November 05, 2012

Romney's Internal Polls: We Got This, Bitchez
— Ace

Narrowly as you can possibly win it.

Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio, according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source.

Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and dead level in Wisconsin and - most startlingly - Pennsylvania.

But behind in Nevada. But then, Nevada has been looking like a No Go for a while.

Harry Reid's machine -- fueled by unions and illegal aliens working as get out the vote staffers -- might just be too much for any ethical campaign to overcome.

Posted by: Ace at 12:01 PM | Comments (563)
Post contains 126 words, total size 1 kb.

1 dont stop -- keep going -- we need all of it

Posted by: CheshireLion at November 05, 2012 12:02 PM (zNDIM)

2 got my watcher cert

Posted by: Project ORCA at November 05, 2012 12:02 PM (cgxNI)

3 Go Mitt!!! Finish it.

Posted by: Jmel at November 05, 2012 12:02 PM (c+D8V)

4 "Let's not start sucking each others dicks just yet, gentlemen"  Winston Wolfe, Pulp Fiction

Posted by: CheshireLion at November 05, 2012 12:03 PM (zNDIM)

5 Word.

Posted by: R-Money at November 05, 2012 12:03 PM (a0nis)

6 Obama will gain 47 percent of the vote. Romney as victor and prophet

Posted by: The Q at November 05, 2012 12:03 PM (YpecZ)

7 I. Can't. Fucking. Take. It. Anymore.

I'm waking up tomorrow, proudly voting a straight GOP ticket, then going dark for the rest of the day.  I can't handle the stress of a close election.  I just can't.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:03 PM (kFnmp)

8 Rush was talking some smack about Christie..who was pissed because he wasn't tapped for VP??  He had me convinced he didn't want it.

Posted by: Jeanne, in close proximity to the Canadian border at November 05, 2012 12:03 PM (GdalM)

9 "global warming (now "climate change")......"

Sorry but it was renamed by the Obama Administration to "Global Climate Disruption" ... now isn't that a "remedial kinetic action" to the head.

Posted by: Harry Truman at November 05, 2012 12:03 PM (e8kgV)

10 There's an election again?  Didn't we just have one four years ago?

Posted by: An undecided (i.e. friggin' stupid) voter at November 05, 2012 12:03 PM (AD6Iz)

11 Momma  ain't  happy!  Shouting  and  cursing.

Posted by: Malia in DC at November 05, 2012 12:03 PM (ypzqs)

12 Ace, Boston, will you be here?

Posted by: fluffeneidas at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (5ggkP)

13 FINISH HIM

I want to drink the sweet, sweet tears of MSNBC tomorrow night. And maybe find out if there's a third-party version of auto-erotic asphyxiation where I get off when Chris Matthews hangs himself.

Posted by: Hedley Lamar at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (RdCfV)

14 F&@? Nevada. It's a lost cause. California sends busloads of voters to Las Vegas to illegally vote. But we don't need them.

Posted by: LASue at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (gjIQF)

15 6 Obama will gain 47 percent of the vote.

ohhhh  please, that would be so high-larious.

Posted by: Jeanne, in close proximity to the Canadian border at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (GdalM)

16

I'm poll watchin my neighbors.

Posted by: In Pennsylvania and loving it! at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (cgxNI)

17 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a malignant traitor.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (8y9MW)

18 SWEEP THE LEG

Posted by: Punahou Death Stare at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (sTS/8)

19 >>Harry Reid's machine... might just be too much for any ethical campaign to overcome.

Yeah, it's a damn shame that we utterly fucked up our chance to fire his ass.  But hey, at least Mark Levin was happy with the race, and that's what counts, right?

Posted by: Lou at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (xp1pq)

20 Too much stress. I wanna see a poll that shows what the results are really gonna be... 60/40 RR!!!

Talk about 'stress relievers' some guy on Craigslist is pretty particular about how he wants to spend Election night...
http://washingtondc.craigslist.org/nva/cas/3386110013.html

Posted by: Schrödinger's cat [/i] at November 05, 2012 12:04 PM (feFL6)

21 Posts and comments are coming sufficiently fast that by the time in caught up, I'm not caught up anymore. Suffice it to say ill be lurking most of the evening.

Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 05, 2012 12:05 PM (I2LwF)

22 Nate Silver!!!!

Posted by: @PurpAv at November 05, 2012 12:05 PM (Rjsup)

23 WE'RE LEADING THE CHARGE......WHO'S JOINING US??

Posted by: New Hampshire at November 05, 2012 12:05 PM (F6KtL)

24 Welcome, President Mitt Romney By QUIN HILLYER on 11.5.12 @ 6:10AM GOP team will win tomorrow. Mitt Romney will be the next president of the United States. Paul Ryan, as vice president, will be breaking lots of 50-50 tie votes in the Senate. Bank on it. so many of these pieces on the conservative sites... http://spectator.org/archives/2012/11/05/welcome-president-mitt-romney

Posted by: 1 day at November 05, 2012 12:05 PM (LpQbZ)

25 One word- PUDDING!

Posted by: Psycotte at November 05, 2012 12:05 PM (Hk10/)

26 soooooo...is this a good internal poll, or a "CALM DOWN DAMMIT" internal poll

Dunno, maybe it's impossible to tell.

Posted by: JDP at November 05, 2012 04:05 PM (60GaT)

I think a "calm down dammit" poll would have him up by more than 1%.

Keep win mind, these polls have an MOE too.

Posted by: tsrblke (work) at November 05, 2012 12:06 PM (Zs04Q)

27 Any word on the darkhorses (NM, ME-2, OR), particularly New Mexico?

Posted by: The Q at November 05, 2012 12:06 PM (YpecZ)

28 Still giving Obama around an 85% of pulling this thing out. I can't be wrong, if Romney wins it will just be an improbable event.

Posted by: Nate Silver at November 05, 2012 12:07 PM (a0nis)

29 Screw Nevada.  I wish I could say that Las Vegas won't see another dime of my money again if they vote for Obama, but I can't stand Las Vegas anyway so it wouldn't be much of a threat. 

Posted by: Natasha at November 05, 2012 12:07 PM (jU5uf)

30 Ace,
I thought the rule was never to trust last minute releases of internal polling.
No?

Posted by: looking closely at November 05, 2012 12:07 PM (PwGfd)

31 Finish Him!!!

Sweep. The. Leg.




I'm back Mo-Ron's...from the depths of New Jersey's worst natural disaster EVER!!! Just got interwebs at work this morning (just in time to witness TFG's destruction) although we're still on back up generator. No such luck at home....still no power at my hovel in the rolling hills Sussex County. But all friends and loved one are safe and sound, thank God.


   

Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 12:07 PM (jvd3N)

32

remember....

 

GOTV

 

or

 

STFU

Posted by: In Pennsylvania and loving it! at November 05, 2012 12:08 PM (cgxNI)

33 Nobody recalibrates voting machines like the Reid Family.  It's their legacy.

Posted by: Fritz at November 05, 2012 12:08 PM (/ZZCn)

34 New Mexico will be red.

Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 05, 2012 12:08 PM (I2LwF)

35 I live in Oklahoma, so this isn't likely to happen....but, if I spot a UN Poll Watcher at my polling place, I promise to vote first before............well, let's just say that it's going to be difficult to get election returns from inside a jail cell.

Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 12:08 PM (uRumV)

36 FINISH HIM!1!

Posted by: Guy Who Likes When People Say "FINISH HIM" In Teh Comments at November 05, 2012 12:08 PM (Z7toi)

37 37 New Mexico will be red.

Their governor?  Like a screen door in a hurricane.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:08 PM (kFnmp)

38 I think it's impossible to predict at this point. Romney's been a great candidate who only made one mistake (not making Benghazi an issue reporters had to cover), and his work ethic has been fantastic. Romney seems to have last minute enthusiasm, on account of him being a great candidate and many hating Obama. But there are a lot of socialist ninnies, the media's been in the tank even more than usual, and the Dems have the margin of cheating in their favor. The erosion of Romney's numbers over the last week in both Gallup and Rasmussen's tracking polls (despite Rasmussen ticking up a point for Romney today, and Gallup showing a 1 point lead) is worrisome. However you slice it, a 1 point lead is tight. And the polls get crappier as fewer people answer the phone, so who knows how close they all are? It could be tight as hell. Or maybe Romney will overperform his polls. No way to tell really. No point in even trying to at this stage, except bragging rights. Which side wants it more? Which side turns out? We know the Dems want free stuff. They'll turn out to demand it. Do Republicans, as a group, turn out enough to send a message and give Romney a mandate, or do too many of them get hung up on their pet differences on policy or equally bad, just assume their vote doesn't matter/they can't be bothered. You know, they don't believe in this government thing and voting's kind of like that. With both Rasmussen and Gallup showing a 1 point lead for Romney, and with Obama having a bit of an advantage on how the Electoral College map breaks down, the only smart bet is to assume it will be close, avoid complacency, and get out the vote. Independents, for their part, will do their thing.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 12:09 PM (SKX2R)

39 We may have elected Obama and Reid, but we have redeeming qualities. Like overpriced hookers. You know they're good 'cause they're so expensive.

Posted by: Nevada at November 05, 2012 12:09 PM (a0nis)

40 It does raise an interesting question: what would Mitt Romney's finishing move be? I'm thinking it involves taking the guy out for a nice meal and maybe some praying together.

Posted by: Kensington at November 05, 2012 12:09 PM (Z7toi)

41 Always worry about the campaign that releases internal polls. But in this case, leaked to the UK Daily Mail? Seems bizarre.

Posted by: Doc at November 05, 2012 12:09 PM (RkH4v)

42 Oooh...sexy new hash too.

Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 12:09 PM (jvd3N)

43

You're welcome America.

Posted by: Washington Redskins at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (F6KtL)

44 Still got two minutes to go and the Democrats can still steal the football.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (4nG/u)

45 DRIVE IT HOME PEOPLE!!! FINISH THE BASTARD!!!!

Posted by: Mjölnir, the banhammer from the gates of Hell at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (Jls4P)

46 dananjcon, glad you are safe.


I hope you have access to a shower so you can dip unreservedly.

Posted by: fluffeneidas at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (5ggkP)

47 However you slice it, a 1 point lead is tight.[/i


91-9

Posted by: @PurpAv at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (Rjsup)

48 I'm ready ... for Victory Over Obama Day!

Posted by: CJL at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (3wa9V)

49 1 dont stop -- keep going -- we need all of it

That's what she said/

Posted by: wooga at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (vjyZP)

50 Meanwhile, the DoD seems unable to get ballots to a substantial number of our military. McCain, Ayotte, Graham and some other loser wrote Panetta a strongly worded reprimand asking him to do better next time.

While we'll all be out voting to send Choom Boy to the showers, his fraud machine will be working overtime to make this the most corrupt election in history.

Will Romney have the balls to fight back. Will the tea-sipping eunuchs of the so-called conservative media react, or just spew their normal "in fairness..." jive?

Anything less than a 42-state Romney win may not be enough.

Posted by: MrScribbler, banned at TepidAir at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (ZgX/g)

51 I don't know guys. Romney going out tomorrow is likely to draw resources away from my polling place. Sure, I'm a thousand miles away here in Nebraska, but still. I'm not sure I'll make it in for the vote.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 05, 2012 12:10 PM (BuSM8)

52 No such luck at home....still no power at my hovel in the rolling hills Sussex County.

Shame about me buying that last generator at Home Depot but my prized koi needed the air.

Posted by: Jerry Rivers [/i] at November 05, 2012 12:11 PM (feFL6)

53 I want my GOTV.

Posted by: Guy Who Thinks GOTV Is A Cable Channel at November 05, 2012 12:11 PM (Z7toi)

54

See, this is why I remain not cocksure as so many are--when your internals give you ONLY a one point lead in a state that is basically conservative and your opponent is not just a lib, but a PROGRESSIVE, then you ask, "What has happened to America."

 

Obama is not a "moderate" as Clinton posed.  It's fine with me if you'd rather not use charged words such as "socialist" to describe him in an effort to have a discussion, but even Dems admit he's been a poloarizing figure, even Dems know he's fucked up a lot, and for there to only be a point differential in an internal poll makes me fear we have indeed reached the tipping point in America.

 

Lastly, why the hell would any "Republican party source" provide internal polling data to anyone? 

And since they wouldn't, what's the reason for the seeming "leak"? 

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 12:11 PM (wgmUB)

55

You  don't become a simple public servant with a net worth of over $10,000,000 without knowing  how to use the power levers in your state. 

 

Harry Reid is the reason most GOP states should start legalizing gambling in their  states.

Posted by: SH at November 05, 2012 12:11 PM (gmeXX)

56 Truman, New Mexico red? I love your enthusiasm. As long as Romney wins the Presidency, I don't care how many EV's. the more the better though.

Posted by: Dix Handley at November 05, 2012 12:11 PM (gKuGC)

57 New Mexico will be red for a reason other than Martinez' victory. I can't tell you what I know, but I know what's going on on the ground there and we're going to be fine.

Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 05, 2012 12:11 PM (I2LwF)

58 Anyone in NYC tomorrow want to meet for a drink after work?

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:12 PM (XkWWK)

59 Tomorrow night will be epic.  Perhaps the best election night of my life.

Posted by: DangerGirl (@deadlyestrogen) at November 05, 2012 12:12 PM (GrtrJ)

60 91-9  91-9  91-9

I can't say this enough...

Posted by: @PurpAv at November 05, 2012 12:12 PM (Rjsup)

61 Finish him?

http://tinyurl.com/3ezzmpp

Posted by: looking closely at November 05, 2012 12:12 PM (PwGfd)

62 Tomorrow night will be epic. Perhaps the best election night of my life.

With cheesecake.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:12 PM (8y9MW)

63 Always worry about the campaign that releases internal polls. But in this case, leaked to the UK Daily Mail? Seems bizarre.

Posted by: Doc at November 05, 2012 04:09 PM (RkH4v)

 

 

------------------------------------------

 

 

Now that you point that out........hmmmmm.

Posted by: Soona at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (DAstp)

64

ROMNEY LOSES BY WINNING ONLY 300 EC VOTES.

 

NOT A MANDATE SINCE ROMNEY DIDN'T GET 100% OF POPULAR VOTE.

 

Posted by: New York Times Headline 11/7/2012 at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (F6KtL)

65 Run through the base.

Posted by: joncelli, reduced to platitudes at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (RD7QR)

66

DVR(s) set up and idling. I'm hoping to watch MSNBC do its Mt. St. Helens impression tomorrow night.

 

Please, God, let it be so.

Posted by: Jay Guevara at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (4u2LN)

67 54 I don't know guys. Romney going out tomorrow is likely to draw resources away from my polling place. Sure, I'm a thousand miles away here in Nebraska, but still. I'm not sure I'll make it in for the vote.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 05, 2012 04:10 PM (BuSM

What's the Senate race look like there?
I heard Kerry was making it close, and I have trouble believing that.

Posted by: jwb7605 at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (Qxe/p)

68 This cracka thinks he's me.

Posted by: Zombie Rick James at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (NIZHJ)

69 Don't stop til you can't get enough.

Posted by: Dr. Varno at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (rYp+j)

70 58 Lastly, why the hell would any "Republican party source" provide internal polling data to anyone? And since they wouldn't, what's the reason for the seeming "leak"? Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 04:11 PM (wgmUB) Maybe it's actually more than that and this is a red herring?

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (XkWWK)

71 They just had a major fire in Jersey City, NJ.  Two buildings involved.  One resident who lived on the first floor of one building is dead.  One firefighter fell from three stories up a ladder and is in serious condition while three other firefighters suffered smoke inhalation.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (4nG/u)

72 49 dananjcon, glad you are safe.


I hope you have access to a shower so you can dip unreservedly.

Posted by: fluffeneidas at November 05, 2012 04:10 PM (5ggkP)


**

I'm on the every second day shower plan so dipping might be a little pungent as well. Still joyful none-the-less.


Yeesh.



Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 12:13 PM (jvd3N)

73 Did anyone get the link to the ORCA app? There was supposed to be a packet delivered with the web address, login, and PW, but in never came.

Posted by: MJ at November 05, 2012 12:14 PM (TR60b)

74 See, this is why I remain not cocksure as so many are


My cock is still undecided.

Posted by: Bill Clinton at November 05, 2012 12:14 PM (kFnmp)

75 It can be both a good internal and a CALM DOWN release.  Mitt's up against BO and the media.  He needs enthusiasm to get out the vote.  This will help.

Posted by: ilrndude at November 05, 2012 12:14 PM (aUnng)

76 GOTV.....is that free like an Obama phone?

Posted by: fingers crossed in Nevada at November 05, 2012 12:15 PM (uJK1E)

77 @AllenG,
I actually have left over birthday cake from a specialty bakeshop!
4 layers. Cake, buttercream, cake, buttercream, cake, buttercream, cake, (icing)

It's going to be WONDERFUL.

Posted by: tsrblke (work) at November 05, 2012 12:15 PM (Zs04Q)

78 37 Truman. New Mexico red? Seems improbable, but I've only been there once. Lots of people; very few teeth.

Posted by: LASue at November 05, 2012 12:15 PM (gjIQF)

79 Why does this not comfort me?  I want snuggly, warm comfort.  One point advantage in internal polling makes me a-skeered.  If it's a close election, they can't steal it.  If it is a close election......?

Posted by: Lady in Black at November 05, 2012 12:15 PM (lTVJy)

80 What's the Senate race look like there?
I heard Kerry was making it close, and I have trouble believing that.

Posted by: jwb7605 at November 05, 2012 04:13 PM (Qxe/p)

Kerry went negative a few weeks ago with some bullshit old story from the 1990s about a lawsuit over land involving Fischer and neighbors. It has helped Kerry to some extent. Last poll I saw had Fischer up by 3.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 05, 2012 12:16 PM (BuSM8)

81 2 things:

1) A campaign should ALWAYS say they are just winning by a hair.  If they said they were 5 points ahead, people start getting lazy, money and volunteers start drying up.  Remember that.  And the way Romney has been acting, it doesn't seem like their internal polls are saying it's a one point game.

2)  The whole "Nevada is unwinnable because of the Reid/Union/illegal alien machine".  If that was true, why did Harry Reid's son lose by around double digits when he ran for Governor also in 2010?  You can't have it both ways.  Answer: Reid won because Sharon Angle was a wingnut and conservatives need to stop nominating dingbats unless they just want to hand left-wing Democrats Senate seats on silver platters,

I will say, Nevada has changed demographically, but I have a good friend that is involved with an outside group in Nevada that actually says Romney is going to win there, and he was someone that was bearish on Romney's chances early on.

Posted by: McAdams at November 05, 2012 12:16 PM (FCOXd)

82 82 Why does this not comfort me?

I'm thinking the same thing.  We can still lose this if we don't GOTV.  It's a damned disgrace it's this close to begin with.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:16 PM (kFnmp)

Posted by: mpfs, Cler Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:16 PM (iYbLN)

84 I actually have left over birthday cake from a specialty bakeshop!

Yes, but DangerGirl is buying a cheesecake from my wife.  So it's more  better-er.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (8y9MW)

85 But behind in Nevada. But then, Nevada has been looking like a No Go for a while. __________ That's been a bunch of bull crap from the little fan boy Political pundits who think they have Insider's telling them the what not. Paul Ryan was in Reno, Nevada this morning.

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (r2PLg)

86 Even Bob Beckel is predicting R to take Iowa.

He didn't say outright but his EV math, giving Obama the win with 275-EV, can only happen if Romney takes the 6-Evotes from Iowa.

Also, that scenario gives O. New Hampshire.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (UypUQ)

87 86 I was thinking the same thing.

Posted by: Zarathrusta at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (NIZHJ)

88 I see Las Vegas as an excellent start for an ICE enforcement effort.

And, as I've said before...on day one the Romney administration needs to put a 200-mile-radius circle on the map centered on Searchlight, NV and zero out all federal spending in that area. 

Posted by: JEM at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (o+SC1)

89 Not bad odds.  If Mitt wins only one of the "dead level" states, we don't even need Ohio.  Obama, on the other hand, must have Ohio.  I'd rather be in Mitt's shoes.

By the way, I love the way the foreign press gets all the best stories.

Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (DQMcq)

90 I've got Barack's internal pole right here. Wanna see?

Posted by: Reggie Love at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (t06LC)

91 Bush won NM - it can go red again.  States change.   Even IL  is not hopeless - I mean for this election yes  -  but next cycle who knows.  IL is going to fail, and at some point they will have to shift policies.  We should expect states to go red  because we believe that conservatism is the best form of government and liberalism will fail.  Eventually an electorate will vote for the government that doesn't fail.  So as  IN  and Wisc  succeed, IL will eventually have to follow suit.  

Posted by: SH at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (gmeXX)

92 Oh yeah, I forgot. It's Bob Kerrey. Whatever. Go home to NYC, loser.

Plus, McCain made an appearance here to support Fischer. Ack.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (BuSM8)

93

<i>See, this is why I remain not cocksure as so many are</i>

 

OK, that deals with half of the demographic, but how sure are the women?

Posted by: Jay Guevara at November 05, 2012 12:17 PM (4u2LN)

94 I wish I could say I'm having hot, sweaty, monkey sex tomorrow night but alas, it is not to be.

That would be the only thing that could take my mind off the returns.

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:18 PM (iYbLN)

95 "I don't want him beat. Out of commission. Finish him."

Posted by: JamesBakerIV at November 05, 2012 12:18 PM (lYCRe)

96 97 I wish I could say I'm having hot, sweaty, monkey sex tomorrow night but alas, it is not to be.

How YOU doin'?

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:18 PM (kFnmp)

97 >>>Lastly, why the hell would any "Republican party source" provide internal polling data to anyone? And since they wouldn't, what's the reason for the seeming "leak"? I haven't followed the context of your comment, and I can only assume then that you're referring to Ace's main post. Well, campaigns leak internal polling all the time. Especially at the last minutes to rally the troops. It's not like keeping it secret from the Dems is that huge of a deal the day before election.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 12:18 PM (SKX2R)

98 65 Tomorrow night will be epic. Perhaps the best election night of my life.

With cheesecake.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 04:12 PM (8y9MW)



Yes, with Mrs. AllenG's epically delicious cheesecake.

Posted by: DangerGirl (@deadlyestrogen) at November 05, 2012 12:18 PM (GrtrJ)

99 7 [...] I'm waking up tomorrow, proudly voting a straight GOP ticket, then going dark for the rest of the day. I can't handle the stress of a close election. I just can't.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 04:03 PM (kFnmp)

Set your DVR to a lamestream media news station of your choice.  Then, after it's all safely over, you can watch the talking heads melt down.  And you will laugh and laugh and laugh.  :-)

Posted by: Mary in LA at November 05, 2012 12:19 PM (48wze)

100 Sefton@61:  Anyone in NYC tomorrow want to meet for a drink after work?

It's a trap! Just a plot to steal your wire cutters.

Posted by: little miss spellcheck at November 05, 2012 12:19 PM (a5ljo)

101 See how ironic that is? If Nevada has been looking like a No Go for a while. Ryan was "a go" to Nevada this morning.

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 12:19 PM (r2PLg)

102
The source is hedging, add 2 points to those.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 05, 2012 12:19 PM (PHb2k)

103 81 37 Truman. New Mexico red? Seems improbable, but I've only been there once. Lots of people; very few teeth. Posted by: LASue at November 05, 2012 04:15 PM (gjIQF) Don't judge people's political proclivities by their dentation. There are specific, legal, unstoppable fraud-busting efforts going on in New Mexico, by reliable operatives with a proven track record, that will keep democrats from turning out their machine in NM. Those people are as conservative as Utahns. We're fine.

Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 05, 2012 12:19 PM (I2LwF)

104 Why does this not comfort me? I want snuggly, warm comfort. One point advantage in internal polling makes me a-skeered. If it's a close election, they can't steal it. If it is a close election......?

Posted by: Lady in Black at November 05, 2012 04:15 PM (lTVJy)

 

 

------------------------------------------

 

 

Just make sure that you vote.  Drag anybody that's registered along with you.  Remind  them of how bad the SCOAMT's been for this nation. 

Posted by: Soona at November 05, 2012 12:19 PM (DAstp)

105 Set your DVR to a lamestream media news station of your choice. Then, after it's all safely over, you can watch the talking heads melt down. And you will laugh and laugh and laugh. :-)


Now that's a plan! 

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:20 PM (kFnmp)

106 WI should be in the bag just based on homerism. MA as well if they were not idiots.

Posted by: toby928© for TB at November 05, 2012 12:20 PM (QupBk)

107 To quote Howard Dean, since I forgot a darkhorse earlier:

AND MICHIGAN???

Posted by: The Q at November 05, 2012 12:20 PM (YpecZ)

108 Aloha Wyatt!

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:20 PM (iYbLN)

109 Romney will get NH.

Posted by: Honey Badger at November 05, 2012 12:20 PM (GvYeG)

110 Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 04:09 PM (SKX2R) HEY NostraDUMBASS kids !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: Evilpens at November 05, 2012 12:20 PM (ck76k)

111 I see mpfs is fishing for election erections again. Heh.

Posted by: maddogg at November 05, 2012 12:20 PM (OlN4e)

112 I'm getting a hair-ache.

Posted by: Slow Joe at November 05, 2012 12:20 PM (IoNBC)

113

Just read a Drudge linked article about Pelosi's epic failure to retake the house. 

So if they are admitting that, aren't they admitting that this will not be a 2008 model election?   

Posted by: California Red at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (Ho3p+)

114 111 Aloha Wyatt!

Hi dear!  Had to take a Twitter break because I can't stand the stress there.  At least here we talk about the election and pudding.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (kFnmp)

115
"Why does this not comfort me? I want snuggly, warm comfort."

Be scared.
Today & tomorrow
Time enough for snuggly, warm comfort later

Posted by: RayJ at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (pI/IV)

116 Romney campaigns tomorrow in Columbus Ohio and Pittsburgh. Is Ryan going anywhere tomorrow? Geesh.. I am confident but still nervous.

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (DGIjM)

117 114 I see mpfs is fishing for election erections again. Heh. Posted by: maddogg

I can dream, can't I?

Pass the Jamesons please.

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (iYbLN)

118 Last poll I saw had Fischer up by 3.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 05, 2012 04:16 PM (BuSM

Should be more, but 75% of the damn state lives in Omaha or Lincoln.
I don't think you can find a Democrat west of Grand Island.

Posted by: jwb7605 at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (Qxe/p)

119 Those people are as conservative as Utahns. We're fine.

Not the New Mexicans I've encountered.

I can see NM going Red, but not by very much.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (8y9MW)

120
Ohio or PA ends the dictatorship of Obenghazi.  Full stop, that would be it.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (PHb2k)

121 Except people in and around Taos, I would imagine.

Isn't Taos equivalent to taking Berkeley, slathering on a rich heaping of Austin, and rolling it up in San Francisco?

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 05, 2012 12:21 PM (BuSM8)

122 dananjcon at November 05, 2012 04:13 PM (jvd3N)



I'm glad you're safe! {{{hugs}}}

Posted by: Mary in LA at November 05, 2012 12:22 PM (48wze)

123 ALL of the swing states are going to Romney.

ALL of them.

Posted by: Tex Lovera at November 05, 2012 12:22 PM (wtvvX)

124 I'll take a point... ten would be better but....

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 05, 2012 12:22 PM (9+ccr)

125 This is a 'how to help' list for Sandy survivors?
From ABC27 http://tinyurl.com/a2pj65a

"Donate to Creekside Soul, a Perry County musical group that will strum and sing on midstate stages in the next couple weeks to raise money for Sandy relief."

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:22 PM (4nG/u)

126 109 To quote Howard Dean, since I forgot a darkhorse earlier:

AND MICHIGAN???

Posted by: The Q at November 05, 2012 04:20 PM (YpecZ)



YEEEEEAAARRRRRGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHH!!!!

Posted by: DangerGirl (@deadlyestrogen) at November 05, 2012 12:22 PM (GrtrJ)

127 I'm stocking up on pudding and Jack Daniels.

Posted by: dantesed at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (+Vac3)

128 Free money for the taking.

Posted by: Intrade at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (NIZHJ)

129 Should be more, but 75% of the damn state lives in Omaha or Lincoln.
I don't think you can find a Democrat west of Grand Island.

Posted by: jwb7605 at November 05, 2012 04:21 PM (Qxe/p)


Right. I live in Omaha and it's a three way city: Whites out west in the burbs, blacks in North Omaha, and Hispanics in South Omaha. The minority turnout is what gave Barry that single EV last time around.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (BuSM8)

130 106: Truman. Please share what you can after it's all over. Sounds muy interesante.

Posted by: LASue at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (gjIQF)

131 So if they are admitting that, aren't they admitting that this will not be a 2008 model election?

Tacitly, yes.  Explicitly, no.  If they just came out and said it, it would kill their turn-out even more.

And I don't see how Pelosi keeps her position as Minority Leader if she doesn't make significant gains in the House.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (8y9MW)

132 I will say, Nevada has changed demographically, but I have a good friend that is involved with an outside group in Nevada that actually says Romney is going to win there, and he was someone that was bearish on Romney's chances early on. Posted by: McAdams at November 05, 2012 04:16 PM (FCOXd) ______________ Yep. That's probably why they sent Ryan to Nevada--this morning. The little pack of political reporters with their twitter rumors. They've been exposed with all their-- "An insider told me Romney is conceding Nevada." Looks like they were not talking to "Insiders" deciding the campaign schedule...

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (r2PLg)

133 >>>But behind in Nevada. But then, Nevada has been looking like a No Go for a while.

My condolences for any Morons who are Nevadans but, it's time to change your name to East California.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Regular! With Full Stomping Power! at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (0q2P7)

134 I'm saving my election erection for Gergapalooza. No cutting in line!

Posted by: maddogg at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (OlN4e)

135 I live in Oklahoma, so this isn't likely to happen....but, if I spot a UN Poll Watcher at my polling place, I promise to vote first before............well, let's just say that it's going to be difficult to get election returns from inside a jail cell.  Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 04:08 PM (uRumV)

Where you at?  I am in Tulsa.  BTW, only judges appointed by Repub Govs on ballot are Bay Mitchell, Buettner, and Thornbrugh.  I really want those judges appointed by Brad Henry gone...

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (kXoT0)

136 I want to see Romney dancing to "Superfreak" at the victory party.

Posted by: little miss spellcheck at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (a5ljo)

137 >>>See, this is why I remain not cocksure as so many are--when your internals give you ONLY a one point lead in a state that is basically conservative and your opponent is not just a lib, but a PROGRESSIVE, then you ask, "What has happened to America." I agree a 1 point margin is razor thin. I made that point above. I don't think cocksure or premature gloating are warranted. The signs point to a close election. Find out tomorrow. But as to your larger point about the American electorate being dangerous and worse than ever, yeah, I agree there. They were presented with a guy who started his political career in the living room of a guy whose organization bombed the Pentagon, and said, "Hey. Let's make him President."

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (SKX2R)

138 In Taos they sit around and drink expensive wine that taste like shit, the women wear tons of turquoise and their skin is the consistency of leather.  They loathe having to walk among the little people.

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:23 PM (iYbLN)

139 116
Just read a Drudge linked article about Pelosi's epic failure to retake the house.
So if they are admitting that, aren't they admitting that this will not be a 2008 model election?

Posted by: California Red at November 05, 2012 04:21 PM (Ho3p+)

Our internal polling indicates that these sacrifices will enhance President Obama's chances, and will lead to less gridlock.

Posted by: Alexis Doucherod at November 05, 2012 12:24 PM (Qxe/p)

140 Oh, pudding.

What kind of booze goes with pistachio? I'm making the pudding shots tonight after work.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 05, 2012 12:24 PM (ZKzrr)

141 I was really, really hoping things wouldn't get to the point where I would need to be bucked up by internal polls released by the Romney campaign especially after the way things looked two weeks ago.  Nevertheless I am heartened by it.

Please. Please. be true, holy sh*t I can't take much more of this.


Posted by: CreatedOrSaved at November 05, 2012 12:24 PM (iJ3YG)

142 55 No such luck at home....still no power at my hovel in the rolling hills Sussex County.

Shame about me buying that last generator at Home Depot but my prized koi needed the air.

Posted by: Jerry Rivers at November 05, 2012 04:11 PM (feFL6)

**

Oh yeah Jerry, had no power/interwbs (was freezing my ass off) when you first tweeted those regrettable words. Just wanted to let you know that if I ever happen to run into you on the streets of NYC, I am gonna give you the most epic atomic wedgie ever inflicted upon one man....ever.

Fuckin Shitstain.


   

Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 12:24 PM (jvd3N)

143

Just read a Drudge linked article about Pelosi's epic failure to retake the house.
So if they are admitting that, aren't they admitting that this will not be a 2008 model election?

 

-----

 

That is one of the great quandaries of the  polling this election.  Obama wins if the electorate is like 2008, but wouldn't the Dems pick up a lot more house seats if that was the case. 

Posted by: SH at November 05, 2012 12:24 PM (gmeXX)

144

I keep asking the NM morons for their opinon.  I wonder what percentage  Governor Johnson will draw and what party he will siphon the most support from. 

I'm hoping pothead liberals vote for Johnson, and pothead libertarians for for Mitt. 

Seriously though, if it is close, will Johnson draw enough support in his home state to affect things?  

Posted by: California Red at November 05, 2012 12:24 PM (Ho3p+)

145 And, as I've said before...on day one the Romney administration needs to put a 200-mile-radius circle on the map centered on Searchlight, NV and zero out all federal spending in that area.

Posted by: JEM at November 05, 2012 04:17 PM (o+SC1)

 

 

------------------------------------------

 

 

And, above all, he needs to  warn them of the Searchlight Strangler - Harry Reid.  But I'm sure they've already noticed the  dwindling population of small boys there.

Posted by: Soona at November 05, 2012 12:24 PM (DAstp)

146 are internal polls typically too optimistic

No, just the opposite.  They spend millions doing it right, something Razz or Gallup just can't do.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 05, 2012 12:25 PM (PHb2k)

147 are internal polls typically too optimistic srs q Posted by: JDP at November 05, 2012 04:22 PM (60GaT) R/R have constantly pushed the meme vote like we're 3 down. That is why this "LEAK" they want the R's & I's & D's voting for R/R to not get complacent ! & why would the "Leak" Internals to a Brit ?

Posted by: Evilpens at November 05, 2012 12:25 PM (ck76k)

148 How goes the Senate?

Posted by: Padme at November 05, 2012 12:26 PM (NIZHJ)

149 I bet Romney wins Nevada. But again: Don't watch the results. Ignore the TV, ignore the news. Shut it all off for the day, don't even come to blogs if you can't stay away from the results. Just wait until Wednesday, it can wait 24 hours.
Just think of all the stuff you can get done or the naps you can take, or sex you can get or whatever. Do something else that day. Relax, enjoy yourself. Then Wednesday see what it was like.
I say this for four reasons:
1) you're just going to get an aneurism or ulcer if you don't give this a break, its too big and you can't influence it beyond your vote on Tuesday 2) The press is going to do everything humanly possible to call the election for Obama, to suppress votes west of the Mississippi, and to depress you. Why enable them? Just avoid the bastards. Shut them out. 3) The real work begins on Wednesday and we need the rest. We've been pushing hard. Take time off. You don't need to know the results the billisecond they come out 4) Usually the results are confused, incomplete, and contradictory for the first day anyway. Avoid the grief.
Please, people, do this. If you are a nelson house ESPECIALLY ignore the TV results. Choke them out, starve the beast. This is their big night, make them pay for all the times you've gritted your teeth and shook your fist at the press. The best way to make them pay is to just ignore them.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:26 PM (r4wIV)

150 As usual, the only thing curbing my enthusiasm is the leaking of internals.

I swear they are doing this to keep us thinking it is close and to not get cocky.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at November 05, 2012 12:26 PM (JxIkO)

151 I hear Harry is a Pederast.  Did anyone else hear that.  It was a reliable source, so I believe him.  Where are the bodies?

Posted by: dfbaskwill at November 05, 2012 12:26 PM (71LDo)

152 142 In Taos they sit around and drink expensive wine that taste like shit, the women wear tons of turquoise and their skin is the consistency of leather. They loathe having to walk among the little people.

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 04:23 PM (iYbLN)


That's what I thought.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at November 05, 2012 12:26 PM (BuSM8)

153 138 >>>But behind in Nevada. But then, Nevada has been looking like a No Go for a while. My condolences for any Morons who are Nevadans but, it's time to change your name to East California. Posted by: MikeTheMoose Regular! With Full Stomping Power! at November 05, 2012 04:23 PM (0q2P7) ______________ Paul Ryan was in Nevada this morning. It ain't over.

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 12:26 PM (r2PLg)

154 A win is a win is a win

Posted by: Nevergiveup at November 05, 2012 12:26 PM (79ueO)

155 I swear they are doing this to keep us thinking it is close and to not get cocky.


It's working.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:27 PM (kFnmp)

156 125 dananjcon at November 05, 2012 04:13 PM (jvd3N)



I'm glad you're safe! {{{hugs}}}

Posted by: Mary in LA at November 05, 2012 04:22 PM (48wze) 

**

Thanks Mary...back at ya!


Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 12:27 PM (jvd3N)

157 Signed up for the RR volunteer call list-the button to place call is not enabling the call to go through. Any other volunteer morons having this issue? Thank you ACE for hammering this onward to victory.

Posted by: Solomon Kane at November 05, 2012 12:27 PM (PuhRH)

158 We were going to take a look at Sandra Fluke's internal pole, but nobody can seem to find it.

Posted by: Roy at November 05, 2012 12:27 PM (VndSC)

159 Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 04:23 PM (SKX2R) Hey Nostradumbass shows up & the Particular time that the "Internal Polling Leak" came out HMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM

Posted by: Evilpens at November 05, 2012 12:27 PM (ck76k)

160 I think we're going to sneak in wins at IA and WI just based off the demographics of the states, the obvious momentum, and the time both candidates have spent there late. I believe we tip both of them because they are hurting with white working class and have been for 2.5 - 3 years. Unions can't goose the numbers much anymore. I think in many ways this PA thing is mostly on the Philly urban machine. It does seem we took advantage of people's donations to Romney over the months, and caught them with their pants down a little bit here, but the city is a lot to overcome.

Posted by: Dave S. at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (UvR6d)

161 A little ahead is better than a big behind.

Posted by: LASue at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (gjIQF)

162 Wyatt,

I meant to ask you something.  Have you ever watched, Homicide Hunter on Dicovery? Lt. Joe Kenda of Colorado Springs Police Dept?

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (iYbLN)

163 Few things frustrate me more than western states just giving up because early returns in the East make them think its pointless. You stupid bastards, we can bury them with our votes. Ignore the press dammit. Ignore the coverage.
And what the hell difference does it make if we get cocky now? Do you really think people are going to stay home and not vote for Romney or something? I just do not understand that dumb line.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (r4wIV)

164 Btw, I saw a narrow EV R-victory prediction by the WaPo political reporter where he had Romney losing Winning PA but loosing VA and OH.  Kinda nutz, but whatever works.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (UypUQ)

165 Who was it earlier that pointed out there were no trolls today? Apparently that was a jinx.

Posted by: Ian S. at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (B/VB5)

166 Is the Pedophile Senator out of the hospital yet?

Posted by: jeremiah GOD Bless America with a Mitt Romney Presidency wright at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (ovpNn)

167 Obama's still going to win, which I hate because I'm totally a wingnut... errrr, I mean constitutionalist!

Yeah, that's the ticket.

Posted by: Samdumb Choadsmoke at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (WMsq+)

168 >>> I was really, really hoping things wouldn't get to the point where I would need to be bucked up by internal polls released by the Romney campaign Ouch. >>> are internal polls typically too optimistic No, but they cherry pick which ones to release.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (SKX2R)

169 I meant to ask you something. Have you ever watched, Homicide Hunter on Dicovery? Lt. Joe Kenda of Colorado Springs Police Dept?

Yes!  Very good show. 

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:28 PM (kFnmp)

170 should be win PA; lose OH/VA.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (UypUQ)

171 No mention of CO. Romney lock?

Posted by: Honey Badger at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (GvYeG)

172 LASue, ISWYDT

Michelle does not have a big behind, she is just well padded. 

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (4nG/u)

173 That's a creepy pic of 0bama at Drudge. Looks like a wax dummy.

Posted by: Dr. Varno at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (rYp+j)

174 And, above all, he needs to warn them of the Searchlight Strangler - Harry Reid. But I'm sure they've already noticed the dwindling population of small boys there. Posted by: Soona at November 05, 2012 04:24 PM (DAstp) ____________________ Harry barely won Searchlight. I think by only-- 3 votes. IIRC

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (r2PLg)

175 Stand Back Bitchez. We're so pissed off at the JEF we're going Old Testament on his ass.

Posted by: The Catholic Church. at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (lnvhI)

176 http://tinyurl.com/b6chjby

DENVER — An eerie quiet has settled over the Walker Components plant, which assembles custom cables for a global wind turbine company. Orders are down from earlier in the year and one-third of its employees have been laid off this year.

“At the beginning of this year we just didn’t feel we had enough time, and now we’ve got too much time on our hands,” one of its workers, 25-year-old Calvin Huddleston said. “I really thought wind would be a sustainable business.”

The wind energy boom President Barack Obama touted as key to his energy strategy has hit a wall in an election-year dispute over taxpayer support for renewable energy...


Posted by: LC LaWedgie at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (rzTDZ)

177 Posted by: Dave in Fla at November 05, 2012 04:26 PM (JxIkO) DiF if you are down ytou make it Close with a "Internal Polling" you don't put yourself up !! Remember McLame Campaign in 2008 They were "Tied" in Iowa

Posted by: Evilpens at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (ck76k)

178 Good news: My brother, an economist prof at a respected university, think Nate Silver's model is crap, and that if a first-year grad student came to him with such a forecasting idea, he'd laugh him out of the room. As if we didn't already know it was crap.

Posted by: HoboJerky, profit of DOOM! at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (fCMdQ)

179
are internal polls typically too optimistic?

Leaked ones tend to be.

But I would never leak a poll that said we were comfortably ahead.
I don't want people to get comfortable.
I want to win.

If my internals said that we were very much ahead, I would leak that we were very narrowly ahead.

Posted by: RayJ at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (pI/IV)

180 Our internal polling indicates that these sacrifices will enhance President Obama's chances, and will lead to less gridlock. Posted by: Alexis Doucherod at November 05, 2012 04:24 PM (Qxe/p) we rate this as mostly true

Posted by: politifact at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (DGIjM)

181 94 I've got Barack's internal pole right here. Wanna see?

Posted by: Reggie Love at November 05, 2012 04:17 PM (t06LC)

Hey back off bitch, Barack ain't playin' with your pole, he's got my Hugo Chavez lubed pole.

Posted by: Van Jones at November 05, 2012 12:29 PM (Vu3LY)

182

34... No such luck at home....still no power at my hovel in the rolling hills Sussex County. But all friends and loved one are safe and sound, thank God.
 


Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 04:07 PM (jvd3N)

 

--------

 

Glad you and yours are safe, dananjcon.

Hope you get power back soon, since there is that winter storm coming.

 

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 12:30 PM (ICEh3)

183 134 106: Truman. Please share what you can after it's all over. Sounds muy interesante. I will if you remind me.

Posted by: Truman North, 315-223 at November 05, 2012 12:30 PM (I2LwF)

184 Great, well thought out post,,, McAdams at November 05, 2012 04:16 PM (FCOXd)

Posted by: Dix Handley at November 05, 2012 12:30 PM (gKuGC)

185 Keep posting articles about how Romney's going to win by a ton. That's all we want to read right now.

Posted by: Jerry at November 05, 2012 12:30 PM (8noFI)

186 What makes Lt. Joe Kenda's show awesome is his delivery.  So deadpan so Joe Friday.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:30 PM (4nG/u)

187 Who is with me? WHO IS WITH ME?? Tomorrow night, we're going to lead the charge up that hill to take it back. WHO IS WITH ME???

Posted by: New Hampshire at November 05, 2012 12:30 PM (F6KtL)

188 OT - I was just typing out a Word document at work. Wanting to italicize a phrase, I found myself entering [ i] ...

What is this place doing to me?

Posted by: Waterhouse at November 05, 2012 12:30 PM (w+lzM)

189 Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 04:28 PM (SKX2R) NostraDUMBass again Boys & Girls

Posted by: Evilpens at November 05, 2012 12:30 PM (ck76k)

190 190 What makes Lt. Joe Kenda's show awesome is his delivery. So deadpan so Joe Friday.

Ironically, most detectives I work with are like us Morons.  Wiseasses with a snarky sense of humor.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:31 PM (kFnmp)

191 are internal polls typically too optimistic

No, just the opposite. They spend millions doing it right, something Razz or Gallup just can't do.

True, but what they choose to leak is strategic.

You could believe that R^2 is choosing to release a close poll based on a conservative (i.e., more Democrat) turnout model to show everybody that it's winnable but not to get complacent.

A losing candidate will release his best polls.

Posted by: AmishDude at November 05, 2012 12:31 PM (T0NGe)

192 I'm worried about Wisconsin. I want that mandate. If we get enough Senators to repeal Obamacare (50+VP via reconciliation) the Dems will be screaming and the media will be slandering.

We need a big enough mandate to push that through. If it's not done ASAP it might not get done.

Posted by: bigpale at November 05, 2012 12:31 PM (dUEIg)

193
Paul Ryan was in Nevada this morning.

It ain't over.

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 04:26 PM (r2PLg)


This may be anecdotal but I voted friday here in henderson at the Galleria.  There were a lot of pissed off looking people at the polls with pissy expressions in line.

The surprising thing is i watched them as the entered and as they left the polls while i moved up in the line...most of the pissed off looking ones had lookes of peace on their face when they left the polling station.

The few who were there with forced happy faces on left the polls looking distressed.

Make of it what you will.


Posted by: jeremiah GOD Bless America with a Mitt Romney Presidency wright at November 05, 2012 12:31 PM (ovpNn)

194 “I really thought wind would be a sustainable business.”

Oh, it feels so good to laugh.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 05, 2012 12:31 PM (ZKzrr)

195 I meant to ask you something. Have you ever watched, Homicide Hunter on Dicovery? Lt. Joe Kenda of Colorado Springs Police Dept?

Yes! Very good show.
Posted by: Wyatt Earp

Yup, he is terrific.  He stated that he wouldn't read from a script.  He wanted to tell it his way or no deal.  I love the line where he says: "My. my, my."


Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:32 PM (iYbLN)

196 I want Barack's pole!

Posted by: Chris Matthews at November 05, 2012 12:32 PM (Z7toi)

197

Is there a pudding primer for spouses?  I'm afraid I might be in for a divorce if my wife catches me dipping my sack in pudding tomorrow night.  I just can't seem to find the right way to explain it to her though?

Posted by: California Red at November 05, 2012 12:32 PM (Ho3p+)

198 A little ahead is better than a big behind. A little ahead is like being just a tiny bit pregnant.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Coming not nearly soon enough. at November 05, 2012 12:32 PM (VtjlW)

199 What kind of booze goes with pistachio? I'm making the pudding shots tonight after work.


I'm thinking dark rum. Sailor Jerry's.

Posted by: fluffeneidas at November 05, 2012 12:32 PM (5ggkP)

200 Yup, he is terrific. He stated that he wouldn't read from a script. He wanted to tell it his way or no deal. I love the line where he says: "My. my, my."

Credit to the profession.  Doing God's work out there.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:32 PM (kFnmp)

201 Please, please people blow off the results tomorrow. Every time you get an urge to check the election results, do something for someone you love instead. Give the wife a kiss, play with the kitty cat, make your hubby a sammich, anything. Just avoid it all.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:32 PM (r4wIV)

202 Polling data looks ok for us given all the tossups... All other data looks much better... Geez I hope we're right.

Posted by: HoboJerky, profit of DOOM! at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (fCMdQ)

203 D.M. Hawkins @HawkinsUSA Here goes nothing. My Prediction: Romney: NC, FL, VA, CO, OH, IA, NH, PA - 305 Votes. Obama: WI, MI, MN, NV - 233 Votes bit.ly/2012Prediction

Posted by: Evilpens at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (ck76k)

204 Joe Kenda when he encounters a whopper, his delivery of "Oh -pause- really?"

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (4nG/u)

205 Internal polls...ugh. Anyway I am hopeful that ObamaZombies aren't going to show up in the numbers needed and R enthusiasm is huge. Prayers up!

Posted by: DeusExMachina at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (6RTwM)

206 I want Barack's pole!
Posted by: Chris Matthews at November 05, 2012 04:32 PM

Get in line, bitch.

Posted by: Reggie, Kal, and Gerg at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (WMsq+)

207 “I really thought wind would be a sustainable business.” There will be a reckoning for all involved in the "let's put giant Cuisinarts on poles" business.

Posted by: The Birds at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (B/VB5)

208 for all the talk of the Philly machine, if Romney wins the collar counties, he wins Pennsylvania.  I think Chester County is a lock, Bucks looks good, and Montgomery and Delaware will follow.

Posted by: tofer732 at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (2zM0P)

209 Never forget-- this all began with....

CHICAGO IS OOOUUUUUUT?!

Posted by: Filly at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (hf3Lq)

210 I called Planned Parenthood to volunteer to be a pole watcher, but they didn't know what I was talking about.

Posted by: Sandra Fluke at November 05, 2012 12:33 PM (A1qjF)

211 On twitter: 

A new low for Obama presidency: Jay-Z replacing a misogynistic swear word with the word "Mitt" as he performs at an Obama event.


"I got 99 problems but Mitt ain't one"

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (X6akg)

212 I wouldn't worry too much about some of the networks trying to call the race early for Barkypants.  Fox News will have twice the viewership of any of the other cable outlets and will probably match or beat any of the networks.  So, I doubt their efforts will come to anything meaningful.

Also, OT but, Jennifer Griffin deserves a Pulitzer for her reporting on the Bengahzi story.

Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (uRumV)

213 Harry Reid's machine -- fueled by unions and illegal aliens working as get out the vote staffers -- might just be too much for any ethical campaign to overcome. ____________________ Ace Harry's machine--couldn't get Rory Reid unburied from the Sandoval landslide. Rory Reid didn't come out form the blue he had or has a very important seat on the Clark County Board of Commissioners. it is the county that controls the building and permits ,etc. for The Strip--not the mayor. Then there is the fact that Harry barely won Searchlight. Harry Reid won his hometown of Searchlight by three votes By Delen Goldberg Published Wednesday, Nov. 10, 2010 | 4:30 p.m. Updated Friday, Nov. 12, 2010 | 1:49 p.m. Republicans maintained throughout the U.S. Senate race that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid sold out his small-town roots in favor of a lavish Washington lifestyle. But Reid won his hometown of Searchlight in last week's election, according to precinct voter tallies released today. Just barely. ____ Las Vegas Sun. You have to stop falling for Dem scare tactics.

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (r2PLg)

214 >>>My brother, an economist prof at a respected university, think Nate Silver's model is crap, and that if a first-year grad student came to him with such a forecasting idea, he'd laugh him out of the room. I agree his model is crap, because he seems to cherry pick and weight stuff to his heart's content.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (SKX2R)

215 My neighbor just came and knocked on my door to tell me Obama is going to win tomorrow. a taunting neighbor?

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (jUytm)

216 >>>No, but they cherry pick which ones to release.

So is this the best one they've got over the past t weeks?
Really the most recent results?
Or hand picked to fire up the base to fight FIGHT FIGHT!!!!

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Trying to have Faith and not worry, no matter the outcome. at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (0q2P7)

217 I think Ace is right, there's a huge religious vote coming out there and its going to land all over Obama like a fold of Roseanne Barr's belly fat.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (r4wIV)

218 OT - I was just typing out a Word document at work. Wanting to italicize a phrase, I found myself entering [ i] ...

What is this place doing to me?

Posted by: Waterhouse at November 05, 2012 04:30 PM (w+lzM)

 

 

------------------------------------------

 

 

When Romney wins tomorrow night, can we have our html back, Ace?

Posted by: Soona at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (DAstp)

219 Since September, the always-right U of CO poll has predicted solid Mitt, but that he doesn't get NV.

Posted by: Filly at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (hf3Lq)

220 What I'd like to see late Tuesday night: Ace makes post: Is This Something? and below the fold is a pic of a very sad Obama

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (jUytm)

221 I have a funny feeling about this.

Posted by: Admiral Ackbar at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (NIZHJ)

222 What makes Lt. Joe Kenda's show awesome is his delivery. So deadpan so Joe Friday.

Ironically, most detectives I work with are like us Morons. Wiseasses with a snarky sense of humor.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp


That was my dad, Wyatt.  A coroner with a twisted sense of humor.

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:34 PM (iYbLN)

223 Every time you get an urge to check the election results ... Make more pudding.

Posted by: toby928© for TB at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (QupBk)

224 138 M the M "My condolences for any Morons who are Nevadans but, it's time to change your name to East California. " I've speculated,here, that CA may vote for Romney tomorrow. I've heard rumblings on the ground here, seen ALMOST NO "O" signs (even on the plethora of Priuii we have here), and am starting to detect sympatico vibes on the interwebz ... ... do not give up hope for us. Never Give Up, Never Surrender.

Posted by: Arbalest at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (Y/mKi)

225

Can't get too political in only 140 chac but for those asking, I'm voting .

Posted by: AmishDude at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (T0NGe)

226 Man who stand with hand in pocket feel cocky.

Posted by: Confucious at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (AxE3L)

227 I just can't seem to find theright wayto explain it to her though? Sit her down and explain to her that sometimes, when a Moron hears wonderful election news, that the only way for the Moron to express his/her happiness and joy is to dip his balls/nips (as relevant) in pudding. When she stares at you in disbelief and dismay, whip out that lovely robin's egg blue box and say "hey look I got you something!" That should work.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Coming not nearly soon enough. at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (VtjlW)

228 212 For all the talk of the Philly machine, if Romney wins the collar counties, he wins Pennsylvania. I think Chester County is a lock, Bucks looks good, and Montgomery and Delaware will follow.

I drive through Abington (Montco) to get to work.  Romney/Obama signs about evenly split.  That's huge.  In 2008 it was a sea of Obama signs. 

Romney will lose Philly - God I hate my fucking town - but he'll probably win its suburbs.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (kFnmp)

229 Crap. Looks like another storm headed for NJ and NY area. Might be heavy wet snow which could bring wires down -- again. Have to head out to Home Depot and buy the last portable heater to keep my koi warm.

Posted by: Jerry Rivers [/i] at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (feFL6)

230 Wow Tami, I guess Jay-Z is afraid with Barry gone he won't be able to write off blowing $104,000 in champagne anymore.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (4nG/u)

231

Dear sweet Moroni, don't fail Mitt now. 

(OK, doesn't translate so well from the Blues Brothers schtick.)

Posted by: cadesnana123@aol.com at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (W+Itt)

232 Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 04:34 PM (SKX2R) & again Ladies & Gents

Posted by: Evilpens at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (ck76k)

233 Anna Puma,

I love the one line were Kenda says: :Excellent. All our phone lines are open."

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:35 PM (iYbLN)

234 <<Harry Reid's machine -- fueled by unions and illegal aliens working as staffers -- might just be too much for any ethical campaign to overcome.>>

Thanks for at least tacitly admitting what Sharon Angle and any other candidate would have been up against, not to mention "Republicans for Reid" and the openly acknowledged bussing of Casino workers to the polls...not even close to the same situation as O'Donnell.

That said I am still going to call Nevada for Romney. The polling sources are unreliable and there just isn't the enthusiasm for Obama this time around. A good percentage of Clark County's 2008 and 2010 leftist voter base will not turn out this time, this will be offset by the sizeable population of Southern Nevada Mormons who largely sat out the last two elections.

Nevada will go red.

Posted by: Sgt. York at November 05, 2012 12:36 PM (WWOMr)

235 @MelissaJoanHart


Can't get too political in only 140 chac but for those asking, I'm voting #RomneyRyan.

Posted by: AmishDude at November 05, 2012 04:35 PM (T0NGe)



At the risk of embarrassing myself, who is Melissa Joan Hart?

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 12:36 PM (X6akg)

236 Paul Ryan is going to Colorado tomorrow.

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 05, 2012 12:36 PM (DGIjM)

237 wow, Clarissa really does know it all!

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (jUytm)

238 Things to do instead of checking polling results tomorrow:
Hunt a hobo
Make more pudding
buy more Valu-Rite vodka
Watch another show in the Firefly marathon
browse for pictures of Paul Ryan/Cake Girl
Bake a cake for your guy and serve it to him wearing only an apron

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (r4wIV)

239 Fish fry at Jerry River's place!

Posted by: My Name's Not Dave at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (NIZHJ)

240 http://youtu.be/uARn2MCUZN4

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (4nG/u)

241 Christ, why don't you just post an official Eyeore thread and be done with it?

Posted by: Arboc Rednammoc at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (AxE3L)

242 This may be anecdotal but I voted friday here in henderson at the Galleria. __________________ Ha! Are you in Henderson? Your story--sounds good to me! --I think Henderson trends more Republican.

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (r2PLg)

243 @MelissaJoanHart




Can't get too political in only 140 chac but for those asking, I'm voting #RomneyRyan.

Posted by: AmishDude at November 05, 2012 04:35 PM (T0NGe)


Hope she knows what shes in for now. I just told her to expect the verbal assault from the left.

Posted by: DoomedNoLonger at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (Gr8DF)

244 241 Paul Ryan is going to Colorado tomorrow.

  psyche or worry? bite my Eeyore tongue...

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (9+ccr)

245 "I got 99 problems but Mitt ain't one" Is that an endorsement?

Posted by: toby928© for TB at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (QupBk)

246 On this day before the election that decides the future of our country I am struck by two things. The first is my level of emotion, I am all crazy inside. The second is the complete and utter disdain for those that are either ignorant of whats going on or support Obama. My disgust for those people is darn right unhealthy.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (3Y7RV)

247 At the risk of embarrassing myself, who is Melissa Joan Hart?
cute actress, played a witch in a TV show. Only Disney girl not to turn into a total whore.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (r4wIV)

248 That was my dad, Wyatt. A coroner with a twisted sense of humor.

Crime scenes with a body are the worst.  It's joke after inappropriate joke.  Once landed a suicide where the male was lying on the floor (he took pills) wearing a pair of shorts and no underwear.

Sadly, he died with an erection.  Thank God he lived alone, because the family wouldn't appreciate our off-color comments.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (kFnmp)

249 At the risk of embarrassing myself, who is Melissa Joan Hart?

She was on a TV show that starred a talking cat.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 05, 2012 12:37 PM (ZKzrr)

250 At the risk of embarrassing myself, who is Melissa Joan Hart?

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 04:36 PM (X6akg)


Clarissa Explains It All and Sabrina The Teenage Witch.  Don't make fun of me I'm young enough to have watched those shows.

Posted by: Adam at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (/YJYi)

251 Nevermind, working now. Making those calls LETS DO THIS !!RR!!

Posted by: Solomon Kane at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (PuhRH)

252 234 Wow Tami, I guess Jay-Z is afraid with Barry gone he won't be able to write off blowing $104,000 in champagne anymore.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 04:35 PM (4nG/u)


Those libs, they're allllll class.  There's a hashtag on twitter, #blacks4Romney.....you should see some of the vile tweets blacks are tweeting to other blacks who are using that hashtag. 

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (X6akg)

253 Oh, it feels so good to laugh.
Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 05, 2012 04:31 PM


Posted by: LC LaWedgie at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (rzTDZ)

254 Melissa Joan Hart played Sabrina in Sabrina the Teenage Witch.  One of the last funny clean shows on Big Three networks.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (4nG/u)

255

38 I live in Oklahoma, so this isn't likely to
happen....but, if I spot a UN Poll Watcher at my polling place, I
promise to vote first before............well, let's just say that it's
going to be difficult to get election returns from inside a jail cell. 

 

Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 04:08 PM (uRumV)

 

-----------

 

I'm in OK too.

But where I am is such a deep red, redneck area, that it would be great if some UN Poll Watchers showed up...

Just for the sheer entertainment value!

 

[Mustang area]

 

 

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (ICEh3)

256 I have a fifteen year old bottle of Jameson that I've been holding onto for an occasion such as this.

Posted by: ziptie at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (0jqpK)

257 "Bake a cake for your guy and serve it to him wearing only an apron"

We're there, dude.


Posted by: Reggie, Kal, and Gerg at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (WMsq+)

258 @MelissaJoanHart
Can't get too political in only 140 chac but for those asking, I'm voting #RomneyRyan.

This call for some cheesecake!
http://preview.tinyurl.com/ydsw23x Probably NSFW

Posted by: Waterhouse at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (w+lzM)

259 cute actress, played a witch in a TV show. Only Disney girl not to turn into a total whore. Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 04:37 PM (r4wIV) Best description of her ever.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 12:38 PM (3Y7RV)

260

#7:  "I. Can't. Fucking. Take. It. Anymore.

"I'm waking up tomorrow, proudly voting a straight GOP ticket, then going dark for the rest of the day. I can't handle the stress of a close election. I just can't."

 

Ditto.  I will here admit how I dealt with all four debates,

Debate One:  I turned off the tv, sat in darkness with my computer, did all I could to avoid websites or newsites that had pics or reports of the debate in progress, and oh, yeah, to pass time, I took a long hot bath and didn't listen to the radio as I usually do.  Ninety minutes later, with dread, I went to HotAir and just as I saw a page of posts of jubilation, my phone rang with my sister (who'd been warned not to call me during the debate, not to offer progress reports) at the other end screaming for joy.  I spent the rest of the night reading the posts at HotAir and loving it.

Debate 2:  VP debate:  same thing- when sis called, she told me Biden had been really, really weird as if he was "on something."

Debates 3 and 4 :  Was visiting my sister who lives 2.5 hours away for a few weeks.  Knowing I couldn't bear to watch these any more than I could the previous two, my sister suggested that I spend the 90 minutes in her computer room, with door shut as she watched the debate on a tv in another room.  I said, "No, can't, " because the two rooms shared a wall and I knew I could hear through the wall and because I figured she'd be letting out shouts during the debate.

So, in both instances, I left her house, got in my car, went to Starbucks, then Office Depot, browsed, drove around town, and basically wasted the gas in my car that I had paid $4.74/gal for.

As I have aged, I've grown less able to deal with such things.  I have no idea what I'll do tomorrow.  I like a glass of wine now and then and a good Margarita, but I'm supposed to be watching my blood sugar so shouldn't have those....I am a real mess.  Rip Van Winkle time...who knows?

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 12:39 PM (wgmUB)

261 Glad you and yours are safe, dananjcon.
Hope you get power back soon, since there is that winter storm coming.

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 04:30 PM (ICEh3)

**


Not looking good. We've been given a window of between the 7th-12th. I've got a fireplace but no running water, fortunately I live on a lake so I've been filling my toilet tanks with lake water to flush. Its like little house on the friggin prairie, my back is killing me and I'm hemorrhaging cash. I'm just thankful Jerry Rivera's gold fish are safe.


Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 12:39 PM (jvd3N)

262 >>>True, but what they choose to leak is strategic. Yes, this. That said, if I were choosing what to leak, and I had a poll showing my side blowing out the opposition, and another showing a narrow race, I'd sure as hell leak the second one even if I thought the first one was more likely to be true. You can suppress turnout with complacency, not just despondency. So I'm not saying the Romney internal polls leaked are wrong. Just that they're tight.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 12:39 PM (SKX2R)

263 I just can't seem to find theright wayto explain it to her though?  Posted by: California Red at November 05, 2012 04:32 PM (Ho3p+)

Tell her it is the latest thing based on the bestseller, "Fifty Shades Of Butterscotch."  Or just buy her jewelry...

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at November 05, 2012 12:39 PM (kXoT0)

264 Melissa Joan Hart, circa 2010.

http://tinyurl.com/bmt85dl

You're welcome.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:39 PM (kFnmp)

265
>>>Never Give Up, Never Surrender.

I still live in California. While I haven't given up or surrendered yet, when we re-elected Moonbeam in '10 I started to price out white flags.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Trying to have Faith and not worry, no matter the outcome. at November 05, 2012 12:39 PM (0q2P7)

266 BARONE and RASSMUSSEN on HANNITY NOW.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:39 PM (XkWWK)

267 261 I have a fifteen year old bottle of Jameson that I've been holding onto for an occasion such as this. Posted by: ziptie at November 05, 2012 04:38 PM (0jqpK) Just bought a pint of Makers. One way or the other shots will be taken at my house.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 12:40 PM (3Y7RV)

268 All the risque stuff was left to Salem the talking black cat.  Why is he a cat?  Witches Council decided his plans for world domination was a really bad idea.  So Sabrina's aunts are his wardens.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:40 PM (4nG/u)

269 I wonder if JayZ will sing his song "money cash hoes" at the rally today, in honor of the war on women and evil wealthy people

Posted by: DoomedNoLonger at November 05, 2012 12:40 PM (Gr8DF)

270

Wyatt - I live in Western Montgomery.  Very few Obama signs, and lots of Romney signs.  Much different than 2008. 

 

Went to a Halloween party at my kids' preschool.  Guy showed up with a big Romney mask - got a very favorable response.

Posted by: tofer732 at November 05, 2012 12:40 PM (2zM0P)

271 My wife and I just canceled our after-Thanksgiving trip to Vegas. (Really.)  We figured that if the Vegas union folks hate us rich Republicans so much and seem to enjoy their state's current pathetic economy why should rock their boat?  Why should we spend money at The Venetian and line their pockets?  We're now searching for a nice "Red State" place to go.

Posted by: ilrndude at November 05, 2012 12:40 PM (aUnng)

272 Things to do instead of checking poll results tomorrow:
Hunt for obscure headbanger songs to post for Robert on the ONT
Create new Ewok-themed motivational posters
Speculate how Princess Leia would look in Disney animation style
Catch up on old episodes of Mythbusters featuring Kari
Stock up on more pudding cups and hand them out to neighbors on Wednesday
Buy an ebook written by a moron and read it.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:40 PM (r4wIV)

273 270 Posted by: MikeTheMoose Trying to have Faith and not worry, no matter the outcome. at November 05, 2012 04:39 PM (0q2P7) Do like the Dems do. Steal them.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:40 PM (XkWWK)

274

Quick New Mexico primer: Think of NM as three different polities: Albuqueruque and the lower Rio Grande which includes Las Cruces, SE New Mexico and Northern NM (El Norte).

ABQ and South are D-majority, but R's are competitive. SENM is called "Little Texas" for a reason: Most of the oil and gas and highly conservative. El Norte? Taos, Santa Fe and environs. Strong R area in the NW corner, but blue as it gets otherwise.

Gore beat Bush here in 2000 because it snowed in SENM on election day. (True story!). Obama came in and out organized us in '08 and won a crushing, Conan-like victory.

Because of that drubbing and the fact that Libertarian candidate gary Johnson is from here, both sides basically bailed on the state early which might be a blessing. I don't know what Truman knows, what I do know is that, as in most battlegrounds, D early is down, R is up.

As is the case in most NM races it'll come down to election day in ABQ. If it breathes and looks like it'll vote R in SENM we're getting them out. I do have specific knowledge of that (Can I sleep yet? )

Northern NM turnout will be down, there's no excitement for O there. Honestly, some racism probably involved.

Comes down to how well the Party and Victory can get the NE Heights R's to turn ouit in ABQ. 80% plus, we're in it. Going to be interesting.

Posted by: jdw at November 05, 2012 12:40 PM (D8d/7)

275 let us know what they say J.J.

Posted by: tofer732 at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (2zM0P)

276
If you want to know what their true internals say, watch where they are, OdipO in WI?  Clinton in Scranton, PA?  Biden in Sane?

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (PHb2k)

277 116 Just read a Drudge linked article about Pelosi's epic failure to retake the house. So if they are admitting that, aren't they admitting that this will not be a 2008 model election?

==============

That's a good point.

Posted by: edj at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (+QKfp)

278 They just had a major fire in Jersey City, NJ. Two buildings involved. Didn't PurpAv pretty much predict that last night? Splash salt water around 50-year-old breaker panel, wait a few days, apply 200 amps, call the fire department.

Posted by: Ian S. at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (B/VB5)

279 Ras has a model of 39/37/24

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (zhe90)

280 So if you're lost and on your own
You can never surrender
And if your path won't lead you home
You can never surrender

And when the night is cold and dark
You can see, you can see light
'Cause no one can take away your right
To fight and to never surrender, to never surrender

And when the night is cold and dark
You can see, you can see light
And no one can take away your right
To fight and to never surrender, to never surrender

Posted by: Corey Hart (the sunglasses at night one, not the baseball one) at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (ZKzrr)

281 when we re-elected Moonbeam in '10 I started to price out white flags. __________ Gawd--that was bad.

Posted by: tasker at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (r2PLg)

282 219
My neighbor just came and knocked on my door to tell me Obama is going to win tomorrow.

a taunting neighbor?

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 04:34 PM (jUytm)


Take a huge shit in a brown paper bag tonight and put it on her/his doorstep, light it on fire, ring the bell and run



Posted by: jeremiah GOD Bless America with a Mitt Romney Presidency wright at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (ovpNn)

283 Yes, I think the evangelical vote in Ohio will put Mitt over.

Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (DQMcq)

284 Buy an ebook written by a moron and read it.

---

Saaaaaaaay.  You've written some e-books, haven't you, CT?

Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (WMsq+)

285 Whuttup, bitchez? I have no idea what's going on with this thread, cuz I'm in Vegas, baby! Highlights would be appreciated. I am so looking forward to tomorrow. Landslide, landslide, landslide.

Posted by: Kalneva at November 05, 2012 12:41 PM (snW63)

286 Went to a Halloween party at my kids' preschool. Guy showed up with a big Romney mask - got a very favorable response.

I'm hopeful, but a pessimist by nature.  Comes with dealing with lying criminals all day.  We'll see, but the stress is killing me.

Thankfully, I have the day off tomorrow.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:42 PM (kFnmp)

287 Clarissa Explains It All and Sabrina The Teenage Witch. Don't make fun of me I'm young enough to have watched those shows.

Me, too.  I have seen her in anything recent, but she was kind of hot to my teenaged self.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:42 PM (8y9MW)

288

No matter what happens, on Wednesday I will at least be able to go back to being a crappy employee.  As it stands now, I've been worthless since Friday. 

Posted by: California Red at November 05, 2012 12:42 PM (Ho3p+)

289 229Melissa Joan Hart
þ@MelissaJoanHart




Can't get too political in only 140 chac but for those asking, I'm voting #RomneyRyan. Clarissa explains it all!!!! See what I get for having a daughter that watched that show, oh those many years ago. The daughter voted Romney/Ryan absentee.  Wife -union school teacher is voting Romney/Ryan as am I.   That is 3 for Romney/Ryan in Ohio Think that will be enought to put us over the top?  

Posted by: Itchytriggerfinger at November 05, 2012 12:42 PM (2KFyP)

290 LOL Wyatt.

I remember sitting at the kitchen table one morning and dad comes in, he was out most of the night on a call.  I say "so dad where ya been?"  Dad replies "aw, some guy ate a Kenworth for breakfast on 81, had to use the snow shovel."

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:42 PM (iYbLN)

291 Rasmussen has been saying that he believes the turnout will be Dem +2, which obviously runs very contrary to his party ID polling.

Posted by: tofer732 at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (2zM0P)

292 Saaaaaaaay. You've written some e-books, haven't you, CT?
Could beeeeeeeeee... but so have several other people here. Baldilocks wrote a cool book too, pick hers up. I'd pick her up but she lives too far away and am not worthy.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (r4wIV)

293 If Newmex goes red, I'll donate all my obama intrade stock and an empty bottle of valuerite to Truman.
Between all the frikkin CA expats, the hippies and the North and South Valley hispanics..... No way Jose.
Back in the day, us folks down in the southeast and the east side could overcome the third worlders up north.
Not gonna happen.

Posted by: Roland THTG at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (I7O5y)

294 Sounds like one of my old chants: BARONE and RASSMUSSEN on HANNITY NOW. BARONE and RASSMUSSEN on HANNITY NOW. BARONE and RASSMUSSEN on HANNITY NOW. BARONE and RASSMUSSEN on HANNITY NOW.

Posted by: St Patrick at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (DrC22)

295 Buy an ebook written by a moron and read it.

Is there a handy list?

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (ZKzrr)

296

Retake  Ohio, take PA, take Wisconsin and the GOP strategy moving forward.   The GOP needs to grab  PA and put in the red column for good.  That will counteract the fact that the Dems start with CA, NY and IL and have 100 EVs right off the bat.  We need to counter it with TX, FL, and PA.  I think we  can  take IL too  as I think it will implode anyway  and will go  red by necessity.  It may lose 2 EVs anyway by natural  attrition following its implosion.

Posted by: SH at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (gmeXX)

297 Melissa Joan Hart, circa 2010.

Yep.  Still hot.

Bless you, Wyatt.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (8y9MW)

298 The one aunt wasn't bad either. Not Caroline Rhea, the other one.

Posted by: Waterhouse at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (w+lzM)

299 Wilder on Cavuto right now

Posted by: Dave S. at November 05, 2012 12:43 PM (UvR6d)

300 I'm in OK too.
But where I am is such a deep red, redneck area, that it would be great if some UN Poll Watchers showed up...
Just for the sheer entertainment value!

[Mustang area]

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 04:38 PM (ICEh3)


---------------------------------


Same here - about 12 miles east of you in SE OKC - south of  Tinker AFB.  Not likely many UN poll watchers showing up around here.  At least I hope not - I would much rather return home to watch returns.

Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 12:44 PM (uRumV)

301 I have seen her in anything recent, but she was kind of hot to my teenaged self.

---

She's doing a sitcom with Joey Lawrence on ABC Family.  It's called (get this) "Melissa and Joey!"

Who says there's no creativity in Hollywood anymore?

Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 05, 2012 12:44 PM (WMsq+)

302 Romney was clearly ahead two weeks ago. Nothing has changed since then. I certainly don't think the Sandy debacle has helped Obama, despite having the media in his pocket.

Posted by: GalosGann at November 05, 2012 12:44 PM (T3KlW)

303 I like to screw and play chess.

Posted by: Gene Wilder at November 05, 2012 12:44 PM (NIZHJ)

304 I wonder what Herb Cain is doing right now.

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 12:44 PM (jUytm)

305 Barone sounds like hes hiking or jogging....really out of breath.

Posted by: DoomedNoLonger at November 05, 2012 12:44 PM (Gr8DF)

306 269 Melissa Joan Hart, circa 2010.

http://tinyurl.com/bmt85dl

You're welcome.

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 04:39 PM (kFnmp)


**

**Sniff**Sniff**


That what I've missed most this past week, about the webs...thanks man.



Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 12:44 PM (jvd3N)

307 I've speculated,here, that CA may vote for Romney tomorrow. I've heard rumblings on the ground here, seen ALMOST NO "O" signs (even on the plethora of Priuii we have here), and am starting to detect sympatico vibes on the interwebz ... ... do not give up hope for us. Never Give Up, Never Surrender. Posted by: Arbalest at November 05, 2012 04:35 PM (Y/mKi) No crazy talk, please. Obama's is about 10 points down from 2008, but will still win, despite lots of R enthusiasm. Unfortunately.

Posted by: LASue at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (gjIQF)

308 Of course, I don't think I've technically seen here *in* anything still...

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (8y9MW)

309 177 That's a creepy pic of 0bama at Drudge. Looks like a wax dummy.

Posted by: Dr. Varno at November 05, 2012 04:29 PM (rYp+j)


What makes you think its wax?

Posted by: jeremiah GOD Bless America with a Mitt Romney Presidency wright at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (ovpNn)

310 & again Ladies & Gents

That's Ace -- in case you hadn't figured it out yet.

Though when he started talking about the 'double slit' experiment
last night I'm thinking what he really wanted to brag about was that night
with the two Asians chicks.

Only Ace can be this manic.

Posted by: Schrödinger's cat [/i] at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (feFL6)

311 Dad replies "aw, some guy ate a Kenworth for breakfast on 81, had to use the snow shovel."

Bawahahahahaha!  That's awesome!

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (kFnmp)

312 280 let us know what they say J.J. Posted by: tofer732 at November 05, 2012 04:41 PM (2zM0P) Rassmussen is cautious, but looking to see who is coming out to vote in the Ohio bellwether counties. Barone is standing by his landslide prediction, though saying they may have to wait until the mail-in ballots are counted November 17.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (XkWWK)

313 mpfs did you answer with "That had to have hurt."

Speaking of books.  Might as well dive back into NaNoWriMo.

Tomorrow I have two vital tasks to perform.
Take Isis in to get fixed.
Vote so I can fix Obama as unemployed.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (4nG/u)

314
Hang in there Gayle.  We will Win It.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (PHb2k)

315 304 Wilder on Cavuto right now Posted by: Dave S. at November 05, 2012 04:43 PM (UvR6d) Joan Wilder?

Posted by: Jorge the Bridgemaster at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (DrC22)

316 Oops, Barone is now saying no landslide, but a clear win. No more than 52.9 for Mitt.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (XkWWK)

317 292 Clarissa Explains It All and Sabrina The Teenage Witch. Don't make fun of me I'm young enough to have watched those shows. If you don't make fun of me for knowing these shows because of my kids being kids, then.

Posted by: Kalneva at November 05, 2012 12:45 PM (snW63)

318 Clarissa Explains It All and Sabrina The Teenage Witch. Don't make fun of me I'm young enough to have watched those shows.

Posted by: Adam at November 05, 2012 04:38 PM (/YJYi)


My lawn.  Off it.

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (X6akg)

319 And Joey Lawrence is an O-bot or at least used to be.  Maybe he's changed his mind too, used to love that disney show he did with his brothers when I was around 12.

Posted by: Adam at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (/YJYi)

320 Laura Ingalls Wilder?

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (jUytm)

321 Melissa is real pretty but she's a mom now and not a cute teenager. She grew up well from what I can tell.
Other things to do instead of checking the election results:
Clean the gutters. Yeah I know, but they need it, right?
Leap on your spouse and ravage them to within an inch of their lives
Cook a dinner for your mom and take it over.
Find an elderly person in your neighborhood and rake their leaves
Call a family member you haven't talked to for years.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (r4wIV)

322 310 Barone sounds like hes hiking or jogging....really out of breath.

Posted by: DoomedNoLonger at November 05, 2012 04:44 PM (Gr8DF)


--------------------------


That's normal for him.  Barone is extremely timid and not good on-air.  But, the guy has a brain for national elections like non other.  You can take what he says to the bank.

Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (uRumV)

323 I can't wait to dip my tits!

Posted by: FL-Chick at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (0vN24)

324 Peggy Noonan actually made a good point today: forget the numbers, which candidate looks to you like he's winning to you and which one doesn't?

Posted by: Uncle Milty at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (8J5Ck)

325 Dad replies "aw, some guy ate a Kenworth for breakfast on 81, had to use the snow shovel." OMG why am I laughing. I think that's something all rons have in common. Parents that didn't shelter us from shit.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (3Y7RV)

326

Michael Barone right now on Hannity radio saying that even with Springsteen to draw in the university crowd, Barry only drew 15k today. Says he can tell Barry's worried about WI turnout.

Rove was on earlier, sounded hopeful of over an over 270 electoral votes victory, said he still put WI in a "tossup" category....wow, come ON, WI.

Rasmussen on now on Hannity with Barone and Ras just said, "that all the data we have now says that as long as his people turn out on election day, he[Romney] wins."  He was speaking of the whole election.

Barone still says, "I could be wrong" but he and Ras point to underenthusiasm for Obama but just now both said, "Still, the Obama people have a good turn out machine."

Barone:  "The firewall somewhat crumbled after that first debate."

 

 

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (wgmUB)

327

"296 Rasmussen has been saying that he believes the turnout will be Dem +2, which obviously runs very contrary to his party ID polling."

 

 

I think party ID is a measure of how many are Registered in each party. Turnout can be different.  But to get D+2, a higher percentage of Rs would have to stay home than Dems.  Do we really think that will happen?  I don't think anybody really knows.

Posted by: Optimizer at November 05, 2012 12:46 PM (Mxt9o)

328 Hey, my version of Wyatt's pic was earlier and fifteen times the resolution. You fickle bastards.

Posted by: Waterhouse at November 05, 2012 12:47 PM (w+lzM)

329 >>> 252 Only Disney girl not to turn into a total whore.

Don't know where it ranks on the "whore-y" scale, but I think she did do a Maxim spread once. (Or was it FHM?) At least . . . um, that's what, err, my friends tell me....

Posted by: Punahou Death Stare at November 05, 2012 12:47 PM (sTS/8)

330 I don't like this at all. Conjures up memories of Kerry being announced the winner in 2004 and a 1% win is withing the parameters of having the whole thing stolen... Nope. Very uncomfortable with this story.

Posted by: MoeRon at November 05, 2012 12:47 PM (yWDpP)

331 310 Barone sounds like hes hiking or jogging....really out of breath. Posted by: DoomedNoLonger at November 05, 2012 04:44 PM (Gr8DF) No fapping in the green room!

Posted by: Typical Moron at November 05, 2012 12:47 PM (DrC22)

332 Joey Lawrence is an O-bot or at least used to be.

---

No surprise there.  There's no way he's straight.

Posted by: mediumheadboy at November 05, 2012 12:47 PM (WMsq+)

333 My lawn. Off it.

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 04:46 PM (X6akg)



Tami you're in the NE right?  Glad you're still with us.

Posted by: Adam at November 05, 2012 12:47 PM (/YJYi)

334 Don't know where it ranks on the "whore-y" scale, but I think she did do a Maxim spread once. (Or was it FHM?) At least . . . um, that's what, err, my friends tell me....

I demand pics.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (8y9MW)

335 That's normal for him. Barone is extremely timid and not good on-air. But, the guy has a brain for national elections like non other. You can take what he says to the bank.

Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 04:46 PM (uRumV)


Oh ok. Wasnt taking a shot at him,  he just sounds out of breath. Never really heard him  before so maybe he usually sounds like that. Sounds very knowledgeable though. I gotta believe him

Posted by: DoomedNoLonger at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (Gr8DF)

336 Wow... if we beat an incumbent President with the media firmly in his corner... without a serious 3rd party candidate.. In the words of Biden.. its a big freakin deal.

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (DGIjM)

337 @219 - Not a taunting neighbor, but she thinks I'm her best friend.  I literally have to run in my apartment when I get home for fear that she'll hear or see me.  Then I'm tied up for one  hour...minimum.  Half the time I don't lock my door so I can just run inside.

Posted by: bicentennialguy at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (A1qjF)

338 mpfs did you answer with "That had to have hurt."


Anna,
I was used to it by then.  Just said, oh...long night then finished breakfast.

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (iYbLN)

339 Not looking good. We've been given a window of between the 7th-12th. I've got a fireplace but no running water, fortunately I live on a lake so I've been filling my toilet tanks with lake water to flush. Its like little house on the friggin prairie, my back is killing me and I'm hemorrhaging cash. I'm just thankful Jerry Rivera's gold fish are safe.

Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 04:39 PM (jvd3N)


Oh you poor thing!  We just got power back last night but we had water.....very, very, very cold water but water.


Drive up to CT...you can stay with us.  Half of your state is here anyway getting gas.

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (X6akg)

340 A new low for Obama presidency: Jay-Z replacing a misogynistic swear word with the word "Mitt" as he performs at an Obama event.

*looks at title of post*
*whistles*

Posted by: Methos at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (hO9ad)

341 Melissa Joan Hart? Screen door. Hurricane. Some Banging required.

Posted by: Truck Monkey at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (jucos)

342 333 Hey, my version of Wyatt's pic was earlier and fifteen times the resolution. You fickle bastards.


"Eat it, Harvey." - Dick Thornburgh, Die Hard. 

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 12:48 PM (kFnmp)

343 I think she did do a Maxim spread once. (Or was it FHM?)
She hasn't been shot with her ankles behind her head and no underwear on getting out of a car or "accidentally" flashing a boob on the red carpet.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:49 PM (r4wIV)

344 30 Any word on the darkhorses (NM, ME-2, OR), particularly New Mexico?
==============
Here's what I got on NM:
Albuquerque it the big pot, heavy Dem but low turnout there and the rest of the state can overcome it.
2008 the JEF pulled 171k votes from there with 127k from early and absentee. It split 63/37 for the JEF.
2004 Kerry pulled 132k but the split was 52/48.
Absentee ballots were 75k of the 2008 vote. 2012 saw only 41k sent out.
Early voting there, however, is up 20%, 125k to 150k now. (EV in 2008 was 66/34; 2004 51/49)

Assuming a 2008 split and the JEF is down 8k; assume a 2004 split and the JEF is down 32k.

Bush won by 8k; JEF by 80k.

I've done GOTV in NM--the GOP is fired up.

Truman North knows more but he ain't talking.

One other thing, Heather Wilson says she is tied at 46.

Posted by: RoyalOil at November 05, 2012 12:49 PM (imtbm)

345

Barone and Ras still say VA is very close.  Ras said the only reason his poll puts up Romney there is because of "leaners."

Both still think PA is "in play."

One wonders what happened in the last 2 weeks to make PA draw so close.

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 12:49 PM (wgmUB)

346 Internal polls? Do they ever NOT say our guy is winning?

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at November 05, 2012 12:49 PM (HDgX3)

347 Wife and I in cape cod or the weekend and saw just asmany Romney signs as Obama. Maybe even more.

Posted by: Hawker Flyer at November 05, 2012 12:49 PM (2z0mM)

348 bicent-guy, let me go out on a limb here and guess that your neighbor has at least two cats?

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 12:50 PM (jUytm)

349 It's over Yahoo is predicting a Barry win:


As the last full day of the 2012 presidential campaign gets under way, the Signal's prediction remains the same as it was nearly nine months ago: President Barack Obama will win reelection with 303 electoral votes, winning Ohio and Virginia but losing Florida to Gov. Mitt Romney.

There is only about a 15 percent chance that we'll actually be correct, based on our prediction model, given the many combinations of close states that could go either way.



15% chance!!! And yahoo runs with that as a front page news story.

Posted by: TheQuietMan at November 05, 2012 12:50 PM (1Jaio)

350 For delicious schadenfraude, I hope Romney DOES lose Ohio. But wins in PA to put him over the top. All of JEF's operatives' best-laid plans have been in gaming the early voting travesty in OH to steal the state and steal the election. With a phalanx of attorneys ready to help out wherever needed. So in the end, the relevancy of their plans is made moot by PA. Yes, that would taste like.....bacon dipped in vanilla pudding. With skittles sprinkled on the top.

Posted by: bobs country buffet at November 05, 2012 12:50 PM (rtFzu)

351 Reince Priebus on local talk radio right now.

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 12:50 PM (P6QsQ)

352 NC, IN, FL, VA (close), Yes with Barone and Ras OH, Ras unsure, Barone says Mitt Barone thinks Mitt has a good shot in PA Ras thinks it's now in play for Mitt. Philly and burbs will be the tell. WI, CO, IA, NH, Barone says Mitt except NV NV for TFG, CO to Mitt says Rasmussen, gives an edge to Mitt in WI because of the Walker recall.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:50 PM (XkWWK)

353 329 Peggy Noonan actually made a good point today And in other exciting news, a stopped clock is right twice a day

Posted by: Cricket at November 05, 2012 12:50 PM (DrC22)

354 Yeah, I'm a little skeptical about a "Republican party source" (not even a Romney campaign source?) leaking to the UK Daily Mail.

Didn't the UK Daily Mail report Trump's October surprise had to do with Obama divorce records?

Not putting much stock in this. NB I do believe the Romney campaign internals, if we could see them, betoken good news. Maybe even better news than this.

I'm just not convinced that this particular leaked "report" is genuine.

Posted by: lael at November 05, 2012 12:50 PM (tUcg9)

355 Damn, Romney has packed the Patriot Center in VA.  I've never seen that place that full.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at November 05, 2012 12:51 PM (JxIkO)

356 "I'm not doing this for the future of the Republican Party. I'm doing this for the future of the country."

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 12:51 PM (P6QsQ)

357 Hawker Flyer, at least you not with the Kennedys' on Cape Coed.

Tami, the gas situation is that bad?  Wow.

And for Tuesday night we get a new episode of Lt. Joe Kenda, Homicide Hunter.  Will he be called in to figure out what went wrong with Obama's campaign?

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:51 PM (4nG/u)

358 I'm voting Romney/Ryan, too!

Posted by: Salem The Cat at November 05, 2012 12:51 PM (Z7toi)

359 He's confident, not faking it.

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 12:52 PM (P6QsQ)

360 341 Wow... if we beat an incumbent President with the media firmly in his corner... without a serious 3rd party candidate.. In the words of Biden.. its a big freakin deal. Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 05, 2012 04:48 PM (DGIjM) And the Republican Establishment RINO's better be shitting their pants that we don't primary their asses.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:52 PM (XkWWK)

361 Other things to do instead of checking poll results:
Make a mix CD/MP3 playlist for your significant other - or if you want to be retro, a tape.
Watch Marx Brothers movies with lots of popcorn
Learn how to cook something new
Vaccuum all the rugs in the house
Donate to a reputable charity organization for folks in the Northeast
Pray
Do those repairs you've been putting off
Take a walk and enjoy the neighborhood
Check that empty chair out on your lawn

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:52 PM (r4wIV)

362 >>> 339  I demand pics.

And you shall have them:  http://tinyurl.com/bpyrmj4

Posted by: Punahou Death Stare at November 05, 2012 12:52 PM (sTS/8)

363 Allen, do you have.a macro for "I demand pictures?"

Posted by: Kalneva at November 05, 2012 12:52 PM (snW63)

364 let me go out on a limb here and guess that your neighbor has at least two cats?

Well. Look who's not getting any pudding shots.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 05, 2012 12:52 PM (ZKzrr)

365

The EV base for Obama is CA, IL, and NY.  I know CA and IL are broke-ponzi-scheme houses of cards that are about to collapse.  I assume NY is just as fucked except for the benefit of Wall Street.    

Can we change the electoral college rules so that deadbeat states can't vote? 

Posted by: California Red at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (Ho3p+)

366

'330 ... Rasmussen on now on Hannity with Barone and Ras just said, "that all the data we have now says that as long as his people turn out on election day, he[Romney] wins." He was speaking of the whole election. ...'

 

 

Sounds like he's confirming that Romney has the Independents.  By my estimate, if Romney has Independents by 10% (ballpark), Obama needs about a D+4 to win the popular vote.  With cross-overs (more Ds crossing party lines than Rs), he might actually need a little more.

 

If the Republicans show up to vote, D+4 won't happen, and Romney has this by a margin.

Posted by: Optimizer at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (Mxt9o)

367 >>>Romney was clearly ahead two weeks ago. Nothing has changed since then. Errr ... except for a massive storm causing a major crisis in several heavily populated eastern seaboard states, and the President receiving favorable news ops with the stories that were dragging down his support and likeability knocked off the news ... ... and then the polling trends swinging back toward Obama... Other than that huge event, no, nothing's changed in the last 2 weeks.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (SKX2R)

368 I would like to see Melissa Joan Hart if she was not in anything.

Posted by: Kensington at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (Z7toi)

369 And for Tuesday night we get a new episode of Lt. Joe Kenda, Homicide Hunter. Will he be called in to figure out what went wrong with Obama's campaign?
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD)

I can't wait!

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (iYbLN)

370 And the Republican Establishment RINO's better be shitting their pants that we don't primary their asses. Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 04:52 PM (XkWWK) Oh No, in two years, there will be some primaried RINOS, bank on it.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (3Y7RV)

371 Posted by: Punahou Death Stare at November 05, 2012 04:52 PM (sTS/8 )

You are a true patriot.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (8y9MW)

372 I mean, of course, it could be genuine.

But just saying, Daily Mail "Republican source"... who knows.

Posted by: lael at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (tUcg9)

373 Just so people know, the Daily Mail is like 1 step up from the National Enquirer. They do have good news, but you always have to verify. Most of what they publish is trash gossip crap like "doesn't Rhianna look fat in this dress?" and "how Peaches Geldof spent her weekend."

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (r4wIV)

374 Priebus now on Belling:

I feel great about where we are.

We're in MN, MI, PA before the end. We're expanding the battlefield into the blue states. Reverse of Obama in 2008

Reiterates he expects that Romney will be giving his victory speech at 10PM CST

Is this to cover for OH? No we are close in these States and OH has nothing to do with it. The Dark Price is adamant about OH being where we need it to be due to EV numbers before we even do our election day GOTV.

OH, PA, or MI are announced for us it is over. Don't even need to wait for other States after that.

Are you worried about cannibalizing your own vote on EV? No the huge push for early votes was low propensity voters (vote once every 2-4 years) and the solid R's (primary voter, etc)were not pushed.

WI - Tommy running ahead of Romney overall in WI.

Most pundits are predicting Obama to win - why are you so confident?

Enthusiasm matters...and its being downplayed.

Belling: I know Priebus and he has the sound in his voice of a guy that knows they will win. Why? They believe that R turnout on election day will swamp Obama.

Get one more person to the polls to vote!!!!






Posted by: H Badger at November 05, 2012 12:53 PM (n/0Nw)

375 Allen, do you have.a macro for "I demand pictures?"

Nope.  Just type fast.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at November 05, 2012 12:54 PM (8y9MW)

376 I am still undecided.  As soon as I know how Christopher Buckley, Ed Koch and Alan Dershowitz are going to vote, I shall make my decision.

Posted by: ejo at November 05, 2012 12:54 PM (GXvSO)

377 And the Republican Establishment RINO's better be shitting their pants that we don't primary their asses.

Depends.™

Posted by: Dick Lugar at November 05, 2012 12:54 PM (ZKzrr)

378 I think the LDS voters of NV may turn a surprise.

Posted by: @ParisParamus at November 05, 2012 12:54 PM (j3OmK)

379 I never said all cat ladys were crazy. Just the crazy ones.

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 12:54 PM (jUytm)

380 Preibus confident that Republicans in Wisconsin are much more passionate about voting for Romney than Dems are for voting for Obama, and with a tie in the polls, that energy translates to a Romney win here.

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 12:54 PM (P6QsQ)

381 Mmmmlieshhhmmm.

Posted by: Greg's fully filled mouth at November 05, 2012 12:54 PM (dvRYt)

382 Soothsayer, you know you just jinxed yourself to becoming a cat person.  Cats will now come and stay with you.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:55 PM (4nG/u)

383

305... Same here - about 12 miles east of you in SE OKC - south of Tinker AFB. Not likely many UN poll watchers showing up around here. At least I hope not - I would much rather return home to watch returns.

 

Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 04:44 PM (uRumV)

 

---------

 

Nice area!

 

Ace was chastising us earlier about 'not doing enough'.

Well, I volunteered to do calling...into battleground areas, where they need it...and they said:

"Is there any way that you can lose that accent and sound like less of an Okie? It might not be effective in the areas we're calling."

 

I said: "Uh, I dunno. Maybe I could try."

 

They haven't called me back.

I think I am at the bottom of their list.

Heh.

 

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 12:55 PM (ICEh3)

384 H Badger - thanks for posting a more complete picture of what Reince was saying. I was driving and only caught a small part of it.

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 12:55 PM (P6QsQ)

385 I think the most appropriate song for tonight is Phil Collins "In the Air Tonight".  I feel a landslide coming and there is nothing the MFM or Iman Obama can do about it.  I just hope it is a devasting and humiliating defeat for this sad excuse of a human and traitor...........

Posted by: Wall_E at November 05, 2012 12:55 PM (48wze)

386 I know they're both married but is it so wrong I want to be in a hot tub with Melissa Joan Hart, the girl who plays Wendy in the ads, Cake Girl (who might not be married)?

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:55 PM (r4wIV)

387 The good news in the NY/NJ area is that the storm will definitely suppress Dem votes. Then again, people are so pissed at SCOAMF that they might just vote for Mitt if they could get to the polls. As Carmine Cuneo said in "The Godfather," "They're animals anyway. Let them lose their souls."

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:55 PM (XkWWK)

388 Damn, Romney has packed the Patriot Center in VA. I've never seen that place that full.

Talk about full places, you should see my koi pond. Between the emergency generator, emergency aerator, emergency heating equipment it looks like an ER room. But lets talk about me, not the 99%, or the couple million who still don't have electricity on a night which is gonna go below freezing.

I still wish Bill O'Really hadn't made me apologize for wanting to spit in Michelle Malkins face.

Posted by: Jerry Rivers [/i] at November 05, 2012 12:55 PM (feFL6)

389 >>> 380 Allen, do you have.a macro for "I demand pictures?"

Nope. Just type fast.

-------------------------

And one-handed.

Posted by: Punahou Death Stare at November 05, 2012 12:56 PM (sTS/8)

390 Cats stare at me all the time. I stare back.

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 12:56 PM (jUytm)

391 For concern troll's information, polling trends have swung back in Romney's favor, past the immediate aftermath of Sandy. Cf. independents.

Posted by: lael at November 05, 2012 12:56 PM (tUcg9)

392 383 I think the LDS voters of NV may turn a surprise. Posted by: @ParisParamus at November 05, 2012 04:54 PM (j3OmK) What about the LSD voters of OWS?

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 12:56 PM (XkWWK)

393 WI - Tommy running ahead of Romney overall in WI.

-----------------



That is encouraging.  I have been terrified of Tammy Baldwin winning this. 

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 12:56 PM (P6QsQ)

394 #41:  Remember the storm  and that Ras had them tied with Mitt one up now.

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 12:56 PM (wgmUB)

395 I have officially tuned out of television and talk radio.  No Twitter. Listening to my iPod and going to watch Homicide Hunter and any other murder and mayhem documentaries on television or just watch Vincent Price movies non stop on Roku.  Total news blackout.  The only way I will survive tonight and tomorrow.


Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 12:56 PM (iYbLN)

396 One wonders what happened in the last 2 weeks to make PA draw so close.

The theory is that Mitt's ridiculously overperforming in non-swing states because they haven't been blanketed with negative ads.

Also, some in the collar counties lost power and Obama (a) went to NY/NJ and (b) just did a stupid photo op.

I'm not saying they blame him for the storm, but his schtick might cut too close to home this time.

Posted by: AmishDude at November 05, 2012 12:56 PM (T0NGe)

397 The OWS crowd are getting into lines for the midnight release of HALO 4.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 12:57 PM (4nG/u)

398 Most of what they publish is trash gossip crap like "doesn't Rhianna look fat in this dress?"

Yes.

Posted by: wooga at November 05, 2012 12:57 PM (vjyZP)

399

Christopher Taylor

Can I ask you a personal question?

Posted by: KC at November 05, 2012 12:57 PM (i7KmQ)

400 Did I read that Evnagelicals as a group boycotted McCain?

Posted by: USS Diversity at November 05, 2012 12:57 PM (9ghZ6)

401 Anyone familiar with spiritual warfare-type praying might want to devote some time to that tonight.

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 12:57 PM (P6QsQ)

402 Worked both out of Victory Center and Congressman's campaign office in western Pennsylvania, both door knocking and phone bank, enthusiasm for Romney Ryan is HUGE!  Know die hard dem's who are voting Romney/Ryan.  Few on GOTV list who voted for Obama in '08 were undecided, not sure in they would even vote  and said "they had to pray on it."

 

Posted by: Deli LLama at November 05, 2012 12:58 PM (lGu1O)

403 Don't abandon Nevada as a deep blue state just yet. Jon Ralston, a far left pundit in Nevada, predicts that Obama's win will be by only 4 points, BUT that Heller will get in, and the Republicans will take the State Senate, while increasing their numbers in the Assembly. Also, Obama's margin of victory will probably be due to the 50K voters the Reid machine registered at the last minute, which they got away with because the Ron Paul cultists who took over the GOP here wouldn't shut up about UN plots to take over their refrigerators (I am not kidding). The casino owners are starting to turn away from Harry Reid, and when Reid goes, so goes his machine. To help that along, Romney needs to push for regulations/legislation that will reign in the unions.

Posted by: The Political Hat at November 05, 2012 12:58 PM (XvHmy)

404 Just got home, out of the loop ALL DAY. Someone please tell me DaveinFla has had really good news today.

Posted by: Lilredhen at November 05, 2012 12:58 PM (iy7de)

405 "Is there any way that you can lose that accent and sound like less of an Okie? It might not be effective in the areas we're calling."   Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 04:55 PM (ICEh3)

Wheatie, did you happen to catch Reba McEntire's new show?  In it she announces that her husband is a MOW-ron and she is divorcing his lyin, cheatin ass.  Just love to hear her talk.

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at November 05, 2012 12:58 PM (kXoT0)

406 Other things to do instead of checking election results:
Finish work on that Ewok spotlight to call for Ace
Write that guest blogger piece you have always thought about
Level your pandarian monk up to get a mount
Wash the shower curtains/doors. What, they probably need it, right?
Watch SCOAMF Wars one more time

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:58 PM (r4wIV)

407 I'm suspicious.  This "leak" could just be some red meat, to encourage Republicans to go to the polls. Otherwise, I'd be worried. That's too close a margin to estimate reliably.

Posted by: Optimizer at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (Mxt9o)

408 390 I think the most appropriate song for tonight is Phil Collins "In the Air Tonight".

Do you like Phil Collins?

Posted by: Patrick Bateman at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (vjyZP)

409 OT: anyone had a chance to check out Chris Rock's "Message for White Voters"?   http://tinyurl.com/bndgpc9
I'm going to guess it has something to do with not voting for Romney.

Posted by: Chairman LMAO at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (9eDbm)

410 402 The OWS crowd are getting into lines for the midnight release of HALO 4.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 04:57 PM (4nG/u)

 

Fucking animals. They should have preordered like me.

Posted by: JollyRoger at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (t06LC)

411

Dem internal polls show same thing.  That's why O's campaign reeks of desperation.

Posted by: famethrower at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (x9s9/)

412 All your votes are belong to us.

Posted by: O.S.C.E Saboteurs at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (NIZHJ)

413 I have officially tuned out of television and talk radio. No Twitter. Listening to my iPod and going to watch Homicide Hunter and any other murder and mayhem documentaries on television or just watch Vincent Price movies non stop on Roku. Total news blackout. The only way I will survive tonight and tomorrow.


Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 04:56 PM (iYbLN)

-------------------




Same here only instead of Vincent Price movies I'm switching to Christian radio.

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (P6QsQ)

414

THE OBAMA NIGHTMARE IS JUST ABOUT     "O"OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOVER !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

Posted by: Wall_E at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (48wze)

415 Can I ask you a personal question?
Only if its really humiliating

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (r4wIV)

416 >>>polling trends have swung back in Romney's favor, past the immediate aftermath of Sandy. Cf. independents. A little, yes. I noted that above and on another recent thread. The swing in Obama's direction seems to have stopped. BUT. It did happen. And to say nothing has changed in two weeks after Sandy is just daft.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (SKX2R)

417 That's another thing I'm not understanding. They talk about D and R turnout. But that doesn't mean the D's are voting for D's.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 12:59 PM (3Y7RV)

418 @269 - Oh, my loins.

Oh wait...that word's been a little overused this week...

Posted by: JEM at November 05, 2012 01:00 PM (o+SC1)

419 I don't know what a "Raygun" is, but this made me laugh.
http://is.gd/RwMepo

Posted by: Dick Lugar at November 05, 2012 01:00 PM (ZKzrr)

420 We're now searching for a nice "Red State" place to go. Come to Branson.

Posted by: Missouri Chamber of Commerce at November 05, 2012 01:00 PM (QupBk)

421 >>>Dem internal polls show same thing. That's why O's campaign reeks of desperation. They probably show a tight race with advantage Romney. The election isn't hopeless for either side. I think they reek of election because Barack Obama's been a shitty candidate, and that's been obvious this time around.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (SKX2R)

422 424 @269 - Oh, my loins. Oh wait...that word's been a little overused this week... Posted by: JEM at November 05, 2012 05:00 PM (o+SC1) Only if you combine it with a pickle jar.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (3Y7RV)

423 Off arrogant SCOAMF-buttkisser sock.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (ZKzrr)

424

#73: "Maybe it's actually more than that and this is a red herring?"

 

Nah, because a sure fire way to bring out more voters for the other side is to convince them they can catch you.

BTW, ABCNEWS now reporting on my radio that "President Obama is now slightly leading, broken ahead"----damn MEDIA BASTARDS, never explaining the internals of the polls to people.  BASTARDS--they need to die.

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (wgmUB)

425 @353 She has two cats and small, very cute, yet very yippy dog.

Posted by: bicentennialguy at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (A1qjF)

426 GALLUP INTERNALS ARE UP:

http://tinyurl.com/d5o4t6s

Some odd findings:
1) Romney/Obama are TIED with Indies.  Um, no.
2) Romney only gets 57% of white voters.  Um, no.

Looks like most of Obama's surge came from NE after storm.  Of course, those states can each only be counted once, so a vote surge only there doesn't really help.

Posted by: Bill Mitchell at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (hlUJY)

427 You all should go check out the pics #dgjackson is posting on twitter. amazing crowd in VA for Romney... and a HUGE overflow that couldnt even get in to the stadium.

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (DGIjM)

428 Now for something completely different.  From Japan.  Cementing once again how disturbing Japan is.  Beware racoon-dogs aka tanuki Little Red Riding Hood.
http://youtu.be/Oq8xuVnB-Pk

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (4nG/u)

429

@412

Yeah, but losing campaigns always overstate and say "we're up 5" to try and use the bandwagon effect. This +1 makes it close enough to keep us going to the polls. It might be if anything tamping down the numbers a bit so we don't Winston Wolfe it.

Posted by: JollyRoger at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (t06LC)

430 The OWS crowd are getting into lines for the midnight release of HALO 4.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 04:57 PM (4nG/u)


For shits and giggles, someone should go to one of the midnight lines and do an informal poll of their voting intentions.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (UypUQ)

431 The sawed off basted is back.

Posted by: O.S.C.E Saboteurs at November 05, 2012 01:01 PM (NIZHJ)

432 Sounds like he's confirming that Romney has the Independents. By my estimate, if Romney has Independents by 10% (ballpark), Obama needs about a D+4 to win the popular vote. With cross-overs (more Ds crossing party lines than Rs), he might actually need a little more.

If the Republicans show up to vote, D+4 won't happen, and Romney has this by a margin.

Posted by: Optimizer at November 05, 2012 04:53 PM (Mxt9o)

They have Obama at D+4 and he is barely keeping even and they are significantly underreporting independants.

Obama needs a D+7 turnout to win.

IT AIN'T HAPPENING!

THERES NOT THAT MANY Dumbfuck Ds left!

Posted by: jeremiah GOD Bless America with a Mitt Romney Presidency wright at November 05, 2012 01:02 PM (ovpNn)

433 Same here only instead of Vincent Price movies I'm switching to Christian radio.
Posted by: mama winger votes for love


Now I feel like a heathen.....

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 01:02 PM (iYbLN)

434 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at November 05, 2012 01:02 PM (9XBK2)

435

Romney's at the Patriot Center?  And it's full?  Damn!  That is on the campus of George Mason University, and Obama has done TWO rallies there.  It's the biggest venue in Fairfax County.

 

Team Romney must feel like the rest of VA is in the bag, if he can keep close in Fairfax County it's all over. 

Posted by: rockmom at November 05, 2012 01:02 PM (aBlZ1)

436 Other things to do instead of checking election results:

Finish work on that Ewok spotlight to call for Ace

Write that guest blogger piece you have always thought about

Level your pandarian monk up to get a mount

Wash the shower curtains/doors. What, they probably need it, right?
----------------------------




I picked up a gallon of orange paint this morning.  My living room is going bold.  Figure I could use the distraction and it will annoy my daughter (who looks at me and says "Orange?  Really?")


 Win-win.

Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 01:02 PM (P6QsQ)

437 Gallup if full of crap. Tied with independents?

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 05, 2012 01:02 PM (9+ccr)

438 I'm running out of ideas for things to do instead of checking the election results tomorrow. Just find something else to do.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 01:02 PM (r4wIV)

439 Agree or Disagree? Small dogs = cats.

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 01:03 PM (jUytm)

440 Dad says Obama by 127.456%.  You people are smoking dope.


Skittles!

Posted by: Greg, Nate Silver's love child at November 05, 2012 01:03 PM (wR+pz)

441 >>>That's another thing I'm not understanding. They talk about D and R turnout. But that doesn't mean the D's are voting for D's. Huh?

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 01:03 PM (SKX2R)

442 the really small dogs, the toy dogs

Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 01:03 PM (jUytm)

443 444

Hot. Sweaty. Monkey. Sex.

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 01:03 PM (iYbLN)

444 I like painting a room, it is kind of calming and you get to immediately see results. The part I hate is cleaning the room out and rebuilding it afterward.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 01:03 PM (r4wIV)

445 Agree or Disagree? Small dogs = cats. Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 05:03 PM (jUytm) Disagree.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 01:03 PM (3Y7RV)

446 Now I feel like a heathen.....

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 05:02 PM (iYbLN)


-------


No no no!  It's just that I'm a big fraidy-cat and can't do horror movies.  Chicken right down to the bone.  Christian radio has the advantage of not scaring the pants off me.  (At least as long as they stay away from preaching Revelations.  Then all bets are off.)



Posted by: mama winger votes for love at November 05, 2012 01:04 PM (P6QsQ)

447 Christopher Taylor,

Learn origami.

Learn Japanese flower arrangement.

Lean the Japanese tea ceremony.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 01:04 PM (4nG/u)

448 I'm confused. First it's blowout, then it's narrow. I want Obama HUMILIATED out of office! Is that asking too much?

Posted by: parteagirl at November 05, 2012 01:04 PM (LURcp)

449 I'm reading the skillets, and they're all saying Obama by eleventyhundred points!

Suck it wingnuts!

Posted by: Nate Silver at November 05, 2012 01:04 PM (Z7toi)

450 Nevada needs Mitt more than Mitt needs Nevada

Posted by: runner at November 05, 2012 01:04 PM (WR5xI)

451 Bob Beckel thinks the SCOAMF did a great job with hurricane Sandy......


*roll eyes*

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 01:04 PM (X6akg)

452 OT: anyone had a chance to check out Chris Rock's "Message for White Voters"?   I'm going to guess it has something to do with not voting for Romney.  Posted by: Chairman LMAO at November 05, 2012 04:59 PM (9eDbm)

No, I would only watch chris rockhead if I was in the market abysmally stupid stuff expressed in truly filthy language.  If you take out the filth, all you are let with is: Uh, the, duh, and, a.

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at November 05, 2012 01:05 PM (kXoT0)

453 MO didnt stay a battleground for very long.

Posted by: Honey Badger at November 05, 2012 01:05 PM (GvYeG)

454

Wow... if we beat an incumbent President with the media firmly in his corner... without a serious 3rd party candidate..
In the words of Biden.. its a big freakin deal.

 

-----

 

I think the bigger deal will be if Obama wins.  This  country just does not reward a failed Presidency.  Incumbents win when things are going well.  We should look back on this eleciton and say it was obvious that Obama had no shot because he has a lousy record  and didn't deserve reeleciton.

Posted by: SH at November 05, 2012 01:05 PM (gmeXX)

455 458 Bob Beckel thinks the SCOAMF did a great job with hurricane Sandy...... *roll eyes* Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 05:04 PM (X6akg) I actually heard an asshat on fox give Obama credit for sending out the National Guard. That's the state.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 01:06 PM (3Y7RV)

456

@ dananjcon...

 

You live by a lake? But no running water yet, so you're having to carry water for toilets?

 

Here is a DIY idea to help you rig up a way to get water from the lake:

 

http:/ /home.mchsi.com/ ~tblount/piston.htm 

 

It's a gravity water pump.

There are other variations out there on the internets...and you can tailor the basic idea to fit your situation.

 

So if you can scrounge up some pvp pipe, and some buckets...it's doable.

Just a suggestion.

 

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 01:06 PM (ICEh3)

457 441 Romney's at the Patriot Center? And it's full? Damn! That is on the campus of George Mason University, and Obama has done TWO rallies there. It's the biggest venue in Fairfax County. Team Romney must feel like the rest of VA is in the bag, if he can keep close in Fairfax County it's all over. Posted by: rockmom at November 05, 2012 05:02 PM (aBlZ1) Inside is packed and thousands outside that couldnt get in. Romney spoke to them too.

Posted by: Jumbo Shrimp at November 05, 2012 01:06 PM (DGIjM)

458 Small dogs = cats.
Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 05:03 PM (jUytm)

Disagree completely and utterly.  Am not a cat person because of allergies, but, I understand why some folks love them.

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at November 05, 2012 01:06 PM (kXoT0)

459 mama winger,

Just kidding.

Vincent Price cracks me up that's why I watch his movies. 

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 01:06 PM (iYbLN)

460 >>Romney's at the Patriot Center? And it's full? Damn! It's not just full, there are thousands more standing outside in the overflow area.

Posted by: JackStraw at November 05, 2012 01:07 PM (TMB3S)

461 Other things to do instead of checking election results:
Go through your old album collection and mark off what you need to buy still
Work on your putting game
Learn how to say "hello" in ten languages
Write a chapter in that book for novel writing month
Read that book you have been putting off
Think about your first kiss

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 01:07 PM (r4wIV)

462 >>>I'm confused. First it's blowout, then it's narrow. >>>I want Obama HUMILIATED out of office! Is that asking too much? >>>Posted by: parteagirl at November 05, 2012 05:04 PM Then get God to delay the hurricane until after the election next time. But, seriously, if he loses, the margin won't matter that much. Being a one-term President is no mark of a job well done, and he'll be investigated for Benghazi at least. He'll be testifying under oath before that is done.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 01:07 PM (SKX2R)

463 It's all moot.

Posted by: The Mayans at November 05, 2012 01:07 PM (8/bPb)

464 Obama 2012 signs are everywhere here just north of Dallas.  Very few Romney signs.  Like the Obamabots have a chance with Texas...

Posted by: Dax at November 05, 2012 01:07 PM (gUYGX)

465

"409  Just got home, out of the loop ALL DAY. Someone please tell me DaveinFla has had really good news today."

 

Holy crap!  You got me checking over there, and he has a surprising report on partisan ID.  He says Ramussan's October survey says 39.1% R, 33.3% D, 27.5% I.  That's R +5.8%, which is outrageous (in a good way)!!

Posted by: Optimizer at November 05, 2012 01:07 PM (Mxt9o)

466 The Chris Rock thing is that Obama's actually a very white guy - namechecks mom jeans and dancing with Ellen - and white people should vote O

Posted by: The Q at November 05, 2012 01:07 PM (YpecZ)

467 OT: So it turned out yesterday, nobody had heard from my brother and his family since last Monday. They live in Chappaqua--yes, THAT Chappaqua. We finally got some contact today...apparently they're out of fuel for the generator and can't get more, power still out, water out as well. So, Pres. Clinton, while you're out on the campaign trail, your neighbors are freezing in the dark. May you and the rest of your fellow travelers rot in the coldest, darkest circle of Hell.

Posted by: Brother Cavil presents at November 05, 2012 01:08 PM (GBXon)

468

As for Pennsylvania - I TOLD you bitchez Romney could win here.  Just based on what friends and neighbors have been telling me for months.  He's going to win Bucks County, and I think Delaware County too, and that will decide the state.  Philly turnout will not be as nmassive as 2008 and maybe not even 2004. 

 

My big fear is that around 4:00 p.m. tomorrow, Democrats will realize they are going to lose in PA based on massive turnout across the Red parts of the state and lower tunrout in Philly, then run and file suit to keep the polls open in Philly and Bristol (the ghetto part of Bucks County) until 10:00, citing problems with power and such as a result of Sandy.  It's bullshit, but if they find the right judge they might get it.  And then we won't know PA's results early, and Dems will have time to bus in the voters from outside and possbly steal it in Philly.  I'm not putting anything past these scumbags. 

Posted by: rockmom at November 05, 2012 01:08 PM (aBlZ1)

469 If Obama wins tomorrow, it's the end of America as we know it.
On the other hand, I have an eye appointment Wednesday, and a haircut. Going out to dinner with friends on Friday. So - maybe not the end- end.
Rather a major,bitter disappointment and the signal that we'll all have to cowboy up and endure four more years of that no-account bastard. I'd rather that Romney wins.

Posted by: tubal at November 05, 2012 01:08 PM (BoE3Z)

470 It's hard to watch The Five when I have to keep muting Beckel.

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 01:08 PM (X6akg)

471 Like the Obamabots have a chance with Texas...  Posted by: Dax at November 05, 2012 05:07 PM (gUYGX)

Here is Tulsa, there is an area around Tulsa University where you can find obama signs.  Otherwise, they are few and far between.

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at November 05, 2012 01:09 PM (kXoT0)

472 Vincent Price? Dana Gould loves him
http://youtu.be/xV9HZQDxbMk
Gould is a lefty knucklehead but he's really funny when he stays off the topic of politics

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 01:09 PM (r4wIV)

473 My thoughts on Nevada after early voting ended: http://bit.ly/VOLl5V

Posted by: The Political Hat at November 05, 2012 01:09 PM (XvHmy)

474

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 05, 2012 04:45 PM (XkWWK)

___

52.9 is good enough for me.

 

I trust BArone, the guy who handicaps horseraces (R 51-4 , and Vic.

Posted by: kallisto at November 05, 2012 01:09 PM (jm/9g)

475 Hot. Sweaty. Monkey. Sex.


We get it, mpfs, you're horny!!! 

Posted by: Wyatt Earp at November 05, 2012 01:09 PM (gA69l)

476

Nearly half the country is going to be extremely disappointed by the results tomorrow.  Both sides are expecting or at least claiming to expect a victory. 

Libs will be besides themselves if their koz dream doesn't materialize.  The media has been telling them all along they have this. 

Posted by: California Red at November 05, 2012 01:09 PM (Ho3p+)

477 rockmom,

This is why the other counties need to hold back results until Philly has to report.

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 01:09 PM (iYbLN)

478 Think about your first kiss

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 05:07 PM (r4wIV)

 

It was in prison. His stubble was rough on my... you know, I'd rather not.

Posted by: JollyRoger at November 05, 2012 01:10 PM (t06LC)

479 The Chris Rock thing is that Obama's actually a very white guy - namechecks mom jeans and dancing with Ellen - and white people should vote O  Posted by: The Q at November 05, 2012 05:07 PM (YpecZ)

Don't care, chris is filthy and unfunny.

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at November 05, 2012 01:10 PM (kXoT0)

480 As Carmine Cuneo said in "The Godfather," "They're animals anyway. Let them lose their souls." Racist!

Posted by: Dept of Racism and Godfather movies at November 05, 2012 01:10 PM (dvRYt)

481 471 It's all moot.

My old boss would pronounce it "mute".  It was all I could do to not smack him in the back of the head and call him an idiot.  Obama voter, of course.

Posted by: pep at November 05, 2012 01:10 PM (6TB1Z)

482 Agree or Disagree? Small dogs = cats. Posted by: Soothsayer at November 05, 2012 05:03 PM (jUytm) -------------------------------------------------------- Worse. I would rather have a cat than a small dog. Also, politics schmolitics. MELISSA JOAN HART!

Posted by: Truck Monkey at November 05, 2012 01:10 PM (jucos)

483 Could always watch Vincent Price, Boris Karloff, Jack Nicholson, and Peter Lorre in Roger Corman's "The Raven."

Its based on Poe, but its more comedic.  Girlfriend who screams at any scary thing actually sat through that and enjoyed it.  Never screamed once and the ending caused her to better understand 'quoth the raven nevermore.'

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 01:10 PM (4nG/u)

484

Math Witch's Young, Hot MathWitchy School Days:

http://tinyurl.com/cbyx9vd

Posted by: Filly at November 05, 2012 01:11 PM (hf3Lq)

485 We get it, mpfs, you're horny!!!
Posted by: Wyatt Earp

Now how on earth did you come to that conclusion Wyatt?

And you're a detective.....

Posted by: mpfs, Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose at November 05, 2012 01:11 PM (iYbLN)

486 apparently they're out of fuel for the generator and can't get more, power still out, water out as well.

I had my housekeepers and lawn servants stand in line and they 'accidentally' bought up the last of the gasoline to power the koi pond generator.

Priorities, people.

Posted by: Jerry Rivers [/i] at November 05, 2012 01:11 PM (feFL6)

487

OK. Capacity of patriot center?

Posted by: Honey Badger at November 05, 2012 01:11 PM (GvYeG)

488 #464 WOW!!  That is awesome news.  BTW, the Registrar in Fairfax is one of my BFFs.  She is an election law expert and former Secretary of Elections for the state.  She has even taught election law at George Mason.  Not gonna be any voting shenanigans there tomorrow, you can bet on it. 

Posted by: rockmom at November 05, 2012 01:11 PM (aBlZ1)

489 Chris Rock used to be funny, then he got yelled at so much by his black pals he lost his sense of humor and started being PC. Its like George Lopez: first disc was killer, next wasn't so great, then he went off the deep end.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 01:11 PM (r4wIV)

490 >>>Gallup if full of crap. Tied with independents? I know this guy who comments on this blog, and he had this theory that there was some storm, and the country leader-guy at the time caught a break, and that the favorable news coverage of him holding inane but necessary press conferences during the crisis caused retard swing voters to switch back to him at the last minute. For the life of me, though, I can't remember that guy's name.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 01:12 PM (SKX2R)

491 10,000 Wiki.495

Posted by: O.S.C.E Saboteurs at November 05, 2012 01:13 PM (NIZHJ)

492 My principal in grade school pronounced "wash" with an r added, so he'd tell all the kids to remember to warsh their hands. I was confused by his odd statement. Since then I've gotten used to people randomly sticking letters in words or leaving them out like "strenth" and "sosh security."

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 01:13 PM (r4wIV)

493 I hear we have a lot of rocks that need chucking. Tomorrow, fellas?

Posted by: Winston Wolf at November 05, 2012 01:13 PM (mcWHD)

494 A bit of jazz, modern fusion type.  The Thrill performs Echo live.  Over six minutes.
http://youtu.be/_DLLv2X8708

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 01:13 PM (4nG/u)

495

410...Wheatie, did you happen to catch Reba McEntire's new show? In it she announces that her husband is a MOW-ron and she is divorcing his lyin, cheatin ass. Just love to hear her talk.

 

Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wily Wrepublican Wench at November 05, 2012 04:58 PM (kXoT0)

 

----------

 

Yeah Reba has been living in TN for like, two decades.

So her accent is sort of a blend now...which is a lot like mine, since I used to live in TN, a while back.

It's funny how it tends to stick with you.

 

 

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 01:13 PM (ICEh3)

496 I'm back Mo-Ron's...from the depths of New Jersey's worst natural disaster EVER!!! Just got interwebs at work this morning (just in time to witness TFG's destruction) although we're still on back up generator. No such luck at home....still no power at my hovel in the rolling hills Sussex County. But all friends and loved one are safe and sound, thank God.

Posted by: dananjcon at November 05, 2012 04:07 PM


Still no power??? damn...

I didn't have the internet until a while after I got power back. I guess the comcast mother ship was screwed up.

Posted by: Berserker at November 05, 2012 01:14 PM (FMbng)

497 500 My principal in grade school pronounced "wash" with an r added, so he'd tell all the kids to remember to warsh their hands. I was confused by his odd statement. Since then I've gotten used to people randomly sticking letters in words or leaving them out like "strenth" and "sosh security."

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 05:13 PM (r4wIV)


Was she from Missouri?  My husband and kids use to make fun of the way I said 'warsh'.  I had to work at getting rid of that damn r in 'warsh'.

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 01:15 PM (X6akg)

498 So it turned out yesterday, nobody had heard from my brother and his family since last Monday. They live in Chappaqua--yes, THAT Chappaqua. We finally got some contact today...apparently they're out of fuel for the generator and can't get more, power still out, water out as well.

Posted by: Brother Cavil presents at November 05, 2012 05:08 PM (GBXon)


I finally got power back yesterday and headed on down to my mom's in Rye to do laundry. Couldn't believe the whole town and those surrounding it were still dark. Fucking disaster zone. Didn't get to do my laundry either, damnit.

Posted by: mugiwara at November 05, 2012 01:15 PM (JxXAE)

499 Honestly, I don't know that the Preezy WANTS to win.  Job's too hard.  Going to be stuck between a Repub House and far left loons pushing him towards a soft dictatorship.  Just wants to golf and chill.  Really, he's not all that bright, and he doesn't like to work hard.  In fact, never has.  In short, the job sucks.  But he can't quit, so he has to go through the motions, and in doing so his ego kicks in and he convinces himself for a few minutes that, hey, yeah, I could do this for four more years, three really, really just two if you think about it, before he comes back down to earth and realizes how much he hates his life, how he's always been a bottom and hates what Michelle has done to him.

Posted by: famethrower at November 05, 2012 01:15 PM (x9s9/)

500 I don't know where Mr King was from. I don't even remember much about him beyond that, it really stuck out in my mind.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 01:16 PM (r4wIV)

501 Philly turnout will not be as massive as 2008 and maybe not even 2004.

It looks like tomorrows weather in the Philly area is going to be just as shitty as it has been the past couple of days -- overcast, cold, mid 40's. No way 0bama get massive turnout under those conditions.

Posted by: Schrödinger's cat [/i] at November 05, 2012 01:16 PM (feFL6)

502 He.....was HE from Missouri?

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 01:16 PM (X6akg)

503 Man, it's getting dark already. I hate these daylight changes.

Posted by: dantesed at November 05, 2012 01:17 PM (+Vac3)

504 Goddammit, the pub I'm in is playing Dave Matthews! Me more rikey Alice in Chains.

Posted by: Kalneva at November 05, 2012 01:17 PM (snW63)

505 They haven't called me back.
I think I am at the bottom of their list.
Heh.

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 04:55 PM (ICEh3)


---------------------------------


That's good to know.  I thought about volunteering for doing calls too, but I have a pretty heavy okie accent as well. Oh well. 

Posted by: Not and Artist at November 05, 2012 01:17 PM (uRumV)

506 I would interested to see the breakdown of Gallup's polling in the east, where they have Obama up 20, but Romney leads significantly in the rest of the country.

Posted by: tofer732 at November 05, 2012 01:18 PM (2zM0P)

507

Barone said he thought resources sent to Nev. are probably too late.

Thus, if you are right and Ryan is there today, why would they risk using him there when a place they absolutely have to have, like VA and WI and maybe Iowa are better uses of him....unless they know something?

I don't know what to do tomorrow.  I can't watch.  I can't not watch.  What to do?

Anyone else with this dilemma? 

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 01:18 PM (wgmUB)

508 It looks like tomorrows weather in the Philly area is going to be just as shitty as it has been the past couple of days -- overcast, cold, mid 40's. No way 0bama get massive turnout under those conditions. That does tend to depress D turnout. Wonder what the conditions in the other donk strongholds of interest are going to be like.

Posted by: Brother Cavil presents at November 05, 2012 01:18 PM (GBXon)

509 Getting tired of seeing powel's colon on these frigging commercial. That dude is a piece of shit, typical political ass kissing desk general. Stormin' Norman was right about him.

Posted by: Berserker at November 05, 2012 01:18 PM (FMbng)

510

#485 I am hopeful that the reports from the rest of PA will be so strong that we won't have to wait for Philly's results at all.  That's one reason why I think Romney is going to Pittsburgh tomorrow. 

 

Rudy Giuliani and Jon Voight made a surprise visit to Lehigh Valley HQ today in Bethlehem!  The surrogates showing up in PA. 

Posted by: rockmom at November 05, 2012 01:18 PM (aBlZ1)

511 It can be irritating how some pronounce Mayan.

Posted by: The Mayans at November 05, 2012 01:18 PM (8/bPb)

512 I don't want to directly answer samunwise, but my point is Gallup is completely wrong about independents...

Posted by: Hello, it's me Donna not greg/gerg at November 05, 2012 01:18 PM (9+ccr)

513 OT: So it turned out yesterday, nobody had heard from my brother and his family since last Monday. They live in Chappaqua--yes, THAT Chappaqua. We finally got some contact today...apparently they're out of fuel for the generator and can't get more, power still out, water out as well.


=======


He should drive or get a ride to CT....everyone else is.

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 01:19 PM (X6akg)

514

Was she from Missouri? My husband and kids use to make fun of the way I said 'warsh'. I had to work at getting rid of that damn r in 'warsh'.

 

I lived for several years in Oregon with my grandparents, who were from Poplar Bluff and rural West Virginia, respectively.  I still say "warsh" if I'm not careful.  I used to get funny looks from my classmates all the time.

Posted by: Alex at November 05, 2012 01:19 PM (3x3F6)

515 Winter is coming.

Posted by: O.S.C.E Saboteurs at November 05, 2012 01:19 PM (NIZHJ)

516 The OWS crowd are getting into lines for the midnight release of HALO 4.


Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 04:57 PM (4nG/u)

For shits and giggles, someone should go to one of the midnight lines and do an informal poll of their voting intentions.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 05, 2012 05:01 PM (UypUQ)



And tell them to not forget to vote next week

Posted by: TheQuietMan at November 05, 2012 01:19 PM (1Jaio)

517 Wait a minute.... BOTH Jay Z AND Springstein are going for Onama? Mmmmm..... I think I'll have to change my vote to Obama. All the cool kids are voting for him.

Posted by: Truck Monkey at November 05, 2012 01:20 PM (jucos)

518

"478 It's hard to watch The Five when I have to keep muting Beckel."

 

Mute him!?!  You should be taking notes!  It should all be comedy gold by late tomorrow night!

 

Posted by: Optimizer at November 05, 2012 01:21 PM (Mxt9o)

519 Then there is May'n
http://youtu.be/x_tV7v1QrFw

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 01:21 PM (4nG/u)

520

WaPo/ABC poll has Obama up 3, 50-47. Poll moved from D+4 yesterday to D+6 today -- 2% more Dems = 2% jump for O. BTW, that's almost 2008...

Posted by: Tami at November 05, 2012 01:22 PM (X6akg)

521 Anybody know when the Pittsburgh thing is tomorrow?

Posted by: Optimizer at November 05, 2012 01:22 PM (Mxt9o)

522 Bob Beckel was blackmailed by a whore in Maryland.  True story.

Posted by: famethrower at November 05, 2012 01:23 PM (x9s9/)

523 He should drive or get a ride to CT....everyone else is. Everyone with gas, that is. Anyway, his kids go back to school tomorrow. No idea what conditions will be there. I need a phrase stronger than "round robin Charlie Foxtrot" to describe this business, it's inexcusable.

Posted by: Brother Cavil presents at November 05, 2012 01:23 PM (GBXon)

524

One thing that is really gonna be funny is talking to people on both sides who just read or hear the toplines on these polls and then say 'whaaa??' after the election. 

 

WaPo pushing its poll to the last.  Unbelievable. 

Posted by: rockmom at November 05, 2012 01:24 PM (aBlZ1)

525 The plight of everyone in the Sandy devastation is not going to get better anytime soon.  Keep praying for them.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at November 05, 2012 01:26 PM (4nG/u)

526

500My principal in grade school pronounced "wash" with an r added, so he'd tell all the kids to remember to warsh their hands. I was confused by his odd statement. Since then I've gotten used to people randomly sticking letters in words or leaving them out like "strenth" and "sosh security."

 

----------

 

I think it's the 'multiple contractions' that are what drive some people crazy.

 

Like:

"Y'awnto" .....for "you want to". 

 

"Y'awnamean" ....for "you know what I mean".

 

I may have an accent, but at least I try to avoid using these types of multiple contractions.

Northern accents have some of these too...which are sometimes difficult for me to make out.

 

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 01:26 PM (ICEh3)

527 President.  Mitt.  Romney.

Posted by: famethrower at November 05, 2012 01:26 PM (x9s9/)

528

The left has succeeded in turning me into a person more like themselves because if Obama is reelected I will officially go into every man for themself mode.  I want the retards to reap what they sow.  I will not provide any assistance to prop up the mess of a country that they will make.     

Posted by: polynikes at November 05, 2012 01:27 PM (m2CN7)

529 you know what's funny the Apple/iPhoto 2012 calendars I made for xmas gifts last year? all have Nov 13th as Election Day on them! weird huh? maybe will mess up some hipsters

Posted by: BlackOrchid-StillMissingDagny at November 05, 2012 01:27 PM (J6kXj)

530 "Other than that huge event, no, nothing's changed in the last 2 weeks." What, did you lose interest after my first sentence? I do not see any reason to believe the storm helped Obama. I don't think anyone who was voting against Obama two weeks ago would change their minds and vote for him because they saw him talking on the tee-vee.

Posted by: GalosGann at November 05, 2012 01:27 PM (T3KlW)

531

I'm looking so  forward to tomorrow. Me and B'Gal have only two destinations: the local polling place and then the liquor store.

 

We already have pudding.

Posted by: BackwardsBoy, with laptop dead at November 05, 2012 01:27 PM (lOmbq)

532 I like that Romney goes by his middle name, while Zero prohibits using his middle name unless he's in the ME in which it's AOK praise Allah.

Posted by: famethrower at November 05, 2012 01:28 PM (x9s9/)

533 497 Chris Rock used to be funny, then he got yelled at so much by his black pals he lost his sense of humor and started being PC. Its like George Lopez: first disc was killer, next wasn't so great, then he went off the deep end. Posted by: Christopher Taylor at November 05, 2012 05:11 PM (r4wIV) I think it's about being a minority, making money and being guilted to death by your loser family and friends.

Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at November 05, 2012 01:29 PM (3Y7RV)

534

Northern accents have some of these too...which are sometimes difficult for me to make out.

 

When I moved  down here, it took me a while to figure out what a "nominal egg" was. Did I mention how many New Yawkahs  were here at that time?

Posted by: BackwardsBoy, with laptop dead at November 05, 2012 01:30 PM (lOmbq)

535 I live near West Chester, PA and drive 25 miles into Wilmington, DE right by the road where Choo Choo Biden lives.  From DE into PA, there are a dearth of Obama signs, but Romney signs, alongside other Rep PA pols' signs, are abundant.  When I say dearth, there were maybe two Obama signs for the whole 25 miles.  Just today, I saw an additional six or so.  They are getting desperate.  The exact opposite of 2008.  About a mile or so up the road from Biden's, is a big 4X8 Romney sign, nicely done.  The PA suburbs could just well push Romney over the line.  Please, let it be.

Posted by: Lurking Lurker Who Must Now Unlurk at November 05, 2012 01:33 PM (xJNNd)

536

 

 

215On twitter:

A new low for Obama presidency: Jay-Z replacing a misogynistic swear word with the word "Mitt" as he performs at an Obama event.


"I got 99 problems but Mitt ain't one"

_____________________________________________________

See, a guy like this who takes a-holes with him should never have gotten the Presidency .  PACs ought to hit WI and OHIO and VA with an ad made right now that shows that the "WAR ON WOMEN" is so fake.

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 01:33 PM (wgmUB)

537 >>>I do not see any reason to believe the storm helped Obama. I don't think anyone who was voting against Obama two weeks ago would change their minds and vote for him because they saw him talking on the tee-vee. I completely agree with you ... that you don't see that. I, on the other hand, did see that. And the swing toward Obama confirmed it. Karl Rove saw it too, incidentally.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 01:33 PM (SKX2R)

538

I'd like to see a Clint Eastwood ad go up with JayZ performing his lyrics calling women names next to his appearance with Obama, then show Barry saying Repubs are waging a war on women.

Cut to Clint standing next to the empty chair.  30 second ad.  Would be supreme to see it tonight.

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 01:34 PM (wgmUB)

539 Just remember that, in terms of Powell's strategic thinking, he left the enemy alive and kicking in Iraq (a violation of the Powell Doctrine) when we had an enormous advantage in arms, could dictate winner's justice, and an "international coalition".  The decisions he sold started the ball a rolling more than a decade later. 

Posted by: ejo at November 05, 2012 01:35 PM (GXvSO)

540

Gotta go after Steve Kroft of 60 Minutes, ruin his reputation for 1) letting 60 Minutes --or advocating for it himself--edit out damning Obama remarks that showed him contradicting himself in the debate and 2) Not releasing the edited tape of the interview after the debate , which would have confirmed Barry's lies.

Bastard.  We have to go after media, guys, this has to end.

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 01:38 PM (wgmUB)

541 Abandon four Americans in Libya, Obama moves ahead in polls. Abandon  2,000,000 Americans to freeze to death without electricity in NY, NJ, CT, Obama moves ahead in polls.

Is that what you're implying SamIAm 3rd?

Posted by: Schrödinger's cat [/i] at November 05, 2012 01:38 PM (feFL6)

542 @NumbersMuncher Gallup poll isn't as good for Obama as you'd think. His surge is in the East is why he shrunk gap. Still losing in Midwest, South, and West.

Posted by: 80sBaby at November 05, 2012 01:40 PM (YjDyJ)

543

When I moved down here, it took me a while to figure out what a "nominal egg" was. Did I mention how many New Yawkahs were here at that time?

 

Is that..."arm and a leg"?

 

The first time I heard a northerner say "grej"...it took me a bit to figure out that they were saying "garage".

Which I pronounce...gah-rahge.

 

Posted by: wheatie at November 05, 2012 01:41 PM (ICEh3)

544 >>>Abandon four Americans in Libya, Obama moves ahead in polls. Abandon 2,000,000 Americans to freeze to death without electricity in NY, NJ, CT, Obama moves ahead in polls. >>>Is that what you're implying SamIAm 3rd? >>>Posted by: Schrödinger's cat at November 05, 2012 05:38 PM You are an intellectually dishonest fuck.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee the 3rd at November 05, 2012 01:43 PM (SKX2R)

545 Ohio or PA ends the dictatorship of Obenghazi. Full stop, that would be it.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 05, 2012 04:21 PM (PHb2k)


unless NY state does....

Posted by: Oldcat at November 05, 2012 01:45 PM (z1N6a)

546 Now you're just trolling. Pop a few more bennies and get your energy back.

Then answer the question. Have we become a nation that can only look at a 30 second sound bite of a skinny-ass Precedent and a fat fuck Governor having a love-in and actually believe that everything is going to be unicorns and skittles -- and maybe a little Robitussin -- for each and every one of those effected? That therefor Obama gets a second term?

Is it your belief that the average IQ of Americans has sunk so low that we're going to begin taking advice from the primate cage at the local zoo?

Posted by: Schrödinger's cat [/i] at November 05, 2012 01:49 PM (feFL6)

547 #319, Thanks, Guy!

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 01:53 PM (wgmUB)

548

#365,

Thanks for the suggestions, Christopher.  I have some Valium that I take on and off (really small dose) for a bad neck when it acts up.  Hmmmmm.

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 02:01 PM (wgmUB)

549 373 I would like to see Melissa Joan Hart if she was not in anything.

Posted by: Kensington at November 05, 2012 04:53 PM (Z7toi)


ISWYDT.  :-)

Posted by: Mary in LA at November 05, 2012 02:01 PM (48wze)

550 I'd think that the Wilder disaffection with Obama and the generals and admirals who took out that full paid ad in the WaTimes this morning would help Mitt or at least tamp down Obama voters.

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 02:02 PM (wgmUB)

551 Is it your belief that the average IQ of Americans has sunk so low that we're going to begin taking advice from the primate cage at the local zoo?

Posted by: Schrödinger's cat at November 05, 2012 05:49 PM (feFL6)


Well, by definition, half of us are below average...

Posted by: Mary in LA at November 05, 2012 02:02 PM (48wze)

552

#370 "The EV base for Obama is CA, IL, and NY.I know CA and IL are broke-ponzi-scheme houses of cards that are about to collapse. I assume NY is just asfucked except for the benefit of Wall Street.
Can we change the electoral college rules so that deadbeat states can't vote? "

 

You know, living in CA as I do, I know just how bad it is and I kept waiting for R/R to make that a staple in their stump speeches, something like, "We can't let ourselves go down the road of a California" but I never heard it.  I wondered if he figured that the line would be bad for those who own businesses in CA. 

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 02:05 PM (wgmUB)

553 Too close, long term doom. Get out while the getting is possible, because I'm not sure any long term trend is favorable. Real world example--the South had a bad reason to leave the Union and a good reason to be defeated, but the plain simple fact is tnat if she had left in 1850 it would have been difficult for the North. 1840 might have been impossible.

Posted by: A. at November 05, 2012 02:13 PM (nJBN4)

554

Just saw Rove and Trippi on Bret Baier--dumb segment.  They were giving their electoral maps with toss-ups and leaners.  Rove still says WI is a lean Obama and when forced to do away with leaners, puts it in the Obama column. 

The reason I said the segment was dumb is that  the first 5 minutes they based the maps on the average of a bunch of polls. 

Forced to end the segment with no lean states, Rove put WI in Obama's column and I forget what he did with NV, but I remember his saying it might be decided by 10k votes.  He put PA in Obama, but of course, he had Romney winning while Trippi had almost all of the battleground states going Barry and Barry winning.

They both said, "Depends on which turn-out model is right."

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 02:17 PM (wgmUB)

555 Internal polling? I saw an internal cum shot once in a movie. It also "leaked". What a movie. For those who want to know whether they can trust internal polls that are leaked? I think in this case...yes. They have to counteract the CNN D+11, and now ABC/WP D+6 Narnia Narrative Nonsense. Look I think Romney's going to win, mostly because I think he's going to win the popular vote...giving him anywhere from a 70% (he wins by under a point) to virtually 100% (he wins by over two) chance in the electoral college. But maybe he'll lose. But this polling has been bullshit and is among the reasons many don't trust things like Climate Change research etc. It's gotta be counteracted. And we know it's not a lie. It's gonna come down to turn out...that essentially means tied everywhere. So those internal polls are true. It's PPP saying O's up six in VA that's Bullshit. And now I've seen they've rolled into MN, FL, PA etc so they can't fuck up those RCP averages too... FINISH HIM!! AND THEN FINISH THEM!!

Posted by: trickamsterdam at November 05, 2012 02:18 PM (uTBHY)

556 The shop stewards can round up the peons but considering what Obama has done for the economy of Nevada I doubt if they can be certain their members will all vote for him. 

Posted by: NC Mountain Girl at November 05, 2012 02:20 PM (p4hZU)

557 @564 (me) *I meant "so they CAN fuck up those RCP averages too..."

Posted by: trickamsterdam at November 05, 2012 02:21 PM (uTBHY)

558 This is kinda like when you were fantasizing for something that caught your eye, something you wanted to ask for, hope for for Christmas when you were a kid, but you were afraid to even ask for it because it was too expensive, too out of the realm of your greatest hopes....but little by little you got the idea your parents and/or Santa would not be taken aback by your letting your hopes slip out.....and so you kept dreaming and dreaming until one day, you did actually ask for it...and while they didn't say "no", they didn't say "yes" and.....and...and you started believing, believing you just might be worth enough, you might have been a good enough kid all year that either Mom or Dad or Santa would give you what you dared hope to think about.......

Posted by: gayle from California at November 05, 2012 02:24 PM (wgmUB)

559 The Romney campaign won't leak internals to the MSM or Fox as they aren't seen as neutral. The Daily Mail, while conservative, opposed the Iraq war and frequently criticises Israel (while referring to Mohammed as a prophet) If you look at the comments on the Daily Mail story there are a few from Americans, whose attacks on Obama are the top rated posts.

Posted by: Bathhouse Barry at November 05, 2012 03:18 PM (ygAKx)

560 I am eagerly awaiting Barky's concession speech with Mooch at his side wearing  her latest frock o' horror.

I hate polls. I really, really despise them right now. Do not mention them again.
Get off my lawn.
#ChristyBHasHairpinTriggerAngerManagementIssuesOverStupidElection

Posted by: ChristyBlinky, raving lunatic about Benghazi at November 05, 2012 03:25 PM (baL2B)

561 It's not crazy to think that Mitt will win 60% of same day voters. It would be a landslide, albeit a narrow one I guess. Mitt wins in narrow landslide!

Posted by: Schnack at November 05, 2012 03:37 PM (6MTTM)

562

Still think these polls are underestimating Mitt's strength! You can't have a huge lead with Independents and Repubs and still be tied? Romney will win by much greater margins than currently anticipated.

Posted by: Frank S at November 05, 2012 03:39 PM (B9edC)

563

Um, let us not forget that the Harry Reid Machine is the Harry Reid Machine.  Otherwise we would be talking about the establishment of primogeniture in Nevada with Gov. Rory, who didn't even carry Clark County when the same voters that Harry turned out drew the line at voting for his son--and Dina Titus in CD 3 as well. 

My NP wife two years ago was deluged with election mail, but not one piece she got bearing the return address "Nevada Democratic Party" mentioned any candidate other than Harry.  No legislative, statewide, or congressional candidates.  Nothing. 

I agree with Pete Ernaut.  It looks like Obama and Heller for Nevada, but I hope it will also be Danny Tarkanian in new CD 4 and Greg Brower for state senate in Reno. 

Howard Hirsch, chairman 2007-08

Lyon County Republican Party

Dayton, Nevada

 

 

 

 

 

Posted by: Howard Hirsch at November 05, 2012 06:01 PM (eYiNi)

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