August 18, 2013
— Monty There is a proposal being discussed in California and other states that would effectively force citizens to hand over a certain percentage of their salary to the government so that it can be saved. The rationale for this plan -- called the “Ghilarducci plan” after its most vocal proponent -- is that left to their own devices, too few people save enough of their own money for their old age. This means that citizens must lean more heavily on welfare programs on their dotage, which in turn puts extreme pressure on these government programs. The thinking goes that if citizens are forced to save at least some portion of their salary during their working years, then this will both reduce the pressure on government welfare programs and provide the citizen with another source of guaranteed income after retirement.
IÂ’m not going into any detail on these public pension proposals: they are authoritarian, badly flawed in design, and paternalistic in the worst sense of the word. I could devote a book-length treatment to the subject of why these public pension plans are silly, but right now thatÂ’s not the question that interests me.
The interesting question is: why arenÂ’t people saving enough of their own money for retirement? ItÂ’s not a phenomenon restricted to poor people, either; even comparatively well-off middle-class people go into retirement with hardly any money saved. What gives?
We must start by understanding the difference between saving and investing. They are not the same thing. When you invest money, you are putting your money at risk in an enterprise in the hopes of gaining a return on your principal capital. When you save money, thereÂ’s no expectation of capital appreciation; youÂ’re simply storing your money for use later. This is a vital distinction, but one that is increasingly muddied these days.
So the problem is not with inadequate investment; the problem is with inadequate saving. Americans simply are not storing enough of their income for use later.
Part of the problem is the confusion between investment and saving that I mentioned. Too many people (and cities, and states, and nations) assume that they can contribute less of their own money if the investment return is high enough to make up the difference. This sometimes works in a high-growth economy, but the flaw in this thinking becomes glaringly apparent during downturns and periods of slow growth. Investment means risk, and too few people appreciate how much risk they are undertaking in investment scenarios. The real risk is not that you might make 5% instead of 10% return; it is rather than you might make zero return, or even lose money on the deal. Now with a smaller stack of principal, even better performing future investments will still leave you short of where you need to be.
Something economists call “opportunity cost” is another part of the problem. If you decide to save $100 a month, that $100 dollars can no longer be used for something else. Putting away that money means not going out to dinner with the wife, or leaving the dish-washer unfixed, or no new shoes for the kid. It makes more sense to many people to spend the money on short-term needs and pleasures; to them, it is an eminently rational choice.
Everybody has to perform the mental calculus to determine if the opportunity cost of saving money is worth it...and this process is made more complex by our inability to tell the future. Human beings are hard-wired with the “bird in the hand is worth two in the bush” mentality -- better to take the short-term sure thing than the long-term bet with the higher potential payoff. Risk, in other words. Human beings seek to take the path with the lowest risk but the highest reward. But in the modern age many people simply don’t have the mental tools to perform accurate calculations of this kind. They cannot accurately assess risk.
Human beings evolved with short time preferences. ItÂ’s a survival trait. Longer time preferences really didn't start paying off until the invention of agriculture, which happened pretty recently as ages of the earth go. If you wanted to be successful at growing things, you had to think ahead -- in terms of seasons and years, not days. And because agriculture fixed you in one place, as opposed to the footloose life of a roaming hunter-gatherer, you had to start thinking about legacy: what would happen to your farm if you died or became injured?
The history of civilization is partly the history of human beings learning to have longer time preferences, of learning to calculate risk and opportunity over longer periods of time. However, this trait still does not come naturally to us as a species. The people who learn to have longer time preferences tend to be more successful because they have learned how to do this mental calculation of risk versus reward.
There is risk even in saving your money. Banks can (and do) fail; inflation can cause the saved amount to evaporate like a puddle under a hot sun; the money itself can be rendered worthless. Even if you put your gold coins in a strongbox and bury it in your yard, thereÂ’s always the chance that a thief will find it and take it. Even if no one finds the strongbox, you may die of a sudden malady or injury, and that money will be lost to history. All the foregone pleasures now seem to have been missed to no good point or purpose.
To many people, these risks tend to amplify their existing predilection towards a short time preference. The choice to forgo saving is, to them, rational. They simply find the imponderables and risks associated with saving money to be intolerable.
All of which means this: you cannot force a free people to save their own money. Given a choice in the matter, many people will simply do what humans are prone to do and prefer the short-term over the long-term. They will regret it when they are old, like as not, but regret is the bill everyone has to pay for poor decisions.
Of course this raises the dilemma with what society is to do with people (whether elderly or not) whose poor decisions have left them destitute. We have evolved a generous welfare state to deal with this problem, but it turns out that this welfare state is unsustainable. It actually incentivizes the kind of short time preference behavior that leads to the problem in the first place. If people wonÂ’t save of their own accord and canÂ’t be forced to save without turning the state into an authoritarian nightmare, what options are left?
My own answer is: you’re asking the wrong question. The world will always have rich people and poor people and people in between. It always has; it always will. But in America in this age of the world, “poor” is relative. It’s certainly nothing that a beggar in Bangladesh would recognize as poor. We’ve managed to take away the biggest incentives for people to escape poverty: starvation, disease, exposure. Our poor are well-fed, well-housed, and well-entertained. They have access to medical care that even kings of old could not have had at any price.
In short, there are few incentives in America for people to develop longer time preferences. Saving money is a behavior, not an action, and people who develop that behavior tend to have other traits as well: responsibility, intelligence, a concern for legacy, a strong work ethic, and so on. These proposed government programs, as usual, try to instill a behavior by mandating a policy...which never works, because the incentives are all wrong.
Many people see saving as a bad choice, a bad use of their limited resources. In some cases, theyÂ’re absolutely correct to think so. Saving money is not, always and everywhere, a good thing. It is, rather, a generally good behavior for a society to have. And itÂ’s a behavior that cannot be enforced by government fiat.
Posted by: Monty at
09:14 AM
| Comments (274)
Post contains 1356 words, total size 8 kb.
But the legislature in CA is controlled exclusively by the commies and the stupid voters that live in that 50 mile swatch next t the ocean put them there.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 09:17 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: backhoe at August 18, 2013 09:18 AM (ULH4o)
Oh, wait, this is another attempt to get the government a new source of funding to rob.
Posted by: Deathknyte at August 18, 2013 09:18 AM (psutb)
Posted by: bob from table9 at August 18, 2013 09:18 AM (H7qrs)
Posted by: bob from table9 at August 18, 2013 09:20 AM (H7qrs)
Posted by: Filthy Filner at August 18, 2013 09:21 AM (Aif/5)
It depends on what you "invest" in Monty. Buying stock in a large blue chip utility is the next thing to saving and you earn on the average of 5% return. Meanwhile buying CDs or even worse a savings account, you are lucky to get 1%.
However going out and buying penny stocks is not even "investing", it is legalized gamboling.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 09:21 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: contrarian at August 18, 2013 09:23 AM (vRzdo)
Posted by: RS at August 18, 2013 09:26 AM (YAGV/)
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 09:26 AM (G8OwX)
I'm in that boat right now. I have my money that's invested and that's not getting touched absent emergency. It is a nice mental safety net to know it's there at least until it gets grabbed by Our Betters and then I'll be busy with the Burning Times.
But then there's the money I'm saving and I look at that (tiny) amount and then I look at actual inflation and can't help but feel that I'm being a fool because I end up losing money. It might be a better use of that money to get the newer car and the like.
All I know is that it feels like anything I do is the wrong thing.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD, you taunty bitch. at August 18, 2013 09:27 AM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: Hillary's empty drink at August 18, 2013 09:27 AM (rCS6C)
"We must encourage people to save for their own good!"
"Now we must encourage people to spend more to grow the economy!"
"Now we must encourage people to save more for their own good!"
Etc, ad infinitum. The nudging never ends.
Posted by: JohnJ at August 18, 2013 09:27 AM (q1EYs)
But I'm sure this Californication plan won't fall into that pit....
Posted by: Bruce at August 18, 2013 09:28 AM (v6cJW)
Posted by: Gingy at August 18, 2013 09:28 AM (aH+zP)
Another angle is energy efficiency. The Enviro-weenies are distressed that people won't make an investment in a better refrigerator or the like that has a 5 year payback. Turns out the average family's discount rate is 100% - an energy saving investment has to payback in one year.
So what do the Enviro-Weenies do? They COMPEL you to save energy using force of government. No more incandescent bulbs for you peon! They've added a charge to your electric bill and give the money to the manufacturers to lower the cost of curly bulbs, the ones with the crappy green light.
Cheney was right - energy savings are a private virtue. Now California want to make saving money a public compulsion.
Screw them.
Posted by: Whitehall at August 18, 2013 09:29 AM (k876Y)
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 01:21 PM (lZvxr)
Even this is slightly oversimplified though Vic.
The difference really is between "known" and "unknown."
Even my Blue chip utility may take a every now and then.
My savings account (under 250k) will only lose money relative to inflation. (assuming I don't withdraw.) And there's good argument that savings accounts in one of the Big National Banks (i.e. BofA) are unlikely to disappear even above the FDIC limits.
The ideal is to diversify investments (but still invest) until you near retirement, and then switch to a more "known" form when you start utilizing it as income (i.e. bonds, CDs, Savings accounts.)
Of course all of this assumes that national government doesn't collapse, if so all bets are presumably off anyway since, you know..fiat currency.
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 09:30 AM (GaqMa)
Funny that the unions killed both of those. But the handwriting was on the wall for both long before they collapsed and "smart" investors could get out. However, utilities are much safer than any company that produces a product to be sold.
In return for getting a low rate of return on their "investment" utilities are virtually guaranteed to not go bankrupt. It really takes a huge calamity to bankrupt a utility.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 09:30 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: Cato at August 18, 2013 09:31 AM (DY+4I)
Posted by: zsasz at August 18, 2013 09:31 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 01:30 PM (lZvxr)
Or nationalization. Or the EPA regulating something, say coal, nearly out of business and then the government coming in to "save" the industry that it destroyed.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD, you taunty bitch. at August 18, 2013 09:32 AM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD, you taunty bitch. at August 18, 2013 01:27 PM (Gk3SS)
Heh, don't I know it.
You know, despite the budget cuts, the wife and I have still managed to squirrel away the 5% (plus employer match) in her 401k.
Which I think is good. but as I said, part of what is being failed right now is the conversion of investments to savings (i.e. people kept their wealth in investments, then the market crashed and wiped them out.)
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 01:30 PM (lZvxr)
Define utility? Are you limiting yourself to electric and gas? My electric company owns several coal plants, I suspect the next few years are not going to go for them. (They've already cut their dividend once recently.)
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 09:33 AM (GaqMa)
Posted by: RS at August 18, 2013 09:33 AM (YAGV/)
Posted by: steevy at August 18, 2013 09:33 AM (9XBK2)
http://www.usdebtclock.org/index.html
See "US Unfunded Liabilities" at the bottom...
Posted by: Drumwaster at August 18, 2013 09:35 AM (K6BSx)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD, you taunty bitch. at August 18, 2013 01:32 PM (Gk3SS)
All those "regulations" on coal were put in via executive fiat and they will be removed by executive fiat as soon as Barky 'O Blubbering Asswipe is out of office in a few years.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 09:35 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: JohnJ
I think the Libs like to push the spending because then when the peons go broke...TA DA!!!!! Big Gov to the rescue. Don't think you need to pay more tax to cover some bastard that pisses money away? Do it for the children...for the enviroment...ummmm YOUR A RACIST!!!!!
Posted by: Bruce at August 18, 2013 09:36 AM (v6cJW)
Posted by: Jones in CO at August 18, 2013 09:37 AM (8sCoq)
It takes about $1million in principle with 0 debt (including mortgage) and a way to figure out healthcare to retire even moderately.
This of course assumes a roughly 3% return (which admittedly is not likely in the near future.) and a small draw down (less than $10k/year.) Admittedly this is with 0% inflation, that part is hard to account for.
It is possible to achieve this. Statistically speaking, a 7% annual return, and 10% of a 65k income put away every year from 30-65 gets you there.
the 7% of course is based on the stock market average for any 10 years that doesn't start or end on a recession. And the 10% is admittedly pretty hard.
But it is possible. However it requires quite the dedication.
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 09:37 AM (GaqMa)
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 01:35 PM (lZvxr)
Uh. Huh.
Because there won't be massive lawsuits by one of the Green organizations that's actually supported by the EPA that will tie up the removal of those regs for years and years. Also that presumes that even a President with an (R) behind his name will revoke them. You are more optimistic about that than I.
Look, I'm not disputing your advice. It's excellent advice. But Monty is right as well, there's a risk. Everything has a risk. Hell, keeping money in a box in your house is a risk because what if someone breaks in or your house burns down or there's a tornado.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD, you taunty bitch. at August 18, 2013 09:38 AM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: Mark Zuckerberg at August 18, 2013 09:38 AM (e8kgV)
Posted by: Harry at August 18, 2013 09:39 AM (ib4tw)
Posted by: Jones in CO at August 18, 2013 09:40 AM (8sCoq)
Posted by: Ezra Klein at August 18, 2013 09:40 AM (6Oj/Y)
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 01:35 PM (lZvxr)
That's quite the assumption there.
If Shillary wins you expect her to roll back the Coal regulations as well? And what of the damage that was already done.
Heck, as noted, Ameren was too fucking stupid to realize that people will, in fact, find ways to reduce power consumption in a recession. Leaving them with less income for maintenance than they thought. And a regulatory commission that would hear nothing of the demand for price increases.
The investors took some of the hit. (And when they tried to use their "surcharge" rule to increase rates they got whammied and now customers a small amount of money back.)
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 09:41 AM (GaqMa)
Convert the currency in to commodities, precious metals or real estate.
Posted by: navybrat at August 18, 2013 09:41 AM (6msQC)
Posted by: 98ZJUSMC Waiting for the Sun at August 18, 2013 09:41 AM (ckgid)
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 01:35 PM (lZvxr)
Would President Christie do that?
Posted by: Bertram Cabot Jr. at August 18, 2013 09:41 AM (YgTB4)
Posted by: HoboJerky, Hash Hunter at August 18, 2013 09:42 AM (X4HxX)
Posted by: Mekan at August 18, 2013 09:43 AM (zG16+)
My personal favorite version of this is when water usage restrictions are put in place due to drought and then the water companies nail people with a surcharge because they didn't use enough water.
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD, you taunty bitch. at August 18, 2013 09:43 AM (Gk3SS)
Posted by: HoboJerky, Hash Hunter at August 18, 2013 01:42 PM (X4HxX)
Hell, currently the DJIA is trending ahead of inflation. (Of course it's playing leading indicator most likely.)
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 09:43 AM (GaqMa)
Posted by: Anachronda at August 18, 2013 09:43 AM (U82Km)
I wouldn't trust the gummint to hold my beer while I took a wiz
I have a friend who will say, 'Sure', and as soon as you start pissing he'll put your beer on a stump/log/rock and shoot it with his pistol.
Funny as hell when it's somebody else's beer.
Posted by: garrett at August 18, 2013 09:43 AM (kUA3r)
Posted by: SpongeBob ReaverSaget at August 18, 2013 09:44 AM (kxSZr)
Posted by: bob from table9 at August 18, 2013 09:44 AM (H7qrs)
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD, you taunty bitch. at August 18, 2013 01:43 PM (Gk3SS)
Something like 60%+ of my gas bill is just a "customer charge."
That is I pay it just to exist. During the summer when the only gas thing in my house running is the water heater, it's probably closer to 90%.
And the drive to make homes "energy efficient" is putting the squeeze on these companies.
Having said that, Laclede got smarter and is acting as banker for doing renovations. Put in insulation: Finance it right on your gas bill for a flat 3.5%.
Furnace? Same deal, slightly different interest rate. It's a brilliant recapture.
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 09:46 AM (GaqMa)
Posted by: 98ZJUSMC Waiting for the Sun at August 18, 2013 09:48 AM (ckgid)
Posted by: shredded chi at August 18, 2013 09:48 AM (82LNv)
Posted by: Dan at August 18, 2013 09:48 AM (m3gf3)
Posted by: zsasz at August 18, 2013 09:51 AM (MMC8r)
The main difference between the public pension plan and SS is (notionally) the following:
1. You actually own the pension fund as an asset, unlike in SS. You can (again, notionally) borrow against it and leave it to your heirs. It belongs to you. I seriously doubt this is how things would work out in practice, but in theory, the money you put into this pension is actual (digital) money in a (digital) vault somewhere that you own.
2. The pension is keyed to some long term rate (probably the lowest bond rate, which is now at near zero) plus inflation. SS doesn't work that way.
401(k)'s are a different animal altogether. Their main benefit is in the tax code: you contribute to them before taxes are taken out of your pay, "amplifying" the money you put in. You then pay tax on this money at a future rate, after you retire. Which may be a good deal or a horrible deal, depending on the tax environment when you retire.
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 09:51 AM (G8OwX)
Posted by: garrett at August 18, 2013 09:53 AM (kUA3r)
Posted by: SpongeBob ReaverSaget at August 18, 2013 09:53 AM (kxSZr)
Posted by: steevy at August 18, 2013 09:54 AM (9XBK2)
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 09:55 AM (G8OwX)
Posted by: Zombie Jim Jones at August 18, 2013 09:57 AM (C8mVl)
Since we're on a new thread, I want to refer to a comment made in the last one. Retired Buckeye Cop said “You might be interested in Panzer Warfare on the Eastern Front by Hans Schaufler.” Read it. :->
“Overall, it is an interesting book, but it can be grim reading. A couple of the highlights was that the Russian T-34 tank was a huge shock to the Germans in 1941, their short-barreled 50mm guns couldn't do sh!t to the T-34 further away than 500-meters and the German Panzer III tanks had a bad habit of having the turret shear off the hull when it took a direct hit from the Russian 76.2mm gun. Oh, the Germans also had to deploy their 105mm howitzers in direct-fire mode to deal with the T-34s until they upgraded their own tanks.”
///
Actually, the short-barreled 50s couldnÂ’t do sh!t to the T-34 from 500 inches. There was simply insufficient caliber and velocity. Ironically, Hitler ordered that panzers be equipped with long barrels, but the ordnance office ignored him. Also, the primary direct-fire mode weapon used against the T-34 (and heavier KV1s and 2s) was the 88mm anti-aircraft gun, which it was famous for doing. It was later incorporated into the Tiger. Panthers had the 75mm.
Posted by: SFGoth at August 18, 2013 09:57 AM (t2cD9)
Ok wildly off topic. But I just played through assassins creed II. (Never played Assassins Creed One). Most wildly anticatholic anti christian agitprop imaginable. Not apparaent until you are mostly through it.
The main character eventually gets initiated into the assassins guild with ritual chant - "nothing is true, everything is permissible". If that's the Creed then its a stupid one. Then it gets worse.
Not giving it away but if you go to youtube Assassins creed II the movie. Someone put all the cutscenes together and its about a 3 hour long movie. At hour 2:34 is the initiation scene. 15 minutes after that he battles the Pope and enters the "vault" under the vatican. Then it gets really bad.
Ironically, at the start up screen the game has a comment that it was created by a multi religious multi culti group. Funny how it wound up so incredibly one sided and antichrisitian.
I knew it was going to be at least immoral, but the level of blatant evil is quite a jolt. (Yes I know its a game where you go around killing people. I thought they were at least going to try and sugar coat it or justify it somehow. Neeeeeewwwwwwpppp. Giant helping of evil with side of nihilistic solopsistic narcissism.)
Where are the heros it popular culture? They are all antiheros now. Sucks.
Posted by: sad rodeo clown at August 18, 2013 09:58 AM (BmWNr)
Posted by: steevy at August 18, 2013 10:00 AM (9XBK2)
Posted by: steevy at August 18, 2013 10:01 AM (9XBK2)
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 01:33 PM (GaqMa)
late response got another phone call.
Our local utility had to shutdown 3 older plants due to the new Obamanite EPA rules. However, all they will do is use more gas turbine power during peak load periods. Which the customers will have to pay for. If they had to cut dividend payments it was more than likely a one-time write off if they had to close the coal mines.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 10:01 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: SFGoth at August 18, 2013 10:01 AM (t2cD9)
Posted by: lowandslow at August 18, 2013 10:02 AM (APJIX)
Posted by: NotCoach at August 18, 2013 10:03 AM (NJNBv)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 18, 2013 10:04 AM (jE38p)
Lord help us.
Posted by: John B. in CA at August 18, 2013 10:04 AM (xaBAO)
Posted by: Dept. Of Acuracy at August 18, 2013 10:05 AM (MhA4j)
For the children.
Posted by: Zombie Jim Jones at August 18, 2013 01:57 PM (C8mVl)
He has a point. Socialism always works if you're willing to kill enough people.
Posted by: Blanco Basura at August 18, 2013 10:05 AM (JawqV)
Social Security
Public employee pension funds
Al Gore's "lock box"
Josef Stalin
Posted by: mrp at August 18, 2013 10:05 AM (HjPtV)
Yeah steevy - Will not be doing AC III what they did to american history I can only shudder to think. Heat to think kids are playing these games.
Not so much the violence as the poisonous philosopy.
God the propaganda efforts of the progressive left are mind boggling. Their ultimate goal is to destroy the minds of children, so the never mature in to free thinking adults.
Posted by: sad rodeo clown at August 18, 2013 10:05 AM (BmWNr)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 18, 2013 10:06 AM (jE38p)
Posted by: Dept. Of Acuracy at August 18, 2013 10:06 AM (MhA4j)
Posted by: nnptcgrad at August 18, 2013 10:06 AM (Opyrm)
Posted by: steevy at August 18, 2013 10:07 AM (9XBK2)
Then what..? Oh, yes, the government will also force me to save for my retirement.
The Land of the Free of Responsibility and the Home of the Brave New World.
Posted by: Mallfly at August 18, 2013 10:07 AM (bJm7W)
Early on, IIRC, the thing that had the long 50 was the assault gun, which was like a tank but without a rotating turret. Non-rotating turrets can handle heavier and larger cannons more easily. German panzer theory was based on mobility, not firepower or protection, and not until Barbarossa did they realize that might work against the French, but not the Sovs. Germany simply had no heavy tanks until the Tiger in 1942, even though both France and Russia had such, albeit, that was unknown as to Russia.
Posted by: SFGoth at August 18, 2013 10:07 AM (t2cD9)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 18, 2013 10:08 AM (jE38p)
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 01:55 PM (G8OwX)
While you are correct that a 401(k) is an investment, you wildly overstate the investment options available to employees in most plans. Generally a corporation selects a provider for their plan (such as Fidelity), and then a very limited subset of Fidelity products will be made available to employees. It's a sweetheart deal for the corporation and for Fidelity, but a sub-standard investment opportunity for employees.
To get "creative" as you suggest, you generally have to quit and roll your 401(k) over into an IRA. Then your investment options will once again approximate the normal range of market opportunities.
Posted by: TH at August 18, 2013 10:08 AM (s4eYP)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:09 AM (j3uqc)
Posted by: steevy at August 18, 2013 10:10 AM (9XBK2)
Posted by: Mallfly at August 18, 2013 10:11 AM (bJm7W)
Posted by: steevy at August 18, 2013 10:12 AM (9XBK2)
Posted by: halodoc at August 18, 2013 10:12 AM (Fzbp3)
The modern state and fiat money have replaced or is attempting to replace the family and wealth with the assurance that the state is effectively immortal and all knowing. Within living memory fiat money is "worth" 100 times less and the family has nearly disintegrated in much of our society. The nuclear family of today (if you are lucky) is two generations under one roof rather than three, four or even five generations as previously.
This means that cultural continuity and economic stability is now a one or two generation event for the the most successful of us and is nearly gone for the less fortunate. Thus our culture is less robust.
This is the weak point of Western Civilization and is, it seems to me, the mechanism by which it is destroyed. Our own utopians have woven the fabric of our end.
Posted by: wjr at August 18, 2013 10:12 AM (NT7t4)
And you were a fool if you didn't do something because they matched 50% of your contributions up to 6% of your gross pay.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 10:13 AM (lZvxr)
Excellent. Think also about how anti-family the concept of a "living wage" is. The presumption is that everyone, at every stage of life, should be able to earn enough in any job to support themselves living alone (and perhaps children as well). When did not needing anyone become the definition of "living"?
Posted by: ivan skavar at August 18, 2013 10:13 AM (7nhuY)
Posted by: AndrewsDad at August 18, 2013 10:14 AM (vYJuY)
Posted by: Zombie Jim Jones at August 18, 2013 10:15 AM (C8mVl)
I was thinking the same thing, who can save anything when a big chunk of your pay is just going to be forced from you.
Posted by: lowandslow at August 18, 2013 10:15 AM (APJIX)
Posted by: sexypig at August 18, 2013 10:15 AM (dZQh7)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 18, 2013 02:08 PM (jE38p)
Why don't they just go ahead and create The Hillary Channel?
Posted by: Bertram Cabot Jr. at August 18, 2013 10:16 AM (YgTB4)
Why would they. Either they bet that the government will take someone else's money to support you, or if you are a saver by nature, the government will take your money to support someone else.
If there were a way to prevent politicians from having control of the forced savings, I'd be for it.
Posted by: pep at August 18, 2013 10:16 AM (6TB1Z)
Posted by: The Political Hat at August 18, 2013 10:17 AM (Vk2pI)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 18, 2013 10:17 AM (jE38p)
That's true, but the standard German AT gun was a essentially a towed or horse-drawn 37mm, 2 (3?)-man howitzer. The assault gun, or jagdpanzer, was a turretless tank. Huge difference.
Posted by: SFGoth at August 18, 2013 10:17 AM (t2cD9)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:18 AM (j3uqc)
Wasn't Social Security supposed to be that? The Gov't takes a portion of your paycheck all your working life.in return they send you a monthly check after you turned 65. Or is it 67?
Posted by: deepred at August 18, 2013 10:18 AM (rUiSC)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 18, 2013 10:19 AM (jE38p)
Posted by: Mallfly at August 18, 2013 02:11 PM (bJm7W)
You are confusing the annual limits on tax-deferred contributions with investment returns. There is no advantage in contributing more money to a plan if you are going to earn less return.
All earnings in 401(k)'s and IRA's alike are tax-deferred. But the investment options in 401(k)'s are severely constrained, generally by sweetheart deals negotiated between the corporation and their chosen plan administrator with little regard to the benefit to employees.
Posted by: TH at August 18, 2013 10:19 AM (s4eYP)
Posted by: TH at August 18, 2013 02:19 PM (s4eYP)
Maybe, though I think most retirement plans can probably beat the returns on savings accounts these days...
Posted by: KG at August 18, 2013 10:20 AM (IPz9m)
Posted by: steevy at August 18, 2013 10:20 AM (9XBK2)
Posted by: lowandslow at August 18, 2013 10:21 AM (APJIX)
That is because the houses that were around in those times were about 10K to 15K sq ft 2 and 3 story monstrosities. Inflation has caused those houses to go for almost $1M today with accompanying property taxes that are out the roof. Also, heating and cooling also take an arm and a leg.
The average person has lost dearly on the inflation game which started when commie FDR came into office and tried all of his stupid BS to "get us out of the depression". And the only thing he accomplished was making it worse and creating runaway inflation.
Look at some of those old pictures of local grocery markets and Shorpy. You can see the prices on a lot of stuff.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 10:21 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: SpongeBob ReaverSaget at August 18, 2013 10:21 AM (kxSZr)
Posted by: NSA, enemy of two-ply at August 18, 2013 10:22 AM (Vk2pI)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:22 AM (j3uqc)
Posted by: SFGoth at August 18, 2013 10:22 AM (t2cD9)
Posted by: bob from table9 at August 18, 2013 10:22 AM (H7qrs)
Posted by: Serious Cat at August 18, 2013 10:22 AM (UOjzE)
I have no idea what you're talking about.
Posted by: Zombie Trayvon at August 18, 2013 10:22 AM (6TB1Z)
Posted by: Jones in CO at August 18, 2013 01:40 PM (8sCoq)
Just trying to catch up, between household chores, on a very interesting thread. Got as far as this comment and paused to give a high-five to Jones!!
Posted by: Peaches at August 18, 2013 10:22 AM (8lmkt)
Posted by: kbdabear at August 18, 2013 10:23 AM (/9IC1)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:25 AM (j3uqc)
Insty has a link to an article about Phoebe Cates, and the fact that she is now 50. Still looks good, although I'd have to see her in a red bikini for research purposes.
Posted by: pep at August 18, 2013 10:26 AM (6TB1Z)
This is the main reason for a lack of savings. In a stable monetary system, people save. They do this naturally when they know that dollar they save today is going to be worth at least a dollar in 10 years.
The dollar has lost something like 97% of its value from the time the Federal Reserve was instituted by Congress until today.
Inflation is a feature of that cartel banking system, not a bug. It is a direct expression of the Keynesian (i.e., bullshit) theory that saving money is bad, and that money must therefore be forced out of the hands of savers (whom the government sees as hoarders), so as to encourage monetary liquidity.
The government can cajole, blame, hector and bully people all day every day, but the only way to improve people's sub-optimal economic behavior is almost always just to stop encouraging it.
In other words, the root cause of sub-optimal economic behavior, in the aggregate, is almost always a direct response to some asinine, collectivist, anti-freedom and anti-property governmental rule or program that ought to be repealed.
Posted by: Phinn at August 18, 2013 10:26 AM (oFH2D)
Posted by: Gregory of Yardale at August 18, 2013 10:28 AM (X1lGS)
TO DO
1. Depose America-friendly ME dictator.
2. Arrange overpaid network position for Chelsea
3. More cigars for Bill. He's out again.
4. Find someone who can translate RESET into Russian.
5. Get dry cleaning.
6. Listen to some African brats sing a song.
7. Leak new Weiner dick pics to media.
8. Tongue session with Huma.
Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at August 18, 2013 10:28 AM (ehEyA)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:29 AM (j3uqc)
Posted by: Avi at August 18, 2013 10:30 AM (z9OI2)
If you do not save something you are going to be in a ditch coughing up your guts from the TB brought in by your next door neighbors from south of the border.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 10:30 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 18, 2013 10:30 AM (jE38p)
Posted by: The Political Hat at August 18, 2013 10:31 AM (Vk2pI)
Posted by: Phinn
You mean like paying inflated prices for marijuana because it's illegal?
Posted by: SFGoth at August 18, 2013 10:31 AM (t2cD9)
Posted by: HumA Weiner at August 18, 2013 10:32 AM (Aif/5)
Posted by: KG at August 18, 2013 10:32 AM (IPz9m)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:33 AM (j3uqc)
I can only hope this crap backfires and makes a lot of LIVs sick of the very thought of her.
Posted by: epobirs at August 18, 2013 10:33 AM (kcfmt)
Not a bad trade.
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 02:33 PM (j3uqc)
Don't tell the EPA.
Posted by: KG at August 18, 2013 10:34 AM (IPz9m)
Posted by: Weirddave at August 18, 2013 10:35 AM (aH+zP)
Yeah, I was a dumbass . . .
Posted by: Peaches at August 18, 2013 10:35 AM (8lmkt)
Posted by: justshootme at August 18, 2013 10:35 AM (sJfMO)
Posted by: SpongeBob ReaverSaget at August 18, 2013 10:35 AM (kxSZr)
The inflated weed price itself is only part of it. You have to include the cost of the (unconstitutional) War on Drugs.
There's also the inferior quality of the product due to it being produced in a black market.
The costs of bad laws have no limit.
Posted by: Phinn at August 18, 2013 10:37 AM (oFH2D)
Posted by: Margarita who is saving 2 cookies for tonight at August 18, 2013 10:37 AM (C8mVl)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:37 AM (j3uqc)
Every two weeks, Uncle Sam leaves a twenty-spot and an ice pack on the night stand for services rendered.
Posted by: Fritz at August 18, 2013 10:38 AM (K7xnX)
Posted by: Chris_Balsz at August 18, 2013 10:39 AM (5FTda)
Oh we're talking Assassin's Creed now?
I haven't played 3.
I'd note that the time ACII takes place is during the Borgia reign of the church. Not exactly our finest hour.
As far as the "Nothing is true, everything is Permitted." They take that apart in the 1st game. It's supposed to be a throwback to Machiavelli and a lesser extent Nietzsche (admittedly the first game takes place prior to both of those, but obviously the writers were influenced by those two.)
Given that the first game was accused of being anti-Muslem, I get the feeling their sorta "equal opportunity haters."
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 10:39 AM (GaqMa)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 02:37 PM (j3uqc)
Canada doesn't have its own version? Wouldn't have figured.
Posted by: KG at August 18, 2013 10:40 AM (IPz9m)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:41 AM (j3uqc)
There more of a thing there is, the less it is worth. I don't care if we are talking about hair spray or hamburgers or Hondas.
So, save your money, but diversify the heck out of it, because one day all of this monetary chicanery will have some real consequences.
Posted by: navybrat at August 18, 2013 10:41 AM (6msQC)
Posted by: nothinglefttolose at August 18, 2013 10:43 AM (tWrwm)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:43 AM (j3uqc)
Posted by: Captain Hate on an iPhone at August 18, 2013 10:44 AM (4OpkQ)
Posted by: mr butrns at August 18, 2013 10:44 AM (x9msV)
That's one thing and the other is bound up in how you define "poor". When you get far out into the backwoods you'll find the people there trade in hand skills or the products thereof. Paper money is more for dealing with taxes and fancy things your women may favor.
Hand skills and research into stable 3rd world countries can make for a pleasant retirement. The Brits have been doing this for a long while. Not such a large sum is needed.
Posted by: lost hillbilly at August 18, 2013 10:44 AM (GggJE)
Posted by: bob from table9 at August 18, 2013 10:49 AM (H7qrs)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 02:41 PM (j3uqc)
Will send a resume and letters of recommendation. I also have really good credit and can help with the downpayment. I will need my own room. And electricity. Anything else is somewhat negotiable.
:-)
Posted by: Peaches at August 18, 2013 10:50 AM (8lmkt)
Posted by: Peaches at August 18, 2013 02:50 PM (8lmkt)
I brew beer.
Also theoretically I can distill (I've done small scale distilling in the lab, obviously larger scale requires space and equipment that would be very hard to hide here.)
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 10:51 AM (GaqMa)
Posted by: Gregory of Yardale at August 18, 2013 10:52 AM (XwDPQ)
Posted by: toby928© at August 18, 2013 10:52 AM (QupBk)
This is now.
Inflation is real. The government lies about it constantly. That is why it excludes food and fuel from its calculations. Take the most volatile aspects out of your calculations and everything is peachy.
Posted by: navybrat at August 18, 2013 10:53 AM (6msQC)
Posted by: bob from table9 at August 18, 2013 10:54 AM (H7qrs)
Posted by: Ned Reid at August 18, 2013 10:56 AM (sJH4q)
Posted by: Miguel Ambivalence@sven10077 at August 18, 2013 10:56 AM (j3uqc)
Posted by: Die Trying at August 18, 2013 10:56 AM (w7J/R)
Posted by: georgeofthedesert at August 18, 2013 10:56 AM (Eq2MX)
How about the effect of TV and advertising. As never before we are bombarded with the message that what we need to be happy is a transaction away. That having the next thing will make us better somehow. That we the Jones have more than we so it's time to catch up.
That from the guy who just dropped 13K for a new hot tub...
Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at August 18, 2013 10:57 AM (dPkj5)
and do you remember that show a couple of years ago with Geena Davis as President? Did anyone actually watch that show? I saw the first episode -- rubbish.
If they want a show based on Hillary! as Sec of State, they should go for realism and get Rosie O (in drag) to play the lead role.
Remember, when anyone tells you about Hillary!'s accomplishments, ask for one thing of note she did in eight years as a Senator.
Posted by: Mallfly at August 18, 2013 10:58 AM (bJm7W)
Posted by: David Gillies at August 18, 2013 10:59 AM (wscOM)
I wouldn't trust the gummint to hold my beer while I took a wizz
---
OK, you hold the beer, we'll hold your pecker.
Posted by: Barney Frank at August 18, 2013 10:59 AM (dPkj5)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at August 18, 2013 10:59 AM (HDgX3)
If this country fails,so too will the rest of the world. Isn't anything to replace us.
That means I will be right here rebuilding what I can.
Also means that anything I can do to prevent such a catastrophe is going to be done.
Y'all can help or not,your choice.
Posted by: irongrampa at August 18, 2013 11:01 AM (SAMxH)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at August 18, 2013 11:01 AM (HDgX3)
Look at government incentives...er...disincentives for saving money. Taxes, write-offs and loopholes. Start there.
Remember the eighties and early nineties, when it was 'cheaper' to go into debt and get tax write-offs instead of saving or investing your money? You were actually penalized for saving and investing your own money. You still are. That hasn't changed. It's only gotten worse. These days, you think it's all normal Because this negative economic behavior and incentives have become normalized, you can't figure out why people don't save their money in this day and age. The government then sold going into debt as a way to get rich and 'save' money. The American people, in general, bought it, hook, line, sinker.
Currently, there are other problems involving banking and banking regulations that place disincentives in the way of saving money. Add in the fact of 'hidden' inflation, and you're better off spending your money than letting the government or the banks get it.
You're conflating cause and effect and are trying to solve the wrong problem.
You want people to save money and invest it? Get government out of the way, first.
Posted by: Warren Bonesteel at August 18, 2013 11:02 AM (klGLB)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at August 18, 2013 02:59 PM (HDgX3)
And turn down the employee match?
By that logic, I'd have to loose 5% or more on my 401k to justify running away from it.
Listen, admittedly the 401k isn't doing great right now, but it's still gaining money, not loosing. (Even the dead end one from my last job is more or less holding steady.)
I'd have to add up my contributions, but I'm 99.99% certain that I haven't lost my employee match in value, much less my employee match plus any or my money.
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 11:04 AM (GaqMa)
That means I will be right here rebuilding what I can.
Also means that anything I can do to prevent such a catastrophe is going to be done.
Y'all can help or not,your choice.
Posted by: irongrampa at August 18, 2013 03:01 PM (SAMxH)
Right on, irongrampa, you are so right. I am not leaving this country. Count me in!
Posted by: Peaches at August 18, 2013 11:05 AM (8lmkt)
Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at August 18, 2013 03:01 PM (HDgX3)
This makes sense if you switch to one of the smaller phone companies (like Straight Talk) where you have to bring your own phone.
If you're on any of the big 3, take your upgrade as often as you get it. They've already factored in the price of the phone into the plan, so by not upgrading every 2 years (or 18 months is what AT&T lets me do) you're losing money.
But yeah the whole "new device anytime" phone leasing thing is really strange.
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 11:06 AM (GaqMa)
She introduced the bill to provide 2-1-1 service.
roflmao
Posted by: SpongeBob ReaverSaget at August 18, 2013 11:06 AM (kxSZr)
Although I save in 401K accounts, I do so with some awareness that (1) There are actually dickheads in the government who want to confiscate the accounts 'for my protection' Argentina style but don't yet have the numbers to pull this off, and (2) The hyper-inflation that's coming will tend to destroy the value of savings, and the artificially low interest rates imposed by the government to 'stimulate the economy' or whatever are currently preventing use of instruments such as money market funds to offset the inflation losses.
People don't trust the future.
By the way, if the proposed mandatory savings program were ever enacted, the money would be stolen by the government and replaced with some worthless IOU, just like Social Security. You can count on it.
Posted by: Wm T Sherman at August 18, 2013 11:06 AM (rNCEP)
------------
They're a decent option for people who don't know much about investing but want to put some money away for retirement. Yes, there are better options if you know what you're doing, but it beats leaving your money in bonds or a passbook account for 30 years.
The idea that average people can invest as well as professionals can is a fallacy -- you take your car to a mechanic, you have your plumbing fixed by a plumber. You do this because the risk of failure in these endeavors is high and the impact of failure is likewise high. How much higher will both variables be in money-management?
But remember: I'm talking about *investing* here, not *saving*. Anybody can, and should, save. It's not hard, or even particularly complicated. It just involves some decision-making about what you are and are not willing to sacrifice in the short-term.
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 11:06 AM (G8OwX)
Posted by: Null at August 18, 2013 11:08 AM (P7hip)
Look at Pacific Gas and Electric in 2001. The state government wrote a law to make them fail by buying on a floating power market while fixing retail income. After they came out of bankruptcy, the state government made their butt boy. The new CEO can implement the latest lunacy from the state fast enough. They become a back channel method of taxation through electric rates.
Posted by: Whitehall at August 18, 2013 11:08 AM (k876Y)
Posted by: Jerry Brown at August 18, 2013 11:09 AM (ZuiHO)
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 03:06 PM (G8OwX)
Arguably yes.
Direct deposit has changed that though. It requires less thought than it used to.
My wife and I put $25 every pay period into our savings account directly. Is it a ton, no, but it's some, and it's done automagically! We don't even see the money.
What never hits our checking account is a lot easier not to spend.
Back when I had full employment we put half my check in there automatically as well (now that I'm doing the academic equivalent of Odd Jobs, my entire check goes in there, but it's significantly less.)
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 11:10 AM (GaqMa)
Would California follow the same plan as Chile or Singapore did? If not, why not? The answer to that shows why it's a bad idea.
Posted by: Blanco Basura at August 18, 2013 11:11 AM (JawqV)
Posted by: Jerry Brown at August 18, 2013 03:09 PM (ZuiHO)
Prize linked savings would make more sense.
But those are illegal because government wants control over the lottery.
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 11:13 AM (GaqMa)
What never hits our checking account is a lot easier not to spend.
------------
Sure, and good on you for doing it. But are you doing it for retirement or just "in case"? There are many kinds of saving, and I argue that the strongest case for saving has almost nothing to do with retirement because none of us can see that far ahead. I encourage saving for emergencies and unexpected opportunities. If the water heater breaks or the car blows a head-gasket or one of the kids breaks his leg playing soccer, you don't have to go into debt to fix it. If you want to put in a new toolshed or replace the ailing lawnmower, you can do it without going into debt.
Having money saved acts as a buffer against the vicissitudes of life. Carrying debt reduces that buffer.
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 11:13 AM (G8OwX)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:14 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:16 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Margarita who is saving 2 cookies for tonight at August 18, 2013 11:17 AM (C8mVl)
Posted by: The Political Hat at August 18, 2013 11:17 AM (Vk2pI)
Oh, wait, this is another attempt to get the government a new source of funding to rob.
Posted by: Deathknyte at August 18, 2013 01:18 PM (psutb)
Yes - Levin interviewed her a few years ago, and her plan consisted of this and seizing of existing 401Ks to put into a government run 'annuity'.
I kept thinking: Isn't this what Social Security promised?
I told one of my coworkers about it and he laughed. They would never seize 401Ks, he said.
Wonder if he still thinks that is implausible. It's funny how supposedly smart people just refuse to see what is staring them in the face. Until it is too late, then they say 'I didn't see it coming'.
Posted by: blindside at August 18, 2013 11:18 AM (ajjwb)
Monty, there's no reason that the savings described can't be both-as circumstances MAY dictate.
Posted by: irongrampa at August 18, 2013 11:18 AM (SAMxH)
1) Africans are not allowed to immigrate to India
2) banks in India are paying 10% interest for retirement funds
3) there is forced retirement in India at age 60
Posted by: Kevin Bacon at August 18, 2013 11:20 AM (e8kgV)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:21 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 03:13 PM (G8OwX)
The small savings is for "buffer"
The 401k (which people here seem to hate) is also automagically withdrawn, and we don't see that either.
And thusly it doesn't get taken into account when we create our budget.
Will it be enough to retire on? Unclear. Currently no. At current accrual rates (i.e. just projecting forward our yearly average) assuming retirement in 40 years we'd be looking at just about 250k in principle.
Not enough.
BUT.
I don't really plan on current accrual rates because: a) As we go along, growth in actual dollars should accelerate just due to higher principles b) I plan to not be unemployed for ever and c) I don't plan on my wife's job being locked at this salary forever either. (i.e. when I get a job our retirement savings rate will increase.)
I'm not a fan of the authoritarian "YOU MUST CONTRIBUTE" scheme. However, if we convince people to set up contributions, I'm willing to be inertia will set in and people will not undo it.
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 11:21 AM (GaqMa)
Posted by: Paranoidgirlinseattle at August 18, 2013 11:21 AM (RZ8pf)
Posted by: Golden Eyes the Cat at August 18, 2013 11:23 AM (qBtUE)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:24 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:25 AM (bb5+k)
One of the big reasons I think people don't save these days is that the government has basically made saving money a state crime. The whole monetary and fiscal system is set up to encourage consumption (and secondarily investing) and to punish saving. I remember back in the 80's when I was in the Marine Corps I got paid something like 500 dollars and change a month. Since I lived in the barracks and ate in the mess hall, and beer at the E-club was ridiculously cheap, I just banked about 400 dollars a month in savings. I think the interest rate on a savings account was like 3-5% in those days, so when I got out of my initial active duty contract I had a nice little nest egg of several thousand dollars, which bought me a 4 year education at a state university.
I got an advertisement from my bank recently offering me their super-secret interest rate if I opened up a savings account with them. The rate was 0.8%. Are you eff'n kidding me? I would rather just stick it in a coffee can at home.
Posted by: TanarUr at August 18, 2013 11:25 AM (S4N/h)
Posted by: bob from table9 at August 18, 2013 11:25 AM (H7qrs)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:29 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:30 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: TanarUr at August 18, 2013 11:31 AM (S4N/h)
------------
There is a theory is that money "in motion" is more efficient than money "at rest". Invested capital promotes growth; saved money just sits there and does nothing. This was the motivation behind the implementation of fractional-reserve banking; rather than let all that cash sit in a vault, it was determined to be better to put it to use in investment vehicles so it could grow.
I'm not opposed to this idea, actually. China is a good example of an economy that takes saving to an extreme, and suffers for it. Too much capital gets bound up in savings, and thus the private sector suffers because there are comparatively fewer dollars chasing consumer goods and services.
The problem is that the Keynesians fractured the real-money underpinnings of the monetary system, and replaced it with fiat money. In a sound economy, money has actual value; it's not just pieces of paper. Whether it's "in motion" or "at rest", it carries its value with it. In the fiat system this is not the case -- "value" is determined at the point of contact, and thus is highly variable as to time and place. This spells high volatility, and over time, a terrible depreciation in the value of each unit of currency. Keynesianism would never work in a hard-money system, which is why as Keynesianism rose, so did the notion of fiat currency.
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 11:33 AM (G8OwX)
Posted by: Three Card Monte at August 18, 2013 11:34 AM (mETGQ)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:35 AM (bb5+k)
When wife and I were young IRA'swere hot. We maxed out the contribution (3k,iirc) dividing it by 52. We made the contribution into a dedicated savings account, taking it of the top BEFORE any other expenditures.
40-some odd years later, there is a handsome sum for each of us, in addition to the other stuff we have.
So you CAN save, but it takes determination.
Posted by: irongrampa at August 18, 2013 11:35 AM (SAMxH)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:37 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Huggy at August 18, 2013 11:38 AM (nZj0F)
----
We-e-e-ll...kind of. I'm a goldbug, but I wouldn't advocate a return to the gold standard for lots of complicated reasons it would take too long to explain. But I would like a return to hard money, perhaps based on an internationally-recognized basket of commodities or something. The world financial exchanges are mature enough to make such a system viable, and exchange rates can be almost instantly propagated to remove the arbitrage problem between local currencies. I also advocate a privatized currency (actually, several of them, for redundancy) keyed to this system. Think something like Bitcoin, only less inefficient.
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 11:38 AM (G8OwX)
Posted by: irongrampa at August 18, 2013 03:35 PM (SAMxH)
How long before you didn't even notice the contributions?
When I first started working I put the max into everything, and just dealt with being short at the end of the month. I quickly got used to it. It wasn't even a big deal after a year or two.
And an unexpected benefit was my learning how to cook. It's a lot easier to handle being broke for a week every month when you know you can eat well at home.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at August 18, 2013 11:40 AM (gqgiP)
212 Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 03:33 PM
Exactly so, Monty. That is why I just don't understand when people come up with these articles from time to time bemoaning the fact that people don't save money anymore. I mean why the f**k would they? In the past, we had the old parable of the ant and the grasshopper, and we all were told we should be like the ant. These days, the ant would be a numbnutz and the grasshopper is held up as the model of financial "patriotism", as Joe F. Biden would say.
Posted by: TanarUr at August 18, 2013 11:40 AM (S4N/h)
Posted by: Huggy at August 18, 2013 03:38 PM (nZj0F)
Of course they did during the depression. FDR did it by nationalizing gold and setting the price by smelling his own farts while in the bed in the mornings.
That is when the great inflation race started and it has never stopped. The numbers you see right now are an outright lie.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 11:41 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:41 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 03:38 PM (G8OwX)
Vote for me and silver and I will make you rich!
Posted by: William Jennings Bryan at August 18, 2013 11:41 AM (gqgiP)
Posted by: Low Information Voter at August 18, 2013 11:42 AM (Dwehj)
Posted by: sauropod at August 18, 2013 11:42 AM (G/vW6)
well, hello, my friend!! did you enjoy last night's major league baseball game? bwahahahahaha!!!
Posted by: Peaches at August 18, 2013 11:43 AM (8lmkt)
Posted by: Low Information Voter at August 18, 2013 11:44 AM (Dwehj)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:44 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Low Information Voter at August 18, 2013 11:45 AM (Dwehj)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:47 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at August 18, 2013 03:40 PM (gqgiP)
I suspect this is going to vary by situation.
My wife never noticed the contributions. In part because we had more money than we needed (i.e. we were living below our means.)
Now that such is not the case, we don't really "notice" the less money in that in our case it's all auto withdrawn.
We took the net going to our primary checking account as our "income" and went from there.
If you pretend the money going into the various savings mechanisms "doesn't exist" (and for all intents and purposes it doesn't) it makes it harder to miss it.
(Of course as Monty pointed out, you need and additional "buffer" if we didn't have the cash savings account precisely for that, it'd probably be more tempting to turn off the retirement account contributions.)
(We also have an odd IRA, but that was a tax dodge to drop us a tax bracket one year.)
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 11:47 AM (GaqMa)
--------
Yeah, I've heard variants of that. In fact, that's what the whole carbon-trading racket is supposed to be based on. Most of the theories I've heard are little more than witchcraft; there's not much science to it.
Money and energy seem like they should be linked because energy is scarce, and for money to be worth anything, it must be either made of something scarce (gold) or based on something that is scarce. Any valuable thing is almost by definition rare to some degree. The idea is that as our ability to generate energy grows, so does our collective wealth. If you key a currency to a unit of energy (say, a calorie of heat) then your national wealth scales with your energy output. In the abstract, this isn't a bad idea, but in practice, it's hard to do.
And there is the problem of "energy inflation". If there are financial rewards to over-generation of energy, we will do it because the incentive would be there to do it. You'd have a bunch of worthless generating plants being built to generate power ("wealth"), but without the ability to actually deliver that energy in any useful form to the economy. (The Chinese are notorious for this.)
Posted by: Monty at August 18, 2013 11:50 AM (G8OwX)
Yeah. Inflation.
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 03:44 PM (bb5+k)
The best quote I have every seen about the $20 gold piece came from Guns and Ammo way back in the 60s. They were doing a review of the venerable Winchester Model 94 and they said "way back when this gun was first released you could buy one for a $20 gold piece. You can still buy one for a $20 gold piece." I laughed my ass off. And that was in the 60s.
Someone said earlier that the dollar has dropped 97% in the past 75 years are so. That is a huge underestimate. It has dropped 40% using the false Obama numbers just since Obama took office.
If you look at the old small grocery stores pictures on Shorpy you will see that back in the early 30s a can of Campbell's soup cost 5 cents. (Think convenience story here too). Now at Amazon it runs $1.20/can plus shipping if you buy a whole case. I would hate to see the price in a convenience store. Probably along the lines of $2.50.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 11:53 AM (lZvxr)
Posted by: TanarUr at August 18, 2013 11:53 AM (S4N/h)
Posted by: YIKES! at August 18, 2013 11:55 AM (mETGQ)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 11:57 AM (bb5+k)
Posted by: National Debt at August 18, 2013 11:59 AM (mETGQ)
Posted by: National Debt at August 18, 2013 03:59 PM (mETGQ)
Oh the accounting tricks of fanny and Freddie finally ran out.
Posted by: tsrblke at August 18, 2013 12:02 PM (GaqMa)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 12:02 PM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Diogenes' Lamp at August 18, 2013 12:04 PM (bb5+k)
Posted by: Marsha at August 18, 2013 12:08 PM (ZtHV9)
More and more, the family destruction that these schemes engenders is being seen in all segments. The government has long replaced the father in black families, and now it's hitting white families too. In the lower classes, single motherhood, with a bunch of different daddies, is becoming the norm. And in the old days, elderly parents moved in with the kids. Most people don't do that now!
So they destroy our support structures, then step it in with even draconian measures to mop up the damage. It's a terrible cycle, and I'm afraid of where it will all end.
Posted by: PJ at August 18, 2013 12:11 PM (ZWaLo)
Posted by: DeBeers & Co. at August 18, 2013 12:23 PM (MtEMa)
Posted by: Bufalobob at August 18, 2013 12:23 PM (5JL0Z)
Posted by: phunctor [/i][/b][/u][/s] at August 18, 2013 12:27 PM (E0PaU)
Oh, drive through the fuckin' projects sometime and check out all the satellite dishes . . . I don't have that, I guess because a lot of my money goes for their fuckin' dole bucks.
Posted by: Peaches at August 18, 2013 12:30 PM (8lmkt)
Posted by: TanarUr at August 18, 2013 12:32 PM (S4N/h)
With that said: People are idiots.
I've worked in HR, and you wouldn't believe the % of people who don't join the 401(k) plan. People with high paying jobs - sometimes in 6 figures - who don't want to have 4% of their pre-tax income taken (untaxed!) and then matched dollar for dollar (or thereabouts).
I've been in plans where you get a 50% match, a 75% match, and 100% for the first 3 or 4% of your GROSS.
But people still refuse to do it.
So... why, again, should I help them when they get to 65 years old and have nothing? What is my "responsibility" to them, again?
People making $25,000/year, working hard, that I can understand... those are good people who don't have the cash to save.
But if you are making above $35,000/year and not saving *anything?* You get what you deserve.
And the distinction made here between savings and investing is moot. Retirement savings is expected to appreciate. That's part of the normal calculus.
Posted by: RobM1981 at August 18, 2013 12:32 PM (zurJC)
And that there is the secret if you ask me. People say they can't save, but entertain themselves by eating out all the time, because eating at home is "boring" or something.
Posted by: Lady Billingsgate (of the North) at August 18, 2013 12:36 PM (CkTZM)
It kinda depends on where you live, Rob. In LA, for instance, you can't even qualify for the cheapest apartment in the ghetto on $35k. And, yet, the pay scale is mostly the same everywhere. I make what would seem like a very good salary in a lot of places. Here? Not so much. And there are people (mostly illegals, but that's another conversation) supporting families on far less. I have no idea how they do it.
Posted by: Peaches at August 18, 2013 12:36 PM (8lmkt)
Posted by: Northernlurker at August 18, 2013 12:48 PM (ao/bv)
Posted by: chuckr at August 18, 2013 12:50 PM (UGxsK)
Posted by: Mr. Happy-Ounce of Prevention, Pound of Cure at August 18, 2013 12:56 PM (N57hb)
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 03:53 PM (lZvxr)
A can of Campbells chicken noodle (condensed) soup is 79 cents in our local ShopRite in NJ.
Posted by: thatcrazyjerseyguy at August 18, 2013 01:28 PM (tAoev)
Posted by: GIL, formerly Guy In London at August 18, 2013 01:36 PM (dniUc)
Posted by: Mindy at August 18, 2013 01:55 PM (bWKZN)
Posted by: Mystery Meat at August 18, 2013 02:15 PM (tvTBx)
Posted by: stephie at August 18, 2013 02:34 PM (TkOOR)
Posted by: Chris_Balsz at August 18, 2013 02:48 PM (TbVAj)
Posted by: Mindy at August 18, 2013 05:55 PM (bWKZN)
dot com? Website does have some free info, I guess.
Mint.com is a useful free web-based budgeting tool (though they data mine you). You can link your accounts and tag your purchases by category, so you see where your money has gone, vs. what you budgeted.
Posted by: ConservativeMonster at August 18, 2013 03:01 PM (GoMJD)
Posted by: Tonic Dog at August 18, 2013 03:01 PM (X/+QT)
Posted by: Alfred E. Neumann at August 18, 2013 03:15 PM (o44nj)
The current administration halvced the value of the dollar since 2008.
That $50,000 nest egg? It now buys 25,000 2008 dollars worth of goods.
( Insert Nelson Muntz laugh here )
And now congress critters are making noise about seizing these funds and putting them into some new kind of bogus "lock box".
And on top of that, when people start to cash these out, the mere act of cashing out on retirement will depress the value of the stocks that make up these retirement funds.
Posted by: Kristophr at August 18, 2013 03:17 PM (c6N69)
Buying stock in a large blue chip utility is the next thing to saving and you earn on the average of 5% return.
Posted by: Vic at August 18, 2013 01:21 PM (lZvxr)
Not after I get done with things. MWAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!11!!1EleveNTy!!@~!@~!
Posted by: Teh SCOAMT at August 18, 2013 03:17 PM (o44nj)
I was saving my own money. Until 2008 rolled around and the recession hit. In January of 2009 the company I worked for went under. It then was two years of unemployment, with only about three or four nibbles that didn't pan out, and now it's an "independent contractor" capacity that currently doesn't quote reach the "treading water" category, so I'm having to tap into what I put into the bank to make up the difference. With Obamacare looming and a lot of firms being reluctant to bring on new full-time employees, it seems I'm stuck.
And in the meantime, the bank balance - all that money that I managed to save up - sloowly shrinks.
Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at August 18, 2013 04:58 PM (Cn4aq)
This isn't a Left vs Right problem, I've seen both liberals and conservative individuals not give a damn about their retirement and only live for today.
I think the better "backdoor" way to privatize retirement is keep expanding plans like Roth, IRAs, Health Savings Accounts and 401ks. Incentivize through the tax code for people to save.
Posted by: Jeepers at August 18, 2013 05:46 PM (XDRsa)
And in the meantime, the bank balance - all that money that I managed to save up - sloowly shrinks."
Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at August 18, 2013 08:58 PM (Cn4aq)
You are not alone. It's tough out there.
P.S. I call it "wave hopping".
Posted by: TH at August 18, 2013 07:18 PM (s4eYP)
First, I can see that it appears to operate from day one as a gambling outfit very similar to the insurance industry -- if people die before they can claim their "savings" I presume that money becomes fair game for whatever politician wants to dip in for other purposes.
Second, this is how Social Security started out, but it didn't take long for those collections to be appropriated for other uses (usually on the pretense of politicians having extraordinary minds for managing "risky investment," though typically nothing of the sort), so what's to stop California, this State with such a remarkable record of money-management, from doing the same here?
Of course, my third, and final reaction, since I will never be a citizen of California, is... Ha Ha!
Posted by: Nelson Muntz at August 18, 2013 08:02 PM (GzhjM)
Posted by: Mistress Overdone at August 18, 2013 08:48 PM (2/oBD)
Posted by: Conan at August 18, 2013 09:00 PM (ll/GU)
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie © at August 19, 2013 05:18 AM (1hM1d)
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Posted by: JohnJ at August 18, 2013 09:16 AM (q1EYs)