December 23, 2012
— Guest Blogger Short answer:
I don't know. You are [fucked|screwed|pooched].
I Don't Know
Why bother reading further when the author seemingly doesn't know the exact figure?
One problem is that the number is a moving target. Can you guess which direction the number is going?
Taking a look
This has to be a relatively simple exercise in arithmetic. One could divide a 14 digit number by a 9 digit number by hand, but I'll do it with a calculator, thank you.
Stopping by at http://www.usdebtclock.org I get the current debt figure of $16,395,173,356,211.
Divide that by 314,982,978 people in the US and I get $52,050.98 per man, woman and child. Got a spare $52K, Bunky?
That figure, however, is wrong. It includes the all Americans, the majority of whom are non-taxpayers. It includes my retired parents and in-laws, who are contributing very little to the national treasury at this point of their lives. Let's run the numbers again.
Take the current national debt, now at $16,395,177,588,347, divide by a US workforce of 143,963,180 and we get $113,884.52 per taxpayer. You have a job, right? Sorry if you don't. At this point, I would still rather be pulling the wagon than riding it.
So we have this nice ballpark figure of $114K, but it still isn't correct. No matter how average a person may be, they are still (an) individual(s). Are you washing dishes 32 hours per week? Your share is going to be lower. Are you a fund manager or an investment banker? Your share will be higher. People with more income pay more income tax. But we knew that.
There is No "Share"
Do you have a mortgage? My wife and I have a mortgage. It involves a significant amount of debt, but it also involves a plan. We send a check every month and at a particular date in the future, we will owe no more. I know that date.
With the feds, there is no plan. You could ask around Washington, D.C. and find quite a few people who won't even ackowledge that something needs to be done. (Fire them. They make way more money than you, should know better, and some cause America problems). That is why in a few minutes between calculation, our debt went up by more than $2million.
Our debt is 105.6% of our GDP. If everything we earned for 1 year and 19 days went directly to paying off debt, we would be in the clear. In the meantime, you would be kicked out of your house for not paying property taxes, in legal trouble from not paying state of federal income taxes, and looking kind of thin from subsisting on moss soup and acorns. Clearly, this will not be fixed in a year. Or two, or five.
My mortgage? It is more than 105% of my household income, but it's a fixed obligation and we have an amortization date. No such luck with the feds. Unless it is dealt with, the problem will get kicked down the road until the road gets washed into the sea.
"Average"
Are you average? I'm not. I'm an individual, as are you. If you make lots of money, you will pay lots of taxes. If you are young, you will be paying taxes for many years. Great, isn't it? You are paying interest on a debt that has little to do with you. You are paying Social Security for your grandparent's generation. You are being convinced that it's no big deal.
Have you ever had a credit card problem? That is what we are working up to on a national scale. That leads to a whole lot of 'doing without.' Ask Greece about that.
Posted by: Guest Blogger at
09:51 AM
| Comments (132)
Post contains 633 words, total size 4 kb.
Posted by: JeanQueenie at December 23, 2012 09:59 AM (Gmp2Z)
Posted by: Matt at December 23, 2012 10:00 AM (x0/jv)
Posted by: Tobacco Road at December 23, 2012 10:01 AM (4Mv1T)
Posted by: EC at December 23, 2012 01:55 PM (doBIb)
Or, if the federal government manages to survive, the hyper-inflation will make that share about $5.2x10^8
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at December 23, 2012 10:01 AM (GsoHv)
Posted by: Steve Skubinna at December 23, 2012 10:05 AM (HoGA+)
But when you add in SS and Medicare, it's about 5 times as much in terms of unfunded liabilities, so that means you have to work another 15 years at the median income to pay off your share.
In these terms, that's about 40% (18 years in a ~45 year working life) of your total labor which goes to the Federal government, to be spent at the discretion of people other than you.
Posted by: BS Inc. at December 23, 2012 10:05 AM (eP0u9)
Posted by: Tobacco Road at December 23, 2012 10:07 AM (4Mv1T)
Posted by: wte9 at December 23, 2012 10:07 AM (6Tcdo)
Posted by: Vic at December 23, 2012 10:08 AM (53z96)
Posted by: Low Information Voter at December 23, 2012 10:12 AM (6DDE+)
Posted by: Vic at December 23, 2012 02:08 PM (53z96)
---- This!
Posted by: Velvet Ambition at December 23, 2012 10:13 AM (R8hU8)
With my dick!
Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at December 23, 2012 02:02 PM (GsoHv)
And you went in dry.
Posted by: MrCaniac at December 23, 2012 10:13 AM (Zd/NW)
Posted by: pep at December 23, 2012 10:13 AM (6TB1Z)
Posted by: John Stark Dark at December 23, 2012 10:14 AM (0JB89)
Posted by: Dr. Zachary Smith at December 23, 2012 10:15 AM (6DDE+)
Was talking to a lib friend yesterday. I told him he was sucking off the government tit. Got pissy as I knew he would. (I do it on purpose.) He's been collecting SS for almost 20 years, as long as I've know him. Of course, the obot says he paid into it. Told him it was a ponzy scheme and he's taken more than he ever paid in.
The stupidity is just jaw dropping.
Posted by: Infidel at December 23, 2012 10:15 AM (k/0m2)
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at December 23, 2012 10:19 AM (c2oll)
Posted by: Andy at December 23, 2012 10:19 AM (OZPoa)
Posted by: Matt at December 23, 2012 02:00 PM (x0/jv)"
I doubt that even Obama believes this. What's so interesting about the Left from a "civilizational collapse" perspective is that they seem to think that they will survive it, despite the fact that they are concentrated in the areas of the country most vulnerable to any sort of supply chain disruptions brought on by a collapse in financial and currency markets.
Couple that with their ideology, which would probably cause them to divert scarce resources to paying for Sandra Fluke's birth control over paying the soldiers necessary to enforce their ideology post-collapse and it makes the French aristocrats who supported the French Revolution, who later met their fates on the guillotine as events spun out of control, look like geniuses in comparison.
Posted by: BS Inc. at December 23, 2012 10:19 AM (eP0u9)
Posted by: Gordon undead Ramsay at December 23, 2012 10:19 AM (9HhTH)
Posted by: Andy at December 23, 2012 02:19 PM (OZPoa)
The link in comment 13 is blowing up the margins I believe.
Posted by: buzzion at December 23, 2012 10:20 AM (GULKT)
Posted by: Beto Ochoa at December 23, 2012 10:21 AM (BAnPT)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 10:21 AM (XDC0v)
Posted by: BuddyPC at December 23, 2012 10:21 AM (jfUIE)
Posted by: Andy at December 23, 2012 02:19 PM (OZPoa)
Andy, I think it was the graphic in the first thread with the Lionel train. I could literately see it change while that was loading.
Try removing that graphic (or shrinking it)
Posted by: Vic at December 23, 2012 10:22 AM (53z96)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 10:23 AM (XDC0v)
Meh.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at December 23, 2012 10:23 AM (bmBVx)
Posted by: Beto Ochoa at December 23, 2012 10:23 AM (BAnPT)
The credit card problem is a good analogy except that we have given the card to a corrupt and irresponsible 2nd party, to enable them to retain power and perks, by spending the money on a parasitic 3rd party, that is killing the host.
Posted by: ontherocks at December 23, 2012 10:24 AM (aZ6ew)
Posted by: Andy at December 23, 2012 10:24 AM (OZPoa)
What a fool I have been.
Posted by: navybrat at December 23, 2012 10:25 AM (hyY02)
Posted by: wte9 at December 23, 2012 10:25 AM (6Tcdo)
In ten years all working people will ne making $150K a year and paying a LOT more taxes even though that 150K will only be worth 75K of today's dollars.
Meanwhile people like me will still be making the same amount and eating dog food.
Posted by: Vic at December 23, 2012 10:26 AM (53z96)
Posted by: Andy at December 23, 2012 10:26 AM (OZPoa)
Meh.
Really? That's "too hot I need to fire you so I'm not tempted to bang you?" Was she wearing clothes that had her tits hanging out all the time or something?
Posted by: buzzion at December 23, 2012 10:27 AM (GULKT)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 10:27 AM (XDC0v)
Posted by: Andy at December 23, 2012 10:27 AM (OZPoa)
I'm not going to run away. Where to go?
Alas--never thought I'd see the day when "American Refugees" would exist.
Posted by: JeanQueenie at December 23, 2012 10:28 AM (Gmp2Z)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 10:28 AM (XDC0v)
My personal assumption re: unfunded liabilities is that at some point, Joe Biden Jr. will send out an email blast from some unknown island with the text:
Sorry, the well is dry
The feds owe exactly $0 of what you kicked into the SS fund.
Posted by: fluffy at December 23, 2012 10:29 AM (z9HTb)
Posted by: Andy at December 23, 2012 10:29 AM (OZPoa)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 10:30 AM (XDC0v)
Just getting people back to work, paying taxes, and off the public dole could probably balance most of the budget deficit.
“USGS estimates that the Green River Formation contains about 3 trillion barrels of oil, and about half of this may be recoverable, depending on available technology and economic conditions,” Mittal testified.
Posted by: Nate Ogden at December 23, 2012 10:30 AM (AJgaw)
Interrupting the news for a PSA is perfectly acceptable.
Nice tat, Dr Chomp.
Posted by: fluffy at December 23, 2012 10:32 AM (z9HTb)
Posted by: Andy at December 23, 2012 02:29 PM (OZPoa)
Well looking at her I'm thinking all future Dental Hygenists he needs to hire to avoid temptation are going to need to be 50 years old.
And men.
Posted by: buzzion at December 23, 2012 10:32 AM (GULKT)
Posted by: t-bird at December 23, 2012 10:33 AM (FcR7P)
The dentist complained that she started wearing tight clothes. They must've been very tight.
Posted by: Waterhouse at December 23, 2012 10:33 AM (fWa9K)
Not always.
Posted by: Mark Sanford at December 23, 2012 10:33 AM (6TB1Z)
With Uncle Sugar's debt, the price is not only not fixed, it has a built in escalator clause for the known programs that contribute to the debt, and it has no provision to control or limit future new "and vitally necessary" programs.
Posted by: Hrothgar - LIB or SMOD (for the Children) at December 23, 2012 10:33 AM (Cnqmv)
Posted by: Gordon undead Ramsay at December 23, 2012 10:34 AM (9HhTH)
But, on the bright side, I did survive the mall.
Glad you made it home safely.
Posted by: fluffy at December 23, 2012 10:34 AM (z9HTb)
Posted by: t-bird at December 23, 2012 10:35 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 02:21 PM (XDC0v)
Dude, if you are going to drop that hint of nice asses and tight pants, there must be pix included.
Posted by: MrCaniac at December 23, 2012 10:37 AM (Zd/NW)
Posted by: t-bird at December 23, 2012 10:39 AM (FcR7P)
That's being completely ignored in Washington. They even ignored the Keynesian model of paying off the debt in prosperous times.
Stability in your life, begets better work results, paying off the note regularly, securing greater income
If only we did. All we seem to be doing is pumping a greater portion of our devalued dollars through the feds.
Posted by: fluffy at December 23, 2012 10:41 AM (z9HTb)
Posted by: Fact Checker with no bias whatsoever at December 23, 2012 10:41 AM (e8kgV)
Posted by: Infidel at December 23, 2012 10:42 AM (k/0m2)
Yup, and Romney doesn't speak "Oprah".
Grownups don't worry about whether the president "understands them". They want him to make the damn trains run on time and not take their money. We are now a nation ruled by grasping, juvenile mouth-breathers. Things should go just swimmingly.
Posted by: pep at December 23, 2012 10:43 AM (6TB1Z)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 10:43 AM (XDC0v)
Well, it's important to me to remain --as a thorn in BHO's backside, mostly-- because I am an American: first, last and always.
Posted by: JeanQueenie at December 23, 2012 10:43 AM (Gmp2Z)
88.8 trillion in "unfunded" liabilities don't mean shit. It will not be paid out.......... like ever.... as Taylor Swift would say. When the shit hits the fan the gubmint checks to SS, Medicare, Medicaid, EBT etc etc will stop flowing to all the parasites and deserving taxpayers alike... those who thought they were gonna ride the gubmint free shit train to the grave are going to be SOL.
Do not count on any promise from the government.... and for sure do not base your future on any promise from the government.
Buy lead and boomsticks.... and a wood stove if you don't already have one.... etc. etc.... oh, and Merry Christmas to all the Morons and ettes!!
Posted by: Some Guy in Wisconsin at December 23, 2012 10:44 AM (+R/19)
Telling, huh?
I've never had a serious conversation with a left winger about what to do about the problem of the debt. Oh, sure, they'll talk about who's to blame (Boooosh for running 1/4 the deficit as President Wee Wee). but solutions? Tax the rich and gut the military.
When you point out THAT doesn't even solve the problem, they just shut down.
I swear they must think a bunch of rich people are holding trillions in treasure in some vault somewhere like Scooge McDuck. And if we could just get them to give us the password, no one would ever want for anything ever again.
Posted by: Warden at December 23, 2012 10:47 AM (0DlnM)
Posted by: Trevor (@tjexcite) at December 23, 2012 10:48 AM (Ea64Y)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 10:49 AM (XDC0v)
Posted by: t-bird at December 23, 2012 02:39 PM (FcR7P)
Big problem with the Green River formation, is a lack of Water out there... its a HUGE area, and pretty arid... and Fracking does take water...
But that can be overcome through engineeering, as long as the Enviros and Feds allow us to actualy build some stuff.
Posted by: Romeo13 at December 23, 2012 10:50 AM (lZBBB)
- Obama base voter
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at December 23, 2012 10:50 AM (HDgX3)
Also, a house is an asset. Most of our debt was accumulated from transfer payments. In other words, we have dick to show for it.
Posted by: Warden at December 23, 2012 10:51 AM (0DlnM)
The $115 K figure for your share of the debt is low, IF you actualy pay a net income tax...
Remember, this debt has NOTHING to do with Social Sec, or Medicare... so payroll taxes don't count... this is ONLY paid back by those paying Net income tax...
So now.... take that 115 K and DOUBLE it....
Posted by: Romeo13 at December 23, 2012 10:51 AM (lZBBB)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 10:52 AM (XDC0v)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows Hillary fainted from tight Spanx at December 23, 2012 10:55 AM (Lxw+T)
Posted by: USS Diversity at December 23, 2012 10:55 AM (MPjT8)
This would be like me spending $1200 more a month than I make and the solution to the problem is get a second job that pays $80 but keep spending the same amount. No rational person would think this is a good plan.
Frame it this way and the average Joe gets it. Frame it the Republican way - with the same talking points about job creators and the laffer curve which nobody understand - average Joe glazes over and believes Obama's "fairness" talk.
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at December 23, 2012 10:56 AM (HDgX3)
Telling, huh?
As I said on the gun thread, watching them talk about guns this past week in such a strident, agenda-centric manner, completely divorced from all relevant facts, is a fascinating glimpse into their propaganda patterns.
They only know that they are smarter than everyone and how to capture the megaphone to promote that concept.
Nothing that they are about is grounded in reality excepting for one future set of circumstances, total failure and totalitarian government.
Posted by: ontherocks at December 23, 2012 10:56 AM (aZ6ew)
Posted by: DAve at December 23, 2012 02:52 PM (XDC0v)
Their plan is the money WILL flow... it just won't be worth anything...
They have already gerrymandered the Inflation rate, so Soc Sec people get less of an increase per year... even though REAL inflation is well above 8%.... and then they devalue the dollar by the Fed just printing money in the name of Keynesian economics...
So... they will pay... you just won't be able to live off it...
Oh... and with Savings and many (most) investments paying back less than inflation? They are also destroying the NEXT Generations ablility to pay for retirement...
Posted by: Romeo13 at December 23, 2012 10:56 AM (lZBBB)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at December 23, 2012 10:58 AM (HDgX3)
Posted by: ontherocks at December 23, 2012 02:56 PM (aZ6ew)
Exactly, and that is one of our failings as thinking conservatives.
We do not appreciate the tactics of our opponents.
They do not care about results; they do not care about logic; they do not care about anything other than the consolidation of their power.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at December 23, 2012 11:00 AM (GsoHv)
They do not care about results; they do not care about logic; they do not care about anything other than the consolidation of their power.
Ding ding ding.
Posted by: Infidel at December 23, 2012 11:01 AM (k/0m2)
They do not care about results; they do not care about logic; they do not care about anything other than the consolidation of their power.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at December 23, 2012 03:00 PM (GsoHv)
________________
A-fucking men to that. And you see this on blogs like Hotair (with the exception of Allah) and National Review. They just don't get that libs/Dems are not about implementing a better solution to a problem. They are about destroying the opposition and consolidating power.
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at December 23, 2012 11:03 AM (HDgX3)
Pretty soon $120k will probably be the exit fee to get the hell out of the country anyway.
Posted by: Voluble at December 23, 2012 11:03 AM (qYvEa)
Imhotep...Imhotep...IMHOTEP
Posted by: Bruce at December 23, 2012 02:58 PM (d6+Gd)
That's "Bubba Ho Tep" chief.
Posted by: Bruce Campbell at December 23, 2012 11:03 AM (Zd/NW)
Posted by: dscott at December 23, 2012 11:05 AM (EYzt8)
Many don't pay anything at all!
Posted by: gastorgrab at December 23, 2012 11:17 AM (FX38i)
I'm afraid it will come down to "root hog, or die" and my old rooter is tired and sore.
Posted by: Pentangle at December 23, 2012 11:22 AM (b2twO)
There is a reason that 15 years ago I decided to be free and clear of any and all debt. I am 30 days from that point in time. With two years of food in house, water purification system with available water nearby, an oil and gas well on my land and a 300 yard free fire zone around me. I am ready. Are you?
Those of you that have chosen to live beyond your means..Well, GMAC is waiting for your multiple car payments (gotta drive the latest luxury vehicles), Wells Fargo is waiting for your payment for your McMansion, Chase is waiting for your multiple credit card payments, the gas, electic, water, sewer, etc city utility is waiting for their payment, the County is counting on your $2000+ property tax payment (I pay $235/year for 80 acres), I have no sympathy for you.
Yes, I will pay dearly for any money I have stashed in IRA'a, 401k's, savings, checking or MM accounts, but I can drop off the radar when necessary.
Cows are tasty, gardens are easy to grow and I got lots of land. Living in the NE is really gonna suck.
Posted by: Andrew at December 23, 2012 11:22 AM (3hoDN)
You a farmer Andrew? 'Cause I'm one, and subsistence farming is killing hard work. Emphasis on the killing. You spend all day, every day, just keeping heat going and food on the table. You turn gaunt waiting for fiddle head ferns in March, and that's assuming you know what wild plants you can eat and what you can't. I hear all the time from people who think they can live off their little plot. My advice? Do it. For a year. Through the winter. No cheating. Then revise your plans accordingly. When everybody did substistance farming, so they could, you know, subsist, you know what people did a lot? Die.
Posted by: Pentangle at December 23, 2012 11:30 AM (b2twO)
The numbers are staggering and only getting bigger. Even the interest on the money we owe, as individuals, is crippling. And I can't wait until we go over the cliff and TFG raises rates, as I heard him say the other day to the weeping boner.
Posted by: sTevo at December 23, 2012 11:31 AM (VMcEw)
I get the current debt figure of $16,395,173,356,211.
Good news everyone. It's now $16,400,000,000,000
Posted by: Professor Farnsworth at December 23, 2012 11:37 AM (mETGQ)
Farmers are differet than subsistence growers. I work for myself, not the rest of the takers out there. And my plot might not be the biggest out there, but it is bigger than most for one person.
I have the highest respect for the farmers growing food for this nation (they are slowly disappearing, and as per some ahole from Iowa in DC, they are becoming less relevant). My grandfather and great uncle owned a farm in Iowa years ago. I wish to this day that they owned it long enough for me to take over. But my parent, who had 8 children, went in a different direction. That is why I am where I am. I planned ahead. Years ago.
Posted by: Andrew at December 23, 2012 11:42 AM (3hoDN)
Posted by: Pentangle at December 23, 2012 11:54 AM (b2twO)
Posted by: cthulhu at December 23, 2012 11:59 AM (kaalw)
Posted by: Fritz at December 23, 2012 12:02 PM (w3+gB)
Posted by: Sandra Fluke at December 23, 2012 12:06 PM (qs9G3)
Posted by: USS Diversity at December 23, 2012 12:10 PM (MPjT8)
Posted by: Minuteman at December 23, 2012 12:17 PM (qs9G3)
Pentangle, we are screwed. You know it, I know it. I don't harbor any ill thoughts. Just best wishes for this country. But, we are screwed all around.
If the SHTF, get ready to become a maker, or get ready!
Posted by: Andrew at December 23, 2012 12:21 PM (3hoDN)
Minuteman:
SCOTUS ruled a loooonggg time ago that SS was nothing more that a long dildo waiting for you.
Posted by: Andrew at December 23, 2012 12:25 PM (3hoDN)
Posted by: Minuteman at December 23, 2012 12:34 PM (qs9G3)
Posted by: Gerry at December 23, 2012 12:34 PM (G75Lr)
With the exception of my mortgage, it is how I try to live at all times. Any hints about how I can improve on that?
Posted by: fluffy at December 23, 2012 12:40 PM (z9HTb)
Posted by: nip at December 23, 2012 01:01 PM (11Tdq)
Posted by: madamex at December 23, 2012 01:09 PM (Ztp7S)
The private company/employee is the only tax payer.
A private company creates wealth. The gov't consumes it. While some GS-14 is making their living on tax money, they are still part of the economy. They buy a car, live somewhere, eat food; the whole nine yards.
More research, and math may be in order.
Yar. Makes me wish I knew the actual math. I'd like to kick it Laffer style.
Posted by: fluffy at December 23, 2012 01:18 PM (z9HTb)
Posted by: ALL_IS_LOST at December 23, 2012 02:39 PM (T/L2Z)
We're already there. Social Security officially became an entitlement program when they decided to have a tax holiday on withholding. Have you ever known an insurance program to have a payment holiday? I haven't. With this tax holiday the government overtly proclaimed a disconnect between SS revenues and payouts.
Posted by: epobirs at December 23, 2012 03:18 PM (kcfmt)
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Posted by: EC at December 23, 2012 09:55 AM (doBIb)