October 29, 2012
— Pixy Misa I think this is the first time Rasmussen has polled Romney ahead in Ohio. Rasmussen has Romney up 50-48, but well within the margin of error.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President ObamaÂ’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided.
Also, a Mitt Romney Super PAC has bought some airtime in Pennsylvania.
The late push for Pennsylvania comes as some internal GOP polling has shown the always-elusive Keystone State to be within a few points. But other public polling, including a survey released over the weekend by the Philadelphia Inquirer, shows Obama enjoying a lead outside the margin. RomneyÂ’s campaign is not airing ads in Pennsylvania and the candidate himself has not been to the state recently. Paul Ryan recently held a rally at a hangar outside Pittsburgh, but that was partly intended for Ohio consumption.
Posted by: Pixy Misa at
07:28 AM
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Post contains 172 words, total size 2 kb.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 29, 2012 07:30 AM (hlUJY)
Posted by: Itchytriggerfinger at October 29, 2012 11:30 AM (zsppm)
But are you a double-tap kinda guy?
Posted by: Doctor Fish at October 29, 2012 07:30 AM (lDWQr)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 29, 2012 07:31 AM (hlUJY)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at October 29, 2012 07:31 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: H Badger at October 29, 2012 07:32 AM (n/0Nw)
But are you a double-tap kinda guy?
Posted by: Doctor Fish at October 29, 2012 11:30 AM (lDWQr)
Only when talking about kegs!!
Posted by: Itchytriggerfinger at October 29, 2012 07:32 AM (zsppm)
Posted by: Golan Globus at October 29, 2012 07:32 AM (xaxJV)
Posted by: alexthechick at October 29, 2012 07:33 AM (VtjlW)
Is he still D+4 nationally? I don't know why he's ignoring his own partisan split info, but if you remember, just before the weekend, he changed to a D+6 split one day which prevented a spike from occurring.
Ohio will be a D+ state, but the question is, "How much? And how Democrat are these people, really?"
Posted by: AmishDude at October 29, 2012 07:35 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at October 29, 2012 07:35 AM (AsY5D)
Posted by: TANSTAAFL at October 29, 2012 07:35 AM (52QEX)
Posted by: BlackOrchid-StillMissingDagny at October 29, 2012 07:35 AM (J6kXj)
Posted by: President Eye Candy at October 29, 2012 07:36 AM (/ZZCn)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at October 29, 2012 07:37 AM (+tqYo)
Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at October 29, 2012 07:37 AM (AsY5D)
Posted by: toby928© for TB at October 29, 2012 07:38 AM (QupBk)
Posted by: BlackOrchid-StillMissingDagny at October 29, 2012 07:38 AM (J6kXj)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at October 29, 2012 07:39 AM (j1gX1)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at October 29, 2012 07:40 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: GuyfromNH at October 29, 2012 07:40 AM (kbOju)
Its like he read "Atlas Shrugged" and took all the parts we hate and incorporated them into his philosophy...
Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 07:40 AM (PryWG)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at October 29, 2012 07:41 AM (+tqYo)
http://tinyurl.com/97wfs3f
Posted by: General Woundwort at October 29, 2012 11:38 AM (DWgdc)
I was just about to post that.
President Barack Obama signaled if he wins a second term he would appoint a Secretary of Business to oversee newly-consolidated government agencies, including the Small Business Administration, and predicted “a war” will break out within the Republican Party after the Nov. 6 election.
More faulty lounge genius from Barry
Posted by: TheQuietMan at October 29, 2012 07:41 AM (1Jaio)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 07:42 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at October 29, 2012 07:42 AM (DGIjM)
Posted by: Log Cabin at October 29, 2012 07:42 AM (JV/H0)
Posted by: rickb223 at October 29, 2012 07:42 AM (GFM2b)
Posted by: phoenixgirl, Wearing her GIANTS jersey,team dagny at October 29, 2012 07:42 AM (Ho2rs)
Posted by: jewells45 says Romney wins in a landslide at October 29, 2012 07:42 AM (l/N7H)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 29, 2012 07:43 AM (hlUJY)
Posted by: Baldy at October 29, 2012 07:44 AM (opS9C)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 07:44 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at October 29, 2012 07:44 AM (AsY5D)
Yes the fact that Jim Oberstar lost for the first time since 1975 in the 2010 election was an indication that things may be changing in Minnesota.
Posted by: Buzzsaw at October 29, 2012 07:45 AM (tf9Ne)
The electoral vote has me spooked too. AP says obama all but has that wrapped up. Just don't understand how Romney has the lead in almost every poll, but will lose the election...
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 29, 2012 07:45 AM (9+ccr)
Nothing else matters now......bring it, Sandy!
Posted by: Tami at October 29, 2012 07:46 AM (X6akg)
Posted by: phoenixgirl, Wearing her GIANTS jersey,team dagny at October 29, 2012 07:46 AM (Ho2rs)
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, with laptop dead at October 29, 2012 07:46 AM (lOmbq)
Well, he can't, but the only reason this is being entertained is that, when Romney was not allowed to spend money, the Obama campaign blanketed a few states with vicious anti-Romney ads. Campaign finance reform.
Posted by: AmishDude at October 29, 2012 07:47 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: BlackOrchid-StillMissingDagny at October 29, 2012 07:47 AM (J6kXj)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 07:47 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Jamie Gorelick at October 29, 2012 07:47 AM (AsY5D)
He won't.
Why is it that, in everything else, Conservatives realize that the MFM is the enemy- actively engaged in defeating us, but we somehow think polls are bias free?
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at October 29, 2012 07:47 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 07:48 AM (PryWG)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 07:48 AM (e0xKF)
Sorry - one last post before I go offline. It's a comment at PJ Media about Benghazi. Read it. THIS is why we need Romney to sweep the dog-eating retard out of office and why we need to bash the RINOs on our side likes rented mules when they step out of line:
if Obama wins then Brian Williams, NPR, etc. will portray this as a “controversy” endlessly and any and all who try to pursue the truth in this matter as right-wing zealots, Tea Party fringe groups, partisan sore-losers, and on and on. If Romney wins then John Boehner will declare that we must seek a new level of cooperation with our friends across the aisle and insist that the whole matter must be put behind us. Either way the whole thing dies within two months and lands in the dustbin with Fast and Furious.
Guaranteed.
Posted by: Mary Poppins' Practically Perfect Piercing at October 29, 2012 07:48 AM (zF6Iw)
The reason why the Ohio polls keep trending toward Obama is that every one of them, including this Rasmussen poll, are showing about 33% of voters in Ohio have already voted, and they favor Obama by 2 to 1.
THIS IS A LIE
For 33% of voters to have voted, the boards of elections would need to have about 2,000,000 votes in have between received absentee ballots and early voting numbers. As of October 26th (last Friday) the totals were about 800,000. 1.2 million people did NOT vote on Saturday.
Out of every one of these Ohio polls, about 16% of the sample is made up of lying Democrats.
Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 29, 2012 07:49 AM (USExO)
>> predicted “a war” will break out within the
Republican Party after the Nov. 6 election.
If so, I'm gutting those RedState fkers right out the gate. First strike, baby!
Posted by: uterus cannon at October 29, 2012 07:50 AM (3ZtZW)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 07:50 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Deep thoughts with dananjcon at October 29, 2012 07:50 AM (eavT+)
Posted by: Honey Badger at October 29, 2012 07:50 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: BSKB at October 29, 2012 07:50 AM (4KWOY)
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 29, 2012 07:50 AM (9+ccr)
"The side that mocks, wins."
Then the twitterverse is predicting a huge landslide for Romney. As I keep telling reactionary leftists on twitter: All Your Memes Are Belong To US.
Posted by: TANSTAAFL at October 29, 2012 07:51 AM (52QEX)
Out of every one of these Ohio polls, about 16% of the sample is made up of lying Democrats.
Here's the thing: Ras isn't stupid or biased. He must know this.
But a lot of these pollsters figure that if somebody says they "already" voted that they are likely voters anyway. Maybe they didn't get around to actually going to the polls, but they are very likely to.
Posted by: AmishDude at October 29, 2012 07:52 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: Trolling Trollperson at October 29, 2012 07:53 AM (+QKfp)
Posted by: jewells45 says Romney wins in a landslide at October 29, 2012 11:42 AM (l/N7H)
We will survive. But Romney is going to win.
Posted by: ChristyBlinky, unbanned, ready to get this done at October 29, 2012 07:53 AM (baL2B)
Posted by: maddogg at October 29, 2012 07:54 AM (OlN4e)
"Guaranteed"? By fucking who? That's all just one dude's speculation, and take it all with a grain of salt until I actually witness what unfolds during a (hopefully) Romney administration.
Posted by: Punahou Death Stare at October 29, 2012 07:54 AM (sTS/8)
Posted by: Baldy at October 29, 2012 07:54 AM (opS9C)
Posted by: alexthechick at October 29, 2012 07:55 AM (VtjlW)
Posted by: In before the troll at October 29, 2012 07:55 AM (TIIx5)
Posted by: Lynne at October 29, 2012 07:55 AM (BJVEF)
Posted by: Lynne at October 29, 2012 07:55 AM (BJVEF)
Posted by: reality man at October 29, 2012 07:56 AM (L2x1w)
Posted by: runninrebel at October 29, 2012 11:54 AM (N/1Dm)
I'm trying not to, but it's hard. I think this is probably the most important election in my 63 years here on Earth..
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 29, 2012 07:56 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: Baldy at October 29, 2012 07:56 AM (opS9C)
Try like 2.1 Million Dollars worth of airtime...BIG BUY!! in PA and that coincides with another PAC called Conservatives to Protect Jobs that bought 1.1 million in ad time as well in PA!! That is over 3 million dollars in this last week from Mitt PACS!!!
As for Ras..I have lost some faith in Ras...he continues to use a Plus 5 Dem Sample Nationally and he oversampled youth (30 percent in his OH poll). In 2008 the youth was about 25 percent in OH. So Ras continues to do some bad polling. He will not accept nationally that there will be no PLUS 5 Dem. Gallup just found among 10000 voters that the GOP is actually up 3....As Rasmussen found back in Sept. Yet Ras refuses to change from Plus 5 Dem...so keep that in mind with Ras on his national stuff. As for OH...Ras is oversampling youth by 5 percent and keeping African Americans at 2008 essentially....he is off...he also oversamples females. As well he states that 33 percent of people in OH has cast early ballots....BS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Go over the George Mason University they have s Page (United States Election Projections) go to state of OH....ONLY 17.4 Percent of OH has early voted and absentee....That is updated to the 27th of Oct. Ras, like PPP, is full of it. They are using numbers being provided by Obama to try to show the early voting stats in OH. Obama is using data comparisons from Precincts that No Longer Exist...Politico yesterday had a great article "OBAMA'S FUZZY MATH ON OH NUMBERS" Ras, PPP and others are facing some major embarrassments on election day! OH will be one of the worst. People within the state that are not affiliated with either party that have looked at early returns have Obama up 7 percent...not in the 20s like Ras and PPP....it is embarrassing. Plus PPP polled a total number of 145 people to get that 20 plus adv for Obama.......
OH will easily go to Repubs....big losers from this election will be PPP, RAS, MARIST, ABC (so what here) and others. Using 2008 numbers and increasing them to show a competitive race when reality is showing elsewise is a disgrace!
Sorry Ras....not plus 5 Dem Sample Nationally, no 30 percent youth vote in OH and no Ras..33 percent of OH has not early voted...you are a polling org...get the numbers from the real counters and not a campaign using single metric from non-existent precincts!
Posted by: bluerose75 at October 29, 2012 07:57 AM (HDcKc)
Posted by: jewells45 says Romney wins in a landslide at October 29, 2012 07:58 AM (l/N7H)
Posted by: Log Cabin at October 29, 2012 07:58 AM (JV/H0)
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 29, 2012 07:58 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 07:58 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 07:59 AM (PryWG)
Posted by: 8 days at October 29, 2012 07:59 AM (LpQbZ)
Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 29, 2012 08:00 AM (USExO)
Posted by: millco88 at October 29, 2012 08:01 AM (5+si2)
Fear not, oh great Horde. All is proceeding as I have foreseen, starting with Florida.
Whilst we mustn't start to yet cleanse each other's manly parts, confidence is high. Doest as our post host behooves and getteth ye out teh vote as best ye can, with all thy getting.
Only then may ye slather yeselves with the Holy Butterscotch and besott thyselves with the Sacred Chalice of the Rite-Value. Only then shall the Vigin LauraW be prepared to allow the Shaving of Her Immaculate Hump in The Kiddie Pool of Victory.
Go Forth. Go Fifth, even.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, with laptop dead at October 29, 2012 08:01 AM (lOmbq)
The JEF is a lame duck, he will have no supporters left and it's the only way to keep him from issuing EOs like crazy and pardoning any and all.
Posted by: RoyalOil at October 29, 2012 08:01 AM (imtbm)
Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 08:01 AM (PryWG)
Posted by: pashmr at October 29, 2012 08:02 AM (3aNC4)
Posted by: bluerose75 at October 29, 2012 08:02 AM (HDcKc)
Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 12:01 PM (PryWG)
How could he? The storm,the storm...How uncaring..
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 29, 2012 08:02 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: bluerose75 at October 29, 2012 08:03 AM (HDcKc)
O/T - Now that we've hit 100, Ann Barnhardt has a doomsday post with an aside about Michele Bachmann. Ann says Michele ought to be wearing an orange jumpsuit because she knowingly took campaign cash (for prez) while holding dual citizenship. Have y'all heard about this yet?
Posted by: RushBabe at October 29, 2012 08:03 AM (tQHzJ)
Posted by: bluerose75 at October 29, 2012 12:03 PM (HDcKc)
He was, but I thought he lowered it to + 3?
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 29, 2012 08:04 AM (9+ccr)
have about 2,000,000 votes in have between received absentee ballots and
early voting numbers. As of October 26th (last Friday) the totals were
about 800,000. 1.2 million people did NOT vote on Saturday.
Out of every one of these Ohio polls, about 16% of the sample is made up of lying Democrats.
Here's the thing: Ras isn't stupid or biased. He must know this.
But a lot of these pollsters figure that if somebody says they "already" voted that they are likely voters anyway. Maybe they didn't get around to actually going to the polls, but they are very likely to.
Posted by: AmishDude at October 29, 2012 11:52 AM (T0NGe)
You are a trusting soul. Liars are not likely voters. They're democrats.
Posted by: rikthedik at October 29, 2012 08:04 AM (gQxm3)
Posted by: Lynne at October 29, 2012 11:55 AM (BJVEF)
Only if he makes major changes to the libtard debate moderators and networks.
Posted by: RushBabe at October 29, 2012 08:05 AM (tQHzJ)
I'll actually trust DiF on this one over Michael Barone. He's been obsessing over these numbers for more than the last month.
Ras also publishes his internals, and I'm pretty sure DiF is a subscriber.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at October 29, 2012 08:05 AM (8y9MW)
wtf!@
srsly we have some really crazy folks out there.
Romney will cause 100 % unemployment!
Posted by: willow at October 29, 2012 08:05 AM (hX8cq)
Posted by: RushBabe at October 29, 2012 12:05 PM (tQHzJ)
That was Michael Steeles doing I read...
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 29, 2012 08:05 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 11:59 AM (PryWG)
Gee, I wonder why.
Posted by: TheQuietMan at October 29, 2012 08:05 AM (1Jaio)
I'm looking at the internals. D+3. Barone is is wrong.
Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 29, 2012 08:06 AM (USExO)
Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 11:59 AM (PryWG)
Gee, I wonder why.
Posted by: TheQuietMan at October 29, 2012 12:05 PM (1Jaio)
why bother they lie anyway.
Posted by: willow at October 29, 2012 08:07 AM (hX8cq)
Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 29, 2012 08:08 AM (USExO)
Posted by: Hello"
They were worried about clogged toilets.
Posted by: Hobbitopoly at October 29, 2012 08:08 AM (hAr+v)
Posted by: H Badger at October 29, 2012 08:08 AM (n/0Nw)
Posted by: willow at October 29, 2012 08:08 AM (hX8cq)
By the way, the quoted report about the Pennsylvania poll showing Obama ahead "outside the margin of error" is a flat-out lie.
It's a lie a lot of reporters and their editors repeat, because they don't know what "margin of error" means. IF THEY DON'T EVEN KNOW THIS, DON'T TAKE THEM SERIOUSLY. To summarize the second week of an introductory statistics class:
"Margin of error" refers to the sampling error in using a sample to estimate a candidate's support - Obama's support among Pennsylvanians, for example. This sampling error is absolutely unavoidable in a survey, and the calculated number assumes that the sampling was done perfectly and that there has not been any weighting done. (Weighting always increases the margin of error.)
In a two-candidate race with few undecideds, the sampling error in measuring one candidate's support will be offset by a similar error in measuring the other candidate's support. (If a survey's sample has 20 too many Obama supporters, it will have close to 20 too few Romney supporters.) Therefore, the margin of error for the difference between two candidates' support can be approximated as double the customary reported margin of error - about 8%, in the case of the Philadelphia Inquirer poll.
Math - it's part of what makes us the reality-based party. But it's hard to explain in a 20 second clip.
Posted by: Frederick Stephan at October 29, 2012 08:08 AM (khZbv)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:09 AM (ck76k)
Posted by: JackStraw at October 29, 2012 08:09 AM (TMB3S)
Posted by: bluerose75 at October 29, 2012 08:09 AM (HDcKc)
Just so you know.
Posted by: jwb7605 at October 29, 2012 08:10 AM (Qxe/p)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:10 AM (ck76k)
Posted by: Dr. Denis Leary at October 29, 2012 08:11 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Log Cabin at October 29, 2012 08:13 AM (JV/H0)
Posted by: bluerose75 at October 29, 2012 08:13 AM (HDcKc)
Sandy
Election
Benghazi-Gate
Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 08:13 AM (PryWG)
Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 29, 2012 08:14 AM (USExO)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:15 AM (ck76k)
Thanks, I was looking for that exact number.
Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 29, 2012 08:16 AM (USExO)
44m FEMA FEMA @fema
Follow the #Sandy conversation in your state: Maryland: #MDSandy Delaware: #DESandy Virginia: #VASandy New Jersey: #NJSandy
Collapse
Reply
Retweet
Favorite
______
Note FEMA ignore PA.
Posted by: Baldy at October 29, 2012 08:16 AM (opS9C)
They know, they just don't care. Their job is to advance the narrative.
I was making fun of Obama's inability to do 8th grade math and I got a tweet -- all defensive-like -- from @buzzfeedandrew saying that he wasn't bothered that the president is a drooling imbecile (my words, not his).
I asked him: In the US, pollsters need about 1000 respondents to get a 3% MoE. China has 4 times the population. How many do they need to poll to get the same margin of error?
No response.
Posted by: AmishDude at October 29, 2012 08:19 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 08:19 AM (e0xKF)
MAYBE... but no one HAS... any idea what you're... TRYING to say BECAUSE... your... comments are almost IMPOSSIBLE to READ. You have USED up... your alloted QUOTA... of elipses and CAPS... for the MONTH.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 29, 2012 08:19 AM (SY2Kh)
Really? I mean, I know the Boston Herald hated Romney but they got on board. What's Ras' rationale?
Posted by: AmishDude at October 29, 2012 08:20 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: edj at October 29, 2012 08:20 AM (+QKfp)
Posted by: sherlock at October 29, 2012 08:21 AM (f29LO)
Gallup 10,000 person poll specifically focusing on party ID and 'makeup of voters'. -> R+1. In 2008 it was D+8.
A national nine-point shift?
Just, wow.
Posted by: Al at October 29, 2012 08:24 AM (MzQOZ)
I've been at "curbstomp" for a week or two now.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at October 29, 2012 08:24 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: JackStraw at October 29, 2012 08:25 AM (TMB3S)
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie ® at October 29, 2012 08:27 AM (1hM1d)
I wonder how many people are monkey wrenching their registrations like I am?
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 29, 2012 08:27 AM (m2MP0)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 08:28 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:29 AM (ck76k)
Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 29, 2012 08:29 AM (USExO)
On the one hand, we have what the laws say.
On the other, we have what TFG does.
The two are pretty damn orthogonal.
Posted by: Al at October 29, 2012 08:30 AM (MzQOZ)
Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at October 29, 2012 08:30 AM (DQMcq)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at October 29, 2012 08:31 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:33 AM (ck76k)
Posted by: Jen at October 29, 2012 08:37 AM (Du+x/)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:42 AM (ck76k)
Posted by: edj at October 29, 2012 08:47 AM (+QKfp)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 12:42 PM (ck76k)
Asshat.
Is that another word for "looking at internals"?
Posted by: jwb7605 at October 29, 2012 08:47 AM (Qxe/p)
OK, here's an official "What the Fuck?" question for Dave in Fl or anyone else with early voting information.
I just read an article in the Atlantic that was discussing absentee and early in-person voting in Ohio. A footnote explained that there is no partisan identification in voter registration in Ohio, so any assumptions as to how early voters have cast their ballots is made by the precinct they come from and how that precienct voted in 2008.
From what I've been hearing in the media, they act as if someone is opening the early votes and reporting actual numbers. What the fuck is going on?
Posted by: jwest at October 29, 2012 08:48 AM (ZDsRL)
Is that another word for "looking at internals"?
Posted by: jwb7605 at October 29, 2012 12:47 PM (Qxe/p)
No, that's not looking at internals..
Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at October 29, 2012 08:50 AM (9+ccr)
In re. Kiplinger. It is an investment letter that used to be quite popular however, I would not place too much stock (no pun intended) in what they may or may not be saying. Reason being, they look through a traditioned lens of analysis and we are in anything but a traditioned business climate and certainly not a traditioned election cycle.
Kiplinger would better serve their readers by detailing how the entire retail banking enterprise is insolvent.
Don't be distracted with this static, pedestrian static that is still pushing mutual funds.
Don't be discouraged my friends however, do get involved. Get out the vote and immediately contact if you haven't done so already, your local Republican campaign office.
I am going over to my local Republican campaign office this afternoon.
And above all, pray, pray, pray for this country.
Posted by: Journolist at October 29, 2012 08:50 AM (LyIKl)
Posted by: Greg at October 29, 2012 08:54 AM (aDgWA)
Posted by: Log Cabin at October 29, 2012 08:55 AM (JV/H0)
You're welcome.
Posted by: Braniac Obama at October 29, 2012 12:29 PM (wAQA5)
I thought you used them for your Supreme Court nominations
Posted by: TheQuietMan at October 29, 2012 08:56 AM (1Jaio)
Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at October 29, 2012 08:59 AM (qwK3S)
Posted by: Greg at October 29, 2012 09:00 AM (aDgWA)
I'd focus my resources on Nevada, Iowa, Colorado, Wisconsin and obviously Ohio.
But they may know something we don't, in which case, I'd love to see PA painted red.
Posted by: McAdams at October 29, 2012 09:04 AM (FwCfL)
Posted by: rockmom at October 29, 2012 09:10 AM (qe2/V)
http://barnhardt.biz/
Posted by: RushBabe at October 29, 2012 12:03 PM (tQHzJ)
Yeah. . .she had some interesting posts, but I think she's just about gone bugfuck crazy. She insists the JEF will win, because:
a.) the fix is in;
b.) Romney has agreed to throw the election in return for a cabinet post;
c.) the JEF will be killed before the election, generating a wave of anger at the racist Rethugs and Biden takes over.
After I finish telling the liberal scum on Althouse's blog to choke on it once Romney wins, I'm going to see what Barnhardt has to say. I'm sure she'll spin his win as a sign that both the left and right have colluded in the rape of America and that Total Societal Collapse is imminent. Should be almost gerg-worthy in its majestic lunacy.
Posted by: Mary Poppins' Practically Perfect Piercing at October 29, 2012 09:12 AM (zF6Iw)
So how much did you bet on Intrade again? $20k? $50k?
Surely you're "all in" with every penny you can scrape up...
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 29, 2012 09:13 AM (m2MP0)
Reality Check for Gerg:
Your guy has alienated huge swaths of the voting public over the past 3+ years including his own supporters from 2008 (Indies - HELLO).
He's going down big-time.
But then again you're an "expert" on "going down" so...
Posted by: PelosiSchmelosi at October 29, 2012 09:15 AM (epFGF)
He missed Indiana, so in my mind the only truly gutsy call he made was NC, because I would have bet against Obama carry the Tarheel State.
Anyway, I said his Senate record sounded more impressive because I just didn't know as much about that. After some research, however, here are the seven closest Senate races in 2010, the margin of victory, and Silver's call:
AK 4.0 missed
CO 0.9 missed
IL 1.9 correct
NV 5.6 missed
PA 2.0 correct
WA 4.8 correct
WI 4.9 correct
He was only 4 and 3, or 1 better than a coin toss.
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 29, 2012 09:16 AM (vouc9)
Posted by: Greg at October 29, 2012 09:17 AM (aDgWA)
Then you'll be back on Nov 7 gloating about your winnings, right?
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 29, 2012 09:30 AM (m2MP0)
Posted by: Greg at October 29, 2012 09:33 AM (aDgWA)
Hmmm remind me again why old people invest in bonds and not stocks?
Posted by: Gulfkraken at October 29, 2012 09:33 AM (WBfjO)
Posted by: Victoria at October 29, 2012 09:33 AM (tV5ow)
The Globe is 100% owned by the NYT -- she's toast.
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 29, 2012 09:38 AM (m2MP0)
That's right. You did make a fortune on that Walker recall...
Posted by: Jrg at October 29, 2012 09:55 AM (PEwU1)
Posted by: steevy at October 29, 2012 10:36 AM (6o4Fb)
Posted by: BruceTahoe at October 29, 2012 07:58 PM (apXFs)
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Posted by: Itchytriggerfinger at October 29, 2012 07:29 AM (zsppm)