March 24, 2014
— Ace Silver didn't actually predict a GOP Senate takeover; he only said the GOP was a "slight favorite" to take majority control. But even this was enough to spur Democrats into Heretic Denouncement mode.
But of course it doesn't take much to do that. That's their preferred mode of expression these last thirty years.
Democrats aren't taking Nate Silver's latest Senate prediction lying down.In an unusual step, the executive director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee on Monday issued a rebuttal the famed statistician's prediction—made a day earlier—that Republicans were a "slight favorite" to retake the Senate. Silver was wrong in 2012, the political committee's Guy Cecil wrote in a memo, and he'll be wrong again in 2014.
Note that the Democrats have cited his predictions just this very cycle, to gin up the base:
[I]n fundraising pitches this cycle, Democrats regularly invoke his earlier prediction that the battle for Senate control was a "toss-up" [.]But in the memo, Cecil argues that Silver's track record is less than stellar....
In truth, Silver's suggestions that Republicans are favorites to win the Senate matched the assessment of most analysts in Washington.
Silver's tentative forecast is here.
When FiveThirtyEight last issued a U.S. Senate forecast — way back in July — we concluded the race for Senate control was a toss-up. That was a little ahead of the conventional wisdom at the time, which characterized the Democrats as vulnerable but more likely than not to retain the chamber.Our new forecast goes a half-step further: We think the Republicans are now slight favorites to win at least six seats and capture the chamber. The Democrats’ position has deteriorated somewhat since last summer, with President Obama’s approval ratings down to 42 or 43 percent from an average of about 45 percent before. Furthermore, as compared with 2010 or 2012, the GOP has done a better job of recruiting credible candidates, with some exceptions.
His chart of the likely winners of all Senate seats up for election (not just the swing seats being vigorously contested) has Mary Landrieu's reelection as a 50/50 proposition.
Polls don't mean everything and are often wrong. Still, as between the guy saying "Skewed polls, yo!" and the guy saying "Polls are usually right," I'd rather be the latter. I was the former in 2012, and it was pretty awful.
Posted by: Ace at
07:55 AM
| Comments (304)
Post contains 429 words, total size 3 kb.
Posted by: Y-not at March 24, 2014 07:58 AM (zDsvJ)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 07:59 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: MSM at March 24, 2014 07:59 AM (kFxpe)
Posted by: Biff Boffo at March 24, 2014 08:00 AM (YmPwQ)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:00 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at March 24, 2014 08:00 AM (659DL)
Posted by: Winston Wolf at March 24, 2014 08:01 AM (cHZB7)
Posted by: AMDG at March 24, 2014 08:01 AM (eFytx)
Posted by: long dong silver at March 24, 2014 08:01 AM (hn5v5)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:02 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: Tami [/i][/b][/u][/s] at March 24, 2014 08:02 AM (bCEmE)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:02 AM (h1D+w)
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 12:00 PM (GQ8sn)
-----
You did see that piece where the chick convicted of voter fraud was welcomed and praised byAl Sharpton at a "voting rights" conference this morning???
Posted by: fixerupper at March 24, 2014 08:02 AM (nELVU)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:03 AM (h1D+w)
Posted by: joncelli at March 24, 2014 08:03 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: RWC at March 24, 2014 08:03 AM (fWAjv)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:03 AM (da5Wo)
So when polls show Dems sweeping, kicking ass blah blah blah, they're simply infallible.
When those exact same fucking pollsters show a Dem loss, no matter how slight, they're obviously biased and just plain wrong.
Got it.
Posted by: Washington Nearsider at March 24, 2014 08:03 AM (fwARV)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:03 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: The Bros. Koch at March 24, 2014 08:03 AM (Ua6T/)
Posted by: Luap Nor at March 24, 2014 08:04 AM (kFxpe)
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 12:00 PM (GQ8sn)
--------------------------------------------
Will be? When did they stop? I've still have a bad feeling about the voting process as it is now. Too easy to manipulate.
Posted by: Soona at March 24, 2014 08:05 AM (6RUDX)
Posted by: AMDG at March 24, 2014 08:05 AM (eFytx)
Posted by: fixerupper at March 24, 2014 12:02 PM (nELVU)
She voted six times!!!
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 08:05 AM (GQ8sn)
We still consider Alex Jones and InfoWars as tabloid bullshit...right?
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at March 24, 2014 08:06 AM (si68n)
Posted by: t-bird at March 24, 2014 08:06 AM (FcR7P)
Not much. After all, they would only control two halves of two thirds of the govt. How could anybody expect them to do anything with those lousy numbers?
Posted by: George Orwell at March 24, 2014 08:06 AM (Vv4Go)
We still consider Alex Jones and InfoWars as tabloid bullshit...right?
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at March 24, 2014 12:06 PM (si68n)
Well, I do. What are they on about now?
Posted by: joncelli at March 24, 2014 08:07 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at March 24, 2014 08:07 AM (HsTG8)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:07 AM (da5Wo)
There will be no election in November. We will decide who stays and who goes-- by decree.
Posted by: Renee Ellmers Festering Penis at March 24, 2014 08:07 AM (Cs2tJ)
Depends on how big the poll is.
Posted by: Sandra Fluke at March 24, 2014 08:08 AM (kFxpe)
Posted by: Dr Spank at March 24, 2014 08:08 AM (P1WNR)
Posted by: Y-not at March 24, 2014 11:58 AM (zDsvJ)
What would a dog do if it actually caught the car?
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 08:08 AM (DrWcr)
Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at March 24, 2014 08:09 AM (HsTG8)
Posted by: maddogg at March 24, 2014 08:09 AM (xWW96)
Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ at March 24, 2014 12:07 PM (HsTG
I'll take some of their hawt Ukrainian wimmiz.
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 08:09 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at March 24, 2014 08:09 AM (659DL)
Posted by: Dr Spank at March 24, 2014 12:08 PM (P1WNR)
I've got a trunk full of ballots that says different.
Posted by: Landrieu's Minnesota Consultants at March 24, 2014 08:09 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: RWC at March 24, 2014 08:09 AM (fWAjv)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:10 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: Yoshi, Aggrieved Victim of the White Man at March 24, 2014 08:10 AM (OzZJn)
Posted by: Vic[/i] at March 24, 2014 08:10 AM (T2V/1)
Posted by: kathysaysso at March 24, 2014 08:10 AM (6H6o8)
Posted by: SH at March 24, 2014 08:11 AM (gmeXX)
From Drudge
http://tinyurl.com/lo8sel8
Oh wait,
Forget that I asked.
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at March 24, 2014 08:11 AM (si68n)
speak for yourself
Posted by: Barry Soetoro at March 24, 2014 08:11 AM (kFxpe)
You just don't have the damn facts.
Posted by: Renee Ellmers Festering Penis at March 24, 2014 08:11 AM (Cs2tJ)
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 12:08 PM (DrWcr)
Sniff around the tires and rear bumper, piss on it, then go investigate a rotting gopher carcass.
Now, how to make that a metaphor for the GOPe...
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (h1D+w)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (ZPrif)
Babies have a lot of high energy fat on them. Burning them for fuel is green.
/We do it for the children leftard.
Posted by: maddogg at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (xWW96)
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 12:08 PM (DrWcr)
I dunno, but I think I'd rather have a dog with a car than a bitch with a bone.
I have no idea what that means either, but it sounds good. Go with it.
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 12:10 PM (da5Wo)
You've been studying at The Dan Rather School of Journalism and Random Quasi-Folksy Sayings?
Posted by: joncelli at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (659DL)
Now, how to make that a metaphor for the GOPe...
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit at March 24, 2014 12:12 PM (4df7R)
I think you already captured it pretty well.
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (DrWcr)
Posted by: Minnfidel at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (igKtt)
Posted by: THE DNC at March 24, 2014 08:12 AM (P1WNR)
Posted by: ExSnipe at March 24, 2014 08:13 AM (LKJt3)
He noted in that piece that Silver got every senate race correct in 2012.
Here's the video:
http://tinyurl.com/k4ur5sa
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at March 24, 2014 08:13 AM (Z7PrM)
Posted by: boulder toilet hobo at March 24, 2014 08:13 AM (Ysbcl)
Posted by: RWC at March 24, 2014 08:13 AM (fWAjv)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:14 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: JohnMilton'sGhost at March 24, 2014 08:14 AM (K0hrl)
Posted by: tsrblke, PhD(c) (No Really!) at March 24, 2014 08:14 AM (HDwDg)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 12:12 PM (ZPrif)
Well that's hardly news to US.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:14 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Roy at March 24, 2014 08:14 AM (VndSC)
Cobs, call Eric Holder NOW!
Posted by: ExSnipe at March 24, 2014 12:13 PM (LKJt3)
Why? Will he give us rifles?
Posted by: Washington Nearsider at March 24, 2014 08:14 AM (fwARV)
Posted by: Hillary Clinton at March 24, 2014 08:15 AM (GjPnA)
Drama queen, feel the beat from the Occupy tambourine
You can dance, you can jive, having the time of your life
See that transgender girl, watch that LGBT scene, diggin' the drama queen
Posted by: RWC at March 24, 2014 12:13 PM (fWAjv)
-----
Ummmm..... a word with you if we may.....
Posted by: ABBA's Team of Attorneys at March 24, 2014 08:15 AM (nELVU)
Posted by: THE DNC at March 24, 2014 12:12 PM (P1WNR)
Eww. What about the smell?
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:16 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: joncelli at March 24, 2014 08:16 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe
I want the popcorn connsessions!
Posted by: Gmac at March 24, 2014 08:16 AM (4pjhs)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 08:17 AM (ZPrif)
Posted by: ontherocks at March 24, 2014 08:17 AM (YHleJ)
Posted by: Washington Nearsider at March 24, 2014 12:14 PM (fwARV)
Depends. How good's your spanish?
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:17 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:17 AM (h1D+w)
Posted by: Jonathan Swift at March 24, 2014 08:17 AM (nCSwS)
Nope. Came up with that little flowercup all by my ginger cousin.
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 12:14 PM (da5Wo)
You're your own cousin? Now that's some epic inbreeding right there.
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 08:18 AM (DrWcr)
Posted by: Hello it's me Donna and I know nuthink! at March 24, 2014 08:18 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: tsrblke, PhD(c) (No Really!) at March 24, 2014 08:18 AM (HDwDg)
Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at March 24, 2014 08:18 AM (Dwehj)
Posted by: sven10077 at March 24, 2014 08:18 AM (pSXcz)
Summer's Eve.
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 12:17 PM (h1D+w)
Lysol.
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 08:18 AM (DrWcr)
Depends. How good's your spanish?
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit at March 24, 2014 12:17 PM (4df7R)
Fucking muy bueno, bitches.
Posted by: Washington Nearsider at March 24, 2014 08:19 AM (fwARV)
That's how these things tend to go.
Posted by: GnuBreed at March 24, 2014 08:19 AM (cHZB7)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:20 AM (h1D+w)
Posted by: t-bird at March 24, 2014 08:20 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at March 24, 2014 08:20 AM (Dwehj)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:20 AM (da5Wo)
Recovery Summer's Eve.
Edited for clarity.
Posted by: t-bird at March 24, 2014 12:20 PM (FcR7P)
Green shoots, baby!
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (DrWcr)
Posted by: RWC at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (fWAjv)
Posted by: Washington Nearsider at March 24, 2014 12:19 PM (fwARV)
Perfect. Throw in a few "eses" and "comprendes" and you'll have no problem convincing the twats in the gubmint (who thought "Spanglish" was an acceptable method of translation for the Spanish language portions of 404Care.gov) that you're a Zeta.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (4df7R)
The phrase "all politics are local" should preside here. And if you consider that as a guiding maxim where Silver shows Democrats losing- it applies. Big-time.
The economic factors alone are enough to move it that way in every race. Add Obamacare and it tilts well in the other direction.
Democrats own all of this situation and can't run from it. There is no blame sharing. There people all have a record of voting with Obama and against the people who elected them. Such is the phenomena of constantly appeasing the god-king with your congressional vote sacrifice. Ultimately, you become the burnt offering.
Posted by: Marcus T. at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (GGCsk)
Recovery Summer's Eve.
Edited for clarity.
Posted by: t-bird at March 24, 2014 12:20 PM (FcR7P)
Can't. Stop. Laughing.
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: tsrblke, PhD(c) (No Really!) at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (HDwDg)
Speaking of, Mila Kunis is originally from Ukraine. Has she made a statement anywhere about all of this? I have no illusions that Hollywood has not made her a lefty, but she did make an anticommunist statement a while back.
Posted by: LizLem at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (BF+2f)
DHS seems to have hired the writers from Law and Order, because every time one of these operations leaks the terrorists are always straight white men with jobs.
Posted by: Ian S. at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (B/VB5)
Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at March 24, 2014 12:18 PM (Dwehj)
-----
Ahm tellin yah cappin..... she 'ont take much more of dis......
Posted by: Lt Commander Scott at March 24, 2014 08:21 AM (nELVU)
Posted by: boulder toilet hobo at March 24, 2014 08:22 AM (Ysbcl)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:22 AM (PYAXX)
Either way.
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 12:22 PM (PYAXX)
They'll just increase the amounts.
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 08:23 AM (GQ8sn)
Or runaway inflation making them as good as empty.
Either way.
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 12:22 PM (PYAXX)
I have seen the future, and it is shlepping a wheelbarrow full of EBT cards to buy a single block of Velveeta.
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 08:23 AM (DrWcr)
We've got to take that chance. Mr. Scott!
Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at March 24, 2014 08:23 AM (Dwehj)
Posted by: LizLem at March 24, 2014 12:21 PM (BF+2f)
Too busy shopping with Ashton to comment.
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 08:23 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:23 AM (PYAXX)
Flatbush - Our Continuity of Operations (COOP) exercise this year is indeed a massive earthquake in Alaska. There will be fallout all down the west coast. Concurrently, there will be an exercise which makes federal buildings in DC uninhabitable.
I fully expect that to be because some right-wing crazy cooked off a chemical weapon in the city.
Posted by: Washington Nearsider at March 24, 2014 08:23 AM (fwARV)
Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at March 24, 2014 08:24 AM (8ZskC)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:24 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:24 AM (h1D+w)
Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at March 24, 2014 08:24 AM (Dwehj)
Posted by: seems legit at March 24, 2014 08:24 AM (A98Xu)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:25 AM (RJMhd)
Posted by: Minnfidel at March 24, 2014 08:25 AM (igKtt)
Posted by: Tami [/i][/b][/u][/s] at March 24, 2014 08:25 AM (bCEmE)
I can't even tell my commas from my periods.
Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at March 24, 2014 12:24 PM (Dwehj)
That's why you need free birth control, fuckers.
/Sandra Fluke
Posted by: Washington Nearsider at March 24, 2014 08:25 AM (fwARV)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:26 AM (RJMhd)
As long as the LIVs and FSA see anything with a dollar sign on their balance, they won't care. They'll just demand higher amounts if what they've been getting doesn't cover what they used to buy.
If that doesn't happen, though? Yeah, they'll riot.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:26 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at March 24, 2014 08:26 AM (Dwehj)
Posted by: Citizen X at March 24, 2014 08:26 AM (7ObY1)
It will be synthetic Velveeta synthetic cheese food Velveeta cheese product.
But only on every second Tuesday.
Posted by: venezuela at March 24, 2014 08:27 AM (hn5v5)
Posted by: Citizen X at March 24, 2014 08:27 AM (7ObY1)
Posted by: MTF at March 24, 2014 08:28 AM (F58x4)
Posted by: RWC at March 24, 2014 08:28 AM (fWAjv)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 08:28 AM (ZPrif)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:28 AM (da5Wo)
129 Ever feel like you're on a runaway train full of snakes?
Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at March 24, 2014 12:26 PM (Dwehj)
I have HAD IT with these motherfuckin' snakes on this motherfuckin' train!
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:29 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: AmishDude at March 24, 2014 08:29 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:29 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: Zorro Toronado at March 24, 2014 08:29 AM (/vO0r)
Posted by: ontherocks at March 24, 2014 08:30 AM (YHleJ)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 12:28 PM (ZPrif)
-----
That's a feature..... not a bug.
Posted by: fixerupper at March 24, 2014 08:30 AM (nELVU)
Posted by: Mary Landrieu at March 24, 2014 08:30 AM (F58x4)
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at March 24, 2014 08:30 AM (Z7PrM)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:30 AM (h1D+w)
Posted by: AmishDude at March 24, 2014 08:30 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:30 AM (x3YFz)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 12:29 PM (PYAXX)
We already had a taste of that, remember? A few months ago.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:31 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: William Devane at March 24, 2014 08:31 AM (Aif/5)
The economic factors alone are enough to move it that way in every race. Add Obamacare and it tilts well in the other direction.
---------------------------------------
Hold our beers. Watch this.
Posted by: MFM at March 24, 2014 08:31 AM (6RUDX)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:31 AM (RJMhd)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:31 AM (x3YFz)
Posted by: seems legit at March 24, 2014 08:32 AM (A98Xu)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:32 AM (da5Wo)
Oh so triggered
I feel triggered and ready to fight
And I pity
Any abortion protester I run into tonight
Posted by: Dr. Mireille Miller-Young at March 24, 2014 08:32 AM (8ZskC)
Posted by: Burn the Witch at March 24, 2014 08:32 AM (gBnkX)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:32 AM (h1D+w)
Posted by: Yoshi, Aggrieved Victim of the White Man at March 24, 2014 08:32 AM (OzZJn)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:33 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:33 AM (RJMhd)
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:33 AM (4df7R)
Seriously- how many millions of dollars of purchases are put on EBT cards per day? If a quarter of those failed in one day (or- succeeded, but didn't pay enough to buy groceries), you'd have riots *that night*.
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 12:29 PM (PYAXX)
-------
Here.... read this..... then tell us how well you sleep tonite....
http://tinyurl.com/9cr8rx6
Posted by: fixerupper at March 24, 2014 08:33 AM (nELVU)
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 12:23 PM (GQ8sn)
Fixed
Posted by: BCochran1981
...........
Eeewwww! Marissa Miller?? She has freckles, for cripes sakes!
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at March 24, 2014 08:33 AM (Z7PrM)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 08:33 AM (ZPrif)
Posted by: Hello it's me Donna and I know nuthink! at March 24, 2014 08:34 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:34 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:34 AM (4df7R)
Her name is... Like... "I'm Freaking Hot, Conservative, And a Gun Owner."
---
Mia Love U Long Time?
Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at March 24, 2014 08:34 AM (SO2Q8)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:34 AM (x3YFz)
Posted by: Burn the Witch at March 24, 2014 08:34 AM (gBnkX)
Posted by: FenelonSpoke at March 24, 2014 08:35 AM (XyM/Y)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:35 AM (RJMhd)
Silver's finding that this thing is even close just goes to show you how fucked up and shitty the GOP is at winning elections.
Question: If we are all foaming at the mouth to bring Snowden back and punish him justly for his violation of the law... Right? B/c freedom??
Then what punishment should be meted out to those govt employees violating the Constitution on a daily basis by spying on us unlawfully??
Posted by: prescient11 at March 24, 2014 08:35 AM (tVTLU)
Posted by: jwest at March 24, 2014 08:35 AM (u2a4R)
Posted by: blaster at March 24, 2014 08:36 AM (4+AaH)
Posted by: Tami [/i][/b][/u][/s] at March 24, 2014 08:36 AM (bCEmE)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:36 AM (x3YFz)
I will add my poor thinking to the makeup of the electorate in 2012. Just couldn't believe those polls after the 2010 election and 4 years of the scoamf. So more open thinking now.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at March 24, 2014 08:36 AM (0Kobm)
Posted by: Hello it's me Donna and I know nuthink! at March 24, 2014 08:36 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: seems legit at March 24, 2014 08:36 AM (A98Xu)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:36 AM (RJMhd)
We're not questioning your motives, we're questioning your intelligence, evidence of which i have not seen.
And if Obama is legally president, where's his birth certificate?
Posted by: Dr Spank at March 24, 2014 08:36 AM (P1WNR)
Still, as between the guy saying "Skewed polls, yo!" and the guy saying "Polls are usually right,"
---
I thought it was Gabe who'd want to be in the spot between two guys...
Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at March 24, 2014 08:37 AM (SO2Q8)
Posted by: taylork at March 24, 2014 08:37 AM (9bPUR)
Posted by: Citizen X at March 24, 2014 08:37 AM (7ObY1)
Posted by: t-bird at March 24, 2014 08:37 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:37 AM (RJMhd)
Posted by: Yoshi, Aggrieved Victim of the White Man at March 24, 2014 08:37 AM (OzZJn)
Posted by: McAdams at March 24, 2014 08:38 AM (IkH8H)
Posted by: Citizen X at March 24, 2014 08:38 AM (7ObY1)
♪ Oh.... do you know the question man...
the question man,
the question man.
Oh ... do you know the question man who lives on Douchebag Lane. ♫
Posted by: fixerupper at March 24, 2014 08:38 AM (nELVU)
Is Bill Maher posting on this blog?? Can't stand a black president?? lol. First off he's half black and half white, so it's a love/hate relationship....
The answer to that statement is to laugh and say, is that all you got??? You sad little people you. I'm done laughing, who has something to say worth listening to?
Posted by: prescient11 at March 24, 2014 08:38 AM (tVTLU)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:38 AM (x3YFz)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:38 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: Hello it's me Donna and I know nuthink! at March 24, 2014 08:38 AM (9+ccr)
Posted by: Mallamutt at March 24, 2014 08:38 AM (Hz4pz)
Posted by: Minnfidel at March 24, 2014 08:39 AM (igKtt)
Posted by: Citizen X at March 24, 2014 08:39 AM (7ObY1)
Posted by: Tami [/i][/b][/u][/s] at March 24, 2014 08:39 AM (bCEmE)
Posted by: Meghan McCain, Tomorrow's Conservative Today at March 24, 2014 08:39 AM (8ZskC)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:40 AM (RJMhd)
Posted by: The GOP at March 24, 2014 08:40 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: Burn the Witch at March 24, 2014 08:41 AM (gBnkX)
Posted by: Citizen X at March 24, 2014 08:41 AM (7ObY1)
What'd I miss? (Of course, you'll say it and THEN I'll remember, because that's how these things work...)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 12:33 PM (PYAXX)
Twas last October. First the EBT cards failed because of a glitch, then some of the EBT cards got unlimited funds, which sent people out on massive shopping sprees.
Clarion Ledger: http://tinyurl.com/lefplx4
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:41 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:41 AM (x3YFz)
Posted by: Citizen X at March 24, 2014 08:41 AM (7ObY1)
but that was kinda... I like her. She's badass. Wouldn't have gone with the love you long time thing
---
Wait, did i just discover a floor for tastelessnes on this blog? I claim this in the name of Spain!!!
actually it was an oper offer to her. Though the long time part is probably optimistic on my part.
Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at March 24, 2014 08:42 AM (SO2Q8)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:42 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:42 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: Mallamutt at March 24, 2014 08:42 AM (Hz4pz)
Posted by: Yoshi, Aggrieved Victim of the White Man at March 24, 2014 08:43 AM (OzZJn)
Posted by: Burn the Witch at March 24, 2014 08:43 AM (gBnkX)
Posted by: FenelonSpoke at March 24, 2014 08:43 AM (XyM/Y)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:43 AM (PYAXX)
Wait....this is an actual human typing these words....and believing them?
Get the fuck out of here.
Ain't no-one that stupid, and still able to inhale and exhale without an onsite breathing coach.
That has GOT to be a sock.
Right?
Please, tell me it's a sock.
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at March 24, 2014 08:43 AM (si68n)
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 08:43 AM (RJMhd)
Posted by: prescient11 at March 24, 2014 08:44 AM (tVTLU)
Posted by: Joe Biden wearing a dunce cap at March 24, 2014 08:44 AM (rXcBX)
I think the Senate is the GOP's to lose
--
Pro-tip...
It's easier to step on your balls if you cut them of first.
Posted by: GOP at March 24, 2014 08:44 AM (SO2Q8)
Posted by: Burn the Witch at March 24, 2014 08:44 AM (gBnkX)
not nincompoopery--something "fresher".
Posted by: tasker at March 24, 2014 12:40 PM (RJMhd)
Nincompotpourri
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:44 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Citizen X at March 24, 2014 08:45 AM (7ObY1)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:46 AM (x3YFz)
Posted by: taylork at March 24, 2014 08:46 AM (9bPUR)
Posted by: AllenG (DedicatedTenther) Ah, F It. at March 24, 2014 08:46 AM (PYAXX)
Posted by: Burn the Witch at March 24, 2014 08:46 AM (gBnkX)
Posted by: rickb223 at March 24, 2014 08:46 AM (h1D+w)
Those strawmen are taking a real beating.
***
In a Barry-Reggie kinda way IYKWIMAITYD.
Posted by: cool arrow at March 24, 2014 08:47 AM (Dqdyh)
A) Doesn't know how to spell "question"
and
B) Uses two N's on "-mann." That tells me all I need to know.
That's you, Michael Mann, isn't it? The tight sentence structure and clear argumentation are a dead giveaway. Also the balls-out crazy.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:47 AM (4df7R)
It is a long way between now and the election. The event trajectory does not look good for Demorats. Especially with the bad fiscal/jobs situation and now global events kicking in. They can't treat Obama like a leper all they want. Look at their voting records. Demorats have constantly voted against their constituents best interests and with Obama/Harry Reid. I don't know how you put distance between yourself and those events between now and November.
Posted by: Marcus T. at March 24, 2014 08:47 AM (GGCsk)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:48 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at March 24, 2014 08:49 AM (Ec6wH)
Shit like this is what keeps me coming here.
Perhaps too often.
But, it is what it is.
As an aside, Am I wrong to suddenly discover Tosh.0,
and find myself laughing at the most inappropriate times while watching it?
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at March 24, 2014 08:49 AM (si68n)
The best part is that Jim Matheson is not running again, no real explanation just not running...another dem bites the dust. So it will be smooth sailing if she gets the GOP nom. But knowing the establishment GOP in my state, there is a good chance they will try to railroad her and get a more party-line toeing person in place. Because they are idiots. But she is the frontrunner at the moment.
Posted by: LizLem at March 24, 2014 08:49 AM (BF+2f)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 12:46 PM (x3YFz)
---
And you'd like to know what Mia would do if you poked her. Yeah, where is that queue?
Posted by: Mary Cloggenstein of Battleboro VT at March 24, 2014 08:49 AM (SO2Q8)
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at March 24, 2014 12:49 PM (Ec6wH)
McLame
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:49 AM (4df7R)
and find myself laughing at the most inappropriate times while watching it?
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at March 24, 2014 12:49 PM (si68n)
Tosh.0 = Ow My Balls!
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 08:49 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at March 24, 2014 08:50 AM (659DL)
Posted by: Marcus T. at March 24, 2014 12:47 PM (GGCsk)
We're on it!
Posted by: MSM at March 24, 2014 08:50 AM (LI48c)
Posted by: Minnfidel at March 24, 2014 08:50 AM (igKtt)
***
Doubt it'll be McLame. No such thing as a "maverick Democrat."
Posted by: cool arrow at March 24, 2014 08:50 AM (Dqdyh)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:50 AM (x3YFz)
Posted by: Meremortal, something's burning... at March 24, 2014 08:51 AM (1Y+hH)
Posted by: tsrblke, PhD(c) (No Really!) at March 24, 2014 08:51 AM (HDwDg)
He might recall what became of "his good friend" Arlen Spectre.
Posted by: fluffy at March 24, 2014 08:51 AM (Ua6T/)
*sad resting mitchface*
Posted by: Mitch McConnell at March 24, 2014 08:51 AM (8ZskC)
Doubt it'll be McLame. No such thing as a "maverick Democrat."
Posted by: cool arrow at March 24, 2014 12:50 PM (Dqdyh)
Nah. If he's hearing enough rumblings from back home of people saying, "Fuck no we don't want you to run again, you doughy has-been!" then he'll switch parties for the last two years of this term and call it "following his conscience."
Then hopefully he'll leave office and die, like Specter.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:52 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Pug-delicious! at March 24, 2014 08:52 AM (vFh9Q)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:52 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: Joe Biden at March 24, 2014 08:52 AM (8ZskC)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:52 AM (x3YFz)
I sincerely am troubled by the idea that you assume that there's a floor to our depravity.
---
It's like bigfoot. You cannot prove it does not exist so you keep going deeper into the woods to try to find it.
Haven't even found a footprint of it yet.
Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at March 24, 2014 08:53 AM (SO2Q8)
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 08:53 AM (ZPrif)
***
That, I can absolutely see happening.
Posted by: cool arrow at March 24, 2014 08:53 AM (Dqdyh)
Arianna Huffington says the new feminist issue is getting enough sleep.
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 12:53 PM (ZPrif)
They're so anxious and stressed from the oppression of Teh Patriarchy™ that they can't sleep.
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 08:53 AM (DrWcr)
Says you!
Posted by: Stoned stoners in CO at March 24, 2014 08:53 AM (BF+2f)
Arianna Huffington says the new feminist issue is getting enough sleep.
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 12:53 PM (ZPrif)
Oh fuck ME. Who let that vaginalogue open her festering gob?
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:54 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at March 24, 2014 08:54 AM (659DL)
Rumor has it that he's been practicing his two-handed reacharound the aisle for months.
Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at March 24, 2014 08:55 AM (8ZskC)
http://tinyurl.com/9cr8rx6
Posted by: fixerupper at March 24, 2014 12:33 PM (nELVU)
---------------------------------------------------
This is, more or less, how I've gamed the worsed case scenario. Although, he has left out another element that will add to the chaos: The people who'll start killing just for the sake of killing. There'll be many.
Posted by: MFM at March 24, 2014 08:55 AM (6RUDX)
Posted by: V Putin at March 24, 2014 12:55 PM (AnDVn)
Objection. Assumes facts not in evidence.
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 08:55 AM (DrWcr)
He ALREADY has both parties coming to him.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:55 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Filly at March 24, 2014 08:55 AM (6O2H2)
Posted by: seems legit at March 24, 2014 08:56 AM (A98Xu)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 08:56 AM (da5Wo)
Posted by: Burn the Witch at March 24, 2014 08:56 AM (gBnkX)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at March 24, 2014 08:56 AM (659DL)
Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at March 24, 2014 12:56 PM (da5Wo)
Hush you. First, delicate flower of innocent virtue. Second, see first.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:57 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: V Putin at March 24, 2014 12:55 PM (AnDVn)
Objection. Assumes facts not in evidence.
Posted by: Insomniac at March 24, 2014 12:55 PM (DrWcr)
-----
**snort**
**furiously sops coffee out of keyboard..... again
Posted by: fixerupper at March 24, 2014 08:57 AM (nELVU)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 08:57 AM (x3YFz)
Arianna Huffington says the new feminist issue is getting enough sleep.
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 12:53 PM (ZPrif)
Here....take this roofie.
Posted by: EC at March 24, 2014 08:58 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Bossy Assault Hobbit [/u][/i][/s][/b] at March 24, 2014 08:59 AM (4df7R)
Arianna Huffington says the new feminist issue is getting enough sleep.
---
Well if i didn't have to take the extra 10 minutes to get her Her Orgasm, she'd have that much more time. Add in the cuddling and the foreplay and it's substantial.
A great dead of extra sleeping time could be found if i could have sex while you're making me a sammich...
Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at March 24, 2014 08:59 AM (SO2Q8)
So far, am half way through the first season of Tosh.0.
And I guess they just keep repeating the same meme till it gets old.
So far, it's not old.
Enjoy it while I can.
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at March 24, 2014 09:00 AM (si68n)
Posted by: tangonine at March 24, 2014 09:01 AM (x3YFz)
First, delicate flower of innocent virtue.
---
They pay double for the in Bangkok.Triple if you can prove it. So i hear...
Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at March 24, 2014 09:02 AM (SO2Q8)
Posted by: boulder toilet hobo at March 24, 2014 09:02 AM (Ysbcl)
Arianna Huffington says the new feminist issue is getting enough sleep.
Posted by: Flatbush Joe at March 24, 2014 12:53 PM (ZPrif)
So what, the penises are keeping them awake?
Posted by: joncelli at March 24, 2014 09:07 AM (RD7QR)
***
I suppose correct spelling is far too bourgeois for you, huh?
Posted by: cool arrow at March 24, 2014 09:12 AM (Dqdyh)
I'm willing to bet one bright, shiny nickel that Majority Leader McConnell's first act will be to undo the "nuclear option", in the name of Senate tradition.
Posted by: Brown Line at March 24, 2014 09:13 AM (VrNoa)
Posted by: A Liberal AoS Read, Really! at March 24, 2014 09:14 AM (iKQwh)
Posted by: A Liberal AoS Reader, Really! at March 24, 2014 09:18 AM (iKQwh)
Posted by: Yoshi, Aggrieved Victim of the White Man at March 24, 2014 09:21 AM (OzZJn)
If you're south of Roma, should have taken SS7.
That makes it a real challenge to post.
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at March 24, 2014 09:31 AM (si68n)
Posted by: A Liberal AoS Reader, Really! at March 24, 2014 09:44 AM (iKQwh)
Posted by: Thresherman at March 24, 2014 10:04 AM (2oX4G)
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at March 24, 2014 10:16 AM (zfY+H)
Hide Comments | Add Comment | Refresh | Top
64 queries taking 0.4006 seconds, 432 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.








Posted by: Y-not at March 24, 2014 07:57 AM (zDsvJ)