It's getting to the point where the Tinfoil Hat quotient is rising fast.

Despite some expecting Bark Obama's butt-boys to haul out the "Racism!!11!!" meme once again, I see something worse on the horizon: When the magnitude of the Traitor-in-Chief's potential defeat begins to sink in, I'm expecting action, not words.

Holder has been interfering more and more, ordering Florida to stop purging illegals from the voter rolls, attacking any state that dares to demand ID from voters, and so forth and so on. He has a track record of illegal and damn-near illegal activity cloaked by his fraudulent authority.

His boss is no slouch when it comes to gloves-off dirty fighting, either. We can look at precedent and imagine how much farther he will go using the power of his current office.

A few people may object, but the stupefied masses won't, and neither will the eunuchs on the "conservative" side. Does anyone expect meaningful protest or calls to action from Jonah Goldberg? Poppin' Fresh? Fox News?

Just sayin'. It's going to get damn rough in the next few months....

Posted by: MrScribbler at June 01, 2012 09:10 AM (MQc8e)

38 Is Obama aware of the "unpleasantness" Kagen left in his mouth?

Posted by: Captain FAPtastical at June 01, 2012 09:10 AM (/pd0C)

39 This will turn a a few counties, and perhaps the right state. Enough to maybe make things ambiguous again like in 2000.

That's getting harder and harder for them to do.

1) They're absolutely killing the energy industry, especially Coal (I say "especially coal" because Coal tends to come from purple states, where Oil tends to come from red states).  This is going to make Coal Country tend to break Republican in November.

2) The jobs data is just horrific.  And, no matter how much they'd like to, they can't spin it as GWB's fault any more.  This is 40 months of 8%+ "official" unemployment.  People are falling of the artificially long Unemployment check apparatus.

3) Even government unions are starting to die.  Mostly this is in WI, but there's no evidence that it will end there.  Even Michigan is looking at some "Union Busting" legislation.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at June 01, 2012 09:10 AM (8y9MW)

40 I am praying for my Mom's gossip to be true. Got a little more out of her that Justice Kagan is rumored to have told the WH almost immediately that the vote was to strike it down and that's why Obama publically freaked out intitially. By "it," she clarified mandate. Definitely said that it was supposed to be announced this week. Take it for what it's worth.

Posted by: swagga at June 01, 2012 01:08 PM (tYCwA)



Sorry if I missed this but.....how is your mom in a position to know this?

Posted by: Tami at June 01, 2012 09:10 AM (X6akg)

41

GM offering lump sum payout to 42,000 salaried employees to reduce the pension expenses.

 

 

Thank God they didn't have to go through bankruptcy!

Posted by: 1 of 42,000 at June 01, 2012 09:11 AM (tufZk)

42 I am praying for my Mom's gossip to be true. Got a little more out of her that Justice Kagan is rumored to have told the WH almost immediately that the vote was to strike it down and that's why Obama publically freaked out intitially. By "it," she clarified mandate. Definitely said that it was supposed to be announced this week. Take it for what it's worth.

----

Ive seen that speculated before.

Isn't that some breach of SCOTUS ethics or protocol or something??  I dont think many of the peers would take kindly to that behavior.

Posted by: fixerupper at June 01, 2012 09:11 AM (C8hzL)

43 29 Posted by: swagga at June 01, 2012 01:08 PM (tYCwA) Striking only the mandate would create a shit-storm of confusion. Even Anthony Kennedy indicated that it would be an all or nothing proposition since it's the mandate that makes the rest of this hideous edict function. I'd wager it all goes, no disrespect to your mom. KEEP US POSTED PLEASE

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 01, 2012 09:11 AM (MCDCp)

44 Tami, so we'll have 42 k pensioners of gm that will blow their money on new toys and 42k more that taxpayers will have to support in 10 years.

Posted by: willow at June 01, 2012 09:11 AM (TomZ9)

45 "hope is not victory" another Tolkein quote --- swing state morons need to get involved

Posted by: Jean at June 01, 2012 09:11 AM (WkuV6)

46 Quoting: "Not 1984 big, but so decisively as to preempt any Dem claims of voter irregularities and to forestall any Dem voter irregularities themselves."

^ ^ ^   This...

A win is a win...I'm with you in saying that I hope Mitt wins enough votes to clear the margin of cheat.  It doesn't have to be a 1984.

Posted by: Mr_Write at June 01, 2012 09:11 AM (VJUQK)

47 I'm already giving 3 percentage points, just to get bets.

Posted by: franksalterego at June 01, 2012 09:11 AM (9XykO)

48 Tami, so we'll have 42 k pensioners of gm that will blow their money on new toys and 42k more that taxpayers will have to support in 10 years.



****


Ding! Ding! Ding!

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 01, 2012 09:12 AM (piMMO)

49 Who is that Open Blogger dude?

Posted by: Jimbo at June 01, 2012 09:12 AM (O3R/2)

50 36 I REALLY would like to attend a meetup the night of the vote or the night of the inauguration. Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 01, 2012 01:10 PM (piMMO) I am in NYC and I will be wading waist-deep in rivers of lefty tears ! ! !

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 01, 2012 09:12 AM (MCDCp)

51

She and my Dad heard it from a Senator's campaign manager this week.

Posted by: swagga at June 01, 2012 09:13 AM (tYCwA)

52

>>“In the 1930s, when my parents got married, these were hard issues,’’
Warren said. “My father’s family so objected to my mother’s Native
American heritage that my mother told me they had to elope.

 

If she weren't LYING about being at all NA, she would be claiming that her dad's parents didn't like the idea of someone being 1/16th NA.

 

They probably didn't like her mom because she was blonde and went around acting like she was NA and demanding special treatment.

 

Posted by: Mama AJ at June 01, 2012 09:13 AM (XdlcF)

53 Nidermeyer, just imagine the Obamas on the night before the inauguration.

Michelle and the girls running around packing.  Barry trapped behind the Resolute Desk trying to write out that last pardon for Bill Ayers and Brett K while the ashtray rapidly fills.

And then the next day, having to watch as Romney is sworn in as President.

Posted by: Anna Puma at June 01, 2012 09:13 AM (aTSQ9)

54 Poor Lizzy Warren.  Her mother taught her lies and how to tell them.


Posted by: Jimbo at June 01, 2012 09:14 AM (O3R/2)

55 Another juror Sheila Lockwood, a telephone operator in a hospital, said she felt that because the money didnÂ’t go to Edwards directly, she could not find him guilty. “I just felt that he didnÂ’t receive any of the money so you canÂ’t really charge him for money that he got.  He didnÂ’t even get the money so I just didnÂ’t think he was guilty.”

This certainly makes the $150,000 to Rev Wright seem safe

Posted by: American Indian Rage Boy at June 01, 2012 09:14 AM (e8kgV)

56 Nidermeyer, just imagine the Obamas on the night before the inauguration.

Michelle and the girls running around packing. Barry trapped behind the Resolute Desk trying to write out that last pardon for Bill Ayers and Brett K while the ashtray rapidly fills.


*****

Trying to remember where he hid that dime bag.....

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 01, 2012 09:14 AM (piMMO)

57

What she said was "the part that makes young people buy insurance." Then she said "what it all depends upon."

Posted by: swagga at June 01, 2012 09:15 AM (tYCwA)

58

anna, i wouldn't throw shoes but i will be humming under my breath , "hey , hey hey, goodbye"

 

and good riddance!

but i have this horrible feeling half the voters will be stupid and do this again in the near future.

we do have a large part of society that really does want to take other peoples stuff.

Posted by: willow at June 01, 2012 09:15 AM (TomZ9)

59 45- "'hope is not victory' another Tolkein quote --- swing state morons need to get involved" No kidding. Celebrations are waaaaaaay premature.

Posted by: Margarita DeVille at June 01, 2012 09:15 AM (C8mVl)

60

>>Michelle and the girls running around packing.

 

I think you meant to write "yelling at the packers".

Posted by: Mama AJ at June 01, 2012 09:16 AM (XdlcF)

61 Am I missing something?

Wasn't this the newest post?

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 01, 2012 09:16 AM (piMMO)

62

 

Romney's gonna win?

Great. I didn't want to have to bother with going to vote, anyway.

So it won't matter if I just stay home and watch a  movie.

Posted by: Squishy, the low info voter... at June 01, 2012 09:16 AM (YzQ1g)

63 That's getting harder and harder for them to do.


Yeah, I realize all that but I'm saying they will resort to outright ballot fuckery and chad raping to turn enough votes to their favour.  It doesn't matter how many people are resentful of Obama, the ballots that get counted at the end of the night are what matter.   We don't need any boxes of ballots suddenly appearing that were forgotten.

Posted by: EC at June 01, 2012 09:16 AM (GQ8sn)

64 I do hope the whole thing goes down because if the rest remains, it will be too tempting for the RINO's to "compromise" with a "fix" to "Keep the good parts." I will fucking puke if that is the case.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 01, 2012 09:17 AM (MCDCp)

65 “I just felt that he didn’t receive any of the money so you can’t really charge him for money that he got. He didn’t even get the money so I just didn’t think he was guilty.” holy f*ck we have to ban women on juries

Posted by: BlackOrchid at June 01, 2012 09:17 AM (SB0V2)

66

The big question now is when does the new debt bubble burst: the bubble created by the Fed forcing domestic banks to buy up all our new government debt.  That's why loans aren't going to businesses.  And it's a double bubble.  Now the goverenment defaulting takes down every major bank.  Watching Europe, who's confident democratic governments with large 'Progressive' (F'n socialists, properly labeled in Europe at least) are capable of doing anything meaningful on spending? 

It's another example of Obama running the nation like a guy with a gambling addiction who just moves his debt from credit card to credit card with no intention of paying it back.  Which works for individuals.  A person's death ends the debt and the company eats it.  A nation's death is messy and painful for millions of people as we all eat it, but mainly the poor and those on fixed incomes, interest,  or transfer payments.   

Posted by: Beagle at June 01, 2012 09:17 AM (sOtz/)

67 Wasn't this the newest post?

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 01, 2012 01:16 PM (piMMO)



Drew bumped his over this.

Posted by: Tami at June 01, 2012 09:17 AM (X6akg)

68 84 style landslide is no longer possible - too many dependent people out there nowadays. a generation grew up entitled and believing in Big Momma Govt we can win but landslide not possible now

Posted by: BlackOrchid at June 01, 2012 09:18 AM (SB0V2)

69 Reality won't penetrate Obama's head until after the election.  He will be totally surprised and will be just shell-shocked, perhaps completely dysfunctional.


Posted by: Jimbo at June 01, 2012 09:18 AM (O3R/2)

70 I actually am a small business man and I can tell you that you are spot on about people like me sitting on our hands. It isn't because we want to tank the economy (although the left will claim we do). It's because of the uncertainty in the air. Personally I would like to hire two more people right now. Two isn't a lot but there are literally hundreds of thousands of businesses in the same boat as me. That adds up to a lot of jobs. I am so sick of being told that I am the problem by the left, that I don't pay my fair share. Here is what I do know. When the downturn started back in the middle of 08 I had to batten down the hatches. I lost $120,000 just keeping the doors open through 09 and 10. However, I didnt lay anyone off. Ten families depend on me for their livelihood And yet I am the "bad guy". Fuck you obama, fuck you with the barbed cock of satan.

Posted by: midaz at June 01, 2012 09:18 AM (JzHho)

71 A buddy of mine down at the marina has had quadruple-bypass surgery this year. He's a nice guy, and is doing well; he's also a big Cubs fan and a big Obama booster (union man). I'm predicting he's going to have a really bad year; I'm just glad he found out about the heart thing first, before the Cubs get downgraded to an AAA team, and Obozo ends up Assistant Adjunct Visiting Honorary Guest Lecturer at the University of Chicago Culinary and Dog-Grooming Institute.

Posted by: Sort-of-Mad Max at June 01, 2012 09:19 AM (VMcoS)

72 I think you meant towrite"yelling at the packers".

Posted by: Mama AJ at June 01, 2012 01:16 PM (XdlcF)

--------------------

You might be right.  Should get the TSA to give the Obamas a pat down upon exiting the White House.  To make sure some of the portraits are still hanging.  Though in a possible fit of pique, the new Bush portrait might suffer an accident.

Posted by: Anna Puma at June 01, 2012 09:19 AM (aTSQ9)

73

5 MORE MONTHS!!!

It's not only a great, taunting chant to throw at Barky Ofuckstick, but it's also a warning to conservatives.  There's still a lot of time left for the Stupid Party to step on their cranks.

 

Don't get cocky. 

Push this thing through to the end. 

Celebrate on Nov. 6. 

Do whatever we can to prevent Lame Duck / EO damage after the Lightbringer is defeated. 

Celebrate again on January 21. 

 Then pound Mittens and the Congress relentlessly to get it right this time.

Posted by: Jaws at June 01, 2012 09:20 AM (4I3Uo)

74 Glenn Reynolds is fond of quoting Han Solo: "Don't get cocky, kid!" So, yeah, I take my own prognostications well salted. But we've been watching Obama campaign for, what, 8 years now? He has no surprises left, and he tends to get thin-skinned, dismissive and petty when challenged. People like to point to Obama's Harvard law degree, forgetting that Romney has a Harvard law degree and a Harvard MBA. I frankly think Romney will mop the floor with him in the debates.

Nope, we're not in a position to bail out Europe -- whose systemic problems are beyond Europe's ability to solve, much less us -- and any attempt to do so, given our current deficit and debt ceiling issues will only make things worse for Obama, not better. Likewise, now that Obama has been telling donors that his second term would be used to tackle health care again should SCOTUS overturn Obamacare, most businesses will not suddenly see such a court decision a green light to start hiring -- and those that do will not start doing so in time to have an impact before the election. Keep in mind the recession that cost Bush Sr his second term was over well before the Nov 1992 election -- it was the memory of the pain, among other things, that cost him his second term.

Nobody cares much about the DOW these days, for the most part. It's been churning up and down in the same relatively narrow range for over a decade. It's become a place for computers to fight each other in nanoseconds of time for millions of pennies, rather than an actual economic bellwether.

Yes, the news today is bad for Americans, but (IMHO) it's a direct consequence of the policies of this Administration and the Democrats in Congress, put into power by the majority of those same Americans. "Experience is a dear school, but fools will learn at no other." -- Ben Franklin. When Ed Schultz hyperventilates that we might not see another Democratic president in our lifetimes, my response is, 'From your lips to God's ear." But I don't believe that for a second. ..fritz..






Posted by: fritzworth at June 01, 2012 09:21 AM (7svyX)

75 Ah the sweet-sweet smell of changing winds and fryin' baconz.

Posted by: dananjcon at June 01, 2012 09:21 AM (eavT+)

76

 we can win but landslide not possible now

 

But I can still stay home and not bother to vote...right?

Posted by: Squishy, the low info voter... at June 01, 2012 09:22 AM (YzQ1g)

77 And yet I am the "bad guy". Fuck you obama, fuck you with the barbed cock of satan.

Posted by: midaz at June 01, 2012 01:18 PM (JzHho)

**

***

Boss..is that you?? SHIT!!.....I was just checking e-mails and somehow got dumped here!! REALLY!!

Posted by: dananjcon at June 01, 2012 09:22 AM (eavT+)

78 Assistant Adjunct Visiting Honorary Guest Lecturer at the University of Chicago Culinary and Dog-Grooming Institute.

Our motto: 'If Fido won't heel, he ends up as somebody's meal!'

Posted by: Sort-of-Mad Max at June 01, 2012 09:22 AM (VMcoS)

79 If that bastard loses, I'm going over the wall before I end up southern-fried!

Posted by: Bo the Official Dog Of The United States (OFFOGUS for short) at June 01, 2012 09:25 AM (VMcoS)

80 The scrubby homeless drunkard panhandler population in my small(ish) norcal cow-town has skyrocketed during the past 6 months.. after steadily rising over the past 2.5-3 years. This summer, things are only going to get worse.

Posted by: 13times at June 01, 2012 09:25 AM (h6XiD)

81 midaz,

May God bless you and all of your kind.


Posted by: Jimbo at June 01, 2012 09:26 AM (O3R/2)

82

This election will be the first time, other than when he ran against Bobby Rush (and lost) that Obama has ever had an opponent who was willing and able to punch back.  After he lost by a 2:1 margin in his Congressional race against Rush, Obama had the skids greased for him in Chicago.  The Daley machine got Obama's opponents either knocked off the ballot entirely, or forced their withdrawal by making public their sealed divorce records.  And as we all remember, in 2008, McCain basically handed the election to Obama, because he could not stand the thought of "standing in the way of history" and defeating the first serious black candidate for president.

 

Posted by: Bystander at June 01, 2012 09:28 AM (/sohm)

83 While I'm not convinced Romney will win big, you can feel that a wave is starting to build. Incompetent appearing incumbent, smart, aggressive challenger, mistake after mistake by the incumbent's party....bodes well for November. However, I'm going to go with the old Glenn Reynolds standy: don't get cocky. A major barometer will be Tuesday's recall. If Walker performs as well or better than the non-partisan polls suggest he will, it will be indicative of Democrat enthusiasm. It's it's down, no matter the spin, we'll know how they truly feel. I know a lot of liberal Democrats and right now they are very, very pessimistic.

Posted by: Chris R, red in NY-9 at June 01, 2012 09:33 AM (NFcOS)

84

so how many automatic Dem votes re; public union workers?

state- federal?

Posted by: willow at June 01, 2012 09:34 AM (TomZ9)

85

I think this prediction is reasonable.  Not only because the economy is bad, but also because Mitt actually fights (a vanishingly rare thing among Republican politicians) and becuse Mitt is more attractive to women than Obie is.  Mostly because Mitt is more attractive to women.  I think that should be the number one criteria in any primary fight - figuring out who will make the women get excited.  Cuz that guy's gonna win.  A good looking male candidate is even better for getting female votes than any woman candidate. 

The folly of womens' suffrage has reduced the fight for the highest executive office in the US to an affair of which Cosmo magazine may be best positioned to predict the outcome.

Posted by: Reactionary at June 01, 2012 09:37 AM (xUM1Q)

86 Obama's going down harder and faster than a Kardashian sister as a meeting of the NBA Players Association.

Posted by: thirteen28 at June 01, 2012 09:37 AM (AbmsP)

87 OT, but not really OT: That official White House Memorial Day photo (featured at HA as the Obamateurism of the Day) is disgusting. But it tells me that Obama's narcissism is truly out of control. That will prove a major weakness for him in this election. Not that it makes a Mitt win a sure or even easy thing.

Posted by: Margarita DeVille at June 01, 2012 09:38 AM (C8mVl)

88 32OT: GM offering lump sum payout to 42,000 salaried employees to reduce the pension expenses.

Posted by: Tami at June 01, 2012 01:09 PM (X6akg)

 

You don't suppose that would have been avoidable if GM hadn't produced an over-priced, unreliable electric car that nobody wants, do you?

Posted by: Warthog at June 01, 2012 09:45 AM (WDySP)

89 I'm no fan of Mitt at all, but yeah, I do think he will win somewhat comfortably. In addition to almost all the Bush states, I can see him taking Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan - and if it's a real landslide maybe Jersey and Minnesota. The days of Reagan/Nixon/Johnson landslides are over because too many states are entrenched on both sides, but Romney should get into the mid-300s in the electoral college.

Posted by: Paul Zummo at June 01, 2012 09:46 AM (Ud5vq)

90

74.....Nope, we're not in a position to bail out Europe -- whose systemic problems are beyond Europe's ability to solve, much less us -- and any attempt to do so, given our current deficit and debt ceiling issues will only make things worse for Obama, not better.

 

Of course we're "not in a position" to bail out Europe....we're broke.

But that won't stop Barky from doing it anyway.

They're already talking about a QE3.....then, they can buy more Euro-bonds, quietly, and keep it off the radar for a while.

There is a reason why the Dems refuse to sign a Budget.

 

 

 

 Likewise, now that Obama has been telling donors that his second term would be used to tackle health care again should SCOTUS overturn Obamacare, most businesses will not suddenly see such a court decision a green light to start hiring -- and those that do will not start doing so in time to have an impact before the election.

 

Well, you would think so.

But keep in mind, there will be some employers who are Dems, that have been using ZeroCare as an excuse....they might very well start hiring.

And the adoring DNCmedia is poised to trumpet any hirings to prop up their Boy King.

 

 

Keep in mind the recession that cost Bush Sr his second term was over well before the Nov 1992 election -- it was the memory of the pain, among other things, that cost him his second term.

 

Yeah, it was well over before the Nov '92 election....but the media didn't report about it till over a year later.

That same lying leftist media is still at work....lying and covering up stories, to try to get Barky reelected.

 

And....if all else fails....that same lying media will start saying that "Romney is going to win in a landslide". .....Because they know that it will cause a lot of lazy voters to stay home and not bother to go vote for Romney.

Posted by: wheatie at June 01, 2012 09:58 AM (YzQ1g)

91 Wow. I remember it being like this during 08. "McCain will win big!". Even after he suspended the delusion was high. Romney is about as competent and less charming then McCain.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at June 01, 2012 10:03 AM (PXNon)

92 "'hope is not victory' another Tolkein quote --- swing state morons need to get involved"

No kidding.
Celebrations are waaaaaaay premature.

Posted by: Margarita DeVille at June 01, 2012 01:15 PM (C8mVl)


So is perpetual moaning and hand-wringing.

Posted by: Oldcat at June 01, 2012 10:13 AM (z1N6a)

93

"I've been waiting 30 years for a bareknuckled Republican presidential candidate; who would have thought it would be Mitt Romney?"

 

This.  The whole Solyndra photo-op and Axeldouche getting the smirk wiped off his face - in BOSTON, of all places! - makes me feel better about Mitt.  I'm still not ready to suck his dick yet, but he's magnitudes better than Juan McShitstain.

 

"Romney is about as competent and less charming than McCain."

 

Fuck you.  If it wasn't for that senile old collaborationist dickwipe, we wouldn't have the Dog-Eating Retard desecrating the Oval Office.  McCain couldn't carry Mitt's magic undewear.

Posted by: Mary Poppins' Practically Perfect Clitoris at June 01, 2012 10:14 AM (zF6Iw)

94 Posted by: Mary Poppins' Practically Perfect Clitoris at June 01, 2012 02:14 PM (zF6Iw) Please. Romney has nothing except money. And Obama has that in spades. Romney could barely lead against shoestring primary campaigns. No charm, likability or any war hero status McCain had. Obama even leads him in most polls that come out now. Mccain and kerry were leading at this time.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at June 01, 2012 10:19 AM (PXNon)

95 Well, let's not start sucking each other's %$^&* quite yet.  Too much time and too many variables.  Attack, attack, attack, the lying POS thru Nov. 6.  Full bore!

Posted by: W. Wolf at June 01, 2012 10:20 AM (sbV1u)

96 Posted by: W. Wolf at June 01, 2012 02:20 PM (sbV1u) Obama will attack and romney will tepidly defend as he loses more ground

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at June 01, 2012 10:31 AM (PXNon)

97 Less charming than McCain? Is that even humanly possible?

Posted by: tsj017 at June 01, 2012 10:31 AM (4YUWF)

98 As others have noted, Obama has never faced a tough campaign before As pointed out by #82, Champ got whacked by Bobby Rush in a congressional primary. For all his other flaws, Mr. Rush is no stranger to bare-knuckle politics.

Posted by: Steve White at June 01, 2012 10:32 AM (D14J4)

99 I don't remember anyone here saying we'd win in a landslide with McCain. The only time he pulled ahead was when he brought Palin on and that was short lived. We HOPED he'd win simply because most of us had an idea who Barky was and what he'd bring and old Mac was the better alternative. Romney is a much better candidate than McCain ever dreamed of being.

Posted by: small town girl at June 01, 2012 10:33 AM (ieZ+e)

100 97 Less charming than McCain? Is that even humanly possible? Posted by: tsj017 at June 01, 2012 02:31 PM (4YUWF) Yes. Romney is john kerry. And to the poster above me, yes, many people were saying at this time there would be no way mccain would lose as he was leading by 10ish points. Even after he suspended his campaign people said he'd win. Obama hasnt faced a tough campaign before. We gave him romney and that just keeps tradition. Romney is a loser who has won one campaign on lick and had to shamely not run because of how unpopular he was. He has no geographical home. He isnt winning Mass or Michigan. John kerry 2.0. Only kerry could win a home state

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at June 01, 2012 10:51 AM (PXNon)

101 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: Steevy at June 01, 2012 10:59 AM (Ts9tU)

102 Flapjackaka is funny when he's being all indignant and such. He'd rather have Obama win and finish destroying the country just so he could feel he was right. You're worse than any leftist I know.

Posted by: polynikes channeling bizarro Edwards at June 01, 2012 11:06 AM (DdHu+)

103 I think he's going to win, too. Did you see the 1994 vid of him attacking Ted Kennedy? He's got it in him, and it appears he's willing to use it.

Just a note for the GOP: How about an ad about Obama refusing to acknowledge Lech Walesa because he was too "political" -- meaning, he said the US was slipping towards socialism.  Nice way of using the socialism word without actually saying it?

Posted by: PJ at June 01, 2012 11:10 AM (DQHjw)

104 Posted by: polynikes channeling bizarro Edwards at June 01, 2012 03:06 PM (DdHu+) Cool story bro. Stay mad. Channel the anger to me too when romney loses another election. He is good at doing it.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at June 01, 2012 11:17 AM (PXNon)

105 103 I think he's going to win, too. Did you see the 1994 vid of him attacking Ted Kennedy? He's got it in him, and it appears he's willing to use it. Yeah i saw that. The one where he said he was more anti gun and pro abortion then kennedy.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at June 01, 2012 11:18 AM (PXNon)

106 I agree. Romney wins, not by a landslide, but by too much that the left can plausibly claim fraud and string it out with recounts. Over 5%, is my guess. Obama just isn't liked and the "I'm gonna vote for a black dude" mojo is gone.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at June 01, 2012 11:29 AM (r4wIV)

107 Yeah i saw that. The one where he said he was more anti gun and pro abortion then kennedy.

You're right. Let's just say home then and lose.

Posted by: Dow Jones at June 01, 2012 11:38 AM (DQHjw)

108 Well, he damned well better win big. Because the Dems will  be shamelessly stuffing every ballot box they can find, knowing that Holder & Co. will hand them a get-out-of-jail-free card.

 Since you ended on with a LOTR quotation, here's another that we must all keep in mind:  "There is only one Lord of the Rings. And he does not share power."

Posted by: Brown Line at June 01, 2012 12:36 PM (29pYQ)

109 _____________________________________

Here, here Fritz!

I think your analysis of how bad things are for Obama as of this week is spot on. For a good while not I have been posting at Ace of Spades that I think the broad dynamics indicate a big Romney win was likely coming. But the economic facts emerging this week make those broad dynamics even starker than before. 

And while I agree that it would be overly optimistic by quite a bit to even cautiously predict a 1984-like landslide, I think it is reasonable to wonder if a victory in that stratospheric range might develop.
The reason:
It is within the realm of possibility that a national zeitgeist of anti-Obama ridicule could develop. If those kinds of floodgates open, watch out! - Not saying this is likely because it isn't. But perhaps barely within range.

But I reiterate what I've been saying for a while now: a big Romney win is likely.



Posted by: _Dave_ at June 01, 2012 01:27 PM (gqoYf)

110 ____________________________________

correction:

...for a good while "now" I have been...

Posted by: _Dave_ at June 01, 2012 01:28 PM (gqoYf)

111 It's not fair! Raaaaaacists!

Posted by: #OccupyResoluteDesk at June 01, 2012 01:44 PM (7QU6R)

112

How much do I want Obama and his henchmen to lose? Nationwide I can think of nothing better than total destruction. Allow me a simple explanation. I am NOT advocating any killing, but

Fight to kill or fight to win?  With apologies to Terry Pratchett writing in “Witches Abroad: “Cats will kill. But they do not fight to kill. They fight to win.

There is a difference. ThereÂ’s no point in killing an opponent, if they are dead, then they are not aware that theyÂ’ve lost. To be a real winner you must have an opponent who not only is beaten, but also knows he has been beaten, even crushed. There is small triumph standing over a corpse, but a beaten, crushed opponent who will remain beaten and crushed every day of their sad and wretched lives, is something to treasure.

 

This is how I feel about November. I donÂ’t want to kill these Democrats, I want to destroy them. I want the American people that I know and love to rise up en masse  and vote these son of a bitches OUT! I want them standing on the outside of politics, looking in and realizing how badly they screwed things up, for the next thirty years or so. If this happens in November. I can die a happy man.

 

Posted by: jfalcon, the curmud..curmuge..the old guy in Vegas at June 01, 2012 03:46 PM (alNEB)

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