February 19, 2014

I Love You, Government, Part II: The Official Weather Forecast Failed to Predict a Tough Winter
— Ace

Prediction is a tough thing.

I don't really think it's terrible that government meteorologists failed to predict how tough, cold, and snowy this Global Warmening winter would be. Predicting the future, like hitting a curveball, is hard.

But, of course: I'm a bit skeptical when they move straight from one near-term failed prediction to a long-term prediction, also failed, at least for the last 17 years, and tell me "Serious You Guys you have to trust on this, the Science is Settled."

Surprised by how tough this winter has been? YouÂ’re in good company: Last fall the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that temperatures would be above normal from November through January across much of the Lower 48 states. This graphic shows just how wrong the official forecast of the U.S. government was:


I don't even know what the hell this means
but this article says it's all f***ed up and its sh*t's all r****ded

The big red blotch in the top map represents parts of the country in which the Climate Prediction Center forecast above-average temperatures. The frigid-looking blue blotch in the bottom “verification” map shows areas where temperatures turned out to be below average.

“Not one of our better forecasts,” admits Mike Halpert, the Climate Prediction Center’s acting director.


...

Climatologists are trying to use their big miss this winter as a learning experience.

...

Oh that's lovely, I was wondering when they would.

I didn't quote a part of the article that notes that the accuracy of weather predictions is rated on a scale running from -50 to +100. Yeah I know, whatever. Well, the prediction about the first half of winter scored a -22 or -23.

For the latter half, they're now nearly "zero-ish" in terms of accuracy. So, big win on that big goose-egg.

Posted by: Ace at 10:21 AM | Comments (320)
Post contains 337 words, total size 2 kb.

1 I can't predict tonight's dinner They think they can do the weather?

Posted by: Navycopjoe at February 19, 2014 10:22 AM (KpjMV)

2 Last summer, the Farmers Almanac forecasted a very cold and snowy winter for the Chicago/Midwest region. Go figure.

Posted by: obeline at February 19, 2014 10:24 AM (zYgqi)

3 Look at the effect of banning 100W bulbs!!

Posted by: t-bird at February 19, 2014 10:24 AM (FcR7P)

4 Here's a prediction which will come true AtC with threaten me at least once today

Posted by: Navycopjoe at February 19, 2014 10:24 AM (KpjMV)

5 Hey, don't feel bad scro.  Lots of people are 'tarded and have totally kickass lives.  My wife is 'tarded, she's a government climatologist.

Posted by: Frito Pandejo at February 19, 2014 10:25 AM (/Mla1)

6 Climatologists are trying to use their big miss this winter as a learning experience.


Oh if only. Years and years of modeling and they still can't get the models to predict the past. They can't learn anything if they want to get to one goal and one goal only.

Posted by: joncelli at February 19, 2014 10:25 AM (RD7QR)

7 I like the red map, hate the blue one.

Posted by: lizard brain at February 19, 2014 10:26 AM (oATMN)

8 “Not one of our better forecasts,” admits Mike Halpert, the Climate Prediction Center’s acting director. An entire department, funded by us, dedicated to being wrong, but in "the good way". Learning experience? How'd you get the job?

Posted by: t-bird at February 19, 2014 10:26 AM (FcR7P)

9 Which of the almanacs predicted this? That's not being snarky, I remember that one of them predicted how bad this winter would be, right down to a major storm in NJ right around the Super Bowl. Yes, yes, yes, climate isn't weather yadda yadda yadda. But it is valid to inquire as to why the programming on the long range climate forecasts would be correct when the programming on the near range forecasts is not. Also, I feel slightly bad for how amused I am by the fact that the chart is a near perfect inversion. HA HA! (Nice chew toy to throw the Horde, ace, though, if I might make a wee tiny suggestion, Uptons In Space is a wee bit more cromulent)

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Now with extra taunting. at February 19, 2014 10:26 AM (VtjlW)

10 “Not one of our better forecasts,” admits Mike Halpert Ya think? now, what happened that your model didn't take into account?? now, it could be a matter of a statistical model getting turned sideways, but I wouldn't expect such an epic fail to be just due to statistics.

Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie © at February 19, 2014 10:27 AM (1hM1d)

11 Posted by: obeline at February 19, 2014 02:24 PM (zYgqi) They use wooly worms and chicken entrails, not computers.

Posted by: BignJames at February 19, 2014 10:28 AM (ZNQKl)

12 Wishcasting for the loss?

Posted by: Sexual Vanilla at February 19, 2014 10:28 AM (/Mla1)

13 One thing about living in western NY...you don't need any stinkin' predictions. If it's Winter, the weather is shitty. Period.

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 10:28 AM (7ObY1)

14

Folks, theses people are using these exact same "climate models"  to predict temperatures for the next 100 years to the 1/10th of a degree.

 

As Penn and Teller say, Bull$hit.

Posted by: Registered Voter at February 19, 2014 10:28 AM (QABaU)

15 Is this a reference to Butters finding peace down at the DMV?

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:28 AM (6bMeY)

16 How did the Farmer's Almanac do at predicting this winter?

Posted by: garrett at February 19, 2014 10:28 AM (OOhXw)

17 An entire department, funded by us, dedicated to being wrong, but in "the good way". Learning experience? How'd you get the job? Posted by: t-bird at February 19, 2014 02:26 PM (FcR7P) They're just trying to live up to the reliability of the last few hurricane season forecasts.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Now with extra taunting. at February 19, 2014 10:29 AM (VtjlW)

18 If it makes them feel better, Hoosier caterpillars fucked it up, too.  Last October they looked like runway models, usually a sign of a warm winter.

Or maybe the caterpillars were responding to the bad prediction.  Hrm.

Posted by: HR at February 19, 2014 10:29 AM (ZKzrr)

19 11 Posted by: obeline at February 19, 2014 02:24 PM (zYgqi)

They use wooly worms and chicken entrails, not computers.

Posted by: BignJames at February 19, 2014 02:28 PM (ZNQKl)


And we offered to buy them some PCs! And throw in the monitors!

Posted by: Disemboweled chickens at February 19, 2014 10:29 AM (RD7QR)

20 Bring back incandescent bulbs. They're our only hope.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:29 AM (6bMeY)

21 I am only an unfrozen caveman meteorologist. Your barometers and thermometers confuse and frighten me. If you ask me, you are not reading enough of the chicken entrails.

Posted by: unfrozen caveman meteorologist at February 19, 2014 10:30 AM (7ObY1)

22 Didn't the Farmer's Almanac accurately predict that it would be a harsh winter? Meanwhile, Obama is out there talking about a $1B climate resilience fund, whatever the hell that is (yeah, I know it's a slush fund for his pals), while we're freezing our butts off in most parts of the country. It's like reality doesn't exist for these people.

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:30 AM (r+7wo)

23 Meanwhile, Obama is out there talking about a $1B climate resilience fund A little walking around money for Van Jones?

Posted by: garrett at February 19, 2014 10:31 AM (OOhXw)

24 Folks, theses people are using these exact same "climate models" to predict temperatures for the next 100 years to the 1/10th of a degree. Oh no, they are using much, much worse models for that. Also, I can't hear you over the sound of Phil Jones shredding his data.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 10:31 AM (659DL)

25 NBC Olympics web site, hat tip Matthops82 on Twitter. Headline: David Wise's alternative lifestyle leads to Olympic gold >>Wise is mature far beyond his years. At only twenty-three years old, he has a wife, Alexander, who was waiting patiently in the crowd, and together they have a two-year-old daughter waiting for them to return to their home in Reno, Nevada. >>At such a young age, Wise has the lifestyle of an adult. HE's 23 and the fact that he has a wife and kids is an "alternative lifestyle".

Posted by: Mama AJ at February 19, 2014 10:32 AM (SUKHu)

26 What about the Hockey Stick Chart?

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:32 AM (6bMeY)

27 Ground Hog: 1
Phd Scientist: 0

Posted by: AE at February 19, 2014 10:33 AM (sSKe8)

28 HE's 23 and the fact that he has a wife and kids is an "alternative lifestyle". His "wife's" name is "Alexander." There ya go.

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 10:33 AM (7ObY1)

29 Well if his wife's name is Alexander, maybe he really does have an alternative lifestyle.

Posted by: Sexual Vanilla at February 19, 2014 10:33 AM (/Mla1)

30 Well...

I predict that the low-level forecasters probably did make reasonably correct predictions, but those slightly higher up the chain thought that might be politically... inconvenient.

Or they're just all incompetent boobs. Whichever.

Posted by: Stu-22 at February 19, 2014 10:33 AM (AiYlm)

31 HE's 23 and the fact that he has a wife and kids is an "alternative lifestyle".

The excerpt you posted reads like the "wife" is a man.

Posted by: HR at February 19, 2014 10:33 AM (ZKzrr)

32 HE's 23 and the fact that he has a wife and kids is an "alternative lifestyle". Posted by: Mama AJ at February 19, 2014 02:32 PM (SUKHu) Why, let's keep on treating responsible behavior as weird. If he was 23 with a baby mama, I'm sure it wouldn't be branded as an "alternative lifestyle."

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:34 AM (r+7wo)

33 At such a young age, Wise has the lifestyle of an adult. Meanwhile, an 18-year-old Marine shoulders his pack in Kandahar.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 10:34 AM (659DL)

34 25 NBC Olympics web site, hat tip Matthops82 on Twitter.

Headline: David Wise's alternative lifestyle leads to Olympic gold

>>Wise is mature far beyond his years. At only twenty-three years old, he has a wife, Alexander, who was waiting patiently in the crowd, and together they have a two-year-old daughter waiting for them to return to their home in Reno, Nevada.

>>At such a young age, Wise has the lifestyle of an adult.

HE's 23 and the fact that he has a wife and kids is an "alternative lifestyle".

Posted by: Mama AJ at February 19, 2014 02:32 PM (SUKHu)

Like the dictionary adding stupid slang words, they're just comparing him against the average case these days.

Posted by: lizard brain at February 19, 2014 10:34 AM (oATMN)

35 But of course their dire predictions of temperatures 100-200 years out are totes accurate!

Posted by: Lizzy at February 19, 2014 10:35 AM (POpqt)

36 They need to go back to school.

Posted by: The University of East Anglia at February 19, 2014 10:35 AM (usZ28)

37 How, exactly, did his "alternative lifestyle" "lead to Olympic gold?" I fail to see the connection.

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 10:35 AM (7ObY1)

38 Consider yourselves sued.

Posted by: Michael Mann - Theoretical Nobel Laureate at February 19, 2014 10:35 AM (NF2Bf)

39 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a malignant traitor.

Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at February 19, 2014 10:36 AM (PYAXX)

40 We're not starting this "only married parents are real adults" bullshit again, are we?

Posted by: HR at February 19, 2014 10:36 AM (ZKzrr)

41 Meh, they can't even predict my next-day, and even same-day weather. 24-hour prediction: 3 inches of snow Actual snowfall: 6 inches

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at February 19, 2014 10:36 AM (IXrOn)

42 He drilled for gold.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:36 AM (6bMeY)

43 If you like our failed prediction, you can keep our failed prediction.

We have more.

Posted by: Regards and kisses, Your Government at February 19, 2014 10:36 AM (UzPAd)

44 >>HE's 23 and the fact that he has a wife and kids is an "alternative lifestyle".

Alternative to the MSM, perhaps.
Actively de-normalizing responsible, adult behavior much, NBC?

Posted by: Lizzy at February 19, 2014 10:36 AM (POpqt)

45 37 How, exactly, did his "alternative lifestyle" "lead to Olympic gold?"

I fail to see the connection.

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 02:35 PM (7ObY1)

Yeah, it's dumb, but I'll take it, since it's almost always dumb in the other way -- that is, "this person is a hero for being gay".

Posted by: red sweater at February 19, 2014 10:37 AM (oATMN)

46 I will say again, as someone who does modeling for a living, if I behaved like these climatologists, I would be run out of town on a rail and become a pariah. My client: Well, your model didn't predict the outcome of our study. In fact, it was way off. What do you think the reason is? Bizarro chique: My model is right. Ignore the data. chique's boss: You're fired. But then again, we don't depend on govt grants for funding. Private sector and all.

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:37 AM (r+7wo)

47

Looks like they did a pretty good job forecasting New Mexico.

 

I suspect favoritism and random chance, but mainly random chance.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at February 19, 2014 10:37 AM (AskuI)

48 Alternative to the MSM, perhaps. Actively de-normalizing responsible, adult behavior much, NBC? His "wife" is a man. Make sense now?

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 10:37 AM (7ObY1)

49 Joe Bastardi at WeatherBell pretty much nailed this winter.  He's big on mocking the AGW crowd, oto.

Posted by: Ian S. at February 19, 2014 10:38 AM (B/VB5)

50 The UK Met Office has been putting out cargo-cult-warmist forecasts for years now. NOAA's got a long way to go to catch up.

Posted by: JEM at February 19, 2014 10:38 AM (o+SC1)

51 You're healthcare costs will be 3000% less.

Serious, you guys.

Posted by: Regards and kisses, Your Government at February 19, 2014 10:38 AM (UzPAd)

52 Weather is not climate!

*handwave, handwave, handwave*

I hereby define climate as ...

*whispers to Mann "how long have our predictions been wrong?  17 years?* 

25 years!

--Serious Climate Scientist

*waves credentials*

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at February 19, 2014 10:38 AM (44jNh)

53 Many sodomites didn't get Olympic Medals.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:38 AM (6bMeY)

54 Can we get *links to* embiggenated pictures? Without clicking through to the original article (no offense to whoever wrote it, I just prefer 1 click over 2+)?

Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at February 19, 2014 10:38 AM (PYAXX)

55 if only the map was that red back in 2012...

Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at February 19, 2014 10:39 AM (SO2Q8)

56 Fracking ruins the economy and the environment.

Serious, you guys.

Posted by: Regards and kisses, Your Government at February 19, 2014 10:39 AM (UzPAd)

57 OT Sports Alert: UEFA Champions League on, now. The Smoking Man

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at February 19, 2014 10:39 AM (IXrOn)

58 Wiki says David Wise is a Christian, so his wife's parents probably just had an interesting way of naming children. Plus, they would have called Alexander a husband if he was gay.

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:39 AM (r+7wo)

59 I will say again, as someone who does modeling for a living, if I behaved like these climatologists, I would be run out of town on a rail and become a pariah.

I like the mockery term "climate scientologists".  It gives the whole enterprise exactly the kind of respect it deserves.

Posted by: Ian S. at February 19, 2014 10:39 AM (B/VB5)

60 His "wife" is a man. Make sense now?

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 02:37 PM (7ObY1)


So, who's the mom?



That poor little girl.

Posted by: tcn at February 19, 2014 10:39 AM (3kDQa)

61 The Vicious Adopted Parrot put on a ton of down last fall, still has it. Been a warm February for SoCal, though. We could still get a freeze before spring?

Posted by: OK, thanks, bye at February 19, 2014 10:40 AM (RPDkq)

62 Hmm, the wife doesn't look like an Alexander. Eh, it's mostly just bad writing. But kinda funny.

Posted by: Mama AJ at February 19, 2014 10:40 AM (SUKHu)

63 They can't get the unemployment figures correct. Weather is a bridge too far.

Posted by: Marcus T at February 19, 2014 10:40 AM (GGCsk)

64 You're telling us that prediction is hard?

Posted by: Them Italian Seismologists in the jail at February 19, 2014 10:40 AM (A0sHn)

65 H.R. 6969
CONTINUAL IMPROVEMENT IN FEDERAL AGENCY FORECASTING AND PREDICTION SHIT BILL

Any and all agencies shall hence forth register all forecasts, predictions, guess, suppositions, or any form of claims that will at some future time be revealed with the Office of Official Governmental Accountability Department.

When a forecast, prediction, etc. is found to be incorrect, the contributing agency staff will be beaten with rubber hoses for a period not less than 1 hour.

Ties go to the 'bullshit' category.

Posted by: weft cut-loop[/i] [/b] at February 19, 2014 10:41 AM (xrX4n)

66 Joe Bastardi at WeatherBell pretty much nailed this winter. He's big on mocking the AGW crowd, oto.

Plus the name.....

Posted by: eleven at February 19, 2014 10:41 AM (KXm42)

67 James OÂ’Keefe Strikes Again! Democrat Group Steals Confidential Information From Registration Forms pretty good stuff thegatewaypundit

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at February 19, 2014 10:41 AM (IXrOn)

68 They can't figure how many people were unemployed last month much less next month.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:41 AM (6bMeY)

69 >>His "wife" is a man. Make sense now?

Of course! I should have known they wouldn't be lauding a young guy with a spouse and child on the way otherwise.
Nevermind...

Posted by: Lizzy at February 19, 2014 10:41 AM (POpqt)

70 We're not starting this "only married parents are real adults" bullshit again, are we? Posted by: HR at February 19, 2014 02:36 PM (ZKzrr) No, the point is that they are treating a married young man as a novelty, calling being young and married an "alternative lifestyle." Which is truly sad. For what it's worth, I am unmarried, too (happily so, by the way).

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:41 AM (r+7wo)

71 Unemployment is lower than ever.

Serious, you guys.

Posted by: Regards and kisses, Your Government at February 19, 2014 10:42 AM (UzPAd)

72

37 How, exactly, did his "alternative lifestyle" "lead to Olympic gold?"

---

All great men have another man right behind them, with an erection. Pointing the way to Glory.

Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at February 19, 2014 10:42 AM (SO2Q8)

73 I like the mockery term "climate scientologists". It gives the whole enterprise exactly the kind of respect it deserves. Brilliant.

Posted by: rickb223 at February 19, 2014 10:42 AM (p9JxP)

74 Another article claims her name is Alexandra. Sorry for the confusion about that, I'd seen her name and pic in a diff article about him and didn't notice that's messed it up in the quote.

Posted by: Mama AJ at February 19, 2014 10:43 AM (SUKHu)

75 I can't wait for her book, Buttfucking your way to Gold.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:43 AM (6bMeY)

76 Climatologists are trying to use their big miss this winter as a learning experience. Yes, they are no doubt learning New and Improved methods for blaming colder than normal temperatures on Global Warming the .03% of the atmosphere that is CO2.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at February 19, 2014 10:43 AM (SY2Kh)

77 January 4406 Record Cold Temps 1259 Record Warm temps 1073 Snowfall records http://iceagenow.info/2014/02/4406-record-cold-temps-january/

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at February 19, 2014 10:43 AM (IXrOn)

78 Ha, Yahoo has a headline about Wise's "wildly uncool" life.  As they explain in the story, "wildly uncool" means religious and married with a child. 

Posted by: Sexual Vanilla at February 19, 2014 10:44 AM (/Mla1)

79 So, who's the mom? That poor little girl. Posted by: tcn at February 19, 2014 02:39 PM (3kDQa) I'm going to go with that poor little girl's mother being a woman named Alexandra. It was a typo in the tweet is all.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Now with extra taunting. at February 19, 2014 10:44 AM (VtjlW)

80 Meh, they can't even predict my next-day, and even same-day weather. 24-hour prediction: 3 inches of snow Actual snowfall: 6 inches Posted by: artisanal 'ette at February 19, 2014 02:36 PM (IXrOn) Today at 11:58 AM, my weather app said it was 32F. And predicted that at noon it would magically become 37F.

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:44 AM (r+7wo)

81 I can't wait for her book, Buttfucking your way to Gold. A new Olympic sport?

Posted by: rickb223 at February 19, 2014 10:44 AM (p9JxP)

82 There are pictures of his wife on google. Pretty sure she's not a man.

Posted by: Adam at February 19, 2014 10:45 AM (Aif/5)

83 Looks like they got parts of Arizona, New Mexico , and Nevada right, so neener neener neener....

Posted by: Buddha at February 19, 2014 10:45 AM (jMvZ2)

84 Give them a break gang   -  the model they used for this forecast  was a blonde  with big boobehs.

Posted by: Roy at February 19, 2014 10:45 AM (VndSC)

85 THE SKIER DUDE'S WIFE IS A WOMAN. Sorry for the caps.

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:46 AM (r+7wo)

86 You wingnuts just wait.. global warming will be along any minute now.. and then you'll see.. Ha!

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at February 19, 2014 10:46 AM (Z7PrM)

87 Global cooling, the new global warming.  'cuz they said so.

Al Gore scientific credentials: law school drop out; divinity school; undergraduate degree in Government; lots of money from preaching about end o' times.

Posted by: microagressor at February 19, 2014 10:46 AM (yhJhK)

88 They predicted the next hundred years, and didn't even get the next ten right. They started with earth overheating, then had to expand it to drastically colder temperatures, too. At the same time. Constant revision of their theories to try to keep up with observable data that doesn't conform. Now, what does Occam's Razor suggest? That the whole initial premise is BS. If it weren't politically and financially beneficial to the people pushing it, it would have collapsed under its own weight and already be forgotten.

Posted by: --- at February 19, 2014 10:46 AM (MMC8r)

89 O/T Ruskies out of medal contention. Ukraine on fire. "I now declare these games closed!" -Vlad the Impaler and Unicorn Tamer

Posted by: Brave Sir Robin at February 19, 2014 10:46 AM (erAwl)

90 You wingnuts just wait.. global warming will be along any minute now.. and then you'll see.. Ha! Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at February 19, 2014 02:46 PM (Z7PrM) Oh please oh please oh please, I hope that is true.

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:46 AM (r+7wo)

91 So here's the thing: Why shouldn't I believe in shaman when "science" gets it so wrong? We are going to enter a scientific dark age very soon because of the lack of faith in the practice.

Posted by: AmishDude at February 19, 2014 10:47 AM (T0NGe)

92 Ha, Yahoo has a headline about Wise's "wildly uncool" life.

I'm so f'ing sick of "cool".


Fuck "cool".  I hate "cool" people.  ::spit::

Posted by: eleven at February 19, 2014 10:47 AM (KXm42)

93 A comment inspired by the last thread.  I always start my negotiations with "But first you will blow me."

Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 10:47 AM (XUKZU)

94 Alexandra. Typo in the article. Sorry I missed it and caused confusion and delay. I'll stand downwind of the barrel for a few minutes, mkay?

Posted by: Mama AJ at February 19, 2014 10:47 AM (SUKHu)

95 Global cooling, the new global warming. 'cuz they said so. Ice Age: Continental Drift.

Posted by: rickb223 at February 19, 2014 10:47 AM (p9JxP)

96 I will say again, as someone who does modeling for a living, if I behaved like these climatologists, I would be run out of town on a rail and become a pariah. My client: Well, your model didn't predict the outcome of our study. In fact, it was way off. What do you think the reason is? Oh and by the way- not only did our model not predict future outcomes, it doesn't accurately predict the past, either. But most of the paid consultants who developed the model swear that it's good, so I consider the matter settled. Promotion?

Posted by: Hollowpoint at February 19, 2014 10:48 AM (SY2Kh)

97 93 A comment inspired by the last thread. I always start my negotiations with "But first you will blow me."

Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 02:47 PM (XUKZU)


No no, start high and bargain down.

Posted by: Disemboweled chickens at February 19, 2014 10:48 AM (RD7QR)

98 Ruskies out of medal contention. Ukraine on fire. When the games are over, the Russians will be "invited" to help with the security situation.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 10:48 AM (659DL)

99 Global Warming would actually be good if it were true. We would gain access to more arable land. That isn't a problem. We could wear more shorts and build more air conditioners.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:48 AM (6bMeY)

100 >>THE SKIER DUDE'S WIFE IS A WOMAN. That should be the new "First".

Posted by: Mama AJ at February 19, 2014 10:48 AM (SUKHu)

101 OT: Ukraine: Executive committee of Lviv region's council decides to take power in region in its hands http://tinyurl.com/l33el4a

Posted by: The Political Hat at February 19, 2014 10:49 AM (XvHmy)

102 Off eviscerated domestic fowl sock.

Posted by: joncelli at February 19, 2014 10:49 AM (RD7QR)

103 Global cooling, the new global warming. 'cuz they said so. Ice Age: Continental Drift. Posted by: rickb223 at February 19, 2014 02:47 PM (p9JxP) Pretty sure that's me, actually.

Posted by: The Sun - Maunder Minimum bitches. at February 19, 2014 10:49 AM (VtjlW)

104 Obama is the coolest president ever. And jobs blow.

Posted by: Rolling Stone Editor at February 19, 2014 10:49 AM (Aif/5)

105 Oh and by the way- not only did our model not predict future outcomes, it doesn't accurately predict the past, either.

See.....that's the thing RIGHT THERE.

Posted by: eleven at February 19, 2014 10:49 AM (KXm42)

106 Oh and by the way- not only did our model not predict future outcomes, it doesn't accurately predict the past, either. But most of the paid consultants who developed the model swear that it's good, so I consider the matter settled. Promotion? Posted by: Hollowpoint at February 19, 2014 02:48 PM (SY2Kh) Good point. Of course, my model wouldn't have gone forward if it didn't provide a reasonable approximation of historical data. I forgot that I'm in a sane field.

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:49 AM (r+7wo)

107 >>Climatologists are trying to use their big miss this winter as a learning experience.

Well that statement could be used for ANY government f@ck up, eh?

* Obama and Sebelius are using their big miss with the Obamacare roll-out as a learning experience.

* Sec. of State Clinton is using the Benghazi attack as a learning experience.



Posted by: Lizzy at February 19, 2014 10:49 AM (POpqt)

108 See, we had this forecast nailed. And then the climate went and CHANGED. So we score this forecast and wrong-but-accurate.

Posted by: gubmint weatherdude at February 19, 2014 10:49 AM (SO2Q8)

109 All I know is that I get another half a foot of microagressive winter tomorrow. Yea.

Posted by: Minnfidel at February 19, 2014 10:50 AM (/o+xv)

110 Ha, Yahoo has a headline about Wise's "wildly uncool" life. As they explain in the story, "wildly uncool" means religious and married with a child.

Yeah, but there's a point to it.  Top-level athletes are a marketing product.  You can get huge endorsements if you attract the image the companies are trying to portray to their target audience. 

Wise is an everyman that appeals to a huge amount of people.  But those people aren't the target audience of ski gear companies.

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at February 19, 2014 10:50 AM (2hTlI)

111 I always figured an alternate lifestyle for those ski/snowboard acrobats was being sober.

Posted by: Roy at February 19, 2014 10:50 AM (VndSC)

112 Global warming is making the poles colder. No, really, they say this.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 10:50 AM (659DL)

113 My client: Well, your model didn't predict the outcome of our study. In fact, it was way off. What do you think the reason is? She's a bimbo?

Posted by: rickb223 at February 19, 2014 10:50 AM (p9JxP)

114 The Old Farmer's Almanac doesn't publish the secret sauce, but it is big on sun spots.
The sun affects the climate, go figure.

Posted by: fluffy at February 19, 2014 10:51 AM (Ua6T/)

115 Global warming is a fact Every single day of winter here was over 78 degrees and snow free Yeah, I'm bragging again

Posted by: Navycopjoe at February 19, 2014 10:51 AM (KpjMV)

116 101 OT:

Ukraine: Executive committee of Lviv region's council decides to take power in region in its hands

http://tinyurl.com/l33el4a

Posted by: The Political Hat at February 19, 2014 02:49 PM (XvHmy)


So the western Ukraine is splitting off. I guess the Russians will have to, with regret in their hearts, restore order in a fraternal ally.

Posted by: joncelli at February 19, 2014 10:51 AM (RD7QR)

117 Sounds like war in Ukraine.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:51 AM (6bMeY)

118
I saw a hockey stick in there somewhere.


I swear!!!

Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at February 19, 2014 10:51 AM (BZAd3)

119 That should be the new "First". I always liked 'Fist'.

Posted by: Ellen Paige at February 19, 2014 10:51 AM (OOhXw)

120 Wise is an everyman that appeals to a huge amount of people. But those people aren't the target audience of ski gear companies. Aspen and Vail would get the vapors if large numbers of the unwashed began showing up.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 10:51 AM (659DL)

121 >>But most of the paid consultants who developed the model swear that it's good  - - -  and refuse to show you the underlying data used to create the model - - - so I consider the matter settled. Promotion?

FIFY

Posted by: Lizzy at February 19, 2014 10:52 AM (POpqt)

122 OT blue on blue: Venezuela is seizing CNN's cameras at gun point.

Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 10:52 AM (XUKZU)

123 Global warming is making the poles colder. No, really, they say this. Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 02:50 PM (659DL) Duh, the other parts of the earth get hot because all the cold migrates to the poles leaving only heat behind in other places. It's science(TM).

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 10:52 AM (r+7wo)

124

Climatologists are trying to use their big miss this winter as a learning experience.

----

And what we've learned is we get to keep our phony balony jobs no matter how much we fuck up!

Now scuse me, this pron won't download itself..

Posted by: gubmint weatherdude at February 19, 2014 10:52 AM (SO2Q8)

125 122 I don't guess they have any video of this?

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:53 AM (6bMeY)

126

123 Global warming is making the poles colder. <<

 

 

 

Lots of folks froze to death last winter in Poland.

Posted by: Roy at February 19, 2014 10:53 AM (VndSC)

127 It's a typo. Her name is Alexandra.
Though you have to wonder what a woman named Alexandra would be like.

I know I wonder about that a lot. Restayaz?

Posted by: Stringer Davis at February 19, 2014 10:53 AM (xq1UY)

128 So the western Ukraine is splitting off. I guess the Russians will have to, with regret in their hearts, restore order in a fraternal ally.

Posted by: joncelli at February 19, 2014 02:51 PM (RD7QR)


They starved ~6 million of them to death once before.  I see no reason why they couldn't try it again.  It is for their own good, after all.

Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at February 19, 2014 10:53 AM (BZAd3)

129 Aspen and Vail would get the vapors if large numbers of the unwashed began showing up.

Mom, Dad and two cute little kids?

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at February 19, 2014 10:53 AM (2hTlI)

130 Who predicted Bloomberg would hook up with Businessweek?  Anybody?

Posted by: Fritz at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (UzPAd)

131 Global warming is making the poles colder.
-
It's not colder.  It's just that your heating bills are higher.

Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (XUKZU)

132 Global warming deniers are the uncool. Tsarnaev though, that guy was cool.

Posted by: Rolling Stone Editor at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (Aif/5)

133 Shame about Venezuela.  Seriously I feel bad for the sane people there.

Oliver Stone can rot in hell.

Posted by: eleven at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (KXm42)

134 OT. An interesting story about Hockeytown USA AKA Warroad MN, a town of fewer than 2,000 people thatÂ’s six miles south of the Canadian border, has the Midas touch. No U.S. menÂ’s team has ever won a gold medal without having a Warroad player on its roster. This year it's Oshie and on the women's side it's Gigi Marvin.

Posted by: Minnfidel at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (/o+xv)

135 Wise is an everyman that appeals to a huge amount of people. But those people aren't the target audience of ski gear companies.
You need a job to buy ski gear and lift passes.

Posted by: fluffy at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (Ua6T/)

136 Barry's on the tv extemporizing.  Uh um uh.

Posted by: huerfano at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (bAGA/)

137 Ukraine central government authorizes use of military against protesters.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (AskuI)

138 People froze to death in Colonial Williamsburg before SUV's and Incandescent Bulbs existed.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:54 AM (6bMeY)

139 Mom, Dad and two cute little kids? NRA members who want Fox News in their rooms.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 10:55 AM (659DL)

140 Global warming is making racists more racier which is blowing a cool wind over the planet which is causing global cooling so, yeah, they were right.

Posted by: microagressor at February 19, 2014 10:55 AM (yhJhK)

141 It's rare for me to even find an Environmental Alarmist who has the balls to discuss things beyond "YOU'RE A DENIER!" on those rare occasions, here are some of my favorite questions: Your theory is claiming an increase of something like 1 or 2 degrees celsius over the next, what, 20 years? And they say "Yes..." And I say, "so that requires an accuracy of, what, at least 95%, yes? Probably more like 98%, but do you agree that you are slicing things pretty thin - you really need accuracy for that?" And they don't answer, because they know I'm aiming at their face. "So, tell me, just 100 years ago, who was taking accurate temperatures in, say, the middle of Kansas? In 1914, who was taking reliable and regular temperature readings in the Amazon Jungle, or the Andes Mountains, or the Himalayas, or the Gobi Desert, or Saipan, or most of Alaska, or any of the other literally millions and millions of square miles where nobody lived?" And they give some bullshit answer, if any. "Who was taking ocean temperatures even 100 feet down, even ten miles offshore, in 1914? - anywhere in the world, who was doing that? Do you have that data, at all?" "So, if you are looking to predict CLIMATE, which is measured in centuries, and you don't have even 50 years of reliable data - what the fuck are you talking about? "Are you telling me that ice cores and tree rings are accurate enough as a proxy, for you to make claims with 98% or higher accuracy? "What, precisely do you know about math, science, or frankly anything? Because what you are proposing - to anyone with a shred of common sense, which many scientists do NOT have - is complete and utter bullshit. Even if you turn out to be correct, which I don't think you will, it would be complete luck. "Your 'science' is phrenology. You might as well be telling me about my health based on the bumps on my head..."

Posted by: RobM1981 at February 19, 2014 10:55 AM (LpGWa)

142

OT blue on blue: Venezuela is <s>seizing</s> NATIONALIZING CNN's cameras at gun point.

----

FIFY

Posted by: Socialist at February 19, 2014 10:55 AM (SO2Q8)

143 I always figured an alternate lifestyle for those ski/snowboard acrobats was being sober. Posted by: Roy at February 19, 2014 02:50 PM (VndSC) I remember when I first heard about how they were going to drug test the snowboarders for the Olympics and my immediate response was "what, to disqualify one of them for being sober?"

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Mmmm. Blondies with whipped cream. at February 19, 2014 10:55 AM (VtjlW)

144 It's a typo. Her name is Alexandra. Though you have to wonder what a woman named Alexandra would be like. A tall, blonde arachnoid enthusiast I'd imagine.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at February 19, 2014 10:56 AM (SY2Kh)

145 127. Though you have to wonder what a woman named Alexandra would be like. Easy Midget ginger in boots ***runs away***

Posted by: Navycopjoe at February 19, 2014 10:56 AM (KpjMV)

146 Global warming is making the poles colder. They were never really a warm people.

Posted by: garrett at February 19, 2014 10:56 AM (OOhXw)

147 You need a job to buy ski gear and lift passes.

Talk to the marketing geeks at Burton.  I'm just pointing out why the article is discussing Wise's "uncoolness".

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at February 19, 2014 10:56 AM (2hTlI)

148 137 Ukraine central government authorizes use of military against protesters.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at February 19, 2014 02:54 PM (AskuI)


Shit's hit the fan. If the the satellite feed cuts off the protestors should go to ground, fast.

Posted by: joncelli at February 19, 2014 10:56 AM (RD7QR)

149 The fatness of the squirrels in November predicted a harsh winter.  Seriously.

Posted by: CUS at February 19, 2014 10:57 AM (wcLJG)

150 Rioters seize over 1,500 guns in Ukraine mayhem - security services. RT.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:57 AM (6bMeY)

151 144. ****fistbump****

Posted by: Navycopjoe at February 19, 2014 10:57 AM (KpjMV)

152 "what, to disqualify one of them for being sober?" Snort. I think it's a testament to American ingenuity that we have invented a slate of stoner sports over which we hold a monopoly.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 10:58 AM (659DL)

153

"We got Nevada right.    THE SCIENCE IS SETTLED."

 

-Climate scientist enviroweenies

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 10:58 AM (4df7R)

154 Isn't this another example of the total incompetence of our federal government.  What parts of our government are actually good at what they're supposed to be doing?  And don't tell me Navy SEALs.  They get hyped as a distraction, just sayin.'

Posted by: Ignoramus at February 19, 2014 10:58 AM (EPEqj)

155 Just for the record, the Ukraine central government has classified anyone who protests them as terrorists.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at February 19, 2014 10:58 AM (AskuI)

156
Seems like American foreign policy is purring like a well oiled machine.

As one would expect.

Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at February 19, 2014 10:58 AM (BZAd3)

157

Ukraine central government authorizes use of military against protesters.

 

"So, any other movies coming out we can screen at the   White House?   Not like there's anything else going on to keep me busy."

 

-Obammy

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 10:59 AM (4df7R)

158 Though you have to wonder what a woman named Alexandra would be like. Easy Midget ginger in boots ***runs away*** Posted by: Navycopjoe at February 19, 2014 02:56 PM (KpjMV) Maybe. But if you were referring to me, bzzzzzzzzt. Wrong. That's not my name for which alex is a diminutive.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Mmmm. Blondies with whipped cream. at February 19, 2014 10:59 AM (VtjlW)

159 155 They may be right someday.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 10:59 AM (6bMeY)

160 @146 That was awesome...

Posted by: RobM1981 at February 19, 2014 10:59 AM (LpGWa)

161 Global Warming: House Boat + Fishing Global Cooling: Igloo + Ice Fishing

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at February 19, 2014 10:59 AM (IXrOn)

162 The fatness of the squirrels in November predicted a harsh winter. Seriously. Posted by: CUS at February 19, 2014 02:57 PM .Mine are fat every November because it's always cold in the winters here but mostly because the little bastards raid my bird feeders non stop. They look like Rosie Odonnel at Golden Corral.

Posted by: Minnfidel at February 19, 2014 10:59 AM (/o+xv)

163 You need a jobDaddy's money to buy ski gear and lift passes.

FIFY.  (And for the marketing guys at Burton).

Posted by: Ian S. at February 19, 2014 10:59 AM (B/VB5)

164 The fatness of the squirrels in November predicted a harsh winter. Seriously.

How do the little bastards do it?

Posted by: eleven at February 19, 2014 10:59 AM (KXm42)

165 The “Days of Shivery” are Back! Read Our 2014 Forecast!

by Caleb Weatherbee | Sunday, August 25th, 2013 |
http://tinyurl.com/npzvaev

With a name like that how could he be wrong.

Posted by: Buzzsaw at February 19, 2014 11:00 AM (tf9Ne)

166 Climate is what we expect. Weather is what we get.

Posted by: Mark Twain [/i] [/b] at February 19, 2014 11:00 AM (5ikDv)

167 158. Me? Of course not I only show you love and respect

Posted by: Navycopjoe at February 19, 2014 11:00 AM (KpjMV)

168 They look like Rosie Odonnel at Golden Corral. Glad you said "at" because I'm not sure she would fit in one.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 19, 2014 11:00 AM (659DL)

169 I like the blue on this map for where I live more than the red on the map in last night's ONT. I like cold. Earthquakes I like less.

Posted by: ParanoidGirlinSeattle at February 19, 2014 11:00 AM (RZ8pf)

170 Whoops cut and paste barrel time for me.

Posted by: Buzzsaw at February 19, 2014 11:01 AM (tf9Ne)

171 Though you have to wonder what a woman named Alexandra would be like.

Easy
Midget ginger in boots

Bingle Alexandra Daddario.

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at February 19, 2014 11:01 AM (2hTlI)

172 Ohhhh......little bastards synchronicity....I like it.

Posted by: eleven at February 19, 2014 11:01 AM (KXm42)

173 Expecting accuracy from meteorologists is a Maximalist demand.

Posted by: Votermom at February 19, 2014 11:01 AM (GSIDW)

174 I don't blame the scientists.  I blame that hedgehog.

Posted by: Joe Biden at February 19, 2014 11:02 AM (XxAYS)

175 Thou shalt givest to me thy new season of game of thrones or ye shall be exiled!

Posted by: His Highness Barakakakan at February 19, 2014 11:02 AM (Aif/5)

176 Bingle Alexandra Daddario


and "True Detective".



Posted by: EC at February 19, 2014 11:02 AM (GQ8sn)

177 >>>How do the little bastards do it?<<<

Big nuts.

Posted by: Fritz at February 19, 2014 11:02 AM (UzPAd)

178 I only show you love and respect Posted by: Navycopjoe at February 19, 2014 03:00 PM (KpjMV) Uh. Huh.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Mmmm. Blondies with whipped cream. at February 19, 2014 11:02 AM (VtjlW)

179

>>Sounds like war in Ukraine.

.

.

.Sounds like Putin got exactly what he wanted.

Posted by: Registered Voter at February 19, 2014 11:02 AM (QABaU)

180 162 - so did the wooly worms. Seriously, several people I know called this.

Posted by: RobM1981 at February 19, 2014 11:02 AM (LpGWa)

181

Seems like American foreign policy is purring like a well oiled machine.

---

must be why the world thinks Obama is a pussy.

Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at February 19, 2014 11:03 AM (SO2Q8)

182 Big nuts.

Damn straight.

Posted by: Bold Tree Rat[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at February 19, 2014 11:03 AM (2hTlI)

183 Bingle Alexandra Daddario and "True Detective". Great. Now Ace is going to go off in a fit of jealous rage.

Posted by: garrett at February 19, 2014 11:03 AM (OOhXw)

184 2 Last summer, the Farmers Almanac forecasted a very cold and snowy winter for the Chicago/Midwest region.

Go figure. Posted by: obeline

Thanks for pointing that out. I got a copy last fall, and they called it right.

Posted by: backhoe at February 19, 2014 11:03 AM (ULH4o)

185 Obama to the rescue:  Obama in Mexico, on Ukraine: "There will be consequences if people step over the line."

OMG!!! Consequences!!!!

P.S. He didn't draw a red line this time. I guess he learned from Syria.

Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 11:03 AM (XUKZU)

186

Sounds like war in Ukraine.

 

 

How long until Obammy sends the Ukrainian government    a(nother)    strongly worded   reprobation?

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 11:04 AM (4df7R)

187 Now Ace is going to go off in a fit of jealous rage.


I wonder how Ms. Daddario feels about zero-g flights?




Posted by: EC at February 19, 2014 11:04 AM (GQ8sn)

188 Great. Now Ace is going to go off in a fit of jealous rage. Posted by: garrett at February 19, 2014 03:03 PM (OOhXw) I was just going to say, isn't that taunting Happy Fun Ace? Because that's not going to end well. By not end well, I mean the entire blog is going to end up in actual French, not Fake French.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Mmmm. Blondies with whipped cream. at February 19, 2014 11:04 AM (VtjlW)

189 Obama to the rescue: Obama in Mexico, on Ukraine: "There will be consequences if people step over the line." OMG!!! Consequences!!!! P.S. He didn't draw a red line this time. I guess he learned from Syria. Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 03:03 PM Oooohh! Wait til Dad comes home!

Posted by: Minnfidel at February 19, 2014 11:04 AM (/o+xv)

190 How long until Obammy sends the Ukrainian government a(nother) strongly worded reprobation? -- No joke, he had Biden call the Ukraine President yesterday. Putin is laughing is ass off.

Posted by: Votermom at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (GSIDW)

191 Silly wingnuts. Of course there's going to be war in the Ukraine. Didn't our esteemed climate scientists warn that global warming would lead to famine which in turn would lead to war? After all, there was no such thing as war prior to the industrial revolution. Coincidence? I think not, deniers.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (SY2Kh)

192 http://rt.com/on-air/ukraine-central-kiev-protest/

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (6bMeY)

193 OMG!!! Consequences!!!!

Vague nothingness.  People, which people?  Line, what line?  Consequences, what consequences?

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (2hTlI)

194 After the last thread, it's nice to chat about the weather. Good move, Ace.

Posted by: tubal at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (YEQ2h)

195

Obama to the rescue: Obama in Mexico, on Ukraine: "There will be consequences if people step over the line."

 

Oh no,    not another line.   What color is this one?  And how will we know if people have stepped over it?   We need to know these things, Barack!

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (4df7R)

196 "Climatologists are trying to use their big miss this winter as a learning experience."

Definitely the funniest part.

Posted by: Dang at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (MNq6o)

197 The fatness of the squirrels in November predicted a harsh winter. Seriously. They prune my tree's and bushes for me. *snap*

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (IXrOn)

198 Whilst ye not allow thy highness to finish my waffle?

Posted by: His Highness Barakakakan at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (Aif/5)

199 185 Obama to the rescue: Obama in Mexico, on Ukraine: "There will be consequences if people step over the line."

OMG!!! Consequences!!!!

P.S. He didn't draw a red line this time. I guess he learned from Syria.

Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 03:03 PM (XUKZU)


Ooooh, consequences. I shiver in boots.

Posted by: Vladimir "Bowling Balls" Putin at February 19, 2014 11:05 AM (RD7QR)

200 Obama to the rescue: Obama in Mexico, on Ukraine: "There will be consequences if people step over the blurred line."


Fixed.




Posted by: EC at February 19, 2014 11:06 AM (GQ8sn)

201 Aarrgghhh. Obama has to stop reading my tweets! That tweet where I said he should warn Ukraine about a red line was a joke!

Posted by: Votermom at February 19, 2014 11:06 AM (GSIDW)

202 Also, there will be consequences is passive voice.

Who will deliver the consequence?

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at February 19, 2014 11:06 AM (2hTlI)

203 http://tinyurl.com/lf35mwa

Posted by: CUS at February 19, 2014 11:06 AM (wcLJG)

204 Has the Cotton Mather Purity Squad showed up yet?

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at February 19, 2014 11:07 AM (oFCZn)

205 Ruskies out of medal contention.
-
Snark from Twitter: Finland, humiliating Russia since 1940.

Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 11:08 AM (XUKZU)

206 OT: WTF?! Dead Chicken Sex Aficionados Horse Whipped By Cossacks http://tinyurl.com/mamuon9

Posted by: The Political Hat at February 19, 2014 11:08 AM (XvHmy)

207 I am already in negotiations with our Russian allies to get them to disarm both sides in the Ukraine conflict and to restore law and order. and totalitarianism.

Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at February 19, 2014 11:08 AM (SO2Q8)

208 Famous Twilight Zone episode: Earth is knocked out of orbit. It start spiralling into the sun. Scene shows a woman in an apartment sweltering. The people around her are dying of the heat. There's no escape! We're all going to burn to death soon enough. And then she wakes up! Turns out she had a fever and was suffering a fever dream of overheating. Then the camera pans back in the same apartment and everyone is freezing to death! Turns out the Earth was knocked AWAY from the sun, and everyone is doomed to die of the cold. Fast forward 50 years to today. The same thing is happening -- in reality! Rod Serling you magnificent bastard!

Posted by: zombie at February 19, 2014 11:08 AM (+cx5n)

209 Snark from Twitter: Finland, humiliating Russia since 1940.


haha....nice!


Posted by: EC at February 19, 2014 11:08 AM (GQ8sn)

210 I suspect Obammy's reaction to the discord in Ukraine is something along the lines of, "Where the fuck is Ukraine?  Is that one of those damn -stan countries with a different name?"

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 11:08 AM (4df7R)

211 After the last thread, it's nice to chat about the weather. Good move, Ace. Posted by: tubal at February 19, 2014 03:05 PM (YEQ2h) hehe quite funny, actually

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at February 19, 2014 11:08 AM (IXrOn)

212 @TarasKuzio 4m

Another police HQ stormed in Vynntsya. Police have lost control of Ukraine west of Dnipro.

I hope those revolting have better plans than just to fight running skirmishes with the cops.

Posted by: weft cut-loop[/i] [/b] at February 19, 2014 11:08 AM (xrX4n)

213 WRT fat squirrels and wooly worms and farmer's almanac being right.  Surviving the winter is one hell of a motivator.

Posted by: CUS at February 19, 2014 11:09 AM (wcLJG)

214 203 http://tinyurl.com/lf35mwa

Posted by: CUS at February 19, 2014 03:06 PM (wcLJG)


HA! Little rodent almost hung as well as I.

Posted by: Vladimir "Bowling Balls" Putin at February 19, 2014 11:09 AM (RD7QR)

215

"There will be consequences if people step over the line."

 

Barry, didn't I give you and your Pravda people the gay thing to bitch about?

 

Sheesh, I was trying to do you a favour.

 

Now shut the fuck up while I go discover Atlantis after bending this re-bar.

Posted by: Vladimir Putin at February 19, 2014 11:09 AM (BrQrN)

216

Ukraine central government authorizes use of military against protesters.

 

so shit's about to get real ?

Posted by: McCool at February 19, 2014 11:09 AM (nCSwS)

217

Obama to the rescue: Obama in Mexico, on Ukraine: "There will be consequences if people step over the line."

---

"Unless that line is the US-Mexican border"

Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at February 19, 2014 11:09 AM (SO2Q8)

218 Obama didn't set a line, the world did.  His credibility isn't on the line.  Congress' is.

Posted by: microagressor at February 19, 2014 11:09 AM (yhJhK)

219

Dead Chicken Sex Aficionados Horse Whipped By Cossacks

 

Huzzah!

Posted by: The Chicken at February 19, 2014 11:10 AM (BrQrN)

220 I look at the national weather map of current conditions and make my own guess for the day and maybe tomorrow. That's as far as I'll go, even looking at the five day forecast.

Speaking of which, the national map has been showing spring time weather patterns with weather systems blowing warm air north instead of arctic air south. In the north, there is still time to get three or four more winter storms, but the pattern has changed.

This means you folks in the heartland should get your tornado shelters cleaned out and stocked up.

Posted by: Joe Henry Sr. at February 19, 2014 11:11 AM (Cm/wP)

221 When will the Russians invade eastern Ukraine? After the Olympics end? It would be easy for them to do so on the pretext of protecting ethnic Russians.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at February 19, 2014 11:11 AM (oFCZn)

222 Over/Under on how long it takes Vlad to start putting the old band back together ?

Posted by: ScoggDog at February 19, 2014 11:12 AM (PATb9)

223
What is the line on when the stuff that is happening in Ukraine and Venezuela begins happening here.

Going to Vegas and I've got a couple of shekels burning a hole in my pocket.

Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at February 19, 2014 11:12 AM (BZAd3)

224 The JEF can only draw gray lines.

Posted by: artisanal 'ette: ARS v BM amazing match at February 19, 2014 11:12 AM (IXrOn)

225 74 degrees in charlotte today. Last Wednesday we were looking at about a foot of snow.

Posted by: NCKate at February 19, 2014 11:12 AM (4KFgL)

226 I predicted this years ago and I stand by it. The leveling off and or even cooling trend will lend the "experts" to this conclusion. "Well yes, we've leveled off, that means our efforts in being green are working"! I gurandamntee you that will be their line. They need to feed at the trough and continue their bullshit so they'll keep banning shit like light bulbs that actually you know, work.

Posted by: Minnfidel at February 19, 2014 11:13 AM (/o+xv)

227 Climate Science was a legitimate field of study until politics touched it. Anthropology was a legitimate field of study until politics touched it. Middle Eastern Studies was a legitimate field of study until politics touched it. Environmental Science was a legitimate field of study until politics touched it. ...etc. Anyone notice a trend here?

Posted by: zombie at February 19, 2014 11:13 AM (+cx5n)

228 That's not surprising. Every year the National Hurricane Information Center predicts a very active huricane season because of increasing water temperatures from global warming and they're right about one year out of five or roughly the same accuracy as a blind guess.

Posted by: Max Entropy at February 19, 2014 11:13 AM (cgtTL)

229

My meteorology professor    at   UNH   always advised to never trust a forecast more than 36 hours in advance, and   even then be skeptical.  Hasn't failed me yet as a rule.  

 

Yet every time I tell my parents, "Guys, it doesn't matter if the weather guy on channel 9 said that we were going to have spring-like conditions on Sunday.  THAT WAS A WEEK AGO,"   they nonetheless get pissed at the weather guy.  

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 11:13 AM (4df7R)

230 Every part of your environment not directly controlled by Federal Authorities is hazardous. Take no action of any kind without the direct intervention of Federal Authorities.
The drones are overhead.
You will be notified when it is safe.

Posted by: Euthyphro T Jones at February 19, 2014 11:13 AM (1/4XQ)

231 When will the Russians invade eastern Ukraine? After the Olympics end? And the world's media goes home.

Posted by: rickb223 at February 19, 2014 11:13 AM (p9JxP)

232 I hope those revolting have better plans than just to fight running skirmishes with the cops.

If the police departments there are anything like as militarized as the ones in the US, they could make a serious haul capturing police stations.  SWAT armored vehicles, guns and ammo, etc, etc.

Posted by: Ian S. at February 19, 2014 11:13 AM (B/VB5)

233 Burning rubble as far as the eye can see.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 11:14 AM (6bMeY)

234

...a legitimate field of study until politics touched it.

Anyone notice a trend here?

----

Women's Studies. The exception that proves the rule...

Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at February 19, 2014 11:15 AM (SO2Q8)

235 If the police departments there are anything like as militarized as the ones in the US, they could make a serious haul capturing police stations. SWAT armored vehicles, guns and ammo, etc, etc.

Posted by: Ian S. at February 19, 2014 03:13 PM (B/VB5)



*refreshes ARMSLIST every 2 seconds*




Posted by: EC at February 19, 2014 11:15 AM (GQ8sn)

236 The JEF can only draw gray lines.
-
In pencil.

Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 11:15 AM (XUKZU)

237 So, do the SoCons get crossbows and the FiCons get longbows or is it the other way around?

Posted by: The guy who's trying to cause trouble at February 19, 2014 11:15 AM (A0sHn)

238 I predicted this Winter but nobody ever listens to me.

Posted by: katya the designted driver at February 19, 2014 11:15 AM (4Chvm)

239 "When will the Russians invade eastern Ukraine?"

Bob Costas:  "The pivotal experiment continues!"

Posted by: microagressor at February 19, 2014 11:16 AM (yhJhK)

240 It's 81 in the Golden Isles today. Last few days I've been so cold I was shivering. Welcome change.

Posted by: backhoe at February 19, 2014 11:16 AM (ULH4o)

241 BTW, last weekend I was up by the Canadian Border doing some winter camping and ice fishing. Superior is frozen over almost completely which hasn't happened in almost 20 years. There's 4 plus feet of snow on the ground not counting what's evaporated and we're right back in the freeze and snow this weekend. There's a term we used to use for this back in the days before "climate" was used so freely. We called it Weather.

Posted by: Minnfidel at February 19, 2014 11:16 AM (/o+xv)

242 How's that Pen and Phone thing working out for you shithead?

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 11:16 AM (6bMeY)

243 Hey NOAA! Wanna see how legit forecasting gets done?

Posted by: Old Farmer's Almanac at February 19, 2014 11:17 AM (naUcP)

244 The JEF can only draw gray lines. - In pencil. Posted by: WalrusRex at February 19, 2014 03:15 PM ..He's got a Fisher Price phone and a crayon!

Posted by: Minnfidel at February 19, 2014 11:17 AM (/o+xv)

245 >>Obama to the rescue: Obama in Mexico, on Ukraine: "There will be consequences if people step over the line."

Meanwhile Iran is openly mocking Obama, stabs him in the back after every meeting, and so Obam....gives them everything they want.

Posted by: Lizzy at February 19, 2014 11:17 AM (POpqt)

246 I have a penis and an iPhone.

Posted by: the guy who's about to fap at February 19, 2014 11:17 AM (A0sHn)

247 It's 81 in the Golden Isles today. Last few days I've been so cold I was shivering. Welcome change. Posted by: backhoe at February 19, 2014 03:16 PM (ULH4o) 41F here in SE PA, which is like a heat wave compared to our temps this winter.

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 11:17 AM (r+7wo)

248 Pictures from Katie Pavlich's first IDPA shooting match.

http://tinyurl.com/mwbjmq8

Iink to Twitchy.


Posted by: Buzzsaw at February 19, 2014 11:18 AM (tf9Ne)

249

If this year has taught me anything, it's that all the weather forecasters have switched to 'model's' and it seems like all 4-6 of the ones they have been showing suck.

 

So, yeah, gives you great confidence for the ability to predict the future. Maybe we should go back to the almanac.

Posted by: Lea at February 19, 2014 11:18 AM (lIU4e)

250 @204 Cotton Mather Purity Squad I lol'd. (EOJ's Cotton Mather Purity Squad - Death's Head Legion comments kept me laughing through some rough times last year.)

Posted by: noone, really [/i] [/b] at February 19, 2014 11:18 AM (5ikDv)

251 We must launch a full invasion of the Ukraine immediately.

Posted by: John McCain at February 19, 2014 11:18 AM (Aif/5)

252 Anyone want to bet that the idiots will still attempt to claim that this was one of the hottest years on record again come December or January?

Posted by: Buzzion at February 19, 2014 11:18 AM (rCl82)

253 I'm not giving the Farmer's Almanac too much credit. They've fucked it up plenty of winters over the years. Broken clock, etc. etc.

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 11:19 AM (7ObY1)

254

I have a penis and an iPhone.

 

And he touches the iPhone more.

 

*sobs*

Posted by: The Penis at February 19, 2014 11:19 AM (BrQrN)

255

Meanwhile Iran is openly mocking Obama, stabs him in the back after every meeting, and so Obam....gives them everything they want.

---

I stab him a bit lower than that and he gives me everything i want too...

Posted by: Reggie Love at February 19, 2014 11:20 AM (SO2Q8)

256 248 Pictures from Katie Pavlich's first IDPA shooting match. Nice! I love a girl with curves. And guns.

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 11:20 AM (7ObY1)

257 One of the earliest accounts of the Thames freezing comes from AD 250, when it was frozen solid for nine weeks. As long ago as 923 the river was open to wheeled traffic for trade and the transport of goods for 13 weeks; in 1410, it lasted for 14 weeks. (this Little Ice Age lasted until the 19th century).

Printed on handbills at the frost fairs was this little ditty:

Behold the Liquid Thames frozen oÂ’re,
That lately Ships of mighty Burthen bore
The Watermen for want of Rowing Boats
Make use of Booths to get their Pence & Groats
Here you may see beef roasted on the spit
And for your money you may taste a bit
There you may print your name, tho cannot write
Cause num'd with cold: tis done with great delight
And lay it by that ages yet to come
May see what things upon the ice were done

In the winter of 1683 the Thames froze for 2 months. The people all protested climate change and asked for more taxes. Finally, after three more centuries or so, Mother Nature heard them until the new polar vortex came to town.*

Knowledge partly from Wiki, partly from Dame Christy.

Posted by: ChristyBlinky, Duchess of Something at February 19, 2014 11:20 AM (baL2B)

258 Pavlich is looking good!

Posted by: EC at February 19, 2014 11:20 AM (GQ8sn)

259 Did they also miss the Western drought?

Posted by: Milk Toast at February 19, 2014 11:20 AM (ZFXqT)

260 The weatherman can't predict with any accuracy what the weather will be like on Sunday, but is totes certain that it's gonna be real hot in 15 years because weather isn't climate or something.

Posted by: mugiwara at February 19, 2014 11:20 AM (+F0Zd)

261 OT, but that picture of Ronan Farrow at    Drudge is giving me the creeping heebie-jeebies.

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 11:21 AM (4df7R)

262 241 BTW, last weekend I was up by the Canadian Border doing some winter camping and ice fishing. My brother and I just took my 11-year old nephew on his first ice fishing trip. He wanted to do it, begged us, and had a ball. A chip off the old uncle, he is! Now he wants his dad to teach him to shoot (he already does archery) I. Am. So. Proud.!

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 11:21 AM (7ObY1)

263 261 Gayface. I believe it's called.

Posted by: NCKate at February 19, 2014 11:22 AM (4KFgL)

264

>>No joke, he had Biden call the Ukraine President yesterday.<<

 

It was a good convo.  I reminded him that Bin Laden is dead and GM is alive.  I also told him that the best defense is a shotgun.  Just shoot a protestor from behind your door.

Posted by: Joe Biden at February 19, 2014 11:22 AM (XxAYS)

265 WRT Ukraine.

Here is Ukraine's Got Talent 2009.  If you know anything at all about the history of the country, you will be moved to tears.

http://tinyurl.com/lnwzxs

Posted by: CUS at February 19, 2014 11:22 AM (wcLJG)

266 I had a farm in Greenland.

Posted by: Eiríkr Þorvaldsson at February 19, 2014 11:23 AM (1/4XQ)

267 @141 This. Meteorology, Climatology, not same.

Despite being a dreaded Humanities major (two of them, so I'm worse), I actually studied weather forecasting, in a college. A State University. It was an art, so that's why we had it in the College of Arts and Sciences, see? Before there was Earth Science, we had the modesty to call a program Physical Geography.

It's still an art. A whole lots, a bunch a, reporting stations, rented wires, and gooey displays have made the art easier to do, but basically you're still making wind roses, isobar and isotherm lines, with big H's and L's and arrows on them. Then you look for similar maps in the files, and see what happened next. So, with more data input, weather forecasts have gotten slightly better. Around the Great Lakes, you can be over 60% accurate out to 20 hours. Air being air, that is it.

We have a trillion dollars worth of "weather' satellites, and I'm so old I can remember when a trillion would impress people at a party. But they are not doing weather. Some are taking pictures to see if what you forecast really happened; the rest are "Climate," data collectors weaponized to use as ammunition in a war on liberty. We were fools to fund those. We were told we'd get forecasts better than 20 hours. If any of the people who sold those programs were still alive, they should be dug up and "compelled to breathe life into a dead thing."

Posted by: Stringer Davis at February 19, 2014 11:23 AM (xq1UY)

268 >261 OT, but that picture of Ronan Farrow at Drudge is giving me the creeping heebie-jeebies.

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit at February 19, 2014 03:21 PM (4df7R)<



What is with his lips?

Posted by: Muad'dib at February 19, 2014 11:23 AM (sjdRT)

269 Drudge is loading all weird for me right now. But I do see that Scarborough is planning a trip to NH. We're saved! (that's sarcasm, in case anyone had to ask)

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 11:24 AM (7ObY1)

270

Know who hasn't been here in a LOOOOOONNNGG time?

Heather Radish and Purp

Posted by: MAx at February 19, 2014 11:24 AM (b7yum)

271 How does this affect weasel futures?

Posted by: DNC Electability Division at February 19, 2014 11:24 AM (KQp38)

272 270 HR is around.

Posted by: NCKate at February 19, 2014 11:25 AM (4KFgL)

273 261 Gayface. I believe it's called.

Posted by: NCKate at February 19, 2014 03:22 PM (4KFgL)

 

Seriously.  It's like any second he's going to purr, "It puts the lotion on its skin or it gets the hose again."   *SHUDDER*

 

What is with his lips?

Posted by: Muad'dib at February 19, 2014 03:23 PM (sjdRT)

 

Can guys do    the duck face?   Is that   a thing?   Maybe he's been practicing.

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 11:25 AM (4df7R)

274 Gayface He didn't last long on Metalocalypse.

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 11:25 AM (7ObY1)

275 Good for Google. DRUDGE REPORT ‏@DRUDGE_REPORT GOOGLE aims to provide broadband in 34 more cities... http://drudge.tw/OaZTk3 Launched as an experimental project in 2010, Google Fiber is only available in three cities so far: Kansas City, Kan.; Kansas City, Mo. and Provo, Utah. It's coming to Austin, Texas sometime this year. If Google realizes its goal, the company will provide high-speed Internet service in these cities: Phoenix; Scottsdale, Ariz.; Tempe, Ariz.; San Jose, Calif.; Santa Clara, Calif.; Sunnyvale, Calif.; Mountain View, Calif.; Palo Alto, Calif.; Atlanta; Avondale Estates, Ga.; Brookhaven, Ga.; College Park, Ga.; Decatur, Ga.; East Point, Ga.; Hapeville, Ga.; Sandy Springs, Ga.; Smyrna, Ga.; Nashville, Tenn.; Charlotte, N.C.; Carrboro, Cary, N.C.; Chapel Hill, N.C.; Durham, N.C.; Garner, N.C.; Morrisville, N.C.; Raleigh, N.C.; Portland, Ore.; Beaverton, Ore.; Hillsboro, Ore.; Gresham, Ore.' Lake Oswego, Ore; Tigard, Ore.; San Antonio; and Salt Lake City.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at February 19, 2014 11:25 AM (ZPrif)

276 Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 03:21 PM ...Nothing better than seeing them get involved when they are little. I have two daughters. Oldest loves going hiking, fishing, etc. and likes being outside all the time. Youngest is like her Mom. will tolerate it as long as there's a nice cabin or hotel room at the end of the day. preferably with a hot tub. Taking my oldest to gun safety class in a couple weeks.

Posted by: Minnfidel at February 19, 2014 11:25 AM (/o+xv)

277 The clown with the Sno-Cone freaks me out....

Posted by: tubal at February 19, 2014 11:26 AM (YEQ2h)

278 Posted by: MAx at February 19, 2014 03:24 PM (b7yum) HR = Heather Radish

Posted by: chique d'afrique (the artist formerly known as african chick) at February 19, 2014 11:26 AM (r+7wo)

279 So basically it's Phoenix, Atlanta, Silicon Valley, Nashville, Charlotte, Research Triangle, Portland, San Antonio, and Salt Lake City. Interesting.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at February 19, 2014 11:27 AM (ZPrif)

280 Heather.....where  you  at?

Posted by: eleven at February 19, 2014 11:27 AM (KXm42)

281 Nood  "Guardians of the Galaxy" trailer post up.

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Assault Hobbit [/s][/u][/b][/i] at February 19, 2014 11:27 AM (4df7R)

282 Degrees in Meteorology are a (cuss word, followed by profanity and some icky image) bitch to obtain. Like 6 years of your life surviving on 5 hour energy and pizzas slid under the door. The equations have equations to derive the equations. And yet? Wrong. Always. Had an opportunity at one point in my travels to get a scholarship to Texas A&M (ampersand!) and a commission as an officer. Nope. FU. It's a demonically difficult degree that results in trying to catch water with a fork. Complete waste of time.

Posted by: tangonine (Squirrel Combat Tracker) at February 19, 2014 11:27 AM (x3YFz)

283 Wasn't it Pope Urban VIII that told Galileo that the "science was settled"?

Posted by: Spike at February 19, 2014 11:27 AM (W1zg3)

284 Can't predict one winter in advance; but they think they can predict climate, temperatures, and ocean level decades from now.

Posted by: AAA at February 19, 2014 11:28 AM (fG412)

285 276 Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 03:21 PM ...Nothing better than seeing them get involved when they are little. I have two daughters. Oldest loves going hiking, fishing, etc. and likes being outside all the time. Youngest is like her Mom. will tolerate it as long as there's a nice cabin or hotel room at the end of the day. preferably with a hot tub. Taking my oldest to gun safety class in a couple weeks. That's awesome, Minnfidel. It's a good thing to drill the NRA safety rules into them at a young age. We all grew up primitive camping with my Dad way the hell up in Ontario on Georgian Bay, even my sister, so it's nice to see the younger generation picking up on it.

Posted by: BlueStateRebel at February 19, 2014 11:28 AM (7ObY1)

286 If it's 'Settled Science' why did they change the name from Global Warming to 'Climate Change?'

Posted by: Schwalbe: The Me-262© at February 19, 2014 11:28 AM (9Bdcz)

287 Heather radish has been in this very thread

Posted by: Buzzion at February 19, 2014 11:30 AM (XEWnO)

288 My late father used to say, "Why should I believe they can predict the temperature and sea level 50 years from now when they can't even tell me with certainty if it will rain tomorrow?"

Posted by: Adjoran at February 19, 2014 11:30 AM (QIQ6j)

289 Here's the new Google Fiber map. 34 new cities in 9 metros. https://fiber.google.com/newcities/ If Google wants to buy my love -- fiber to my home is a good start.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at February 19, 2014 11:31 AM (ZPrif)

290 [redacted] Google's high speed cable.
Some cable company went through here during the great broadband buildout cable wars and laid three or four bundles of fiber in my front yard, and I can't even get DSL!

and Verizon wireless sucks nematodes.

Posted by: Joe Henry Sr. at February 19, 2014 11:32 AM (Cm/wP)

291 206 OT: WTF?!

Dead Chicken Sex Aficionados Horse Whipped By Cossacks

http://tinyurl.com/mamuon9

Posted by: The Political Hat at February 19, 2014 03:08 PM (XvHmy)


So Tuesday at Casa Ace?

Posted by: joncelli, who really at February 19, 2014 11:33 AM (RD7QR)

292 Nood movie review up

Posted by: rickb223 at February 19, 2014 11:33 AM (p9JxP)

293 So Tuesday at Casa Ace?


Thank god.


Posted by: The Cougar at February 19, 2014 11:34 AM (GQ8sn)

294

9 Which of the almanacs predicted this?

 

Farmers Almanac.

[In case no one has answered this yet. Sorry, late to the thread.]

 

Yep. Good ole Farmers Almanac predicted this would be an especially cold and wet winter season.

I read it last summer.

Posted by: wheatie at February 19, 2014 11:34 AM (DEUoo)

295 289 Here's the new Google Fiber map.
34 new cities in 9 metros.
https://fiber.google.com/newcities/

If Google wants to buy my love -- fiber to my home is a good start.

Posted by: Flatbush Joe at February 19, 2014 03:31 PM (ZPrif)


Bah. What do these sumbitches have against the mid-Atlantic states?

Posted by: joncelli at February 19, 2014 11:35 AM (RD7QR)

296 Farmer's Almanac's usually accurate predictions are made based on a host of factors with emphasis on solar activity. Others look mainly at CO2 levels in the atmosphere. Their predictions are uniformly horrible. There have been prolonged ice ages when atmospheric CO2 was many times current levels (approx 400 ppm with seasonal variation). The CO2 obsession now permeates articles on every possible scientific topic one can imagine. I can't recall an article on mass extinctions without speculation, however unsupported by evidence, that somehow CO2 was the culprit.

Posted by: Beagle at February 19, 2014 11:36 AM (sOtz/)

297 Ace. Here's something you might be interested in. Hillary Clinton is going to destroy the GOP for a generation in 2016. "In a Stunning Turn Poll Shows Hillary Clinton Could Make Louisiana Blue in 2016" http://bit.ly/1kYgKDU

Posted by: Brad at February 19, 2014 11:38 AM (9Pc9R)

298 Predicting the future, like hitting a curveball, is hard. In fairness, hitting a curve is easy, when you know it's coming. When everything you know tells you that you're going to get a fast ball or a hard slider in this count, that's when Uncle Charlie makes you look like a spaz.

Posted by: toby928© at February 19, 2014 11:38 AM (QupBk)

299 Hillary Clinton is going to destroy the GOP for a generation in 2016.
"In a Stunning Turn Poll Shows Hillary Clinton Could Make Louisiana Blue in 2016"  http://bit.ly/1kYgKDU

Posted by: Brad at February 19, 2014 03:38 PM (9Pc9R) 


Well, in fairness, Louisiana always did kinda look like a guy's drooping ball sack.




Posted by: Sharkman at February 19, 2014 11:44 AM (TM1p8)

300 >>>In fairness, hitting a curve is easy, when you know it's coming. in fairness, I know less about baseball than a six year old girl. Anything baseball related you hear from me is totally faked, cadged from stuff I think I heard in Bull Durham and League of Their Own.

Posted by: ace at February 19, 2014 11:45 AM (/FnUH)

301 ok so what about Purp???

Posted by: MAx at February 19, 2014 11:46 AM (b7yum)

302 Bah. What do these sumbitches have against the mid-Atlantic states?

I honestly don't want to know what the regulatory environment would be like for that in a lot of mid-Atlantic.

Posted by: Ian S. at February 19, 2014 11:46 AM (B/VB5)

303 2 former Navy SEALs found dead on ‘Captain Phillips’ ship.

Posted by: Boss Moss at February 19, 2014 11:51 AM (6bMeY)

304 Weather is God's way of telling us that we control nothing and know nothing.

Posted by: katya the designted driver at February 19, 2014 11:57 AM (4Chvm)

305 Based on recent winters and solar radiance, I had predicted an effing cold winter. I guess that means that I should return my physics and engineering degrees because I based my prediction on actual data instead of the manbearpig's Happyendingstick.

Maybe they've got an explanation for heir consistent "above average hurricane season" predictions since Katrina that doesn't involve political bullshit and wishing upon a star, but I doubt it.

Posted by: physics geek at February 19, 2014 12:00 PM (MT22W)

306 in fairness, I know less about baseball than a six year old girl. Heh. But the analogy still works because the weather predictors "know" that it's going to keep getting warmer, just like I 'knew' the pitcher would go to his overpowering fastball in this count, so they look even more like a spaz that someone standing at the plate with no idea of what's coming. See, you know more than you give yourself credit for.

Posted by: toby928© at February 19, 2014 12:03 PM (QupBk)

307 Joe Bastardi at WeatherBell pretty much nailed this winter. He's big on mocking the AGW crowd, oto. Late to the thread, but this is what I was going to add. For anyone in the NE or mid-Atlantic, he makes the call many days in advance with great accuracy. I won't forget HC Sandy when he predicted landfall location about a week out and nailed the final location within 20 miles. I follow him on twitter because I love how he mocks the CO2 crowd. https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi

Posted by: SE Pa Moron [/i] at February 19, 2014 12:06 PM (CnA98)

308 There's a baseball expression: Hit what you see. The forecasters aren't seeing what they are trying to hit, they're seeing what they want to hit.

Posted by: toby928© at February 19, 2014 12:06 PM (QupBk)

309 or hitting at what they want to see? HellifIknow. I'm a known mangler of metaphors.

Posted by: toby928© at February 19, 2014 12:12 PM (QupBk)

310 http://tinyurl.com/lo6tmu8 SO News report

Posted by: panzernashorn at February 19, 2014 12:20 PM (MhA4j)

311 "I don't really think it's terrible that government meteorologists failed to predict how tough, cold, and snowy this Global Warmening winter would be. Predicting the future, like hitting a curveball, is hard. But, of course: I'm a bit skeptical when they move straight from one near-term failed prediction to a long-term prediction, also failed, at least for the last 17 years, and tell me "Serious You Guys you have to trust on this, the Science is Settled."" If you read their science literature they will admit in the articles to being greatly uncertain in many (read: all) of the mechanisms important to climate. The problem is that when PR time comes they pimp it as something known with absolute certainty, because as long as it's CO2 doomtime then the grant money gravy train can keep rolling.

Posted by: Roadrunner at February 19, 2014 12:26 PM (K1Xp3)

312

The really funny part is the Farmer's Almanac got it right. (They predicted a really cold winter - which everyone scoffed at where I live when we had a really extended Indian Summer.)

 

Posted by: GWB at February 19, 2014 12:28 PM (zFh/A)

313 "The Official Weather Forecast Failed to Predict a Tough Winter" That's OK. The Official Stimulus failed to predict a shovel-unready stagnation.

Posted by: BuddyPC at February 19, 2014 12:38 PM (jfUIE)

314 You can't blame them for failing. Our weather happens in a thin layer of turbulent atmosphere coupled with heat and humidity exchange to the layer of turbulent ocean underneath, and the underlying ocean layer goes through quasi-periodic oscillations where warm/cold water upwell and completely alter our weather. Meanwhile this is all mounted on a damn ball that's whirling in front of a ball of fire that heats it non-uniformly. In classical mechanics the 3 body problem is impossible to solve exactly, and in quantum mechanics it's impossible to solve the 2-body problem exactly. Now imagine predicting the weather and climate. /wrists

Posted by: Roadrunner at February 19, 2014 12:40 PM (K1Xp3)

315 "That's OK. The Official Stimulus failed to predict a shovel-unready stagnation." now that cracked me up

Posted by: Roadrunner at February 19, 2014 12:44 PM (K1Xp3)

316 Seems to me that they covered 3/4 of the country in red, so like an astrologer's prediction, they could cover their bases. And they still managed to get it nearly all wrong. Should'a consulted the Farmer's Almanac, which warned of an unusually harsh winter.

Posted by: red speck at February 19, 2014 12:45 PM (9/Ug/)

317 52 Weather is not climate! *handwave, handwave, handwave* I hereby define climate as ... *whispers to Mann "how long have our predictions been wrong? 17 years?* 25 years! --Serious Climate Scientist *waves credentials* Posted by: bonhomme at February 19, 2014 02:38 PM (44jNh) Quite. I remember when climate was defined as 11 years, matching solar cycle lengths. Now the WMO says it's 30 years. By the time this cooling trend hits that mark, it will be 100.

Posted by: theCork at February 19, 2014 12:48 PM (hbAdE)

318 Alls they had to do was look it up in the Farmers Almanac, too.

Posted by: starboardhelm at February 19, 2014 01:15 PM (hOtJL)

319 We know they can't predict the weather. They freaking lie about the weather. Global Warming, anyone? They can't predict America's future, either. All they can do is lie about it.

Posted by: Erowmero at February 19, 2014 01:49 PM (OONaw)

320 My aunt's squirrel predicted this winter -- no, really, I'm serious. My aunt texted me in Sept or Oct that her backyard squirrel was really busy and she was worried it meant a bad winter. Squirrel 1, US gov 0.

Posted by: Aslan's Girl at February 19, 2014 02:23 PM (KL49F)

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