June 26, 2012
— CAC Hunh.
Solid.
Pundits love to use that word...I do not think it means what they think it means.

Obama will carry Oregon this cycle. But with even PPP only mustering an 8 point lead amongst registered voters today (dropping from their last poll and halving Obama's 08 lead) and coming on the heels of the Survey USA poll showing it a four point race amongst likely voters...and with that delicious 52-30 lead amongst independents Romney is enjoying there per our Democratic friends at Public Policy Polling...
Go big, I say. Or go home. Bonus beneath.
Posted by: CAC at
12:02 PM
| Comments (161)
Post contains 103 words, total size 1 kb.
Posted by: Jason at June 26, 2012 12:04 PM (6VB4r)
My Obamabot uncle lives in Oregon and he is voting for Romney this time because he likes his business background. I know, I know anecdote but there it is.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD 2012 at June 26, 2012 12:05 PM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: the Romney bus is honkin' for Dagny at June 26, 2012 12:05 PM (MQc8e)
Romney campaigning in states like Oregon forces Obama to do the same, else the risk helping him (Mitt) make the point that the Dems take them for granted.
My 'swing for the fences' prediction: Romney will campaign in Massachusetts.
Posted by: fluffy at June 26, 2012 12:05 PM (O6q63)
Posted by: Gabriel Syme at June 26, 2012 12:05 PM (g84Si)
Those few freaking blindingly blue counties-on-the-dole up north overwhelm the rest of the red state.
Besides, would you really want to be on the same side as Jersey.
Asbury Park just banned bathing suits on the boardwalk. Face-palm.
Posted by: trainer at June 26, 2012 12:06 PM (IVoJS)
I thought CAC was some kinda artist! Oh wait.. he puts bright green plastic goo on women's boobs.. so, I guess this graphic makes sense!
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at June 26, 2012 12:06 PM (f9c2L)
Oregon is actually deep red outside of the three main cities. Portland is full of hipsters, Salem is full of government workers, and Eugene is full of hippies. The rest of the state is very conservative.
Outside of those three metro areas, you're right. But outside of those metro areas is only about 30-40% of the state population.
Burns/Prineville/Redmond can be as Red as you want, it's not going to outweigh Multnomah county.
Posted by: imp at June 26, 2012 12:07 PM (UaxA0)
Posted by: joncelli, heartless Con and all around unpleasant guy at June 26, 2012 12:07 PM (RD7QR)
Posted by: © Sponge at June 26, 2012 12:08 PM (UK9cE)
12 Romney should promise Oregonians the freedom to pump their own gas. Posted by: Gabriel Syme
BURN THE HERETIC!!!!!
He's a mole, a plant!
No one makes Oregonians pump their own gas.
Posted by: imp at June 26, 2012 12:08 PM (UaxA0)
Posted by: Gabriel Syme at June 26, 2012 12:09 PM (g84Si)
Not as conservative as it used to be. Corvallis is blue. Most of the coast is blue. It wasn't that long ago we had two Republican (kind of) senators, but those days seem long gone now.
Posted by: Gristle Encased Head at June 26, 2012 12:09 PM (+lsX1)
Posted by: Redd at June 26, 2012 12:09 PM (MlggS)
Posted by: garrett at June 26, 2012 04:05 PM (GJoG6)
I'd say Jason's really not far off in his assessment. You just never hear fron the other residents of the state, since like a lot of Western states they're spread out enough to be easy to ignore. They're not happy over the loss of logging jobs (and I'd guess mining and such as well) due to dem policies.
Posted by: Polliwogette, Teahada hobbit at June 26, 2012 12:09 PM (Qe7jo)
Posted by: Clemenza at June 26, 2012 12:09 PM (qA9lG)
Oregon will not matter because by the time we see it going republican, the wipeout will already be completed on the east coast.
unless there is something I do not know, I think that Oregon should not get much attention. Neither should my home state of Minnesota, even though it is republican outside of the twin cities.
Posted by: rd at June 26, 2012 12:11 PM (9sUlj)
@19 - Hahaha, I lived in Vancouver WA for five years, I would run on fumes across the Interstate Bridge to pump my own gas, not some make-work stew bum providing a terribly unnecessary 'service'.
Posted by: Gabriel Syme at June 26, 2012 12:11 PM (g84Si)
Posted by: trainer at June 26, 2012 04:06 PM (IVoJS)
That seems to be the case in a lot of states. One or two blue cities completely silence an otherwise red state.
Posted by: Polliwogette, Teahada hobbit at June 26, 2012 12:12 PM (Qe7jo)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD 2012 at June 26, 2012 12:13 PM (Gk3SS)
“In years when Claire is on the ballot, she has historically not gone to the convention,” the aide said, “because she believes it’s important to stay in Missouri to talk to voters.”
Posted by: Baron Münchhausen at June 26, 2012 12:14 PM (e8kgV)
But look at this from The Hill. McConnel has sold us out again and The Hill thinhs the House may balk.
Senate leaders say they have a deal on student loan legislation, pending approval by House Republicans, who have unexpectedly balked at Senate deals before.
More "unexpectedly" from idiot liars.
Posted by: Vic at June 26, 2012 12:15 PM (YdQQY)
Posted by: Redd at June 26, 2012 04:09 PM (MlggS)
Isn't that a huge reprimand? Or do you think they're trying to keep him away from reporters and such? It seems like he'd have a pretty good grievance case for such a political move, and yeah I know that since truth is on the "wrong" side that won't do him much good.
Posted by: Polliwogette, Teahada hobbit at June 26, 2012 12:15 PM (Qe7jo)
26
Is Serino being punished for not unequivocably saying GZ was a racist murder who gunned down poor Trayvonn?
Or does the new police chief have a buddy that needs a job?
Posted by: rd at June 26, 2012 12:15 PM (9sUlj)
The 1820s are "ancient"?
Posted by: HeatherRadish at June 26, 2012 12:15 PM (/kI1Q)
Posted by: soothsayer at June 26, 2012 12:16 PM (/eLjI)
So put down those forks, cuz forks are for closers (and non-Hispanics).
Posted by: King Putt at June 26, 2012 12:16 PM (ccXZP)
Posted by: The Mega Independent at June 26, 2012 12:17 PM (5ITIS)
Posted by: Baron Münchhausen at June 26, 2012 04:14 PM (e8kgV)
Since she's done the exact opposite of everything the voters have told her, I'm guessing she's not going to spend any *actual* time talking to them.
Posted by: Polliwogette, Teahada hobbit at June 26, 2012 12:17 PM (Qe7jo)
I agree. Romney should open up a range of expensive (for Obama to) to defend fronts. Bankrupting Obama's campaign like Reagan bankrupted the Soviet Union would be appropriate. It looks like Obama's campaign will run out of other people's money, just like every socialist enterprise.
Posted by: Dirks Strewn at June 26, 2012 12:17 PM (VLifP)
Posted by: Baron Münchhausen at June 26, 2012 12:17 PM (e8kgV)
Posted by: I don't watch it: I IMDB'd it. at June 26, 2012 12:18 PM (HOOye)
Posted by: Arms Merchant at June 26, 2012 12:18 PM (+XVQe)
I must have smoked the wrong Oregono
Posted by: The Q at June 26, 2012 12:19 PM (B/yDO)
I'm thinking that the scholarly standards for Ancient Aliens are not that high. I mean, they're higher than Elizabeth Warren uses, sure, but still not that high.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD 2012 at June 26, 2012 12:20 PM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: The Q at June 26, 2012 12:20 PM (B/yDO)
How blue is WA outside the Seattle metro?
California's a coastal strip of deep blue with a few red enclaves thrown in from the pot-growers of Humboldt to the pot-consumers of Malibu, the rest of the state's pretty red except for Sacramento.
There are few truly blue states. Mostly you have blue urban areas that dominate otherwise-red states.
Posted by: JEM at June 26, 2012 12:20 PM (o+SC1)
CAC: ....."Go big, I say. Or go home."
I say....save it for the home stretch.
Once you "Go Big" you have to keep it up....or else it is noticeable that you have slacked off.
Big ad buys are expensive.
And expensive to keep up.
The time for blitzes is in late September into October, imo.
Posted by: wheatie at June 26, 2012 12:21 PM (0T8H7)
Except our kind of Liberty expects to them to pay for their own condoms.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at June 26, 2012 12:22 PM (/kI1Q)
The more places Romney is competitive, the more marginal congressional seats we might take.
The more Democrat candidates don't want to be seen with Obama.
The more Obama looks weak.
It's a vicious cycle.
Posted by: AmishDude at June 26, 2012 12:22 PM (T0NGe)
Posted by: Redd at June 26, 2012 12:22 PM (MlggS)
"An Egyptian court suspended the militaryÂ’s right to arrest civilians, in a win for the Muslim Brotherhood in its power struggle with the ruling generals ahead of an end-June handover of power to the new Islamist president. "
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at June 26, 2012 12:22 PM (famk3)
The warning comes on the heels of reports that the “free” dinners, which the campaign says include travel and lodging expenses, are valued at $4,800 and could end up costing winners hundreds of dollars in taxes.
Posted by: Boris Yeltsin at June 26, 2012 12:23 PM (e8kgV)
Vice President Joe Biden mounted an all-out assault on Mitt Romney's economic record on Tuesday, accusing him of creating jobs overseas but not in the United States.
Biden also cited the former Massachusetts governor's Swiss bank account and money socked away in the Cayman Islands as evidence he was "out of touch" with the middle class, and bluntly charged that Romney has it in for "the American worker."
Yeah he's out of touch. That's funny coming from the clown who had 2 Chicago expressways shut down for 45 minutes yesterday during rush hour traffic so he could attend a fund raiser
Posted by: TheQuietMan at June 26, 2012 12:24 PM (1Jaio)
Posted by: Redd at June 26, 2012 04:22 PM (MlggS)
That does seem pretty hard to believe. Wish Wyatt was here to give us a detective's eye view of the liklihood of it being true.
Posted by: Polliwogette, Teahada hobbit at June 26, 2012 12:24 PM (Qe7jo)
Oh wait. That's Barack Obama.
Posted by: Jack Kerouac at June 26, 2012 12:25 PM (e8kgV)
Posted by: Gabriel Syme at June 26, 2012 04:05 PM (g84Si)
As if they knew how....
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:26 PM (YbQJm)
Posted by: o/t at June 26, 2012 12:26 PM (HOOye)
Damn thing never seems to go away. Everywhere else on me is normal but that one splotch ruins the party.
I'm the west coast PA, bitches.
Posted by: Washington State at June 26, 2012 12:26 PM (v1uZf)
Posted by: yinzer at June 26, 2012 12:26 PM (/Mla1)
Olympia is a lot like Madison WI, only worse. Government is the big employer, and other than that there are just banks, car dealerships, and retail.
Tacoma is more blue-collar, but they keep sending Adam Smith back to Washington. Smith votes like a big-time lib, but talks like a conservative around election time. There are a lot of old boomers with pony tails who just hate the GOP.
They mirror coastal California. Ladd Ehlinger said he thought the way the GOP could gain a bigger following in coastal California was to knock off ranting on the social issues and emphasize personal freedom, and that probably goes for coastal OR and WA as well.
Posted by: Arms Merchant at June 26, 2012 12:27 PM (+XVQe)
And what was blue on the range may have finally woke up. I was sure Oberstar would die of old age in office.
Posted by: Buzzsaw at June 26, 2012 12:27 PM (tf9Ne)
"Obama will carry Oregon this cycle"
I believe it. Whatever our cocooned lib elite say. Like that seer of seers Stuart Rothenberg, who so infamously decreed, that the GOP wouldn't take back the House in 2010. Even when the tsunami was 3 feet off the beach, he misjudged a 70 ft wave as 10. Polls are typically off, this far out. Duh. So you gotta get a feel for the people. Something our echo chambered betters, have not a clue nor inclination about.
Posted by: MDr at June 26, 2012 12:27 PM (WZT1d)
Posted by: IdowhatIwant at June 26, 2012 12:28 PM (a4CUi)
Posted by: Cream Abdol Jaber at June 26, 2012 12:28 PM (e8kgV)
A German court has ruled that male circumcision is a crime. "Who cuts boys for religious reasons is liable to prosecution for assault,"...
theweeklystandard
Posted by: o/t at June 26, 2012 04:26 PM (HOOye)
Germany is starting to get riled up and broke. And we know what happens when Germany gets riled up and broke.
Posted by: yinzer at June 26, 2012 12:28 PM (/Mla1)
Take a state like Illinois. You could, if you sliced it into Rhode Island-sized chunks, create one very blue state, one purplish state, and three very red states.
Turn California into French fries. Two strips of coastal blue and five or six light to dark red rectangles.
Colorado? One bluish middle surrounded by four chunks of deep red.
Nevada? You'd end up with the State of Las Vegas and everything else.
And so on.
You'd easily have 375 out of 500 Senate seats...
Posted by: JEM at June 26, 2012 12:28 PM (o+SC1)
Posted by: Smilin' Joe Biden at June 26, 2012 12:28 PM (B/yDO)
an all-out assault on Mitt Romney's economic record on Tuesday, accusing
him of creating jobs overseas but not in the United States.
Biden also cited the former
Massachusetts governor's Swiss bank account and money socked away in the
Cayman Islands as evidence he was "out of touch" with the middle class,
and bluntly charged that Romney has it in for "the American worker."
---
Obama has a top secret plan for Biden this election.
http://preview.tinyurl.com/7l7f6y5
Posted by: WalrusRex at June 26, 2012 12:29 PM (Hx5uv)
Damn thing never seems to go away. Everywhere else on me is normal but that one splotch ruins the party.
I'm the west coast PA, bitches.
Posted by: Washington State at June 26, 2012 04:26 PM (v1uZf)
Yeah, Seattle is somewhat of a corpulent pustule...may it sink into the sea...
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:29 PM (YbQJm)
Posted by: Buddy Hackett at June 26, 2012 12:29 PM (e8kgV)
Posted by: Redd at June 26, 2012 12:30 PM (MlggS)
"Claire McCaskill will not be attending the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte..."
BWaahahahaha!
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at June 26, 2012 12:31 PM (famk3)
____
Germany is like Bruce Banner. You wouldn't like it when it's angry.
Posted by: WalrusRex at June 26, 2012 12:31 PM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: Jason at June 26, 2012 04:04 PM (6VB4r) [-i]
And if Oregon turns red in November, the libs in those three cities will go nuts... especially over in the People's Republic of Portland
Posted by: Mjölnir the banhammer at June 26, 2012 12:31 PM (Jls4P)
Posted by: The Royal Tart Toter at June 26, 2012 12:31 PM (e8kgV)
Now that's big. That's a Senator, not just some state assembly schlub.
But, politics aside, I wouldn't go to the DNC for my safety. I'm thinking riots.
Posted by: AmishDude at June 26, 2012 12:32 PM (T0NGe)
Posted by: Adc at June 26, 2012 12:32 PM (VCCe8)
Posted by: IdowhatIwant at June 26, 2012 12:32 PM (a4CUi)
Posted by: WalrusRex at June 26, 2012 04:31 PM (Hx5uv)
ROFLOL
Posted by: Islamic Rage Boy at June 26, 2012 12:32 PM (e8kgV)
Downstaters aresick of Rahm and Quinn.
Go mighty big.
Posted by: DeepBeam
Quinn only won because of the Cook County dead vote. It was a lot closer than it should have been.
If Illinois goes for Romney, my tub will be full of pudding.
Posted by: Roy at June 26, 2012 12:33 PM (VndSC)
I will be the first president in modern history to be outspent in his re-election campaign, if things continue as they have so far.
I'm not just talking about the super PACs and anonymous outside groups -- I'm talking about the Romney campaign itself. Those outside groups just add even more to the underlying problem.
The Romney campaign raises more than we do, and the math isn't hard to understand: Through the primaries, we raised almost three-quarters of our money from donors giving less than $1,000, while Mitt Romney's campaign raised more than three-quarters of its money from individuals giving $1,000 or more.
And, again, that's not including the massive outside spending by super PACs and front groups funneling up to an additional billion dollars into ads trashing me, you, and everything we believe in.
We can be outspent and still win -- but we can't be outspent 10 to 1 and still win.
More than 2.2 million Americans have already chipped in for us, and I'm so grateful for it. As we face this week's fundraising deadline, will you make a donation of $3 or more today?
Every donation you make today automatically enters you to join Michelle and me for one of the last grassroots dinners of this campaign -- today is your last chance to get your name in.
These dinners represent how we do things differently. My opponent spent this past weekend at a secretive retreat for the biggest donors to both his campaign and the super PACs that support him.
I've got other responsibilities I'm attending to.
Donate today to stand for our kind of politics:
Thank you,
Barack
Emphasis mine because it is simply too rich not to point out.
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 26, 2012 12:33 PM (piMMO)
You called?
Posted by: Cascadia subduction zone at June 26, 2012 04:31 PM (Gk3SS)
Then again....there's that whole volcano thingy called Mt. Rainier.
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:33 PM (YbQJm)
I'm sure CAC has a poll or two that explains this decision.
Don't be fooled, Missourah.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at June 26, 2012 12:34 PM (/kI1Q)
Posted by: kbdabear at June 26, 2012 12:34 PM (Y+DPZ)
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at June 26, 2012 12:35 PM (r4wIV)
coffee server, he asked Scalia, “I’ve gotten pretty good at this,
haven’t I?” Scalia replied, “No, you haven’t.”
Breyer is an imbecile. But because he's an appointed liberal law school graduate, he thinks he's brilliant.
I mean, Scalia delivered that with half his wits tied behind his back, and he still doubled Breyer's.
I saw them on C-Span together and there was never such a contrast and never such a pompous imbecile as Breyer.
Posted by: AmishDude at June 26, 2012 12:35 PM (T0NGe)
Yup. The town of Orting is toast if she ever blows.
Posted by: Arms Merchant at June 26, 2012 12:36 PM (+XVQe)
You'll notice SCOAMF is more prinicpled because he hangs out with big donors on weekdays. When he should be fucking working.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at June 26, 2012 12:36 PM (/kI1Q)
Posted by: Mary Cloggenstein from Brattleboro, VT at June 26, 2012 12:36 PM (Ehv6U)
>>>A German court has ruled that male circumcision is a crime.
So the reality based community has downplayed and at times outright suppressed the proven health benefits of circumcision and now it is a crime to do so. It's amazing to watch the doublethink community deny science and call us anti-science because a procedure has religious connotations for some.
Posted by: MikeTheMoose Lite! 98% Anger Free! at June 26, 2012 12:36 PM (0q2P7)
I won't ever watch it again, but, it seems pretty spot on.
Posted by: © Sponge at June 26, 2012 12:37 PM (UK9cE)
Posted by: Mt. St. Helens at June 26, 2012 04:36 PM (v1uZf)
You've had your fun....
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:37 PM (YbQJm)
Posted by: Morseus at June 26, 2012 12:37 PM (WHiI/)
And I stopped reading right there in order to preserve my sanity.
Posted by: joncelli, heartless Con and all around unpleasant guy at June 26, 2012 12:37 PM (RD7QR)
It's the trend.
And you all know what that means.
Death panels? Just shove 'em through their donut holes, and push the red button.
And the huge majority of them will be just like those dog loving morons in the Portlandia clip.
Posted by: TheLittlShiningMan at June 26, 2012 12:37 PM (PH+2B)
Biggest fraud perpetrated on the electorate since Boss Tweed. Except for "top- two" primaries, that is.
Posted by: Arms Merchant at June 26, 2012 12:38 PM (+XVQe)
Posted by: Mt. St. Helens at June 26, 2012 04:36 PM (v1uZf)
You've had your fun....
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 04:37 PM (YbQJm)
It was nice you got all pyroclastic n' shit....now hush up.
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:38 PM (YbQJm)
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at June 26, 2012 12:38 PM (famk3)
I've got other responsibilities I'm attending to.
Check me out. I made Callaway send me a set of their new X22 irons.
*thwack*
Huh, guess they need to keep working on the design. My ball didn't make it past the ladies tee.
Posted by: Preezy Wormburner at June 26, 2012 12:40 PM (y4M8G)
You can't be a fiscal-conservative in this state without facing the illegal-cost problem, but that puts you at odds with the ag interests in the party.
You could never get through certain corners of the primary process unless you kowtowed to the social-cons, which left you dead in the water for the general because you will N-O-T get elected to statewide office here as a pro-lifer.
We haven't yet seen what's going to come out of the new primary structure over time, the Dems sandbagged the GOP on the redistricting committee but haven't gotten the benefit they expected to get.
Posted by: JEM at June 26, 2012 12:41 PM (o+SC1)
Well, maybe North Chicago.
Posted by: Vic at June 26, 2012 12:45 PM (YdQQY)
What will make it close is that conservatives, libertarians, and independents, whatever their misgivings about Romney, will turn out to rid themselves of the SCOAMF. Many Willamette Valley leftists, disillusioned because he didn't crank up the stupid to 11, will stay home.
I see that same pattern nationwide.
Posted by: Army of Fact-Checkers at June 26, 2012 12:46 PM (8Kv96)
Well, maybe North Chicago.
Posted by: Vic at June 26, 2012 04:45 PM (YdQQY)
I've lived in Taft, California for a bit....we thought it was TAFT (They're All Fucking Tweakers)....what a shithole.
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:47 PM (YbQJm)
The problem is, more than half the population of the state lives in Portland alone.
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at June 26, 2012 12:48 PM (r4wIV)
Yup. The town of Orting is toast if she ever blows.
Posted by: Arms Merchant at June 26, 2012 04:36 PM (+XVQe
Rainier doesn't have to erupt. You only need one good earthquake and half the mountain will liquidate, taking big pieces of glacier with it, and wipe out the Puyallup River valley and wreck the port of Tacoma.
I blame Bush.
Posted by: fiatboomer at June 26, 2012 12:48 PM (mGuCQ)
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:49 PM (YbQJm)
33 @19 - Hahaha, I lived in Vancouver WA for five years, I would run on fumes across the Interstate Bridge to pump my own gas, not some make-work stew bum providing a terribly unnecessary 'service'.
Posted by: Gabriel Syme
Yep, LOL, but here's the shit:
Vancouver WA gas price: $3.39
Portland OR gas prices: $ 3.41
For 2 Cents, they can do that make work job, and I can avoid gas spilling on me from shit-broken pumps.
Posted by: imp at June 26, 2012 12:51 PM (UaxA0)
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at June 26, 2012 12:51 PM (r4wIV)
"Don't abandon my state! Just because three parts of it are crazy, doesn't mean the rest are!"
Go East young man. SSSE.
Posted by: MDr at June 26, 2012 12:53 PM (WZT1d)
Posted by: Jean at June 26, 2012 12:54 PM (/FT0A)
With long phony nails and a hairdo that rinses
A horny little jewish princess
With a garlic aroma that could level tacoma
Lonely inside
Well, she can swallow my pride
I want a hairy little jewish princess
With a brand new nose, who knows where it goes
I want a steamy little jewish princess
With over-worked gums, who squeaks when she cums
I don't want no troll
I just want a yemenite hole
I want a darling little jewish princess
Who don't shit about cooking and is arrogant looking
A vicious little jewish princess
To specifically happen with a pee-pee that's snappin
All up inside
I just want a princess to ride
Awright, back to the top...everybody twist
I want a funky little jewish princess
A grinder; a bumper, with a pre-moistened dumper
A brazen little jewish princess
With titanic tits, and sand-blasted zits
She can even be poor
So long as she does it with four on the floor
(vapor-lock)
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:55 PM (YbQJm)
Posted by: Vic at June 26, 2012 12:56 PM (YdQQY)
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:57 PM (YbQJm)
Received this message from our rep, Pat Meehan:
"The Democrats are hemorrhaging independent voters in key swing states like Virginia, North Carolina, Florida and Pennsylvania. Just yesterday, the news outlet POLITICO reported that Obama will “live and die by the size of the margin he produces out of Philadelphia and how well he does in its populous suburbs.”
The President's campaign managers know that if they lose here, they'll lose the election – this is their Alamo."
Posted by: kallisto at June 26, 2012 12:57 PM (jm/9g)
Posted by: Vic at June 26, 2012 04:56 PM (YdQQY)
Hellhole in the middle of an oilfield...sucktacular.
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 12:57 PM (YbQJm)
There is no reason to say OR will go to Obama. It is likely, but it is not wishful thinking to think otherwise. In 2008, I'm fairly certain at this point in the election cycle, I would have said there is no way Obama wins IN. But he did. This election could be close like 2000 or 2004. Or it may resemble most ordinary elections in which case certain states that we are sure are red or blue now will actually vote differently. I think there is a very chance that one of the Northwestern states could go for Mitt, just like Mitt could pull in NJ. If Wisc, PA, MI are in play, then so should WA and OR. Sure the electorate is different, but they are consumers too. Mitt should go big or go home. He should make it a 50-state strategy.
I've posed this before, but perhaps the Bush elections are the outliers where the candidate wins by a small margin. Yes the Clinton elections screw this up somewhat because Perot skewed the vote. But most elections are not nerely as close as when Bush won. There is no reason to assume that this election will be close. If it is, then we should ask why Mitt is such a terrible candidate. OR can turn red. Go big or go home.
Posted by: SH at June 26, 2012 12:59 PM (gmeXX)
Feeling the Oregonian love from the morons. Represent.
How can we even bother living in a state that won't field a Republican candidate for AG or an official one for 2 house districts?
Go, Ellen Rosenblum, toke it up!
Posted by: imp at June 26, 2012 12:59 PM (UaxA0)
Meh, the only difference between Oregon Republicans and Oregon Democrats is the symbol by their name.
The big advantage in this state is that the countryside is so beautiful and spectacular you can put up with the morons in Salem.
But nobody move here. It rains all the time. Constantly. And it sucks. Feel free to visit and spend your money though.
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at June 26, 2012 01:02 PM (r4wIV)
If Rainier goes, Half of Seattle will slide into the sound, even if the eruption doesn't bury it in ashes. When the slides hit the Sound, it will flood most of Tacoma and other areas. That's a disaster that would make Katrina look like a firecracker.
Which will also be Bush's fault.
Posted by: Your MFM Betters at June 26, 2012 01:03 PM (L7hol)
Posted by: Vic at June 26, 2012 01:03 PM (YdQQY)
Posted by: Oregon lurker who never posts wxcept this time at June 26, 2012 01:04 PM (sXB+h)
As far as we know. Its not who votes, its who counts the mail-in ballot votes.
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at June 26, 2012 01:05 PM (r4wIV)
Posted by: Vic at June 26, 2012 05:03 PM (YdQQY)
My kawasaki is allergic to moisture.
Posted by: model_1066 at June 26, 2012 01:06 PM (YbQJm)
But nobody move here. It rains all the time. Constantly. And it sucks. Feel free to visit and spend your money though.
I must repeat this. It is actually a horrid summer this year, too, so maybe that will thin out the Californian herd, too.
Posted by: imp at June 26, 2012 01:07 PM (UaxA0)
Posted by: The People of Brattleboro, Vermont at June 26, 2012 01:09 PM (48wze)
Yep. I always drop mine off on election day hoping that somehow it's less likely to get "lost".
Posted by: Oregon lurker who never posts except this time at June 26, 2012 01:10 PM (sXB+h)
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at June 26, 2012 01:16 PM (r4wIV)
Posted by: Steevy at June 26, 2012 01:24 PM (Ts9tU)
Posted by: jimi ray at June 26, 2012 01:24 PM (FcOR4)
Posted by: Joe Biden, Still On A Short Leash at June 26, 2012 01:43 PM (zuDcH)
Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at June 26, 2012 01:44 PM (qwK3S)
Posted by: Adc at June 26, 2012 02:02 PM (VCCe8)
Hell, Bush came within half a point in 2000 of winning Oregon, and it was barely contested by his campaign. Romney is also a MUCH better fit for the state.
What it makes Obama do is spend millions there to shore up. He can't just assume it will automatically be in his column if the polls are close to the margin of error. If it were to narrowly flip, the electoral math makes Obama's election essentially impossible.
Posted by: Jackie J at June 26, 2012 02:04 PM (XDRsa)
Posted by: Adc at June 26, 2012 02:04 PM (VCCe8)
Posted by: AuthorLMendez at June 26, 2012 02:05 PM (yAor6)
Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at June 26, 2012 02:09 PM (qwK3S)
RE: 156 Because its Oregon I draw the line at juggling and hackey-sack. So no magic cards or video games. Except if its Poker at one of Oregon's famous video poker storefronts.
Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at June 26, 2012 02:40 PM (qwK3S)
Posted by: Rich K at June 26, 2012 02:56 PM (X4l3T)
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at June 26, 2012 03:02 PM (r4wIV)
Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at June 26, 2012 03:04 PM (qwK3S)
Honestly, they don't know. We need to tell them.
Posted by: PJ at June 26, 2012 03:55 PM (DQHjw)
Posted by: The Political Hat at June 26, 2012 04:31 PM (XvHmy)
Having spent more time over the years on business trips to Portland (with occasional excursions to the state capitol in Salem) than is good for my psyce, I can authoritatively say that Oregon is stuffed to the gills with progressive dipshits. Food in Portland is good, and they have a couple of nice artisanal breweries. Make a nice pinot noir in their vineyards. But otherwise, any Oregonian west of the Cascades is brain dead. And there are a lot of them, which of course overwhelms any sensible people in Eastern Oregon.
Posted by: Comanche Voter at June 26, 2012 05:22 PM (oe1aw)
Posted by: JS at June 27, 2012 09:53 AM (/dsDz)
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Posted by: Infidel at June 26, 2012 11:50 AM (O/fK8)