January 23, 2012
— Ace Insider Advantage: Newt 34/ Romney 26 percent/Paul 13/Santorum 11.
Rasmussen: Gingrich 41/Romney 32/Santorum 11/Paul 8.
I did try to scream at the party.
I told the Tea Party to stop eliminating candidates based on weak-ass reasons, hunting for perfect fidelity.
And I told the Establishment to listen to the base, that there were going to be big problems if they expected Romney to just take the nomination, and to find a livable alternative to that.
When both wings of the party decide to dig their heels in and try to "win" -- and it's not a win, that's why it's in quotes -- rather than seeking to compromise with each other, we all lose.
Posted by: Ace at
06:47 AM
| Comments (499)
Post contains 132 words, total size 1 kb.
The Tea Party did stop eliminating candidates based on weak-ass reasons, hunting for perfect fidelity. They (we) have accepted Gingrich, despite his lack of perfect fidelity (either in conservatism or marriage).
- Z
Posted by: Z as in Jersey at January 23, 2012 06:50 AM (jF5A4)
Posted by: Serious Cat at January 23, 2012 06:50 AM (2YIVk)
Ace: "And I told the Establishment to listen to the base"...
It has seemed that you and the establishment are on speed dial. Did they just call and tell you to rip into Newt as much as possible before Florida or else King Romney would be done?
Posted by: doug at January 23, 2012 06:50 AM (gUGI6)
Posted by: lorien1973 at January 23, 2012 06:51 AM (0tkqC)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at January 23, 2012 06:51 AM (136wp)
Posted by: MrCaniac at January 23, 2012 06:53 AM (uuOfy)
Wait, there's an "establishment" pulling the strings now? I thought you said that was just a silly myth.
Posted by: Heorot at January 23, 2012 06:53 AM (Nq/UF)
Posted by: Serious Cat at January 23, 2012 06:53 AM (2YIVk)
>>Ace, why not take a second look at Santorum? You have to admit, he has potential to appeal to working class democrats.
>>Yes, he's so-so at bet with debates, but I think he comes off pretty well other places.
He lost his last race in PA by 19%. 19%.
He's clearly not as popular with working class voters as people seem to believe.
Posted by: Ben at January 23, 2012 06:55 AM (wuv1c)
At this point I hope we can hang on to the House. We are screwed. The "base" doesn't care about the middle or independent voters. The base doens't consider the general election. Nope.
btw- give up on the idea of a last minute savior. Not going to happen. It's Newt or Romney. It's been Newt or Romney for some time now.
Posted by: whatever at January 23, 2012 06:55 AM (O7ksG)
- Z
Posted by: Z as in Jersey at January 23, 2012 06:55 AM (jF5A4)
Romney plays tough against opponnents who are also targeted by the media.
Has he ever gone after a media darling hard?
Posted by: Have Blue at January 23, 2012 06:56 AM (IKTC8)
Posted by: countrydoc at January 23, 2012 06:56 AM (QeC0U)
Posted by: The Hammer at January 23, 2012 06:56 AM (GivVZ)
Posted by: Serious Cat at January 23, 2012 06:57 AM (2YIVk)
Bullshit.
Tell it to the likes of Pawlenty or Perry who were being ignored out of preference for unelectable, unqualified Tea Party favorites like Cain and Bachmann.
The Tea Party could've been something, but they embraced The Stupid almost every step of the way. At this point we'd be better off without them.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 06:58 AM (SY2Kh)
Posted by: Roy at January 23, 2012 06:58 AM (VndSC)
Posted by: Juicer at January 23, 2012 07:00 AM (84c8s)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:00 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: MrCaniac at January 23, 2012 07:00 AM (uuOfy)
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:01 AM (w+PM8)
Posted by: BlackOrchidHeartlessAgain at January 23, 2012 07:01 AM (SB0V2)
Link over at Legal Insurrection (he had to do a screen shot to grab the data).
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:01 AM (5H6zj)
Tell it to the likes of Pawlenty or Perry who were being ignored out of preference for unelectable, unqualified Tea Party favorites like Cain and Bachmann.
Fine, the remaining candidates aren't my favorite either. Here's a box of tissue. Have your crying jag and then get back in the foxhole.
Posted by: countrydoc at January 23, 2012 07:02 AM (QeC0U)
Give me a reason to be optimistic and we'll talk. Till then, I'll be out on the sidewalk with a cardboard sign that reads "The End Is Near".
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 07:03 AM (SY2Kh)
Posted by: supercore23 at January 23, 2012 07:03 AM (bwV72)
Posted by: lorien1973 at January 23, 2012 10:51 AM (0tkqC)
Might as well get it out now. The media is bound to reveal it for the general.
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:03 AM (w+PM8)
Me, I just be my lib b-i-l a thousand bucks that Newt will be our next President. And I did it for the money. The b-i-l has bucks and is not the kind of guy who will welch on the bet when the time comes for him to pay up.
Posted by: Z as in Jersey at January 23, 2012 07:03 AM (jF5A4)
Romney
Santorum
Gingrich
Paul
----
Mine is Gingrich >> Romney > Santorum.
I will never vote for Crazy Uncle, not even in the general.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:03 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:03 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: artemis at January 23, 2012 07:03 AM (EL9AK)
Yeah. Get back in line or we'll vote for the democrat. That'll show ya.
Posted by: purity gets dems elected at January 23, 2012 07:04 AM (O7ksG)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:04 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: mare at January 23, 2012 07:05 AM (A98Xu)
Yeah, Pawlenty and Perry were totally electable if only anybody had voted for them.
Posted by: Heorot at January 23, 2012 07:05 AM (Nq/UF)
18 The Tea Party did stop eliminating candidates based on weak-ass reasons, hunting for perfect fidelity. They (we) have accepted Gingrich, despite his lack of perfect fidelity (either in conservatism or marriage).
Bullshit.
Tell it to the likes of Pawlenty or Perry who were being ignored out of preference for unelectable, unqualified Tea Party favorites like Cain and Bachmann.
The Tea Party could've been something, but they embraced The Stupid almost every step of the way. At this point we'd be better off without them.
---------
This!
And let's not forget about all those Palin supporters who are still kicking dirt on all the candidates, because they're still clinging to the desperate hope that Palin will still get in. .....Or would rather see Barky win, so that Palin can run in 2016.
Posted by: wheatie...whose vote doesn't count anyway at January 23, 2012 07:05 AM (ALwK/)
Posted by: Jean at January 23, 2012 07:06 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Juicer at January 23, 2012 07:06 AM (84c8s)
I still don't understand the resistance to Romney. He was, after all, the “Conservative alternative” to McCain in the 2008 primaries, and when winning the nomination was out of reach he sucked it up and got in line. Now, all of a sudden, he’s some wild-eyed liberal?
Whom do I trust more to be faithful to ideological Conservatism? The Republican in Massachusetts who was moderate because he had to be, or the Republican from Georgia who was moderate because it garnered him attention and stroked his ego? The guy who married his high school sweetheart and lived by the dictates and directives of his (socially conservative) religion his entire life, or the guy who converted to Catholicism in his 60s at the urging of his second home-wrecking mistress? The guy liked least by the Republican colleagues who knew him best? Gingrich is a disaster in the making and, if nominated, will lead to a slaughter of Republicans in the House. All we need to do is put up a plausible candidate who can point to Obama’s poor performance and we’d rather take the opportunity to give the media and “the Republican establishment” a middle finger?
Posted by: Alec Leamas at January 23, 2012 07:06 AM (mg08E)
Posted by: sympleton at January 23, 2012 07:06 AM (cVYiZ)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:06 AM (i6RpT)
I agree completely and I've been in the same boat.
I'm sure everyone remembers me chucking molotovs at Romney (because it's fucking suicidal arrogance on the part of the 'it's his turn' folks).
But no one can really cite me tearing into anyone else. Despite the fact that I've never believed any of them save one of being remotely credible or even seriously running.
Ah well.
Romneybots could have fixed this problem as easily as the "true conservatives" could have, had they been willing to compromise and support ANYONE besides Romney. Perry had feet in both camps. He was establishment and he was tea party too. I thought we could compromise.
Oh well.
Posted by: Entropy at January 23, 2012 07:07 AM (mf67L)
Newt's.
You know who didn't rack up $5 trillion in debt in 3 years in DC?
Newt.
Newt has his problems; but let's not pretend this election is anything but a referendum on the past 4 years.
Posted by: lorien1973 at January 23, 2012 07:08 AM (0tkqC)
The election has come down to three big-government republicans and a cranky old man. The tea party movement marginalized itself.
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 07:08 AM (0nqdj)
Posted by: Serious Cat at January 23, 2012 07:09 AM (2YIVk)
Posted by: Juicer at January 23, 2012 07:09 AM (84c8s)
25 Right now Gallup has a poll showing Romney and Gingrich performing identically against Obama in head to head match ups. Both lose by two points.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 11:01 AM (5H6zj)
Yeah, and a Rasmussen poll the same day had Romney and Obama tied and Newt losing by 7. The RCP polling average has Newt losing by 11 points.
Posted by: Jon at January 23, 2012 07:09 AM (IFigw)
Newts problem is that his guiding principle is Newt. IOW, he sees everything through the prism of his own greatness, not conservative core values. So, if he thinks it, it must be correct and must be conservative by extension.
We've seen that this is certainly not correct. The Bain attacks were about as unconservative as you can be.
Posted by: The Hammer at January 23, 2012 07:09 AM (GivVZ)
No, that's the new euphemism for "true conservative" or "purist".
Posted by: Heorot at January 23, 2012 07:10 AM (Nq/UF)
>>>Newt has his problems; but let's not pretend this election is anything but a referendum on the past 4 years.
Let's not pretend that the media will let this be a referendum on the last four years. It will be about the Republican candidate.
Who will weather that better? Newt or Mitt?
Posted by: Ben at January 23, 2012 07:10 AM (wuv1c)
I will never vote for Crazy Uncle, not even in the general.
Since he will NEVER win, thanks for tossing that in. Feels good.
I'll never vote for Sarah Palin, I'll never vote for Chris Christie, Mitch Daniels, whatever. I don't think anyone cares.
I'll never vote for Mitt Romney. But you know what? You probably care as much as I care about you not voting for Ron Paul.
Which is none.
I hope it was cathartic to shoot me in the foot for nothing but spite.
It doesn't matter who you won't vote for since both our choices are going to lose anyway. The fact that you're voting for a different loser than me is really pretty irrelevant.
Posted by: Entropy at January 23, 2012 07:10 AM (mf67L)
Bob Dole was back when the GOP did the "next in line" thing. Now we do the "purity" thing.
Posted by: whatever at January 23, 2012 07:10 AM (O7ksG)
Posted by: Alec Leamas at January 23, 2012 11:06 AM (mg08E)
No shit.
They're not looking at why they really don't like Romney. Jesus H Christ, Newt? Are you fucking kidding me? NEWT??? Did you miss the last time around for Newt?
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:10 AM (w+PM8)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:10 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Genesis P. Orrige at January 23, 2012 07:11 AM (NE0Ln)
Posted by: Jean at January 23, 2012 07:11 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:12 AM (w+PM8)
Since that time Masscare has been shown to be a disaster for Massachusetts, but he still will not disavow it. Last time he ran on being an expert on health care, but now he's just a poor widdle former governor who was forced to implement Masscare... but who is nevertheless proud of it.
He could have spent three years spending some of his hard-earned dough on funding studies of free market solutions to health care delivery and costs. He could have started a private foundation and funded pilot programs or started a think-tank and conducted studies into it. He could have taken time to write a few pages to flesh out what he means by "Replace" in his promise to "Repeal and Replace." He's done none of those things. He likes big government and likes to get along with Democrats.
I don't want that.
Newt has many flaws, but he is a combative contrarian. When he gets in I think he'll take on the Democrats. After a year or two he'll probably be just as statist as Romney will be, but at least we'll get a couple of victories out of him.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:13 AM (5H6zj)
At this point I hope we can hang on to the House. We are screwed. The "base" doesn't care about the middle or independent voters. The base doens't consider the general election. Nope.
Posted by: whatever at January 23, 2012 10:55 AM (O7ksG)
As a "base" voter, I can tell you that's pure crap. I am ONLY thinking of the general election at this point. I don't give a rat's ass who my candidate is because I don't like any of them and therefore don't have to be picky. The only thing I care about is getting Obama out of the White House. If that means I have to write in a dead stoat, whatever. There is nothing more important than stopping Obama's tyranny.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 07:13 AM (4df7R)
The economy is improving
Hey, if you're going to live in fantasy land, I just would warn you away from the brown acid.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 23, 2012 07:13 AM (B+qrE)
A lot of American voters want someone who feels they are answerable to God. Even if you were an atheist, this is a good deal because theoretically the candidate is more worried about his/her immortal soul than making a quick buck or pleasing John King.
However, if a supposedly religious candidate was pro-life and then switched to pro-choice for any reason, that's pretty much a deal-breaker. It shows the person's religion is window dressing.
Posted by: artemis at January 23, 2012 07:13 AM (EL9AK)
You know the truly sad thing about Bob Dole as a candidate? The old Bob Dole was smart-assed, sarcastic and entertaining. He would have had a chance in the general. But Bob Dole decided to neuter himself and become bland and unappealing. So he dropped his personality and ran on nothing.
I am willing to bet that somewhere, deep down, Mitt Romney has a personality. Maybe it's dorky, maybe it's cerebral, who the hell knows? But Mittens decided long ago to bottle it up and become a generic politician. And you know what? Nobody gets excited voting for a generic politician. And, more importantly, the blank canvas gets painted on by the opposition. In a general election match-up, Mitt will become (in the eyes of most voters) whatever SNL and Obama's campaign gurus decide to make him. Newt fights back and paints his own picture. That's how you win elections.
Oh, and Pawlenty and Perry - what pictures did they paint of themselves? An anonymity and a bumbling GWB clone. Don't matter if that's not who they were. That's what they presented to the electorate.
Posted by: Z as in Jersey at January 23, 2012 07:13 AM (jF5A4)
Imagine the state of our country after another four years of the JEF. That should make you very, very nervous.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 07:13 AM (nEUpB)
Posted by: BlackOrchidHeartlessAgain at January 23, 2012 07:14 AM (SB0V2)
1. The whiny establishment sure gives up on Romney winning without fighting much.
2. If the establishment wants to compromise, why is it supporting a guy who might as well be a moderate Democrat? Looks like the establishment is more interested in compromising with liberals than with the Tea Party.
3. This blackmail crap isn't going to work either. The "Come to your senses, we are going to lose everything, the House, etc." isn't going to fly. We have ALREADY lost everything. The tipping point was passed several years ago.
Posted by: Meremortal at January 23, 2012 07:14 AM (Usk3+)
Neither. I think Mitt is better at the margin in terms of not energizing the left and being generally inoffensive to squishes. On the other hand, Gingrich is more deft at parrying criticism and turning it back. In my mind, it's a wash, really.
If Mittens were winning, we'd all be complaining about how the Obamamedia machine is going to tear him up as an out-of-touch moneybags tax underpayer from a goofy cult who likes to fire people. Instead, we get to complain about how Gingrich is a grumpy old fart who is to feckless and reckless to appeal to the middle.
Like I said, a wash.
Posted by: Gregory of Yardale at January 23, 2012 07:14 AM (AQD6a)
One could argue that Newt has a more conservative record in office, but mostly it's the American Idol factor combined with frustration over Romney.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 07:15 AM (SY2Kh)
That's also funny.
Chris Christie, Rubio, and Giuliani, among other superficial flames, come to mind.
Posted by: MlR (Not a Gingrich a fan.) at January 23, 2012 07:15 AM (vj9lA)
Ace
From what I can tell, the Romney hatred is so severe that it's causing delusions. They think Newt is a good thing, a better nominee. The left must have put out some new Koolaid where they think Newt is a better choice than Romney. Apparently they missed the newty as speaker series.
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:15 AM (w+PM8)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:16 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: mike at January 23, 2012 07:16 AM (WnI5L)
You may find this hard to believe, but I don't track who supports whom. My comment was not directed at you or anyone, merely a statement of fact on where my line in party loyalty is.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:16 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Jean at January 23, 2012 07:16 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: supercore23 at January 23, 2012 07:16 AM (bwV72)
Posted by: BumpersStickerist at January 23, 2012 07:16 AM (h6mPj)
Posted by: Serious Cat at January 23, 2012 07:16 AM (2YIVk)
I'm glad to see it is the Tea Party responsible for the downfall of the Republic. One eyar ago we were getting better press after WE caused the GOP to retake the House.
I'm also an Evangelical Christian. Are we next on the hit list if Mittens isn't crowned the nominee?
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 07:16 AM (kaOJx)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 23, 2012 07:17 AM (8y9MW)
We're going to need more than one bottle if it's going to last us 4 years.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 07:18 AM (SY2Kh)
Imagine the state of our country after another four years of the JEF. That should make you very, very nervous.
As I said during the SC coverage on Saturday...the only thing standing between us and the lefty generational abyss would be Antonin Scalia's Lipitor prescription. I don't want to be there.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 23, 2012 07:18 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:18 AM (nj1bB)
I'm also an Evangelical Christian. Are we next on the hit list if Mittens isn't crowned the nominee?
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 11:16 AM (kaOJx)
Yes. You'd better prepare the body armor because of all the flack you'll end up taking. I've got mine on backorder, but I'm not Evangelical. I figure I'll just be collateral damage.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 07:18 AM (4df7R)
Yeah, I confess that was my take on him. He was also really specific whenever he talked policy. He was a nuts and bolts guy.
I actually worked for his campaign.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:19 AM (5H6zj)
I'm also an Evangelical Christian. Are we next on the hit list if Mittens isn't crowned the nominee?
Only if you're one of the retards who think Mormonism is cultish and evil and needs to be eradicated because your bible church says so in it's most recent board vote.
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:19 AM (w+PM8)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:19 AM (nj1bB)
I told the Tea Party to stop eliminating candidates based on weak-ass reasons...
And what might those be? A return to constitutional principles, a strong national defense/security, a strong anti-illegal alien policy, a balanced budget, no more bailouts or "stimulus", lower taxes, and less government?
Those weak assed reasons? I'd like to say that at least ONE Republican candidate stands for all those, but sadly, I can't. Looks like we'll be stuck with whomever they nominate.
Posted by: SFC MAC at January 23, 2012 07:19 AM (imbsB)
It is more accurate to say that the establishment marginalized the tea party, and the tea party marginalized the establishment.
Now they're both pretty much fucked.
But don't blaim the Tea Party. If Romney wasn't in this race, theres no way in hell we'd be running to Gingrich to avoid him. If establishment types and connected types had ran a fair competition, instead of wheeling and dealing to line up Romney, this wouldn't have happened.
Where was Mitch Daniels? Where was any of them? Endorsing Romney the annointed, that's where. Their 'pre-choice' sucked ass.
It's bleedingly obvious, or else it should be, why Romney cannot win. Not that Gingrich has a better shot, but Mr. Electability was all fizzle no steak, and empty suit with a lot of GOP hype from the start. And a Massachusetts moderate. And the guy who's turn it was, the guy with the money money money that impresses the loyal Republican party-functionary types.
Posted by: Entropy at January 23, 2012 07:20 AM (mf67L)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:20 AM (nj1bB)
But it seems to me that Romney supporters are cowards. Their entire argument for the guy is based on fear.
Keep insulting us and I'm sure eventually we'll acquiesce.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:20 AM (5H6zj)
Not following the hand-wringing. Certain people decided not to run; certain others got in and then got out in a hurry. Thems that remain are slugging it out, with no clear winner after only three states vote. Big Whoop.
Posted by: snort! at January 23, 2012 07:21 AM (K/USr)
one fucking stupid shit reason after another.
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 11:18 AM (nj1bB)
Ace, Pawlenty dropped out of the race of his own accord back before any polls could be taken with more than a grain of salt and an eye to improving campaign platforms. Santorum was an absolute nobody for a long time, and now he's scooting up in the polls. If Pawlenty had stuck with it, I have no doubt he'd be doing the same, if not better. But he caved.
The party didn't give up on Pawlenty. Pawlenty gave up on himself.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 07:21 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Juicer at January 23, 2012 07:22 AM (84c8s)
Posted by: Genesis P. Orrige at January 23, 2012 07:22 AM (NE0Ln)
Well, we're also being treated to the 'conservative women aren't real women' argument. So that's something.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:22 AM (5H6zj)
In fact, if we expose the media, we accomplish getting rid of Obama. He can't survive without Pravda.
It's stupidity like this that's going to hand Obama another term. Beating the Big Bad MSM (who, by the way, loves them some Newt) is what really matters. SCOTUS appointments? Repealing Obamacare? Spending cuts? Nah- trifles really.
I don't remember seeing "MSM" on the fucking ballot, dummy. But you go ahead and write them in so you can feel good about not voting for them.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 07:23 AM (SY2Kh)
And just think what would happen if we had real closed primaries that weren't flooded by Democrats and stoners and independents who were bored.
Our republic is messy, and sometimes it does the wrong thing. Like now.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 07:23 AM (nEUpB)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:24 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: Serious Cat at January 23, 2012 07:24 AM (2YIVk)
Posted by: Oh good at January 23, 2012 07:24 AM (CWrQa)
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:25 AM (w+PM8)
I don't know how many times we have to go over this particular argument, but here we go again:
1) Mitt still is more conservative than John McCain.
2) No one in the Republican party, at that time (or very few) understood how much of a campaign issue Health Care was going to be- or exactly how bad (in practice) MassCare would wind up.
Given those two things- yes, Mittens is the most liberal candidate in the race right now.
I would rather that Rick Perry still be in the race. I would rather that Newt had gotten out and thrown his support to Perry (rather than the other way 'round). That didn't happen. So, based on their records of accomplishment, I think Newt is more conservative (which is still squishy, compared to what I want) than Mitt 'RINO' Romney.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 23, 2012 07:26 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 11:20 AM (nj1bB)
Then we have nothing to worry about!
Gas will be expensive this summer.
Unemployment may be marginally better, but nowhere near where it needs to be.
Europe will be in slow, agonizing free-fall.
Iran will be closer to a nuclear device.
All of these are facts that should guarantee a Republican victory, yet we are all very, very afraid.
Why?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 07:26 AM (nEUpB)
dagny at January 23, 2012 11:19 AM
Nope. I could give a shit about Mittens church going habits, as long as he not trying to convert me (that applies for Catholics, Methodists, and Luthers or any other demoniation.)
But I also see Evanglicals getting the blame if Romney flames out because he stuttered like a jackhammer on releasing his tax returns, which he agreed to do in April. Then he flipped and said he would do it tomorrow.
Then again, I watched supposed Conservatives shit on my guy Perry over the heartless comment. Never mind Perry faced the same situation in texas as Romney did on healthcare. Yet Perry was crucified.
MItt is a big boy. It's just politics as the Romneybots told me at the time.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 07:26 AM (kaOJx)
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 11:12 AM (w+PM
She'd be a lot less dangerous to the country than Barry is
Posted by: TheQuietMan at January 23, 2012 07:26 AM (1Jaio)
I'm also an Evangelical Christian. Are we next on the hit list if Mittens isn't crowned the nominee?
Only if you're one of the retards who think Mormonism is cultish and evil and needs to be eradicated because your bible church says so in it's most recent board vote.
Yes, yes you are next.
Maybe, maybe not next, but you will get your turn.
We ain't taking no prisoners. Seriously, watch what happens when/if Newt wins Florida.
Fucking Republigeddon. People will forget we even have democrats.
Posted by: Entropy at January 23, 2012 07:26 AM (mf67L)
I will not vote for Romney - and many will not- in a primary and I'm no "purity" person.
What's with the "purity" thing. "pure" my dear aunt Sally. Support of Newt is the opposite of "purity" just as Newt is the freaking opposite of Christine O' Donnell. (Now that's a cheap date.)
Simmer down and start reflecting on why Newt really succeeds. He's succeeding in spite of baggage - with people who KNOW his baggage. It's not only the entertaining smackdowns at work. It's that intangible you missed with Perry, the Perry KILLER.
That is intellect, ferocious intellect ferociously in service of ideas that matter. He might be acting out of interest. A hired gun, ambulance chaser for the plaintiff/ defendant liberty.
Here's an electability clue: Even Obama has lacked fire these three odd years. He's "aloof" is the nice description. Really he's lazy and couldn't give a rat's ass, and just takes certain points of view for granted because he really doesn't know anything else. Whose course is more entertaining as well as more enriching and useful? Two professors, one drones and bores and lectures - the other ignites the class with some enthusiams and spirit backwards and forwards foundational principles - war stories even but somehow the student feels himself in the trenches, learning, winning, surviving. In a war of ideas I know who can win.
I think you got called out on the "day to day running" "making government work" protestations. What was that guys name - Burke I think - Gingrich can make things work. He HAS made things work. He knows HOW they work and how they can go wrong. Discounting his experience, even the failure parts, is a mistake.
Posted by: SarahW at January 23, 2012 07:26 AM (LYwCh)
Posted by: devilish at January 23, 2012 07:26 AM (3eTJD)
Posted by: Genesis P. Orrige at January 23, 2012 07:26 AM (NE0Ln)
Posted by: Juicer at January 23, 2012 11:22 AM (84c8s)
"Roid Rage is an ugly thing.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 07:27 AM (nEUpB)
Posted by: Timwi at January 23, 2012 07:27 AM (QKlu9)
Pawlenty wasn't disqualified - he quit! Hell, at least Palin gave a plausible reason for quitting. Governor Tim didn't wait for a single goddamn vote. Americans want a fighter - think how many politicians talk about how they will fight for this, that or the other policy or group. Pawlenty gave up without a fight. Bachmann and Cain at least put up a fight, and I think that is why they got a moment in the sun. Newt is putting up a ferocious fight. Mitt appears to be pouting. If he (finally) learns some lessons and comes out scrapping on his own behalf, he has a shot at the nomination. If he continues basing his campaign on being a businessman who has been married to the same woman for a long time, well, I am also a businessman who has been married to the same woman for a long time. Next!
- Z
Posted by: Z as in Jersey at January 23, 2012 07:27 AM (jF5A4)
"If you're criticizing Mitt, Newt, and Rick more than Obama, you're doing it wrong."
Sorry, can't remember who to accredit.
Posted by: franksalterego at January 23, 2012 07:27 AM (9XykO)
Posted by: Jean at January 23, 2012 07:28 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Rondinellamamma at January 23, 2012 07:28 AM (XgXT2)
Kicked to the curb and then the bus ran up on the sidewalk?
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 23, 2012 07:28 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Oh good at January 23, 2012 07:28 AM (CWrQa)
arguments help marginally. it's mostly facts.
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 11:20 AM (nj1bB)
The only way facts can make any impact is through the use of a clear argument, ace. I can stand in front of a lecture hall and spout a long list of dates of historical battles and names of important military victories and expect my students to learn them because I say they're important. But if I don't tell my students why it's important for them to know about Alexander's victory at the Battle of Issus, they're not going to care. it'll go in one ear and out the other.
The facts are what fuel the arguments, and it's the candidate who can make the best argument in favor of his or her reading of the facts who wins the election.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 07:29 AM (4df7R)
I think it depends how hard Palin and Perry work for him. He also might grab Forbes.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:29 AM (5H6zj)
Just for the record:
Obama is president, and SJP had a hugely successful TV show.
Posted by: krakatoa at January 23, 2012 07:30 AM (fFZ12)
Posted by: Genesis P. Orrige at January 23, 2012 07:30 AM (NE0Ln)
Most Republicans haven't gotten to vote yet, so blaming them seems premature. It's the nominating process that has a problem, not the voters. The nominating process which is run by the establishment.
I wanted Perry too. He sucked and blew it. I never got a chance to vote for him.
Now it's all my fault.
Terrific.
Posted by: Meremortal at January 23, 2012 07:31 AM (Usk3+)
Seems to me we are now in just such a situation. People hate the media and the elitists more than they love their country.
It is an understandable reaction from Tea Party people who have been insulted and demonized and not defended for over 2 years, by people who foolishly thought they could discount their concerns. (And there is a special place for Georgette Mosbacher in this group, who alienated me from Romney at te very beginning due to her smug attitude. Also Brad Blakeman, who was very ungracious when Perry withdrew.)
On the other hand, Tea Party people have not used their power as responsibly as they could have. Palin is throwing bombs into the primary process. Cain has teamed up with a comedian for TV time. The only one who ended up withdrawing with dignity was Bachmann. (Huntsman did too, but he wasn't Tea Party associated.)
If we are going to beat Obama, this division has to be ended quickly. Beltway types are going to have to swallow some pride and admit they were wrong. Tea Party people are going to have to show some forgiveness.
Otherwise we are heading for disaster, in which case I am joining Team Meteor.
Posted by: Miss Marple at January 23, 2012 07:31 AM (GoIUi)
I wanted Perry too but I can't get past Newt's "Right wing engineering" comment, the Pelosi global warming thing, the individual mandate thing, the flip flopping, the arrogance, the multi-marriages (Oh, and they haven't even released the "Newt blowjob in the car" stories, and the fact that he is a complete loose cannon. He is no conservative.
Also, I've seen him in person and he is one super UGLY pockmarked dude. The left will take full advantage of that.
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:32 AM (w+PM8)
Posted by: Village Idiot at January 23, 2012 07:32 AM (utXSy)
Posted by: Sassy at January 23, 2012 07:32 AM (AXqsp)
Posted by: Jean at January 23, 2012 07:33 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: HondaV65 at January 23, 2012 07:33 AM (Wm6n5)
"SJP had a hugely successful TV show"
She was the homeliest of 4 women whose goal in life was the most one night stands. Hell you could plug any 4 somewhat attractive actresses with decent writing into that situation at the time and get decent ratings.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 07:33 AM (kaOJx)
Where I come from, this is referred to as a 'big flaming hint'.
It got ignored, and now we have the Impenetrable Inevitable Mitt, and Dr. Newton Jekyll-Hyde.
Looks like a tag-team failure to me, Ace.
Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 23, 2012 07:33 AM (GBXon)
Hopefully just talk, but you may want to fill up your gas tank.
Posted by: ontherocks at January 23, 2012 07:33 AM (ZJCDy)
Posted by: bernverdnardo at January 23, 2012 11:27 AM (xXhWA)
Please don't f-around with HTML, it screws up the blog. Thank you for your cooperation. (And yes, I know he wasn't messing with his Name field)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at January 23, 2012 07:33 AM (136wp)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 07:34 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 23, 2012 07:34 AM (digkk)
Posted by: runner at January 23, 2012 07:34 AM (WR5xI)
Europe will be in slow, agonizing free-fall.
Iran will be closer to a nuclear device.
All of these are facts that should guarantee a Republican victory, yet we are all very, very afraid.
Why?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 11:26 AM (nEUpB)
Because when you are betting on the wold economy going off the cliff to be able to sell the Newt to Americans you have a very fucked candidate.
Most of us wake up every morning to do what we can to minimize all the disasters you listed and you are betting (hoping) we fail.
Posted by: robtr at January 23, 2012 07:34 AM (MtwBb)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 07:34 AM (3VSsp)
" This is devastating to me."
List 3 things a President Gingrich would do, that he has stated he would do if elected, that will adversely impact your life.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 07:35 AM (kaOJx)
You want to destroy the country to "win." No. Economic DOOM is guaranteed at this current course, so we'd like to acknowledge that sooner rather than later. I don't see how terrorism helps our cause, I'd actually give Bam a B+ on that subject.
Posted by: bernverdnardo at January 23, 2012 07:35 AM (xXhWA)
Posted by: whatever at January 23, 2012 07:35 AM (O7ksG)
Popcorn. Because I would really liek to see them try.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 23, 2012 07:36 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: garrett at January 23, 2012 07:36 AM (DfsRf)
Almost sounds like a plan made in Chicago by Chicagoans, if you know what I mean.
By the way, according to Rasmussen more independents voted for Newt than for Romney in the South Carolina primary. Also more "strong conservatives" told Gallup that they would vote for the GOP candidate in the national election regardless of who it was, than did Moderate GOP'ers when confronted with having to vote for a non "moderate" candidate. So who is unappealing and intransigent, eh?
Posted by: Minnie Rodent at January 23, 2012 07:36 AM (S3rrR)
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:36 AM (w+PM8)
Posted by: bernverdnardo at January 23, 2012 07:36 AM (xXhWA)
Posted by: Z as in Jersey at January 23, 2012 07:37 AM (jF5A4)
So you're calling Cain, Bachman, and Perry "Two boats and a helicopter?"
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 23, 2012 07:37 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Your Inner Voice at January 23, 2012 07:37 AM (+FrDx)
Posted by: BlackOrchidHeartlessAgain at January 23, 2012 07:37 AM (SB0V2)
Posted by: Serious Cat at January 23, 2012 11:24 AM (2YIVk)
No. I just don't think he had any political skills and he had no charisma.
Newt is in it because he has that sort of Pit Bull charisma.
Mitt is the big-money frontrunner.
Santorum got lucky in Iowa, having escaped scrutiny and courted evangelicals (the Huckabee strategy).
Ron Paul won't leave the stage without a hook.
Pawlenty would have gone the way of Perry.
Look, to win a primary you have to win. This is not a tautology. You have to have the political skills to do so.
I was a Perry guy, but I think the best of the crowd is Romney. However, if he doesn't have the political skills to actually win this primary, I think his "prevent defense" general election strategy is doomed to fail as well.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 07:37 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: Timwi at January 23, 2012 11:27 AM (QKlu9)
Not true. Before anybody had declared their intention to run, a LOT of Tea Party and conservative types were asking many of those very people to run. But at the same time, other Tea Party and conservative types (and "establishment" GOP types) were saying, "No, they shouldn't. They have no Executive experience. They're neophytes to Washington politics. Obama had no Exec experience either, and look what happened when we elected him? We need someone established."
What about Jeb Bush? "He's a Bush. Bush fatigue."
What about Daniels? "He's a boring milquetoast. He can't possibly overcome Obama's charisma."
I agree we'd be much better off if a West or Ryan had run for the candidacy, but I'm not going to blame them for not running.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 07:37 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:37 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: mare at January 23, 2012 07:37 AM (A98Xu)
Posted by: Chris at January 23, 2012 07:38 AM (XGZYX)
The TP is a state of mind, and it hasn't gone away or been marginalized.
Posted by: Sukie Tawdry at January 23, 2012 07:38 AM (MPtFW)
Posted by: Honey Badger at January 23, 2012 07:38 AM (GvYeG)
You completely missed the point of my comment.
Go have a cup of coffee and then try again.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 07:38 AM (nEUpB)
Posted by: Sassy at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (AXqsp)
Posted by: Chris at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (XGZYX)
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 11:13 AM (5H6zj)
Except Newt was for the individual mandate - on a Federal level - before he was against it. And yet you still prefer Newt to the Governor who gave deep blue Massachusetts - and only Massachusetts - that which it desperately longed for on the basis of their respective stands on health care reform.
Posted by: Alec Leamas at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (mg08E)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (nj1bB)
Newt is the....."I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take it anymore!"-Guy.
I wanted Perry. He was that guy too. But he's not in anymore. ......So I'm trending towards Newt, because Romney is too milquetoast, too babbity and his speeches put me to sleep. .....Besides, Romney will be like giving Gordon Gekko to the Dims to run against.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (ALwK/)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (3VSsp)
" And you have a problem with a guy getting blowjobs in a car?????"
The only problem I have is it doesn't happen to me very often.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (kaOJx)
Article I, Section. 6.
Clause 1: The Senators and Representatives shall receive a Compensation for their Services, to be ascertained by Law, and paid out of the Treasury of the United States. (See Note 6) They shall in all Cases, except Treason, Felony and Breach of the Peace, beprivileged from Arrest during their Attendance at the Session of their respective Houses, and in going to and returning from the same; and for any Speech or Debate in either House, they shall not be questioned in any other Place.
Posted by: Tom Jefferson at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (e8kgV)
Posted by: supercore23 at January 23, 2012 07:39 AM (bwV72)
Posted by: Timwi at January 23, 2012 11:27 AM
Every "presidential" non-candidate you mention has plenty of reasons to stay out, many of which would have been brought out in the beauty contest atmosphere ("oh, look! The Newt has bigger boobehs! I like teh boobehs this week!") being put on by the dying Republican party.
Whether lack of experience (Rubio), RINO-ish behavior (Christie) or the simple fact that the country wouldn't be well-served by yet another Bush (Jeb), each is well worth bypassing, at least until those people get their personal houses in order.
There is only one imperative this year, and that's getting rid of the stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure. If that means taking the poison in smaller doses -- which, IMO, means choosing The Mutt or The Newt -- then so be it.
The chronic unwillingness of the Republican Insiders and their lapdogs to oppose evil in an open, honest way -- instead, they give us more worthless hacks -- has put us in that position. That's why the party is about to join the Whigs on the ash-heap of history.
Posted by: MrScribbler at January 23, 2012 07:40 AM (tkd/a)
And how would a limited air war this summer effect the election in November?
Don't care. This is a 33-year-old score that needs settling.
Those Boston whalers-ish things make the prettiest pattern when a JDAM hits them. Ask the Iraqis. For that matter, ask the Iranians circa 1988.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 23, 2012 07:40 AM (B+qrE)
Newt is the "establishment". If a former Speaker of the House and "consultant" for Fannie Freddie isn't "establishment", then no one is. And he's not kicking anyone's ass without getting elected, which he won't be.
Palin only gave a qualified endorsed Newt in SC for the same reason the MSM did- they want maximum drama and for the race to drag out as long as possible. Once the race is effectively over, there's little reason for Palin's banal, vapid "analysis" on Fox.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 07:41 AM (SY2Kh)
Posted by: Honey Badger at January 23, 2012 07:41 AM (GvYeG)
No, but but they were a huge sign saying "They want a strong voice to advocate for reform, blockheads". In very large font, well lit, on every intersection.
Instead the response was "No, we don't have to project ourselves as staunch advocates for sane policy! We can just cast ourselves as guardians of the status quo!"
No wonder it's the Grand Canyon between.
Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 23, 2012 07:42 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:42 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Palerider at January 23, 2012 07:42 AM (m+nIW)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:43 AM (nj1bB)
...really?
You could have fooled me.
Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 23, 2012 07:43 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: DangerGirl at January 23, 2012 07:44 AM (FgfWs)
"It's supposed to act like it's a responsible majority in the party, now -- which it is. What the Tea Party says, goes. "
Yeah, ol' Boehner and Cantor have gutted the Federal Budget's they've discussed in the house. That $100 billion goal? They made 5% of that.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 07:44 AM (kaOJx)
Actually, Newt was against any Federal takeover of healthcare (which is what he got, by the way- HilaryCare went down in flames). He decided that if it was going to happen at all, it would be better to have an individual mandate than "pure" socialized Medicine.
The difference between that and Mittens, is that Newt got his plan 'A' (No Federal Healthcare- mostly, though COBRA is a lot less bad than any mandate or socialization of medicine), and Mitt did not.
So, for the score card: Let's assume (though I see no evidence of this in Romney's case) that they both had the same Plan 'A' (No government healthcare) and the same Plan 'B' (Individual Mandate instead of socialization.). One of those got their plan 'A', and the other had to settle for plan 'B.'
Why should I vote for the guy who didn't win?
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 23, 2012 07:44 AM (8y9MW)
Do all of those clamoring for Pawlenty realize he endorsed Romney?
On a conference call with reporters this morning, former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty gave a preview of the Romney campaign’s defense of the candidate’s tax returns, which will be released tomorrow. Pawlenty argued reporters would notice three things about the returns: First, Romney has “paid a huge amount of money in taxes.” Second, he’s “given a very large sum of money in charitable contributions.” And third, “he’s complied with every tax law.”
Posted by: Jay at January 23, 2012 07:44 AM (3LaGb)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:44 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:44 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Minnie Rodent at January 23, 2012 07:44 AM (S3rrR)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 07:44 AM (3VSsp)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:45 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: phoenixgirl....a voter without a candidate at January 23, 2012 07:45 AM (Ho2rs)
Posted by: Honey Badger at January 23, 2012 07:45 AM (GvYeG)
Focus on why he is an "ex," and then ask the question again.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 07:45 AM (nEUpB)
Personally, I agree with Santorum on a few things. I'm ignoring him because he lost his last race by 19 points.
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 07:45 AM (0nqdj)
Mitt told me he was an expert in health care in 2008, but he's not expert enough to look at how health care costs and delivery have been negatively impacted to recognize that it was a mistake? Or he is too arrogant to admit it was a mistake. That's a big problem.
Romney had it in his power to apply his expertise, time, and money to developing free-market based solutions to health care costs and access, but instead he spent the past several years being careful and positioning himself via PAC contributions to have a bunch of politicians lined up for endorsements. I've outlined here and elsewhere what Romney could have done to earn my vote. Early in the primary season I defended Romney under the assumption that he would disavow Masscare. A bunch of us tried to lay out the argument Romney could have made that would have satisfied us. He refused to do it.
Newt is flawed, but he is gaining traction now by appealing to conservatives, while Romney continues to cling to the strategy of distancing himself from us while he fishes for the Ann Althouses of this world.
As of right now, I prefer the politician who thinks he needs my vote, so that's Newt.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:45 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: phoenixgirl....a voter without a candidate at January 23, 2012 07:46 AM (Ho2rs)
Deal with it. The rest of us have to take it from the Romneybots (and I know damn well you aren't one, Ace). Everyone's getting it these days, and it sucks, but some people just can't comprehend that just because we don't like Their Boy, we aren't rooting for Obama.
Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 23, 2012 07:46 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 23, 2012 11:34 AM (digkk)
Still got my towel, but I'm pretty much with you otherwise.
Posted by: Meremortal at January 23, 2012 07:46 AM (Usk3+)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:46 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 11:44 AM (nj1bB)
197 it's kind of offensive to be asked, but yes, I will support likely loser Gingrich as I supported loser McCain.
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 11:44 AM (nj1bB)
You have magical powers!
Posted by: Tami at January 23, 2012 07:46 AM (X6akg)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 11:37 AM (i6RpT)
Valid enough point and I wouldn't put it past a desperate dhim regime, but I was really just tipping 'rons and 'ettes about potential fuel spikes tomale regardless of what really develops.
Posted by: ontherocks at January 23, 2012 07:46 AM (ZJCDy)
Posted by: whatever at January 23, 2012 11:35 AM (O7ksG)
I'll take your word for it, but it does sound like Newt, doesn't it? He throws stuff out there. He doesn't have a filter. He sometimes throws bombs just to see if they'll blow up.
The problem is that the Tea Party or just Movement Conservatives are so eager to punish the so-called establishment, that they (we?) are using a weapon that will backfire.
Bottom line: Newt will not make a solid conservative president and he may, by some measures, be a disaster. He's a high-risk, high-reward stock.
He never really gets past the brainstorming stage.
Now, as to whether we will vote for Newt or Mitt. Trust me, you will. Even if you've ginned yourself up to loathe one or the other, Obama will be on a spending and corruption spree the likes of which you've never seen.
Example: Tom Vilsack announced loan guarantees last week to a company to build a green energy somethingorother in Iowa.
In the exact district where his wife is running for Congress.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 07:47 AM (T0NGe)
I ignore Santorum because A) no executive experience. None. We have a former Senator with that going for him as POTUS now; B) Sorry, the I-hate-sodomy angle is not in the top 100 issues in 2012, and; C) If you think Newt is unlikeable--have you actually listened to Santorum speak for more than say five seconds at a time? He's a dentist drill.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 23, 2012 07:47 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: Serious Cat at January 23, 2012 07:47 AM (2YIVk)
1. Perry failed because he ran a poor campaign and because he had some aggie moments in the debates. Texas fatigue may also have been a factor but IMO the screwups were the killer. Furthermore, Perry had his moment in the sun as the not-Romney but couldn't maintain it so don't go blaming Tea Party people for his mistakes.
2. Pawlenty couldn't get any traction last fall and is probably kicking himself for dropping out so early. Had he stayed in he probably would've had his 15 minutes as the not-Romney but he quit. He also shot himself in the foot with that weak sauce in the debate where he wimped out about "Obamneycare". Don't blame his failure on the Tea Party people either.
3. As for Romney, his problems IMO are multiple. First, he has taken the nomination process for granted and hasn't actively courted the base. He's made sure to court the bigshots but not the people who actually get out and vote. Second, he has been horrible at defense. Once other candidates started attacking him he's flailed around; for example, his work at Bain and his tax records. I personally am fine with Bain and I don't care how much he paid in taxes, but on Bain he never gave an impassioned and articulate answer and almost seemed ashamed of his work, while on his taxes he flipped, flopped, and eventually decided to release them. He looked weak.
But Romney's biggest problem is that a lot of his supporters are acting like douchenozzles. It's fine to attack his opponents, for as Romney himself said, this is politics not beanbag. But for a lot of these people, attacking his opponents in the primary isn't enough, they also have to attack the people who voted for his opponents or who may be leaning towards them. I see that since SC the pundit class has decided that a vote for Gingrich is a vote for Obama or that you're stupid or throwing a tantrum. Perhaps those in the Republican media would do well to remember that insulting potential customers is not the best way to sell a product. Give people a positive reason to vote for Romney, don't try to scare them or insult them into voting for him.
Anyway, I still expect Romney to win because this looks to be a long campaign and Romney has the money and the organization to fight a battle of attrition. But Romney supporters would be wise to avoid poisoning the wells.
Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 23, 2012 07:48 AM (JxMoP)
I concur. But the same goes for the Romney-haters who don't even see him as a major step up from Obama.
Also, there's a lot of competing principles here that just end up devolving into angry mush. yes, it's important to get someone elected in order to change things (cf. teh Buckley rule), but it's also important to be able to change the conversation so that whatever guy you elect is actually worth doing that. Obama didn't happen overnight for the Left--it was predicated on years of media preparation and Bush fatigue, plus the Nader loss.
Similarly, I can understand why a lot of people would be against Romney even though he seems to have a better chance against Obama--they want to change the terms of the conversation. It's a hard trade-off to make. I mean, consider the differences between electing Romney and having him be moderate and bend over in that direction and then lose later to someone similar to Obama, to having 4 more years of Obama and then electing someone like Paul Ryan. It's hyperbole to say we won't have a country anymore by then.
None of the alternatives are any good, and it doesn't help the conversation to call people stupid, unconcerned, angrily irrational, etc. That sounds way too much like the old Leftist chestnut questions people about why they're "voting against their own interests". It's shamefully condescending.
Posted by: JeremiadBullfrog at January 23, 2012 07:48 AM (79OhT)
Posted by: red meat at January 23, 2012 07:48 AM (O7ksG)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 11:42 AM (nj1bB)
Which one would argue is what we're DOING. You're just unhappy that the nominee we're currently looking at isn't the one you think we should be looking at.
How did they force anything down you're throats?
By more or less telling us that Romney is the only candidate who can possibly beat Obama and that supporting anyone else is suicide? And then, when we try to support someone else, telling us that we're inbred, idiotic, uneducated backwoods losers who don't understand the nuances of Washington politics? You mean stuff like that?
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 07:48 AM (4df7R)
How old is he? Did he live through Contract with America?
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (5H6zj)
You may find this hard to believe, but I don't track who supports whom. My comment was not directed at you or anyone, merely a statement of fact on where my line in party loyalty is.
Y-Not, I did not think it was directed at me.
But would you like it if I tore up Perry some?
He has about as much chance as winning the Presidency as RP does.
Shall I join the butthurt who are still ripping on him and mention all the reasons he sucks and I won't vote for him?
What would you do, how would you respond to those kind of comments?
It ain't Ron Paul - it's ALL OF THEM. Someone is doing it to ALL OF THEM.
Honestly, I don't think anyone gives a shit who you won't vote for. We have plenty of threats about that no matter who the nominee is (especially the Mitch Daniels brokered fantasy candidates who have no path to the nomination, like RP).
You've really got to be under the influence of the CIA's MKULTRA brainwashing waves if you think Ron Paul has a snowballs chance in hell of being POTUS. The reaction of 80% of the GOP would make Newt's nomination look like a tea party.
Not the angry racist kind of tea party, but the kind with doilies and little cups and the Queen of fucking England.
Anyone with a brain knows this. That is what pisses me off MOST about the RP hate - not that I am butthurt because I'm crazy enough to think you're ruining his chances (Ace apparently estimates him much higher than me). Because he has no chance anyway and you're beating up on a corpse.
Because, apparently, we don't have enough butthurt going around lately, we need to gin up some more.
Posted by: Entropy at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (mf67L)
174 -
Tell that to the House and Senate leadership. I get the impression they believe the Tea Party is there to give them a majority, and to shut up and fall in line.
Problem is, I'm not sure the Tea Party is cohesive enough to stand up to leadership, so protest remains their most effective tool.
Posted by: BurtTC at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (TOk1P)
By whom? The minority of the party? The establishment which is pretty small and which you have demonstrated you have no respect for and who you will defy at every turn?
How did they force anything down you're throats?
You are the MAJORITY. in the party, at least for certain in the primary electorate of the party.
Get out of the We're Just Here to Make Trouble mode.
You're now in the We're Here to Make POLICY mode. You're in the We're Here to Make Decisions about the Future Nominee Now.
This. If the principle being advanced is absolute fidelity in the candidate's public life to the ideals espoused by the Tea Party, how can it be that Newt is the favored candidate? How can someone who flirted with statism from the relative safety of Georgia's 6th district - where there was no need to be seen as moderate - be the "True Conservatives'" preferred candidate?
Posted by: Alec Leamas at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (mg08E)
Posted by: nevergiveup at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: Soona at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (cqLNL)
Bob Dole was back when the GOP did the "next in line" thing. Now we do the "purity" thing.
Posted by: whatever at January 23, 2012 11:10 AM (O7ksG)
That's such bullshit. Our 'betters' and the MFM have made damn sure that all the candidates who were even close to 'pure' conservatives have been eliminated. Now we're left with varying levels of big government loving assholes and an anti-semitic leprechaun.
Posted by: Ms Choksondik at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (fYOZx)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (3VSsp)
Posted by: Honey Badger at January 23, 2012 07:49 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:50 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 11:45 AM (0nqdj)
So the ability of a candidate to actually get elected to the office for which he is running is important to you?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 07:50 AM (nEUpB)
I did try to scream at the party.
I told the Tea Party to stop eliminating candidates based on weak-ass reasons, hunting for perfect fidelity.
And I told the Establishment to listen to the base, that there were going to be big problems if they expected Romney to just take the nomination, and to find a livable alternative to that.
Well geez aren't you just the SMARTEST person in America.
You can have it your way Ace, you just can't have it both ways.
Posted by: WTF at January 23, 2012 07:51 AM (JpC1K)
Posted by: Jean at January 23, 2012 07:51 AM (WkuV6)
How about giving Newt credit for throwing a bone to Santorum and Paul supporters?
Remember that “super candidate” Perry was just too fucking stupid to do that.
Posted by: jwest at January 23, 2012 07:51 AM (FdndL)
The MFM and DNC have strategies to attack any of these 4 candidates we have left which will probably resonate with voters.
Well ..... effin DUH.
Thats why its called a campaign. If we are in a quest for the "Un-critizizable" candidate.... that would be an exercise in utter futility. Since when did we become so fucking cowed by what Debbie Wasaman Schultz and Brian Williams has to say. As if we are totally in-capable of rebuttal.
Stop the goddamned hand wringing over what the MSM has to say.... because even IF there wasnt any you could criticise... they would just.make.shit.up.
Grow a pair. Focus. Repeat "The SCOAMF is a won term President".
Posted by: fixerupper at January 23, 2012 07:52 AM (C8hzL)
Anyway, I still expect Romney to win because this looks to be a long campaign and Romney has the money and the organization to fight a battle of attrition. But Romney supporters would be wise to avoid poisoning the wells.
Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 23, 2012 11:48 AM (JxMoP)
Heh, right because Romney supporters are always treated with respect on this blog.
Jeebus
Posted by: robtr at January 23, 2012 07:52 AM (MtwBb)
Posted by: Juicer at January 23, 2012 07:52 AM (84c8s)
Yup. It's why I'm supporting Snowe in the GOP primary up here. I don't like or agree with all of Snowe's points, but better her than her Marxist opponents.
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 07:52 AM (0nqdj)
Nobody does a circular firing squad like the Stupid Party. The Dems just quietly excommunicate anyone insufficiently liberal.
Posted by: Ian S. at January 23, 2012 07:52 AM (Lpdzt)
McCain lost
MSM wants Romney
Romney will lose
The more the MSM screams for Romney, the more I want anyone but Romney.
Posted by: shibumi at January 23, 2012 07:52 AM (z63Tr)
Posted by: Miss80s at January 23, 2012 07:52 AM (d6QMz)
It's in the sidebar, you fucking retard.
Posted by: Waterhouse at January 23, 2012 07:52 AM (hNdbt)
Posted by: phoenixgirl....a voter without a candidate at January 23, 2012 07:53 AM (Ho2rs)
Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 23, 2012 07:53 AM (digkk)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 11:44 AM (nj1bB)
And I'll support likely loser Romney just as I supported loser McCain.
ABO 2012
Posted by: Ms Choksondik at January 23, 2012 07:53 AM (fYOZx)
As for me, He just gives me the creeps.
Posted by: supercore23 at January 23, 2012 11:03 AM (bwV72)
Yes, this is exactly how I feel about him. Plus he has zero charisma. I know the latter point means nothing of substance but you can't ignore how it impacts voters.
Posted by: Captain Hate at January 23, 2012 07:53 AM (yowgW)
Posted by: Sassy at January 23, 2012 07:54 AM (AXqsp)
The future as seen by someone interested in voting for Newt Gingrich:
October 25, 2012 Mitt Romney Nominee:
John King: The Bureau of Labor and Statistics reported that the Stimulus Package passed by Barack Obama was directly responsible for saving over 2 million jobs at a cost of less than a trillion dollars, You think that was a bad idea would you explain why?
Mitt Romney: You have to look at the costs John, the cost. Overall 1 trillion into 2 million jobs is just not worth the price, it increased the debt and made our country weaker than where it otherwise would have been had the Stimulus not been passed. Our economy would have been better if we hadn't passed the stimulus.
NYT October 26, 2012:
Mitt Romney, People's Jobs...Not worth the cost. Latest Poll shows Obama 49% Romney 47% ....Romney Favorability 54% Unfav 38%
<i>In Alternate Universe</i>
October 25, 2012 Newt Gingrich Nominee:
John King: The Bureau of Labor and Statistics reported that the Stimulus Package passed by Barack Obama was directly responsible for saving over 2 million jobs at a cost of less than a trillion dollars, You think that was a bad idea would you explain why?
Newt Gingrich: John, you know as well as I do that "saved" jobs in a bull**it statistic. For 60 years, the BLS had been reporting jobs created and the Republic ran just fine. Then, Obama passed his stimulus it didn't work so they created out of thin air a statisitic about "saved" jobs. The amazing thing is, in advocating for the Stimulus Obama put out a chart promising that unemployment would only reach 7% with the stimulus but 8% without it. According to Barack's OWN statistics, the stimulus was WORSE than doing nothing. What that means is we would have been better off giving a $5000 check to every American than Obama's crony Solyndra friends. And that's using their own numbers John.
NYT October 26, 2012:
Newt Gingrich says "bulls**t" on National Televised Debate Unfavorables soar showing 56% of respondents view Gingrich unfavorable...
page b16 full poll results Gingrich 51% Obama 43%
Posted by: Gov98 at January 23, 2012 07:54 AM (+yyD7)
It's in the sidebar, you fucking retard.
Posted by: Waterhouse at January 23, 2012 11:52 AM (hNdbt)
Aren't you horrified that the TSA thinks it has so much power that it can detain a sitting US Senator? Seemingly without blinking an eye or even thinking how it will look to the American people.
Posted by: ambrosia at January 23, 2012 07:55 AM (oZfic)
Posted by: ejo at January 23, 2012 07:55 AM (VZedU)
Posted by: Sassy at January 23, 2012 07:55 AM (AXqsp)
Oh yes- because the candidates we are left with so, so have their personal houses in order!!!! What we need- honesty, steadfastness, loyalty, ability to speak clearly on conservatism, intelligence-any of the candidates I mentioned- and I forgot West- have those qualities in spades. Obama isn't a giant failure because of his inexperience, but because he is a lying, Marxist, egotistical ass! Who is has surrounded himself with other lying, Marxist, egotistical asses! You know what- I don't want to hear about their little kids, or the feelings in their heart, or the need to wait for just the right moment until they are willing to help their country. They are needed now. They need to step up to the plate now and none of them are willing to do so.
THESE are the times that try men's souls. The summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of their country; but he that stands by it now, deserves the love and thanks of man and woman. Tyranny, like hell, is not easily conquered; yet we have this consolation with us, that the harder the conflict, the more glorious the triumph. What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too lightly: it is dearness only that gives every thing its value. Heaven knows how to put a proper price upon its goods; and it would be strange indeed if so celestial an article as FREEDOM should not be highly rated.
Posted by: Timwi at January 23, 2012 07:55 AM (QKlu9)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:55 AM (nj1bB)
Y-Not, I did not think it was directed at me.
But would you like it if I tore up Perry some?
----
Entropy,
I often find myself agreeing with you, so I really don't want to fight with you.
Lay into Perry all you want. I'm sad and disappointed about how things turned out, but I'm surprisingly not suicidal about it. I think the fact that he picked a candidate to endorse out of the gate (even if I'm not 1000% sold on that candidate... but I was leaning him as my back up anyway) helps salves the wounds a bit. It's nice to know Perry is still going to be part of the national conversation.
But the thing about Ron Paul is that I have had the sense all election season that his supporters think they can capitalize on our disenchantment with Romney and others and swoop in to victory. I think it's important for them to realize that I am not interested in what they're selling. Not under any circumstances.
You feel that way about Romney and that's fine. I see no benefit to conservatives to feel required to swear fealty to the nominee if he's unacceptable. And, in fact, it is possible (although remote) that I could find myself not voting for other non-Paul nominees depending on what comes out about the candidates during the general.
So that's all. Really not trying to do anything other than signal where my line is right now on party line voting.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:55 AM (5H6zj)
@52
That's exactly the problem. The media will make this election about the republican candidate not the last four years. Will Mitt fight back? Will he go balls out against Obama and the media. Or will he be like a deer in the headlights? Newt will get pissed and fight Obama and the leftists in the media without apology. I like that. A bunch of republicans in SC seem to like it too. I hope all the future republican candidates take note of Newts success at correcting the bullshit questions thrown out there by the MSM. We've had enough Romney/Dole/McCain types that don't fight back and want to be seen as a nice guy making "friends" with the media. The media is not our "friend". They are out to destroy conservatism and republicans and anyone to the right of their hero Obama/Pelosi/Kennedy/(insert MSMs favorite collectivist here) by any means necessary. If the media can paint McCain (McCain!!) as a right wing extreamist in the last presidential election after kissing his ass for years as a "mavrick" and hero then they have much worse in store for the upcoming election.
For the life of me I don't understand why the republican party can't understand that the MSM is out to get them. Why don't they have coordinated attacks against the dems like the dems constantly have against us? The "leader" of the house and the "leader" of the Senate aren't even on the same damn page half the time. Who the hell is running the RNC and why aren't they implementing some sort of strategy? Why don't they correct the slanted questions that are posed to them like Newt has done in the last couple of debates? This bullshit has been going on for f'in years! Do the RNC establishment types watch the same damn "news" reports I do? Where is their outrage?!! Do these fuckers even have a damn pulse? I'm mad as hell and I'm not out there in the political arena getting my ass handed to me by the media day in and day out. Wake up REPUBLICANS!
End of rant.... *breaths* deeply
Posted by: Some guy you don't know in wisconsin at January 23, 2012 07:56 AM (UqwrW)
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 11:52 AM (0nqdj)
You actually saw a difference?
Posted by: Soona at January 23, 2012 07:56 AM (cqLNL)
If that were Mitt's biggest problem, I'd vote for him in a heartbeat.
Who doesn't want unoffensive milquetoast right about now?
In 2008, a Great Unifier was elected and proceeded to tear the country apart. I want somebody who is uninspiring, unoffensive and fiscally responsible.
And if we have any hope whatsoever of getting our fiscal house in order, it's not going to happen with a firebrand at the helm. It's going to happen with somebody who people think is inoffensive but competent.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 07:56 AM (T0NGe)
I don't think this can be said enough. The "Establishment" is where the money and organization is. That's really what we mean when we say "The Establishment." We're not talking about some Bildgurberger-esque, shadowy cabal sitting in a dimly lit room, wearing heavy cloaks, and smoking Cuban cigars (okay- maybe the Cuban cigars, thing). We're talking about the "people on top." The money-bags and power-brokers of the party.
And they have a lot of influence, you can't really deny that. The problem is that Romney took that influence and assumed it was a road to victory, and assumed he didn't need the base. So, when given the chance to do little things like say, "Hey, I thought MassCare was the way to go. I admit that. I've seen the error of my ways, and the last thing I want is that kind of debacle on the national scale- of course I'll make repealing ObamaCare my first priority," he didn't take them. And, while the "Establishment" may have more money and organization than the base, the base have more votes.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 23, 2012 07:56 AM (8y9MW)
Damn straight.
Posted by: JohnJ at January 23, 2012 07:57 AM (Tt6ky)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 07:57 AM (nj1bB)
Since Newt is such a loose cannon, why is the establisment so worried? He's going to blow himself up any time now.
Romney could have switched and become a Democrat anytime in the last 10 years and no one would have been very surprised.
Posted by: Meremortal at January 23, 2012 07:57 AM (Usk3+)
Makes me think that all those debate recaps where the analysis was "Romney won because he's in front and didn't do anything stupid" were missing the bigger trend.
Those were all failures to expand what began as the largest coalition in the primary field. Six months in front of the people and he consistently failed to sell himself sucessfully to the party.
Posted by: Monica L. at January 23, 2012 07:57 AM (SO2Q8)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 07:57 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: ambrosia at January 23, 2012 07:57 AM (oZfic)
Heh, right because Romney supporters are always treated with respect on this blog.
Yeah, well--it gets bumpy here for everyone at times. Even the Ewok. Roll with it and defend yourself.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at January 23, 2012 07:57 AM (B+qrE)
"Give me a reason to be optimistic and we'll talk. Till then, I'll be out on the sidewalk with a cardboard sign that reads "The End Is Near"."
How bout 287 days until we kick Obama's ass out of office with whoever our nominee is? How about once the nominee is selected, we all rally behind the person, even if it isn't our top choice. Because despite everything else, if there's one reason that we need a R in office, it's foc SCOTUS nominees should there be any openings, and I expect there will be. Yes, we are in financial peril. But a 2nd Obama term means a huge shift in the balance of power of SCOTUS should any conservative justice (or Kennedy) die or resign. Danger to the 2nd amendment amongst other issues. And even if we win in 2016, the damage may be undoable. So everybody get past themselves and support and vote for whoever the nominee ends up being.
Posted by: Jon in TX at January 23, 2012 07:58 AM (lRqIF)
Gingrich and Romney are both sidewinding opportunists. But Romney has stated that he will not attack Obama. I guess his pitch in the general will be "I can afford better hair" or something.
Posted by: Ian S. at January 23, 2012 07:58 AM (Lpdzt)
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 07:59 AM (w+PM8)
Perry did actually do it. He singled Ron Paul out at the end of one of the debates for a compliment on Federalism.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 07:59 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 11:55 AM (nj1bB)
Ha, I wasn't going to bring her up but she is the first thing I thought of when I saw the poll on Drudge this morning with Gingrich ahead.
Posted by: robtr at January 23, 2012 07:59 AM (MtwBb)
Posted by: Jumbo Jogging Shrimp at January 23, 2012 11:56 AM (qjUnn)
The CT entitled elite came out in Coulter. I saw the interview live, it was early and she'd had one too many cups of coffee. But you certainly got the impression that she thought those north carolina voters were southern stupid uneducated hicks. She really owes them an apology.
Posted by: ambrosia at January 23, 2012 07:59 AM (oZfic)
Posted by: Chris at January 23, 2012 08:00 AM (E9kgB)
Posted by: mike at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (C6f7T)
In 2008, a Great Unifier was elected and proceeded to tear the country apart. I want somebody who is uninspiring, unoffensive and fiscally responsible.
And if we have any hope whatsoever of getting our fiscal house in order, it's not going to happen with a firebrand at the helm. It's going to happen with somebody who people think is inoffensive but competent.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 11:56 AM (T0NGe)
You mean like Boehner and McConnell? How's that working out so far?
Posted by: Soona at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (cqLNL)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (nj1bB)
wow. Ace in the Romney Camp?
did anne coulter threaten you or something, ace? what has she done to you?
you don't have to be embarassed, we know you probably liked it. whatever it was...
Posted by: garrett at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (DfsRf)
Since Newt is such a loose cannon, why is the establisment so worried? He's going to blow himself up any time now.
Well, this TeaParty Perry supporter, is concerned that he will wait until after the nomination to blow himself up.
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (w+PM8)
What's changed since then?
---
Newt earned a lot of respect from people when he started out his campaign being positive about Republicans and conservative ideals and solely attacking Obama. Now it's true that he left that strategy in order to counter attacks on him, but if he returns to it, I think he can continue to build on his support.
Just as Romney lost many of us between 2008 and 2011/12 by refusing to do what he needed to do on Masscare, Newt has gained some of us by playing the Happy Warrior.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (5H6zj)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=CgdzZJePL04
Posted by: mike at January 23, 2012 12:01 PM (C6f7T)
Is this the stuff Beck has been playing. Guess this is the mormon attack on gingrich today.
Posted by: ambrosia at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (oZfic)
I love Ace's whole "when I do exactly what I criticized C4P for it's awesome" thing he's got going on. Projection isn't only for Democrats, apparently.
Not for nothing, but the Tea Party handed you useless northeastern fucktards the House on a platter, and Boehner has proceeded to do nothing with it. I'm sure you can understand the anger.
Posted by: Ian S. at January 23, 2012 08:01 AM (Lpdzt)
Heh. I used to work with one of the Democrats who's declared his candidacy. Hardcore lefty, much more so than Snowe.
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 08:02 AM (0nqdj)
The Debates are the Most Important Thing.
The Debates are the Most Important Thing.
The Debates are the Most Important Thing.
The Debates are the Most Important Thing.
Whoever Wins South Carolina will be the Nominee.
Whoever Wins South Carolina will be the Nominee.
Whoever Wins South Carolina will be the Nominee.
Whoever Wins South Carolina will be the Nominee.
***Newt Gingrich wins South Carolina. Many voters say chose him because of his debate performances.***
Uh oh.
The Debates are Not the Most Important Thing.
The Debates are Not the Most Important Thing.
The Debates are Not the Most Important Thing.
The Debates are Not the Most Important Thing.
South Carolina Doesn't Matter. There Are Many More Primaries.
South Carolina Doesn't Matter. There Are Many More Primaries.
South Carolina Doesn't Matter. There Are Many More Primaries.
South Carolina Doesn't Matter. There Are Many More Primaries.
Posted by: The Media at January 23, 2012 08:02 AM (ALwK/)
Debate tactics here often channel more "Let me answer that with a head-but" than "parry, riposte."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 23, 2012 08:02 AM (8y9MW)
Once the race is effectively over, there's little reason for Palin's banal, vapid "analysis" on Fox.
That bitch Palin has gotten off relatively easy on this one, by virtue of the fact she wimped out of running. Be she still has incorrect opinions which are influence the race! How many children does she have now? Did we ever get a paternity test?
Posted by: Entropy - just upping the butthurt factor because things are boring at January 23, 2012 08:03 AM (mf67L)
A week ago Mitt was considered inevitable. Now Ace thinks the Newt has nomination sewn up.
And either way, he thinks Obama is going to win.
I just donÂ’t see the logic. Every historical indicator points to republican landslide. Independents overwhelmingly canÂ’t stand Obama. Unemployment is staying high and gas prices are rising. Nothing is improving, but for some reason the doomsayers here canÂ’t accept reality. What is the reason theyÂ’ll believe every poll except the ones that say theyÂ’re going to win?
On top of all that, someone tell me how either Mitt or Newt gets the nomination. Which side is going to cave? Do we have people here so fucking stupid that they believe the rest of the country is going to vote the same way South Carolina or Florida does?
Posted by: jwest at January 23, 2012 08:03 AM (FdndL)
Posted by: Curiosly stretched rectum at January 23, 2012 08:03 AM (qcLTJ)
Ace-
You're dead wrong.
You act as if the Tea Party owes anything to the establishment wing of the party.
Nope.
It's quite simple really. If the GOP wants the tea party vote, they need to earn it.
The GOP establishment got us into this mess in part.
At some point, they have to learn the hard lesson.
Posted by: trump at January 23, 2012 08:03 AM (M7Awp)
I'm pretty sure talking about Obama's hair is racist.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 08:04 AM (5H6zj)
ace--I agree about Bachmann and Cain, but they should be just the normal Republican version of a "Howard Dean" moment, flash and gone. A good candidate should have emerged that could unite the party.
Perry blew himself up before 95% of the voters got to vote him up or down. And his "too much like Bush" problem was a real problem for indys too.
The good candidates are on the sidelines, without the balls to run and the balls to lead.
Newt looks like he has balls, so here he is. Romney has the personality of a Ken doll, so he's got a problem.
Posted by: Meremortal at January 23, 2012 08:04 AM (Usk3+)
Posted by: Juicer at January 23, 2012 08:04 AM (84c8s)
Instead of re-posting some old comments from last summer telling Newt to go blow, I'll just remind everyone about a popular (and childish) belief here in the AoS comment threads in early 2009:
"Don't worry. Four years of Carter gave us 8 years of Reagan."
Now look where we are.
Posted by: soothsayer at January 23, 2012 08:04 AM (sqkOB)
Please tell us what a Speaker of the House can "do" when the Senate and Presidency are controlled by the other party, except compromise and adopt part of the Senate/President's agenda?
This is the kind of puerile bullshit that informs my perception of Gingrich's "surge."
Posted by: Alec Leamas at January 23, 2012 08:05 AM (mg08E)
Peel off 10% of the vote when dems pick back to back photos of Newt and Obama: Newt looking pasty, scary, old. Obama looking confident and young. America is stupid and superficial. That is a fact.
Posted by: whatever at January 23, 2012 08:05 AM (O7ksG)
Posted by: Jimmah at January 23, 2012 08:06 AM (TMeYE)
Should probably have at least one a week from here 'til November.
Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 23, 2012 08:06 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: Bill C at January 23, 2012 08:06 AM (EbFF3)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 08:06 AM (r2PLg)
Nope.
It's quite simple really. If the GOP wants the tea party vote, they need to earn it.
The GOP establishment got us into this mess in part.
At some point, they have to learn the hard lesson.
Posted by: trump at January 23, 2012 12:03 PM (M7Awp)
Is that what this is about? Teaching the GOP a lesson? Well I am glad you have your priorities straight.
I thought maybe we were trying to replace Obama because the damage he has done already with be times 10 in his second term.
Posted by: robtr at January 23, 2012 08:06 AM (MtwBb)
For Chr*st's sake, everyone shut up.
Romney is not a perfect conservative.
Newt is not a perfect conservative.
Romney supports his Romneycare clusterfuck despite the facts ("facts," ace, which you think are far more important than arguments) that prove it is a miserable, abject failure.
Newt sat on a couch with Nancy Pelosi to pander to the Greenies, and has never offered a sufficient mea culpa nor addressed his take on AGW given all the most recent evidence discounting it as a sham.
Romney is an accomplished capitalist.
Newt was a major factor in electing the first Republican majority to Congress in 1994.
We can sit here and debate the pluses and minuses of either candidate until we're blue in the face, but trying to call one better than the other is like trying to say Tropicana orange juice is better than Minute Maid. All anyone can do is follow their gut and make an informed decision about who they prefer. Then they can SHUT UP and stop bitching if their candidate loses, and stop partying like it's 1999 if their candidate wins. The only time I intend to crack the bubbly is when obama is soundly beaten by the Republican nominee in November.
If ANY of our current candidates can't beat someone with the personal, professional and political negatives of the SCOAMT in the general election, then we were fucked before any of the candidates even declared.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 08:07 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: runner at January 23, 2012 08:07 AM (WR5xI)
Hello, mirror.
Posted by: MlR at January 23, 2012 08:07 AM (vj9lA)
Posted by: blaster at January 23, 2012 08:07 AM (7vSU0)
The good news is that I don't think he has the restraint to hold off that long.
The speech about space should be good. You think he'll propose big mirrors in space?
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:07 AM (piMMO)
Bullshit. It's a rational choice. Perry endorsed Newt, remember?
Not-Romney is not always the best candidate just because he's not Romney.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 08:08 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: red meat at January 23, 2012 08:08 AM (O7ksG)
If they didn't have the wherewithal to take a crack at it, were they actually that good to begin with?
It's like anything else, you get more of what you subsidize, less of what you penalize. This field isn't an accident. It may not entirely be by design, either, but it does follow logically from the GOP's choices.
Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 23, 2012 08:08 AM (GBXon)
The fucking race is not over.
For those of you bashing the Tea Party, it's a pretty new movement and it was a big force in the last cycle.
I prefferred Pawlenty and Perry. That's over.
We get Newt or Romney. Embrace the suck.
Posted by: The Jackhole at January 23, 2012 08:08 AM (nTgAI)
Also not for nothing, that same movement also lost us the Senate by nominating O'Donnell and Angle.
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 08:09 AM (0nqdj)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Team Meteor. Now with Cheesecake at January 23, 2012 08:09 AM (8y9MW)
Wishcasting.
We're not going to beat Obama with just anybody. You don't beat an incumbent with a candidate that's about as popular with the general electorate as kidney stones.
Sure, I'll vote for the primary winner. However, I'm not going to feel any degree of self-satisfaction for doing so when I know I'm voting for the inevitable loser.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 08:09 AM (SY2Kh)
You're dead wrong.
You act as if the Tea Party owes anything to the establishment wing of the party.
Nope.
It's quite simple really. If the GOP wants the tea party vote, they need to earn it.
The GOP establishment got us into this mess in part.
At some point, they have to learn the hard lesson.
Thanks for being involved and making your voice heard before 2010, asshole. It must feel really good to have sat out a bunch of contentious battles in which compromises were made and ride in at the end to tell the battle-scarred warriors that they've "been doing it wrong." And seemingly by "hard lesson" you mean "second term for Obama." Awesome.
Posted by: Alec Leamas at January 23, 2012 08:09 AM (mg08E)
I'm giving up. Conservatives are so angry they want to lose.
Okay, lose.
>>>> LOL Ace, you do realize that by voting for Romney, we also lose, right? Just a drop slower?
Posted by: trump at January 23, 2012 08:09 AM (M7Awp)
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 08:09 AM (0nqdj)
This. This, a thousand times this.
Posted by: fixerupper at January 23, 2012 08:10 AM (C8hzL)
He doesn't look that old to me. He has white hair, but plenty of it.
Meanwhile, Romney looks like the endorser for Brill Cream.
Romney is 64 and Gingrich is 68.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 08:10 AM (5H6zj)
Heh, right because Romney supporters are always treated with respect on this blog.
My issue isn't as much with people on here, it's with the Republican media types: Ann Coulter, Karl Rove, S.E. Cupp, the list goes on and on. They're the ones who have the ability to piss a lot of people off in a short amount of time. My concern is that if these folks go scorched earth that we'll end up with Romney getting similar results to McCain because a lot of people will decide to stay home. Short-sighted, yes, but it could happen.
I really don't love any of these guys. I'll vote for Romney if he's the nominee just like I'll vote for any of the others. I'm just saying that the Republican media elites might be better served making the case for Romney instead of attacking the voters.
Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at January 23, 2012 08:10 AM (JxMoP)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 08:10 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 08:11 AM (r2PLg)
And seemingly by "hard lesson" you mean "second term for Obama." Awesome.
>>> First of all, go f**k yourself for your uncalled for insult. Second of all, seeing as they annointed Romney, I guess they didn't learn the lesson.
The establishment GOP is part of the problem. Eff them.
Posted by: trump at January 23, 2012 08:11 AM (M7Awp)
I'm horrified you think laws should apply differently to US Senators than the regular population.
Then again, you are a babbling fuckwit.
Posted by: Waterhouse at January 23, 2012 08:11 AM (hNdbt)
The speech about space should be good. You think he'll propose big mirrors in space?
He's going to roll out his groundbreaking astronomy theory that the Universe does, in fact, revolve around Newt Gingrich.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 08:11 AM (SY2Kh)
Posted by: phoenixgirl....a voter without a candidate at January 23, 2012 08:12 AM (Ho2rs)
Well, this TeaParty Perry supporter, is concerned that he will wait until after the nomination to blow himself up.
Posted by: dagny at January 23, 2012 12:01 PM (w+PM
That's a worthy concern. I think blowing up is more likely now while he's running to make a splash. Candidates tone it down and move to the middle once they are nominated and Newt knows that.
Posted by: Meremortal at January 23, 2012 08:12 AM (Usk3+)
First off, anything after 100 comments is wide open.
Second, congrats on the new place!(?)
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:12 AM (piMMO)
Also not for nothing, that same movement also lost us the Senate by nominating O'Donnell and Angle.
1. Horseshit.
2. Tell me how 2010 would've turned out absent the entire Tea Party movement.
Posted by: soothsayer at January 23, 2012 08:12 AM (sqkOB)
Is that what this is about? Teaching the GOP a lesson? Well I am glad you have your priorities straight.
I thought maybe we were trying to replace Obama because the damage he has done already with be times 10 in his second term 10 in his second term
>>>> If the GOP never learns, we never solve the problems.
Posted by: trump at January 23, 2012 08:13 AM (M7Awp)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 08:13 AM (r2PLg)
I am currently looking for my Oz map sheets and orienting myself to yellow brick infrastructure.
Who the Hell knows what's going to happen. But one thing hasn't changed in 5 years - the level of support for Romney.
And despite the admirable loyalty of his followers and johnny come aces latelys and it's hard to see that changing now.
ABthegoddammarxist.
Posted by: ontherocks at January 23, 2012 08:13 AM (ZJCDy)
Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 23, 2012 08:13 AM (digkk)
It's visionary I tell ya!!!
Posted by: My name is Newt, but you can call me VISIONARY! at January 23, 2012 08:14 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Jean at January 23, 2012 08:14 AM (WkuV6)
You mean like Boehner and McConnell? How's that working out so far?
Posted by: Soona at January 23, 2012 12:01 PM (cqLNL)
Obama is "at the helm" and if you can point to the 2/3rds R majorities in Congress, I'm waiting.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 08:14 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: SantaRosaStan at January 23, 2012 08:14 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: Juicer at January 23, 2012 08:15 AM (84c8s)
If Obama wins, the problems get worse.
I'll go with "flawed candidate" myself.
Posted by: Slublog at January 23, 2012 08:15 AM (0nqdj)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 08:16 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 08:16 AM (nj1bB)
I'm not near my radio therefore you just volunteered to translate.
Posted by: My name is Newt, but you can call me VISIONARY! at January 23, 2012 08:16 AM (piMMO)
Well, I for one am looking forward to seeing Mitt's tax returns.
What is he hiding???
I wanna make sure he's paying his Fair Share.
Posted by: soothsayer at January 23, 2012 08:17 AM (sqkOB)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 08:17 AM (r2PLg)
307 somebody help me out, who the heck is "the establishment" ? apparently now ann coulter is the establishment, but newt I've been in and around washington all my life gingrich is not, so i am a wee bit confused
Okay.
Newt was 'anti-Republican-establishment' before it was cool. ....He bucked them in the 90's. ....And they let him twist in the wind and be eviscerated by the liberal media. Just like what happened to Sarah Palin.
Newt stayed in politics, eking out a living by doing speaking engagements, selling books, promoting conservative ideas. .....So the Rep-establishment tolerated him, even threw him some bones....and letting him attend their big functions.
So even though Newt has been a 'Washington Player', it's not like he's been a card-carrying member of the Republican elite.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 08:17 AM (ALwK/)
The argument is now set, and all can see. Your choices are Newt the nutty professor who puts on a good show, or Romney the Democrat running as a Republican, or the SCOAMF.
Posted by: Meremortal at January 23, 2012 08:18 AM (Usk3+)
Reason: That's soooo 2008.
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:18 AM (piMMO)
Lay into Perry all you want.
Y-not, I don't want. I really don't want. I hate the bastards still laying in to Perry. It's irrelevant, Perry's not even in it (which adds insult to injury).
Consequently I won't even respond or say shit. I'll just seethe. Spite breeds more spite. All I know is, these Romneybots weren't just posturing for their guy, they literally hate federalism (think it's racist?) and want to see Perry lose in Texas! WTF?!?
That's what I'm hearing from them. Why else would they still attack him?
Makes me feel real fuzzy about getting over our differences and uniting against Obama. It almost seems like it's more important we end that bastard Perry.
But the thing about Ron Paul
Is irrelevant. I stopped reading there. I don't care what the thing about Ron Paul is, he's not going to win. He's not going to get your vote. I know both these things - I don't give a shit why.
You're also not going to change my mind. You can't tell me anything I don't know. My calculus of what I can overlook, what I can ignore, which issues I put first and which ones I compromise on, will not change.
It's fun to see people still laying into the guy though. Please do tell us what is wrong with Ron Paul, and when you're done, tell is what is wrong with Ann Coulter, and what is wrong with Jennifer Rubin, and what is wrong with Robert Bork too maybe - he ain't perfect, he's got skeletons, why should that self-righteous bastard escape The Reckoning?
Why doesn't Rubin get a turn in the barrel? She's kind of a bitch. Let's destroy her.
In case I'm not coming through - no I don't want to 'focus on Jen Rubin'. I don't give a fuck about Jen Rubin.
Jen Rubin isn't on the ballot. The only people who could concievably give a fuck about Jen Rubin are her fans, and you're not going to win nothing with them by bashing her.
Posted by: Entropy - just upping the butthurt factor because things are boring at January 23, 2012 08:19 AM (mf67L)
Posted by: runner at January 23, 2012 08:19 AM (WR5xI)
Posted by: whatever at January 23, 2012 08:19 AM (O7ksG)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 08:19 AM (r2PLg)
But I've been pretty damn consistent that what I wanted was someone plausible as a candidate first.
I've yet to see an argument that makes Romney anymore plausible than Newt, ace. This is my problem with the folks who tell me I must support Romney. I see Romney and I see MassCare. I see Romney at that desk signing the MassCare legislation with Ted Kennedy yukking it up behind him like an alcoholic walrus. I see Romney and I see Massachusetts, period. I live right NEXT to Massachusetts, and I hate it.
If Romney had stuck around as governor, maybe he could have seen the emerging problems in MassCare and taken steps to fix them. he didn't. he stayed long enough to sign his signature piece of legislation, then he bailed to run for President. And he won't even say that much! He won't even say, "MassCare has been grossly mismanaged and has failed in its nitended purpose, which was to provide accessible, low cost healthcare to the people of Massachusetts. Obamacare has taken the MassCare model and inflated it to an even more unmanageable, bureaucratic, expensive, inefficient nightmare. It needs to be junked and the conversation about healthcare costs need to start again from square one."
Why won't he at least give us that much? Give me that, Romney, and I'll stand behind you, no problem. As it stands now, I don't get how he is supposed to be any better than Newt.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 08:19 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: My name is Newt, but you can call me VISIONARY! at January 23, 2012 12:16 PM (piMMO)
I'll whip it good: Newt is Goldwater with a bug up his ass, not Reagan
Posted by: SantaRosaStan at January 23, 2012 08:20 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: kathysaysso at January 23, 2012 08:20 AM (ZtwUX)
A bunch of us have addressed this many times.
If Romney had spent the past three years helping to formulate alternatives to Obamacare (and Masscare) and had been out there fighting against it and been willing to bring himself to admit it is a disaster, a lot of us would be more comfortable with him. Instead, he grudgingly promises to sign a Repeal of it, but tells us he'll Replace it with something... but won't tell us what that something is.
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 08:20 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 08:21 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: AD at January 23, 2012 08:21 AM (xfsCB)
Posted by: polynikes - Texan for Romney at January 23, 2012 08:21 AM (rpaFP)
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at January 23, 2012 08:22 AM (i330i)
Iowa - 3% higher in 2012
New Hampshire - 3% higher in 2012
South Carolina - 24% higher in 2012
Newt didn't catch fire until South Carolina. I don't think we can beat Barky with a measly 3% increase in turnout in the general. But, you might be saying - hey, Iowa and New Hampshire are northern states and we shouldn't expect an energized base there. And that's a good point. But, I say the base is either energized or it's not. If it's not, we don't win. The question is - do we want to win or not?
Do I think a President Newt would be a friggin disaster - why yes, yes I do. But, do I think he would sign a balanced budget amendment? Yes, yes I believe he would.
Posted by: Not an Artist at January 23, 2012 08:22 AM (fOPv7)
Hell, I want Newt to do what he said he would do as nominee (which is a terrible idea if he is the nominee). Follow Obama around. Counter him. Mock him.
Nothing would stop Newt the non-nominee from doing this.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 08:23 AM (T0NGe)
Newt is Spiro 'Ted' Agnew rather than Ronald Wilson Reagan ???
Posted by: SantaRosaStan at January 23, 2012 08:23 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: phoenixgirl....a voter without a candidate at January 23, 2012 12:12 PM (Ho2rs)
Aaaaand, Phoenixgirl strikes home! That is going to leave a mark!
Good catch.
Posted by: Grey Fox at January 23, 2012 08:24 AM (qMs8j)
Yeah dude. Trust us- we know.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 08:25 AM (SY2Kh)
FIFY. Well, at least that's how it seems to me.
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:25 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 08:25 AM (5H6zj)
Ace still likes to spite Bachmann and Cain.
Ace saw the opportunity of Bachmann hitting 2.3% in the polls to 'safely' unload on her ass, now that no one was backing her or would defend her.
Did he win the undying support of 97.7% of his readers by doing this?
No, he just lost 2.3% of them. Not a big deal, small numbers.
What do we have to gain by pissing off people who like Bachmann?
You know what the real problem with this nomination process is?
Mark Levin. Let me tell you why.... Nobody gives a fuck why! Levin is a normal human being with strengths and flaws who wants a constitutional government - ample reason to destroy his character and shame his family.
Posted by: Entropy, Racism Delenda Est at January 23, 2012 08:26 AM (mf67L)
Posted by: ambrosia at January 23, 2012 08:26 AM (oZfic)
Which reminds me, I really want to see that movie The Grey, although it is about wolves, not foxes.
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:26 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 12:20 PM (5H6zj)
Yes I agree, he should have done what Newt did 7 months ago on MTP and said he was for a national inidvidual mandate or in lieu of that force everyone to buy a payment bond.
In fact Newt said he as always been "consistantly" for the mandate.
Posted by: robtr at January 23, 2012 08:26 AM (MtwBb)
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 12:25 PM (5H6zj)
Holy shit, you mean... you mean we should focus on POSITIVES?
Jiminy H. Christmas, MIND. BLOWN!
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at January 23, 2012 08:27 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Reno_Dave at January 23, 2012 08:27 AM (OL4L4)
Romney should remind people of Clinton's
RIF.
What did Gingrich do to fight that?
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 12:13 PM (r2PLg)
That was from an independent Base Closure Committee. We still have that. Base closures are going to happen, whether it's from politics or necessity.
Posted by: Soona at January 23, 2012 08:27 AM (cqLNL)
Umm... you mean all of them?
This is such an absurd argument- "If they did well in the primary, that means they're electable!".
No, it doesn't. Completely different electorate, and a very small slice of it at that.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 08:27 AM (SY2Kh)
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 08:28 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: The terrorist Hobbit formerly known as Donna at January 23, 2012 08:28 AM (qmF3d)
Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 23, 2012 08:28 AM (digkk)
The gorgeous and the rich don't have to work on their personalities to attract people.
Posted by: tasker at January 23, 2012 12:19 PM (r2PLg)
Try getting a glimpse of the man's eyes. Small beady windows. Hate to sound shallow but it kinda matches his message.
And most people that are described as attractive usually have the eye factor working for them.
Posted by: ontherocks at January 23, 2012 08:28 AM (ZJCDy)
Posted by: AD at January 23, 2012 08:29 AM (xfsCB)
the Wind and the Brylcreem Lion; The Man Who Knew Too Little & The Former History Professor Who Won't Shut Up;
Posted by: SantaRosaStan at January 23, 2012 08:29 AM (UqKQV)
Not for nothing, but the Tea Party handed you useless northeastern fucktards the House on a platter, and Boehner has proceeded to do nothing with it. I'm sure you can understand the anger.
Also not for nothing, that same movement also lost us the Senate by nominating O'Donnell and Angle.
Oh, did the other Republicans forget to vote that day? WTF where the Castle supporters. Didn't they get the memo there was a primary election?
Posted by: Jon in TX at January 23, 2012 08:29 AM (lRqIF)
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 12:26 PM (piMMO)
I thought it was about the party life in southern FL.
Posted by: Soona at January 23, 2012 08:29 AM (cqLNL)
Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 23, 2012 12:28 PM (digkk)
No; sort of'; not exactly; 'more or less', to quote Capitano Schettino
Posted by: SantaRosaStan at January 23, 2012 08:30 AM (UqKQV)
Then suggest a rational course of action that leads to a popular conservative nominee who has a real chance of unseating the JEF.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at January 23, 2012 08:31 AM (nEUpB)
Did I just hear that right?
Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 23, 2012 12:28 PM (digkk)
Probably not. Not in the primary.
Posted by: Soona at January 23, 2012 08:31 AM (cqLNL)
So...compromise and bargain (that's just normal politics, after all)...unless it's luaP noR...or Huntsman...or somebody like that, then? We stick to our guns, by god! Purity or Death! The line must be drawn here! This far - no further!
...riiight...
Posted by: Warren Bonesteel at January 23, 2012 08:32 AM (E7Z1r)
Posted by: Susie at January 23, 2012 08:33 AM (K7hP7)
Posted by: Jypsea Rose~AoSHQ Graveyard Shift at January 23, 2012 08:33 AM (digkk)
Perhaps, but in this case we're letting the OK be the enemy of the intolerable.
"WE NEED OBAMA OUT OF OFFICE. PERIOD."
Romney is too high a price to pay. Obamacare remains, Romney becomes new "face" of the Right, and the country gets dragged further to the left.
No deal.
You want the conservative vote? Give us a conservative candidate. Otherwise, stop calling it a conservative party.
And stop trying to scare us. We lived through Carter, we'll live through Obama, yes even with a second term.
I'll hold my nose and vote for Newt. I will not vote for Romney under any circumstances. PERIOD.
Posted by: Sgt. York at January 23, 2012 08:33 AM (7Qqrk)
We had ONE cacas and ONE primary when Perry was ordered to fall on his sword for NEWT.
And PERRY DID IT.
He was a good boy, he listened to us fucking imbeciles and did what we wanted. He was not an egomaniac on his life's quest for power.
I really hope he does very well in Texas in whatever he does.
It's not his fault the GOP writ large is roughly about as retarded as he is.
Fact of the matter is, for reasons I will never understand, he could not come back from the smoking wreckage of his campaign. He got out and endorsed Gingrich, and not vice-versa, because Gingrich unlike Perry seemingly has the ability to crack 5% of the primary vote.
Posted by: Entropy, Racism Delenda Est at January 23, 2012 08:33 AM (mf67L)
No, it doesn't. Completely different electorate, and a very small slice of it at that.
So the fact that they can barely survive the primaries, if it all, is no cause for pause...?
Or is there a way, like a certain Senator from Alaska, to be able to win the General that doesn't require you to have won a primary first?
Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 23, 2012 08:33 AM (GBXon)
“…because we likes when he slaps around the hapless buffoon Juan Williams.”
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 12:28 PM (nj1bB)
You havenÂ’t noticed, but yes, yes we do like it when he slaps around Juan Williams or anyone else in the liberal media. Most conservatives are tired of being called racists and are ready to reward candidates for throwing it right back in their faces.
This election is just as much running against the MSM as it is Obama. If you understood that fact, you would be better able to find candidates to support that are viable.
Posted by: jwest at January 23, 2012 08:33 AM (FdndL)
The problem is one of trust.
If I dont trust a candidate, why would I care what they say in a campaign?
Both front runners are untrustworthy based on their past.
Just make sure to vote good people into office locally, and for congress. That is the Rs best hope this time around.
"Vote R, our guy sucks less than Obama" is not really that strong a message.
Posted by: Rodent Liberation Front at January 23, 2012 08:33 AM (lgw0N)
Obama is unelecatable, which is why he was elected president in 2008. Unelectable.
Posted by: red meat at January 23, 2012 08:34 AM (O7ksG)
Here's a bit of information to turn your stomach. That lovely little burg in Central Florida, The Villages, the place where all the candidates go to woo the active over-60 crowd....
eat up with STDs.
Well, at least that was the nasty rumor for a while, although it may have been debunked.
Still. Gross, huh?!
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:35 AM (piMMO)
I'm really glad we managed to dodge the disgusting establishment RINO Pawlenty bullet. I mean, really, a guy with the balls to go to Iowa and say he's ending ethanol subsidies? Who would want that RINO as President? I'm so thankful to Michelle Bachmann and the True Conservative cohort for killing that candidacy. And a special thanks to Sarah Palin and her I'm-gonna-run-for-president-no-i-won't-yes-I-will-cocktease. I think it's wonderful that she decided to fuck up the Republican primary in order to sell more books, and that in no way proves everything the Democrats said about her. And I can't forget Pawlenty himself, for throwing in the towel in record time.
I'd also like to thank Rick Perry, who was actually one of the most conservative candidates. Thank you, Rick, for having the nomination handed to you on a silver platter and then eating said platter because you're a fucking moron. And, once again, thanks again to Romney's BFF, Michelle Bachmann, and the True Conservative cohort. Why would we want a candidate who is weak on immigration when we could have a candidate who is weak on absolutely everything? I know, crazy right?
Finally, I'd like to thank all of the other, decent candidates who decided not to run this year because they have a better shot in 2016. Really, how much damage could another 4 years of Obama (and 30 years of complete liberal control of the Supreme Court) cause? What's really important in all of this is your personal ambition, not the fate of the country. Thank you for keeping that in mind.
Now we've got a race between Romney and Gingrich, two sure winners. Obama is as weak as an incumbent can be, and I have full faith in the ability of the GOP to take him down.
Oh, and I can't actually bring myself to thank all the twits who say that they'll never vote for Romney, even in the general. I want to give you all a special go to hell from the depths of my soul. You're worse than a Democrat. At least the Democrat voter naively believes that another Obama term is in the country's best interest. You know damn well what 4 more years of Obama mean and you'll let it happen our of petulance and pride. Yes, I'm sure we'll get the second coming of Reagan in 2016 to make up for it. That worked so well in 2008, didn't it? Idiots.
Posted by: Justin at January 23, 2012 08:35 AM (yoAYX)
377 Are you folks forgetting Newt's debate performances in which he prefaced most remarks by saying nice things about his Republican opponents and then focusing on putting forth a positive vision of America?
Perry did that too, Y-not.....several times in the debates, if you'll remember.
People say that "Perry wasn't prepared for the debates". ....He came prepared to debate the Issues, but he hadn't prepared himself for the full out attacks from his fellow candidates....from all sides. ....That is what threw him for a loop, I think.
Newt, on the other hand, has been getting attacked from all sides for years. .....He has had time to grow a thick armor and reflect on how best to fight back against it. .....Romney, on the other hand, retreats into his shell like a turtle, and hopes no one will notice.
That was my impression of him. I think that's how he'd run in the general and I think it would be effective.
I think so too. .....Newt is the "angry white guy". And there are a lot of those out there who can relate to Newt.....on both sides of the isle.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 08:35 AM (ALwK/)
Honestly, I don't know. He has a reputation as a flip-flopper, what's one more? Moreover, he could just say that he had a good idea that was managed wrong and cannot be managed right by any government.
What conservatives have been saying this cycle is: "Lie to us. Please lie. But at least treat us as something more than something unpleasant on the bottom of your shoe. At least if you lie to us, it shows us that you care about us."
We are a marginalized people, beaten down by academia, popular culture, etc. Throw us a bone.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 08:35 AM (T0NGe)
A little. Not much though. Performance in a primary is a lousy indicator of how well a candidate would do in the general.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 08:36 AM (SY2Kh)
On a conference call with reporters this morning, former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty took a swipe at Gingrich’s debating skills, saying what the GOP needed was the most electable candidate, not the best debater. Otherwise, the party would be just a “debating society.”
Remember back when Romney's awesome debating skills were one of the reasons to nominate him? That was, what, a week ago?
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at January 23, 2012 08:37 AM (3wBRE)
Posted by: cherry π at January 23, 2012 08:37 AM (OhYCU)
It's that he's fairly moderate. And yet we're nominating the most antagoistic moderate we have, because we likes when he slaps around the hapless buffoon Juan Williams.
Posted by: ace at January 23, 2012 12:28 PM (nj1bB)
Bingo.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 08:37 AM (T0NGe)
I'll hold my nose and vote for Newt. I will not vote for Romney under any circumstances. PERIOD.
Neither will I.
No one cares.
Just vote for who you're going to vote for.
I want to try the same thing you're trying, but it does not work. No one fucking cares. For every guy who will sit out romney, there's one who'll sit out gingrich, who'll sit out santorum, and 15 who'll sit out paul.
Posted by: Entropy, Racism Delenda Est at January 23, 2012 08:37 AM (mf67L)
"But I can't look my kids in the eye "
I'm sure telling them you helped re elected Barak Hussein Obama will make the hurt go away, and make you feel better.
Vote your candidate in the primary, vote the nominee in the general. Or else you are supporting Obama.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 08:37 AM (kaOJx)
Posted by: Spike at January 23, 2012 08:38 AM (wtnmC)
People say that "Perry wasn't prepared for the debates". ....He came prepared to debate the Issues, but he hadn't prepared himself for the full out attacks from his fellow candidates....from all sides. ....That is what threw him for a loop, I think.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 12:35 PM (ALwK/)
no, what threw him for a loop was thinking that calling people racist for disagreeing with him was a sure fire way to win the nomination
Posted by: The Dude at January 23, 2012 08:38 AM (M8yfa)
Aside from the fact that M*k*sk* aside, nobody who loses the primaries wins the generals, of course.
Proof of the pudding, and all.
I guess we'll see, then.
Posted by: DarkLord©, Rogue Commenter at January 23, 2012 08:38 AM (GBXon)
Didn't get the Memo. Here, I was thinking it was about getting back the reins of power, undoing as much Obama damage as possible and moving things in the rightward direction, fixing the economy, putting Americans back to work, and resuming American prosperity.
Now that I know it's supposed to be a big "FUCK YOU" to Brian Williams, GO NEWT!
Posted by: Alec Leamas at January 23, 2012 08:39 AM (mg08E)
explain his 'anti-conservative statements' --- good idea
Posted by: SantaRosaStan at January 23, 2012 08:39 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 08:39 AM (kaOJx)
We had ONE cacas and ONE primary when Perry was ordered to fall on his sword for NEWT.
And PERRY DID IT.
I am very conflicted about Perry. I was a huge believer and furious that he dropped out prior to the most conservative primary to date. Then again, either he hired great handlers and refused to listen to them or he hired lousy handlers and did listen to them. Either way, it dos not bode well for making me feel good about a man who made so many mistakes in so short a period of time.
When he went after Romney on Bain, it turned my stomach. It was not a good argument and, further, it was out of character for him...and it showed. It revealed a man who is prone to mistakes and makes me question my own judgement for being so loyal to him.
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:40 AM (piMMO)
To me, it seems that Ace is saying that Romney's path to victory hinges on him becoming someone <i>other than Mitt Romney.</i>
I don't think that's very likely or realistic. Gingrich has baggage, but they're known quantities and he's pretty adept at defending himself and counter-attacking. You know what and who he is. It'll be enough to win or it won't. I'm positive that at least, he'll do his best to keep the focus on Obama's failures.
Mitt needs a lot of tinkering to broaden his appeal. Is he capable of that? Is he even amenable to that? My guess is both no and no. He's the gal I'll take home at last call if I HAVE to.
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at January 23, 2012 08:41 AM (dTGOB)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 08:41 AM (3VSsp)
@Ace and everyone else that understands that we are at a crucial point in history regarding out of control spending by our governments at the federal, state and local levels...
The correct answer to whom you will not vote for in the 2012 presidential election regarding Newt or Mitt or Santorum or Paul is......
Obama.
I could throw in Olympia Snowe in that mix and the correct answer would still be Obama.
We are at a crossroads folks and more and more people that consider themselves independents or moderates are begining to understand this. What is going on in Greece and other European basket cases in being talked about a lot (on blogs and in the traditional media outlets) and it's no big stretch to imagine it happening here and the reality is there is no one to bail us out as we have bailed out other countries (by the way- this needs to be said by every republican in America on a daily basis)... We are truly boned if our government doesn't start addressing over spending issues and I for one understand that Obama and the dems have absolutely no interest in reducing the size and scope of the federal government. People of all political stripes that work for a living will understand the need to tighten the belt or purse strings when you've run up a charge card full of massive debt. Lets hope in 2012 the workers still outnumber and out-vote those living on the government teat.... otherwise... DOOM.
Posted by: Some guy you don't know in wisconsin at January 23, 2012 08:41 AM (UqwrW)
He didn't call us racists. He called us heartless.
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:41 AM (piMMO)
Newt will stick his tongue in anything to massage his ego. Remember the stink he made about Clinton keeping him at the back of Air Force One ??
Posted by: SantaRosaStan at January 23, 2012 08:42 AM (UqKQV)
Thank you, Rick, for having the nomination handed to you on a silver platter and then eating said platter because you're a fucking moron
Translation: Fuck you for not being good enough for us. We like to fire people who do not service us.
If you aren't perfect, fuck off because we losers are too good for you.
You have to beg if you want to hold the infinite esteem of the fucking retard who loses.
Posted by: Entropy, Racism Delenda Est at January 23, 2012 08:42 AM (mf67L)
Posted by: cherry ð at January 23, 2012 12:37 PM (OhYCU)
Yeah that's a problem because Newt has proven to be every bit of a progressive populist that Obama is and Romney didn't have a good answer for the left wing attacks from Newt. So that's a problem.
Newt and Obama in a debate can chit chat about the unfairness in America, how bad big business is to the workers and their mutual adoration for the Health Care Indidvidual Mandate.
What? You don't think Obama's crew is going to run a continuos loop of Gingrich's love for the national individual mandate on MTP? You're dreaming.
Posted by: robtr at January 23, 2012 08:42 AM (MtwBb)
Posted by: cherry π at January 23, 2012 12:37 PM (OhYCU)
There will be no debates.
If Newt is the nominee, there will be zero.
If Mitt is the nominee, there will be no more than two and one of them will be rigged to Obama's favor (say, Chris Matthews as the moderator).
No debates.
If Newt's the nominee, Obama will have zero incentive to do it and nobody. will. care. They'll focus on how repulsive Newt is and call it great political strategy.
If there are no debates, people will not dwell on the absence of debates when they go into the voting booth, they will base their decision on (negative) ads.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 08:43 AM (T0NGe)
You know, I'm really very very certain that 'any moron' would do better than these candidates and sew up this easy peasy election.
Please try. Please please try.
I can't wait to see you sobbing amongst the media wreckage while we all mock your whore grandma and your Sophomore year lit class scores.
Posted by: Entropy, Racism Delenda Est at January 23, 2012 08:43 AM (mf67L)
Posted by: Pragmatic at January 23, 2012 08:43 AM (lTnzg)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 08:43 AM (3VSsp)
421.....no, what threw him for a loop was thinking that calling people racist for disagreeing with him was a sure fire way to win the nomination
Well yeah. He was flailing around and saying stupid stuff like that.....because I doubt that he had ever had to defend that 'regular tuition rate for children of illegals' down in Texas.....the majority of Texans don't have a problem with that.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 08:43 AM (ALwK/)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 12:41 PM (3VSsp)
Because presidential elections are much more about intangibles and personality than House elections. The electorate didn't get all conservative in 2010. They're scared of Obama, but they can be even more scared of Newt.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 23, 2012 08:44 AM (T0NGe)
At least we don't naively believe that a Romney Presidency would be same thing.
So, you know, fuck you too, asshole. Right to the depths of your soul.
Posted by: Sgt. York at January 23, 2012 08:44 AM (7Qqrk)
1. Palin
2. Perry
3. Gingrich
Since (1) and (2) aren't running, which one do you think (3) will nominate as VP if he gets the nod?Posted by: jwb7605 at January 23, 2012 08:45 AM (Qxe/p)
At least what you have there is 15 reasonably sane people.
Posted by: Sgt. York at January 23, 2012 08:46 AM (7Qqrk)
Again, we value states' rights just as long as they do what we want them to do!
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:46 AM (piMMO)
" He called us heartless."
And apologized. And his supporters left for Cain. Santorum. and now Gingrich.
Ol' Mitt every apologize for giving the left the blue print for Obamacare?
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 08:46 AM (kaOJx)
This idea of choosing a nominee on electability is serious flawed. Whoever wins the nomination, if he loses, we will constantly hear about how we were warned that he was unelectable, and how we could have won if the we had chosen the other candidate. The truth is no one knows.
This is a good old fashion primary fight with two flawed candiates (all candidates have flaws), who appeal to two very different wings of the party right now. Let them compete for our vote. For every argument made in favor of Newt's electability over Romney, we can probably find some historical evidence to suggest otherwise. Same with Romeny over Newt.
If we want to blame someone, let's blame Mitch Daniels. He could have, or should have fused the two wings together.
Posted by: SH at January 23, 2012 08:47 AM (gmeXX)
1.) The general electorate judges victory/loss in a debate on completely different criteria than a rabidly conservative GOP primary electorate. In the primaries, the angriest guy throwing out the most red meat is going to win right now. In a general election debate, that guy loses, hard. Why don't you grasp this? Primaries are an entirely different universe than general elections.
2.) What makes you think debates are the be-all and end-all of general elections for President? They're not. Bush squarely lost every one of his debates to Kerry, and still won the election.
Posted by: Jeff B. at January 23, 2012 08:48 AM (23Ios)
Was that really necessary?!
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:48 AM (piMMO)
Because a Presidential election is much different and of far higher stakes than a midterm.
Take for example the "Republican Revolution" midterm results that brought Newt to the speakership. Didn't prevent Clinton from winning in a landslide in the following general election.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 08:48 AM (SY2Kh)
" He called us heartless."
And apologized. And his supporters left for Cain. Santorum. and now Gingrich.
Ol' Mitt every apologize for giving the left the blue print for Obamacare?Dude! I was/am a huge Perry fan. I was correcting an inaccuracy.
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 23, 2012 08:49 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 08:50 AM (3VSsp)
If Newt is the nominee, it will be the first time in my adult life I will not be voting. Bob Dole and McCain were bad enough. But I can't look my kids in the eye and tell them I voted for someone with no moral or ethical values, especially since he has no chance in November.
So you'd rather look your kids in the eye and say you did nothing to stop Obama from a 2nd term and that you're sorry he fucked up everything so bad they can't ever have a better life than you?
As someone said the other day, I'm not voting for Jesus, I'm voting for President.
Posted by: Jon in TX at January 23, 2012 08:50 AM (lRqIF)
Since none of these candidates are the Purity candidate, can we dispense with the "perfect being the enemy of the good" self immolation/flagellation?
Thank you so much.
That is all.
Posted by: SGT Ted at January 23, 2012 08:50 AM (arV2e)
"In a general election debate, that guy loses, hard. Why don't you grasp this? "
Why don't you prove your statement with specific examples? Nothing over 30-40 years ago, since the electorate is somewhat different.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 08:51 AM (kaOJx)
"Take for example the "Republican Revolution" midterm results that brought Newt to the speakership. Didn't prevent Clinton from winning in a landslide in the following general election."
See Dole, Bob for the explanation.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 08:52 AM (kaOJx)
The 2012 electorate is not at all likely to be much like the 2010 electorate. 2010 was a midterm election, with substantially lower turnout and a markedly higher level of GOP participation relative to Democrats. With Newt on the ballot to depress GOP turnout and revitalize Democrats, the electorate could well look like 2008 on steroids. That's why many people who aren't merely idiots are deeply worried about the GOP actually losing the House with Newt as nominee.
Posted by: Jeff B. at January 23, 2012 08:52 AM (23Ios)
There is a type of guy who typically wins and a type of guy who doesn't.
I didn't want the RINO guy.
But I NEED OBAMA OUT OF OFFICE.
Under no circumstances can we let the perfect be the enemy of the good.
WE NEED OBAMA OUT OF OFFICE. PERIOD.
No, NOT fucking period, Ace. We need someone to undo what Obama's done, and then do what needs to be done to fix all the problems Obama's ignored.
The people you insult get that. You don't. Why not?
The voters seem to want someone who will LEAD like they want, not just someone who beats Obama, which only gets us back to the peach days of 2008, which weren't fucking peachy.
The Tea Party voters aren't scare that Romney won't beat Obama. They're scared that he'll LEAD like Obama- that is lead not much at all.
Why is that fear irrational? Why does it make them flighty or desperate for seeking alternatives for months? Months BEFORE an election, before any votes were ever cast?
Posted by: WTF at January 23, 2012 08:53 AM (MPIX5)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 08:54 AM (3VSsp)
Posted by: cherry π at January 23, 2012 08:54 AM (OhYCU)
Posted by: eman at January 23, 2012 08:56 AM (3VSsp)
451.....Bush squarely lost every one of his debates to Kerry, and still won the election.
But Bush was the 'likable' guy. .....Kerry was the Northeastern elitist scum guy.
Bad argument, Jeff B. ....Your guy Romney is so much like Kerry, he could be a clone.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 08:56 AM (ALwK/)
" That's why many people who aren't merely idiots are deeply worried about the GOP actually losing the House with Newt as nominee."
You are right Jeff, they aren't idiots. They are retards and mental defectives.
Posted by: Dick Nixon at January 23, 2012 08:57 AM (kaOJx)
Oh your love for me is strong, Entropy. Want to make out behind the latest Klan Rally? HEHEHE
After we spray the vinegar, of course. Must get rid o the chemtrails so our testes work. HEHEHE.
Posted by: LUAP NOR 2012 at January 23, 2012 08:59 AM (4O1OD)
Funny thing is....I don't really know of any Newt "supporters" per se. He doesn't even have a conglomeration of bots that have been given some stupid nickname....Newtbots just don't exist.
What I find, if anything, is tepid support for him over Romney. At best. As in, they both suck ballz. Romney sucks a wee bit more, so Newt gets the vote. At least, that was my less than scientific criteria when I cast my vote for the fat, doughy, white bombast this past Saturday.
Pence/Jindal/Liz Cheney 2012....please Lord!! Save us from this November's ballot:
A. Trainwreck
B. Total Fucking Destruction of the United States and becoming completely awash in irreversible Socialism
Guess I'll choose A.
Posted by: Lady in Black.....{sigh} at January 23, 2012 09:01 AM (F+Xfj)
Jeff B.,
You're just an establishment country-club hack.
PS: Buy my latest book. Also go to lifelock.com and enter keyword MARK.
Posted by: MARK LEVIN, Conservative Mastermind at January 23, 2012 09:01 AM (4O1OD)
On Newt, observed Friday night: Having a few drinks after dinner. Two ladies, both very well dressed, chatting at the bar. Both attractive, very well educated, and comfortable life styles. Neither are libs with any particular like for Obama, both married to guys with small businesses, and both very concerned about the state of the economy.
The silent big screen TV shows a picture of Newt smiling. They look up and one says, "What do you think about this?" They both focus on the screen for a while. The other one says, "I just don't want him to be the President of this country." The first woman nods her head and says, "No way." Then it's back to Friday night conversation.
Only point is, there is something visceral there with Newt. Mock it all you want, but if he is the candidate in the general he's going to have troubles that transcend way beyond his political views.
Posted by: RM at January 23, 2012 09:01 AM (TRsME)
None of the candidates in the '96 race would've done much (if any) better than Dole. Clinton was practically unbeatable, and everybody knew it.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 09:02 AM (SY2Kh)
Yes, seriously. And again: you aren't going to believe it's possible until it happens. But when it does, don't pretend that it was all just because of some evil RINO GOP Establishment Conspiracy to tank Gingrich in order to preserve their insidious grip upon the reins of power or whatever. Newt is poison for us. His candidacy is going to be stillborn in the general election, short of nuclear war.
Will I vote for him? Sure. But he's going to drag us all down.
Posted by: Jeff B. at January 23, 2012 09:05 AM (23Ios)
Well, I suppose we could go waaaaaay back to 2004. Bush wasn't particularly popular and was very vulnerable, but the Dems nominated an unlikeable elitist douche which cost them the election.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 09:06 AM (SY2Kh)
463 -
Yeah, that's what I'm not getting too. If Romney gets the mods by being moderate, and Newt off-puts the base by sitting on a couch, how do our magic 8-ball readers conclude that Mitt brings teh electoral fruit juice, and Newt kills the bunny?
It gets confusing. Until you realize Newt is fat, and Mitt has good hair. And doesn't cheat on his wife... all 9 of them. Then it all makes sense.
Image, as they say, is everything.
Posted by: BurtTC at January 23, 2012 09:06 AM (TOk1P)
472.....None of the candidates in the '96 race would've done much (if any) better than Dole. Clinton was practically unbeatable, and everybody knew it.
The way I remember it......is that people like Rush were constantly saying "Anyone can beat Clinton", just like they've been saying about the JEF. .....A lot of people stayed home, and just weren't energized to go vote for Dole, because they thought that he would surely win against the womanizing hillbilly.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 09:08 AM (ALwK/)
473 -
Poison, stillborn, nuclear, drag.
You are an emotional ninny. You offer no logic or reason, only your feelings. I'm glad I disagree with you on essentially everything, because if I didn't, I'd be questioning my own manhood, and not just yours.
Posted by: BurtTC at January 23, 2012 09:09 AM (TOk1P)
Bob Dole wasn't great, but maybe some of you are fogetting this...
William Clinton Albert Gore Jr. Democratic 47,400,125 49.23% 379 70.4% Robert Dole Jack Kemp Republican 39,198,755 40.72% 159 29.6% H. Ross Perot Pat Choate Reform 8,085,402 8.40% 0 0.0%
Yeah, remember that 3rd guy who won 8.5% of the vote. Vote that likely would have gone to Dole. The same 3rd guy who fucked it up for Bush I in 92.
Posted by: Jon in TX at January 23, 2012 09:10 AM (lRqIF)
Posted by: Y-not, Newt leaner at January 23, 2012 09:10 AM (5H6zj)
476 -
Yeah, that's what I remember too. Dole stood there with that cross look on his face, and campaigned under the theme of "come on you idiots, seriously? You want that creep over me?" Needless to say, it didn't work.
Posted by: BurtTC at January 23, 2012 09:13 AM (TOk1P)
@471....RM,
Nice little story. ....And total bullshit. ....How do you know by looking at them that those 2 women are "both married to guys with small businesses"?
And if that is true, then those husbands will be voting against the JEF, no matter who is running against him.......and they will likely vote the same way.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 09:15 AM (ALwK/)
That's why I don't take political advice from entertainers.
Due to the state of the economy, none of the candidates were going to beat Clinton. Some blame Perot, but Clinton almost had 50% even with the 3rd party candidate in the race.
It's folly to believe that the '96 primary runner up Pat Buchanan would've fared better.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 09:17 AM (SY2Kh)
Not all of that 8.5%, no. Clinton would've still won whether Perot was in the race or not, and regardless of whether Dole, Buchanan or Forbes won the nomination.
If it was a weak GOP primary field that cycle, it was because none of the top tier talent wanted to run and lose to Clinton.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at January 23, 2012 09:20 AM (SY2Kh)
1) Jerry Pournelle knows him personally and believes he would be good for the country (http://jerrypournelle.com/jerrypournelle.c/chaosmanor/). I respect him.
The whole "people on the moon" schtick that makes Gingrich unacceptable to others *I* consider a plus. The country needs a man with vision, a vision of something OTHER than the welfare state of Hope and Change. We don't have Reagan, but I think Gingrich fits that bill better than any of the other contenders. Except Ron Paul, of course. We all know why Ace won't nibble on that hook under any circumstances.
2) Their records. Gingrich has the Contract with America under his belt. Romney gave us Romneycare.
That's it. I've got a choice between a paler version of Obama with an R after his name and a candidate that has a proven record of doing good things for conservatism AND a man with ideas. So I'll take one order of Gingrich please.
Of course, here in Virginia I don't get the option of voting for him in the primary. But I will support him in the general IF he wins the nomination.
Posted by: Brian Pendell at January 23, 2012 09:21 AM (GDDIu)
Posted by: RM at January 23, 2012 09:25 AM (TRsME)
In 1996.....I remember Dole going around right before the election, saying "Where is the outrage?!", with regard to Clinton's scandals.
He was right. People just weren't outraged about Clinton's bimbo erruptions. .....The Dims had been shrugging them off and saying "So what? It's only sex".
Then, they did that again with the Lewinsky erruption. ....There was more outrage over that. ....But they still parroted the "So what? It's only sex!" meme. And it worked so well, that the Rinos in the senate were affraid to impeach him.
So now.....we have Gingrich as the possible nominee. Personally, I would love to see Newt come out and throw that back at the Dims, if they bring up the Infidelity issue....."So what? It's only sex!"
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 09:26 AM (ALwK/)
486....And maybe slow up on calling "total BS" when you don't know the full context.
Then add the context next time. ....Had it been added in that story, it wouldn't have smacked of being Romneybot BS.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 09:30 AM (ALwK/)
Who won the debate? Gore
Who are you voting for? Bush
This was because no matter how cogent the point Al Gore made, he was, at heart, an obnoxious, bullying buffoon. Bush won the election by being pleasant, not blowing questions, and that nod and shrug when Gore tried to sneak up on him on the stage.
LIKEABILITY. I cannot emphasize this enough. We have at least 25% of the fall electorate who treat this as an American Idol contest. The MOST LIKEABLE candidate in the general election will win. It will not be based on anything BUT that.
Why do you think Obama is singing Al Green songs? Emphasizing his daughters? Sending Michelle out to appear on Nick Jr. in support of military families?
Somebody in the RNC better wake up. And regardless of who gets the nomination, beating up on John King or Juan Williams isn't going to make the general public think a candidate is swell. Those Idol voters LIKE Juan and John.
Posted by: Miss Marple at January 23, 2012 09:32 AM (GoIUi)
I dont' think this is completely true, but I do think it's more true than I'd like.
But if it is indeed true, then our country is boned anyway, since it means that our educational culture has reached a tipping point such that successive generations will care less and less.
Posted by: JeremiadBullfrog at January 23, 2012 09:45 AM (tPc5m)
The larger electorate isn't paying attention, yet. So Mitt needs to develop some personality and charm, and Newt needs to lose some weight, try not to be so angry, and get Callista a different hairstyle.
I am sort of like Cassandra here. I speak, but no one listens.
Posted by: Miss Marple at January 23, 2012 09:48 AM (GoIUi)
On the one hand, Gingrich got a temporary bump for spanking the media in a charismatic manner. On the other hand, Romney has lost his "presumptive nominee" status, and is a bit "wooden".
Seems like there's a decent bet this will head back toward the status quo, but you never know.
Posted by: Optimizer at January 23, 2012 09:48 AM (As94z)
Posted by: DangerGirl at January 23, 2012 09:48 AM (FgfWs)
The other day there was a picture of this happening to Rick Santorum. Has it happened with Romney yet?
Posted by: little old ladies with colostomy bags and leg braces at January 23, 2012 09:50 AM (oZfic)
Miss Marple,
I agree with you. .....And we are totally screwed, because we no longer have a "likeable" candidate in the race. .....None of the remaining candidates are likeable.
The South is not going to go for a Northeastern carpetbagger elitist like Romney. ....SC is a preview of this. .....Newt has a lot of baggage, and isn't handsome. But he is at least saying things that are resonating with everyday folks.
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 09:51 AM (ALwK/)
On grounds of likability, I think it's obvious the match goes to Romney over Newt. And I think everyone knows that, so all the people here can stop calling Newt-supporters idiots because of that.
The problem is, where has "likability" got us in the past. You cite Bush as being likable. yeah, and we got tons of federal spending for 'compassionate' conservatism and practically no media pushback. McCain the "war hero" was portrayed in the media as a cool dude in 2000 and the 2008 primaries...and then he was nominated and they turned it around.
Don't get me wrong; I'd be grateful to have Bush back. But when I look at Obama's spending now, and I hear the media and Democrat chorus drone on and on about Bush's spending increases, a significant part of me says that we can't just let that happen again.
And fine, I guess i'm not certain that Gingrich won't stab us in the back. But neither do I know that Romney won't gladhandle us into further statism. Given those options, I'd rather have someone who at least seems willing to make strong statements against the media onslaught--not as as angry, vindictive "red meat", but as an indication that they won't just let the Liberal narrative characterize and dominate everything without at least presenting the other side in defense.
Time and again on this site and other conservative sites, I read people complaining about how Republicans are always snapping defeat from the jaws of victory by pushing a policy hard and then withdrawing support at the last minute (cf. the Christmas payroll tax break extension as the most recent example). I remember reading stuff like, "they were winning, why didn't they stick with it?" or "why didn't they make this particular argument or use the facts that are on our side?". For all his randomness and scatter, I actually see gingrich doing that in the debates, and no only doing it cogently, but specifically drawing the line between those facts and liberal policies in a rhetorically compelling way (cf. "food stamp president").
But I mean, look at us: We're reduced to snarking at each other about bedroom peccadilloes. WTF? Gingrich may have tossed out angry red meat by biting off john King's head, but...didn't he deserve it for starting the debate with such an inconsequential issue? Remember when Fred Thompson refused to participate in the show of hands because (and he's right) that's a fucking stupid way to plumb a candidate's opinion? And if no one is there to say it, and all we're concerned about it likability and fluff, well...then that's what we'll get in the oval office regardless of which party wins.
Posted by: JeremiadBullfrog at January 23, 2012 10:06 AM (tPc5m)
Waitasec...how "likable" is the economy now? How "likable" are our job prospects? how "likable" is our energy policy?
Obama wins if he can keep focus on "likability" and nonsense issues. He loses if we have a candidate who can compellingly keep focus on the issues. I don't believe American voters are so dumb that they're going to ignore the issues in this kind of economy if there's actually someone talkign about them and hammering home the facts 24/7. If, however, we ignore the facts and try to be nice and likable and play the media game like McCain did, then I can see problems for us.
Posted by: JeremiadBullfrog at January 23, 2012 10:10 AM (tPc5m)
497 Waitasec...how "likable" is the economy now? How "likable" are our job prospects? how "likable" is our energy policy?
Hey I hear ya, Jeremia.
Which is why I am trending towards Newt. .....With Newt, at least he will keep hammering at this very thing. .....Romney seems to want to just stand there and bask in his "inevitableness".
Posted by: wheatie at January 23, 2012 10:19 AM (ALwK/)
Posted by: Chris at January 23, 2012 10:45 AM (E9kgB)
I told the Tea Party to stop eliminating candidates based on weak-ass reasons, hunting for perfect fidelity.
----------
Yes, the Tea Party eliminated Rick Perry. You got it.
The Tea Party, supposedly, eliminates candidates due to purity. Rick Perry wasn't eliminated due to impurity, he was eliminated for debate screw-ups that had nothing to do with ideology. How, exactly, does this have anything to do with the Tea Party in particular as opposed to just the general population as a whole reacting poorly to Perry's debates performances?
Posted by: Rich at January 23, 2012 10:46 AM (ldOlo)
Posted by: Chris at January 23, 2012 10:48 AM (E9kgB)
Posted by: King Rat at January 23, 2012 11:03 AM (DDSJB)
Heard parts of this this morning. It's worth listening to.
Posted by: little old ladies with colostomy bags and leg braces at January 23, 2012 11:04 AM (oZfic)
Posted by: anthony at January 23, 2012 11:20 AM (mObhN)
Even Carville gave Newt credit for his win, in a classy way. Politics back in the day must have been way more classy and civilized than it is today. Christie's words, when romney passes over him for VP, will come back to haunt him when beck and others play them endlessly someday.
Posted by: little old ladies with colostomy bags and leg braces at January 23, 2012 11:23 AM (oZfic)
Posted by: at January 23, 2012 11:39 AM (84c8s)
I have supported not-Romney candidates and will continue to do so because even if they can not win the general they will cause Romney to move right. If Romney is the nominee I will vote for him.
BTW- when Miss Marple speaks I always listen!
BTW2- G-d Bless Ace and the HQ!!
Posted by: goat lover at January 23, 2012 11:39 AM (CZwc8)
Posted by: Extremist Squish at January 23, 2012 12:46 PM (63TXA)
No sooner did "those Tea Party types" re-invigorate the process and sweep Republicans back into a House majority than they were patted on the heads, and told to go back and sit down, thank you, we'll decide on your candidate, and I hope you like milquetoast.
Romney can't win. Get it through your collective skull everybody. Barack Obama was wildly popular right up until the minute he did what? Nationalized healthcare. People said quite clearly, no, we don't want that; we want you to do something about healthcare cost. That was the exact moment when the nation turned against Obama, and he's been wildly unpopular since.
How can Romney ever differentiate himself from Obama when he himself is saddled with RomneyCare? He can't.
Romney has been tripped up by tax returns and Bain capital. Weren't these the same issues for which he was unprepared, oh I don't know, like when he was running for governor twenty years ago? Still not ready to deal with them? What does that tell you about his "electability". He outspent Gingrich 10-1 in South Carolina: look what that got him.
Newt will Florida and the nomination, but if even he doesn't, he will perform an invaluable service and force either a late entry or a brokered convention. Either way, no Romney.
So get used to it.
Oh, and by the way, Gingrich makes an awesome candidate.
newt will win Florida and the nomination.
Posted by: -Shawn- at January 23, 2012 01:23 PM (ofn7f)
Roger that.
Posted by: Bluto at January 23, 2012 01:24 PM (uSdMw)
Look, I completely agree that I would like a more conservative candidate than Mitt Romney, but this is not the way to do it. We're looking down the barrel at a Christine O'Donnell candidacy here that is going to put the GOP in the wilderness for a long time as Obama turns us into Europe.
Right now, my goal is to stop the bleeding, we're in a hostage situation where a lot of innocent people could get hurt, all because some want a ridiculous Jerry Springer moment at the debates.
Posted by: 8 Track at January 23, 2012 02:16 PM (0kf1G)
All my paragraph breaks, in this morning, are gone this evening.
What's up with that?
Posted by: SarahW at January 23, 2012 02:19 PM (LYwCh)
>>>All my paragraph breaks, in this morning, are gone this evening.
>>>What's up with that?
It's Juicer's fault. He keeps putting HTML into the "Name" box and posting. It's destroying the blog. And since he hates Ace he doesn't particularly care.
Posted by: Jeff B. at January 23, 2012 03:03 PM (hIWe1)
When both wings of the party decide to dig their heels in and try to "win" -- and it's not a win, that's why it's in quotes -- rather than seeking to compromise with each other, we all lose
>>> Here's the thing.......there really are two different agendas at work here, with two different timelines.
The regular GOP agenda is to get rid of Obama NOW. I sympathize with your aims. Tea Party agenda is longer term - to fix the problems within the GOP so the GOP can fix the problems with America. So I'm taking a long view. TP is working from grassroots up, we realize it will be a longer process than 1 electoral cycle. We also recognize that the worse things get, the more our message will resonate.
YOU on the other hand....well, you need our help NOW. In other words, you need us more than we need you right now. So STFU and start catering a bit more to us and earn that which you want.
Because I tell you, I have no real use for Romney also, he won't fix anything. So why does he deserve my vote? Because Obama is worse? Meh. Not good enough anymore.
Posted by: Trump at January 23, 2012 04:05 PM (hK2Ya)
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Posted by: Have Blue at January 23, 2012 06:49 AM (IKTC8)