October 11, 2013
— Ace He seems to emphasize the "fold" option a bit more.
The findings of the newly released NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll are simply brutal for congressional Republicans. Not only are they getting the lion's share of the blame for the government shutdown, but President Obama's numbers have actually improved. Worse, Obamacare's numbers are improving, as well.
That poll caused quite a sensation on Twitter last night, and while it is worse for Republicans than recent readings from the Associated Press's poll, NBC News/Wall Street Journal has a long track record of solid readings. This is not a result to be taken lightly.
...
It was supposed to be a shutdown about Obamacare, but Republican leaders were quickly sidetracked by low-hanging fruit like the closure of the National Mall, Harry Reid's gaffes, and Obama's refusal to negotiate. Tactically, this might have made sense, but strategically it was a terrible move. If the shutdown was supposed to be about Obamacare, then that should have been the only topic Republicans discussed.
I, obviously, don't agree with that at all. If the Shutdown is supposed to "hurt Republicans," then Republicans gain by making it not hurt as much.
But the below is true:
Moreover, insofar as Republican leaders have discussed Obamacare, they have done so ineptly, and have repeated Mitt Romney's grievous mistakes from 2012. Looking at the topline numbers on Obamacare, we can see it is very unpopular, but dig a little deeper and only about 30 to 40 percent of people believe that the law will make them worse off. This is a significant failure in political communication by the Republican party. Government agencies like the Congressional Budget Office and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services have warned since 2010—in their dry, technocratic rhetoric—that Obamacare was going to harm middle class families. For weeks now stories have been trickling out about people receiving letters from their insurers notifying them that their rates are being doubled. For over a year we have similarly heard stories about hiring freezes or hours being cut because of Obamacare. And yet despite all this hard data, the public still has not connected the dots.
Yup. This I don't get.
Meanwhile, believe it or not, Peggy Noonan now thinks it's the time to strike.
The Obama administration has an implementation problem. More than any administration of the modern era they know how to talk but have trouble doing. They give speeches about ObamaCare but when it's unveiled what the public sees is a Potemkin village designed by the noted architect Rube Goldberg. They speak ringingly about the case for action in Syria but can't build support in the U.S. foreign-policy community, in Congress, among the public. Recovery summer is always next summer. They have trouble implementing. Which, of course, is the most boring but crucial part of governing. It's not enough to talk, you must perform....
That gets us to the real story of last week, this week and the future, the one beyond the shutdown, the one that normal people are both fully aware of and fully understand, and that is the utter and catastrophic debut of ObamaCare. Even for those who expected problems, and that would be everyone who follows government, it has been a shock.
They had 3½ years to set it up! They knew exactly when it would be unveiled, on Oct. 1, 2013. On that date, they knew, millions could be expected to go online to see if they benefit.
...
Where does this leave us? Congressional Republicans and the White House may soon begin a series of conversations centering on the debt-ceiling fight. Good: May they turn into negotiations. Republicans are now talking about a grand bargain involving entitlement spending, perhaps tax issues. But they would make a mistake in dropping ObamaCare as an issue. A few weeks ago they mistakenly demanded defunding—a move to please their base. They will be tempted to abandon even the word ObamaCare now, but this is exactly when they should keep, as the center of their message and their intent, not defunding ObamaCare but delaying it. Do they really want to turn abrupt focus to elusive Medicare cuts just when it has become obvious to the American people that parts of ObamaCare (like the ability to enroll!) are unworkable?
The Republicans should press harder than ever to delay ObamaCare—to kick it back, allow the administration at least to create functioning websites, and improve what can be improved.
In the past the president has vowed he'd never delay. But that was before the system so famously flopped when people tried to enroll.
Eh.
See, here's one thing I definitely disagree with the Tactically Savvy (supposedly) folks on: They keep claiming-- agreeing with Obama and Jon Favreau -- that if only there was no shutdown, the media would be eager to discuss the colossal failure of ObamaCare, and the skyrocketing prices for health insurance.
Does anyone believe that? I can't imagine the people offering this dreck actually believe that. It sounds to me an awful lot like a Helpful Claim to Make, and not one that is actually believed.
Posted by: Ace at
02:13 PM
| Comments (152)
Post contains 869 words, total size 6 kb.
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:16 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:16 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:17 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: Roman Maroni at October 11, 2013 02:18 PM (fJS4a)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:18 PM (r2PLg)
Well, it appears they went ahead and said "OK, we fold".
It appears they are giving them everything plus more.
But they are teaching those T-partiers a lesson, so they feel good about themselves.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 11, 2013 02:18 PM (N8z9m)
Posted by: booger at October 11, 2013 02:19 PM (xRDdL)
Posted by: rrpjr at October 11, 2013 02:19 PM (GA5CS)
Posted by: holygoat at October 11, 2013 02:19 PM (HYFht)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:19 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: Tobacco Road at October 11, 2013 02:20 PM (4Mv1T)
Posted by: Lauren at October 11, 2013 02:20 PM (ELdpj)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:20 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: J Bonaire at October 11, 2013 02:21 PM (XdnQT)
Posted by: Puttanesca, the sauce at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (1ThpN)
Posted by: Puttanesca, the sauce at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (1ThpN)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (HDgX3)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (HDgX3)
Posted by: Lauren at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (ELdpj)
Posted by: Lauren at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (ELdpj)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: Schrödinger's cat [/i] at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (U2UQk)
Posted by: Schrödinger's cat [/i] at October 11, 2013 02:22 PM (U2UQk)
Posted by: [/i][/b][/u][/s] Tami - GO CARDS!!! at October 11, 2013 02:23 PM (bCEmE)
Posted by: [/i][/b][/u][/s] Tami - GO CARDS!!! at October 11, 2013 02:23 PM (bCEmE)
Posted by: Mr. Pink at October 11, 2013 02:23 PM (8719b)
Posted by: Mr. Pink at October 11, 2013 02:23 PM (8719b)
*yawn*
Posted by: Jane D'oh at October 11, 2013 02:23 PM (lVPtV)
*yawn*
Posted by: Jane D'oh at October 11, 2013 02:23 PM (lVPtV)
I will admit to this though, I believe the media can totally ignore Odeathcare and it will still be a problem for the dems. I think it is the one singular issue that that is the case.
When the low info young voters have figured out that "its a tax" on them and not free and they are pissed, then the media can't stop it.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 11, 2013 02:23 PM (N8z9m)
I will admit to this though, I believe the media can totally ignore Odeathcare and it will still be a problem for the dems. I think it is the one singular issue that that is the case.
When the low info young voters have figured out that "its a tax" on them and not free and they are pissed, then the media can't stop it.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 11, 2013 02:23 PM (N8z9m)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (HDgX3)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (HDgX3)
The shutdown is sucking oxygen out of the story. Without it, they would have to find many other stories to fill the air time, and few would resonate with the public.
Posted by: Adjoran at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (473jB)
The shutdown is sucking oxygen out of the story. Without it, they would have to find many other stories to fill the air time, and few would resonate with the public.
Posted by: Adjoran at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (473jB)
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Director Dan Ashe announced the reopening of Wildlife Service lands nationwide late today after he was informed of North DakotaÂ’s intent to file a complaint in U.S. District Court. The complaint, already completed and within minutes of being filed, requested a federal judge require the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to reopen more than 288,000 acres of wildlife lands closed to hunters and other public uses.
Posted by: President Barack “Unexpectedly Humble Thug” Obama at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (e8kgV)
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Director Dan Ashe announced the reopening of Wildlife Service lands nationwide late today after he was informed of North DakotaÂ’s intent to file a complaint in U.S. District Court. The complaint, already completed and within minutes of being filed, requested a federal judge require the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to reopen more than 288,000 acres of wildlife lands closed to hunters and other public uses.
Posted by: President Barack “Unexpectedly Humble Thug” Obama at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (e8kgV)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: Hrothgar at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (XdnQT)
Posted by: Jean at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (CMlD4)
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 11, 2013 02:24 PM (DmNpO)
Posted by: bonhomme at October 11, 2013 02:25 PM (yETln)
Posted by: Lauren at October 11, 2013 02:26 PM (ELdpj)
Posted by: joeindc44 is totally not on Soros's pay now...right? at October 11, 2013 02:26 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at October 11, 2013 02:26 PM (HDgX3)
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 11, 2013 02:26 PM (DmNpO)
Posted by: Lincolntf at October 11, 2013 02:26 PM (ZshNr)
Posted by: steevy at October 11, 2013 02:27 PM (9XBK2)
Posted by: Lauren at October 11, 2013 02:27 PM (ELdpj)
He thinks we've surrendered. Fat lot he knows, I've only just begun to give up.
Posted by: Johnny B. at October 11, 2013 02:27 PM (2DunM)
Posted by: toby928© at October 11, 2013 02:27 PM (QupBk)
Posted by: SFGoth at October 11, 2013 02:27 PM (sXKCc)
Posted by: Jean at October 11, 2013 02:28 PM (CMlD4)
Tea partiers need to really focus in 2014 on winning those 5-7 red state seats that currently have a dem Senator in them.....
...and we need to replace McConnell and Graham and whatever other mealy mouthed establishment types that are up for reelection in 2014. That asshat McCain started all this shit by calling Cruz Paul and Lee wacko birds.... time for the Tea Party to finish it.
Posted by: Some Guy in Wisconsin at October 11, 2013 02:28 PM (oAVHN)
Nothing is going to convince Obama supporters they were wrong about him or his horrible "affordable" care act. They are too heavily invested. They're all in.
Posted by: not the mama at October 11, 2013 02:28 PM (5dxeo)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:28 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:29 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: Lincolntf at October 11, 2013 02:29 PM (ZshNr)
Posted by: Pat at October 11, 2013 02:29 PM (agmR/)
They keep claiming-- agreeing with Obama and Jon Favreau -- that if only there was no shutdown, the media would be eager to discuss the colossal failure of ObamaCare, and the skyrocketing prices for health insurance.
Does anyone believe that?No. It does give them an easy, bullshit excuse to blame Republicans for their own bias though.
Without the shutdown the Major Story would be the dissension within the Republican Party and the debt ceiling fight.
Would the failings of Obamacare get a bit more press if not for the shutdown? Maybe a little, but not enough to move the needle.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 11, 2013 02:29 PM (SY2Kh)
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 11, 2013 02:30 PM (DmNpO)
Posted by: toby928© at October 11, 2013 02:32 PM (QupBk)
Posted by: not the mama at October 11, 2013 02:32 PM (5dxeo)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:33 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: booger at October 11, 2013 02:33 PM (xRDdL)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:33 PM (IXrOn)
corrected
Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at October 11, 2013 02:33 PM (8ZskC)
Posted by: Jean at October 11, 2013 02:33 PM (CMlD4)
No. I do not believe the Media would, or will ever, discuss something harmful to Democrats. It will not happen, ever. The Media got a very painful lesson in 2010 and, no matter what else you can say about them, they learned from that lesson. No criticism of Democrats at all (unless they self-destruct like Weiner).
Posted by: Null at October 11, 2013 02:34 PM (DuH+r)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:34 PM (IXrOn)
Posted by: panzernashorn at October 11, 2013 02:34 PM (MhA4j)
Posted by: panzernashorn at October 11, 2013 02:35 PM (MhA4j)
Posted by: Puttanesca, the sauce at October 11, 2013 02:35 PM (1ThpN)
Will the Republicans lose? Yeah, but they'll lose anyway. The commies are in too deep at this point. Might as well go down with honor and integrity and wait for the spring buds of a new national movement (third party? Secession? Revolution?) to clean house top to bottom.
Enough with the band-aids on a gaping chest wound. Never give up, never surrender!
Posted by: Kate58 at October 11, 2013 02:35 PM (oLZsm)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:35 PM (r2PLg)
By the time the ruling RINO class has identified the right "hill to die on", the rest of us will be in the camps, comrade!
Posted by: Hrothgar at October 11, 2013 02:36 PM (XdnQT)
In 2014 the shutdown will be a memory but the reality of the Obamacare shit sandwich will be with us. More people will see it does impact them: wait until people start getting 'denial of care notices,' doctors who won't take their shitty plans, and massive out of pocket costs.
Posted by: Kim at October 11, 2013 02:36 PM (ICqvM)
Posted by: [/i][/b][/u][/s] Tami - GO CARDS!!! at October 11, 2013 02:37 PM (bCEmE)
HAHAHAHAHAHA No! The Republicans fail at communication? The deuce you say!
Posted by: OregonMuse at October 11, 2013 02:38 PM (xm1A1)
Posted by: boned to the bone at October 11, 2013 02:38 PM (Ph479)
Posted by: Tami - GO CARDS!!! at October 11, 2013 06:37 PM (bCEmE)
Now there's a plan I can have my clients support!
Posted by: Karl Rover at October 11, 2013 02:38 PM (XdnQT)
Auction off their spectrum, make the networks compete against Verizon. Lets see if they can pay barely literate whores millions when Verizon and AT&T are bidding up their broadcast rights by billions. Ben Franklin had to pay for his own ink - the government didn't provide it to him.
Posted by: Jean at October 11, 2013 02:39 PM (CMlD4)
Posted by: joeindc44 is totally not on Soros's pay now...right? at October 11, 2013 02:39 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:40 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: Dr Spank at October 11, 2013 02:40 PM (9jLim)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:41 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 11, 2013 02:41 PM (PjgvN)
And the cherry on top of the shitcake is they are going to undue the sequester "cuts!"
So not only does Obama/dems get everything they want, they get something that wasn't even on the table.
Boehner is one wicked smart operator.
Posted by: Kreplach at October 11, 2013 02:42 PM (hmUex)
Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:42 PM (IXrOn)
a sample that found 20% self reporting government employees--has problems with randomization or something else. "
You would have trouble getting those numbers in the Pentagon City food court
Posted by: Jean at October 11, 2013 02:42 PM (CMlD4)
Posted by: Dr Spank at October 11, 2013 06:40 PM (9jLim)
The deuce you say!
Posted by: Gerry Mander at October 11, 2013 02:43 PM (XdnQT)
Ben Domenech â€Â@bdomenech
Greatest deal ever: K Street gets the medical device tax rollback in exchange for raising your taxes/premiums.
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at October 11, 2013 02:43 PM (kdS6q)
Posted by: CrotchetyOldJarhead at October 11, 2013 02:43 PM (P/47D)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 11, 2013 02:43 PM (ZPrif)
of course they're going to fold..........
like eli manning against the awesome defense of Da BEARS!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: navycopjoe at October 11, 2013 02:44 PM (FDSEc)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 11, 2013 02:45 PM (ZPrif)
Posted by: Kreplach at October 11, 2013 06:42 PM (hmUex)
Playing 13 dimensional chess, again!
Posted by: Hrothgar at October 11, 2013 02:45 PM (XdnQT)
Posted by: joeindc44 is totally not on Soros's pay now...right? at October 11, 2013 02:47 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 11, 2013 02:47 PM (DmNpO)
OT: Canadian IT company CGI built the Obamacide website. Yes, they outsourced it.
For us, special price, $515 million.
I now return you to your regular snark.
Posted by: Meremortal at October 11, 2013 02:47 PM (1Y+hH)
Or are we denying the polls and claiming they are biased?
Posted by: Flatbush Joe
Is a poll with a 20% government worker cohort an honest representation of the voting public?
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at October 11, 2013 02:47 PM (jo069)
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 11, 2013 02:48 PM (DmNpO)
Posted by: [/i][/b][/u][/s] Tami - GO CARDS!!! at October 11, 2013 02:48 PM (bCEmE)
Posted by: ghostofhallelujah at October 11, 2013 02:49 PM (XvrTA)
Posted by: Margarita DeVille at October 11, 2013 02:49 PM (dfYL9)
Posted by: pc at October 11, 2013 02:49 PM (zeWyX)
Posted by: booger at October 11, 2013 06:33 PM (xRDdL)
not Only That, but when they solicite for Funds, it is to Fight for ___! help us fight for____!
Posted by: willow at October 11, 2013 02:49 PM (nqBYe)
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 11, 2013 02:49 PM (PjgvN)
Posted by: Dixie Normous at October 11, 2013 02:51 PM (U2UQk)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 11, 2013 02:51 PM (ZPrif)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:52 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at October 11, 2013 02:52 PM (HDgX3)
Posted by: Lt Col Frank Slade at October 11, 2013 02:52 PM (aTXUx)
Democrats like to think they are well informed, but they are not, and liberalism makes them incapable of being informed. They look at the candidates, see which one has a (D) after his name, and their decision is made.
In terms of messaging, they like hearing what Democrats say, which is "We want to help people." The makes them feel like they're doing something. Republicans too often say "We want to help people. Here's how..." and the Democrats simply cannot deal with the "here's how" bit, because that implies having to do something other than have nice thoughts.
Posted by: Null at October 11, 2013 02:52 PM (DuH+r)
1. Which industries and political entities have the most to gain out of keeping ObamaCare the law of the land?
2. Those who have the most to gain will lavish money on ObamaCare-supporting politicians of both parties
3. Those politicians will scorn and scold anti-ObamaCare politicians because self-preservation
4. Politicians at the federal level find it much easier to accept money from K Street bundlers (industrial lobbyists) than ask "the people" for financial support.
5.Politicians will be very sympathetic to the wishes of those who paid for their campaigns.
Posted by: mrp at October 11, 2013 02:53 PM (HjPtV)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 11, 2013 06:45 PM (ZPrif) ..... .....
We are supposed to be poll driven? ....
In a country that reelected Obama? ......
No thanks.
Posted by: Meremortal at October 11, 2013 02:53 PM (1Y+hH)
Or are we denying the polls and claiming they are biased?
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at October 11, 2013 06:45 PM (ZPrif)"
This thing was always going to lower Republican poll numbers, given that the MSM narrative is, was and always will be that this is all their fault. In the long term, though, Republicans could benefit if they could hold out. That was the lesson of 1995 if the Republicans could remember it. When the Obama Administration memoirs come out in a few years, all of them will have a section about how they were on the point of collapse when the Republicans gave up. Just like all the Clinton Administration memoirs.
Posted by: Obnoxious A-hole at October 11, 2013 02:53 PM (q1sF4)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at October 11, 2013 02:53 PM (HDgX3)
But they are teaching those T-partiers a lesson, so they feel good about themselves.
They're going to feel just super fab when they start begging me for money and support in a few months.
Posted by: Sticky Wicket at October 11, 2013 02:54 PM (0IhFx)
What say we call the shutdown what it in fact is--a PARTIAL closure of selected government functions, designed to inflict pain on the citizenry.
In the name of accuracy, you understand.
Posted by: irongrampa at October 11, 2013 02:55 PM (SAMxH)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 02:55 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: jjshaka at October 11, 2013 02:55 PM (Y3YH6)
Posted by: CrotchetyOldJarhead at October 11, 2013 02:56 PM (P/47D)
In any case, both NBC and the Wall Street Journal are blazing liberals and serial liars. So their poll is worse than useless anyway. So if Boehner is stupid enough to fall for this crap, and lacks even any wisp of dignity or personal honor, I guess we're going down the tubes.
Besides that, this is a republic and if 57 % of the population want starvation, slavery, unlimited misery and death, I guess the few remaining sane people cna't do much about it.
I get up in the morning and when I get to my office, look at the news, hoping against hope that an asteroid has utterly pulverized Washington DC and environs. And no, I'm not joking.
Posted by: GaryS at October 11, 2013 02:56 PM (B+OH+)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at October 11, 2013 02:57 PM (HDgX3)
What I'd like to see is a 'private sector shutdown' Get Beck and other folks to sponsor a pledge that "I will shut down my business or take leave and make zero purchases the week or day(s) of (pick a target) unless a budget deal that cuts the 2014 projected deficit to xxx amount and/or delays Obamacare for one year is reached by then" I know a lot of people would go "but *I* cant afford to do that, I have to pay for the kid's dancing lessons" but imagine the effect if 10% of the productive class did this and the MFM and pols were confronted with what will happen if the people that fund their vote buying schemes go on strike.
Posted by: palerider at October 11, 2013 02:58 PM (dkExz)
Posted by: angel with a sword at October 11, 2013 02:58 PM (hpgw1)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 03:01 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: tasker at October 11, 2013 03:02 PM (r2PLg)
Posted by: Cachaca at October 11, 2013 03:25 PM (0cMkb)
Posted by: SFGoth at October 11, 2013 04:00 PM (sXKCc)
Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at October 11, 2013 07:06 PM (/IXKu)
Hide Comments | Add Comment | Refresh | Top
64 queries taking 0.2544 seconds, 280 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.








Posted by: artisanal 'ette: dancin' & sippin' martini w 6 olives! at October 11, 2013 02:15 PM (IXrOn)