Ace of Spades HQ

November 01, 2012

Romney Internal Poll: We're Up By One In Wisconsin
— Ace

I meant to link this as part of the last post, but I forgot, because my brain is stupid and filled with dumbness.

FL, VA, and CO are looking very solid for Romney. NV remains within reach for Romney, but favors Obama ever-so-slightly.
WI, MI, IA, PA seem to be closing well for Romney. In WI, internal GOP polling shows Romney with a 1 point lead and gaining steam.

Posted by: Ace at 01:49 PM | Comments (210)
Post contains 91 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Tuesday it is going to be ugly over at MSNBC....

Posted by: Crashpanic at November 01, 2012 01:50 PM (zU+ii)

2 Good news.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at November 01, 2012 01:51 PM (ZPrif)

3 I think the actual polling isn't as important as what Team Obama thinks it is. Every state they're forced to play defense on between now and Tuesday raises the odds that they let Romney rack up the election-winning 270 EVs, if not more. If the rantings of Denver's mayor are any indication, Team Obama is scared shitless of what's going on in Wisconsin.

Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at November 01, 2012 01:51 PM (e0xKF)

4 Ace borrowed AtC's stompyboots.

Posted by: BCochran1981 at November 01, 2012 01:51 PM (GEICT)

5 I hope this is a real internal poll and not an internal voice.

Posted by: mare at November 01, 2012 01:52 PM (A98Xu)

6 Stupid, stupid brain.

Posted by: D. R. Ainbough at November 01, 2012 01:52 PM (BgIBZ)

7 I posted this on the other thread. We'll know if Obama is sure he's going to lose. He'll give it away. Maybe his wife will. They're both too petulant to fake it.

Posted by: Othered at November 01, 2012 01:53 PM (EuW9O)

8 I wanna know which one of you morons ghost-wrote that LVRJ editorial.

Only thing missing was an SCOAMF reference.

We're seeing a few press types decide that the stench on Pennsylvania Avenue ain't just choom any longer, it's gonna come unglued one way or the other and it's time to get on the right side of history.

Posted by: JEM at November 01, 2012 01:53 PM (o+SC1)

9 What's red and blue and red all over?

Wednesday's electoral map!

Posted by: Uncle Mikey at November 01, 2012 01:53 PM (8qoXL)

10 Hubby on a call with Romney today. (Yes, seriously!) Things sound promising. VOTE!

Posted by: LASue at November 01, 2012 01:54 PM (gjIQF)

11 Even the internal polls can't gauge enthusiasm and last minute deciders I would think. Anywho, that WI is doable is a good thing.

Posted by: eureka! at November 01, 2012 01:54 PM (UL+ny)

12 I want video of the "hail Obama" rally.

Posted by: Hopeless at November 01, 2012 01:54 PM (RFl8c)

13 There has been zero to change the ground in wisconsin since Walker's victories over last 2 years. They were close but they were enough. I hope that Romney is concentrating on the id'd redzones that helped Walker win.

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 01, 2012 01:54 PM (QxSug)

14 8 I posted this on the other thread. We'll know if Obama is sure he's going to lose. He'll give it away. Maybe his wife will. They're both too petulant to fake it. --- I expect Moochelle to do the Happy Dance because they'll be movin' on up to a giant mansion in Hawaii on Penny Pritzker's dime.

Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at November 01, 2012 01:54 PM (e0xKF)

15 So Ohio's done? O for O. Oh no.

Posted by: occam's brassiere at November 01, 2012 01:55 PM (GSete)

16 I hope this is a real internal poll and not an internal voice.

Posted by: mare at November 01, 2012 05:52 PM (A98Xu)

------------------------------------

It's Ace. We never know for sure.

Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2012 01:55 PM (16B11)

>>my brain is stupid and filled with dumbness.

Must be contageous, because that describes my week.

Posted by: Mama AJ, still in pain from a pumpkin accident yesterday at November 01, 2012 01:55 PM (SUKHu)

18 Of course, leaked internal polls aren't worth a lot. But I'll take what I can get.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at November 01, 2012 01:55 PM (ZPrif)

19 Ergo, we should win Wi even with competent levels of GOP GOTV and Presidential candidate. With Mitt...we should get Wi by 2.

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 01, 2012 01:56 PM (QxSug)

20 I'm not even going to bother typing a comment because y'all'll abandon the threat before I finish.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 01, 2012 01:56 PM (ZKzrr)

21 The meltdown of wipeouts this Tuesday? Bringing the pop! Boo-yeah.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 01, 2012 01:56 PM (HiC8z)

22 Let's see, election night will start with ... what? Florida and VA and NC going RED. Ma will show very disappointing Obama numbers, giving Sen seat back to brown. After that? Discouraged lefty voters don't even leave the house.

Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at November 01, 2012 01:57 PM (QxSug)

23 After Walker being elected twice in 2 years and their Legislature Rep. not to mention Paul Ryan being the VP nomination, how in Gods green Earth is it even close?

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 01, 2012 01:57 PM (9+ccr)

24 Wait For Heather You Guys!!!

Posted by: Dept. Of Accuracy Dept. at November 01, 2012 01:58 PM (+I8Mq)

25 I think I need to go to Home Depot for another pudding bucket.

Posted by: jakeman at November 01, 2012 01:58 PM (96M6e)

26 We'll deliver WI. I will stick to my +6 call. Walker would be out campaigning real hard for Romney if there was a need IMO.

Hoping that we can also boot the batshit crazy Gwen Moore out as the redistricted Congressional rep for the Northshore. Dan Sebring has been running a great ad here for awhile.

Posted by: H Badger at November 01, 2012 01:58 PM (n/0Nw)

27 how in Gods green Earth is it even close?

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 01, 2012 05:57 PM (9+ccr)

Same day registration. People have filmed busloads of Chicago voters crossing the border.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at November 01, 2012 01:58 PM (AD7g/)

28 24 Well, Obama is magical... So magical that you better say you like him. If you know what's good for you.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 01:59 PM (aSf5o)

29 @25 I think we might be

Posted by: occam's brassiere at November 01, 2012 01:59 PM (GSete)

30 America just wasn't ready for Barack Obama.

Posted by: Chris Matthews at November 01, 2012 01:59 PM (/YJYi)

31 Obama said he would shave his pussy if he loses Wisconsin.

Posted by: Craig Poe at November 01, 2012 01:59 PM (BVkEs)

32 My internal poll was leaking but I had it stitched up and laid off KFC

Posted by: Dept. Of Accuracy Dept. at November 01, 2012 01:59 PM (+I8Mq)

33 Same day registration. People have filmed busloads of Chicago voters crossing the border.

I hope the ground game and poll watchers are on top of this...

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 01, 2012 02:00 PM (9+ccr)

34 I just saw that Obama went up narrowly over Romney in the RCP average. Because that's an average, it's a lagging indicator. I knew that Sandy and Chris Christie had swung momentum back to Obama with mushy swing voters, and this confirmed it. Everyone's got their head stuck in their ass complimenting ourselves on where we were a week ago. The ground's changed. We're losing.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:00 PM (SKX2R)

35
The one thing I do like about Romney is a month or so ago he told everybody to remain calm and he was right, and now with the late day angst he is doing it again.

Remain calm. We are in much better shape than the other side.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 01, 2012 02:00 PM (PHb2k)

36 I'm about to add 3 million jobs tomorrow. Suckas!!!

Posted by: Household Survey at November 01, 2012 02:00 PM (5Ok9+)

37 When I roll up to the parking lot of my voting precinct early Tues. morning, the dawn will be underway. I can't wait. I'd shoot my way through a hundred NBP shitters just to cast that ballot.

Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2012 02:00 PM (16B11)

38 They just said Hopey changey is over 50% on job approval on The Five? Thanks Christie Creme you jackass

Posted by: ConcealedKerry Or SubMitt at November 01, 2012 02:00 PM (USQpp)

39 Where is our resident cock gobbler Gerg? I miss the sorry shit eating, butt fucking, turd tamping, son of a bitch.

Posted by: maddogg at November 01, 2012 02:00 PM (OlN4e)

40 3 Obama said he would shave his pussy if he loses Wisconsin.

Posted by: Craig Poe at November 01, 2012 05:59 PM (BVkEs)

Oooooh...DIBS!!!

Posted by: Andrew Sullivan at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (CfGGV)

41 33 I thought he said he would eat a dog.

(But that doesn't really make much sense.)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (aSf5o)

42 24, Welfare recipients, public sector union members, and large amounts of ballot box stuffing in D strongholds for years.

Posted by: Hopeless at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (RFl8c)

43 America just wasn't ready for ~~Barack Obama.~~ suicide.
Posted by: Chris Matthews at November 01, 2012 05:59 PM

Now accurate

Posted by: Dept. Of Accuracy Dept. at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (+I8Mq)

44 Hoping that we can also boot the batshit crazy Gwen Moore out as the redistricted Congressional rep for the Northshore. Dan Sebring has been running a great ad here for awhile.

I think Sebring is awesome, but his district was drawn so that no white person would ever represent it again.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (ZKzrr)

45 I don't think we are writing off Ohio. Kasich seemed pretty confident of a win there...

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (9+ccr)

46 Landslide

Posted by: runninrebel at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (HonRE)

The home phone here in NC got 5 calls today, like every day. Mostly RNC, and the others hung up when the answering machine picked up, but they're usually RNC, too..

The R&R campaign is taking nothing for granted.

NOTHING. FOR. GRANTED.

Posted by: Tobacco Road at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (4Mv1T)

48 Going to need more than that to overcome the margin of fraud. Someone I know just sent me this email he got from a co-worker, sent to the entire company: "If you have peeps who have difficulty with or cannot stand in line, they will bring the ballots out to you, curbside. Evidently this is State law. http://www.pdcouncil.state.wi.us/voting2.htm A friend of mine was going to stand in a long line with her mother at the City/County building downtown Madison and they told she could go out and get in her car. They brought the ballots out. Now go vote!"

Posted by: Jack Hammer at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (JHbj+)

49 OT - Just an 'accident' they say. The fuel tanker explodes near the Saudi National Guard. Kills 23 and collapses a building. But just an accident.

http://tinyurl.com/bencnpy

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (HiC8z)

50 Ok that was a shitty 5 days with no power or cable. I'm afraid to ask whats up in the world.

Posted by: Berserker at November 01, 2012 02:01 PM (FMbng)

51 Well done Samwise, well done!

Posted by: Jon at November 01, 2012 02:02 PM (/YJYi)

52 This Romney ad will be playing at gas stations around the country.... http://tinyurl.com/az7b4l6

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 01, 2012 02:02 PM (DGIjM)

53 33 Obama said he would shave his pussy if he loses Wisconsin. AGAIN with the pubic hair grooming. And, apparently, shaved is frowned upon here.

Posted by: BCochran1981 at November 01, 2012 02:02 PM (GEICT)

If Romney is up that much in Blue states, why shouldn't he be up farther in RED states. I just cannot see R/R losing Ohio. Or WI, NH, and IA.

MN will be tough. But we are a lot closer than 2008. And people are Pissed Off! I do not know if we have enough to overcome the brain-dead urban scandi government worker folks though.

Posted by: Landslide zone? There are signs out there at November 01, 2012 02:02 PM (zLp5I)

55 So does that mean we're winning? Or is it still all about Oiho?

Posted by: bitchka at November 01, 2012 02:03 PM (X0lLi)

56 51 The Religion of Accidents.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:03 PM (aSf5o)

57 Bloomberg: Dumbf*ck. He's endorsing SCoaMF because of how he handled Sandy. LOL If that's NOT transparent, what is.

Posted by: 5 days at November 01, 2012 02:03 PM (LpQbZ)

58 Romney to campaign in PA Pennsylvania on Sunday, per The Hill. <i>The Romney campaign would not disclose where in the Keystone State the candidate would be appearing.</i> http://tinyurl.com/aszdkg4

Posted by: Baldy at November 01, 2012 02:03 PM (opS9C)

59 @47 The Buckeye state is conspicuous by its absence in Romney's internal roll call. Not good.

Posted by: occam's brassiere at November 01, 2012 02:04 PM (GSete)

60 He's endorsing SCoaMF because of how he handled Sandy. LOL If that's NOT transparent, what is.

Posted by: 5 days at November 01, 2012 06:03 PM (LpQbZ)

Good because the natives are starting to get restless in the disaster zone so they can blame obama...

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 01, 2012 02:04 PM (9+ccr)

61 Well done Samwise, well done! Posted by: Jon at November 01, 2012 06:02 PM (/YJYi) *wave

Posted by: 5 days at November 01, 2012 02:04 PM (LpQbZ)

62 If any buses carrying fraudulent voters from Chicago and Minneapolis get pulled over by Wisconsin State Troopers for legitimate reasons, will the Democrats bring charges of voter suppression against the Walker administration?

Posted by: davidt at November 01, 2012 02:04 PM (8/bPb)

63 Er, Ohio? 36 I have worried about the same thing ever since the whole thing broke. I don't think Sandy in and of itself would have done it, but Christie may have been the straw that broke the camel's back. Still I am trying to stay positive and keep calm and carry on.

Posted by: Tickled Pink at November 01, 2012 02:04 PM (guSVk)

64 We're losing.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 06:00 PM (SKX2R)

The Eagles should have left you on that mountain.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 01, 2012 02:05 PM (z1N6a)

thank you for taking down the picture of Helen Thomas. Who's the ugly guy with the red hair that's there now? Is that Greg?

Posted by: mallfly at November 01, 2012 02:05 PM (jDjlM)

66 Tuesday it is going to be ugly over at MSNBC.... Posted by: Crashpanic at November 01, 2012 05:50 PM (zU+ii) I'll be drunk, chased with pots of coffee to stay up all night to watch the show.

Posted by: 5 days at November 01, 2012 02:05 PM (LpQbZ)

67 Debbie WS is only a slight improvement in the sidebar. And by slight I mean I'd hit her with a Mack truck as opposed to a bulldozer

Posted by: Sophistahick at November 01, 2012 02:05 PM (91TGs)

68 Per prior thread, I have Romney at 341. I also have a cat who likes scallops and swordfish in a creamy mushroom sauce.

Posted by: SFGoth at November 01, 2012 02:05 PM (dZ756)

69 #61, I listened to lifelong Ohioan on Hannity today Bill Cunningham the radio guy and he said Romney would win and he gave some good reasons why.

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 01, 2012 02:05 PM (9+ccr)

70 For what its worth, Bill Cunningham is now saying Ohio is in the bag for Romney. He seemed certain.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 01, 2012 02:06 PM (UypUQ)

71 but I forgot, because my brain is stupid and filled with dumbness. You read me!!! You, really, really--read me!!

Posted by: Nate Silver! at November 01, 2012 02:06 PM (r2PLg)

72 72 Well, are you going to share?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:07 PM (aSf5o)

73 Ohio is looking good. The dems depend upon early voting to rack up their numbers, then lose ground all day election day. They are down 150,000 votes from 2008 levels, and three days of rain haven't helped. I don't believe they have enough time to recoup those losses.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at November 01, 2012 02:07 PM (AD7g/)

74 Worrywarts gotta worry

Posted by: runninrebel at November 01, 2012 02:07 PM (HonRE)

75 #61, I listened to lifelong Ohioan on Hannity today Bill Cunningham the radio guy and he said Romney would win and he gave some good reasons why.
---
..beaten like one of Bobby Menedez's hookers who owes their pimp $400.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 01, 2012 02:07 PM (UypUQ)

76 Worrywarts gotta worry

Posted by: runninrebel at November 01, 2012 06:07 PM (HonRE)

At least Ace has the manic spells between the down periods.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 01, 2012 02:08 PM (z1N6a)

77 >>>Er, Ohio? >>>36 >>>I have worried about the same thing ever since the whole thing broke. I don't think Sandy in and of itself would have done it, but Christie may have been the straw that broke the camel's back. >>>Still I am trying to stay positive and keep calm and carry on. >>>Posted by: Tickled Pink at November 01, 2012 06:04 PM That's all one can do. Although I have to admit hating Chris Christie with a never-ending intensity makes the list of things to do as well.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:08 PM (SKX2R)

78 Does anyone have naked pictures of DWS, besides Anthony Weiner? If we have to look at her, at least we wouldn't have to look at her face.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at November 01, 2012 02:08 PM (AD7g/)

79 This might help for Colorado:

http://tinyurl.com/aa4dwau

(sex scandal!! titties!!)

Posted by: jwb7605 at November 01, 2012 02:08 PM (Qxe/p)

80 I see the MOBY is back. Solyndra Green for you.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 01, 2012 02:08 PM (HiC8z)

81 77 Depends. How quickly can a Democrat steal votes?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:08 PM (aSf5o)

82 MSNBC on Election night: The panel all in black tracksuits and white Nikes.

Posted by: DangerGirl (@deadlyestrogen) at November 01, 2012 02:09 PM (GrtrJ)

83 75 72

Well, are you going to share?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 06:07 PM (aSf5o)

I was in the car so I didn't get it all, but he said Ohio is not a liberal State. The other thing I heard was there is a large Catholic community there and the Clergy are telling them every Sunday in their sermons to vote Romney. Sorry, didn't hear it all...

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 01, 2012 02:09 PM (9+ccr)

84 jwb7605, the current code phrase for the boobehs is 'baby lambs'

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 01, 2012 02:10 PM (HiC8z)

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 01, 2012 06:01 PM (HiC8z)

If they blame it on foreign national booze smugglers, then you know it is Al-Qaeda.

Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at November 01, 2012 02:10 PM (zLp5I)

86 Nevada Early Vote Update (12th day of 14) After the 12th day of early voting, the Democrats have a lead of 40K raw voter numbers over Republicans; this shrinks to less than 37K when absentees that have been turned-in already are included. After ten day of early voting in 2008, the Democrats had an advantage of 70K in Clark County. The Democrats raw vote advantage is down 77% in Clark County from 2008, though the total number of votes has increased by about 15%, relative to four years ago. This results in a 67% reduction in their vote advantage compared to 2008 for early voting. Absentees are coming in at about 15% of the early votes. At this 67% reduction in advantage for the Democrats, their projected early vote lead will be about 13.6%, or about 62K in Clark County. Assuming that early votes are about 70% of the total vote, and with an 80% turnout, this would give a lead for the Democrats in Clark County at about 75K Washoe county continues to trend towards being an overall wash (pun intended) with a less than 1000 vote difference between Republicans and Democrats. The strong GOP turnout amongst the rural counties id the only thing that is blunting the Democratic raw vote advantage in Clark County of about 54K. With Washoe coming in about even, and the rural counties coming in at perhaps 25K in favor of the Republicans total, this would result in the Democrats having a raw vote lead of 50K. With an 80% turnout, this would result in a lead for Obama of just over 5%. This is good news for Sen. Dean Heller, who has been polling 4-6% ahead of Auton-American Shelley Berkley (D Â– Nestene Consiousness). All of the above assumes that 2012 trends like in 2008 (with Democrat vote advantage shrunk to 67%, and 115% of the early voters). If the last two days for early voting are decent for the Republicans, the projected raw vote lead of 50K could shrink. This also does not take into account a potential increase in absentee ballots, which donÂ’t have to be in until election day, and would almost certainly benefit the Republicans, who have an edge in absentee ballots in and reported of over 3000 votes. An improvement in the ground game on election day would further narrow the Democrats raw voter lead. At that point, who get what percent of each parties or independents vote starts to really matter. More: http://politicalhat.com/?p=423

Posted by: The Political Hat at November 01, 2012 02:10 PM (XvHmy)

I think there should be an ugly Democrat woman Halloween picture every day. Make it a new Ace of Spades tradition.

You'll certainly never run out of pictures.

Posted by: LGoPs at November 01, 2012 02:10 PM (4x8W0)

88 Groping a woman's breasts isn't a crime. It's not immoral. There's a lot wrong when it comes to the culture of groping a woman's breasts in this country.

Posted by: Sammy at November 01, 2012 02:10 PM (/YJYi)

89 Depends. How quickly can a Democrat steal votes?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 06:08 PM (aSf5o)

Assume $5,000 per busload, maybe 40 voters per. They don't have the time or the money to steal enough votes.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at November 01, 2012 02:10 PM (AD7g/)

90 I once heard radio host Bill Cunningham discuss taints with a sex therapist for 15 minutes.

Posted by: Othered at November 01, 2012 02:10 PM (EuW9O)

91 No offense, I don't trust internal poll "leaks". They are usually bullshit just to pump up the base.

Posted by: DeusExMachina at November 01, 2012 02:11 PM (6RTwM)

92 86 Well, trying to "abort" the Church was probably not one of Obama's wisest moves (and that's saying something.)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:11 PM (aSf5o)

93 Tuesday it is going to be ugly over at MSNBC....
Posted by: Crashpanic at November 01, 2012 05:50 PM (zU+ii)

I'll be drunk, chased with pots of coffee to stay up all night to watch the show.

Posted by: 5 days at November 01, 2012 06:05 PM (LpQbZ)

Let's not count chickens..... we know how the Dems play it. In Florida, theyre already agitating to have early voting extended to Sunday. Just get out and vote the shit out of it.

Assuming it turns out as we hope, some enterprising individual should put together a greatest hits montage of MSNBC. My only regret would be that Keefums is no longer there.

Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2012 02:11 PM (HqXYa)

94 87 jwb7605, the current code phrase for the boobehs is 'baby lambs'

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 01, 2012 06:10 PM (HiC8z)

I'll give that one a shot with the wife.

Posted by: jwb7605 at November 01, 2012 02:11 PM (Qxe/p)

I just saw that Obama went up narrowly over Romney in the RCP average.

Because that's an average, it's a lagging indicator.

I knew that Sandy and Chris Christie had swung momentum back to Obama with mushy swing voters, and this confirmed it.

Everyone's got their head stuck in their ass complimenting ourselves on where we were a week ago. The ground's changed.

We're losing.

----------

Honest to god, I'd rather have Greg.

Posted by: Rich at November 01, 2012 02:12 PM (arczc)

96 Ras has Ohio 50-48 Romney. Good enough for me. Unfortunately, he also has Brown winning. Ras has also been cautious this cycle. I think he's underestimating R turnout, but that's only a gut feeling. Ignore all "University" polls. They're done on the cheap and there is no harm to them if they're wrong. A real polling firm has actual clients that pay real money for their surveys.

Posted by: AmishDude at November 01, 2012 02:12 PM (T0NGe)

97 Romney has a terrific GOTV operation. Election day I will be in my precinct checking off voters who come in and relaying to team Mitt. Then to courthouse to watch and report the returns. Any shenanigans and the lawyers get a call.
Go vote and take someone with, Get grandma in the nursing home a ballot or an unengaged friend or relative, Nothing to chance.......FINISH!

Posted by: ConcealedKerry Or SubMitt at November 01, 2012 02:12 PM (USQpp)

98 Christie is just trying to drag Obama over the finish line so he can run for prez in 2016.

He knows that Romney/Ryan winning will shut him out completely. After Romney, it's Ryan and Ace's boyfriend from Florida. And maybe Jindal after that.

Posted by: Uncle Mikey at November 01, 2012 02:12 PM (8qoXL)

99 No offense, I don't trust internal poll "leaks". They are usually bullshit just to pump up the base.

Posted by: DeusExMachina at November 01, 2012 06:11 PM (6RTwM)

Or true, to pump up the base.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 01, 2012 02:12 PM (z1N6a)

100 Honest to god, I'd rather have Greg.

Posted by: Rich at November 01, 2012 06:12 PM (arczc)

I agree... Nice try though...

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 01, 2012 02:12 PM (9+ccr)

101 The other thing- if Obama was really leading, would he be pushing out new, seemingly centrist ideas like a Sec of Business with less than a week to go? He has been pushing hard left much of the campaign, except for the debates when he lies, now they come up with this last minute idea? They know they are behind.

Posted by: Baldy at November 01, 2012 02:13 PM (opS9C)

102 but I forgot, because my brain is stupid and filled with dumbness.
---
Looks like you will fit in just fine in my new administration. Have your people call my people next week after I have this thing sewn up.

Posted by: Barak Obama at November 01, 2012 02:13 PM (84pE9)

103 I guess President Laurel and Governor Hardy achieved their goals.

Posted by: Craig Poe at November 01, 2012 02:13 PM (BVkEs)

104 I actually believe Chris Christie might be lining himself up for a party switch, to run for the top of the Democratic ticket. Buttressed perhaps by a term as Holder's replacement at AG.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:13 PM (SKX2R)

105

Somebody strapped a rocket motor on her back and a couple of Hellfire missiles under her arms and Helen Thomas is now orbiting somewhere over the Middle East. In her new role as Predator Crone.

A sign of America's new resolve.

And crowds are running in fear in all directions. Like in those old Godzilla movies.

Posted by: LGoPs at November 01, 2012 02:14 PM (4x8W0)

106 Christie is just trying to drag Obama over the finish line so he can run for prez in 2016.

He knows that Romney/Ryan winning will shut him out completely. After Romney, it's Ryan and Ace's boyfriend from Florida. And maybe Jindal after that.

Posted by: Uncle Mikey at November 01, 2012 06:12 PM (8qoXL)

If Christie's word was law to 10 million people, he'd be running for President himself.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 01, 2012 02:14 PM (z1N6a)

107
Nah, if Mitt loses, Christie loses.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 01, 2012 02:14 PM (PHb2k)

108 I know this is a lot to ask, but I see lots of you predicting a Romney win, if not a blowout. Can someone provide a breakdown of who gets what state?

Posted by: BCochran1981 at November 01, 2012 02:14 PM (GEICT)

109 Mittens will take PA, OH, and MI too.

Posted by: Truck Monkey at November 01, 2012 02:14 PM (jucos)

110 98 Nah. This chap works harder for his money.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:14 PM (aSf5o)

111 4 That was me, JDP. Basically, what 94 just said sums up what I think about internal polls. If you're trumping internal polls, it's because the actual polls aren't going very well for you.

I know as well as everyone else here that the D/R/I splits have been screwy (to say the least) on the majority of these state polls, but the fact that nobody but Ras has shown a Romney lead in IA, WI, PA or OH has me very, very nervous,

Posted by: GOPPartyReptile at November 01, 2012 02:15 PM (j9FqA)

112

I mean it only takes a dumbass to just spew the stuff Samwise spews. "The RCP average has changed." Of course, a half-way intelligent person might wonder why that is beyond just noticing a change and then equating that to "losing." Maybe, ITS BECAUSE FUCKING GALLUP HASNT RELEASED A POLL THIS WEEK.

No, that can't be it. WE'RE LOSING!!!!!!!!

Posted by: Rich at November 01, 2012 02:15 PM (arczc)

113 There should be a Republican, preferably a Republican lawyer, in every Dem polling place in America.

Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2012 02:15 PM (HqXYa)

114 107 Should have changes your name first...

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:15 PM (aSf5o)

115 >>>Christie is just trying to drag Obama over the finish line so he can run for prez in 2016. Yes, on the Dem ticket, after ingratiating himself to Democrats by faithfully serving Obama for four years ... and by swinging the election there way at the last minute as well.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:15 PM (SKX2R)

116 Nah, if Mitt loses, Christie loses.

-----

And if Mitt wins, Christie still loses.

Posted by: Craig Poe at November 01, 2012 02:15 PM (BVkEs)

117 *their

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:16 PM (SKX2R)

118 I know as well as everyone else here that the D/R/I splits have been screwy (to say the least) on the majority of these state polls, but the fact that nobody but Ras has shown a Romney lead in IA, WI, PA or OH has me very, very nervous,

Posted by: GOPPartyReptile at November 01, 2012 06:15 PM (j9FqA)

Both the Obama and Romney campaigns are acting like the bad D/R/I polls are crap. Follow the money - big player time is precious.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 01, 2012 02:16 PM (z1N6a)

119 119 Yeah, I'm sure that would work...

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:17 PM (aSf5o)

120 Oh my God make it stop!

Posted by: Adam at November 01, 2012 02:17 PM (/YJYi)

121 I'm telling you, NM is going to be a hell of a lot closer than anyone thinks. RR have a darned good chance of winning.

Early voting and absentee voting are way down in Albuquerque--where the JEF racked up almost a 60k vote advantage on a 60/40 split in a state he won by 80k. It was 52/47 to Kerry when Bush won NM.

Posted by: RoyalOil at November 01, 2012 02:17 PM (imtbm)

122 I think that axelrod has upgraded our daily troll. He is sort of logical, and only brings the not so great news.

Posted by: Interesting? at November 01, 2012 02:17 PM (zLp5I)

123 And if Mitt wins, Christie still loses.

Posted by: Craig Poe at November 01, 2012 06:15 PM (BVkEs)

Loses weight? Let's hope so, cause that boy is HUGE. I saw the picture of him and Obama walking down the beach. It looked like the number 10 coming at me.

Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2012 02:17 PM (HqXYa)

124 Yes, on the Dem ticket, after ingratiating himself to Democrats by faithfully serving Obama for four years ... and by swinging the election there way at the last minute as well.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 06:15 PM (SKX2R)

Democrats and Gratitude don't go together. Hell, ask the Clintons.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 01, 2012 02:18 PM (z1N6a)

125

Yes, on the Dem ticket, after ingratiating himself to Democrats by faithfully serving Obama for four years ... and by swinging the election there way at the last minute as well.

------

Does this seem plausible to anyone else? Of course not. No Democrat is going to vote for a man who made himself famous by posting youtube videos of himself ripping teachers and teachers unions. Only a dumbass would think otherwise.

Posted by: Rich at November 01, 2012 02:18 PM (arczc)

126 >>>He knows that Romney/Ryan winning will shut him out completely. After Romney, it's Ryan and Ace's boyfriend from Florida. And maybe Jindal after that. >>>Posted by: Uncle Mikey at November 01, 2012 06:12 PM Yup.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:18 PM (SKX2R)

127 Yeah, Christie is gearing up to switch parties. Because the momentum is so obviously with the Dem Party.

He's also going to get into shape come Jan 1.

Posted by: runninrebel at November 01, 2012 02:19 PM (HonRE)

128 You know, this hurricane may actually hurt Obama. There's no gas. There are fistfights in gas lines in NY and NJ. It reminds me of Carter.

Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2012 02:20 PM (HqXYa)

129 128 Teachers and teachers unions? But what do they have to do with the Democrat party?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:20 PM (aSf5o)

130 Loses weight? Let's hope so, cause that boy is HUGE. I saw the picture of him and Obama walking down the beach. It looked like the number 10 coming at me.

Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2012 06:17 PM (HqXYa)

---

You'd think the tailor could make a jacket long enough to cover Christie's Kardashian 2.0 ass.

Posted by: Craig Poe at November 01, 2012 02:20 PM (BVkEs)

131 129 You have to try to seem more concerned...

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:21 PM (aSf5o)

132

Teachers and teachers unions? But what do they have to do with the Democrat party?

------

Samwise apparently thinks nothing. He seems to think that Democrats would happily vote for a man who has spent the last 3 years doing nothing but targetting them as the bad guys and the reason the world sucks. Because everyone know Teachers Unions are an arm of the Republican Party.

Posted by: Rich at November 01, 2012 02:21 PM (arczc)

133 I just hope we can get this outside of the recount margin. My heart can't stand much more of these Wisconsin nail-biters.

Posted by: mama winger voted double for Paul Ryan at November 01, 2012 02:22 PM (P6QsQ)

134 Don't forget the wild cards of Nikki Haley or Susana Martinez, Allen West....maybe even Rand Paul. Chris Christie is WAY down the line

Posted by: Tickled Pink at November 01, 2012 02:22 PM (guSVk)

135 >>>He's also going to get into shape come Jan 1. lol That's pretty funny. But it's also part of Christie's motive. He knows he doesn't have the health to be competitive for the Presidency much into the future, after two terms of Romney in office, and one or two of either Ryan or Jindahl. So he's got to make his move now, and the fact that he hates Romney for passing him over as veep is eating away at his emotional little heart. Whether Christie's plan will succeed or not is irrelevant. His last plan to be put on the path to the White House didn't succeed either. He's going for it.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:22 PM (SKX2R)

136 135 They're an integral part of the Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy! (And Leftists aren't prone to pettiness or holding grudges in the least.)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:23 PM (aSf5o)

137 ‏This guys timeline is worth going through @HawkinsUSA RAS has WI a tie. Mar has Obama up 8. Clinton going to WI tonight. Obama going tomorrow with 5 days to go. Which poll do YOU think is right? @HawkinsUSA Say what you want, but the battle right now was "supposed" to be over FL, NC, VA, and OH. But it's for WI, IA, OH, NV, NH, and CO

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 01, 2012 02:23 PM (DGIjM)

138 #114...I agree. Too many pollyanna's give me a headache. When you start seeing the "leaked Internal Polls" stuff you better be careful. Cross fingers and work our butts off in the next few days to GOTV. But damned am I in need of some Xanax.

Posted by: DeusExMachina at November 01, 2012 02:23 PM (6RTwM)

139 But it's also part of Christie's motive. He knows he doesn't have the health to be competitive for the Presidency much into the future

At his weight, he'd drop dead on the campaign trail. He needs bariatric surgery.

Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2012 02:24 PM (HqXYa)

140
BCochran1981, you can do your own war gaming at 270 to win dot com.

*now puts on ghetto accent*

iffen I hear some G talk about the crakker RCP avg, I am gonna slap a bitch. That thing aint no count with includdin da man o nipulated polls.

*accent off*

I denounce myself.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 01, 2012 02:24 PM (PHb2k)

141 138 Some men need power to be happy. Others will settle for a doughnut. MOAR CONCERN!

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:25 PM (aSf5o)

142 Oh, Gee! Jim Baker is on Fox. I know inside the party the man is almost venerated, but please,..... go away.

Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2012 02:25 PM (HqXYa)

143 Anyway, I'm spitballing. Romney has expanded the map and perhaps his previous momentum and the natural tendency of late breakers to go for change is enough to carry him over. But momentum has shifted back to the President with low-info voters somewhat because of Chris Christie and Obama's stupid bomber jacket antics and the media's loving-Obama Sandy coverage, etc.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:25 PM (SKX2R)

144 137 Don't forget the wild cards of Nikki Haley or Susana Martinez, Allen West....maybe even Rand Paul.

Chris Christie is WAY down the line

Posted by: Tickled Pink at November 01, 2012 06:22 PM (guSVk)

---

I just wanted to throw Kelly Ayotte into the mix.

Posted by: Craig Poe at November 01, 2012 02:26 PM (BVkEs)

145 But seriously guys, why wasn't Ohio mentioned? That operation is way too tight to make a mistake like that, and they are sharp enough to know that an omission like Ohio would get picked up and speculated upon.

Posted by: Tickled Pink at November 01, 2012 02:27 PM (guSVk)

146
Yeah thats the ticket, Christie caused the hurricane just to make a political move.

pfffffftt.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 01, 2012 02:27 PM (PHb2k)

147 146 The only thing left to do now is to drink the Kool-Aid. You first. (You need it more.)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:28 PM (aSf5o)

148 But momentum has shifted back to the President with low-info voters somewhat because of Chris Christie and Obama's stupid bomber jacket antics

---------------

Yeah, I was undecided, kind of maybe leaning towards Romney but not really sure. Then I caught a glimpse of Obama in a bomber jacket and that did it for me. Undecided no more. Obama all the way.

Posted by: mama winger voted double for Paul Ryan at November 01, 2012 02:28 PM (P6QsQ)

149 >>>Yeah thats the ticket, Christie caused the hurricane just to make a political move. That is a dumb comment. Taking advantage of a political opportunity does not equal "causing".

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:29 PM (SKX2R)

150 151 He's got insane Hussainmentum!

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:29 PM (aSf5o)

151
Yeah, I was undecided, kind of maybe leaning towards Romney but not really sure. Then I caught a glimpse of Obama in a bomber jacket and that did it for me. Undecided no more. Obama all the way.

Posted by: mama winger voted double for Paul Ryan at November 01, 2012 06:28 PM (P6QsQ)

-----

Obama had me when he called his beard 'sweetie'.

Posted by: Doogie Howler at November 01, 2012 02:31 PM (BVkEs)

152 152 Leftists would never take advantage of a political opportunity, now, would they? What about a trolling opportunity?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:31 PM (aSf5o)

153 61 @47 The Buckeye state is conspicuous by its absence in Romney's internal roll call. Not good. Posted by: occam's brassiere at November 01, 2012 06:04 PM (GSete) Ohio is not absent! It's there in the link if you actually bother to click it and read the entire post at Campaign Spot. It's considered "too close to call" which is exactly where we've been for a while now. I love everyone freaking out because Ace didn't quote the entire post. Also, if Obama got a bounce yesterday from the hurricane, it'll be gone by Tuesday. Bounces, by definition, don't last. All the issues that really matter to voters are going to decide this election next week. We're going to win or lose based on them.

Posted by: Ryan West at November 01, 2012 02:31 PM (Mfh0J)

154 Do I sound eyeorish to you? I have OVERestimated GOP performance in each of the last 3 elections. And sites like this have way, way overestimated it.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:31 PM (SKX2R)

155 157 Tragic.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:33 PM (aSf5o)

156 148 But seriously guys, why wasn't Ohio mentioned? That operation is way too tight to make a mistake like that, and they are sharp enough to know that an omission like Ohio would get picked up and speculated upon. Posted by: Tickled Pink at November 01, 2012 06:27 PM (guSVk) Click the link. Ohio is mentioned and still considered too close to call. Ace choose not to include that in his quote.

Posted by: Ryan West at November 01, 2012 02:33 PM (Mfh0J)

157

Do I sound eyeorish to you?

I have OVERestimated GOP performance in each of the last 3 elections.

And sites like this have way, way overestimated it.

------

You sound like someone talking out of his ass, just making shit up and passing it off like you have inside info. Things like "So he's got to make his move now, and the fact that he hates Romney for passing him over as veep is eating away at his emotional little heart." Just completely pulled that out of thin air to try and cobble together an obviously stupid theory that fails on its face.

Posted by: Rich at November 01, 2012 02:33 PM (arczc)

158 I know this is a lot to ask, but I see lots of you predicting a Romney win, if not a blowout. Can someone provide a breakdown of who gets what state?

Posted by: BCochran1981 at November 01, 2012 06:14 PM (GEICT)

----------------------------------------------

Just start at 50 states for Mitt and subtract 5. Your guess at which five will be as good as anyone else's.

Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2012 02:34 PM (16B11)

159 Obama will be showing up in Madison - once again - with Bruce Springsteen on Monday. If that MU law school poll is accurate, why would the JEF come here the day before the election? I don't blame them for being nervous about WI, but what seems incredibly stupid is to keep going to Madison, as if there's only one friggin' county in the state. Obama does have Dane County in the bag. Why not go to northern Wisconsin, where he doesn't have a lock on the vote? Or the Milwaukee 'burbs? Does he have to keep visiting WI to ensure that those boneheaded undergrads will turn out on Tuesday? Seems as stupid a move, given the time constraints as sending the mayor of Denver to Milwaukee to campaign when nobody in Milwaukee knows or cares about the mayor of Denver.

Posted by: Donna V. at November 01, 2012 02:34 PM (7OHl8)

160 160 Well, he is a member of the Ass Party...

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:35 PM (aSf5o)

161 I wanna give Samwise some credit here, as he has a point, to a certain degree. Something like the Obama/Christie Bromance Tour 2012 could be enough to sway some people. Will it sway someone already leaning toward Romney? Probably not. But, we are talking Lowest Common Denominator voters that will be on the fence till the last possible moment, and the very slightest things will swing them. We need those voters, too. It can be something as stupid as they liked the outfit Ann was wearing the day before Election Day. But, again, Lowest Common Denominator voters' votes count just as much as informed voters' votes.

Posted by: Tickled Pink at November 01, 2012 02:36 PM (guSVk)

162 >>> Click the link. Ohio is mentioned and still considered too close to call. Ace choose not to include that in his quote. Ace knows this is "buck up the troops time" like he did in the last days of the McCain campaign, and then wrote a post-election post about how he was lying to keep up morale. Ace is worried about Sandy's (and to a lesser degree Christy's) effects with last-minute low-info swing voters too. We're in much better shape than we were in '08. Romney's a better candidate. Ryan's a better veep pick. And Obama has a crappy record and recent scandal to weigh him down. The question is, how much is Romney up compared to McCain? I think he was over Obama a few days ago, and now that's less clear.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:36 PM (SKX2R)

163

Yeah, I was undecided, kind of maybe leaning towards Romney but not really sure. Then I caught a glimpse of Obama in a bomber jacket and that did it for me. Undecided no more. Obama all the way.

Posted by: mama winger voted double for Paul Ryan at November 01, 2012 06:28 PM (P6QsQ)

It was the perfectly creased mom jeans that won my heart.

Posted by: Donna V. at November 01, 2012 02:37 PM (7OHl8)

164 Do I sound eyeorish to you?

-------------

Ya, a little bit.

Posted by: mama winger voted double for Paul Ryan at November 01, 2012 02:37 PM (P6QsQ)

165 I too was kind of undecided after having a socialist healthcare takeover and increase of $2300 for my company insurance rammed up my butt, in the dark of night, at Christmas, by a Rat party that stole an election and bought off a NE Senator to get er done, but those photos of a Phat Ass NE Lib Loud Mouth and skinny in a bomber jacket made me forget the JEF called the Seals to kill Bin Laden and then when they called him, he Killed the Seals, that storm and Phat Ass turned the tide for me! Ha! If their that fickle and stupid screw em.

Posted by: ConcealedKerry Or SubMitt at November 01, 2012 02:37 PM (USQpp)

166 164 If they're that stupid, they're voting D anyway (or staying home).

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:37 PM (aSf5o)

167 I will watch MSNBC to see heads explode! I can't wait. I am worried about what TFG will try during Lame duck session.

Posted by: CarolT at November 01, 2012 02:38 PM (s0f54)

168 It was the perfectly creased mom jeans that won my heart.

Posted by: Donna V. at November 01, 2012 06:37 PM (7OHl

------------

Put him in his mom jeans, put him on a girl bike and toss in the bomber jacket and you've got one heckuva candidate.

Posted by: mama winger voted double for Paul Ryan at November 01, 2012 02:38 PM (P6QsQ)

169 165 Maybe a little more concern will clear things up...

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:38 PM (aSf5o)

170 141 I've got the bourbon if you've got the Xanax.

It's funny to say this, but thankfully I'm swamped at work. Otherwise, this would be a LONG 5 days.

Posted by: GOPPartyReptile at November 01, 2012 02:39 PM (j9FqA)

171 Fucking robo-calls are killing me. Worst part is, my daughter registered as a Dem (i know, poor parenting, but I was a lib at 21, too.) and I get phone calls and shit in the mail from both parties

Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2012 02:39 PM (HqXYa)

172 Anyway, GOTV. That's really the only thing to do. That and hammer Obama over the newest Benghazi revelations including the very significant ones yesterday.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:39 PM (SKX2R)

173
That is a dumb comment.

No it was a sarcastic comment. Which would make your comment dumb. In fact, most of your moby comments seem quite samunwise.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 01, 2012 02:40 PM (PHb2k)

174 Yeah, I was undecided, kind of maybe leaning towards Romney but not really sure. Then I caught a glimpse of Obama in a bomber jacket and that did it for me. Undecided no more. Obama all the way.

Posted by: mama winger voted double for Paul Ryan at November 01, 2012 06:28 PM (P6QsQ)

It was the perfectly creased mom jeans that won my heart.

Posted by: Donna V. at November 01, 2012 06:37 PM (7OHl

-----------------------------------------------

If he would have worn his bicycle helmut to protect himself from flying objects he would have changed my vote. But he obviously is not a big believer in "Safety First". Sad.

Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2012 02:40 PM (16B11)

175 175 You forgot trolling... that's always helpful.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:41 PM (aSf5o)

176

I love this guy. Like talking to a wall. Has yet to explain how Christie switching parties would actually work, just pretends we all agree and moves on.

Posted by: Rich at November 01, 2012 02:41 PM (arczc)

177 165 >>> Click the link. Ohio is mentioned and still considered too close to call. Ace choose not to include that in his quote. Ace knows this is "buck up the troops time" like he did in the last days of the McCain campaign, and then wrote a post-election post about how he was lying to keep up morale. Ace is worried about Sandy's (and to a lesser degree Christy's) effects with last-minute low-info swing voters too. We're in much better shape than we were in '08. Romney's a better candidate. Ryan's a better veep pick. And Obama has a crappy record and recent scandal to weigh him down. The question is, how much is Romney up compared to McCain? I think he was over Obama a few days ago, and now that's less clear. Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 06:36 PM (SKX2R) Rasmussen hasn't changed. Still shows Romney +2 nationally. Gallup went away due to the hurricane. The only difference is that we're being bombarded with BS university polls that say Dem turnout will be more than it was in 2008.

Posted by: Ryan West at November 01, 2012 02:41 PM (Mfh0J)

178 177 Well, Benghazi certainly proved that.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:42 PM (aSf5o)

179 But momentum has shifted back to the President with low-info voters
somewhat because of Chris Christie and Obama's stupid bomber jacket
antics
=============
So stupid. So very stupid.

Vapid stupidity conjured from the ether.

It's all GOTV now. TV means nothing. The JEF won 2008 by racking up huge totals in early voting and absentee voting. Election day voting was far closer.

All absentee ballots have been sent out. In Albuquerque there were some 75k absentee ballots cast in 2008; in 2012 less than 41k were even requested.

Most early voting is long done. And I haven't heard of a single Obama county where he's anywhere close to meeting his totals for 2008. In Albuquerque, 101k early votes have been cast vs. 125k for 2008.

Posted by: RoyalOil at November 01, 2012 02:42 PM (imtbm)

180 179 He's too concerned... and therefore can't think straight.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:42 PM (aSf5o)

181

Say what you want, but the battle right now was "supposed" to be over FL, NC, VA, and OH. But it's for WI, IA, OH, NV, NH, and CO

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 01, 2012 06:23 PM (DGIjM)

Yep. Watch where the JEF is going, instead of having a spazz attack every time some damn poll comes out.

Posted by: Donna V. at November 01, 2012 02:43 PM (7OHl8)

182 (So I guess that leaves thinking gay.

)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:43 PM (aSf5o)

183 Well I'll tell you point blank from jersey that right now christie is god, and the JEF don't even factor. Obama used us as a campaign stunt, and Christie shook him down for a ton of cash. Thats all we see. Christie made a ton of smart moves before the storm even hit that no doubt saved my house and a shitload of houses in other areas. He already had power companies from other states on their way before the storm hit, and they have been kicking ass too. They restored power to over a million customers from just last night to this afternoon. I was 6" of water level away from losing the house during irene, and this time around my sump pit was bone dry. Christie took all the lessons learned from irene and had made a lot of smart changes to how the dams and reservoirs work. The dude is kicking ass, and he endorses Mitt, and nobody on the street is talking obama.

Posted by: Berserker at November 01, 2012 02:43 PM (FMbng)

184 >>>"So he's got to make his move now, and the fact that he hates Romney for passing him over as veep is eating away at his emotional little heart." This is what is known as a hypothesis. A guess for testing against the evidence, which will come in over the coming months and years. I wouldn't even give my hypothesis 50% likelihood, but I'd give it a non-trivial likelihood given Christie's behavior, his emotional tendencies, and other facts I mentioned in my prior relevant comments. What aren't conjecture and are facts is that Sandy happened, is a big deal, voters tend to rally towards leadership in crisis, Obama is doing his job for once if only as an electoral tactic, Christie is giving him major bi-partisan kudos (and hugs) for that, swing voters go gaga at this bi-partisan thing, and this has all knocked Obama's snowballing ethical and leadership scandal off what little of the media radar it was. These are all facts.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:45 PM (SKX2R)

185 186 Competency. How does it work?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:45 PM (aSf5o)

186 There's a very short trip from dumpster diving to
rioting. The impending food and gas
riots will have Obama at 42 % approval by Tuesday.

Posted by: Dirks Strewn at November 01, 2012 06:44 PM (Rrc6j)

------------------------------------------------

We need zombies. Thousands of zombies.

Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2012 02:46 PM (16B11)

187 188 It is indeed known as a hypothesis (not a theory) or would be, if it was anything more than trolling.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:47 PM (aSf5o)

188 It it were* Fucking subjunctive mood.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:48 PM (aSf5o)

189
Christie gave a bang up speech at the convention FOR ROMNEY. What else do you need to know. He was one of the first big names to come out FOR ROMNEY.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 01, 2012 02:48 PM (PHb2k)

190 >>>Posted by: Ryan West at November 01, 2012 06:41 PM Hopefully. I am giving the polls weight because they match my expectation, in advance of the polling, of what would happen given Sandy, and also my thoughts about what Christie's behavior would do (although it's much less significant than Sandy itself: I just happen to hate Chris Christie right now, so I think it's worth mentioning so that people don't forgive him and give him a pass in 4 years).

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:49 PM (SKX2R)

191

I actually believe Chris Christie might be lining himself up for a party switch, to run for the top of the Democratic ticket.

Buttressed perhaps by a term as Holder's replacement at AG.

---

Does this sound like a man who believes his "hypothesis" has a less than 50% chance of coming true?

Posted by: Rich at November 01, 2012 02:51 PM (arczc)

192 194 Ok. Enough about Christie's behavior. Let's talk about something else. Sex. Or your behavior. Pick one. Or should we combine the two? Gay sex?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:52 PM (aSf5o)

193 >>>Does this sound like a man who believes his "hypothesis" has a less than 50% chance of coming true? "might" "perhaps"

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee The Third at November 01, 2012 02:54 PM (SKX2R)

194 197 Ok. Now answer my post, Sam.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:54 PM (aSf5o)

195 Christie is doing what he has to do to win his own next election. Nobody in jersey gives a flying fuck about obama showing his fucking face right now. They got 3 things on their mind. Power, gas, and is Christie on his game.

Posted by: Berserker at November 01, 2012 02:54 PM (FMbng)

196 199 But don't they know that Obama is our Lord and Savior?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:56 PM (aSf5o)

197 But don't they know that Obama is our Lord and Savior?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 06:56 PM

The warzone I'm living in now, trust me, nobody gives a fuck about obama.

Posted by: Berserker at November 01, 2012 02:57 PM (FMbng)

198 I guess that's what happens when you don't watch enough TV. You become ignorant.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:57 PM (aSf5o)

199 201 I know, I know. I was kidding.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:58 PM (aSf5o)

200 Oh, and new thread. Let's see if Sam is in that one too.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at November 01, 2012 02:59 PM (aSf5o)

201 People in NY & NJ are pissed, no electric they will blame TFG, just like Bush was blamed For Katrina. Christie is a jerk, I never saw what others thought was so great. I doubt he'll switch parties. Christie should have told him to stay home instead of providing a Greek column To support him, yes I borrowed that from Rush,

Posted by: CarolT at November 01, 2012 02:59 PM (s0f54)

202 Chris Christie.....oh wtf....trying to stay positive here. My instincts want to say he is kissing BooBoo's scrawny ass so he is buried by the fallout from Sandy. Talking from experience here...those peeps in NJ are going to be loosing their patience big time. That mess is not going away any time soon....and no offense to anybody living there...but you guys just aren't use to waiting. I wouldn't want to be in Christie's shoes for anything. The mob rule will come after him when it goes into week 2 with no power, etc. Last report was Coast Guard was not allowing fuel to be dumped in locations due to damage infastructure. He is just throwing FEMA $$$ at them right now. Question is....where are they going to spend it? Sad situation.

Posted by: bayway48 at November 01, 2012 03:11 PM (FzYtL)

203 21 I'm not even going to bother typing a comment because y'all'll abandon the threat before I finish.

Posted by: HeatherRadishÂ™ at November 01, 2012 05:56 PM (ZKzrr)

Heh. I usually hit the threads about 6 down, so it's nothing but dirty car and troll butt smell!!

Posted by: Amy Shulkusky at November 01, 2012 03:22 PM (uMfFZ)

204 zzz

Posted by: Gerry at November 01, 2012 03:52 PM (mBTSB)

205 so the optics of a Christie-Obama bromance are going to trump people fighting for gas and food and looting? That's fresh.

Posted by: tofer732 at November 01, 2012 04:36 PM (m5Iwq)

206

Anyone else notice that Samwise is parroting, almost word for word, the same concern trolling that gumbypokey spews over in the Hotair comments?

Posted by: Concern Troll at November 01, 2012 05:50 PM (4KOF2)

207 Ugh. I didn't even realize that Willam Jacobson, lead blogger at Legal Insurrection, agrees with my thesis in the main: "We need to focus on getting out the vote big time. Sandy has been the perfect political storm for Obama. ItÂ’s like calling three consecutive time outs before we were about to kick the winning field goal." http://goo.gl/toc6a Like me, he agrees the only thing to do about it GOTV. Like me, he also agrees it's a real deal. Yes, I realise the Sunshine brigade would like to think we've got it in the bag. But our side is frequently guilty of overoptimism (as is probably their side too: the "optimism bias" is a normal and well-understood part of human psychology, by people who study such things). I -- as much as I try to suppress my own optimism when analyzing things -- still overestimated GOP performance in the last 3 elections straight. To say the least, this site's commenters got that wrong. Lots of you were going with the 100-pickup Morris Scenario in '10, and in '08, you badgered Ace into unrealistic optimism so much he had to lie his ass off to you during the election's closing days to maintain his readership base. Then after the election, he wrote a Mea Culpa post admitting he did lie about his predictions. >>>Anyone else notice that Samwise is parroting, almost word for word, the same concern trolling that gumbypokey spews over in the Hotair comments? >>>Posted by: Concern Troll Oh yes. Word for word. http://bit.ly/TVswMG --- Question for Secretary of Defense Panetta: US casualties during the entire air operation in Libya and against their organized national military forces were precisely zero. Are you saying the risk to manned American air assets was just too high to fly them to Benghazi in defense of the Ambassador, the consulate, and the CIA annex with Americans inside? Follow-up question for Secretary Panetta: Is it your contention that it would have been irresponsible for America's air assets to take a risk to defend our Ambassador and citizens, yet the risk they took during thousands of missions to assist the Libyan rebels' military operations was justified? Follow-up to the follow-up: During the Libyan operation when we sent our air assets to strike Libyan targets, did we generally have a drone overhead providing real-time video, personnel on the ground lasing the target, and real-time video feed from buildings near the target itself? Follow-up to the follow-up to the follow-up: If so, what additional intelligence did we have in those cases that was greater than the intelligence we had on 9/11, 2012? Why were those air missions undertaken, but not a mission in defense of our own personnel in Benghazi? --- Question for the President: Why did Libyan rebels get air support, and American citizens not get air support? --- 'll just add that FINALLY someone said it. I despised Obama so much 4 years ago that I took months off from the rest of my life to do what little I could to see he didn't come into office. I even deluded myself into thinking we had a chance to stop him at the last minute. This editorial is right -- Obama is a disgrace to the office. http://bit.ly/Vgy7Dt --- ... and I could find hundreds of similar comments from myself if I had to. @ "Concern Troll" and others like you. I know you actually believe what you're saying, but you're an idiot. You're not a very smart person. You're confusing your emotional feelings of how the world ought to be with analysis, and accusing your own allies of being your enemies just because you're not smart enough to see the difference. Nonetheless, thanks for your vote. GOTV.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 01, 2012 06:05 PM (SKX2R)

208 Did a quick scan and can't see it. Anybody have a quick link to Dave from Fla?

Posted by: owlpellets at November 01, 2012 06:12 PM (dmEoV)

209 Romney needs to run some ads in Nevada ,showing Barrys hatred of guns and his radical gun control agenda .. Expose him on his position People in Nevada love their guns .

Posted by: akwyoutahclay at November 01, 2012 10:12 PM (ff+xJ)

210

The Democrats control Pennsylvania by controlling Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. The Republican control the rest of the state. If Democrats in Philadelphia stay home, Republicans may win the state. We will see.

Pennsylvania is the home of the first oil well. Large numbers of Pennsylvanians work in the coal and oil industries even today. The same is also true for those in West Virginnia and eastern Ohio. Obama's war on coal and oil can not have helped him.

Posted by: burt at November 02, 2012 05:08 AM (8kEad)

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