September 10, 2012
— Ace So says Mort Zuckerberg, thanks to @rdbrewer4.
We are still almost five million payrolls shy of where we were at the end of 2007, when the recession began. Think about that when you hear the Obama administration's talk of an economic recovery.The key indicator of our employment health, in all the statistics, is what the government calls U-6. This is the number who have applied for work in the past six months and includes people who are involuntary part-time workers—government-speak for those individuals whose jobs have been cut back to two or three days a week.
They are working part-time only because they've been unable to find full-time work. This involuntary army of what's called "underutilized labor" has been hovering for months at about 15% of the workforce. Include the eight million who have simply given up looking, and the real unemployment rate is closer to 19%.
In short, the president's ill-designed stimulus program was a failure. For all our other national concerns, and the red herrings that typically swim in electoral waters, American voters refuse to be distracted from the No. 1 issue: the economy.
Team Romney's "Buck up, little campers" email (posted below by Drew) is probably right. It has to be remembered than in any contest the other team gets the ball sometimes, and sometimes they score.
They even go ahead sometimes.
It's unreasonable to expect blow-outs, or holding the opponents to zero scoring. Sure, we'd like that. But end of the day, that's just Style Points.
Clinton's touchdown doesn't change the basic fact of the campaign. Yes, apparently the public has been successfully Distracted into focusing on Free Birth Control and Gay Marriage this week. That doesn't mean they'll remain distracted.
I almost think the public appreciated the distraction of the DNC because they don't want to think about the horrors of the Obama economy.
But they will think about that. They maybe just want a couple of weeks off, for pretend-time.

Posted by: Ace at
08:07 AM
| Comments (212)
Post contains 349 words, total size 2 kb.
1But we live in a country where losing $49,000 per unit sold is a solid business model!
They make it up on volume.
Sheesh.
Posted by: Jay Guevara at September 10, 2012 08:10 AM (oX7vY)
Posted by: Redd at September 10, 2012 08:11 AM (jxolP)
Over at Instapundit is a blurb about how horrible and awful was this weekend's movie box office. Except for "2016 Obama's America".
I saw it last night, and the only people in the multiplex were the handful of people at 2016. And the popcorn seller.
Posted by: Boots at September 10, 2012 08:12 AM (neKzn)
Posted by: K. Bacon at September 10, 2012 08:12 AM (9sUlj)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at September 10, 2012 08:12 AM (136wp)
Posted by: charles gibson, Journalist at September 10, 2012 08:12 AM (qaVK+)
Posted by: JDTAY at September 10, 2012 08:13 AM (a0nis)
Posted by: shut up and vote O out, says clint at September 10, 2012 08:13 AM (IPhbB)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at September 10, 2012 08:13 AM (136wp)
Posted by: the pink not panicking about one poll formerly known as the hobbit Donna at September 10, 2012 08:14 AM (W2Z3C)
Posted by: soothsayer at September 10, 2012 08:14 AM (g8WYH)
How many people have taken a pay cut in the face of that inflation. At some point the numbers approach one hundred percent.
Posted by: typo dynamofo at September 10, 2012 08:14 AM (23Rnf)
Posted by: maddogg at September 10, 2012 08:14 AM (OlN4e)
I wonder why anyone would want this to stop.
What kind of person panics and decides not to vote? I don't get it.
Posted by: comatus at September 10, 2012 08:14 AM (qaVK+)
Posted by: Interested Party at September 10, 2012 08:14 AM (RE+1w)
Posted by: Soona at September 10, 2012 08:15 AM (eF0bh)
Posted by: toby928© at September 10, 2012 08:15 AM (evdj2)
Posted by: tasker at September 10, 2012 08:15 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: CountDraculaWillSuckYoulaOffula at September 10, 2012 08:15 AM (/YJYi)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at September 10, 2012 08:15 AM (136wp)
Posted by: reason at September 10, 2012 08:16 AM (sPO/s)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at September 10, 2012 08:16 AM (8y9MW)
O/T but related: If you've figured out that you can contract the government to take money from other people and give it to you (by voting Democrat), does that make you stupid?
Venal, selfish, and shortsighted, yes. But stupid, I'm not so sure.
Posted by: Bat Chain Puller at September 10, 2012 08:16 AM (SCcgT)
Posted by: Steven at September 10, 2012 08:17 AM (4z/Oq)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at September 10, 2012 08:17 AM (136wp)
No I would still say it makes you stupid. Somebody once said "The problem with Socialism is eventually you run out of other peoples money".
Posted by: Adam at September 10, 2012 08:18 AM (/YJYi)
Posted by: Ford Prefect at September 10, 2012 08:19 AM (ggRof)
I just got off the phone with the Midwestern VF point of contact.
She did say I need to give even if I don't give my wife her dream lunch with Ryan...
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 08:19 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at September 10, 2012 08:19 AM (136wp)
I don't all the Eore, oh woe is us, but full fledged Panic!
Posted by: Paladin at September 10, 2012 08:19 AM (mCOPv)
Posted by: Honey Badger the Dense Rethuglican Nazi Bastard at September 10, 2012 08:20 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: That giant sucking sound at September 10, 2012 08:20 AM (R18D0)
Posted by: Hope You're Right at September 10, 2012 08:20 AM (kiwMG)
the fundamentals are there for the entire GOP to hold the Donks totally to blame, but they need to start at some point.
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 08:20 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: Cricket at September 10, 2012 08:20 AM (DrC22)
Posted by: Tom at September 10, 2012 08:21 AM (kl5rr)
Posted by: Seymor Eeyore at September 10, 2012 08:21 AM (mxnUd)
Posted by: The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy at September 10, 2012 08:21 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Idaho Spudboy at September 10, 2012 08:21 AM (1+CnU)
It's threads like these that help us to appreciate the ones that tell us ZOMG PANIC!
We really shouldn't take those threads for granted.
Posted by: reason at September 10, 2012 08:21 AM (sPO/s)
Posted by: ejo at September 10, 2012 08:22 AM (aPAv6)
Posted by: Countchocula at September 10, 2012 08:22 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: shut up and vote O out, says clint at September 10, 2012 08:22 AM (IPhbB)
Posted by: @PurpAv at September 10, 2012 08:23 AM (uKnGb)
Posted by: Aging hippie sonata (and yes, I saw it on FB) at September 10, 2012 08:23 AM (eF0bh)
Fox This is the result of barky Choom's plan...
It was a decision that President Obama and his team of advisors decided to make at the outset of his presidential term. Faced with very bad economic conditions, the president decided that monetary policy (printing money and infusing it into the economy ) was a better choice than attempting to fix the economy by fiscal policy (in this case, reducing the tax burden on corporations and individuals).
There is no hiding from the facts. His tactic didn't work, and there
are no signs that it will. In fact, buried in the most recent economic
report out on Friday was a statistic that most people missed but is very
troubling: recent M3 data prove that the money supply is growing at a
very rapid rate, and this is a leading indicator of inflation.
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 08:24 AM (LRFds)
Like many things ambiguous and human, we'll only be able to locate it after the fact.
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at September 10, 2012 08:24 AM (xrX4n)
Posted by: Cricket at September 10, 2012 08:24 AM (DrC22)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at September 10, 2012 08:24 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Dolphins everywhere at September 10, 2012 08:24 AM (d0Tfm)
Posted by: motorcycle guy with buddy in diner at September 10, 2012 08:24 AM (YXmuI)
In unadjusted numbers it beats all other political documentaries other than Fahrenheit 911 and we all know how that turned out for Kerry.
I think the big difference is that if a non-conservative is dragged to 2016, he will never have heard even that mild criticism of Obama.
Posted by: AmishDude (some opinions endorsed by Clint Eastwood) at September 10, 2012 08:25 AM (T0NGe)
BFD. Time to play the second half.
Some people need to realize that this is hard and that we need to put on our big-boy pants.
Posted by: trumpetdaddy at September 10, 2012 08:25 AM (dcoFe)
Posted by: Generic Bwarney Frank Reply at September 10, 2012 08:25 AM (136wp)
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 08:25 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:26 AM (4df7R)
Venal, selfish, and shortsighted, yes. But stupid, I'm not so sure.
You don't have to be smart if you're willing to be dishonest.
Posted by: AmishDude (some opinions endorsed by Clint Eastwood) at September 10, 2012 08:26 AM (T0NGe)
We're gonna be rollin' in the money like a boss, bitches!
Posted by: GM at September 10, 2012 08:26 AM (R18D0)
Posted by: shut up and vote O out, says clint at September 10, 2012 08:26 AM (IPhbB)
Posted by: Barack Zaphod Obama at September 10, 2012 08:26 AM (136wp)
I give this post a C-.
I'm just not feeling the disdain for the readership that I got in the last one.
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at September 10, 2012 08:27 AM (HipuG)
Posted by: steevy at September 10, 2012 08:27 AM (6o4Fb)
Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at September 10, 2012 08:27 AM (9TTOe)
Posted by: Honey Badger the Dense Rethuglican Nazi Bastard at September 10, 2012 08:27 AM (GvYeG)
-----
I most certainly have never seen video of Dinesh D. walking around third world slums.
Posted by: RioBravo at September 10, 2012 08:27 AM (eEfYn)
Posted by: Bart who lurks at September 10, 2012 08:27 AM (he2LC)
NO!!! WAY!!!
Posted by: General Woundwort at September 10, 2012 08:27 AM (Ac21H)
Posted by: steevy at September 10, 2012 08:27 AM (6o4Fb)
Posted by: The Gulf at September 10, 2012 08:28 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Roy at September 10, 2012 08:28 AM (VndSC)
Posted by: Pipe Holder at September 10, 2012 08:28 AM (VTeUD)
Posted by: Adam at September 10, 2012 08:29 AM (/YJYi)
Posted by: maddogg at September 10, 2012 12:14 PM (OlN4e)
Yes. Definitely!
Posted by: Howard Dean at September 10, 2012 08:29 AM (/vXPy)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at September 10, 2012 08:29 AM (136wp)
Because he was caught up in the "Yes we can" hype and besides Obama was cool don't you know..
Posted by: the pink not panicking about one poll formerly known as the hobbit Donna at September 10, 2012 08:30 AM (W2Z3C)
Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at September 10, 2012 08:30 AM (9TTOe)
Posted by: toby928© at September 10, 2012 08:30 AM (evdj2)
Posted by: steevy at September 10, 2012 08:31 AM (6o4Fb)
Posted by: shut up and vote O out, says clint at September 10, 2012 08:31 AM (IPhbB)
Posted by: Seymor Eeyore at September 10, 2012 08:31 AM (mxnUd)
Posted by: Redd at September 10, 2012 08:32 AM (jxolP)
Romney Rebuts Choom King
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 08:32 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: Roy at September 10, 2012 12:28 PM (VndSC)
In keeping with the football analogy, I think another way to look at it would be to say that the two teams are duking it out on the field while all around them the stadium is steadily falling apart because there's no money in the coffers to do basic upkeep and maintenance, let alone renovate. The only people in stands are the diehard fans who turn out for every game regardless of circumstances. The only way you'll get butts in all those seats is the Super Bowl.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:32 AM (4df7R)
I bought groceries on Saturday and thought it already had.
Shit.
Posted by: HeatherRadish™, Team MATH at September 10, 2012 08:32 AM (/kI1Q)
Posted by: Waterhouse at September 10, 2012 08:32 AM (K7AbF)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at September 10, 2012 08:32 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD you know you want me at September 10, 2012 08:33 AM (VtjlW)
Here's what I've decided has happened: the Obama supporters who weren't sure they were going to vote and were less enthusiastic about him got fired up by the convention. That's the only thing that really makes sense to me. So it's not like Romney lost a bunch of independents in the last week--it's the usual rabble of Obama fools got reinvigorated.
Likewise, we have to stay invigorated. And the election will decide whether there's more of them or more of us.
I don't see Obama winning independents unless Romney just tanks between now and election day (perhaps does terrible in the debates). So it's still going to come down to who gets their base out.
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at September 10, 2012 08:33 AM (dN5sa)
get ready for the 7-15% escalator...
the US is not on the gold standard it is on the oil, and corn standard
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 08:33 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: steevy at September 10, 2012 08:34 AM (6o4Fb)
That's what got me. I thought that was the most disgusting display I had ever seen. I didn't even think Billy boy was that good rambling on and on. Then Obumbles speech was horrible and lets not forget the debacle of the God/Israel "vote."
Posted by: the pink not panicking about one poll formerly known as the hobbit Donna at September 10, 2012 08:34 AM (W2Z3C)
Posted by: shut up and vote O out, says clint at September 10, 2012 08:34 AM (IPhbB)
Posted by: Seymor Eeyore at September 10, 2012 08:34 AM (mxnUd)
Posted by: steevy at September 10, 2012 08:34 AM (6o4Fb)
I'm just not feeling the disdain for the readership that I got in the last one.
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at September 10, 2012 12:27 PM (HipuG)
Fuck you. Criticism of bloggers IS NOT ALLOWED!!!! Go back to where you came from wingnut! I am smarter than you!!!11!!
Posted by: BCochran1981 at September 10, 2012 08:34 AM (da5Wo)
On the flip side, he's lost the "grizzled biker dudes in black leather jackets and bandanas" vote.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:35 AM (4df7R)
Not for long.
Posted by: EC at September 10, 2012 08:35 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: Max Wedge at September 10, 2012 08:35 AM (8emxS)
Posted by: steevy at September 10, 2012 08:35 AM (6o4Fb)
But mostly shame.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at September 10, 2012 08:35 AM (sbV1u)
And by the ONT, the HQ reeks of semen and shame.
Posted by: toby928© at September 10, 2012 12:30 PM (evdj2)
Well, for some of us, just semen.
Posted by: Countchocula at September 10, 2012 08:36 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Wonders what Dagny thinks at September 10, 2012 08:36 AM (9TTOe)
But mostly
Posted by: Sean Bannion at September 10, 2012 12:35 PM (sbV1u)
We are talking about the HQ after all.
Posted by: BCochran1981 at September 10, 2012 08:36 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: phoenixgirl, team dagny, team MPFS at September 10, 2012 08:37 AM (Ho2rs)
Posted by: tasker at September 10, 2012 08:37 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: Seymor Eeyore at September 10, 2012 08:38 AM (mxnUd)
@111 - If Jack Ryan had been sitting front and center at Bammy's speech, he would have taken the JEF down in a rugby tackle and punched him repeatedly in the kidneys while calling him a commie motherfucker.
Of course, that would require that Jack Ryan be REAL, and not a fictional character dreamt up by Tom Clancy.
PAUL Ryan, on the other hand, is very much real, was very much in attendance, and could very easily have done all those same things but instead chose to keep his calm and settle for giving the Preezy a bitter, icy glare.
But it's okay, JEF. Rememb'rin' names iz hard'n shit.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:38 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Gerg = Tard, yeah so? at September 10, 2012 08:38 AM (aHR5E)
2012 Torquewrench: "Hey, younger me. You're looking damn good! That won't last. You're going to get some gray hair starting soon."
1992 Torquewrench: "Yeah, older me, I figured it would show up some time. Anyway, you've come back from an election year. Tell me what's going on!"
2012 Torquewrench: "Here's the deal. There was a sharp, scary financial crisis in '08. The liberals went full retard and nominated a radical hard leftist, someone who made Jimmy Carter look moderate, and the guy actually won."
1992 Torquewrench: "And he then predictably made the bad situation even worse with inept left-wing policy nostrums, correct?"
2012 Torquewrench: "Correctamundo. A total trainwreck. Gas pump prices have more than doubled during the guy's presidency. Incomes have fallen significantly behind inflation. Average household wealth is down 40%. Fewer Americans have jobs now than on the day he took the oath of office. Record food stamp usage. Record foreclosures. Record low labor force participation. He's blown through more borrowed money more quickly than any other President in our entire national history, and our debt to GDP ratio just accelerated rapidly through the 100% mark. Closing in on the 'unrecoverable debt spiral' mark at a frightening pace."
1992 Torquewrench: "That blows. Too bad. But at least this guy is only going to have done the four years worth of damage. With such utterly horrible economic stats, what is he, 15 or 20 points back in the polls? A guaranteed one term wonder."
2012 Torquewrench: "Nope. He's neck and neck with his GOP challenger."
1992 Torquewrench: "What. The. Fuck. How'd *that* happen?"
2012 Torquewrench: "You know that Raspail-style 'Camp of the Saints' invasion of the USA by Third World illegal immigrants that was going on back in your day? The one that always has you worried about the long term implications?"
1992 Torquewrench: "I was just bitching about that today!"
2012 Torquewrench: "Well, it worked out pretty much the way you expected it was going to. That huge flood tide of illegals, mostly from south of the border, didn't abate. It got worse and worse and worse. Actively aided by a bunch of people on the right wing in the U.S. who should have known better."
1992 Torquewrench: "Reagan amnesty?"
2012 Torquewrench: "That plus time based effects. The illegals who were encouraged by the amnesty and arrived after the amnesty have cranked out an amazing number of anchor babies."
1992 Torquewrench: "Babies with automatic birthright citizenship."
2012 Torquewrench: "Yes. Kids born to post-amnesty illegal arrivals in the late Eighties and early Nineties are now old enough to vote, and they *can* vote. Those youngsters want their older illegal relatives legalized and getting benefits. And, the voting laws are still just as insanely lax as they were in your day. So those illegal relatives are voting in large numbers too, even though that's..."
1992 Torquewrench: "Even though that's illegal?"
2012 Torquewrench: "Took the words right out of my mouth. So we now have this massive new demographic and political bloc in America in 2012 of illegal Hispanics plus legal Hispanics closely allied with the illegals for familial reasons. And guess who they absolutely adore."
1992 Torquewrench: "Your radical leftist President?"
2012 Torquewrench: "Bingo, buddy. Last poll I saw with ethnic internals broken out showed that the Hispanic bloc was breaking for the incumbent by 35 points. 35 points! That is massive. If we had the ethnic composition of the 1980 electorate today, this election would not even be close. That's not my opinion. That's what the pollster said. Hell, in my opinion, if we had even the ethnic composition of the 1992 electorate today, it still wouldn't be close."
1992 Torquewrench: "But the country has changed ethnically, and hence culturally, in the two decades from my day to yours."
2012 Torquewrench: "Yes. And that means it's changed politically as well. We not only imported illegal aliens in bulk, but we also imported in bulk the caudillismo and socialist crap that infects their countries of origin. Just as you figured would happen."
1992 Torquewrench: "I have never been less happy to be told that I was right about a prediction. What should I do now?"
2012 Torquewrench: "You remember that one guy who lives across the street from you in '92? The supposed conservative who says that the invasion of illegal aliens is nothing to worry about? Even though he should know better?"
1992 Torquewrench: "Yep. I was just talking to him the other day and he said the illegals are natural cultural conservatives with strong family values, and they'll vote as solid reliable rightists once they get established here and figure things out."
2012 Torquewrench: "That's how I recall him. So the next time he starts in with that, would you do me a favor? Pull out your dick and take a big long piss on his shoes and tell him it's from me. Thanks."
Posted by: torquewrench at September 10, 2012 08:38 AM (ymG7s)
Posted by: Cricket at September 10, 2012 08:38 AM (DrC22)
Posted by: Bart who lurks at September 10, 2012 08:39 AM (he2LC)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at September 10, 2012 08:39 AM (05RcU)
And by the ONT, the HQ reeks of semen and shame.
Posted by: toby928© at September 10, 2012 12:30 PM (evdj2)
But mostly shame.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at September 10, 2012 12:35 PM (sbV1u)
What HQ have you been visiting?
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:39 AM (4df7R)
Smart people are stupid.
Conservatism 101. That's why electing the brilliant experts gets you no better off than before.
And I don't see where you get that he's smart.
What kind of mathematician is he?
Posted by: AmishDude (some opinions endorsed by Clint Eastwood) at September 10, 2012 08:40 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: Alec Leamas at September 10, 2012 08:41 AM (auPSv)
I know it has been asked a million times over the weekend but how the hell is JEF doing so well? How is it even a race? Everyone is feeling it. Everyone. His numbers should be so low that the election should only be formality.
Posted by: Long Island at September 10, 2012 08:41 AM (kzp9t)
Posted by: GalosGann at September 10, 2012 08:41 AM (T3KlW)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at September 10, 2012 08:42 AM (05RcU)
---
Cuando omni flunkus moritati.
Posted by: mediumheadboy at September 10, 2012 08:42 AM (aHR5E)
If you consider that a large percentage of new jobs created in the BLS stats are accredited to the birth/death model in their computation, there is the definitive possibility that the "real" number of new jobs created are much lower.
The birth/death equation is reliant, in part, on a normal economic distribution. What we are going thru would be on one of the tails of that distribution and not normal.
Posted by: @huffpeter at September 10, 2012 08:43 AM (NHNJt)
Jack Ryan is the guy Obama got kicked off the 2004 Senate ballot with an illegal disclosure of sealed divorce proceedings.
Posted by: HeatherRadish™, Team MATH at September 10, 2012 08:43 AM (/kI1Q)
Posted by: mediumheadboy at September 10, 2012 12:42 PM (aHR5E)
Red Green fan?
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:44 AM (4df7R)
Did you ask, "So, how's that Obama Stimulus working out for ya?"
I'm convinced that at least part of the problem is that conservatives are, by and large, so gun-shy about bringing up politics in our daily lives. We're fine doing it with family, maybe even at church, but when it comes to "random people" we aren't willing to say, "Just remember, the reason life sucks for you right now is that 52% of the population lost their collective minds in 2008."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at September 10, 2012 08:44 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Chilling the most at September 10, 2012 08:44 AM (6IV8T)
Obama Thugs Rough Up Gallup For Polls They DonÂ’t Like
http://tinyurl.com/92sztap
According to the email chain titled “Axelrod vs. Gallup,” the White House in addition asked that a Gallup staffer “come over and explain our methodology,” which was apparently perceived as a subtle threat.
Fox News reported that “a Gallup official said in an email he thought Axelrod’s pressure ‘sounds a little like a Godfather situation.’”
Gallup refused to change its methodology to suit the White House.
Posted by: kbdabear at September 10, 2012 08:44 AM (wwsoB)
Posted by: Interested Party at September 10, 2012 08:44 AM (RE+1w)
Posted by: Matt at September 10, 2012 08:44 AM (c4UpU)
Posted by: The Hamsters in a Charles Gibson Suit at September 10, 2012 08:45 AM (nKOL2)
The PPP poll is secretly a pro-Romney poll. It was linked on the last thread that if you look at the numbers carefully, it's Romney+3. What are the tells?
Dems are oversampled by 4%. Is that realistic? Well, not crazy for Ohio, but that isn't the kicker.
Women are oversampled by 9%. Wha?
Now this "insider" cautions us that much is to happen and much rides on the debates that Obama will find a reason to skip, but that poll is actually great news, if you dig into it.
Posted by: AmishDude (some opinions endorsed by Clint Eastwood) at September 10, 2012 08:45 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: mediumheadboy at September 10, 2012 12:44 PM (aHR5E)
*high fives mediumheadboy and HeatherRadish!* Possum Lodge, unite!
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:45 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at September 10, 2012 08:46 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at September 10, 2012 08:46 AM (dN5sa)
Posted by: Seymor Eeyore at September 10, 2012 08:47 AM (mxnUd)
Posted by: docj at September 10, 2012 08:47 AM (A5uiv)
Posted by: Mindy at September 10, 2012 08:47 AM (CC6tc)
Posted by: steevy at September 10, 2012 08:47 AM (6o4Fb)
Posted by: tasker at September 10, 2012 08:47 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 08:48 AM (LRFds)
You're soaking in it....
Posted by: Madge, currently unemployed at September 10, 2012 08:48 AM (ksERZ)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at September 10, 2012 08:48 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at September 10, 2012 08:49 AM (05RcU)
"112 97
I thiunk the reason people got a little nuts was that they were shocked Obama got any bump from that pathetic convention.
That's what got me. I thought that was the most disgusting display I had ever seen. I didn't even think Billy boy was that good rambling on and on. Then Obumbles speech was horrible and lets not forget the debacle of the God/Israel "vote.""
Heres the problem. You're repulsed by socialism. Most people haven't thought it through, and Romney has utterly failed to make the case against it. People hear his "this poor Obama guy is in over his head" bullshit and the hear that speech and think "It sounds to me like he has a plan".
And then they hear Romney plans to raise their taxes and other assorted bullshit and he fails to push back.
Sorry but Romney is a complete failure. Ive never been really anti-Romney before but I thought he could do better. He's playing games to try to not shatter the little bubble the independents live in. He's accepting the commiecrat lies.
The good news is that another 4 years may teach this society something about socialism. I'm not one of thos who thinks the USA is finished but this election is going nowhere with these dumbfucks.
Posted by: lesbian seagull at September 10, 2012 08:50 AM (xXhWA)
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 08:50 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: thirteen28 at September 10, 2012 08:50 AM (AbmsP)
Maybe he hasn't been the best President but he seems so cool and smart and speaks good and stuff so I believe him when he says it's not his fault because I want to believe.
Besides, it's kinda nice that we finally elected a black president and especially one who isn't one of those scary black people.
Besides, that Mitt guy is really rich and I don't think he could relate to us normal people who aren't obsessed with politics because he wears a suit a lot and looks kinda stiff.
Posted by: 'Independent' voter who decides elections at September 10, 2012 08:50 AM (SY2Kh)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at September 10, 2012 08:50 AM (05RcU)
Posted by: tasker at September 10, 2012 08:51 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: yankeefifth at September 10, 2012 08:52 AM (Z9EHQ)
Fine. I'll waive the turn in the barrel.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at September 10, 2012 08:52 AM (8y9MW)
Well he is the smartest man in the room, who needs a briefing?
Posted by: Nevergiveup at September 10, 2012 12:49 PM (05RcU)
Anything you can do I can do better, I can do anything better than you
Posted by: Barack Obama at September 10, 2012 08:52 AM (/YJYi)
A lot of people will vote against Obama but won't talk about it. It's not easy for them to do and they feel no need to discuss it.
Some people still blame Bush, or Corporations, or Rich People, or whatever other bogeymen conjures vague feelings of dislike. I have no idea why Corporations and Rich People would want to have a bad economy where no one can afford to buy their stuff, but apparently they're just stupid and evil like that.
And there are also people who just want to be victims. Taking any responsibility for making things better implies they may have had some responsibility for making things worse. That's why it's important for Romney to remind these folks that they've been lied to and deceived. They're willing to make the right choice but they need to be able to disentangle this decision from their own self-image.
Posted by: GalosGann at September 10, 2012 08:54 AM (T3KlW)
We are doomed. Not because of Obama. Not because of what he might do if re-elected. But because someone like Obama could even become a viable candidate in the first place.
That anything other than a minuscule percentage of Americans could look at him and say "Yeah, he seems like a good choice..." means we're in trouble. That a MAJORITY could do so means we're completely fucked.
This is what civilizations that are about to fail and fall into ruin look like just before the precipice.
If you want to know who is responsible for he mess we are in, look to your fellow Americans who voted for Obama knowing full well who and what he is. I'm not talking about the apolitical naives who fell for the leftist media lies that he was a post-partisan centrist. I'm talking about the people who looked at him, saw a Marxist saboteur and wealth redistributionist, and pulled the lever next to his name with a smile.
How do you save a country from itself? How do you rescue a nation from its own citizens? How do you redeem a people who have turned away from virtue and embraced lies?
In another time or place it would be possible to just leave, to walk away from the crumbling hulk and set up shop in another land. That is not possible in the here and now. Oh we could leave, but where would we go? As America falls, so does the rest of the world.
That means we have to stay and fight, and that means identifying the enemy, which isn't really Obama or other politicians like him, but the people who SUPPORT Obama and politicians like him. Remember this the next time Obama or one of his think-alikes does something totally egregious and insane. Remember that he was ELECTED. His supporters empowered him to act by putting him in office. THEY are the ones who are ultimately responsible, and should be held to account.
This November, don't vote against Obama. Vote against the people who put him in the White House, and remember them in the days and months and years ahead. Remember them the next time some leftard starts spouting their party's line or spews their talking points, and FIGHT. We have nothing to lose but our country.
Posted by: Lee Reynolds at September 10, 2012 08:54 AM (rJMw2)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at September 10, 2012 08:54 AM (05RcU)
Posted by: Mindy at September 10, 2012 12:47 PM (CC6tc)
THIS. This is what I mean when I say the question, "Are you better off now than you were four years ago?" isn't just an economic question. It's not just about your paycheck (or lack thereof). It's inclusive of every aspect of your life.
Anybody who can say they feel just as secure as they did four years ago, when our President DIDN'T admit to having a "kill list" and when the DOJ wasn't selling guns to Mexican drug cartels and wasn't letting Black Panthers walk free despite being guilty of voter intimidation and when you could eat a hamburger without the specter of Mooch appearing over your table and telling you what a horrible person you were and when Israel was still our trusted ally and we could count on supporting her against Iranian aggression and when you could say words like "Chicago" and "chair" without being called a racist...
... Well then that person is either lying, stupid, or (most likely) both.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:55 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at September 10, 2012 08:56 AM (05RcU)
President Obama is touting his foreign policy experience on the campaign trail, but startling new statistics suggest that national security has not necessarily been the personal priority the president makes it out to be. It turns out that more than half the time, the commander in chief does not attend his daily intelligence meeting.
It take it "startling" is the new "unexpectedly" ?
This is only news to stupid people. Hi, 52%!
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 08:56 AM (4df7R)
And just the slightest frisson of broken dreams.
Posted by: Madge, currently unemployed at September 10, 2012 08:56 AM (ksERZ)
Posted by: lesbian crow at September 10, 2012 08:57 AM (vDl/w)
Posted by: JPS at September 10, 2012 08:58 AM (Scx6V)
Rush is on telling people on the right..."what is the matter with you people?"..he is slamming people on the right for buying into the narrative if the polls after the DNC and this alleged bounce. He is spot on!! This started with Allahpundit and Ace when they started the doom and gloom BS on Friday and Saturday. Like Rush said no one will remember any of these polls in a month....just 5 days ago we were talking about Romney and Ryan doing well...What changed Rush asked? I agree people have let Ras, Gall and Reuters effect your mentality for no reason!! We should have expected this!
What bothers me is when our OWN conservatives start buying this crap! Like Rush said...remember Chick-A-Fil?? All those people and others that have showed up in the millions....he is right...some people are on side forgetting the 2010 elections and falling for 2008 models....We have the numbers and the MSM is trying to keep us down! Like Rush said..."if Obama wins how much longer as a nation do we have financially"....We all better think long and hard...because if our Financial Market collapses each and every one of us will suffer big time....and all our loved ones as well!!
I know Ace was just reporting Gallup on Sat but his tone was very negative for a guy that told us all a couple days before how good things were starting to look. Come on Clinton did not change that FACTS at all. Allahpundit on other hand is a complete moron who started this doom and gloom and like wildfire spread over all the conservative blogs. Thank goodness for Instapundit who kept posting great articles to the contrary! Allahpundit should go and HotAir get rid of him.
We have the numbers and we will win....by the way Ed Morrissey does a great job destroying the PPP poll of Ohio at HotAir!!
Ace it is nice to see the DONT PANIC slogan but you were one of the people that started that on Sat....you overreacted!
Posted by: bluerose75 at September 10, 2012 09:00 AM (HDcKc)
Posted by: JPS at September 10, 2012 12:58 PM (Scx6V)
Ah, you're right. First against the wall when the revolution comes!
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 09:01 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at September 10, 2012 09:01 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: sven10077 at September 10, 2012 09:01 AM (LRFds)
I think you are on to something. I read the Powerline post about the shift in those who are dependent on the government. Maybe that is part of it but Obama's perception as the cool guy and the MSM glossy over his record is a major contributor.
I was thinking about the last time gas prices had increased. Do you recall the media and political hysteria? There were so many reports on gas prices. Camera crews going to local gas stations interview irate customers. All of my local democratic politicians (all levels) were demanding investigations.
Now what is the difference between then and now? If the media pursued this gas price increases as they did before the 2008 election what do you think that would do to Obama's polling?
Posted by: Long Island at September 10, 2012 09:02 AM (kzp9t)
So totally freaking awesome that we (and I mean President Smokey McChoomPrompter) are about to forgive something $1B in Egyptian debt, isn't it?
Posted by: docj at September 10, 2012 09:03 AM (A5uiv)
Posted by: JPS at September 10, 2012 09:04 AM (Scx6V)
For me, it's not just the things you list but economic security.
It's the idea that I could one day go to the grocery store and the shelves be empty or everything cost 10 times what I'm used to paying.
It's the idea that strangers could show up at my door and say they need a place to stay like in Dr. Zhivago.
(Sound crazy? Look at the phenomenon of flash mobs.)
Look at Detroit. Look at Chicago, where 15 people being shot in a night, many of them random, doesn't even make national news.
We're having copper stripped out of public schools. You can't eat in a fast-food restaurant without someone bothering you for a handout.
Those things didn't used to happen with any regularity at all in my neck of the woods. And now they do.
I talk to teachers who spend almost zero time teaching now.
I don't think we have four more years of luxury to address these things. Romney may not be able to alter our descent for that matter, but if we have a divided government, the only way anything is going to get done is executive fiat. With Obama ruling by decree.
Yeah, that doesn't make me feel too secure.
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at September 10, 2012 09:04 AM (dN5sa)
Posted by: You Don't Own It at September 10, 2012 09:05 AM (KqwSL)
I've heard that Carter had a lead in the polls a week before the Reagan Landslide.
Posted by: Paladin at September 10, 2012 09:05 AM (mCOPv)
Posted by: David of PA at September 10, 2012 09:06 AM (tPdIW)
Posted by: Paladin at September 10, 2012 09:06 AM (mCOPv)
We're having copper stripped out of public schools.
Same thing happened to a local business here.
However I have been out of work so long I am starting to make a mental note of where I see cooper too.
Posted by: Long Island at September 10, 2012 09:11 AM (kzp9t)
Posted by: Dave S. at September 10, 2012 09:13 AM (ma+gB)
Posted by: Rondinellamamma at September 10, 2012 09:14 AM (53riN)
So Romney can't relate to you? Do you think Obama relates to you? Do you think your boss at work relates to you?
Doesn't matter who relates to you.What matters is that the person in charge has the experience to get us out of this fiscal black hole. Obama has proved that he cannot. So let's give Romney a chance. He's a business person, not a failed lawyer.
/this line of reasoning does seem to be working ....
Posted by: shibumi at September 10, 2012 09:21 AM (z63Tr)
Newsom sent a letter on Monday to U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder asking federal prosecutors to investigate any attempts by Wall Street investors and government agencies to "boycott" California communities that are considering such moves.
"I am most disturbed by threats leveled by the mortgage industry and some in the federal government who have coercively urged local governments to reject consideration" of eminent domain," he wrote in a letter, a copy of which was provided to Reuters.
Newsom, a Democrat who was previously mayor of San Francisco, warned the influential Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association in July to "cease making threats to the local officials of San Bernardino County" over the proposed plan to seize underwater mortgages from private investors.
Some towns in San Bernardino County, which is located east of Los Angeles, have set up a joint authority that is looking into the idea of using eminent domain to forcibly purchase distressed mortgages. Rather than evict homeowners through foreclosure, the public-private entity would offer residents new mortgages with reduced debts.
Posted by: Gordon Gekko at September 10, 2012 09:28 AM (e8kgV)
www.libertyquizzes.org/
Posted by: Jane Smith at September 10, 2012 09:33 AM (GMbDe)
Posted by: Interested Party at September 10, 2012 09:43 AM (RE+1w)
Posted by: BTM at September 10, 2012 10:06 AM (nD2pm)
Posted by: Paul A'Barge at September 10, 2012 01:36 PM (KXcGC)
Your nominee promises even bigger tax breaks for people like him (his plan would decrease his own taxes to 1 percent while increasing your and my taxes by at least $2500)
Your party leadership does everything they can to keep folk from voting (a fundamental American right) with these voter id laws even though nobody has any proof of substantial voter fraud and your very leaders admit it's so your guy can win.
Your nominee and vp candidate lie hundreds of times to you and everyone else as if it wouldn't all be noticed at all.
Your party leadership loves citizens united because of all the corporate money that's flowing to outside groups even though it steals your and my voice.
You, all of you continue to vote against your own interests by putting people in office that impoverish you (and me) while enriching themselves.
I hope a few of you go to the polls and do the right thing in the voting booth even if you cannot tell anybody you know about it for fear of disappearing before election day.
There's a reason the democrats have created double the # of jobs than the republicans. They create opportunities for individuals. All your individual tax money so that you pay 0 percent won't make healthcare or education more affordable.
Posted by: originalstoic at September 10, 2012 05:11 PM (E5Xpl)
Ace,
Nowadays I get to indulge in so little political junky-ism. I'm one of the few lucky ones who has 'lucked' into a decent paying job during this suck-ass economy. But I've also been pulling an average of 12 hours per day. (It's a managerial position that will require this of me for some time to come.) Anyway, I haven't had time to listen to Limbaugh or read Drudge or watch Fox or anything.
So I have to say that I am quite refreshed to come home and read your page see you thinking along the same lines as me. A few posts later in the day, you gave a spectrum-scale of concern blurring into panic. I had come up with slightly different terms but had come to the same conclusion.
Of course it's natural to feel worried based on the current snap-shot of polls. But it is far from time to actually start cognitively worrying about our prospects - let alone feeling the first twinges of panic; let alone dissolving into useless panic. - These are the terms I was thinking in.
I still stand by my prediction that voters will elevate Romney over Obama into the presidency and that moreover Romney will win the popular vote by more than three points.
I also stand by my position that the polling data might not break Romney's way until very late into the campaign. - Maybe not until we've got less than four weeks until election day.
In the past, I think you've mentioned something like a "Cascading Preferences" effect. - I don't know if you still do, but I still agree with the notion behind this theory. It is not something I suspected would happen in Bush against Kerry or Bush against Gore.
But because every major underlying economic dynamic is firmly positioned against Obama - I believe it is still likely to happen in this election cycle.
As the election decision day draws closer and inexorably closer to the voters, they will become more serious in their thinking and the arguments they will be willing to hear from candidates will become more and more sharply focused.
(Just let Oblahblah dare try to distract with Gay Marriage or Contraception in the closing weeks of this campaign. Not only would those fail as red herrings they would backfire in his out-of-touch face.)
I still contend that when we get down to the wire, there is still a large enough majority of voting Americans who will not tolerate obvious failure on the far reaching and personally sensitive issue of economics/finances. - Especially from a big talker who promised so much and ultimately delivered even less than a little. - He moved us backwards.
When the voters' minds are sharpened into the seriousness required of them by the voting deadline that cannot be denied: I believe they will awaken to their familys' and their friends' and their very futures' best interests.
Posted by: _Dave_ at September 10, 2012 06:27 PM (/nxRb)
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Posted by: Dang at September 10, 2012 08:09 AM (R18D0)