April 13, 2012
— Ace Both FoxNews and Rasmussen have been very disappointing this cycle -- for rightwing make-it-up wingnut polling operations, they sure have had Obama ahead an awful lot.
Well, FoxNews showed Romney's 2nd-ever lead on Obama yesterday, and Rasmussen shows now a Romney lead too.
(Both Fox and Rasmussen have lower figures for Obama's Job Approval than anyone else, though.)
I haven't been mentioning polls, because 1, this is an atypical period (bruising primary, no rallying effect yet) and 2, it's so far off and 3, they've been bad for Team Red.
I'm mentioning these two because lately the meme has spread like wildfire, even among Republicans, that Obama is going to win in a walk.
Um, what?
Either these people are crazy or I'm crazy. I don't think I'm crazy, so I'm going to say "them." But I do not see how you preside over the worst recession since the depression -- four grueling years of spirit-crushing joblessness -- and say "Let's have more of that!" and then win an election in a walk.
I just do not see how that is possible.
I thought 2000 would be close because even though Gore was a bit of dickbag, the economy had been good previously. It was close.
I thought 2004 would be close but we'd lose, because the economy wasn't booming and the public began showing signs of War Fatigue. It was close, but we won.
I thought we'd lose 2008, and not closely, because the economy was now in recession and we had a financial crisis and War Fatigue was now a majority complaint. We lost, and not closely.
I know "Campaigns matter," as political professionals are especially eager to tell you, and so do candidates, but basic underlying facts matter too.
The underlying facts of this election do not favor Obama. If they did, he'd be talking about them. But he's not. He's talking about everything else, but not The Question.
Reagan's question -- are you better off now than you were four years ago...? Obviously we're not, but he can't even offer a plausible Hypothetical Future Scenario where things are going to get better under his leadership.
And he'd better offer a really strong, very plausible Hypothetical Future Scenario. Because he offered a grand one up in 2008 and we're about as far from that as a monkey is from building a Saturn V.
He needs to answer The Question. He can't dodge it forever.
The public is giving him every last chance, but at some point, they're going to need reassurance and not just this ridiculous game of Winning the 24 Hour News Cycle.
Obama can win every news cycle from now until November 6th, but people will still vote against him if he can't answer the only question that matters.
Posted by: Ace at
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Posted by: Have Blue at April 13, 2012 01:18 PM (0dPUM)
Posted by: interested at April 13, 2012 01:18 PM (Vxlzu)
A former North Carolina Democratic Party staffer was sexually harassed by a party official, made a financial settlement with the party and signed a non-disclosure agreement to keep the incident quiet.
“If this hits the media, the Democratic Party, our candidates, and our credibility are doomed in this election,” reads one email exchange between state Democratic leaders.
An email chain between those Democratic leaders, obtained by The Daily Caller, indicates the executive director of the North Carolina Democratic Party, Jay Parmley, and the alleged sexual harassment victim both signed non-disclosure agreements.
The email chain does not make clear who was guilty of the harassment, the status of that individualÂ’s employment with the Democratic Party or the identity of the victim.
Posted by: Bill Clinton at April 13, 2012 01:19 PM (e8kgV)
Posted by: Sgt. Fury at April 13, 2012 01:19 PM (XY73C)
Is it true that Obama paid less than 21% tax on an income of almost one million dollars?
If that is the case, he can make a donation to the US Treasury, just like any other willing millionaire.
Posted by: Warren's Buffet at April 13, 2012 01:20 PM (O6q63)
DRUDGE
Posted by: Stalin's Ghost at April 13, 2012 01:21 PM (EL+OC)
Forget about Obama's tax rate--the guy donated a sack of money (yours) to charity and was able to deduct it from his AGI. There's nothing for us on that issue.
Of course, this is exactly what he describes as a "loophole" when he's peddling the Buffet Tax.
Posted by: spongeworthy at April 13, 2012 01:21 PM (r5w1L)
The House, the Senate and the White House all gone in election cycle.
Spectacular failure.
Posted by: NeoKong at April 13, 2012 01:21 PM (0d5Yb)
Posted by: Justamom at April 13, 2012 01:21 PM (Sptt8)
Posted by: the Butcher at April 13, 2012 01:22 PM (8g9qq)
Posted by: AuthorLMendez Will Pay Ace $100 To Ban The Troll at April 13, 2012 01:22 PM (yAor6)
And my answer is, under Carter, things just got to the point where the guy was an embarrassment. Everything he said or did turned to shit. He was perceived as a guy who couldn't do anything right.
At which point Carter was doomed.
Posted by: Jones in CO at April 13, 2012 01:22 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: davidt at April 13, 2012 01:22 PM (Wlpxd)
Posted by: Oil Field Trash at April 13, 2012 01:22 PM (jTe4I)
Wow I will be so happy election night if Obama loses.
*****
I am taking Nov. 8 off from work. I figure I will have a huge hangover and be ecstatically happy or hungover and pissed off.
Posted by: Infidel at April 13, 2012 01:23 PM (O/fK8)
Posted by: AuthorLMendez Will Pay Ace $100 To Ban The Troll at April 13, 2012 01:23 PM (yAor6)
Posted by: AuthorLMendez Will Pay Ace $100 To Ban The Troll at April 13, 2012 01:23 PM (yAor6)
Posted by: MaxMBJ at April 13, 2012 01:24 PM (deaac)
I say old bean, please desist from promulgating stereotypes. We may lack opposable thumbs, but we are not without feelings. And we appreciate a really fine burgundy.
Posted by: Baboons trained by French scientists. at April 13, 2012 01:24 PM (6TB1Z)
They can't cheat if it's not close.
Posted by: Jones in CO at April 13, 2012 01:24 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: AuthorLMendez Will Pay Ace $100 To Ban The Troll at April 13, 2012 01:24 PM (yAor6)
The GOP Leadershit are among the biggest idiots on the planet. Nothing but idiots and crybabies.
Posted by: ThePrimordialOrderedPair at April 13, 2012 01:25 PM (X3lox)
Posted by: The Dude at April 13, 2012 05:22 PM (M8yfa)
This has to be a sock. No one is that stupid, except curious.
Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 13, 2012 01:25 PM (UOM48)
Posted by: Sgt. Fury at April 13, 2012 05:19 PM (XY73C)
I've always taken off on the day after elections. I'm usually up too late watching the returns, and drinking either in celebration or sorrow to do anything productive the next day.
Posted by: Ombudsman at April 13, 2012 01:25 PM (AxHOT)
Posted by: Infidel at April 13, 2012 01:25 PM (O/fK8)
The House, the Senate and the White House all gone in election cycle.
Spectacular failure.
Think of them as the 3-stage rocket of electoral failure.
Posted by: pep at April 13, 2012 01:26 PM (6TB1Z)
Cheers, y'all!
Posted by: ChristyBlinky: ABO 2012 at April 13, 2012 05:24 PM (baL2B)
Husband's on the way home with a bottle right now. If when Barky loses we need to have a Southeastern moron meet-up.
Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 13, 2012 01:26 PM (UOM48)
It's probably going to be a close election. We have no way of really knowing how well Mitt's campaign will resonate or what degree his programming upgrades can mimic a likeable human being that people can relate to. Seven months is an eternity, and none of us know what happens between now and then.
It seems baffling that Obama even stands a chance, but then again it's equally baffling why his approval ratings aren't in the mid-30's.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at April 13, 2012 01:27 PM (SY2Kh)
I am taking Nov. 8 off from work. I figure I will have a huge hangover and be ecstatically happy or hungover and pissed off.
Pssst! Check yer calendar.
Posted by: fluffy at April 13, 2012 01:27 PM (O6q63)
The only way we blow this election is a SuperGaffe, which Romney will not make, or if we get all up in people's faces with what a hideous mistake they made last cycle.
Let them come to that conclusion themselves--what a bunch of elitist assholes run this country and how much they despise the rest of us. Which is why I disagree with Our Host about issues like Hilary Rosen.
Hilary Rosen thinks people not like her are trash, beneath contempt. Let her tell them so we don't have to get up in their faces.
Posted by: spongeworthy at April 13, 2012 01:27 PM (r5w1L)
When the money runs out, the true pain begins.
Posted by: toby928© at April 13, 2012 01:28 PM (GTbGH)
Posted by: richie mcgrain at April 13, 2012 01:28 PM (JjVPr)
Posted by: AuthorLMendez Will Pay Ace $100 To Ban The Troll at April 13, 2012 01:29 PM (yAor6)
If Obama loses, America's cities are going to burn. If riots happen when a sports team wins, imagine the rioting if the presidency is "stolen" from the One.
Posted by: Ombudsman at April 13, 2012 01:29 PM (AxHOT)
The world is a crazy place. Lots of things can happen betwen now and then.
Up until now it's mostly us bitter partisans paying attention. Once the field is set it will get real.. real fast.. A lot will depend on current events.
Posted by: The Jackhole at April 13, 2012 01:29 PM (nTgAI)
Although I would have preferred a more conservative Republican to Romney, I see him playing well with independent voters. Obama is not going to be able to paint him as an extremist, an idiot, or being incompetent.
I Dubya can win two elections in this country, Romney should be able to win in a cakewalk with 8% unemployment and $4 gas.
I'm cautiously optimistic.
Posted by: BradleyHarm at April 13, 2012 01:30 PM (0kf1G)
Posted by: Justamom at April 13, 2012 01:30 PM (Sptt8)
Posted by: kbdabear at April 13, 2012 01:30 PM (Y+DPZ)
BTW - who gives a damn about Brad and Angelina getting engaged?
Posted by: Satan's Barbed WeeWee at April 13, 2012 01:30 PM (Jls4P)
Posted by: Hollowpoint at April 13, 2012 05:27 PM (SY2Kh)
The upper 30s are Barky's absolute support floor. He could never dip lower than that.
Affirmative action in action. We do deserve what we get.
Posted by: ThePrimordialOrderedPair at April 13, 2012 01:30 PM (X3lox)
Posted by: AuthorLMendez Will Pay Ace $100 To Ban The Troll at April 13, 2012 01:30 PM (yAor6)
Posted by: Justamom at April 13, 2012 05:30 PM (Sptt
Mass suicides would be much better. After all it is a cult
Posted by: TheQuietMan at April 13, 2012 01:31 PM (1Jaio)
Posted by: Infidel at April 13, 2012 01:31 PM (O/fK8)
Posted by: toby928© at April 13, 2012 01:31 PM (GTbGH)
Oops. Thanks fluffy. Nov. 7. Arrgh.
Posted by: Infidel at April 13, 2012 05:29 PM (O/fK
I just figured you planned on going on a 48 hour bender in which case you'd need an entire day hooked up to a saline drip.
Hey, that sounds like a plan!
Posted by: ErikW at April 13, 2012 01:31 PM (7Jl0A)
So, you're saying that the unripe scatology will be imminentized?
Posted by: pep at April 13, 2012 01:32 PM (6TB1Z)
Posted by: Truck Monkey at April 13, 2012 01:32 PM (jucos)
ive been gone for a while, does Greg still pretend to be one of us?
Posted by: AuthorLMendez Will Pay Ace $100 To Ban The Troll at April 13, 2012 01:32 PM (yAor6)
Posted by: TheQuietMan at April 13, 2012 05:31 PM (1Jaio)
They should torture themselves to death.
Posted by: ThePrimordialOrderedPair at April 13, 2012 01:32 PM (X3lox)
46 If Obama loses the lefties will be crushed.
If Obama loses, America's cities are going to burn. If riots happen when a sports team wins, imagine the rioting if the presidency is "stolen" from the One.
Let them. ....Let them have their hissy fits, and burn things. It still would be minor compared to the damage that 4 more years of Barky would do to us.
Posted by: wheatie at April 13, 2012 01:33 PM (+5U+B)
Posted by: USS Diversity at April 13, 2012 01:33 PM (vpe0k)
Posted by: Infidel at April 13, 2012 01:33 PM (O/fK8)
Posted by: Inspector Asshole at April 13, 2012 01:33 PM (iVaoN)
Posted by: pat at April 13, 2012 01:33 PM (UFxap)
Posted by: HueyDiamondPooty at April 13, 2012 01:34 PM (ppmvK)
Posted by: AuthorLMendez Will Pay Ace $100 To Ban The Troll at April 13, 2012 01:34 PM (yAor6)
I don't think the economy will have to get even worse for him to lose. If it remains stagnant, Obama is going to look weak. If it shows signs of improvement- even modest gains will be heralded by the MSM as 'booming'- Romney is going to have a tough time.
But yeah- incumbents have the advantage. For many people it's easier to vote for The Devil You Know (and who they voted for once already) than the one you don't.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at April 13, 2012 01:35 PM (SY2Kh)
Posted by: Palerider at April 13, 2012 01:35 PM (dkExz)
Preznit Barky O-bah-muhhz suckitude knows no bounds.
Posted by: Mitt Still Sux, But O-bah-muhh Sux More at April 13, 2012 01:35 PM (s5Y90)
Posted by: Killjoy at April 13, 2012 01:35 PM (ETgqz)
Posted by: Retread at April 13, 2012 01:35 PM (joSBv)
I kinda like them that way.
Posted by: Stalin's Ghost at April 13, 2012 01:35 PM (EL+OC)
The Iranian hostages were released in the middle of Reagan's acceptance speech. The ayatollah wanted to stick it to Carter, and delayed the release until then.
It also helped that they thought Reagan was willing to bomb them back to the stone age.
Posted by: rd at April 13, 2012 01:35 PM (9sUlj)
Posted by: Reggie Love at April 13, 2012 01:35 PM (c3mby)
Posted by: Maxine Waters at April 13, 2012 01:36 PM (ndp2I)
Posted by: wheatie at April 13, 2012 01:36 PM (+5U+B)
Now that Team Stupid has made its selection, Team Evil will now, as anyone could have guessed, begin the relentless assault on our pick. We picked one especially vulnerable to attack and they know the election can't be about Obama, his accomplishments (name one), the state of the country or the future because all those are losers for not only Obama but all the way down the ticket. So expect negative; expect it soon, expect it constant, expect dozens of different variations on a couple of themes and expect it to be utterly remorseless, relentless and from all avenues of attack.
And no, I don't expect the good guys to win this one. The best we can hope for is for them to utterly exaust themselves in the all out fight to save Obama's hide, allowing us to capture the Senate. And capture it outside the margin of RINO. Then we stalemate (ha, who am I kidding, we will reach across the isle) em until 2016 and repeat the same mistakes. Because our #1 problem isn't the enemy's strength, it is our own team's weakness. It needs to get serious about the threat and become willing to do what is required to defeat an implacable foe who wants us utterly destroyed.
Posted by: John Morris at April 13, 2012 01:37 PM (sCRhB)
Posted by: need to get to the sheeples at April 13, 2012 01:37 PM (HOOye)
Posted by: JonathanEllis at April 13, 2012 01:37 PM (BdzEV)
Posted by: Retread at April 13, 2012 01:38 PM (joSBv)
I'm so easily spoiled.
Posted by: toby928© at April 13, 2012 01:38 PM (GTbGH)
Posted by: need to get to the sheeples at April 13, 2012 01:38 PM (HOOye)
Posted by: Jumbo Jogging Shrimp's deep thoughts at April 13, 2012 01:38 PM (DGIjM)
So, you're saying that the unripe scatology will be imminentized?
Posted by: pep at April 13, 2012 05:32 PM (6TB1Z)
Uhhh.... I am thinking people will start paying more attention.. most of the things the Zero is doing right now reek of desperation. I only imagine more stunts. Next the will be attacking romneys dog for agreeing to ride on the roof. Besides Romneys dog has never worked a day in his life..This will be the ugliest election in recent memory. Obama has been given a pass by the MSM.. Mitt is sort of boring. This is good. they must have their blood... it might be the Zero.. preference cascade ?
PS I had to look up imminentized
Posted by: The Jackhole at April 13, 2012 01:38 PM (nTgAI)
Posted by: rd at April 13, 2012 05:35 PM (9sUlj)
Still the likely end result....someday. Sighs.
Posted by: NC Ref at April 13, 2012 01:38 PM (/izg2)
Posted by: jeannebodine at April 13, 2012 01:39 PM (byR8d)
Posted by: USS Diversity at April 13, 2012 01:39 PM (vpe0k)
Posted by: Killjoy at April 13, 2012 01:39 PM (ETgqz)
Posted by: wheatie at April 13, 2012 05:36 PM (+5U+B)
Minor contrast with the Indonesian Imbecile's pathetic inauguration in which we were treated to such nuggets of wisdom and profundity as,
"Let us pray for the day ... when white will embrace what is right."
Sheesh. 30 years ... it could have been 30 millenia.
Posted by: ThePrimordialOrderedPair at April 13, 2012 01:40 PM (X3lox)
They left Iranian airspace as soon as RR was sworn in. This whole arab spring this is going to blow up in Barcocks face this summer too. Barry is GOING DOWN.
Posted by: Truck Monkey at April 13, 2012 05:32 PM (jucos)
Probably be a blessing to him. he looks like shit. He's run out of ideas, and the ideas he did try failed miserably. He likes running for the job, not doing the job. If he had his druthers, he wouldn't run again.
Go, Barry... walk toward the light.. just think....cushy speaking gigs... books...$$$$$$$.... lib adulation.... you proved you could get elected.... you don't need this shit.... guest spots on the View...go
Posted by: Ombudsman at April 13, 2012 01:40 PM (AxHOT)
Posted by: Barky O'Genius at April 13, 2012 01:40 PM (QKKT0)
Posted by: nerdygirl at April 13, 2012 01:41 PM (udnY3)
Posted by: Palerider at April 13, 2012 01:42 PM (dkExz)
The Cory Booker story seems too good to be true. He ran into a burning building to save someone? I think I read he has like a 6 person security detail. I guess they were all there too?
It was probably more like George Costanza. "Ahh! Fire! Get out of the way!" and pushing kids and old ladies as he fights out the door.
But if true, good on Cory. That makes up for all the graft, cronyism and oppression in the sparkling city of Newark.
Posted by: USS Diversity at April 13, 2012 01:42 PM (vpe0k)
(Damn, he's getting more handsome by the minute now those other guys have left the bar.)
Posted by: Dang at April 13, 2012 01:42 PM (Ky1+e)
Posted by: Killjoy at April 13, 2012 01:42 PM (ETgqz)
Posted by: Jumbo Jogging Shrimp's deep thoughts at April 13, 2012 01:42 PM (DGIjM)
102....Minor contrast with the Indonesian Imbecile's pathetic inauguration in which we were treated to such nuggets of wisdom and profundity as,
"Let us pray for the day ... when white will embrace what is right."
Nooo. ...Are you kidding me? He said that? .....Dear God. I didn't know. ....I was in deep mourning for our country on that day, and couldn't bear to watch any of it.
Posted by: wheatie at April 13, 2012 01:43 PM (+5U+B)
On the Obama vs. Carter....one thing I will say is that there is a big difference in, not only the demographics of the country now, but the absolute adoration and blind, sickening support of the Obamabots is the most unhinged thing I've ever witnessed. The feeling wasn't like that for Carter. Halle Barry would never have said that she'd pick up the styrofoam cups off the floor just to clear the path that Obama walked in...(and yeah, she said it).
Posted by: Lady in Black.....{sigh} at April 13, 2012 01:44 PM (tfw18)
Posted by: TexasJew at April 13, 2012 01:45 PM (Bughn)
@19 No, no, not "hit the road" ... "take the boat"
Can we just give him the old leper colony island in Hawaii and even build him Xanadu if he promises to stay there and never come back ... ?
Posted by: Stephen at April 13, 2012 01:45 PM (wkR3c)
Posted by: TexasJew at April 13, 2012 01:46 PM (Bughn)
NO.DUH.
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at April 13, 2012 01:46 PM (qfooS)
Can we just give him the old leper colony island in Hawaii and even build him Xanadu if he promises to stay there and never come back ... ?
Posted by: Stephen at April 13, 2012 05:45 PM (wkR3c)
i was thinking an island like Alcatraz
Posted by: The Jackhole at April 13, 2012 01:46 PM (nTgAI)
Just one point needs to be kept in mind:
Yes, Osama Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable traitor. And, yes, he has screwed up the economy almost beyond repair. He has sucked on the toes of terrorists around the world, and supported them against us. He is a criminal who should be in SuperMax somewhere. He's a racist prick, too.
But: he's black.
You don't need a record in that case. You can be worse than Al Sharpton, worse than Marion Berry, worse than Maxine Waters. You can despise the country that extended the ultimate affirmative action gifts to you.
He still wins.
I am not proud of the part of my country that buys this shit, but it will carry him across the line first again.
I devoutly wish to be proven wrong. I'm afraid I won't be.
Posted by: MrScribbler at April 13, 2012 01:47 PM (MQc8e)
Posted by: TexasJew at April 13, 2012 05:46 PM (Bughn)
no but asking for a tax extension for this year is tone deaf
Posted by: The Dude at April 13, 2012 01:48 PM (M8yfa)
Why isn't the Left the least bit upset at Obama for not closing Guantanamo prison?
(Which, btw, is the only good decision Obama ever made)
Obama promised he'd close the prison on his very first day. He said it many times during the campaign; the crowds cheered enthusiastically in response.
Posted by: Soothsayer at April 13, 2012 01:48 PM (84JKc)
Posted by: Killjoy at April 13, 2012 01:48 PM (ETgqz)
Posted by: TexasJew at April 13, 2012 01:48 PM (Bughn)
Posted by: Joe Biden at April 13, 2012 05:46 PM (ZY3Ap)
Hey, Slow Joe, when's the next Cracked Head Club meeting?
-- Gabby Giffords
Posted by: Gabby Giffords at April 13, 2012 01:48 PM (AxHOT)
TexasJew at April 13, 2012 05:46 PM
So do we really need to see Romney's tax statements since 1958?
*******************
Only if Obama produces his documents!
Posted by: Left Zinger at April 13, 2012 01:48 PM (ZY3Ap)
Posted by: And Irresolute at April 13, 2012 01:48 PM (RC3M9)
Posted by: wheatie at April 13, 2012 05:43 PM (+5U+B)
His despicable Rev buddy, Joseph Lowery, said it in the official inaugural benediction "prayer". It was pretty much high-school level work, in all. No mention of white-brown, though there were hopes that "brown can stick around" .. talking about OWS.
It was one of the more pathetic moments in all of recorded human history. Honestly.
Posted by: ThePrimordialOrderedPair at April 13, 2012 01:49 PM (X3lox)
Posted by: Stormy at April 13, 2012 01:50 PM (8Qaz1)
A lot can change between now and Nov 6.
I plan on staying sober on Election day (Hell the ABC stores are closed here anyway). Wed. Nov 7, however, may be the greatest celebration of our lives.
Posted by: Jimbo at April 13, 2012 01:50 PM (O3R/2)
I don't remember McCain ever really leading in the polls. ....Not by much, if he ever did.
I do remember when Barky's lead got to around 8 points, the stock market crashed.
Posted by: wheatie at April 13, 2012 01:50 PM (+5U+B)
The key swing states - Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Virginia are run by Republicans!
Go 3 for 4 on those states and you win.
Posted by: Fat Rush Limpcock at April 13, 2012 01:50 PM (z0HdK)
Posted by: Mel at April 13, 2012 05:47 PM (hXJOG)
Anyone following the Gibson-Esterhaus pissing match? Esterhaus is a POS himself, but if what he says is even remotely true, Mel is sick. Psycho sick
Posted by: Gabby Giffords at April 13, 2012 01:51 PM (AxHOT)
Posted by: Bosk at April 13, 2012 01:52 PM (n2K+4)
Posted by: Presdint Thin Skin & Lord of The 24-Hour News Cycle at April 13, 2012 01:53 PM (ETgqz)
Posted by: nerdygirl at April 13, 2012 01:55 PM (udnY3)
Posted by: Killjoy at April 13, 2012 01:55 PM (ETgqz)
Posted by: Fat Rush Limpcock at April 13, 2012 01:56 PM (z0HdK)
Posted by: nerdygirl at April 13, 2012 02:00 PM (udnY3)
Posted by: need to get to the sheeples at April 13, 2012 02:00 PM (HOOye)
Posted by: A White White versus a White Black candidate at April 13, 2012 02:04 PM (HOOye)
I'm not sure that scenario will hold, but that's what I think folks are looking at when they say Obama will win.
That said, let's NOT forget 2008.
Remember these?
1 - bitter clingers
2 - Rev. Wright
3 - selection of Joe Biden
4 - Joe the Plumber
After each of these, the blogosphere kept saying, "That's it, Obama is toast, he won't get elected."
The blogosphere was wrong then. I hope it's not wrong now.
Posted by: BeckoningChasm at April 13, 2012 02:05 PM (DuH+r)
And that question is, "How visually stunning and sharp are his pleats?" Granted, if I turn my head sideways and squint, I think I might see the essence of a whiff of a wrinkle, but I can't be sure. It's probably just a piece of lint in my eye. I'll still vote for him, but I'll be thinking about suggesting he try some different fabrics.
Posted by: David Brooks at April 13, 2012 02:05 PM (eHIJJ)
Posted by: Al Jolson at April 13, 2012 02:10 PM (ETgqz)
Posted by: Slow Joe Biden at April 13, 2012 02:11 PM (udnY3)
Posted by: nlynch at April 13, 2012 02:14 PM (NFChR)
Posted by: MrScribbler at April 13, 2012 05:47 PM (MQc8e)
Yes, but: unlike 2008, the 2012 election does not involve the unprecedented one-time historical event of electing the First Black President. The USA's been there, done that, got the t-shirt. Now Obama's just an incumbent like any other. OK, so he's black. But voting for him is no longer a vote that MAKES HISTORY. And voting against him is no longer a vote that puts you ON THE WRONG SIDE OF HISTORY. It's just a vote for/ against a POTUS who happens to black-- and happens to be a SCOAMF.
If the USA had to vote for Obama in 2008 to prove it wasn't racist, well, it proved it. You don't have to prove the same thing twice. Now the pressure is not on those who might be on "the wrong side of history" (if they vote the "wrong" way)-- but on those fools who might be taken for suckers, once again.
Posted by: lael at April 13, 2012 02:18 PM (8qlk3)
Posted by: Al Sharpton at April 13, 2012 02:22 PM (ETgqz)
Posted by: Random at April 13, 2012 02:43 PM (ieFeF)
Posted by: Greg at April 13, 2012 03:10 PM (J3Ovp)
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at April 13, 2012 04:03 PM (r4wIV)
There is no recession..... *waves hand
The economy is wonderful.... *waves hand
The mainstream media bias you seek is not present here... *waves hand
You will vote for me again... *waves hand...
You may continue complaining as if it makes any difference... *smiles
Posted by: Obama Wan Kenobi at April 13, 2012 04:03 PM (0dyYY)
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at April 13, 2012 08:03 PM (r4wIV)
I like the way you think. You Sir are a gentleman and a scholar.
Posted by: sunny black at April 13, 2012 04:05 PM (0dyYY)
Posted by: steevy at April 13, 2012 08:39 PM (7W3wI)
Posted by: G Hamilton at April 13, 2012 10:29 PM (vVYjf)
Posted by: NorthernX at April 14, 2012 05:02 AM (vzbCT)
Posted by: kevinw at April 14, 2012 09:27 AM (afIq/)
Ace,
If Obama were to contrive a rosy Hypothetical Future Scenario that his tried-&-true leadership will surely bring about if only American voters will grant him a second term: he would severely damage his already very difficult prospects for winning reelection.
Obama and his team know this. It's not just that he can't sell those tickets. It's that if he were to even try: Romney, the GOP at large, the Tea Party, and even the cast of Jersey Shore would ridicule him endlessly. And the whole nation would laugh because everybody would recognize the derision was in order.
Team Obama is pursuing the best strategy currently available: Obama is the compassionate populist protector of the weak; and Romney is the rich bad guy who will leave the little guy out in the cold to fend for himself.
- It ain't much. But it's all they've got.
Obama really only has a few hopes of pulling a second term out of his ass. From least likely to most likely:
1) The Romney campaign explodes in some unforeseeable way. His second and third wives finally step forward. Or those Super-8 movies shot in the 70's showing his passionate love for Disco are leaked. Etc.
2) Unbeknownst to the experts who poll and track such phenomena: the demographics of the country have finally crossed the Rubicon and it is all but impossible for a non-Nanny State Republican to win national election. The ranks of the Welfare State Takers combined with the ranks of Grievance Identity Politics Constituents have finally (and quite suddenly) swollen to such a size that their math can only rarely be overcome by facts and commonsense. That is essentially where Europe has been for decades.
Unfortunately, we too are heading in that direction. And while it is possible that we are already there, the 2010 elections indicate that it is very unlikely. And, as said, we would have expected Michael Barone or someone with his skill set and sagacity to have warned that the demographic micro-data are beginning to indicate that we might currently be on the cusp of such misfortune.
3) Some time in the next several months the economy shows unambiguous signs of robust growth.
Not: the numbers have gotten a little better than they currently are. - That would just indicate that the stink-ass economic "recovery" was just a little better than it was back in April.
No one's buying those tickets.
Obama needs something like: 4.8% average GDP where unemployment has fallen to at least 7.6% or less. And even then, he wouldn't be a lock.
But all bets would be off.
Would the American public believe that after four years of shit, that a few months of a pretty good economic data clearly moving in the right direction is worth giving Obama a second term? They just might.
Then again, they might not believe the numbers will hold. Or maybe they see the numbers, but they don't feel the recovery yet. (In part, that's what happened to Bush 41 against Clinton. Although, Perot was the larger factor.) Or Americans may have already made up their minds about this president, his performance, and the overall long-term shittiness of the economy. Even with the media cheerfully singing "Happy Days Are Here Again" based on unambiguously good economic numbers: the election could still go either way at that late hour.
Remember: Obama has a lot of other political liabilities slung around his neck. From scandals (Solyndra, Fast & Furious, GSA parties, etc.) to the hugely unpopular Obamacare to the harrowing Deficit/Debt Crisis to his all-but-naked politics of class-warfare divisiveness.
A pretty good economy starting to take shape a few months before the election might not cut it.
Anyway, there is currently no reason to believe that any of the above three scenarios is likely to play out for him. Though any of them could.
But if none of them do: it's bye-bye Obama, baby.
Posted by: _Dave_ at April 14, 2012 01:49 PM (2amQY)
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Posted by: fluffy at April 13, 2012 01:16 PM (O6q63)