Ace of Spades HQ

October 11, 2012

Romney Leads Obama 49-44...
— CAC

In Maine's 2nd Congressional District.

You all want a real white whale? the 2nd Congressional District is the ultimate, long rumored to be more Republican than the rest of the Land of Snowe, and thanks to redistricting, it apparently is. Maine is only one of two states that awards electoral votes to congressional district winners, the other is Nebraska, which gave McCain his final election 2008 kick-in-the-balls by awarding the 2nd district's EV to President Obama.

Obama leads in the statewide poll 48%-44%, still very close.

Flipping this would almost make up for Obamaha in 2008.

Almost.

Posted by: CAC at 04:27 PM | Comments (79)
Post contains 105 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Woo hoo!

Posted by: Mikeyboss at October 11, 2012 04:28 PM (5V9yW)

2 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at October 11, 2012 04:29 PM (6o4Fb)

3 Gotta get in another poll thread before the debate. Go, CAC!

Posted by: I lurk, therefore I am at October 11, 2012 04:30 PM (4ramR)

4 What scenarios does a single EV put Romney over the top? Or tie?

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 11, 2012 04:30 PM (zrpqj)

5 Stomp by Ace's liveblog in 5, 4, 3, ...

Posted by: Methos at October 11, 2012 04:30 PM (6LvlL)

6 Looks like I'll be in my bunk before the debate even starts.

Posted by: slug at October 11, 2012 04:31 PM (vVv3V)

7 The hypothetical CO+NV+VA+IA+FL+NC+IN+NE2+ME2 would render 270 votes.

Posted by: CAC at October 11, 2012 04:31 PM (j8xN0)

8 So today is our 21st anniversary. I score tickets to Ryan Bingham at the Variety in ATL. This is one of her favorite bands. She says "oh no we should stay in tonight". I'm psyched - anniversary right!?? Then she seals my fate... "I can't miss Ryan kickin' Joe's behind in the debate"..........21 years Lord, 21 years....I would expect this for an Ole Miss game or a Falcons game, but not a VP DEBATE!!! Feel free to weigh in!

Posted by: nuclearjim at October 11, 2012 04:32 PM (H8H9R)

9 Btw, are there ways to help out the campaign that doesn't involve human interaction?

Posted by: Agoraphobic Cat at October 11, 2012 04:33 PM (zrpqj)

10 more pls

Posted by: clapping at October 11, 2012 04:34 PM (LpQbZ)

11 I have failed you, Darth Axelpoofter

Posted by: gerg at October 11, 2012 04:36 PM (m/eXi)

12 Does CSPAN have a hi def feed? All I can find is something that looks like 320X200. Blech.

Posted by: Dr. Sheldon Cooper at October 11, 2012 04:36 PM (L7hol)

13 nuclearjim, record it and promise a night of popcorn and pudding when you get home?

Posted by: I lurk, therefore I am at October 11, 2012 04:36 PM (4ramR)

14 What??? 2straight posts without getting stomped? CAC's on fire!

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 11, 2012 04:36 PM (GEICT)

15 Oh yeah?! Wait until tomorrow morning! I'm coming out swinging like Jerry Sandusky tonite! Look out Rumney!

Posted by: Joe Biden at October 11, 2012 04:36 PM (OiC7K)

16 ME-2 is not a surprise. ME-1 would be. I believe the other two EV depend on popular vote.

Posted by: fluffy at October 11, 2012 04:36 PM (4pSIn)

17 I would record the debate and enjoy the concert. Of course, the debate will be enjoyable, too...

Posted by: Justamom in Achin' Akin's district at October 11, 2012 04:37 PM (Sptt8)

18 Can't you tape the VP debate?

Posted by: FenelonSpoke at October 11, 2012 04:37 PM (0nogT)

19 Also...damned sock, begone!

Posted by: Sticky Wicket at October 11, 2012 04:37 PM (L7hol)

Btw, are there ways to help out the campaign that doesn't involve human interaction?

Does standing at an intersection with a sign and waving count as interaction? Might be off the table if you are agorophobic, though.

Posted by: fluffy at October 11, 2012 04:38 PM (4pSIn)

21 Who just said ME is red this year? Why, I think it was me in the map thread.

Posted by: Truman North at October 11, 2012 04:38 PM (I2LwF)

22 Do we have a replacement for Senator going on the Maine? And who is it? And do we have a hope in hell there?

And, by "Hope in Hell", I mean: TFG is going down, the question is -how-big-. How much of a longshot are we in all of these "Not even on the radar" races?

Posted by: Al at October 11, 2012 04:38 PM (aOAEM)

23 I need--and so does nuclearjim, it seems--to know what our drinking words are for the debate.

Posted by: Mama AJ at October 11, 2012 04:38 PM (SUKHu)

24 WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Posted by: Nebraskan at October 11, 2012 04:39 PM (aPAIU)

25 I hear they are just letting slowjoe out of the closet after six days, and getting the adhesive from the duck tape off his mouth. He will have a rash by now, causing him to raise a handkerchief to his mouth every so often for his pre-recorded speech to play.

Posted by: Justamom in Achin' Akin's district at October 11, 2012 04:39 PM (Sptt8)

26 honestly I don't care how this "goes," am just looking forward to him speaking for half of 90 minutes (or however long) how can this go badly? seriously? I want to watch Ryan. No one wants to watch Joe.

Posted by: BlackOrchid-StillMissingDagny at October 11, 2012 04:39 PM (J6kXj)

27 16 ME-2 is not a surprise. ME-1 would be. I believe the other two EV depend on popular vote. Posted by: fluffy at October 11, 2012 08:36 PM (4pSIn) Of the state or nation?

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 11, 2012 04:40 PM (zrpqj)

28 Feel free to weigh in!

Happy anniversary! I'd go to the show and tape the beatdown.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD/Whiteboard 2012 at October 11, 2012 04:40 PM (Gk3SS)

I've been saying "Mr. Belvedere" meaning "pooping yourself"

I'm about to switch to "Joe Biden" for that meaning.

Posted by: Truman North at October 11, 2012 04:40 PM (I2LwF)

30 "Literally"??

Posted by: Mama AJ at October 11, 2012 04:40 PM (SUKHu)

31 Incidentally there should some changes made.
You've got to work if you should have to save.
An apple is a fool but lemons never do forget.
You've got to play it cool before they come and throw the net.

watch out, Joe.

Posted by: LC LaWedgie at October 11, 2012 04:41 PM (0It32)

32 "...and here we have Vice President Biden doing a few vocal warmups before tonight's debate, while Representative Ryan is out in the parking lot doing sprints..."

Posted by: JEM at October 11, 2012 04:43 PM (o+SC1)

33 is it tyme to pop corn?

Posted by: Cicero Kid at October 11, 2012 04:43 PM (Mcj9w)

34 Megyn Kelly named her suitcase? Okay....

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 11, 2012 04:43 PM (eOufH)

Of the state or nation?

State of Maine.

Posted by: fluffy at October 11, 2012 04:43 PM (4pSIn)

36 Do we have a replacement for Senator going on the Maine? And who is it? And do we have a hope in hell there? Posted by: Al at October 11, 2012 08:38 PM (aOAEM)

Nope, we don't. I sent the guy money (Charlie Summers) but he is up against a self-funded obama crony (Angus King, I) who got tons of money from the green job slush package. There is a Dim candidate, but, King is the favorite.

Posted by: Will Never Vote For a dhimmocrat at October 11, 2012 04:43 PM (kXoT0)

37 It's in Danville... I wonder if Dr. Doofenshmirtz will be there to muck things up?

Posted by: Truman North at October 11, 2012 04:43 PM (I2LwF)

38 8 So today is our 21st anniversary. I score tickets to Ryan Bingham at the Variety in ATL. This is one of her favorite bands. She says "oh no we should stay in tonight". I'm psyched - anniversary right!?? Then she seals my fate... "I can't miss Ryan kickin' Joe's behind in the debate"..........21 years Lord, 21 years....I would expect this for an Ole Miss game or a Falcons game, but not a VP DEBATE!!! Feel free to weigh in! Posted by: nuclearjim at October 11, 2012 08:32 PM (H8H9R) _____________________ I think I'm misreading this--the wife wants to stay home and watch the debate!?

Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2012 04:43 PM (r2PLg)

39 Mama AJ: Drink if you hear any of the following: Plan $5 trillion 47% Obamacare Libya With all due respect Mr. Vice President Wisconsin Budget Committee Math Young P90X Baseball Amtrak Mom Teachers Inexperienced Palin Senate Drain your glass if you hear the following: Big Bird

Posted by: I lurk, therefore I am at October 11, 2012 04:44 PM (4ramR)

40 Michaud is the Reo. for that district. Frenchy Canuck (D) I'm just sayin'.

Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2012 04:44 PM (r2PLg)

41 What are the Vegas odds that Biden will at some point in the debate declare "I don't have to stand there and take this shit from you" and angrily storm off the stage?

Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 11, 2012 04:45 PM (9Taqp)

42 Has Obama campaigned in Maine at all?

Posted by: Jean at October 11, 2012 04:45 PM (LnQr8)

So "Maine" is a congressional district in which state?

Yo-ah not funny, Mistah.

Posted by: fluffy, damn Yankee at October 11, 2012 04:45 PM (4pSIn)

44 I won't believe it until I hear it from Kay in Maine

Posted by: Thunderb at October 11, 2012 04:45 PM (Dnbau)

45 41, jello shooter for "buried"

Posted by: Jean at October 11, 2012 04:46 PM (LnQr8)

46 I, frankly, sent the money to Summers because my truly loathsome Liberal boss is from Maine and it irked him no end for Maine to have two GOP Senators.

Posted by: Will Never Vote For a dhimmocrat at October 11, 2012 04:46 PM (kXoT0)

47 I am nervous because Biden is an experienced liar and the moderator will not do anything to reveal that or allow Ryan to

Posted by: Thunderb at October 11, 2012 04:46 PM (Dnbau)

48 And now it's Joey's turn to cry Joey's turn to cry Joey's turn to cry....

How many kitchen table mentions will there be tonight? How many times will boots be on the ground? How long before Joe's first stupid statement?

Posted by: huerfano at October 11, 2012 04:47 PM (bAGA/)

49 Ok, Cougar and I are going to play debate drinking. While watching the Os. Need words for each candidate. So far, Biden: literally, high speed rail/trains/ choo-choo, Scranton, millionaires & billionaires Ryan: math, debt/deficit, regulation Bonus (both): sub-prime Suggestions?

Posted by: DC in Towson at October 11, 2012 04:47 PM (CJwi5)

50 Go Kernels? WTF was that about?

Posted by: Sticky Wicket at October 11, 2012 04:47 PM (L7hol)

51 Drain your glass if you hear the following:

Big Bird

Posted by: I lurk, therefore I am at October 11, 2012 08:44 PM (4ramR)

If we're playing by those rules I guess I shouldn't be drinking half and half whiskey cokes.

Posted by: Adam at October 11, 2012 04:48 PM (/YJYi)

Good list.

I guess I'm going to watch.

For the children or some such crap.

Posted by: Mama AJ at October 11, 2012 04:49 PM (SUKHu)

53 DC in Towson, I gave a few at 41.

Posted by: I lurk, therefore I am at October 11, 2012 04:49 PM (4ramR)

54 Behold the power of my Bidenator!

Posted by: Dr. Doofenschmirtz at October 11, 2012 04:49 PM (nD2pm)

55 I literally, not figuratively am gonna shat my pants - Joe Biden Oh please. Like Joe Biden knows the difference between "literally" and "figuratively".

Posted by: StuckonStupid at October 11, 2012 04:49 PM (f/0ub)

56 Uh, thanks lurk! And get outta my head!

Posted by: DC in Towson at October 11, 2012 04:50 PM (CJwi5)

57 @51- With that list I recommend having a stomach pump handy and pre-approval lined up for a liver transplant.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 11, 2012 04:50 PM (9Taqp)

58 51 Ok, Cougar and I are going to play debate drinking. While watching the Os. Need words for each candidate. So far, Biden: literally, high speed rail/trains/ choo-choo, Scranton, millionaires & billionaires Ryan: math, debt/deficit, regulation Bonus (both): sub-prime Suggestions? Posted by: DC in Towson at October 11, 2012 08:47 PM (CJwi5) ________________________ I watched Biden do Bork for the first time a couple of nights ago. Hadn't seen it before. Didn't watch all of it--but he spent an inordinate amount of time on--sex in the bedroom and birth control, and sterilization so-- since that seems to be his Ace in the Hole-- "Birth Control" = five shots of what you got!

Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2012 04:50 PM (r2PLg)

59 Oh and lurk, saw you question about the museums on the Mall a few days ago after I had left. If I was you, eat only at the National Gallery of Art. Avoid natural and American history museum food. Places are infested with more and rats.

Posted by: DC in Towson at October 11, 2012 04:51 PM (CJwi5)

60 59 @51- With that list I recommend having a stomach pump handy and pre-approval lined up for a liver transplant. Call 911 and book an appointment with the ambulance for about 45 minutes into the debate.

Posted by: I lurk, therefore I am at October 11, 2012 04:51 PM (4ramR)

61 Is Biden doing the debate with a biker chick in his lap?

Posted by: Cicero Kid at October 11, 2012 04:52 PM (Mcj9w)

62 Suggestions? Go with "middle class" for either. You'll be drunk off your asses 10 minutes in, guaranteed.

Posted by: StuckonStupid at October 11, 2012 04:52 PM (f/0ub)

63 Bet you Biden brings oiut the attempt for swarmy charm and in a weak bid to do a shout out to-- Neo swing state--PA he says-- something about the Steelers! Who by the way are playing the Tennessee Titans and the debate is in Kentucky-- look for Biden to almost confuse Kentucky with Tennessee like when he did the shout out to Virginia in NC

Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2012 04:53 PM (r2PLg)

64 SoS, I forgot middle class, debt, and deficit in my list. How are HB and the doggie whose name I forgot?

Posted by: I lurk, therefore I am at October 11, 2012 04:54 PM (4ramR)

65 63 Is Biden doing the debate with a biker chick in his lap? Posted by: Cicero Kid at October 11, 2012 08:52 PM (Mcj9w) NO THANKS, just got rid of the crabs he gave me...

Posted by: Biker Chick at October 11, 2012 04:54 PM (+hB3s)

66 Shit I'm more nervous than a hamster in Gere's apartment!

Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2012 04:54 PM (r2PLg)

67 68 Shit I'm more nervous than a hamster in Gere's apartment! Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2012 08:54 PM (r2PLg) Wait, just wait...

Posted by: Hamster In Gere's Butt at October 11, 2012 04:55 PM (+hB3s)

68 Let the bloodbath begin.

Posted by: StuckonStupid at October 11, 2012 04:55 PM (f/0ub)

69 Does anyone know if Greg has offed himself via sterno under a bridge yet?

Posted by: LTC Graham at October 11, 2012 04:56 PM (SwEjg)

70 I live in the Me-2 and Im not sure of this. Not to be a buzzkill. This dist is heavily gerrymandered by the Dems. The far north is French heritage mill workers who if they did abandon Obama would be a shocker. And the far south of the dist is mill town Lewiston with a heavy concentration of elders who have always voted D. The rest of the state is rural and certainly Romney territory, it has always been a "white whale" for us. I worked the Bush 2004 Campaign here and it was heavily organized and we still couldnt grab the 2nd. This time..no real Romney effort here. They have no camp office, except running it out of a Bangor office used by other Republican candidates.

I love the idea, but not sure of the reality.

Posted by: deusexmachina at October 11, 2012 04:58 PM (6RTwM)

71 "Does anyone know if Greg has offed himself via sterno under a bridge yet?" Shh.. LTC - please don't distract me, I'm working on Biden's Eulogy. So does anyone happen to know, would it be fucknut, fuck nut or fuck-nut?

Posted by: StuckonStupid at October 11, 2012 04:58 PM (f/0ub)

72 Why doesn't the moderator make him answer the question??? Oh yeah...

Posted by: Justamom in Achin' Akin's district at October 11, 2012 05:05 PM (Sptt8)

73 So anybody thing Lady Skeletor is going to let Ryan even finish sentence?

Posted by: StuckonStupid at October 11, 2012 05:13 PM (f/0ub)

74 er.. think.. yikes..

Posted by: StuckonStupid at October 11, 2012 05:13 PM (f/0ub)

75 Ryan - stop the froiggin' scratching - it did not work for Obama WTF do you think it will work foryou!!

Posted by: nuclearjim at October 11, 2012 05:46 PM (H8H9R)

76 yeah, blog broke, Radditz and Biden yelling and talking over Ryan, Biden lying his ass off, pretty much all what was expected.

Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at October 11, 2012 05:48 PM (bxiXv)

77 "Does anyone know if Greg has offed himself via sterno under a bridge yet?" I figure Gerg as more of a slitting-his-wrists-in-the-bathtub kinda guy.

Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 11, 2012 05:54 PM (aHR5E)

78 "Maine" is a congressional district in which state?

----------------

Massachusetts.

Posted by: Taro Tsujimoto at October 11, 2012 05:59 PM (celt+)

79 This is why we need a National Popular Vote. 10 million Shitcago Rats, even though more than half of us are dead, ought to be able to stomp all over the will of a few hundred thousand Mainiacs.

Posted by: Typical Shitcago Rat at October 12, 2012 06:53 AM (o44nj)

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