Early numbers don't look too great, but they don't necessarily mean much. They're polls, unreliable to start with, and furthermore polls of unrepresentative samples of the population.

Don't let the early polls do to us what Dan Rather's early pronouncement of a Gore victory in Florida did to the conservatives of the Florida panhandle.

Vote. At least once.

And, if you want, share your voting experience with fellow newshawks.

Posted by: Ace at 10:44 AM | Comments (8)
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On the other hand, people might just claim they've found this because it's interesting and bound to attract attention.

The amateur leftist webzine Slate's made a big production of defending their scary-courageous decision to publish early exit poll data, however, as of yet, no data is actually published.

Posted by: Ace at 10:35 AM | Add Comment
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Instapundit seems down, and I'm having getting through to a Slate article I want to link.

Mu.Nu seems to be okay, though. I was hoping for huge traffic on this Blog Christmas, but maybe huge traffic would just shut the whole server down.

Anybody else having this problem, or is it just a problem with my local routers (whatever they are)?

Update: Okay, now the amateur leftist webzine Slate is pretty much down.

Instapundit, Powerline, LGF-- so many of the heavy hitters are out of the game right now.

Excellent.

Posted by: Ace at 10:32 AM | Comments (18)
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Well, she got the earlier one wrong, so maybe there's cause for hope...

Drudge, of course, is blaring that Kerry finds "comfort" in the early exit polls.

Update: Now, everyone keeps telling me not to take these early polls too seriously, and I'll take that advice.

However, to the extent these early polls mean anything, they don't mean anything good. That post is based on a rumor, it should be noted.

Posted by: Ace at 10:19 AM | Comments (8)
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Zogby has OH, FL to Bush; CO, NM to Kerry; PA and VIRGINIA tied!

Hoke Malokey predicted that VA would go to Kerry.

Currently a 253-252 deadlock, with only PA and VA showing no preference.

This is worrisome.

But... Rasmussen projects Bush 50.2%, Kerry 48.5%. But that's not enough of a national vote share to guarantee an EC victory.

We don't want a moral victory here. We want a real victory.

RCP Average: Bush +1.5% As Roger Murdoch would say, "Thin. Real thin."

Posted by: Ace at 10:08 AM | Comments (12)
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Jeff from Beautiful Atrocities explains to me how stupid I am by offering up this Wolfe slam of Sontag:

"Who was this woman? Who & what? An anthropological epidemiologist? A renowned authority on the history of cultures, a synthesizer of the magnitude of Max Weber, a Joachim Wach, a Sir James Frazer, an Arnold Toynbee?

"Actually, she was just another scribbler who spent her life signing up for protest meetings & lumbering to the podium encumbered by her prose style, which had a handicapped sticker valid at Partisan Review. Perhaps she was exceptionally hell-bent on proving Marshall McLuhan's line about indignation endowing the idiot with dignity, but otherwise she was just a typical American intellectual of the post-World War II period."

Heh.

The link goes to yet another key endorsement for Kerry-- permanent feminist victim and anti-porn nutball Andrea Dworkin.

Posted by: Ace at 09:57 AM | Comments (3)
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Is this real? Is this accurate?

Maybe you need a refresher course. It's all ball-bearings these days.*

* Ohio = ball-bearings.

AWFUL UPDATE: It's not accurate. Multiple sources say Kerry is up by 4.

Thanks to Barry N. Johnson for this perfectly terrible news.

Guam? What does this mean? Does Guam even get an electoral vote, even as part of the non-state terroritories?

Do they routinely vote Republican 2 to 1? I need information to make sense of this completely unexpected bit of news.

Asked and Answered: Readers say it's because of all the military folks based there. 2 to 1 sounds kinda normal to one reader, but maybe it's a good sign anyway.

John Zogby Depressed?!?: Didn't see it, but Freepers say John Zogby's in a pissy mood, and says Florida moving to Bush, Colorado to Kerry (?), and Pennsylvania dead even.

Guys-- Bush can't lose with both Florida and Ohio.

(Almost.)

Caution! Lasttango is a real buzzkill: If that's data from GOP-dominated areas then it doesn't say anything about the state. In the early going, only a limited number of exit-polling stations might have reported.

Posted by: Ace at 09:42 AM | Comments (17)
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Kinda coincidental. I've never been a Johnny Cash fan-- I don't think I could name one song, except for Ring of Fire (typical culturally-insular Yankee, I know)-- but I heard this song at the beginning of Dawn of the Dead (Best. Zombie Movie. Ever.), and I'd intended to review the movie and mention how great this song is, and how well it works as an introduction to the film.

Anyway, someone has used the song to construct a musical haigiography to Bush.

From the Corner.

I love this song. I think I'm going to have to find out what's up with this Johnny Cash character.

Posted by: Ace at 08:44 AM | Comments (21)
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This is so hinky I don't know if he has a game going on here. Who the hell would make such an admission the day of voting?

I saw this on Lucianne, but didn't bother to read it until Michael Totten, guest-blogging on Instapundit, provided me with the intriguing three-point-win detail.

Posted by: Ace at 08:31 AM | Comments (2)
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Dutch director making film critical of Islam is shot dead by what the BBC politely terms a "German"

Get ready for a shock: the man held joint German-Moroccan citizenship.

I think it's the "Moroccan" thing that's more relevant to this story that the German thing. The BBC, as usual, disagrees.

Thanks to GregS, who pretty much writes this blog himself some days.

Update! Ms. Malkin had this story four hours ago. She's good. She also has a round-up of other random acts of "peace" throughout the world.

Posted by: Ace at 08:23 AM | Comments (1)
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