February 11, 2013
— Monty

This falls into the "damn, I wish I'd written that" category: David Wong, humorist and editor at Cracked.com, wrote a really splendid essay about Effort. Here's a taste:
I really think Effort Shock has been one of the major drivers of world events. Think about the whole economic collapse and the bad credit bubble. You can imagine millions of working types saying, "All right, I have NO free time. I work every day, all day. I come home and take care of the kids. We live in a tiny house, with two shitty cars. And we are still deeper in debt every single month." So they borrow and buy on credit because they have this unspoken assumption that, dammit, the universe will surely right itself at some point and the amount of money we should have been making all along (according to our level of effort) will come raining down.All of it comes back to having those massively skewed expectations of the world. Even the people you think of as pessimists, they got their pessimism by continually seeing the world fail to live up to their expectations, which only happened because their expectations were grossly inaccurate in the first place.
(VIDEO) Historian Ralph Raico on the Industrial Revolution. Long, but well worth your time. It's a powerful antidote to the liberal myth that it was government regulation and oversight that "tamed capitalism". (Don Boudreux's note is trenchant, too: "Note, by the way (from around the 30-minute mark), RalphÂ’s important emphasis on the fact that war is emphatically not an economic stimulant.")
A confused, obviously-insane bag-lady mumbles a lot of crazy nonsense. I'm not sure why the news media is bothering this poor woman. She really should be in a home where professionals can monitor her and give her the help she so desperately needs.
Mario Loyola writes a good, in-depth piece about the Federal-State crack-up. I have a feeling that many States will gain a new appreciation for federalism in coming years. The burdens of complying with federal mandates (ObamaCare not least among them, as well as Medicare and Medicaid) will hamstring states just as they need to find creative solutions to their own budgetary difficulties -- such as skyrocketing public-employee pension and healthcare costs.
Jim Rogers advises you to go short on US Bonds right now. I'm no fan of holding public debt of any kind right now -- nothing I've seen in the past four years gives me any hope at all that the industrialized nations of the world have any intention of reforming their out-of-control spending habits.
You know what sounds like a great idea? Taking out a second mortgage on the house so I can afford to put in that new home-theater I've been dreaming of! Yeah, I know that things didn't go so well on the home-equity front last time...but this time it'll be different! Right?
Just 6 in 10 Millennials have jobs, and half of those are part-time. I sometimes wonder if the younger generation's love-affair with Bammer is going to fade with time as they realize how ruinous his tenure has been to their lives, or if they will continue to think of him as the Depression-era citizens thought of FDR. FDR was the author of many of the woes that beset people during the Depression, and yet forever afterward many poor people revered him almost as a secular saint. (In fact, he is still a secular saint to Democrats.) Ultimately I think it's just human nature at work, our ability to see what we want to see. None of us wants to see flaws in our beloved.
Maybe it's just me, but when I hear the term "credit supernova", I get a little anxious. This is from PIMCO's Bill Gross, who thinks we've bitten off more inflation than we can swallow.
America's "new normal" (taking on massive amounts of new debt, and printing more worthless currency to back it up) is developing imitators abroad.
Defined-benefit pension funds are not magic -- when investment returns are low, as they are now, you have to contribute more of your own cash to keep them afloat. And when your return assumptions have been outlandish for years and years, the amount of money you have to put into them may cripple you. And this is true whether you are in the public sector or the private sector...except in the case of the private sector, you can't jawbone taxpayers into making your worthless promises good.
Over time, SSDI (Social Security Disability Insurance) has become the popular long-term unemployment option for more and more people. For many people, it's both easier and more lucrative to feign a crippling mental problem or phantom back-injury than it is to work. After all, there's an endless supply of suckers out there to fund this publicly-funded largesse, right?
Just another reminder, in case you forgot: China will not save us.
All the words are in English, but the way they're strung together makes no sense at all: Duncan "Atrios" Black dreams of a world where people can get lots of money in retirement without having had to go to the bother of earning it. Or something to that effect. Because apparently it's unfair to make people responsible for their own poor choices earlier in life.
Virginia advances bill to establish its own currency. It won't happen any time soon, of course, but if federalism gains strength as the US Dollar weakens, don't be surprised to see alternative currencies popping up. (In fact, there already are some in common use.)
Chicago cops want a 12 percent pay raise. From the article:
Police also want to pay less for their health insurance and get more money for their uniform allowance.They also want the department to fund their blankies, juice, and graham crackers; and give them more recess time.
This is the healthcare system that Obama wants to bring to the United States.
Posted by: Monty at
04:15 AM
| Comments (124)
Post contains 1000 words, total size 8 kb.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 04:22 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: phoenixgirl at February 11, 2013 04:24 AM (GVxQo)
Posted by: #OccupyResoluteDesk at February 11, 2013 04:26 AM (7QU6R)
Posted by: Jeanne of the North at February 11, 2013 04:26 AM (wPhLi)
Face it, it's "protection money." The difference between the Chicago Cops and the Mob is that average citizens don't have anything they can do to avoid paying off the Cops.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 04:27 AM (8y9MW)
Dial 911 and have your credit card ready! Operators are standing by!
Posted by: Hrothgar at February 11, 2013 04:27 AM (Cnqmv)
Sorry, hate to say that, but it's more true than false. Certainly there are people who have real problems that prevent them from working. People taking psych drugs (especially if they're taking any of the various "cocktails") are most definitely among them.
But the primary driver of people to SSDI is that it is really, really easy to get some doctor to sign off on you having a "crippling condition" (many practices are set up specifically for that, in fact) and then get a less-than-honest-even-among-lawyers lawyer to help you file your claim.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 04:30 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: The Rutles at February 11, 2013 04:31 AM (e0xKF)
There's a book called Jennifer Government where there's a scene exactly like that. It's well written, but the entire premise is drek.
If you want to laugh at a leftist's projection writ as distopian fiction, it's a good target for that.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 04:32 AM (8y9MW)
The reality is that you have to learn a trade of some kind in an industry that is doing good after you get out of school. A lot of times that is pure luck. The other thing that is often ignored is the "know somebody" factor. That is often the most telling thing for getting a job.
As for SSDI I have been screaming about that for years. There are no auditors for that program and fraud is rampant. I have seen estimates as high as 50%.
Posted by: Vic at February 11, 2013 04:32 AM (53z96)
and then get a less-than-honest-even-among-lawyers lawyer to help you file your claim.
Outrageous!
Posted by: Saul Goodman at February 11, 2013 04:33 AM (NF2Bf)
Posted by: Jean at February 11, 2013 04:33 AM (DcbLC)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 04:33 AM (e0xKF)
A more truthful saying would be that government spending is not an economic stimulus. It just hides the problem in the short term. Gov spending should not even be counted as GDP since it is a circular money transfer.
Posted by: Vic at February 11, 2013 04:34 AM (53z96)
>> I still prefer my ammo based alternative currency. <<
After all, he who has the lead eventually gets the gold.
Posted by: steveegg at February 11, 2013 04:35 AM (o44nj)
Posted by: Blacksheep at February 11, 2013 04:35 AM (bS6uW)
Not only are they not magic but they are also disappearing faster than a "conservative Democrat". Almost all major non-union companies have elliminated them in favor of a money account or a 401K or both.
Posted by: Vic at February 11, 2013 04:36 AM (53z96)
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at February 11, 2013 04:36 AM (tmzN0)
The average home equity line in October of 2012 was just below $90,000 compared to October 2006, when lines averaged just over $100,000, according to Equifax.
Hmmm -- a 100k line on a house with a 2006 bubblicious estimated price is proportionally less than a 90K line at today's assumed value.
CNBC -- Math? Wut dat?
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at February 11, 2013 04:36 AM (kdS6q)
Posted by: Gmac - Waiting for the revolution at February 11, 2013 04:37 AM (IanLz)
'Grow up' used to be the response to disillusionment. Now it's Rx dependency. String 'em along...blood from turnips.
Posted by: panzernashorn at February 11, 2013 04:37 AM (MhA4j)
I disagree with most of this, really.
First off, you have to define "trade." Most people define that as something working with your hands- mechanic, machinist, plumber, electrician, etc. Few people consider banking, or software development, or accounting "a trade."
So you have to clarify that.
Secondly, it is rarely "pure luck" to pick a field which will be hiring when you get out of school. The world will always need those plumbers, electricians, bankers, and accountants. It only becomes a gamble when you start going afield and into more narrow fields. TV broadcaster, for instance (one of my brothers made that mistake in the early 90s).
Finally, it is certainly true that "who you know" helps get a job, but it is not "the most telling thing." The most telling thing is your own effort and determination. You certainly need less of that if you know the right people, but even knowing the right people won't help you if you won't get off your lazy ass and try to get a job. Contrariwise, if you're willing to work your butt off to succeed, very little will be able to stand in your way, even if you start out with few or no contacts.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 04:38 AM (8y9MW)
A more truthful saying would be that government spending is not an economic stimulus. It just hides the problem in the short term. Gov spending should not even be counted as GDP since it is a circular money transfer.
That's so true.
I've never seen so many just plain wrong assumptions being made in the economy in my life. The only constant seems to be FUMU.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, who did not vote for this shit. at February 11, 2013 04:39 AM (+z4pE)
Posted by: Monty at February 11, 2013 04:40 AM (G8OwX)
I was using "trade" as a generic term, not the blue collar trades that are often used that way.
As for the rest I think you are naive.
Posted by: Vic at February 11, 2013 04:40 AM (53z96)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 04:42 AM (e0xKF)
You loved them in American Gladiators!
You'll love them even more in:
American Gladiators: Mighty Blades and Hot Forges
Starring: Hot Doom and Cold Steel
Posted by: Lurking Canuck at February 11, 2013 04:43 AM (NF2Bf)
First off, you have to define "trade." Most people define that as something working with your hands- mechanic, machinist, plumber, electrician, etc. Few people consider banking, or software development, or accounting "a trade."
Then you have to hope that your betters in the government don't target that trade for elimination. We reached the point long ago where the federal government is too powerful and intrusive in the economy.
When an entire formerly vibrant sector of the economy can be destroyed by one bad law, we're screwed. You can't plan when your future is decided by politicians instead of market forces.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, who did not vote for this shit. at February 11, 2013 04:43 AM (+z4pE)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5uiiXw2WqV0
Another great John Wayne line...
Posted by: American Dawg at February 11, 2013 04:43 AM (trA4n)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 04:44 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: HoboJerky, now with 74% more DOOM! at February 11, 2013 04:45 AM (FsUAO)
Become a tradesman, mechanic or carpenter. Don't let a boss own you. You will be much more marketable after the collapse.
Also, work off the books whenever possible, and stash these earnings in marketable post crash assets.
Posted by: tony redenzo at February 11, 2013 04:46 AM (lVrhB)
__
Plumbers, absolutely (Brazil by Gilliam, heh). Electricians, yes, so long as they evolve with the science. Bankers and accountants, bwahaha. Give it up to futurist technological programs and data bases (not referencing self preserving Boards of Directors as "bankers" -- but loan officers will be outmoded eventually, as our credit/etc.data already in the network).
Posted by: panzernashorn at February 11, 2013 04:46 AM (MhA4j)
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, who did not vote for this shit. at February 11, 2013 04:46 AM (+z4pE)
Posted by: Blacksheep at February 11, 2013 04:46 AM (bS6uW)
There aren't many people who would call me that.
Yes, it is true that there are a lot of degree plans in some "up-and-coming" industry. Wise parents will encourage their kids to stay away from those (or take them only as a Minor), and wise kids will listen.
An accounting degree will get you a job, almost 100% of the time. So will many math/science/comp-sci degrees. Medical degrees- not just doctors, but nursing degrees (which can normally be completed in 2 - 3 years, and nurses can make some bank), will also do well. Sad as it is, degrees in Education are the same, most of the time (assuming you're willing to relocate, if necessary). No guessing necessary, no "luck" necessary there.
As for the "who you know" business- certainly it helps (which I said in my comment) but it is not the single most determining factor. I can say that, because I know far more people who got into the industries they're in (from banking, to accounting, to software development, to nursing, to education) based not on who they knew, but on how determined they were to get that job. (Yes, plural of anecdote != data, but enough plural of anecdote at least becomes a trend)
It's hardly naive to suggest that good sense and hard work will take you much further in life (as a rule) than hopping on the next "big thing" and "knowing people."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 04:46 AM (8y9MW)
California State Controller John Chiang has axed a multimillion-dollar software agreement with Pennsylvania-based SAP after a small roll-out of its payroll program failed -- and government officials learned of the failures from affected employees.
SAP had taken on an $89.7 million contract to implement MyCalPays/21st Century project software it developed, but small test runs of about 1,300 paychecks included 100 types of errors, everything from child-support payment mistakes to outright pay miscalculations. Employees and staff research flagged the problems.
The state plans to use "all means available" to recoup the $50 million paid to SAP so far and could sue for up to 150 percent of the contract amount, Roper said.
In an emailed statement from SAP's headquarters, spokesman James Dever said, "SAP is extremely disappointed in the SCO's actions. SAP stands behinds our software and actions. Our products are functioning flawlessly in thousands of government agencies around the world. SAP also believes we have fully satisfied all contractual agreements in this project."
Sacbee
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at February 11, 2013 04:47 AM (kdS6q)
Posted by: panzernashorn at February 11, 2013 04:49 AM (MhA4j)
That's true, but that's true of everything. That's like saying "You can't plan your future when a SMOD might come hurdling down at any moment." It's true, but pointless.
Give it up to futurist technological programs and data bases (not referencing self preserving Boards of Directors as "bankers" -- but loan officers will be outmoded eventually, as our credit/etc.data already in the network).
Banking (and accounting) are much more than just the data in the computer. In fact, it was people believing only what was in the computer, instead of some human being's good sense, which largely led to the collapse of '08. There are lots of banks (mostly small-ish, state-chartered banks, but some larger national banks, too) which learned that lesson, and have reinvested in actual loan officers.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 04:52 AM (8y9MW)
Permit me to weigh in here a moment in support of my old friend AllenG who, rumor has it, has a blog:
"Nothing in the world can take the place of Persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. The slogan 'Press On' has solved and always will solve the problems of the human race."
Posted by: Zombie Calvin Coolidge at February 11, 2013 04:52 AM (BAS5M)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Team Stompy. at February 11, 2013 04:52 AM (VtjlW)
Posted by: Monty at February 11, 2013 04:53 AM (G8OwX)
42 18. 30. according to yahoo headline.
Nothing posted at the vatican website.
This has been up for nine hours, at Vatican Radio.
http://tinyurl.com/ae6mo2d
Posted by: Crew of the Challenger at February 11, 2013 04:53 AM (fwARV)
Posted by: panzernashorn at February 11, 2013 08:46 AM (MhA4j)
I think to some degree medical diagnoses may end up in the computer stream at some point. When we get to the point robots are actually functional, i'm wondering if this will affect the labor market.
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 04:53 AM (bb5+k)
The Great Recession may have officially ended in June of 2009 (according to the National Bureau of Economic Research), but many Americans are still extremely pessimistic about the economy. ThatÂ’s the conclusion of a national survey conducted by the John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development at Rutgers University.
Nearly 1,100 employed and unemployed Americans participated in the survey from Jan. 9 to Jan. 16Eight in 10 Americans are skeptical that career and employment opportunities will be better for the next generation.
More than half of Americans say the economy will not fully recover from the 2007-2009 recession for another six years; 29% believe the economy will never fully recover.
WHAT DIFFERENCE DOES IT MAKE?!?!?! If it didn't matter during the election, why does it matter now? The important things are obviously abortion, gay marriage and women in binders. This economic stuff is too difficult to figure out any way
Posted by: TheQuietMan at February 11, 2013 04:54 AM (1Jaio)
Posted by: Jean at February 11, 2013 04:54 AM (fW/Ev)
I made an apple pie. Please, have a piece.
Posted by: HeatherRadish™, Crankypants Extraordinaire at February 11, 2013 04:55 AM (hO8IJ)
It’s doubtful that anybody will shout “You lie!” at President Obama as he delivers his State of the Union speech this week (unless it’s at home in front of the TV). Rep. Joe Wilson (R) of South Carolina had to apologize and he was formally reprimanded by the House of Representatives when he did that during a joint session of Congress the President was addressing in 2009.
But Mr. Obama will face a tough crowd Tuesday night – at least among Republicans, who still control the House and have filibuster power in the Senate – as he lays out his plans for job creation and economic growth at a time when unemployment remains high.
Oh noes. Poor Barry, those evil Republicans won't just worship him like the MFM does. Only the MFM could think that the White Flag Republican Party is going to be a tough crowd
Posted by: TheQuietMan at February 11, 2013 04:57 AM (1Jaio)
Posted by: Blacksheep at February 11, 2013 04:58 AM (bS6uW)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 08:52 AM (8y9MW)
I have read various theories on what caused the financial problems in 2008. This is one I haven't seen. Do you have references for it?
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 04:58 AM (bb5+k)
That's true, but that's true of everything. That's like saying "You can't plan your future when a SMOD might come hurdling down at any moment." It's true, but pointless.
SMOD would be a blessing right about now, at least for me.
But I still find it strange that politicians don't encourage economic growth and the security (such as it is) of existing sectors. You'd think it would be in the best interest of gubmint to have a booming economy because of the greater tax revenue that would come from it. Of course, that would be true in a sane world where everything wasn't backwards.
As it stands today, we have a bunch of idiots in charge. But we all knew that. Their power is what's important to them.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, who did not vote for this shit. at February 11, 2013 04:59 AM (+z4pE)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 05:00 AM (e0xKF)
"Nothing in the world can take the place of Persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. The slogan 'Press On' has solved and always will solve the problems of the human race."
Posted by: Zombie Calvin Coolidge at February 11, 2013 08:52 AM (BAS5M)
Good quote. I've seen it summed up as "Success is 1% inspiration and 99% perspiration."
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 05:00 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: teej at February 11, 2013 05:00 AM (W50F+)
Oh ess -- I just realized. Perfect and timely job opening for the Anti-Christ.
End of Days, folks!
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at February 11, 2013 05:02 AM (kdS6q)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Team Stompy. at February 11, 2013 08:52 AM (VtjlW)
God, I wish someone would. I really really really want to get off this current fiat based system. It is automatic thievery of value.
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 05:03 AM (bb5+k)
Oh, absolutely. My initial comment on this subject mentioned that wise parents will recommend degrees that wise children will pursue.
I'll actually go further. Wise parents will know that their 18 year old kids are not normally "wise" and, further, still require their support even to go to school (when you're that young, it's actually your parents filling out the FAFSA, most of the time, or, rather, it's normally their financial information that matters). As such, wise parents will tell their children, "You can get any degree you can pay for. Me? I'm paying for a degree in (insert range of fields here)."
My parents didn't do that with either of my brothers. One got an Associates in Radio and TV Broadcasting from a Jr. College here in Texas. Yeah, that didn't work out. He supports himself (well enough, actually, he doesn't have a lot of bills) as a part of the Tech Services department of the Arlington Public Library.
The other started a STEM degree at TAMU. Then he transferred to Abilene Christian University and got a degree in "youth and family ministry." Yeah, that didn't work out either. He went back to school, got some extra math credits, completed an alternative certification program and became a teacher. After he deployed to Iraq, he used his GI Bill to get a masters in Education Administration. That's been working out a lot better.
I never bothered to finish college. I worked my way up through various para-professional jobs (customer service stuff, mostly) and eventually broke into software development- where I've been since.
Right now, Educator brother and I leap-frog each other in salary. I was making more than he was until he got his latest jump. Next time I move companies, I'll probably start making more than him again.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 05:03 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 05:03 AM (e0xKF)
Wait, where are people getting equity? Seriously.
My dad just refi'd since rates were low. He said he's down $20k from his last refi a few years ago. (He's a banker so he always has his finger on the pulse of the market and when refinancing saves him money considering the costs to do it.)
I bought in 6 months ago (6 months last week in fact) at the basically bottom of the market in this area. If I'm lucky we've gained a few thousand, but that is more of a guess than anything (and unlikely to be honest).
So Home equity loans are up? Where the fuck is that equity?
Posted by: tsrblke at February 11, 2013 05:04 AM (GaqMa)
Posted by: JustLikeDavidHasselhoff at February 11, 2013 05:04 AM (71iUa)
I'm not arguing that people bankers should be eliminated from their industry. Of course local governance is the most effective means of operation, immediate oversight/transparency as available for scrutiny.
"You can't plan when your future is decided by politicians instead of market forces."
But the point we're discussing is what POLITICIANS mandate. And it was the merging of politics with the investment industry which leads to such collapses as '08 that so readily utilized electronic trends to corrupt the market. But don't fool yourself, blaming the electronic mechanisms for the overt decisions made at the highest levels, including Paulson and our Federal Reserve Board of Directors.
Look, for example, to health care, a matter that most significantly should be between a patient/doctor. Politicians, despite the Tea Party outrage, "voted" without due Congressional protocol the so-called ObamaCare into law. It will not so much be health care treatment, but "management" that patients will receive; and I don't expect decent management of my health needs from any god damned politician or government official.
It would not surprise me in the least were technology to develop in medicine so that a computer could take a drop of my blood and analyze what I need, and facilitate the order to a pharmacy. But whether that is how politicians will allow medicine to move, or what politicians will do with the information gained by practitioners or computers, is dangerous to "trust".
Posted by: panzernashorn at February 11, 2013 05:04 AM (MhA4j)
Posted by: Jean at February 11, 2013 05:05 AM (qjFNd)
Its the ability of getting a "good" job that is going to pay well even into the future. The kind of job that allows you to get a house after a few years of saving and allows you to salt away money for retirement instead of struggling from day-to-day to eat and pay the utilities.
Anyway. Gotta go now. bbl
Posted by: Vic at February 11, 2013 05:05 AM (53z96)
Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Author of Amy Lynn available on KINDLE finally at February 11, 2013 05:05 AM (l86i3)
I have read various theories on what caused the financial problems in 2008. This is one I haven't seen. Do you have references for it?
Grab yourself a good, stiff shot of Valu-Rite, then read this and click the link inside the post if you dare: http://tinyurl.com/3opafra
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, who did not vote for this shit. at February 11, 2013 05:05 AM (+z4pE)
A) They are idiots, and B) why would they blame Obama for anything when they can blame the House? The House, after all is run by those Mean Republicans, and they're the ones to blame for everything.
I remain convinced that the Democrats will mount only a token effort to re-take the house in 2014. With one part of the government controlled by Republicans, the Democrats have a ready-made blame machine for all the problems we face.
Posted by: BeckoningChasm at February 11, 2013 05:06 AM (xjpRj)
Posted by: Hrothgar at February 11, 2013 05:07 AM (Cnqmv)
Only my own observations and those of my friends and family who are still into banking.
They sum it up as "bank greed," but it really means much more than that, and goes much deeper. Banks were willing (in some cases forced, but not all) to give loans they shouldn't be giving in the first place. They relied too much on computer data and models, and too little on human intervention.
A lot went into it, don't get me wrong, but they believe (and I agree) that simply having a more human element involved would have stopped, or at least mitigated, much of the damage.
Yeah, so glad it's easy to find work nowadays as long as you try.
Who said anything about easy? I never said "easy."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 05:07 AM (8y9MW)
Giant condor tries ice skating as it escapes handler during national anthem at hockey match then terrorizes the players
DailyMail
"I'm looking for a baby bumble bee....."
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at February 11, 2013 05:08 AM (kdS6q)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Team Stompy. at February 11, 2013 05:09 AM (VtjlW)
Morning, all! Nice to see there's a nice hot, heaping helping of DOOM to keep me warm this morning, with the snow falling outside and the promise of freezing rain this afternoon.
*sigh*
Sometimes I wonder why I bother getting up in the morning.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/i][/u][/b] at February 11, 2013 05:09 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 05:10 AM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Blacksheep at February 11, 2013 05:10 AM (bS6uW)
No, you can't do that. The fault was entirely one of human decision. But the human decision involved was to remove from the process, as much as possible, human decision.
People actively decided, "Hey, these actual loan officers are kind of expensive. I think I'll hire anyone who can read, write, and use a calculator, spend much less money on them, and let my computer system make all the decisions." Then faulty assumptions (and often faulty data) were programmed into those computer systems.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 05:11 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 05:11 AM (e0xKF)
I go to Cracked.com every day. Some of their columnists and regular staff are clearly lefties, but you know what? They're STILL one of the most evenhanded sources for trivia and newsiness on the web.
Oh, and anything by Adam Tod Brown is bound to be a regressive gag fest, so I tend to avoid his stuff.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/i][/u][/b] at February 11, 2013 05:12 AM (4df7R)
Grab yourself a good, stiff shot of Valu-Rite, then read this and click the link inside the postif you dare: http://tinyurl.com/3opafra
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, who did not vote for this shit. at February 11, 2013 09:05 AM (+z4pE)
This is one of the theories I read; That the 2008 financial crises was caused by intentional manipulation of the markets. I'm still keeping an eye on this theory.
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 05:12 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: BeckoningChasm at February 11, 2013 05:14 AM (xjpRj)
Posted by: Hrothgar at February 11, 2013 05:15 AM (Cnqmv)
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 05:15 AM (e0xKF)
Giant condor tries ice skating as it escapes handler during national anthem at hockey match then terrorizes the players
*facepalm*
I can only imagine the condor was thinking, "WTF? It's COLD! Get me out of here, dammit! I don't care if I'm born and bred to fly around the mountain peaks of my natural habitat in the Andes - this is frigging California. I want sun!"
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/i][/u][/b] at February 11, 2013 05:17 AM (4df7R)
Yep. There's that, too. But don't think the cost savings of not having actual loan officers didn't figure into it.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at February 11, 2013 05:17 AM (8y9MW)
Lots of people have been putting the 2008 crisis at Soros' feet since the day it happened. This just seems to have a few more actors in play.
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at February 11, 2013 09:15 AM (e0xKF)
I don't know if you read "Curmudgeonly and Skeptical" but at the bottom of his website there is a permalink called "Who piloted 9-18 plane" and it postulates that the Saudis were behind it. It argues that no one else could swing 500 billion in assets.
It's an interesting read anyway.
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 05:17 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Jean at February 11, 2013 05:18 AM (3f/jH)
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at February 11, 2013 05:19 AM (74T7W)
Detroit gun shop stops selling Bin Laden skeleton targets
A Muslim rights group has praised a gun shop after it agreed to stop selling targets of a skeleton wearing a turban and a robe, armed with an AK-47.
The owner of the shop Target Sports, in Royal Oak, Michigan, agreed to stop selling the item after a meeting with Dawud Walid, executive director of the Michigan chapter of the Council on American-Islamic Relations.
The Detroit Free Press reported Mr Walid raised his concerns with the shop Target Sports as he was worried the item may cause gun owners to see any Muslim wearing traditional clothes as an enemy, according to the Huffington Post.
DailyMail
I thought Muslims hated Bin Laden because he wasn't acting like a real Muslim.
What's the problem guys?
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at February 11, 2013 05:19 AM (kdS6q)
Posted by: Monty at February 11, 2013 05:20 AM (G8OwX)
Posted by: Jean at February 11, 2013 09:18 AM (3f/jH)
The Best systems are evolved. Thinking you can think of everything before the fact is virtually begging Murphy's law to comes smack you. Boeing's "Dream liner" is an example of this.
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 05:20 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Jean at February 11, 2013 05:21 AM (Io7hX)
This goes back to the expectations thing. The Constitution only guarantees the freedom to *pursue* happiness; it doesn't guarantee happiness itself. A "good job" is not a right granted to all citizens upon birth. You have to work for it, and there's an element of luck and timing involved. (Though, as Blaise Pascal pointed out, luck favors the well-prepared.)
Posted by: Monty at February 11, 2013 09:20 AM (G8OwX)
Where Unions have gotten into trouble is by operating on the presumption that a middle class income *IS* a guarantee. They have been slowly pricing themselves out of the market.
There is no negative feedback mechanism for Union wages. (At least not one that works quickly.)
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 05:23 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: teej at February 11, 2013 05:24 AM (JxJPF)
Where Unions have gotten into trouble is by operating on the presumption that a middle class income *IS* a guarantee. They have been slowly pricing themselves out of the market.
Good an opportunity as any to say *clearing throat*
Disband and dismantle ALL unions!
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/i][/u][/b] at February 11, 2013 05:24 AM (4df7R)
Disband and dismantle ALL unions!
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit at February 11, 2013 09:24 AM (4df7R)
They are doing it to themselves. They simply refuse to recognize the economic reality of their situation. If their employer can't make a profit, they will go under.
General Motors is an example of where a company allowed the Union to drive the company's finances. I blame the various CEOs who knew their Union Contracts could not possibly work out in the long term, but chose to give the Unions what they wanted rather than fight with them in the short term.
I blame those CEOs for getting "theirs" and leaving the company to go hang.
GM became (based on finances) primarily a Medical care/Retirement system Company with a sideline in Automobile manufacturing.
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at February 11, 2013 05:29 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Monty at February 11, 2013 05:29 AM (G8OwX)
Inre US Bonds....
My kids received a bunch of US Savings Bonds when they were born. After watching the spectacle that was the Fiscal Cliff, I cashed them all out and bought gold with the proceeds. Alarmist? Unwise? Well, maybe...but then I'm more comfortable that those Golden Eagles will have more worth in 20 years than the piddling return my kids could expect from those bonds.
Posted by: Homer at February 11, 2013 05:30 AM (eytER)
Posted by: Jean at February 11, 2013 05:31 AM (sTfkB)
I believe Monty's knowledge of the financial system is second to none. However, talk of a collapse that politicians would allow to structurally shake the U.S. is not in the cards.
Economics is worldwide, with everything interlaced to form a system where what affects one affects all. If something is added to a balance sheet somewhere, it must be subtracted from somewhere else.
The rules apply universally, except for the U.S. Because we have the most powerful military and the dollar is the world currency, we can do anything we want. No politician would leave this power on the table in the midst of collapse scenario. We would do whatever needed to be done and tell the rest of the world, "fuck you, accept it".
That's just how it is.
Posted by: jwest at February 11, 2013 05:33 AM (ZDsRL)
Posted by: Ed Anger at February 11, 2013 05:34 AM (tOkJB)
Posted by: teej at February 11, 2013 05:35 AM (SYS+p)
Posted by: Paul Kanjorski at February 11, 2013 05:37 AM (tOkJB)
Posted by: madamex at February 11, 2013 05:37 AM (+kvQd)
Posted by: Monty at February 11, 2013 05:39 AM (G8OwX)
Posted by: panzernashorn at February 11, 2013 05:40 AM (MhA4j)
Posted by: occam at February 11, 2013 05:43 AM (ELmLD)
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie ® at February 11, 2013 05:43 AM (1hM1d)
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at February 11, 2013 05:45 AM (UjSt7)
Posted by: teej at February 11, 2013 05:45 AM (iW2D2)
"...when mighty civilizations die, it's almost always by suicide, not by conquest."
No doubt. The U.S. will pull enough bone-headed moves that, over the course of a hundred or so years, we will slip into the same fate as Italy is now.
However, in the interim, the leaders of this country will use either the financial or military assets we've invested trillions in to maintain their power by not allowing a large scale collapse.
Posted by: jwest at February 11, 2013 05:48 AM (ZDsRL)
yeah basically the "dream" is they get to tax my kid and grandkids while not having had any of their own...we call it Social Security and Medicare.
Posted by: sven10077 at February 11, 2013 05:48 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: Brother Cavil, Keeper of Ampersands and Breitbart Login Spaces at February 11, 2013 05:50 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: toby928© for TB at February 11, 2013 05:56 AM (evdj2)
Posted by: Silent Majority at February 11, 2013 06:06 AM (KydDZ)
I think Peter Turkson is a good man, and I am pleased for his rise in the Church. But as the election of Obama showed, it s far more important to get the right man than merely a black man for the world's most important jobs, content of character rather than color of skin and so on.
xxx
Just for giggles, search "St. Malachy Prophecy of the Popes." Or "Nostradamus and Popes." Interesting stuff.
Posted by: Vyx at February 11, 2013 09:11 AM (z63Tr)
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Posted by: HeatherRadish™, Crankypants Extraordinaire at February 11, 2013 04:20 AM (hO8IJ)