January 24, 2014

Global Markets Tank; Dow Loses 300 Points In Worse Week Since 2011
— Ace

In the words of Instapundit: That which can't go on forever, won't.

U.S. stocks fell sharply and Treasuries rallied on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbling triple-digits for a second session and posting its worst week since November 2011, as investors pulled money from emerging markets and other assets viewed as risky.

As Wall Street's faith in some of the world's largest developed countries unraveled, currencies of those nations were hit, with Turkey's lira falling to a record low against the dollar, and Argentina's peso down sharply against the U.S. currency.

"We've touched off by what's going on around the world, so to speak, and are reallocating assets from some of the emerging markets into what is thought of as more reliable," said JJ Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade. "It's a safe parking spot," Kinahan added of fixed income.

Rick Santelli says that markets are beginning to wake up to the fact that central banks' straining efforts to levitate a deadweight market cannot continue. His nontechnical point is that central banks have been trying to artificially juice up the market, in hopes that positive psychology would then turn fake growth into real growth, and feigned confidence into genuine confidence.

But he says the frantic efforts to get sodden wood to catch fire have failed, and people are now catching on.

Video at the link.

Posted by: Ace at 03:01 PM | Comments (343)
Post contains 251 words, total size 2 kb.

1 You're absolutely right, Ace.

Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at January 24, 2014 03:02 PM (eHIJJ)

2 Pot Futures!

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at January 24, 2014 03:02 PM (IXrOn)

3 "Rick Santelli says that markets are beginning to wake up to the fact that central banks' straining efforts to levitate a deadweight market cannot continue."

Awesome. What will Obama's squirrel be this time?

Posted by: Lizzy at January 24, 2014 03:03 PM (POpqt)

4 Recovery Winter!!

Posted by: MSM at January 24, 2014 03:03 PM (cL+9V)

5 Rick Santelli is one passionate man.

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at January 24, 2014 03:03 PM (IXrOn)

6 So does this mean the hedge funds are cracking?

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 03:03 PM (RJMhd)

7 I felt the rumble when the wealthy starting selling off pre-dumpster diving.

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at January 24, 2014 03:04 PM (IXrOn)

8 >>>Awesome. What will Obama's squirrel be this time? Obviously I can't undo all the damage George Bush did in just six years.

Posted by: Barack Obama at January 24, 2014 03:04 PM (/FnUH)

9 I said in 2010 that the US stock market has become one big Ponzi scheme. There is absolutely no sound fundamentals to support the current value of the major indices.

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 03:04 PM (znUty)

10 Oh my!

Posted by: CrotchetyOldJarhead at January 24, 2014 03:05 PM (60Vyp)

11 Tim Geithner announces lawsuit against both Dow and Jones

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 03:05 PM (lIl16)

12 Burn, baby, burn. Guess that Omnibus Budget Bill really instilled confidence in the markets, eh?

Posted by: Hurricane LaFawnduh at January 24, 2014 03:05 PM (pginn)

13 And the middle class.

Posted by: shredded chi - If the river was whiskey, I'd be a diving duck at January 24, 2014 03:05 PM (JXkyA)

14 Uh oh.

Um, we're having a firesale on bonafide, genuine, Grade A, US Fed green ink, America! Get yours now before our last batch is gone!

Posted by: ACME Inks and Dyes at January 24, 2014 03:06 PM (eHIJJ)

15 I will awaken the markets with a massive influx of subsidized birth control!

Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at January 24, 2014 03:06 PM (Dwehj)

16 All it is a pumped up stock market as people keep pouring money into it. It makes no sense. In the end, the usual suspects will walk away far richer, and the rest will lose everything.

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 03:06 PM (znUty)

17 Lets hope all the windows were locked on Wall Street...

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at January 24, 2014 03:07 PM (v0Hui)

18 Lizzy: "Awesome. What will Obama's squirrel be this time?"

We haven't had a pivot to jobs in, what, a month? I say one of them things.

Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at January 24, 2014 03:07 PM (eHIJJ)

19 Has anyone else here noticed how the statists and Obana supporters turned from "We don't care about the stock market and its fat cats" in 2008 to "Look at that DJA: bestest ever!" since 2012? Why is that, I wonder? /sarc

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at January 24, 2014 03:07 PM (dwxY9)

20 o -man,  i know this is rather expected  and the govt has assisted in holding this farce up for a while.. still i hope

i dunno what i hope but

that we aren't taking a dumpster dive.

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:07 PM (nqBYe)

21 I think more taxes and regulation should right this ship.

Posted by: President Obama at January 24, 2014 03:07 PM (DpEwG)

22 I'll reserve judgment until the official start of The Burning Times. It's dropped before but the gubmint just fills the bubble with cash again.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at January 24, 2014 03:08 PM (oFCZn)

23 What really hurts is how much the Wall Street Journal is on board with this catastrophic course we're on. It is simply Madness. There is no other explanation.

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 03:09 PM (znUty)

24 Lets not forget, Bin laden is dead thanks to me.

Posted by: President Obama at January 24, 2014 03:09 PM (DpEwG)

25 We're going to need a bigger printing press!

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 03:09 PM (kvJuD)

26 Jim Cramer says BUY BUY BUY!!

Posted by: Swanny at January 24, 2014 03:09 PM (XzlBE)

27 I think more taxes and regulation should right this ship.

Posted by: President Obama at January 24, 2014 07:07 PM (DpEwG)


 i think i will use my pen  and demand  banksters, corporations, brokers,  stock holders  start doing their "fair share"

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:09 PM (nqBYe)

28 You don't forget that, baby. Fatal Charm http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WOXKJWRQzbs ~ billy idol

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at January 24, 2014 03:09 PM (IXrOn)

29 Actually Dack, the Fed has been turning off the money spigot.  So the easy bailout is becoming harder to do.  Unless the current Sec. of Treasury farts out a whole megaton of Bukkake Bucks.  And even then, its just a shell game delaying the crash and in the end making it a bigger Hindenburg.

Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at January 24, 2014 03:10 PM (v0Hui)

30 26 Jim Cramer says BUY BUY BUY!! Posted by: Swanny at January 24, 2014 07:09 PM (XzlBE) Anybody got Jim on their Burning Times list? Anyone? Because he definitely belongs on it.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at January 24, 2014 03:10 PM (oFCZn)

31 9 I said in 2010 that the US stock market has become one big Ponzi scheme. There is absolutely no sound fundamentals to support the current value of the major indices. Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 07:04 PM (znUty) ********** That's what I though with all the leveraging-- but be honest you've been surprised by how long it has floated.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 03:10 PM (RJMhd)

32 Should have put my money in propane this week, in actual propane. It was $3.89 a gallon on Monday, $5.95 a gallon today here in Wisconsin.

Posted by: lowandslow at January 24, 2014 03:10 PM (IV4od)

33 18 Lizzy: "Awesome. What will Obama's squirrel be this time?" We haven't had a pivot to jobs in, what, a month? I say one of them things. Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at January 24, 2014 07:07 PM (eHIJJ) I don't know, with the Wendy thing going on I'd say it's 50/50 "Pivot to jobs" or "War on Wymyn".

Posted by: nnptcgrad at January 24, 2014 03:10 PM (Opyrm)

34 fkn socons!

/s

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:11 PM (KgN8K)

35 it's dead Jim

Posted by: doctor , doctor give me the news at January 24, 2014 03:11 PM (nqBYe)

36 Not only is the WSJ okay with revenues at 2.5T and spending 4T, they freaked out when the govt 'shutdown' for a few days claiming it was really really bad not to spend that $22B! It's insane.

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 03:11 PM (znUty)

37 Lets not forget, Bin laden is dead thanks to me.
Posted by: President Obama at January 24, 2014 07:09 PM



And GM is alive.  Gutsy call, sir.

Are we running for something?

Posted by: slow Joe Biden at January 24, 2014 03:11 PM (bAGA/)

38 Now now...

Krugaton swears there is no downside to QEleventy...

so we should increase it 3 fold and get the Dow to 36,000 by 2017!

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:11 PM (TE35l)

39 why yes i've had DangerGirl's wine how can you tell?

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:11 PM (nqBYe)

40 The stock market is as sound as my grasp of complex economic principles.

Posted by: President Obama at January 24, 2014 03:11 PM (DpEwG)

41 i think i will use my pen and demand banksters, corporations, brokers, stock holders start doing their "fair share" Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 07:09 PM (nqBYe) I have a pen-phone. ;-)

Posted by: James Bond-O: aka Archer at January 24, 2014 03:12 PM (IXrOn)

42 I think my mom may get get her wish and interest rates will rise and her saved money will be worth something again. In other news, the rest of us should duck and cover.

Posted by: oc joe at January 24, 2014 03:12 PM (hqVUe)

43 Pivot to divots! More course time for our over-worked boy genius Preznint!

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at January 24, 2014 03:12 PM (dwxY9)

44 sooth, do not be bummed i'm sure all the right pockets have been filled.

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:13 PM (nqBYe)

45 >>>I have a pen-phone. ;-)


I bet it writes like a phone

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:13 PM (KgN8K)

46 I will take my pen and fill the stock market up if it gets empty !

Posted by: Barakahnaten the boy king at January 24, 2014 03:13 PM (nTgAI)

47 29 Actually Dack, the Fed has been turning off the money spigot. So the easy bailout is becoming harder to do. Unless the current Sec. of Treasury farts out a whole megaton of Bukkake Bucks. And even then, its just a shell game delaying the crash and in the end making it a bigger Hindenburg. Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at January 24, 2014 07:10 PM (v0Hui) Have they actually started to dial that back? I remember hearing they were thinking about sorta considering that they just might decide to do it.

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at January 24, 2014 03:13 PM (oFCZn)

48 Would it be a better financial move right now to continue to pay into an IRA, or instead use that money to pay down a mortgage?

Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 03:14 PM (P6QsQ)

49 Don't forget all the pensions people are trying to live on - tied to the stock market. Life sucks for so many right now.

Posted by: artisan` at January 24, 2014 03:14 PM (IXrOn)

50 A couple of interesting wild assed guesses.

1) the Obama admin's version of the Plunge Protection Team deployed at ~11:30 and failed.

2) after a 75 point rebound the market fell 1/2 my hoped for 600...

I am wondering if the Soros gang is cutting bait?

I took a cat nap I am gonna scrub some data tomorrow.

If the next QEleventy pop doesn't reinflate the market it means people are cutting and running and gonna try to land in bonds, and t-bills...

if/when that happens the fun REALLY begins.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:14 PM (TE35l)

51 penning  a letter to the money tree

fair share!
now!

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:14 PM (nqBYe)

52 I stopped putting $ in my 401 as soon as the SCOAMF was elected. I know it was a false high in the stock market because of Bernanke's digitizing money.

Posted by: Carol at January 24, 2014 03:14 PM (s0f54)

53 And to think that it was I who set this avalanche in motion back in 2008. I simply astound myself, sometimes! 

Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at January 24, 2014 03:14 PM (Dwehj)

54 This is a blip.   Dear Leader will order the fed to dump a bunch of digital dollars into the hopper, the charade will continue.

Posted by: Soona at January 24, 2014 03:15 PM (S5gpl)

55 And what we had on NPR tonight was all sweetness and light. "Oh, it's just a minor correction." "Oh, it's just a little uncertainty over developing economies." "Oh, it's just China-uncertainty." With a Dem in charge, everything is coming up roses.

Posted by: Caliban at January 24, 2014 03:15 PM (2ArJQ)

56 Fuck Flo.

Posted by: Buddha the Magnificent at January 24, 2014 03:15 PM (s/sIv)

57 i thought the new head of the Fed said moar pumping is a good thing.

Posted by: Dr Spank at January 24, 2014 03:15 PM (DpEwG)

58 Time for a narrative shift from of course the economy is good, look at the markets to the President has no control over the market and it really is a bad indicator of the economy in general.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:15 PM (lIdTF)

59 Didn't they announce a drop from 85 bil a month to 75 bil a month in QE?

Posted by: oc joe at January 24, 2014 03:16 PM (hqVUe)

60 48 Would it be a better financial move right now to continue to pay into an IRA, or instead use that money to pay down a mortgage? Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 07:14 PM (P6QsQ) ******** I'm assuming a certain age by your handle and -- neither. Ya--I know--that's helpful--not.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 03:16 PM (RJMhd)

61 I am really starting to think fighting zombies would be preferable to what is about to happen worldwide peeps.

Posted by: Jmel at January 24, 2014 03:16 PM (cfFqn)

62 Posted by: artisan` at January 24, 2014 07:14 PM (IXrOn)

o that. well yes many were already slapped in the beginning of this ..
you know the non connected ..

so yeah .

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:16 PM (nqBYe)

63 47 I think China told em to cut it out or they wouldn't lend any more

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:16 PM (KgN8K)

64 "Suck, Timothy, suck! 'Blow' is just a figure of speech!"

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 03:16 PM (7fiW/)

65 drinking my white bordeaux playing billy husband screams: "You're going to blow your ears out!" me: yeah

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at January 24, 2014 03:16 PM (IXrOn)

66 Time for a narrative shift from of course the economy is good, look at the markets to the President has no control over the market and it really is a bad indicator of the economy in general.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 07:15 PM (lIdTF)




Boosh!

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:17 PM (nqBYe)

67 I'm also assuming you have a pretty decent interest rate--as in low--for your mortgage. You ride that sucker out.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 03:17 PM (RJMhd)

68 I don't know, with the Wendy thing going on I'd say it's 50/50 "Pivot to jobs" or "War on Wymyn". Why can't we have both? A Pivot to a A War on Wymyn With Jobs?

Posted by: Bill H at January 24, 2014 03:17 PM (3sZO1)

69 It doesn't help when one of the larger economies is in turmoil and is artificially pumping it's economy up. (that's us)

And why are we in turmoil? What single influence/factor has made all of business planning difficult or impossible due to factors not yet apparent because they have yet to be spelled out and/or enforced?

Obama has succeeded beyond his puppet masters dreams and opened a hole beneath us that only now are we beginning to understand the depth of.

We ain't coming back from this trip very soon if at all.

Posted by: Bitter Clinger and All That (Unexpurgated Edition) at January 24, 2014 03:17 PM (LSDdO)

70 Ok, maybe someone can answer me this question: What is the downside to a gold or other solid currency? I have researched this question off and on (more off than on) for a while and have never gotten a satisfactory answer. Fiat currency, I can at least understand why everyone hates and loves it. For those that love it, you can print money as much as you want. For those that hate, you can devalue the currency so much that it is worthless. The only argument I have seen said against standard currency is that somehow it flattens things out. That the economy cannot grow very fast being tied to a currency that is not fungible. Wouldn't that be a good thing though?

Posted by: Aetius451AD at January 24, 2014 03:17 PM (TGgNi)

71


It makes no sense. In the end, the usual suspects will walk away far richer, and the rest will lose everything.
--------------------

 

Thing is, there's no where else to put your money.  Interest rates have been flat-lined by the Fed, so pretty much every other form of investment will leave you with not much more than what you started with.  Stocks are actually producing something.

 

Unfortunately, though, the problems with the economy have guaranteed that the stocks will eventually "readjust" (read: crash), which means that we're getting closer and closer to the point at which your safest bet starts to become "keep the money under the mattress".

 

Posted by: junior at January 24, 2014 03:17 PM (UWFpX)

72 I think it can go on for quite a bit more. There is litterally no other place to make money except the stock market.

Posted by: Kreplach at January 24, 2014 03:17 PM (4Zmpq)

73

I keep kicking this can, but what happened to the road?

Posted by: your betters in the government, media, and business at January 24, 2014 03:18 PM (D+lxs)

74 *cheers. dinner

Posted by: artisanal 'ette at January 24, 2014 03:18 PM (IXrOn)

75

Nice imagery and language, ace.  "sodden wood"  Love it.

 

Dunno.  Along with the complete collapse of my confidence in the American electorate, the political class, the military brass, and the judiciary over the last few years there has been a spectacular disilllusionment with what are called "markets".

 

Of course, in many cases they are real markets as much as the subsidy/cost-shifting/waste/cartel rent-seeking crap called "health insurance" I've been buying for 20 years has been "insurance".  

 

Of all the institutional degradation, the disappearance of even a nominally serious market guard-rail is in a way the most frightening.  In 1979 (1980?), a few primary dealers and Volcker basically "rejected" Carter's budget.  Was a thing of beauty, really.  The incompetent and irresponsible administration and Congress literally got reined in by capital markets, which rationally rejected their proposed continuation of ruinous policies.  It's the way that it's all supposed to work. 

 

Nowadays?  Even the budget and appropriations process itself has simply vanished (constitution, law, and two centuries of practice be damned) because the party in power is vile, stupid, and irresponsible, and the "opposition" party is mediocre and cowardly.  To make things much much worse, the Fed has simply taken over the capital markets, as opposed to being a major player, whose role was always the responsible fuddy-duddy. 

 

"You can't fight the Fed, and you can't fight the tape" were old Wall Street axioms.  Now, the tape is basically just determined by the Fed, and the Fed has been operating on an insane and idiotic theory (nicely summarized in the post).  That is, markets are largely gone. 

Posted by: non-purist at January 24, 2014 03:18 PM (afQnV)

76 >>>I stopped putting $ in my 401 as soon as the SCOAMF was elected

That wasn't my exact cue, but pretty close. I've a deferred comp acct that I put very little into - I want to keep it up, but hedge a lot on it.

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:18 PM (KgN8K)

77 Would it be a better financial move right now to continue to pay into an IRA, or instead use that money to pay down a mortgage?

Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 07:14 PM (P6QsQ)

 

 

---------------------------------------------

 

 

When I turn fifty-nine and a half, that was the first thing I did.  Pulled  out enough money to pay  off my mortgage.  Never regreted it.

Posted by: Soona at January 24, 2014 03:18 PM (S5gpl)

78 dat's alright,  i will find new things to tax.

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:18 PM (nqBYe)

79 This is the Dead Bin Laden bounce we've been waiting for.

Posted by: !Hilary at January 24, 2014 03:18 PM (fGPLK)

80 Your not welcome in my state.

Posted by: andrew cuomo at January 24, 2014 03:18 PM (WCnJW)

81 Obviously this is another Republican plot to destroy a woman, in this instance the historic Janet Yellen. /sarc

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at January 24, 2014 03:19 PM (oFCZn)

82 I just want to wish you all a good evening.  Take care of yourselves.  I'm gonna go watch some movies.

Posted by: DangerGirl at January 24, 2014 03:19 PM (GrtrJ)

83 Preference cascade? Look out below!

Posted by: rickl at January 24, 2014 03:19 PM (sdi6R)

84 I've also  got money in some class A stocks that I really don't want to get rid of.  It's my Roth account.

Posted by: Soona at January 24, 2014 03:20 PM (S5gpl)

85 Awesome. What will Obama's squirrel be this time?

Well, the Olympic Games are about to start. 

Posted by: NBC at January 24, 2014 03:20 PM (vBhbc)

86 In fact. Get out, get out all of you.

Posted by: andrew cuomo at January 24, 2014 03:20 PM (WCnJW)

87  progressaive reponse  (besides Boosh)  we 'll  double what we spent this year, that will fix it!

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:20 PM (nqBYe)

88 29 Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at January 24, 2014 07:10 PM (v0Hui)

not to quibble Anna but I don't think they went below 70 billion of free easy mode money last I heard it is ~ 75 billion now.

http://tinyurl.com/m35xf5q

75*12=900 billion "play money" per annum...

Surreal...

The cocksucking democrats gloat over an artificial Dow number they derided under Bush without QE when we pointed out UE3 was low and the dow was solid.

Estimates are saying the Dow in 1/5d to 1/2 phantom value.

This is gonna be a fun landing.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:20 PM (TE35l)

89 Almost 85% of all of the trading days have seen Federal intervention in one form or another from Aug. 2008 to Jan 2014.

That includes, up until last quarter, $85 billion dollars per month in Federal bond (re)purchases. Leading us to the point where the Feds own over 40% of all 5yr+ US bonds.

Insider selling jumped last quarter, highest in a few years. And the retail investors (aka you and me dum-dums ) are quite bullish. This is the usual dynamic as a bear market begins under a contrarian view of markets.

But as always, the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent betting against another leg up.


Posted by: weft cut-loop[/i] [/b] at January 24, 2014 03:20 PM (cxs6V)

90 We're going back into the ditch.

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 03:21 PM (jvVAK)

91 >>>What is the downside to a gold or other solid currency?


Your money supply is controlled by Miners, and the United Mine Workers of America

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:21 PM (KgN8K)

92

@64 I think China told em to cut it out or they wouldn't lend any more

---------------

 

China's potentially got problems of its own.  One of the interesting tid-bits that's been popping up in the news lately is that a big Chinese bank is going to get hit with a massive loan default at the end of the month.  The Chinese government will probably pay the loan off itself to keep the bank from going under.  But this is apparently not exactly an isolated incident.  The Chinese are going to run out of money eventually as well.

 

Posted by: junior at January 24, 2014 03:21 PM (UWFpX)

93 What is the downside to a gold or other solid currency? ---- For me it is that it inherently has little value and it just has not been a good overall investment in the past 100 years. But that past is not an indication of future events.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:21 PM (lIdTF)

94 Only sanctifying the ButtSex can save us now.

Posted by: ScoggDog at January 24, 2014 03:22 PM (6/+vz)

95 Facebook? C'mon!

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 03:23 PM (znUty)

96 I noticed that Jack Lew spent alot of time with the prez this week..... wonder who got some tips?

Posted by: FCF at January 24, 2014 03:23 PM (Khja4)

97 I feel compelled to say that this post will be seen as anti-puppet propping upping and is therefore racist.

Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at January 24, 2014 03:23 PM (BZAd3)

98

I am really starting to think fighting zombies would be preferable to what is about to happen worldwide peeps.

Posted by: Jmel at January 24, 2014 07:16 PM (cfFqn)

 

At least with zombies, there would be some infrastructure left.  When people say, "Let it Burn," that is exactly what we will get. 

 

Google images from any riot.  Pyromaniacs and Crazies love to watch things burn. 

 

Think Dark Ages in 4-8 months. 

Posted by: rd at January 24, 2014 03:23 PM (D+lxs)

99 Would it be a better financial move right now to continue to pay into an IRA, or instead use that money to pay down a mortgage? Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 07:14 PM (P6QsQ) *** Let me run that by my investment advisors, Dunning & Kruger

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 03:23 PM (+sIY2)

100 On the positive side, we'll be able to tell the children in the camps that we remember a day when there were Interest Rates.

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 03:23 PM (jvVAK)

101 Damned threelegcons!

Posted by: Otis Criblecoblis at January 24, 2014 03:23 PM (IlZPo)

102 Unfortunately, though, the problems with the economy have guaranteed that the stocks will eventually "readjust" (read: crash), which means that we're getting closer and closer to the point at which your safest bet starts to become "keep the money under the mattress".

Posted by: junior at January 24, 2014 07:17 PM (UWFpX)

 

 

 

-----------------------------------------------------

 

 

True.  But not literally under the mattress.  There's ways to keep  from having to give the gubmint anything.

Posted by: Soona at January 24, 2014 03:23 PM (S5gpl)

103

Invest

Diversify

Rebalance

Stay on the Train

 

Oh yeah, and stock up on ammo JIC

Posted by: Barakahnaten the boy king at January 24, 2014 03:24 PM (nTgAI)

104 Here's the metaphor I've been using for more than 10 years:  what we've been doing with the economy by borrowing at Biblical rates is no different than using iron as your cooking fuel.  Sure, as long as you keep squirting lighter fluid on the flame, it'll keep burning, but eventually you run out of other peoples' lighter fluid and then all you've got is charred iron.

Posted by: SFGoth at January 24, 2014 03:24 PM (VGDJR)

105 This better not impact free shit.

Posted by: Low Information Voter at January 24, 2014 03:24 PM (Dwehj)

106 I miss Monty and his DOOM!

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 03:24 PM (jvVAK)

107 99 rd at January 24, 2014 07:23 PM (D+lxs)

Chaos rewards the survivors who make the best decisions....

I prefer chaos to Lord Obama

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:24 PM (TE35l)

108 94 I am not talking about investment, but as a system of currency. Going back on the gold standard or the silver standard that was mentioned years ago.

Posted by: Aetius451AD at January 24, 2014 03:25 PM (TGgNi)

109 WORST not WORSE

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 03:25 PM (0LHZx)

110 So should we take out the part about the market in the SOTU speech and just add more Wendy Davis?

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:25 PM (lIdTF)

111 Your not welcome in my state. Posted by: andrew cuomo at January 24, 2014 07:18 PM (WCnJW) Enjoy your Occupy rape circle!

Posted by: The Political Hat at January 24, 2014 03:25 PM (XvHmy)

112

There is a positive side to this development.


Our cratering will be preceded by Europe cratering first!


Paaarrrteeeeh

Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at January 24, 2014 03:25 PM (BZAd3)

113 Two days of triple-digits drops in the DJIA? What debuted two days ago? The "Planet Hillary" NYTM cover! Co-inky-dink? I think not!

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at January 24, 2014 03:26 PM (dwxY9)

114 107 garrett at January 24, 2014 07:24 PM (jvVAK)

MOnty was in a similar place to CAC and if I may aspire myself in the wake of election 12...

I had more faith in a political solution than Monty, which it turned out was misplaced.

America had a chance to be the first Top Tier Power to roll back the tide and resume its place.

We got womyn in binders instead.

The US chose poorly.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:26 PM (TE35l)

115

Off dirty sock

Posted by: Barakahnaten the boy king at January 24, 2014 03:26 PM (nTgAI)

116 Think about it. How do we (avg investors) even know what's real anymore? We have an administration that threatens credit rating agencies for unfavorable assessments! And the same administration that cooks the GDP and Labor books!

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 03:27 PM (znUty)

117 Our cratering will be preceded by Europe cratering first! So, Go Short on the Russian Brides?

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 03:27 PM (jvVAK)

118 I am not talking about investment, but as a system of currency. Going back on the gold standard or the silver standard that was mentioned years ago. ---- That was obviously not clear since you actually used the word "Currency." I have no clue. So long as someone is willing to buy your currency it has value.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:27 PM (lIdTF)

119

What is the downside to a gold or other solid currency?

 

----

 

For me it is that it inherently has little value and it just has not been a good overall investment in the past 100 years. But that past is not an indication of future events.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 07:21 PM (lIdTF)

 

 

----------------------------------------------

 

 

When the collapse comes,  exchanging  in  metals is going to be hard.  Who's going to believe  that's really a solid  gold  or silver  coin? 

Posted by: Soona at January 24, 2014 03:27 PM (S5gpl)

120 Man I am the worst sock puppeter ever  

Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 03:27 PM (nTgAI)

121 48 Would it be a better financial move right now to continue to pay into an IRA, or instead use that money to pay down a mortgage? Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 07:14 PM (P6QsQ) I'm certainly no financial expert, and I'm by no means rich, but from what I have read, you should definitely concentrate on getting out of debt as fast as possible. Then again, I may be biased because I've always hated debt and have sought to avoid it whenever possible.

Posted by: rickl at January 24, 2014 03:27 PM (sdi6R)

122

soothsayer, I believe I saw that 75% of the S&P rise in the last year was from multiples-expansion, not earnings growth.  So yeah, given that some amazing new bright vistas of above-average real growth are hardly visible just ahead (as, say, might have been argued in the mid-1990s due to a real transition in the economy), the multiple expansion appears crazy and almost certain to collapse.

 

Posted by: non-purist at January 24, 2014 03:27 PM (afQnV)

123 your safest bet starts to become "keep the money under the mattress".
Posted by: junior at January 24, 2014 07:17 PM (UWFpX)

what money?

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:27 PM (nqBYe)

124


There is also the positive aspect that while the country is circling the bowl, Obama will finally glimpse the country that he envisioned it to be...


right before he goes down with it.


You too, Moo.

Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at January 24, 2014 03:28 PM (BZAd3)

125 Off topic friday nite. Check out you tube, "Oh Well", cover by Rick Springfield, in the back yard. Enjoy the talent.

Posted by: redenzo at January 24, 2014 03:28 PM (WCnJW)

126 What is the downside to a gold or other solid currency? -------------------------- Silver is still 4-5 times its historic price of $5 an OZ or thereabouts, even though it was $50 in 2011, it's still high. Maybe a store of value, but not a good investment. Who knows what the heck to make of gold.

Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 03:28 PM (4Mv1T)

127

Should have put my money in propane this week, in actual propane. It was $3.89 a gallon on Monday, $5.95 a gallon today here in Wisconsin.

Posted by: lowandslow at January 24, 2014 07:10 PM (IV4od)

 

OUCH!  Last fill was $2/gallon.  Time to put a note on the tank, please add 100 gallons only. 

Posted by: rd at January 24, 2014 03:28 PM (D+lxs)

128 If you meant "what is the downside to owning a lot of physical gold" or whatever, I dunno.

Get some silver rounds and visit a gun or whatever shop in a region where people talk it up constantly, like Idaho or Wyoming. Try to buy something. Let us know how it went.

Anecdotes about people hiding out during the Hutu/Tutsi genocide thinger said that if you let on you had anything and you were willing to pay it to get smuggled out? That earned you a visit by thugs who then killed everybody and took it all.

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:28 PM (KgN8K)

129 As long as this doesn't interrupt Olympic figure skating, I'm good.

Posted by: Low Information Voter at January 24, 2014 03:28 PM (Dwehj)

130 Wheelbarrows! Get ya wheelbarrows!

Posted by: Crafty Street Vendor at January 24, 2014 03:28 PM (MMC8r)

131 I'm at work. I'm going to do some more & leave in an hour.

Posted by: Carol at January 24, 2014 03:29 PM (s0f54)

132 91 We're going back into the ditch. Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 07:21 PM (jvVAK) Go long on slurpee futures!

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at January 24, 2014 03:29 PM (dwxY9)

133 As I have at least thought about saying apropos of about 2/3rds of the posts this week: what. a. surprise. /sarc Parenthetically, my propane dealer in Wisconsin quoted $4.50 / gallon this morning ("and it will probably jump again at noon") . I paid 2.39 / gallon to top it off last week. *sighs gratefully* Looks like the rumored propane shortage has arrived, huh ?

Posted by: sock_rat_eez at January 24, 2014 03:29 PM (+jyzN)

134 110 WORST not WORSE Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:25 PM (0LHZx) ******** Oh look!! My grammar ghost hex on ace came true-- and it's Mr. Moo Moo!

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 03:29 PM (RJMhd)

135 aware me of 'multiple expansions' so I can agree with you, please

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 03:29 PM (znUty)

136

Our cratering will be preceded by Europe cratering first!

 

 

----------------------------------------------

 

 

I'm not so sure of that anymore.

Posted by: Soona at January 24, 2014 03:30 PM (S5gpl)

137
>>>>Think Dark Ages in 4-8 months.


Thank God. I think winter will be over by then. Maybe

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:30 PM (KgN8K)

138 Ya, I heard there is a propane shortage.

Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 03:30 PM (P6QsQ)

139 lol, should i start on processing for free food stamps , electric payments and  free food now?


Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:30 PM (nqBYe)

140 I'm long on facebook. Suckers.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:30 PM (lIdTF)

141 93 junior at January 24, 2014 07:21 PM (UWFpX)

They can print so long as they have ink comrade...

China is in  better shape than we are simply because they still have industry.  You can't refire an economy based on the service sector IMHO.

That is what Bukakkenomics has proven.

The Keynesian Kidz keep on chasing their multiplier effect dragon...

I think the multiplier for the service sector is .9

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:30 PM (TE35l)

142 It may be time to top off the cupboard and the ammo supply. 

Posted by: rd at January 24, 2014 03:30 PM (D+lxs)

143 I am not talking about investment, but as a system of currency. Going back on the gold standard or the silver standard that was mentioned years ago. Isn't the answer that the supply is largely fixed. While the population and productivity of a nation is not. So the tether between gold and "money" becomes more and more fractional, in which case it's not solving the "fiat money" issue.

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at January 24, 2014 03:31 PM (o4Xc4)

144 But POT!!!

Posted by: --- at January 24, 2014 03:31 PM (MMC8r)

145 Thank God. I think winter will be over by then. Maybe

Really, please hold off until I can get my garden planted and the caltrops in place. 

Posted by: no good deed at January 24, 2014 03:31 PM (vBhbc)

146 >Parenthetically, my propane dealer in Wisconsin quoted $4.50 / gallon this morning ("and it will probably jump again at noon") .
I paid 2.39 / gallon to top it off last week.
*sighs gratefully*
Looks like the rumored propane shortage has arrived, huh ?

Posted by: sock_rat_eez at January 24, 2014 07:29 PM (+jyzN)<



I always do a prebuy contract with our dealer to lock in the summer price.  Some years its a wash.  This year, it was a home run.

Posted by: Muad'dib at January 24, 2014 03:31 PM (PlTXA)

147 138 Soona at January 24, 2014 07:30 PM (S5gpl)

I think this years October Surprise will be Soros and the Chinese making either the Yuan or the EUtopia Dorra the Petrol Reserve Currency...

when that happens we go FIRST no last.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:32 PM (TE35l)

148 There hasn't been any hot and sweaty realistic Con vs. SoCon action today. Everyone settled down from yesterday? EoJ and ace kiss and makeup? Or is it still bubbling under the surface like the Yellowstone Super Volcano?

Posted by: Wonkish Rogue at January 24, 2014 03:32 PM (dvRYt)

149 Can I just eat my waffle?

Posted by: Barack at January 24, 2014 03:32 PM (s/sIv)

150 Someone axed me earlier today what degrees I have....an MBA in finance is one of them. This 300 drop is a blip. Stocks still have a long way to go...UP. Yeah the economy's still sputtering along, but it's sputtering enough to make stocks attractive. Don't look at the absolute number, look at the multiple of P/E to the S&P500. It's pretty low. Earnings are pretty good overall. Microsoft had its best quarter ever. Airlines are making money hand over fist. Also people (and by people I mean media) go apeshit over a 300 point drop. 300 points used to mean a lot when the Dow was at 10K or even 11K. At 16K, it's not even a 2% drop. To put that into perspective the 20th biggest % drop ever was 4%. Just under 2% isn't that big a deal historically speaking. I got into bonds in 2010 and got out in early 2012. Made a nice chunk of change, then went back into equities. I'm staying in equities for now. As far as the politics goes...there's red, there's blue and then there's green. Don't let political allegiance cloud your judgement.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 03:32 PM (0LHZx)

151 It's getting tougher for the Dows to keep up with the Joneses.

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 03:32 PM (DORBz)

152 Shorter Post: That which cannot, will not.

Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at January 24, 2014 03:33 PM (GEICT)

153 what money? Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 07:27 PM (nqBYe) what mattress?

Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at January 24, 2014 03:33 PM (oFCZn)

154 Posted by: Wonkish Rogue at January 24, 2014 07:32 PM (dvRYt) They were still going at it a couple threads down, not too long ago.

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 03:33 PM (jvVAK)

155 >>Think Dark Ages in 4-8 months.


And people thought I was crazy for investing in buggy whips; and cool whip for some reason.

Posted by: Dr Spank at January 24, 2014 03:34 PM (DpEwG)

156 arighty then i won't worry at all now.

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:34 PM (nqBYe)

157

48 Would it be a better financial move right now to continue to pay into an IRA, or instead use that money to pay down a mortgage?
Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 07:14 PM (P6QsQ)


This is a good question, but it depends on a lot of variable input from the individual investor. I sold some stocks a few years back to pay off my house. At the time I was paying 4.25 % interest. So return on that money was automatically 4.25 % percent.

 

Treasuries and bonds pay crap right now.

 

On thing about a paid off house is, you have a place to live.

 

Things to consider:

current interest rate

Tax liabilities

Retirement horizon

current income vs retirement income

credit card debt and other debt ( pay off credit cards first always )

 

 

Ammo is always a good investment

 

 

 

 

Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 03:34 PM (nTgAI)

158 giggle, at least i have a couple of big suv's we can sleep in.

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:35 PM (nqBYe)

159 did someone say whips? Bullwhips cracking... Sreaming...

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 03:35 PM (znUty)

160 And people thought I was crazy for investing in buggy whips; and cool whip for some reason. Thunderdome preparations?

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at January 24, 2014 03:35 PM (o4Xc4)

161

Oh, and Santelli is a very good guy on a personal level.  A friend in the financial journalism biz once told me how much he had helped her when she was new to the field.  A real solid guy.

 

soothsayer, re the WSJ ..... the editorial side of course is 80% less idiotic than the NYT or WaPo or similar pathetic examples, except of course for rule of law and common sense (amnesty), on which they are arrogant and clueless idiots.  But I didn't know they were also so clueless on fiscal matters.  That's a surprise, as it lies in, uh, their "core competence".

 

On the "news" side of course the WSJ has many of the same pathologies as the rest of press.  Still remember glancing at the WSJ in my dentist's office last year.  Front page story about resurgence of a long-defeated communicable disease in the US (pertussis?).  Said to the wife as I started the article "let's see how long into the piece before they reveal the most important issue, if they even do".  Sure enough, well into the jump page, about 30 paragraphs into the article, "most of the cases are found near border areas of the southwest".  Ha!!  This, after droning on and on about resistant strains and blah blah blah.  It's pathetic how easy it is to de-construct today's "journalism" just off the top of your head, and be 100% correct.

 

But you all knew that.

 

Posted by: non-purist at January 24, 2014 03:36 PM (afQnV)

162 picked the wrong weekend to stop sniffing freshly baked bread ... but mostly 'cause i haven't had time to bake bread ...

Posted by: Adriane... at January 24, 2014 03:36 PM (hrU8o)

163 Parenthetically, my propane dealer in Wisconsin quoted $4.50 / gallon this morning ("and it will probably jump again at noon") .

It's $5 in Iowa.  Branstad and Grassley want to get the feds involved.  O_o

One of the things that interested me in the article about the shortage, though, was the role the new federal regulations about fuel transportation is playing, specifically the rules about drivers' schedules.

Posted by: HR at January 24, 2014 03:36 PM (hO8IJ)

164 ALL IS WELL!!!

Posted by: Chip Diller-Diller at January 24, 2014 03:36 PM (MMC8r)

165 162 And people thought I was crazy for investing in buggy whips; and cool whip for some reason. Thunderdome preparations? Posted by: bonhomme at January 24, 2014 07:35 PM (o4Xc4) We don't need another hero

Posted by: MikeH at January 24, 2014 03:36 PM (bRL1M)

166 When does the cannibalism start? 'Cause I got some new recipes I've been wanting to try.

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 03:36 PM (DORBz)

167 One thing about a paid off house is, you have a place to live. Until the taxes go up to eleventy million percent to "level the wealth-gap".

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at January 24, 2014 03:36 PM (o4Xc4)

168 This 300 drop is a blip. Stocks still have a long way to go...UP. Yeah the economy's still sputtering along, but it's sputtering enough to make stocks attractive. Don't look at the absolute number, look at the multiple of P/E to the S&P500. It's pretty low. Earnings are pretty good overall. Microsoft had its best quarter ever. Airlines are making money hand over fist. Also people (and by people I mean media) go apeshit over a 300 point drop. 300 points used to mean a lot when the Dow was at 10K or even 11K. At 16K, it's not even a 2% drop. To put that into perspective the 20th biggest % drop ever was 4%. Just under 2% isn't that big a deal historically speaking. ********* Oh crap--I'm going to have to go check myself for a fever-- I sort of agree with Mr. Moo Moo.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 03:37 PM (RJMhd)

169 Our cratering will be preceded by Europe cratering first! So, Go Short on the Russian Brides? Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 07:27 PM (jvVAK) Absolutely!

Posted by: Midget Russian Hookers at January 24, 2014 03:37 PM (XvHmy)

170 152 Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:32 PM (0LHZx)

Okay Champ...

I'm a college dropout...

I called the GSE implosion a month out by watching the foreclosures indexed to fuel price.

Krugaton the Nobyl says the Xerox Bukakkenomics has no blowback...

we'll see.

1.96% is near enough to 2% of volume for Govt work...considering I'd bet my left nut the PPT deployed "we'll see"

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:37 PM (TE35l)

171 166 ALL IS WELL!!! Posted by: Chip Diller-Diller at January 24, 2014 07:36 PM (MMC8r) Remain Calm!

Posted by: Chip Diller-Diller-diller at January 24, 2014 03:37 PM (bRL1M)

172 We are fracking like crazy and there is a propane shortage? Sniff sniff, sounds rotten like fish.

Posted by: oc joe at January 24, 2014 03:38 PM (hqVUe)

173 Someone axed me earlier today what degrees I have....an MBA in finance is one of them.

I'm already thinking of dumping that Lew fellow. You would be a great fit. Please send your resume to Pebble Beach, c/o Preezy.

Posted by: Prez'nit 404 at January 24, 2014 03:38 PM (Dwehj)

174 When the collapse comes, exchanging in metals is going to be hard. No, it won't. Anything over 5 lbs of trigger pull is too much.

Posted by: rickb223 at January 24, 2014 03:38 PM (YIZv0)

175 When does the cannibalism start? The Barackistani has been cannibalizing American prosperity for some time now.

Posted by: bonhomme[/i][/b][/i][/b][/s][/s] at January 24, 2014 03:38 PM (o4Xc4)

176 Not only is the WSJ okay with revenues at 2.5T and spending 4T, they freaked out when the govt 'shutdown' for a few days claiming it was really really bad not to spend that $22B! It's insane. Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 07:11 PM (znUty) To many people the difference between a billion and a trillion is a letter. But we're spending $4x10^12 and that's a huge sum of money. To put it in perspective, if you spent a dollar every second it would take you almost 127,000 years to spend it.

Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at January 24, 2014 03:38 PM (sEKS8)

177 Oh crap--I'm going to have to go check myself for a fever-- I sort of agree with Mr. Moo Moo. Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 Check the gold to stock market prices charts.

Posted by: MikeH at January 24, 2014 03:39 PM (bRL1M)

178 Ammo is always a good investment. =============== Got that end pretty well covered. Thanks for all the input, guys. Appreciate it.

Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 03:39 PM (P6QsQ)

179 Ammo is always a good investment



Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 07:34 PM (nTgAI)

 

 

-------------------------------------------

 

 

I don't drink, but I'm thinking about buying booze as  a barter good.  Ammo will be good if there's trouble.  If not, then I'll have fun burning  it  all up through small tubular constructs.

Posted by: Soona at January 24, 2014 03:39 PM (S5gpl)

180 170 Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 07:37 PM (RJMhd)

Yup, maybe I'm wrong...maybe this EZ Mode Dow really is an indicator of a supercharged US economy...

I'll note the drop was the biggest in 7 months, and a two day plunge of credible volume % is rare these days of monopoly money.

Game on....

I have my portfolio in copper, steel, lead, and Kevlar.

I like my chances.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:39 PM (TE35l)

181 When does the cannibalism start? 'Cause I got some new recipes I've been wanting to try.

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 07:36 PM (DORBz)

look  I eat a ton of horseradish, Tons of salt  garlic and Smoke  , so move onto the people that do healthy

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:39 PM (nqBYe)

182 When does the cannibalism start? 'Cause I got some new recipes I've been wanting to try. Posted by: Seamus Muldoon -------------------------- Shhhhhh... I've already filleted a couple of fat kids from the mall. Tasty. 'specially with eastern NC still barbecue sauce.

Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 03:39 PM (4Mv1T)

183 1600 marked should be 1100 on a good day.

I have VIX.  knew this was coming.

Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 03:39 PM (x3YFz)

184 When does the cannibalism start? 'Cause I got some new recipes I've been wanting to try.

What's your favorite marinade?

Posted by: HR at January 24, 2014 03:39 PM (hO8IJ)

185 Its a lot more fun to use a 200 plus point drop to bash the president. That's the liberal thing to do.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:40 PM (lIdTF)

186 On thingabout a paid off house is, you have a place to live. _________ No such thing as a paid off house since you always have to pay taxes, maintenance, repairs, insurance, etc.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 03:40 PM (0LHZx)

187 Hobo steaks featuring real hobo.

Posted by: [/i]andycanuck[/b] at January 24, 2014 03:40 PM (NU/ou)

188 Remain Calm! Posted by: Chip Diller-Diller-diller at January 24, 2014 07:37 PM (bRL1M) and eat a hamburger ...

Posted by: Chip Diller-Diller-Diller-pickle at January 24, 2014 03:40 PM (hrU8o)

189

One thing about a paid off house is, you have a place to live.

Things to consider:
current interest rate
Tax liabilities
Retirement horizon
current income vs retirement income
credit card debt and other debt ( pay off credit cards first always )


Ammo is always a good investment


Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 07:34 PM (nTgAI)

 

If you can continue to pay the taxes.  They are equal to several mortgage payments in my case. 

Posted by: rd at January 24, 2014 03:40 PM (D+lxs)

190 >>>There hasn't been any hot and sweaty realistic Con vs. SoCon action today.


**pulls out desiccated fetus puppet**

"Well, hellooooo how ya doin'?"

"What, you askeered of this here clump of cells? How 'bout this here snake?"

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:40 PM (KgN8K)

191 Yeah, I can't even say "Let It Burn", any more. Kind of pointless when the WHOLE FUCKING HOUSE IS EN FUEGO.

Posted by: Saber Alter at January 24, 2014 03:41 PM (DNu5Y)

192 Obviously Ric Flair was right...wooooooooo!

Posted by: Papa at January 24, 2014 03:41 PM (jECGF)

193 No such thing as a paid off house since you always have to pay taxes, maintenance, repairs, insurance, etc. ----- Only one of those things is involuntary.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:41 PM (lIdTF)

194

Moo Moo, what are the P/E ratios (current, forward, historic average) for the S&P?  Lazy, I should look it up and bookmark somewhere to keep an eye on it.  I thought that, in fact, the S&P had seen huge multiple expansion in the last year, and the usual reasons for such expansion are utterly lacking.

 

I thought long-term average was 13?

 

Oh, for the White House staff or Sen. Reid's office people monitoring this thread, "P/E" stands for "price-to-earnings" ratio.  But don't say this around the president, it might confuse him, as not knowing this was one of the many jaw-dropping bits of unwordly ignorance he has beclowned the nation with since his disastrous and embarrassing debut.

 

Posted by: non-purist at January 24, 2014 03:42 PM (afQnV)

195 To put it in perspective, if you spent a dollar every second it would take you almost 127,000 years to spend it. *** Good Lord. Don't tell my wife that. She'll take it as a challenge. (Just kidding sweetie, if you are lurking)

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 03:42 PM (XpOiz)

196 I also keep large supplies of booze for barter. Occasionally my storage shelves need restocking. I don't know why.

Posted by: grammie winger at January 24, 2014 03:42 PM (P6QsQ)

197 187 SH at January 24, 2014 07:40 PM (lIdTF)

at 960 billion per year or so I'd argue the economy as the media is currently measuring it is HIS arguably.

You tell me what anything is worth, because I'd posit the answer is "who the fuck knows?"

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:42 PM (TE35l)

198 "What, you askeered of this here clump of cells? How 'bout this here snake?"

Oh, that is my favorite show!1!

Posted by: Sandra Flook at January 24, 2014 03:43 PM (Dwehj)

199 If you can continue to pay the taxes. They are equal to several mortgage payments in my case.

Posted by: rd at January 24, 2014 07:40 PM (D+lxs)

 

that's why it varies from person to person. California has Prop 13. So I only pay taxes on the original purchase price.

Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 03:43 PM (nTgAI)

200 Trickle up I say Up Up DAMN YOU!11

Posted by: Robert Reich at January 24, 2014 03:43 PM (N3Al8)

201 I also keep large supplies of booze for barter. Occasionally my storage shelves need restocking. I don't know why. Posted by: grammie winger -------------------------- I had 1/2 gallons in my gun safe. They were gone in two weeks.

Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 03:43 PM (4Mv1T)

202 I got all my money invested in optimism, because that's who I am.

Posted by: Dr Spank at January 24, 2014 03:43 PM (DpEwG)

203 152 Someone axed me earlier today what degrees I have....an MBA in finance is one of them. This 300 drop is a blip. Stocks still have a long way to go...UP. Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:32 PM (0LHZx) I don't think you'd last five minutes at Ticker Forum.

Posted by: rickl at January 24, 2014 03:44 PM (sdi6R)

204 196 non-purist at January 24, 2014 07:42 PM (afQnV)

Preznit Urkle X needs Bukakke Bucks for easy mode economics...

he really made me ashamed with his profits and earnings ratio gaffe he never makes.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:44 PM (TE35l)

205 Invest wisely grammie. 5.56x45, although underpowered, will always be available ... one way or another. I'm a big fan of 7.62x51 myself. Would love to hear your opinion as well.

Posted by: ScoggDog at January 24, 2014 03:44 PM (6/+vz)

206 72 Unfortunately, though, the problems with the economy have guaranteed that the stocks will eventually "readjust" (read: crash), which means that we're getting closer and closer to the point at which your safest bet starts to become "keep the Glocks under the mattress". FIFY

Posted by: AnthonyB at January 24, 2014 03:44 PM (eqRqW)

207 I was listening to a podcast with Art Laffer (he of the Curve) and he is still long on stocks.

Posted by: navybrat at January 24, 2014 03:45 PM (AW7Gr)

208

I think Ace meant dead wood as opposed to wet wood.

 

I could go for some wet wood right about now

- Groucho

Posted by: Regulay Guy at January 24, 2014 03:45 PM (N3Al8)

209 192 >>>There hasn't been any hot and sweaty realistic Con vs. SoCon action today.

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 07:40 PM (KgN8K)

What you'll find, I hope, is that not any Moron who posts here fits into a stereotypical bucket.

There's a lesson there.

Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 03:45 PM (x3YFz)

210 High Speed Rail.

Posted by: Nancy Pelosi at January 24, 2014 03:45 PM (GBjiF)

211 that's why it varies from person to person. California has Prop 13. So I only pay taxes on the original purchase price. Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 07:43 PM (nTgAI) For nowÂ…

Posted by: California Democrats at January 24, 2014 03:45 PM (XvHmy)

212 152 Someone axed me earlier today what degrees I have....an MBA in finance is one of them. This 300 drop is a blip. Stocks still have a long way to go...UP. Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:32 PM (0LHZx) ------------------------------ Your pomposity precedes you, sir.

Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 03:45 PM (4Mv1T)

213 media in future.

Look how everyone fits into a size zero!  a benefit to all.

Posted by: willow at January 24, 2014 03:45 PM (nqBYe)

214 You tell me what anything is worth, because I'd posit the answer is "who the fuck knows?" -------------- Its worth what someone is willing to spend. For stocks, we know exactly what it is worth right now. As for a year from now - 5 years - who knows. I think the market always kind of knows what something is worth. The unknown is always with the government.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:46 PM (lIdTF)

215 .....maybe if Janet Yellen shaves her head and grows a gray beard..... .......and yeah, gets a bigger helicopter

Posted by: ontherocks at January 24, 2014 03:46 PM (uyuyQ)

216 214 152 Someone axed me earlier today what degrees I have....an MBA in finance is one of them. This 300 drop is a blip. Stocks still have a long way to go...UP. Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:32 PM (0LHZx) ------------------------------ Your pomposity precedes you, sir. Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 07:45 PM (4Mv1T) I wood axe you, too

Posted by: MikeH at January 24, 2014 03:46 PM (bRL1M)

217 Plenty more Bernanke Bucks for EVERYBODY!

Posted by: --- at January 24, 2014 03:46 PM (MMC8r)

218 It's been a great week to own put options.

Posted by: SpongeBobSaget at January 24, 2014 03:46 PM (kxSZr)

219
>>>What you'll find, I hope, is that not any Moron who posts here fits into a stereotypical bucket.

Why respond to me? That was a quote, my response the jibe. All of it in jest, for the thicker of skin.

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:47 PM (KgN8K)

220 I don't think you'd last five minutes at Ticker Forum. Posted by: rickl at January 24, 2014 07:44 PM (sdi6R) ___________ LOL. You're right. I'd hang myself after about 5 minutes of reading the nonsense there.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 03:47 PM (0LHZx)

221 212 High Speed Rail. Posted by: Nancy Pelosi at January 24, 2014 07:45 PM (GBjiF) I thought that you had greased the skids for all of us to be artists, now? Holy Moses, I have been deceived!

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at January 24, 2014 03:47 PM (dwxY9)

222 I feel bad but I would like the Olympics to be over so the stupid Olympic themed commercials stop.

Posted by: Paranoidgirlinseattle at January 24, 2014 03:48 PM (RZ8pf)

223 214 152 Someone axed me earlier today what degrees I have....an MBA in finance is one of them.

This 300 drop is a blip. Stocks still have a long way to go...UP.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:32 PM (0LHZx)
------------------------------

Your pomposity precedes you, sir.
Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 07:45 PM (4Mv1T)

I wood axe you, too Posted by: MikeH


-------------------

We now know *where* the cannibalism will start at least

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:48 PM (KgN8K)

224 214 152 Someone axed me earlier today what degrees I have....an MBA in finance is one of them.

This 300 drop is a blip. Stocks still have a long way to go...UP.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:32 PM (0LHZx)
------------------------------

Your pomposity precedes you, sir.

Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 07:45 PM (4Mv1T)

I asked.  t'was moi.  Just was curious, not meant to be offensive.

Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 03:49 PM (x3YFz)

225 209 navybrat at January 24, 2014 07:45 PM (AW7Gr)

Laffer is a genius, he also understand "ez mode" and optimal return on capital pathway.

The Fed is making stocks THE thing right now, but as Taper and nerves interact even barring a Soros gambit the bears will run to Bonds.

sooner or later the rates go up, OR we really are in a perpetual motion machine OR we're defacto holding the planet hostage with 400 warheads.

We're basically an Argentina taken to scale with WMDs right now.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:49 PM (TE35l)

226 Nominating "Bukkakenomics" for thread winner.

Posted by: sock_rat_eez at January 24, 2014 03:49 PM (+jyzN)

227 Don't look at the absolute number, look at the multiple of P/E to the S&P500.Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo

Forward PE can be misleading especially in a situation like the current one where the balance of revisions to guidance is on the negative side. It's also complicated by stock buy-backs, something that doesn't demonstrate the strength of outlook when capex is at decade lows.

Also strong Q4 insider selling is a big red flag.

Sure, the markets can remain irrational longer than anyone can remain solvent, but the massive intervention does not speak well of the long term.

Posted by: weft cut-loop[/i] [/b] at January 24, 2014 03:49 PM (cxs6V)

228 Better form a committee to study this...

Posted by: Reid at January 24, 2014 03:49 PM (N3Al8)

229 I asked. t'was moi. Just was curious, not meant to be offensive. Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 07:49 PM (x3YFz) _________ None taken.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 03:49 PM (0LHZx)

230 228 Nominating "Bukkakenomics" for thread winner. Posted by: sock_rat_eez at January 24, 2014 07:49 PM (+jyzN) It's a pearl necklace economy!

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at January 24, 2014 03:50 PM (dwxY9)

231 weed and porn the new economy

Posted by: Regular Guy at January 24, 2014 03:50 PM (N3Al8)

232 Hindsight is a great indicator of irrational markets.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:50 PM (lIdTF)

233 What you'll find, I hope, is that not any Moron who posts here fits into a stereotypical bucket. Don't know that I agree ... and I'm pretty damn comfortable with being in the bucket.

Posted by: ScoggDog at January 24, 2014 03:50 PM (6/+vz)

234 And I have degrees in underwater BB stacking, cat herding, and Flailing About, PhD.

Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 03:50 PM (x3YFz)

235

@125your safest bet starts to become "keep the money under the mattress".

Posted by: junior at January 24, 2014 07:17 PM (UWFpX)

what money?

----------------

 

You know, that penny that you found on the sidewalk.

 

Posted by: junior at January 24, 2014 03:51 PM (UWFpX)

236

A few years ago, someone floated the idea of coining a trillion dollar coin and using it (or a few of them) to pay off the debt.

In my office, I have a 100 trillion dollar bill from Zimbabwe.  (It's real by the way) 


I'm pretty sure the trillion dollar coins will be equally valuable.  But they'll probably try it all the same.

Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at January 24, 2014 03:51 PM (BZAd3)

237 236 And I have degrees in underwater BB stacking, cat herding, and Flailing About, PhD. Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 07:50 PM (x3YFz) Wow. You must've had a LOT of abortions.

Posted by: --- at January 24, 2014 03:51 PM (MMC8r)

238 "Bogleheads" guide to investing and "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" are good reading.   

Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 03:51 PM (nTgAI)

239 >>>>weed and porn the new economy


Imma sell seedy raincoats, then

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:52 PM (KgN8K)

240 Also strong Q4 insider selling is a big red flag.

This is the longest distribution phase I have ever seen, and you look at things like the put/call ratio and it seems we have months to go before it tops.

Posted by: SpongeBobSaget at January 24, 2014 03:52 PM (kxSZr)

241 216 SH at January 24, 2014 07:46 PM (lIdTF)

Look Stock is either indexed to ROR on dividentiture or it is a REALLY expensive game of Keno...

I am leaning these days to Keno no any sane approximation of earnings to Liquidation Value to Dividend flow...

Whatever....I am still wondering why counterfeiting is illegal, the Fed's hypothesis is 7% or so backed by bond currency is just ducky....?

my sunk cost to print funny money is probably 5% or so give or take.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:52 PM (TE35l)

242 I have a PhD in making the world dance.

Posted by: Dr Spank at January 24, 2014 03:52 PM (DpEwG)

243 Don't know that I agree ... and I'm pretty damn comfortable with being in the bucket.

Posted by: ScoggDog at January 24, 2014 07:50 PM (6/+vz)

yeah.  the people that say that?  aren't in the bucket.

Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 03:52 PM (x3YFz)

244 Cannibalism ain't so bad. Except when your neighbor has worms.

Posted by: Cannibal Rat Crew at January 24, 2014 03:52 PM (dvRYt)

245 I confess I mostly missed the big DJIA party in 2013, because I thought it was horseshit fantasy nonsense, and I was beginning to feel like the proverbial Christian Scientist with a tummy ache... but...

Now, I wonder if I'm "scary smart"... you know, like Zero is?

Posted by: mnw at January 24, 2014 03:53 PM (68RU9)

246 We're basically an Argentina taken to scale with WMDs right now. Posted by: Sven 10077 ------------------------- That's what I'M talkin' about.

Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 03:53 PM (4Mv1T)

247 Later peoples.

Posted by: Dr Spank at January 24, 2014 03:53 PM (DpEwG)

248 Or maybe sell munchies that aren't finger food becoz yech all that pron

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:53 PM (KgN8K)

249 We are fracking like crazy and there is a propane shortage? Sniff sniff, sounds rotten like fish. Posted by: oc joe at January 24, 2014 07:38 PM


High demand because it's so freaking cold in so many places this year.

Posted by: huerfano at January 24, 2014 03:54 PM (bAGA/)

250 Wow. You must've had a LOT of abortions.

Posted by: --- at January 24, 2014 07:51 PM (MMC8r)

you mock me, but the doctoral dissertation defense of Flailing About requires years of research.

Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 03:54 PM (x3YFz)

251 Sure, the markets can remain irrational longer than anyone can remain solvent, but the massive intervention does not speak well of the long term. Posted by: weft cut-loop at January 24, 2014 07:49 PM (cxs6V) _________ Depends how you define long term. Stocks have done very well in the past 5 years despite the most rabidly anti-capitalist administration. Granted the Fed pumping gajillions into the market helped. But it wasn't just that. The economy is resilient as fuck, regardless of who is in the white house. Go back to 1980. Stocks are up 1600% since then. And thing of all teh shit that has happened since...wars, recessions, 9/11, Obama, .com bubble/bust, housing bubble/bust, all sorts of insane regulations....and yet stocks just keep going up. One of the drivers is technology. We're still in an amazing era of technological innovations that I don't see ending any time soon. And technology brings with it wealth.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 03:54 PM (0LHZx)

252 228 sock_rat_eez at January 24, 2014 07:49 PM (+jyzN)

Thanks, I coined Ogabenomics as well when I analyzed his "plan" over at Tepid back in 08.

If Barack Obama/Timmy Turbo and Helicopter Ben's methods work this time it'll be a miracle on the order of drunk back sober.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:54 PM (TE35l)

253 It's almost like Barry's been trying to inflate the market - just to keep high rolling Dems and GOPs fat and happy. Nah ...

Posted by: ScoggDog at January 24, 2014 03:55 PM (6/+vz)

254 Stocks still have a long way to go...UP. ********* Oops! I'm not in agreement with that part of Mr. moo Moo's prognostication. I do think it's going to have to take more than a 300 point drop to get the gambler's, er insane hedge fund manager's attentions. I'm not sure how big of a drop it would take however. Maybe Mr. Moo Moo knows.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 03:55 PM (RJMhd)

255
>>>>High demand because it's so freaking cold in so many places this year.


Too bad we can't burn DC bullshit

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 03:55 PM (KgN8K)

256 Sven, maybe I'm wrong, but I'll take my chances in the market for long-term growth.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:55 PM (lIdTF)

257 I have a certificate of completion from Holly Hill elementary school kindergarten and first grade. With perfect attendance.

Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 03:56 PM (5Aijy)

258 255 It's almost like Barry's been trying to inflate the market - just to keep high rolling Dems and GOPs fat and happy. Nah ... Posted by: ScoggDog at January 24, 2014 07:55 PM (6/+vz) Barry couldn't inflate a balloon. He's more of a sucker than a blower

Posted by: MikeH at January 24, 2014 03:56 PM (bRL1M)

259 With perfect attendance. Posted by: Seamus Muldoon at January 24, 2014 07:56 PM (5Aijy) Overachiever.

Posted by: BCochran1981 - Credible Hulk at January 24, 2014 03:57 PM (GEICT)

260 One of the drivers is technology. We're still in an amazing era of technological innovations that I don't see ending any time soon. And technology brings with it wealth. Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, ********* Really that's your final rational? You know how long they've been pushing that one?

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 03:57 PM (RJMhd)

261 248 Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 07:53 PM (4Mv1T)

Right and hey if Ogabe's hidden agenda is to make us as beloved as the Brezhnevian Soviet era he's on par so far.

We are DARING the world to let us stumble and sooner or later the world will take the dare.

I think Oz, or Brazil are going to raise their interest rates and draw hedge from our flim flam band within 2 years tops.

Oz needs the pump to get back to work, their mines are laying a little fallow last I heard.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:57 PM (TE35l)

262 Blazing Saddles on AMC at 8

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2014 03:57 PM (DmNpO)

263 A few years ago, someone floated the idea of coining a trillion dollar coin and using it (or a few of them) to pay off the debt.

Wasn't that last summer?

It only feels like years ago.

Posted by: HR at January 24, 2014 03:58 PM (hO8IJ)

264 251 High demand because it's so freaking cold in so many places this year. Posted by: huerfano at January 24, 2014 07:54 PM (bAGA/) Yeah, I heard this morning that natural gas is also up this year over last, and that's the first thought that came to mind.

Posted by: rickl at January 24, 2014 03:58 PM (sdi6R)

265 I'm stayin' put until world-renowned economics expert Matty Iglesias speaks his piece...

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars™ [/i] [/b] [/s] at January 24, 2014 03:58 PM (dwxY9)

266 Too bad we can't burn DC bullshit
Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 07:55 PM



We could, but I already can't stand the stench.

Posted by: huerfano at January 24, 2014 03:58 PM (bAGA/)

267 264 Blazing Saddles on AMC at 8 Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at January 24, 2014 07:57 PM (DmNpO) Cuse while I whip this out...

Posted by: MikeH at January 24, 2014 03:58 PM (bRL1M)

268 Really that's your final rational? You know how long they've been pushing that one? Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 07:57 PM (RJMhd) ___________ No you're right. Technology has nothing to do with the wealth of a country.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 03:58 PM (0LHZx)

269 Don't buy'em gold ETFs, though!  Bad for Zero!  Bad for tribe!  Buy'em green energy and Section 8 housing REITs, instead!  Good for Zero!  Good for tribe!

Posted by: mnw at January 24, 2014 03:59 PM (68RU9)

270 I think it would smell better if it was burning.  Napalm optional.

Posted by: SpongeBobSaget at January 24, 2014 03:59 PM (kxSZr)

271 I think Oz, or Brazil are going to raise their interest rates and draw hedge from our flim flam band within 2 years tops. ---- I'm not too concerned with what Brazil does.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 03:59 PM (lIdTF)

272 258 SH at January 24, 2014 07:55 PM (lIdTF)

I have never given precision advice over the net nor would I.

I analyze what's around the 30-45 day corner.

I also gave it up in 2012 when Bukkake basically said "fuck it he is getting reelected goddamnit" and turned the faucet on full.

I used to have to open a history book to see a Fed Chair who had gone full tard....

luckily I know have seen two in a row.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 03:59 PM (TE35l)

273 You guys are also missing the obvious....Obama's biggest supporters are the ultra rich. You think Google's CEO or his hedge fund buddies want a market meltdown? Not that the president can prop up or push down a stock market...but let's say he could? Why on earth would he want stocks to fall? If you're going to go down the conspiracy theory....this is the road you should go down.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 04:00 PM (0LHZx)

274 271 Don't buy'em gold ETFs, though! Bad for Zero! Bad for tribe! Buy'em green energy and Section 8 housing REITs, instead! Good for Zero! Good for tribe! Posted by: mnw at January 24, 2014 07:59 PM (68RU9) Bad thing about Gold ETFs, you can never be sure they have the gold somewhere

Posted by: MikeH at January 24, 2014 04:01 PM (bRL1M)

275 273 SH at January 24, 2014 07:59 PM (lIdTF)

They're gonna be the Hemispheric Superpower within 50 years I'd wager.

I have three reasons for seeing that.

2 are secular one is clerical.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:01 PM (TE35l)

276 Hey I'm not a fan of the Fed's money making operation And there may be some bad consequences. But in the end, I'm simply betting on the market. I could be wrong - I won't be the only one. Time will tell.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 04:01 PM (lIdTF)

277 Most gold ETF's use derivatives, seriously, stay away.

Posted by: SpongeBobSaget at January 24, 2014 04:01 PM (kxSZr)

278 270 Really that's your final rational? You know how long they've been pushing that one? Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 07:57 PM (RJMhd) ___________ No you're right. Technology has nothing to do with the wealth of a country. Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:58 PM (0LHZx) ********** So you think that will save all the leveraging in the markets and artificial pumping of the economy? Listen I agree with you about 300 points not getting people's attention--or the hedge fund manager's attention-- but what amount of drop would it take?

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 04:02 PM (RJMhd)

279 I'm not too concerned with what Brazil does. Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 07:59 PM (lIdTF) Except for the waxing

Posted by: MikeH at January 24, 2014 04:02 PM (bRL1M)

280 Time for me to check out. My Fuck This Factor is pegged ... again. Later.

Posted by: ScoggDog at January 24, 2014 04:02 PM (6/+vz)

281 I'm gonna start buying Soviet Mil-Surps. Only seems appropriate since we are going Soviet.

Posted by: Tobacco Road at January 24, 2014 04:02 PM (4Mv1T)

282 275 You guys are also missing the obvious....Obama's biggest supporters are the ultra rich. You think Google's CEO or his hedge fund buddies want a market meltdown? Not that the president can prop up or push down a stock market...but let's say he could? Why on earth would he want stocks to fall? If you're going to go down the conspiracy theory....this is the road you should go down.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 08:00 PM (0LHZx)

Anyone with an IQ over room temp figured this out 8 years ago.

Posted by: tangonine at January 24, 2014 04:03 PM (x3YFz)

283 the problem, the most concerning thing here, is that Wall Street has never been so tied to the hip with Govt before Wall Street is very much dependent on govt now, and that, for so many obvious reasons, is very bad.

Posted by: soothsayer, with arms akimbo at January 24, 2014 04:03 PM (znUty)

284 They usually consider a correction at least 10%. That's 1600 right now on the DJIA. A lot of earnings in the market come from dividends not just the NAV

Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 04:04 PM (nTgAI)

285 279 Most gold ETF's use derivatives, seriously, stay away. Posted by: SpongeBobSaget at January 24, 2014 08:01 PM (kxSZr) They have to, they have to buy on a rolling average to keep pace with price fluctuations.

Posted by: MikeH at January 24, 2014 04:04 PM (bRL1M)

286

The Fed's problem now is that it can't really unwind quantitative easing because rising interest rates will make the competing necessities of paying interest on debt and paying the costs of massive government next to impossible.  The only possible way for it to work is for them to somehow create conditions for stagflation, or even negative growth with high inflation, which means even fewer people will be working. 

Piece of cake.



Posted by: LoneStarHeeb at January 24, 2014 04:04 PM (BZAd3)

287 No you're right. Technology has nothing to do with the wealth of a country. Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 07:58 PM (0LHZx) ******** Thanks because I said that--no really you dishonest arguer.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 04:04 PM (RJMhd)

288 They're gonna be the Hemispheric Superpower within 50 years I'd wager. ------ Superpower is overstating it i think. I'm confident this hemisphere will be dominated by us still.

Posted by: SH at January 24, 2014 04:05 PM (lIdTF)

289 275 Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 08:00 PM (0LHZx)

I'm touched you think he is a rational actor, not the puppet of Soros, and a good fiscal guardian.

Giggles most assuredly can negatively influence the market and he HAS at times sent shocks with his mouth.

Goggle or Fuckbook or Twatter finally getting their comeuppance will be like Grandma's apple crisp....

I am longing for the scales to be balanced.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:05 PM (TE35l)

290 So you think that will save all the leveraging in the markets and artificial pumping of the economy? Listen I agree with you about 300 points not getting people's attention--or the hedge fund manager's attention-- but what amount of drop would it take? Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 08:02 PM (RJMhd) _______ You give hedge fund managers way too much influence. They put their pants on one leg at a time like everyone else. I don't disagree there's been an excess of money printed by The Fed. I'm saying however that the economy is sputtering all enough to absorb it, now that the pumping is tapering off.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 04:05 PM (0LHZx)

291 Honestly, I'm not especially worried about this bit of news, but finance stuff is a change of pace

Posted by: Bigby's Empty Hands at January 24, 2014 04:05 PM (KgN8K)

292 286 They usually consider a correction at least 10%. That's 1600 right now on the DJIA. A lot of earnings in the market come from dividends not just the NAV Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 08:04 PM (nTgAI) ********** Thanks.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 04:06 PM (RJMhd)

293 Bakka is loosely translated Japanese for idiot. So if we call it Bakkanomics, it can translate into idiot economics. Does that about cover it?

Posted by: LFW - Honorary Pointy Eared Vulcan at January 24, 2014 04:06 PM (SudzO)

294 You give hedge fund managers way too much influence. They put their pants on one leg at a time like everyone else. I don't disagree there's been an excess of money printed by The Fed. I'm saying however that the economy is sputtering all enough to absorb it, now that the pumping is tapering off. Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 08:05 PM (0LHZx) ******** Possible. Just seems to me like they gamble instead of invest.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 04:07 PM (RJMhd)

295 Look at how the expenses of managing the derivatives affect the price.  Look how far has GLD fallen off relative to the actual metal price.

Posted by: SpongeBobSaget at January 24, 2014 04:09 PM (kxSZr)

296 290 SH at January 24, 2014 08:05 PM (lIdTF)

"ok"

You don't win that game if you don't play and last time I checked there are no serious military or economic strategy minds in the LIV/FSA militia.

I figure another round of "Let's blow Islam and hey fuck Israel or the US' interests" and more Reagan Hawks like me will shrug and start agitating to cut the military.

Iraq and Ghani were hard enough to bear when we were trying to achieve something....

my neighbors, friends, and family deserve to be under harm for something more than Urkel's ego or narrative.

If a person who was raised on an airbase's footprint, served, is a spouse, and has a child starting to move towards wanting to serve is getting apathetic I am certain the Obama Jugend are gonna fill those holes as well as the 1997-2007 force did.

I think we're gonna shed another Carrier wing, and our Air, Sea, Rail, and WHeel lift will continue to attrit.

You can't run the US MilSTrat Playbook without logistical domination.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:09 PM (TE35l)

297 Expecting Moo Moo to actually engage in a legitimate intellectual discussion in good faith is like expecting Obama to bowl a 300 game.

Posted by: buzzion at January 24, 2014 04:09 PM (LI48c)

298 "Don't buy gold ETFs," like IAU & GLD?

Well... you go to your church, & I'll go to mine, thanks very much.  "Seriously."

Posted by: mnw at January 24, 2014 04:11 PM (68RU9)

299 296 Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 08:07 PM (RJMhd)

Moo Moo is also telling you going from 85 or so bill a month to 75 is a dramatic drop at the same time a 2% loss on volume is nothing.

Maybe he is right, I am thinking the market will tree Uncle Yallen the next time He turns the faucet a bit.

They spooked the fuck out of ben three times.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:11 PM (TE35l)

300 Just seems to me like they gamble instead of invest.

Posted by: Teleprompter Feed Crew at January 24, 2014 08:07 PM (RJMhd)

 

This is a true statement

Posted by: The Jackhole at January 24, 2014 04:12 PM (nTgAI)

301 299 Expecting Moo Moo to actually engage in a legitimate intellectual discussion in good faithis like expecting Obama to bowl a 300 game. Posted by: buzzion at January 24, 2014 08:09 PM (LI48c) ________ I started my opinion. You can agree, you can disagree. It's your money, do with it as you wish.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 04:12 PM (0LHZx)

302 pearl necklace economics .... thanks, krebs vs. carnot, there's a phrase I hadn't heard before.

Posted by: sock_rat_eez at January 24, 2014 04:13 PM (+jyzN)

303

@301 Maybe he is right, I am thinking the market will tree Uncle Yallen the next time He turns the faucet a bit.

-----------------------

 

"Auntie" Yellen.

 

And that's assuming that Fezzik doesn't threaten to tear her arms off first.

 


 

Posted by: junior at January 24, 2014 04:13 PM (UWFpX)

304 305 junior at January 24, 2014 08:13 PM (UWFpX)

Like Uncle Jan Neopolitino Uncle says I...

heh it is funny watching the Xerox tech to the stars shit a brick when the markets drop 400 points or so when they even THINK about a hard taper...

they can NOT shut it off.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:15 PM (TE35l)

305 If theres one thing this administration has proved, its that the left is a huge boon to the very powerful and very rich, and awful for everyone else.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at January 24, 2014 04:15 PM (zfY+H)

306 "Auntie" Yellen. --- To be fair.... It is little hard to tell the gender by looks alone.

Posted by: fixerupper at January 24, 2014 04:16 PM (IrLKP)

307 Auntie/Uncle Yellen (who can tell?) wants to run the Fed for "social justice". Bakkanomics!

Posted by: LFW - Honorary Pointy Eared Vulcan at January 24, 2014 04:17 PM (SudzO)

308 308 fixerupper at January 24, 2014 08:16 PM (IrLKP)

He has the biggest balls in the game...

because what America needs RIGHT now is Fed direct interference in the housing market on a mico rather than macro scale...

Old Yellern is a going hunting boys...she thinks she has to find some chores to do.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:17 PM (TE35l)

309 They usually consider a correction at least 10%. That's 1600 right now on the DJIA. A lot of earnings in the market come from dividends not just the NAV Posted by: The Jackhole Is it the beginning of a correction, has the market entered a "trading range" where it bumps up and down ~ 1000 points every 4 -6 weeks, or is it a crash? So yes, next week will start to signal what really happens. If the market drifts around, with no real movement, it's probably ended the growth period of the last 3 years, and is falling into a "trading range". Even during the Great Depression, there were cycles of Bull Market within the decade long Bear Market.

Posted by: Ribald Conservative riding Orca at January 24, 2014 04:17 PM (+1T7c)

310 When I prefer economic advice, I get it from Max Keiser. When I don't, I get it from my ass

Posted by: alcoa fedora at January 24, 2014 04:18 PM (hqVUe)

311 Moo Moo is also telling you going from 85 or so bill a month to 75 is a dramatic drop at the same time a 2% loss on volume is nothing. Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 08:11 PM (TE35l) ____________ Did I say dramatic? I said tapering. 85 to 75 is a 12% decrease. You don't go from 80MPH to 0 overnight. And yes a 2% drop in the DJIA is nothing to get your panties in a bunch over. It has happened many many many many times in the past without the sky falling afterwards.

Posted by: A few thousand ballots found in the back seat of someone's car at January 24, 2014 04:19 PM (0LHZx)

312 Obama's regulations and spending, combinged with similar policies in the EU, make a traditional recovery boom almost impossible.  China could not possibly have carried the world economy forward alone anyway, but now faced its own coming debt crises and possible recession.

Bernanke has put the Fed in a box of its own design.  All the QE and "asset purchasing" have loaded all the member banks with tons of federal and mortgage paper at low interest rates.  When your portfolio is that unbalanced, you are exposed.

A real recovery would involve rising interest rates to attract investment, but if the Fed raises rates, it devalues their own banks' holdings!  But Bernanke's big mouth promised to back off when the unemployment rate hit 6.5%.  Obamanomics will achieve that by driving people permanently out of the labor force, but the Fed will have to put up or shut up then.  It won't be pretty.

Posted by: Adjoran at January 24, 2014 04:21 PM (473jB)

313 Most of the heavy institutional trading is all "programmed trading". With a lot of the usual indicators of what is going on being bent by the endless QE, I would really be interested in how the trading algorithms are written now. There is so much afoot that just makes no normal trading sense. I was always amused in the 2001-2002 period when all the wise "fund managers" clucked their tongues over the collapse that started in March of 2000. Why, all the P/E ratios were crazy, and we ALL KNEW THAT!. Sometimes it's logical and sometimes it's witchcraft.

Posted by: Ribald Conservative riding Orca at January 24, 2014 04:22 PM (+1T7c)

314 313 Posted by: A few thousand ballots found in the back seat of someone's car at January 24, 2014 08:19 PM (0LHZx)

Hey Mau Mau how much raw fucking QE Sewage has been jammed into that tube of a cistern known as the dow?

Yeah a 12% reduction in the shit flow....compared to a 2% in a day of trading drop.

You're gonna slowly close the spigot towards the pulse rate of required shit flow...

when Old Yallern tries to move past that cut off on the pulse there WILL be a reset.

85 billion was always way too high, the sane QE is probably 30-50 billion but who gives a fuck right?

It's not like the Fed essentially has debauched the BPP of the USD the last 5 fucking years.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:23 PM (TE35l)

315 314 Adjoran at January 24, 2014 08:21 PM (473jB)

All of that money is froze and the minute it starts flowing we either get higher interest or we get serious inflationary pressure on top of the imaginary pressure Ogabe swears ain't there.

It's gonna be a fun half decade...probably b/c we're more retarded than Japan was 15 years.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:25 PM (TE35l)

316 And yes a 2% drop in the DJIA is nothing to get your panties in a bunch over It means a lot more when the Oval Office, the Treasury Department and the Fed are doing everything they can to avoid the appearance that their economic policies are failing.

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 04:26 PM (ge6S7)

317 315 Ribald Conservative riding Orca at January 24, 2014 08:22 PM (+1T7c)

I quit trying to find shatterpoints when I grasped the raw power of the "Narrative tm" and the Hopium that the moonbat Wall Street rat class was engaged in.

I know this is hard to believe but King Putt I of the Profit and Earnings Ratio doesn't understand shit about econ...

now the generous part of me thinks that is because any econ he took in college was Marxist.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:27 PM (TE35l)

318 Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 08:23 PM (TE35l) ______ Can you translate that to English? I really have no clue what you said.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 04:28 PM (0LHZx)

319 318 garrett at January 24, 2014 08:26 PM (ge6S7)

18 billion or so a week Bukakke Bonus Buckks and they had two losing days...

if I didn't know any better I'd almost bet the investor class is pondering filling some mattresses.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:29 PM (TE35l)

320 Live Nood Thread complete with CAC busty map action.

Posted by: Wonkish Rogue at January 24, 2014 04:32 PM (dvRYt)

321 Can you translate that to English? I really have no clue what you said. Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 08:28 PM (0LHZx I wash born here, an I wash raished here, and dad gum it, I am gonna die here, an no sidewindin' bushwackin', hornswagglin' cracker croaker is gonna rouin me bishen cutter.

Posted by: Gabby at January 24, 2014 04:33 PM (bRL1M)

322 320 Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 08:28 PM (0LHZx)

I know...

and I barely care stud.

You are pretending that an 18-22 billion a week flow of non-backed shit free money does not have inertia and momentum that is defacto an artificial source of disequilibrium.

I think that is silly but so be it.

three weeks of a 2.5 billion or so a week shave does not represent a big portion of the shit river the Choom Gang at the Fed generated.

so invoking 12% as though that is great shakes on the free money momentum and comparing it to a 1.96% hiccup and drop of two days duration given the patterns we can observe may be a harbinger.

The bit about "pulse" and Old Yallern getting to try to find the market's breaking point on taper rate was just me funnin' with you Mau Mau.

I'm too stupid to understand how 7% backed free money is the secret to a booming economy...

now in my stupidity when I see growth it is because it is actual fucking growth not welfare money for mutual funds.

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 04:34 PM (TE35l)

323 Posted by: Gabby at January 24, 2014 08:33 PM (bRL1M) Magnificent pupehtwork.

Posted by: garrett at January 24, 2014 04:38 PM (ge6S7)

324 Oh Yallern is Yellen. OK got it. Initially I thought you were yammering on about Old Yeller.

Posted by: Mr. Moo Moo at January 24, 2014 04:40 PM (0LHZx)

325 The Dow was down less than 2% - it wasn't that big of a deal.  December 2012 saw two weeks of that in a row,     after the election results were posted.

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at January 24, 2014 04:57 PM (/i3Yt)

326 Posted by: Gabby at January 24, 2014 08:33 PM (bRL1M)

A fine example of old west gibberish.

Posted by: Bitter Clinger and All That (Unexpurgated Edition) at January 24, 2014 04:58 PM (LSDdO)

327 327 Vashta Nerada at January 24, 2014 08:57 PM (/i3Yt)

Vashta we're being asked to believe the Argies devaluing what 12.5% or so set off a panic?

Why?

We'll see.... with all that free money in the pipe I think we're due a flushing

Posted by: Sven 10077 at January 24, 2014 05:03 PM (TE35l)

328 Just wait until people start losing their health insurance, their jobs, and companies earnings go to hell.

#threemoreyears.


Somewhere there is a point too far, and when we get there, and what happens when we do. . .

Posted by: Cowboy Klaustin at January 24, 2014 05:05 PM (if9Wg)

329 Because you have foresake me in 2000. Pay up bitches. You owe me.

Posted by: Al Gore at January 24, 2014 05:09 PM (h76k4)

330
Barry: Don't worry about the stocks markets. The profit and earnings ratios look good to me

Posted by: TheQuietMan at January 24, 2014 05:19 PM (JivuR)

331 This doesn't seem large enough to even concern stock market investors, who are panicky as chickens. But there is a horrendous storm on the horizon

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at January 24, 2014 05:23 PM (zfY+H)

332 with all that free money in the pipe I think we're due a flushing

-

But      where else are you going to go with your money?  3% yield is still better than anything any bank is offering.  At least with stocks you are owning a portion of real assets that will float in the inflationary tide.  Our financial problems are going to be either massive inflation or     government default, not the stock market IMO

Posted by: Vashta Nerada at January 24, 2014 05:24 PM (/i3Yt)

333 My opinion is the biggest factor that got Obama reelected is what happened with the stock market.  When people saw their 401ks had largely bounced back, they were willing to pull the lever again.  Had the stock market not "recovered" he would have lost in a landslide.

How long the Fed sugar high lasts is anyone's guess, but I could see it taking years.

Posted by: Uniden at January 24, 2014 05:42 PM (13G+x)

334 The DJIA has been plumetting in real terms since 2000:\

http://causalitysend.mee.nu/why_the_dow_jones_index_should_frighten_you

When you look at the Dow Jones in terms of ounces of gold instead of dollars, it gets scary.

Posted by: Kristophr at January 24, 2014 05:54 PM (c6N69)

335 When we post huge gains, our stock goes down. When we post losses, our stock goes up. The price of oil stabilizes because of a fake deal with Iran? A brutal fall is coming before the end of our brutal winter. Did the stock market prop up Obama? Yep. Almost as much as years of unemployment welfare checks insulating people on the bubble from the consequences of their electoral decisions.

Posted by: Smantix at January 24, 2014 06:02 PM (w3clm)

336 Worst! Not worse...

Posted by: Chris M at January 24, 2014 08:46 PM (4lyMJ)

337 Starbucks stock was up today, after exceeding earnings projections yesterday. I'll take a caramel latte, with extra caramel, with my 300+ point Dow collapse today, and pay for it with Bitcoins. Well some of the stocks were becoming quite extended after running up quite a bit. The bull market is almost five years old.

Posted by: muckdog at January 24, 2014 09:24 PM (aZxcE)

338 The Dow fell 500 for the week. The 300 drop was just one day.

Posted by: Emily at January 24, 2014 09:37 PM (7Rn+/)

339 So pulling my IRA in 2009 and buying up ammo and guns wasn't stupid? My stock (lock and barrel) portfolio is rising in value every year. heh.

Posted by: Normal American at January 25, 2014 02:28 AM (h76k4)

340 My sister works at the Fed. She has a position of some prominence. She was telling me just last week, people are starting to squirm and wiggle and wonder and feel kind of Â… shall I say Â… worried? She is a progressive of epic proportions (by the way - everyone who works in her office, ATL Fed, are LIBERAL with all caps) and she was Bernankes biggest fangirl. She still gets defensive about Obama. I have always been the smarter sister.

Posted by: janetoo at January 25, 2014 04:38 AM (DVU82)

341 I say Obama and John Kerry will call for a simultaneous invasion of Israel and Switzerland, because everybody knows that's where the Jews hide all their money, and, uh, Jews...

Posted by: Richard McEnroe at January 25, 2014 05:47 AM (XO6WW)

342 The fed has been playing games with the monetary supply for 6 years now, trying to hide the horrific damage and turn things around through confidence. Extended unemployment and massive foodstamp and other welfare expansions have concealed the hardship and damage to the economy, hoping that things will turn around soon and then the debt will start peeling back.
That's the game plan. The problem is, Obamacare is on the horizon. It MIGHT have worked, were it not for this business-demolishing disaster. It was such a stupid thing to try now, but they figured it was their one shot and gosh, they're so smart and enlightened and superior they can fix it all.
Whoever is the next president is going to get a gigantic load of sewage in their lap.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at January 25, 2014 08:23 AM (zfY+H)

343 You would think but since everything is upside down the market will rally 400 points on Monday.

Posted by: Bizarro Duck at January 25, 2014 08:38 AM (mka2b)

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